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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dramatic events in Australian politics
Ir's official – Rudd wins in Australia. See pic.twitter.com/CkkmYxlSQc
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Kevin Rudd is now leader of the Australian Labor Party but he isn't prime minister yet. The governor general may ask him to prove that he has the support of Parliament.
Two independents who were supporting the government announced their retirements in the last few hours.
CarlottaVance said:
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The charitable might describe them as 'disciplined'.....lets face it, they tested 'loyal to a bad leader' to destruction under Brown....
Can only speak for myself. I hinted at the time (here and elsewhere) that I was open to supporting a challenge, but when none appeared I wasn't up for a "let's replace Gordon with someone, we'll work it out later" revolt. In the event I think we did as well as we could reasonably have expected in mid-crisis after 13 years in power, and I've no regrets at all for not supporting a headless revolt.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyXffVbO2kU
WTF is going on?!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quentin_Bryce
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/jun/25/gillard-ridiculed-knitting-royal-kangaroo
PR disaster, hopeless spin, laughably out of touch, this truly was a job for John McTernan. For those who don't know who McTernan is he is a SLAB/Labour 'luminary' who was frequently mocked for his astonishingly out of touch spin and commentary.
Poor old Australia, you didn't deserve him.
John Etheridge @JohnSunCricket 2h
Australia is country swamped by infringement of personal liberty. The mindset undermines sport. 'Can't do this or that.' Land of free? No.
John Etheridge @JohnSunCricket 2h
To understand why Australia is a diminished sporting nation, you need only sit in a taxi. List of 8 dos and don'ts. #nannystate #elfnsafety
Interesting development in Australia. I think a big difference compared with Gordon Brown is that there was a single, clear alternative leader. Even so, I wonder how much good it will do Labor.
@isam said:
When was the last time backing ukip to do well didn't pay off?
My losing political bets in 2013 have been on UKIP
They failed in Eastleigh
They failed to get 30%+ in South Shields
That is crazy talk
They were 5/6 over or under 18% in South Shields... 50/50 in other words and they whacked it
You chose to go for big odds with the bar set a lot higher.
You backed them at EVS to come 2nd I believe?
What price were they to win Eastleigh? It was hardly a failure
But the derivatives ie to come 2nd, the match with the Tories and vote share they all beat expectation.
Find a 50/50 bet that ukip have failed to win this year
Dan Hodges @DPJHodges
Yougov poll finds 3% of people believe Ed is a natural leader. Another poll found 4% believe “lizard people” control our societies.
POJGWAS - back me or sack me.
As Nelson Muntz said it: Ha, Ha.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/tobyyoung/100223531/guardian-robot-simply-cannot-understand-why-generation-y-arent-all-good-socialists-does-not-compute-does-not-compute/
"According to Ipsos MORI, only 20 per cent of 18-34-year-olds agree with the statement "the creation of the welfare state is one of Britain's proudest achievements". How dare they?!? Most amazingly of all – to Harris, anyway – is that Generation Y don't blame the "Con-Dem cuts" for youth unemployment. Haven't they been listening to Len McCluskey?"
"The most telling passage in the article comes at the end, when Harris meets a 27-year-old in Warrington who's just got a job after a bout of unemployment thanks to the government's Work Programme. Harris asks him whether he thinks his joblessness was his fault.
"Yeah," he says. "I do. I think I should have applied for more. I should have picked myself up in the morning, got out, come to a place like this – tried more. When you're feeling down, you start blaming the world for your mistakes – you feel the world owes you. And it doesn't. You owe the world: you have to motivate yourself, and get out there, and try."
Harris describes this reply as – wait for it – "heartbreaking". "
" I've no regrets at all for not supporting a headless revolt."
That last person in France to be executed by guillotine was 1977!
I suspect that all leaders of Parliamentary groups, including Mr Cameron and Ed Miliband, will sleep just a little less easily in their beds after this. Good.
Alex Massie tweets: "Now that Julia Gillard's a corpse, I'd suggest @UK_Together hire @johnmcternan to run their #indyref shop."
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjrTR5aeHpI&
http://tinyurl.com/oz3yzxx
Was David M not persuaded by Ed M to wait until after the election before challenging for leadership?
There's likely a Kebab with Cammie's name on it somewhere out there. ;^ )
http://www.sunshinecoastdaily.com.au/news/gillard-quail-small-breasts-big-thighs-brough-says/1904355/
I fear the dreadful truth is that Ed was less conviced of Brown's terminal lunacy than his brother.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100223536/unite-should-change-their-name-to-the-national-union-of-willy-wavers/
"...I think there are two problems with Unite’s attempted hijacking of Labour selections, neither of which are actually based on any great abuse of principle. The first is that this is not actually being done in the name of any grand political strategy. Oh, that’s the pretext: more good, honest working-class people in a position to pass more laws that benefit good, honest workers. And yes, Unite want to see Ed Miliband dancing to their tune.
But that’s not what it’s really about. Unite are trying to fix selections simply because they can. Lots of middle-aged men, (it’s still always men), wandering around showing how big and hard they are. They should just go the whole hog and rename themselves the National Union of Willy Wavers.
The second problem is the new politics wasn’t supposed to be like this. Ed Miliband’s party spent the best part of a year going through an entire, tortuous process called “Refounding Labour”. It was a total and utter waste of time. Nothing has been “refounded”. People are fitting-up selections for their mates and their cliques in the same way that they always did.
Not that you’ll hear many people complaining. That’s because they can’t. If you’re an MP, you need Unite’s votes to ensure your reselection. If you’re a wannabe MP, you need Unite’s votes to ensure your selection. So today, those people who are normally up in arms at the merest procedural missteps within the party machine will stay silent.
I don’t care about the abuse. What I object to is the hypocrisy..."
However if BT choose the likes of Blair McDougall (organiser of failed D.Millband leadership bid), McTernan (organiser of SLAB's failed 2007 Holyrood campaign and comms director for booted-out Gillard), failed chancellor Darling and failed PM Brown, who are we to interrupt them.
For all the romanticism and mythology that surrounds Wimbledon, there is a truth that few tell: as a spectator experience, it consists largely of waiting":
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/tennis/wimbledon/10142532/Wimbledon-2013-the-tournament-that-divides-fans-into-haves-and-have-nots.html
However if BT choose the likes of Blair McDougall (organiser of failed D.Millband leadership bid), McTernan (organiser of SLAB's failed 2007 Holyrood campaign and comms director for booted-out Gillard), failed chancellor Darling and failed PM Brown, who are we to interrupt them.
McTernan almost makes Dan Hodges look sane. Almost. ;^ )
My guess is that he wanted to be seen to do well in the contest, ideally coming second, so that no one could ever claim nepotism when David gave him a senior job. The best laid plans of mice and men...
"In 2007 McTernan was seconded to the Scottish Labour Party to run its campaign for the May Scottish Parliament general election...... The Scottish Labour Party lost power."
#France in recession - Q1 2013 GDP: -0.2%, follows a -0.2% drop in Q4 2012
Hollande is doing so well.
#France in recession - Q1 2013 GDP: -0.2%, follows a -0.2% drop in Q4 2012
Hollande is doing so well.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/council-tax-collection-rate-improves-but-councils-can-deliver-more-savings
"In addition, the overall amount of arrears has fallen slightly as a proportion of the amount of Council Tax that should have been collected in the year, when compared with the previous year. From 31 March 2012 to 31 March 2013 it was £689 million in 2011 to 2012 compared to £691 million in 2012 to 2013. These figures dispute recent suggestions that Council Tax arrears have risen."
I won,burt from the muppets thou,sesame street more like Cameron,I mentioned this yesterday about burt been mentioned today for ed.
Bit cheap and childish or fair game?
The UK economy is growing.
He did far more than just that. McTernan was a self-publicist rivalled only by the likes of Dan Hodges and was rarely away from the likes of Newsnicht Scotland and the scottish media putting in his 'sage advice' well after 2007.
For example the election of the presiding officer was fairly uncontroversial in 2011. Until McTernan stuck his oar in and said he must be a certain SLAB MSP to "interpret" the legality of the referendum process and other government bills. Needless to say that well and truly scuppered the labour man's chances as everyone but McTernan would have known.
In 2010 over 50% of electorate voted for Parties who prior to the coalition wanted nothing to do with Austerity.
and when he uses the burt quote,he used it today when he was panicking.
Clearly the attack on Osborne is going to change from "too deep, too fast" to "too little, too late" on capital spending as a way of countering what is going to be announced today.
Of course in the real world a government that inherits a deficit of £157bn a year on the books and goodness knows what off it in PFI has rather few choices...
http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/Political-recognition-summary.pdf
He said "half the British public" thought he was like Bert... Don't think it was quite that many
Fed up with Cameron saying "Under this government unemployment is coming down". May 2010, it was 2.47 million. Currently: 2.51 million
BenM, why in their 2010 budget do you think Labour and Darling were planning to slash capital expenditure for the 2010 - 2015 period?
Ed wouldn't fit on Sesame St - they are implementing 10% cuts:
"Job ax falling on 'Sesame Street' company
Sesame Workshop, nonprofit behind beloved public TV children's show, to cut 10% of its employees."
http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/sesame-workshop-organization-backs-sesame-street-cutting-10-workforce-article-1.1382550#ixzz2XJvqlEdF
The truth is that the economy has been growing at an annual rate of around 1.2% since mid 2012. It is almost certainly now growing at a higher rate.
My use of "elect" in context meant choose.
The infrastructure stats are appalling, and there was no escaping that for Cameron. Reckon he should have simply stuck tot he line of it being difficult, as he did with the nuclear power station, and stating that there are no quick fixes.
Oh God,not another lord Ashcroft week in/week out attacks.
If he did it might set people thinking in Britain. One difficulty with ditching a losing leader is that you don't really know if they're heading for defeat until a couple of months before the election, and by then it's thought to be too late. But if it turns out the model works...
Now Osborne gets up and tells us how much extra his economic failure will cost us all over the next few years.
The good news just keeps on coming huh.
Take Public Sector Net Borrowing for example.
Perhaps best to stick to Labours workfare plans, and dig some canals with teaspoons?
Or why dont we follow Keynes and spend the money that we put aside in the boom years, saved up for the bad times.
Most of the infrastructure spend had already been booked to prior periods.
The largest distorting factor was the booking of all Olympic Ticket sales to Q3 2012.
140k fewer people working for the government by 2016.
Boy George at last gets the jokes right.
Not getting a great reaction on Twitter:
Brogan: GO praises Pickles as the 'model of lean govt'. Weight joke tells us relations aren't great. Take his money, then laugh? Dangerous
Are the savings here included in the £11.5 bn total of cuts or additional?
It is almost certainly the latter. The NPV saving of abolishing automatic progression pay and reducing public sector headcount by a further 140,000 is likely to be considerable.
These are much bigger savings than the £11.5 bn headline suggests.
If you're so utterly wrong on those, why should anyone take your views on economics seriously?