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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After another crazy day – the betting movements
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After another crazy day – the betting movements
All betting data from Betdata.io and based on the Betfair exchange.
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https://twitter.com/tseofpb/status/1072613241744957440?s=21
Just how I like my Tories.
Followed, immediately by them VONCing Raab.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ucJ6RPez06s
@Cyclefree voted Remain I think.
If she does win, there is perhaps one roll of the dice she can take to try and get her deal approved - call another election with her deal in the manifesto. Think it would actually be her best chance - Labour are not exactly soaring right now, she could potentially still beat Corbyn in an election.
Interesting editorial stance. Again.
I cannot wait.
I'll leave everyone to continue to argue over what would actually be best for the country, but clearly whilst that outcome would push us another few yards in the direction of No Deal, it doesn't change the fundamentals. If they won't swallow May's deal then either the Remain majority in Parliament does something radical and works together across party lines to stop this process, or No Deal happens automatically.
Hence the crisis.
As for an election, accepting that if she said there should be one (and Corbyn would no doubt agree), there's no way all the Tory MPs agree to stand on a manifesto commitment of the deal. You have the ERG lot for whom it is anathema, the waverers who know the public don't like the deal, and they would face Labour promising magic unicorns in that they would promise remainers they might remain, and leavers that they would get a better deal.
She loses on that question alone.
NOR is only used with NEITHER.
As it turned out there was no plan. There was denial, incompetence and finally panic and skin saving.
Not good. She has to go. She has I’m afraid let the country down badly by occupying a key role at the key moment.
DavidL supports Man Utd.
He’s Scottish.
https://www.theguardian.com/culture/2018/dec/11/comedians-asked-to-sign-behavioural-agreement-for-soas-gig
SAD....also, Islamophobia gets a name check, as does anti-religion or anti-atheism, but not antisemitism.
And WTF is "ableism" ?
Either the government is brought down and the Tories lose a resulting election when Corbyn cannot get anything through, or we do no deal and they limp on as long as they can, praying it is not that bad after all.
Parliament created this situation, it should fix it - not try to palm the mess off on the people, who pay them to deal with dilemmas like this. They can submit themselves to judgement at the ballot box after they've made their minds up and plotted a course for Brexit, not before.
If a 2nd referendum was held now and Remain was an option I would probably now vote Remain, not because I'm a eurofanatic but because those in favour of Brexit have had their chance and been shown utterly wanting. And because the geopolitical situation has IMO become more dangerous and uncertain in the last two years and this is no time for Britain to isolate itself.
FPT I'd like to understand what sort of planning for No Deal Floater's company has done. A true "No Deal" or a No Deal where lots of mini-deals are done to keep planes flying etc. Or what?
And in what sector?
I had hoped that a deal of some kind would be reached. It now looks as if it won't be. The Tories are being utterly irresponsible and self-indulgent in the way they are approaching this issue, as are Labour. Taking risks with our country, with our relationship with our closest neighbours, with our reputation in this way is unforgivable.
I hope that it won't be a disaster. I really do. But I fear it will and that what comes after will be even worse.
Ah well. Time to read a good book and listen to some decent music.
And condolences to the French - yet again - for what has happened in Strasbourg.
https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1072620579352653825
Also, who cares? Yes I support Liverpool for glory grabbing reasons. Picked them as a child, never wavered.
I have a lot of sympathy for her actually. I think she is a fundamentally decent person and she has tried her best. I think the nail in the coffin was the derision that welcomed her deal in parliament, she is facing lots of hostile factions and unreasonable people and pragmatism has lost out.
I doubt history will be incredibly kind, but I do think it will note that she was faced with an impossible situation in the past year or so.
But glory grabbing is the norm nowadays.
Laugh? I nearly died.
I be slightly surprised if he makes strenuous efforts to prevent it.
Even more hilarious? He meets with the PM to tell her he's resigning as Chairman of the 1922 Committee, he wanted her to be the first to know.
But I think she's miscalculated if that's the plan; she looks cowardly and out of her depth this week, in a way she never quite has before; it feels that in facing the HoC and walking away she can't keep the show on the road any more.
I'm not as convinced as others that there will be a hard as nails Leaver elected who will plough on with May or May plus plus plus. But let's see.