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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nigel Farage reportedly looking to do Corbyn’s dirty work and

SystemSystem Posts: 6,666
edited May 5 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nigel Farage reportedly looking to do Corbyn’s dirty work and help Labour gain Boris Johnson’s seat

This week’s Spectator reports that

Read the full story here


«134

Comments

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.
  • blueburnblueburn Posts: 14
    As opposed to the Remainer losers who will do everything to overturn the democratic vote of 2016....regardless of the destruction.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 13,728
    ' This would be an entirely destructive act by Farage. But that this idea is being discussed in his circle shows how serious they are about taking out the Tories. '

    And this shows the difference between Trump and Farage.

    Trump was able to partially take over the Republicans but realised the need to work with the rest of the party if he was going to achieve anything.

    Farage doesn't want to achieve anything - the posturing isn't a means to an end for him it is the end.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 43,472
    edited May 5
    > @ydoethur said:
    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.

    He had stood in a winnable seat before - South Thanet.
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,062
    edited May 5
    Sounds nonsense to me.

    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    kle4 said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.
    Has stoon in a winnable seat before - South Thanet.

    That was then.

    And it wasn't as winnable as all that, btw.
  • Isn't this just Darwinism in action? No party or politician has a right to survive.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 43,472
    > @ydoethur said:
    > > @ydoethur said:
    >
    > > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.
    > Has stoon in a winnable seat before - South Thanet.
    >
    > That was then.
    >
    > And it wasn't as winnable as all that, btw.

    He got within 3000 votes, that's definitely winnable territory
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    kle4 said:

    He got within 3000 votes, that's definitely winnable territory

    And he still lost.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 7,948
    kle4 said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Has stoon in a winnable seat before - South Thanet.

    Yes. And he believes himself to have been nobbled because the ballot boxes went on their holibobs before the result was announced. So I doubt he's too bothered about the niceties.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 11,066
    Who is the shadowy figure financing Farage someone asked on the previous thread......

  • FF43FF43 Posts: 8,515
    edited May 5
    Late thoughts on the local elections from former thread:

    Labour lost Remain voters without gaining Leavers. It's not so much a reaction against Brexit and certainly not a call to get Brexit done. Labour just doesn't have a compelling offer.

    Excellent result for the Lib Dems. They didn't just get a load of new councillors. Usefully they are piled up in particular areas. Expect to see a slew of MPs at the next election, which should also help replenish their depleted MP gene pool for future leadership.

    The Conservatives have lost their Costa Geriatrica strongholds like Bournemouth. Demographic changes as much as pissed off Remainers, I think.

    Further shift from Ulster unionist parties to Alliance and other non aligned parties are another baby step towards a United Ireland, I believe. Importantly these parties are anti Brexit and have Irish identity.



  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 21,587
    Interesting header.

    Strikes me that the person who gains most of this rumour spreading is Raab.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 21,587
    "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."

    The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.

    It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    FF43 said:

    Further shift from Ulster unionist parties to Alliance and other non aligned parties are another baby step towards a United Ireland, I believe. Importantly these parties are anti Brexit and have Irish identity.

    The whole point about the Alliance is that it takes no position on union with Britain or with Ireland, focusing instead on internal matters within Northern Ireland.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 13,728
    > @another_richard said:
    > ' This would be an entirely destructive act by Farage. But that this idea is being discussed in his circle shows how serious they are about taking out the Tories. '
    >
    > And this shows the difference between Trump and Farage.
    >
    > Trump was able to partially take over the Republicans but realised the need to work with the rest of the party if he was going to achieve anything.
    >
    > Farage doesn't want to achieve anything - the posturing isn't a means to an end for him it is the end.

    Now if Farage stood against Remainer Jo Johnson in Orpington you might argue he was supporting the Leave cause.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    As long as he didn't try to fly over it.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 13,728
    > @rottenborough said:
    > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."
    >
    > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.
    >
    > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    A bonkers national purity test on things few people give a toss about.

    I doubt any of the Farage's gang of posturers know anything about or have any dealings with exports / trade / customs etc.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 13,728
    edited May 5
    So when do the 'OLE OUT' calls start ?
  • StreeterStreeter Posts: 251

    "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."



    The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.



    It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    No, it’s some kind of bonkers purity test for the minority of the electorate that remain Leavers.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 2,149
    > @ydoethur said:
    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.

    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    Quincel said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.

    I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566
    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    Thats what he thought before...
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 9,270
    > @another_richard said:
    > So when do the 'OLE OUT' calls start ?

    My manager of the season award after today! Phew... a crumb after yesterday.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 393
    A toppling of a PM Boris by a Farage/Lab pincer movement would be rather more than a Portillo moment. PM decapitation by this means would be unparalleled. There is a lot of fun speculation in the article. maybe it will all be true.

    A comment on not being interested in creating, at the end of the article. TSE's 'feeling' is justified I am sure, but much more widely than his comment on Farage and leavers generally. Remainers have been conspicuously failed to do better than hide behind a 'no change' agenda. Where are the bold, democratic Remainers with their implementable and creative plans for an EU shaped more democratically in line with UK wishes? Where is the lively debate among Remainers about their competing visions of the best sort of Europe for the future? all hiding behind a fearful 'no change' agenda.

    Meanwhile the most creative thoughts actually on a real table anywhere about the future are those placed there by Mrs T May and her civil servants. If my maths is correct, on the second MV if all the Tories (including the absent one) had voted with her it would have won by about 1 vote and we would be making progress.

    Finally, it is a little unfair to attack Farage for being destructive. A Tory 'leave' government could and should have brought him into the tent via the House of Lords ages ago. He may have been found wanting at that point, but it has never been tested.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 13,728
    > @Foxy said:
    > Sounds nonsense to me.
    >
    >
    >
    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.
    >
    >
    >
    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......
    >
    >
    >
    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.
    >
    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    >
    > Thats what he thought before...

    Farage stood in Thanet previously.

    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.
  • StreeterStreeter Posts: 251
    ydoethur said:

    Quincel said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.

    I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
    Meanwhile on Planet Ydoethur, Caroline Lucas has just met the UK’s climate change target 20 years early.

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 7,948

    > @another_richard said:

    > ' This would be an entirely destructive act by Farage. But that this idea is being discussed in his circle shows how serious they are about taking out the Tories. '

    >

    > And this shows the difference between Trump and Farage.

    >

    > Trump was able to partially take over the Republicans but realised the need to work with the rest of the party if he was going to achieve anything.

    >

    > Farage doesn't want to achieve anything - the posturing isn't a means to an end for him it is the end.



    Now if Farage stood against Remainer Jo Johnson in Orpington you might argue he was supporting the Leave cause.

    Boris isn't a Leaver. He positioned himself as one to get the top job, and he'd unposition himself as one just as quickly.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566
    Streeter said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quincel said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.

    I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
    Meanwhile on Planet Ydoethur, Caroline Lucas has just met the UK’s climate change target 20 years early.

    To be fair, time travel and saving the earth is his bread and butter.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 24,657
    I expect we’ll hear a lot about where the wheel of fortune will take Nigel Farage at the next election. I would be reasonably confident that it will not be Uxbridge.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 2,149
    > @ydoethur said:
    > > @ydoethur said:
    >
    > > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.
    >
    >
    >
    > Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.
    >
    > I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)

    Wouldn't he just give anti-establishment speeches from within the HoC, like he has in the EU Parliament? No-one thinks Farage is a Eurocrat.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 7,948

    "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."



    The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.



    It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566

    I expect we’ll hear a lot about where the wheel of fortune will take Nigel Farage at the next election. I would be reasonably confident that it will not be Uxbridge.

    I agree, his eighth Westminster defeat will come elsewhere.

    The Faragists have a fervent base, but one with a low ceiling, so not enough in a seat even with split opposition.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 394
    Very strange, would be hard to get 600 quality candidates to sign up if the leader sacrifices himself on a petty vendetta against a man who many of the 600 would probably admire.

    Tactically he should be looking to recruit Boris and Rees-Mogg, 30-50 MPs would follow and it would be game on for being PM.
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    Thats what he thought before...
    What do you mean?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566
    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    Thats what he thought before...
    What do you mean?
    That he could win a seat in a Leave area.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 8,288
    Foxy said:

    Streeter said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quincel said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.

    I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
    Meanwhile on Planet Ydoethur, Caroline Lucas has just met the UK’s climate change target 20 years early.

    To be fair, time travel and saving the earth is his bread and butter.
    I got that reference... :)
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    edited May 5
    > @noneoftheabove said:
    > Very strange, would be hard to get 600 quality candidates to sign up if the leader sacrifices himself on a petty vendetta against a man who many of the 600 would probably admire.
    >
    > Tactically he should be looking to recruit Boris and Rees-Mogg, 30-50 MPs would follow and it would be game on for being PM.

    Reports today that JRM council turned lib dem in big way as conservative voters switched because they reject all JRM stands for. Indeed suggestion he could lose his seat at the next GE
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 8,288

    "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."



    The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.



    It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
    Are you trying to tell me that Leavers were OK with a deal until they discovered Remainers wanted one too?

    Nigel: "Yeah, we're OK with a deal"
    Aaron: "But the Remainers want a deal too! They think No Deal is terrible"
    Nigel "WE MUST STOP THEM! NO DEAL NOW!"
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 394
    > @Big_G_NorthWales said:
    > > @noneoftheabove said:
    > > Very strange, would be hard to get 600 quality candidates to sign up if the leader sacrifices himself on a petty vendetta against a man who many of the 600 would probably admire.
    > >
    > > Tactically he should be looking to recruit Boris and Rees-Mogg, 30-50 MPs would follow and it would be game on for being PM.
    >
    > Reports today that JRM council turned lib dem in big way as conservative voters switched because they reject all JRM stands for. Indeed suggestion he could lose his seat at the next GE

    Another reason why recruiting Boris and JRM could be possible, both are very vulnerable to a split Tory/Brexit vote and undoubtedly will have very high turnouts against them from remainers.

    Is switching to a safer seat something Boris could get away with in the Tory party if he became leader?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    edited May 5
    viewcode said:

    Foxy said:

    Streeter said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quincel said:

    > @ydoethur said:

    > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.



    Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.

    I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
    Meanwhile on Planet Ydoethur, Caroline Lucas has just met the UK’s climate change target 20 years early.

    To be fair, time travel and saving the earth is his bread and butter.
    I got that reference... :)
    I'm gallifreyed I didn't get the original comment, which made no sense. But then that's true of most comments from that poster, so I won't worry about that.

    John Higgins is doing rather well after the break. Three in a row and among the balls in frame 8.

    And as I type that, he misses.
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    Thats what he thought before...
    What do you mean?
    That he could win a seat in a Leave area.
    Swear on your life that's what you meant??? :smile:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    edited May 5

    conservative voters switched because they reject all JRM stands for.

    All of them ardent Brexiteers?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 3,978
    McDonnell is backing Byrne's selection bid for West Midlands Mayor Lab nomination. According to Byrne.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 17,513
    Brexit itself is more “destroying than creating”. So that leavers are interested in this is axiomatic.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171

    McDonnell is backing Byrne's selection bid for West Midlands Mayor Lab nomination. According to Byrne.

    Well, Macdonnell won't want embarrassing admissions about there being no money left if he becomes Chancellor, will he? So shunt him to Birmingham.

    He couldn't possibly be a more awful candidate than Sion Simon.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 4,467
    > @ydoethur said:
    > > @ydoethur said:
    >
    > > Why would Farage stand in a winnable seat? He might have to deliver on all the lies, ooops, promises he's made if he did.
    >
    >
    >
    > Why? He'd only be one MP. Surely we can't expect ever MP to deliver their entire manifesto.
    >
    > I don't expect any MP to deliver on any manifesto. It's just more or less his only selling point is he isn't one of the herd in the Commons. If he wins that goes. (That said, it doesn't seem to have hurt his fellow populist Corbyn.)
    >
    > Meanwhile on Planet Ydoethur, Caroline Lucas has just met the UK’s climate change target 20 years early.
    >
    >
    >
    > To be fair, time travel and saving the earth is his bread and butter.
    >
    > I got that reference... :)
    >
    > I'm gallifreyed I didn't get the original comment, which made no sense. But then that's true of most comments from that poster, so I won't worry about that.
    >
    > John Higgins is doing rather well after the break. Three in a row and among the balls in frame 8.
    >
    > And as I type that, he misses.

    Reckon we are on for a long last session tomorrow night. No clear Favourite emerging thus far.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    Trump wins the final frame, four all.
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 4,229
    Smart move by Nigel if true. All the other Tory leadership 'hopefuls' can be painted as identikit right-wing career robots - boring and a bit weird; Boris is just too colourful and haphazard for that. Obviously, if the Brexit Party won an majrity in this scenario Nigel would have to rule Britain from outside parliament as a kind of unofficial president. That would be a little strange and un-British, but I doubt either Nigel or his followers would be that bothered.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 8,515
    edited May 5
    ydoethur said:

    FF43 said:

    Further shift from Ulster unionist parties to Alliance and other non aligned parties are another baby step towards a United Ireland, I believe. Importantly these parties are anti Brexit and have Irish identity.

    The whole point about the Alliance is that it takes no position on union with Britain or with Ireland, focusing instead on internal matters within Northern Ireland.
    Yes. However going from unionism to neutrality is already half a step. From the opinion polls I have seen, Alliance and NI Green supporters are overwhelmingly aligned with Republicans on Brexit and Irish identity. If a chunk of them were previous unionists that implies a collective change of mind, to a certain degree.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
    They didn't win anything if they stood. Five independents replacing seven Kippers, with the other seats shared between Labour and the Tories.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566
    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    brendan16 said:

    Sounds nonsense to me.



    Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.



    Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......



    Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    Thurrock would be a walkover for him.
    Thats what he thought before...
    What do you mean?
    That he could win a seat in a Leave area.
    Swear on your life that's what you meant??? :smile:
    I mixed up Thanet and Thurrock, but the meaning was the same.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    > @ydoethur said:
    > conservative voters switched because they reject all JRM stands for.
    >
    > All of them ardent Brexiteers?

    I think that is the myth that the conservative rebellion is from brexiteers. There are many thousands of conservative voters who reject the brexiteers approach and last thursday evidenced that throughout the south

    TM is wrong when she says that the vote last thursday was a demand to get brexit over the line. It is more nuanced than that
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    dixiedean said:

    Reckon we are on for a long last session tomorrow night. No clear Favourite emerging thus far.

    No argument from me, although I would say either player is capable of suddenly running away with it.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171

    I think that is the myth that the conservative rebellion is from brexiteers. There are many thousands of conservative voters who reject the brexiteers approach and last thursday evidenced that throughout the south

    I was teasing Big_G. The implication being he is currently the reason we're remaining.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 8,566
    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
    One of the rare spots in Essex with no LD gains.
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
    One of the rare spots in Essex with no LD gains.
    No LD gains will do 👍🏻
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    Is he saying they have been Raabed of their senses?
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
    One of the rare spots in Essex with no LD gains.
    No LD gains will do 👍🏻
    In fact, Chelmsford aside, there were very few Lib Dem gains in Essex

    https://www.essexlive.news/news/essex-news/essex-local-elections-results-full-2827470
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    edited May 5
    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    > @Foxy said:

    > Sounds nonsense to me.

    >

    >

    >

    > Why would Farage want to stand in a London marginal against Boris when there a dozens if not hundreds of more lucrative seats where his message would resonate more effectively? He will stand outside the M25 if anywhere - a solid leave area in the shires with a pro remain MP.

    >

    >

    >

    > Of course if you were the Tories wanting to create a negative story about Farage it works wonders to circulate such rumours.......

    >

    >

    >

    > Boris like IDS and Villiers will probably lose anyway due to London's changing demographics - so the electorate will probably deliver this anyway.

    >

    > Thurrock would be a walkover for him.

    >

    > Thats what he thought before...



    Farage stood in Thanet previously.



    Though I don't think he wants to be in Parliament in any case.

    My mistake, though worth noting sweeping LD gains in Essex in the Locals.
    How did they do in Thurrock?
    One of the rare spots in Essex with no LD gains.
    No LD gains will do 👍🏻
    In fact, Chelmsford aside, there were very few Lib Dem gains in Essex

    https://www.essexlive.news/news/essex-news/essex-local-elections-results-full-2827470
    They didn't get my vote.

    That being said, they probably would have done if they'd actually bothered to stand.

    (Not that I'm in Essex of course!)
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 7,948
    viewcode said:

    "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."



    The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.



    It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
    Are you trying to tell me that Leavers were OK with a deal until they discovered Remainers wanted one too?

    Nigel: "Yeah, we're OK with a deal"
    Aaron: "But the Remainers want a deal too! They think No Deal is terrible"
    Nigel "WE MUST STOP THEM! NO DEAL NOW!"
    I'd never heard of Brexit without a withdrawal agreement until 'No deal' became a buzz phrase that everyone was squawking over and desperate to avoid at all costs. I doubt many had contemplated it.
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 1,332
    > @Big_G_NorthWales said:
    > > @ydoethur said:
    > > conservative voters switched because they reject all JRM stands for.
    > >
    > > All of them ardent Brexiteers?
    >
    > I think that is the myth that the conservative rebellion is from brexiteers. There are many thousands of conservative voters who reject the brexiteers approach and last thursday evidenced that throughout the south
    >
    > TM is wrong when she says that the vote last thursday was a demand to get brexit over the line. It is more nuanced than that

    I voted LD because of Brexit in last weeks elections instead of Tory. I know several others who did the same! It was the first time some had ever voted anything but Tory. Once you have strayed once it is easier to do so again!
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 4,229
    The rise of No-Deal Brexitism - from something unanimously dismissed by Leavers as a Remain bogeyman to their most adored orthodoxy - is one of the most bizarre and fascinating aspects of this whole saga. Someone should write a book about it one day.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 1,408
    > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."
    >
    >
    >
    > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.
    >
    >
    >
    > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.
    >
    > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.

    What a ludicrous post . When the no deal fantasists started pushing that what were Remainers supposed to do , stand there and say nothing .

    It’s no dealers that have further polarized the country . There is no mandate for no deal , Vote Leave promised a deal and an orderly exit, if people want no deal put it to a public vote .
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 3,978
    Locals added up by constituencies...

    (apologize in advance for any mistakes in summing up..)

    Wakefield constituency

    Lab 41.7
    Con 31.5
    UKIP 7.7
    Greens 7.7
    LD 7
    Others 4.4

    Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford

    Lab 39.9
    Con 17.4
    Yorkshire First 13.8
    LD 11.8
    UKIP 9.4
    Greens 1.1
    Others 6.5

    (generally Labour run close in many wards. Depending on the ward, either by Con, UKIP, LD, Yorkshire First or Ind. Ind and LD won one each)

    Hemsworth

    Lab 47.2
    Con 23.7
    LD 8.5
    Yorkshire First 6.4
    Greens 1.0
    Others 13.2

    Calder Valley

    Con 32.7%
    Lab 32.0%
    LD 15.4%
    Greens 11.6%
    Others 8.3%

    Halifax

    Lab 45.1%
    Con 27.6%
    LD 12.7%
    Greens 7.2%
    Others 7.4%

    Leigh constituency

    Lab 38.4%
    Con 21.3%
    UKIP 18%
    LD 1.4%
    Ind/Others 20.9%


    Makerfield constituency

    Lab 40.2%
    Con 12.7%
    UKIP 11.1%
    LD 4.4%
    Greens 4%
    Ind/Others 27.5%


    Wigan constituency

    Lab 47.6%
    UKIP 13.8%
    Con 11.9%
    LD 6.4%
    Greens 3.8%
    Ind/Others 16.5%

    Salford and Eccles

    Lab 44.6
    UKIP 16
    Greens 12.1
    Con 10.8
    LD 7.9
    Ind+Others 8.6%


    Worsley and Eccles South (minus Walkden South, where one candidate died)

    Lab 39.5%
    Con 23.4%
    UKIP 15.4%
    Greens 10.4%
    LD 1.4%
    Ind/Others 9.9%

    Rochdale parliamentary constituency


    Lab 52.7%
    LD 17.7%
    Con 16.3%
    UKIP 8.8%
    Green 4.5%

    Heywood and Middleton

    Lab 45.6%
    Con 27%
    UKIP 21.8%
    LD 3.6%
    Greens 2%

    Oldham West and Royton parliamentary constituency

    Labour 45.8%
    UKIP 10.7%
    Con 10.4%
    Greens 6.0%
    LD 5.8%
    Ind+Others 21.4%


    Oldham East and Saddleworth

    Lab 35.4%
    LD 22%
    Con 14.5%
    UKIP 10.3%
    Greens 1.4%
    Ind+Others 16.4%
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 2,589
    If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.

    Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171

    If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.

    Or the awesome moustaches.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 74,737
    I wonder what first attracted these two racists and bigots to Nigel Farage?

    There's some really nasty anti Semitism coming from one of them.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 7,948
    nico67 said:

    > @Luckyguy1983 said:

    > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."

    >

    >

    >

    > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.

    >

    >

    >

    > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    >

    > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.



    What a ludicrous post . When the no deal fantasists started pushing that what were Remainers supposed to do , stand there and say nothing .



    It’s no dealers that have further polarized the country . There is no mandate for no deal , Vote Leave promised a deal and an orderly exit, if people want no deal put it to a public vote .

    Remainers made No dealers. They created the No deal scenario, because once again, they thought the tactic of yelling at people that they didn't understand the terrible fate that awaited them was a good one, they just hadn't yelled loud enough the last time. Once they created the scenario, it inevitably came under attack.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171

    I wonder what first attracted these two racists and bigots to Nigel Farage?

    There's some really nasty anti Semitism coming from one of them.
    Perhaps they had no choice. I mean, we all know how serious the bigger parties are about stamping out anti-Semit...ahh.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 17,513
    > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."
    >
    >
    >
    > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.
    >
    >
    >
    > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.
    >
    > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
    >
    > Are you trying to tell me that Leavers were OK with a deal until they discovered Remainers wanted one too?
    >
    > Nigel: "Yeah, we're OK with a deal"
    > Aaron: "But the Remainers want a deal too! They think No Deal is terrible"
    > Nigel "WE MUST STOP THEM! NO DEAL NOW!"
    >
    > I'd never heard of Brexit without a withdrawal agreement until 'No deal' became a buzz phrase that everyone was squawking over and desperate to avoid at all costs. I doubt many had contemplated it.

    We didn’t need to when we were promised that a great deal would be the easiest thing in the world.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 1,408
    The Leave hypocrisy is vomit inducing .

    Before the EU ref some were pushing Norway and other close relationships with the EU now these are classed as heresy and betrayal .

    Farage and his bunch of cronies were always going to shout betrayal regardless of what was delivered .
  • The_TaxmanThe_Taxman Posts: 1,332
    edited May 5
    > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    > > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    >
    > > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.
    >
    > >
    >
    > > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
    >
    >
    >
    > What a ludicrous post . When the no deal fantasists started pushing that what were Remainers supposed to do , stand there and say nothing .
    >
    >
    >
    > It’s no dealers that have further polarized the country . There is no mandate for no deal , Vote Leave promised a deal and an orderly exit, if people want no deal put it to a public vote .
    >
    > Remainers made No dealers. They created the No deal scenario, because once again, they thought the tactic of yelling at people that they didn't understand the terrible fate that awaited them was a good one, they just hadn't yelled loud enough the last time. Once they created the scenario, it inevitably came under attack.

    The Tory press actually made the No Dealers. Basically, the press in this country dictates Brexit as they have at times everything else in the past. Why do you think the Brexit party has been projected in the way it has been? Simple the Tory press talking up the chances of the Brexit party and projecting a vote for it is a vote for No Deal Brexit. It is not rocket science...
  • rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 1,454
    > @anothernick said:
    > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.
    >
    > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.

    Did they all privately hope for the 52/48% result to be 48/52%? Then they could moan about the EU until the end of their careers - like Bill Cash has already done for 30 years - and not have any responsibility.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    That shot from Kevin O'Brien was not so much throwing his wicket away lightly as hurling it with great force.
  • mattmatt Posts: 2,805

    If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.



    Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.

    I’m not sure that they care so much about leaving the EU as destroying it. Having now found that Britain leaving has not led to [Ir/Ital/Gr/Hung/Pol/etc]exit they would now prefer to stay and be wilfully destructive and obnoxious from within.
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 2,589
    > @rural_voter said:
    > > @anothernick said:
    > > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.
    > >
    > > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.
    >
    > Did they all privately hope for the 52/48% result to be 48/52%? Then they could moan about the EU until the end of their careers - like Bill Cash has already done for 30 years - and not have any responsibility.

    Yes I think many of them probably did, Farage and Johnson among them.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    And now Wilson gets out.

    Turns out it's a nice pitch to bowl on if your name is Kemar Roach or Shannon Gabriel.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 6,942
    Uxbridge has actually been trending away from Labour since the late 1950s despite their good performance there in 2017.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 37,158
    > @anothernick said:
    > > @rural_voter said:
    > > > @anothernick said:
    > > > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.
    > > >
    > > > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.
    > >
    > > Did they all privately hope for the 52/48% result to be 48/52%? Then they could moan about the EU until the end of their careers - like Bill Cash has already done for 30 years - and not have any responsibility.
    >
    > Yes I think many of them probably did, Farage and Johnson among them.

    I just don't buy this. Farage has been campaigning for years to leave the EU. The idea he would actually want to lose the referendum is laughable.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 8,288
    edited May 5

    nico67 said:

    > @Luckyguy1983 said:

    > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."

    >

    >

    >

    > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.

    >

    >

    >

    > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.

    >

    > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.



    What a ludicrous post . When the no deal fantasists started pushing that what were Remainers supposed to do , stand there and say nothing .



    It’s no dealers that have further polarized the country . There is no mandate for no deal , Vote Leave promised a deal and an orderly exit, if people want no deal put it to a public vote .

    Remainers made No dealers. They created the No deal scenario, because once again, they thought the tactic of yelling at people that they didn't understand the terrible fate that awaited them was a good one, they just hadn't yelled loud enough the last time. Once they created the scenario, it inevitably came under attack.
    So in order to get Leavers to do something, all Remainers have to do is decry it.

    Thinks.

    Ah-ha!

    "'Remain and Complain' is a terrible idea! It will make your head fall off! We must not insult the Brussels Beaurocracy! We must not under any circumstances stay in the EU to bring it down from the inside! That would be terrible! Especially if we did it for five more years!"

    :)
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    > @nico67 said:
    > > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    > > "It is clear that a substantial minority of Leavers who view a No Deal Brexit as the only true Brexit and that anyone who compromises is betraying Brexit."
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > The fact that this statement seems true shows how mad the whole Brexit debate has become. Barely a handful of people would have thought that before the 2016 vote.
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > It is now some kind of bonkers national purity test.
    > >
    > > It's a situation for which Remainers are largely responsible. As their fallback position, they made No Deal into the same boogeyman scenario they tried to make leaving into, to try and scare people into the softest boiled brexit possible, or just remaining. By doing so, they attracted just the same defiant debunking and repudiation of their theories from Leavers as they got the first time they tried it. In other words, they made No Deal a thing. Deeply stupid people.
    >
    > What a ludicrous post . When the no deal fantasists started pushing that what were Remainers supposed to do , stand there and say nothing .
    >
    > It’s no dealers that have further polarized the country . There is no mandate for no deal , Vote Leave promised a deal and an orderly exit, if people want no deal put it to a public vote .

    Agreed
  • isamisam Posts: 26,541
    RobD said:

    > @anothernick said:

    > > @rural_voter said:

    > > > @anothernick said:

    > > > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.

    > > >

    > > > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.

    > >

    > > Did they all privately hope for the 52/48% result to be 48/52%? Then they could moan about the EU until the end of their careers - like Bill Cash has already done for 30 years - and not have any responsibility.

    >

    > Yes I think many of them probably did, Farage and Johnson among them.



    I just don't buy this. Farage has been campaigning for years to leave the EU. The idea he would actually want to lose the referendum is laughable.

    The type of overthinking that makes people enjoy analysing opinion polls to death, despite them being proven reverse indicators. The topic of the thread header is probably a bored journo’s daydream
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 74,737
    justin124 said:

    Uxbridge has actually been trending away from Labour since the late 1950s despite their good performance there in 2017.

    Sounds like fake news to me.

    Labour came within 700 odd votes of winning Uxbridge in 1997.
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 3,902

    If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.



    Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.

    Sounds good.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    > @Recidivist said:
    > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.
    >
    >
    >
    > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.
    >
    > Sounds good.

    Becoming increasingly likely
  • ExiledInScotlandExiledInScotland Posts: 866
    It’s too early to tell if/where NF would stand. I suggest it all depends on how high the Brexit party is polling near a GE. If low then he’d stand in a Clacton/ Lincolnshire seat, medium then go for this decapitation strategy, high then against the PM wherever they were
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 8,288
    RobD said:

    > @anothernick said:

    > > @rural_voter said:

    > > > @anothernick said:

    > > > If Farage stands against Johnson it really will be a case of the revolution eating its own. Stalin vs Trotsky without, one hopes, the ice pick.

    > > >

    > > > Leavers are going to destroy themselves and their cause and the UK is not going to leave the EU.

    > >

    > > Did they all privately hope for the 52/48% result to be 48/52%? Then they could moan about the EU until the end of their careers - like Bill Cash has already done for 30 years - and not have any responsibility.

    >

    > Yes I think many of them probably did, Farage and Johnson among them.



    I just don't buy this. Farage has been campaigning for years to leave the EU. The idea he would actually want to lose the referendum is laughable.

    Indeed. Farage attempts to do what he says he is going to do, and says out loud what he believes to be true. This is both his strength and his weakness.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 18,171
    Ireland getting an absolute shellacking here.

    What's interesting is how good the Windies' fielding has been. They have stopped well, caught well and have been intelligently placed. That's not been a feature of their game for years. A sign of more dedication?

    And Sussex had an even more disastrous time.

    But Somerset were just embarrassing. Were they Surrey in disguise?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    Has anyone considered that once the EU elections have taken place and UK MEP's are in Brussels the impetus to leave will dissipate and as we near 31st October another extension will be granted as it becomes even less likely we will ever leave.

    And that is even if the conservatives have a brexiteer PM
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 6,942
    > @TheScreamingEagles said:
    > Uxbridge has actually been trending away from Labour since the late 1950s despite their good performance there in 2017.
    >
    > Sounds like fake news to me.
    >
    > Labour came within 700 odd votes of winning Uxbridge in 1997.

    Uxbridge was Labour - held until falling to the Tories in 1959. They failed to regain the seat in 1964 and only narrowly did so in the 1966 landslide. The Tories easily recaptured the seat in 1970 and held the seat thereafter - including 1997.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 18,288
    > @Big_G_NorthWales said:
    > Has anyone considered that once the EU elections have taken place and UK MEP's are in Brussels the impetus to leave will dissipate and as we near 31st October another extension will be granted as it becomes even less likely we will ever leave.
    >
    > And that is even if the conservatives have a brexiteer PM

    Nope. Desperate wishful thinking there.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 2,354

    Has anyone considered that once the EU elections have taken place and UK MEP's are in Brussels the impetus to leave will dissipate and as we near 31st October another extension will be granted as it becomes even less likely we will ever leave.



    And that is even if the conservatives have a brexiteer PM

    I think it will be quite the opposite of what you say.
    The MEPs will create ructions in Brussels and Strasbourg which will be widely reported, and there will be reactions from Verhoffstadt and the new masters in the Berlaymont which will also be widely reported.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 869
    John Hendry
    @johnhendry73
    5h5 hours ago

    Is it true?

    I'm hearing rumours today that Macron is on the verge of resigning.

    Limited reports that French Media have been told to clear their network schedules at 1900 CET.

    If true, It looks like that #giletjaunes may have have prevailed
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 23,818
    > @Richard_Tyndall said:
    > > @Big_G_NorthWales said:
    > > Has anyone considered that once the EU elections have taken place and UK MEP's are in Brussels the impetus to leave will dissipate and as we near 31st October another extension will be granted as it becomes even less likely we will ever leave.
    > >
    > > And that is even if the conservatives have a brexiteer PM
    >
    > Nope. Desperate wishful thinking there.

    Well maybe you should
This discussion has been closed.