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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Matthew Shadsy of Ladbrokes on the WH2020 betting phenomenon o
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Matthew Shadsy of Ladbrokes on the WH2020 betting phenomenon of Andrew Yang
The 2020 US Presidential Market is gathering steam right now with most of the top-tier Democratic possibles having announced their candidature. Just waiting on Joe Biden who has recently become favourite for the nomination at Ladbrokes. No doubt his price will drop a little further if and when he announces, but the bigger impact on the overall market would be if he says no.
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Thanks to Mr Meeks for mentioning Yang the other day.
Even if Brexit is significantly delayed next week costs have been incurred (albeit not as big an increase as we'd see if we crash out). We've also seen cost loading and cash flow strains on businesses not resilient enough to cope (and yes, I count the likes of Asda and JS in this as they are not remotely profitable enough for their stock exchange overlords).
So price rises are inevitable. Brexit has cost the industry a lot and we haven't left yet. And for the few lucky sods not directly hit by costs? They'll go for price anyway as its a free hit if everyone else is doing so.
He has been touring all the "intellectual dark web" podcasts, JRE, Sam Harris, Freakonomics, and he always starts off well, sounds plausible, but after 30mins it all goes downhill.
I imagine if he ever gains any real traction, the inner machine of the DNC will rip him apart in favour of their chosen candidates.
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-47624326
And what do you think of your anti-Brexit, Irish and French allies saying that the bunker will keep you "as happy as David Cameron with a pig"?
They didn’t use to be like this before they merged with Betfair.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2OsF-tmGpQ
Really late to this. Some of us started in the autumn.
Remember when they got Farage to do a pro Europe one for the Ryder cup. Ryan Giggs brother doing one last month was also very funny.
I did notice that Piers Morgan's Ryder cup one didn't get many view though, no idea why.
Her candidacy continues to mystify.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/03/19/tulsi-gabbard-2020-campaign-1225758
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/joe-biden-and-bernie-sanders-are-too-old-to-be-president/2019/03/18/66f9a316-49ac-11e9-93d0-64dbcf38ba41_story.html
I'm not a Yang man (does that make me a Yin?). He looks like this year's profitable lay to me.
the protesters are conspiracy theorist group ‘Fighting For Justice’, sometimes known as ‘Justice For Our Boys’ who are often heard shouting outside Parliament. They have broken into the Attorney General’s office to demand an apology.
https://order-order.com/2019/03/19/conspiracy-theorists-break-attorney-generals-office/
FPT: Mr. F, congrats. What's the start of the period you'll be covering?
In short Yang is terrible news for Trump.
As an industry we've been warning for a good while (and I've reported so on here) as to the chaos and risk of catastrophe. I've sat in reception of two of our biggest supermarket chains over the last few weeks and heard sales people discussing various vary large food conglomerates struggling for supply of some specific ingredient or other. Remember that you only need to run out of one thing in a recipe or part of its packaging to not be able to supply that product. And what does short supply plus a spike in demand do to prices...?
If this government had set out to methodically cripple the food supply as a policy, it couldn't have been any more effective than reality has been.
Assuming, of course, Trump doesn't face a serious challenger in his own Primary season.
A minister told me: "Andrea was sitting there with a face like thunder. She went bonkers.
"She said she’d been on the phone to 40 ERGers [Tory Brexiter MPs] over the weekend and they are not moving. Her objection to the Cabinet was NOT about being ‘Remainers’ but about this being a Cabinet that won’t deliver on no-deal.
"Which Gove said at last cabinet was not what he campaigned for as former chairman of Vote Leave,” and leaves Leadsom stranded (my source says Leadsom is “very much in a minority”).
The irresponsible press has a field day whipping up hatred against judges, business people, entrepreneurs and any other person who questions the insanely damaging course we are currently following.
I simply do not understand why the Conservatives, far from facing absolute annihilation, are actually ahead in most polls.
When I speak to Conservatives I simply get a sense of utter despair: "We cannot go on like this". They are right, we can't. May is an inflexible dud as PM, BoJo a shallow sham, Rees Mogg a sinister crook. etc etc.
I guess all those "citizens of Nowhere" seem to have become citizens of Ireland.
In any event, he seems to be spending most of his time being goaded by George Conway, rather than honing his 'strategies'.
I looked at their page and the average figures for each constituency barely count as a subsample - their poll asked the question of 14,046 adults across 632 constituencies. That's 22.22 people per constituency.
Ironic as it may be, EU websites might not be compliant with the EU's own data protection rules.
https://www.zdnet.com/article/eu-government-websites-are-infested-with-third-party-trackers/
There may not be enough to change the 1922 rules though.
I think he needs a safe space.
Do do have to wonder about Shame. At which point does her self awareness, self pride and supposed concern for party and country kick in and make her decide to stop? At one end of the spectrum we have Estelle Morris, who harshly self assessed her own performance as Education Secretary and not only quit the post but quit politics. At the other end we have May. Brazen doesn't cover it.
*delete as appropriate
"Shame: No known contemporary definition. Last heard of in the 1960’s."
https://www.businessinsider.com/unemployment-in-the-uk-is-now-so-low-its-in-danger-of-exposing-the-lie-used-to-create-the-numbers-2017-7?r=US&IR=T
And, as it happens, real wages have started going up again.
That should focus minds
Incompetence isn't good. Incompetence plus a spike in anti-Semitism, plus the scourge of socialism is worse by far.
https://twitter.com/singharj/status/1108035331067121665
But, she speaks only for the ERG.
A delay of, let's say, 50 or so years would be preferable for anyone who is trying to make a hill of beans in this crazy world.
The deal is the only possible basis for orderly UK exit
There must be a purpose for the extension hinting at GE or referendum
desist or Ill send you a picture of a bus
The Tories are enabling an illiberal political culture to grow. They do not deserve to be forgiven for that.
Its good to see at least one Remainer threat come true
ERG have not only lost their dream they have trashed our image abroad
Remaining in the EU would be humilating and embarrassing and I still hope TM gets her deal through.
No, it's not all of it. But I can't match yours.
What about unreal wages?
The leavers have turned their beloved Great Britain into Little Britain.
(Which as well as being an unfunny TV comedy, is also a place on the Grand Union Canal near Cowley Peachy Junction. So Little Britain is on the way to the Slough of despond ...)