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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Euro elections – what we know about turnout local authorit

SystemSystem Posts: 11,005
edited May 2019 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Euro elections – what we know about turnout local authority by local authority

Final table for a few hours. 132 councils with their 2016 remain %. Sorted by the increase in turnout yesterday compared to last euros. pic.twitter.com/kXxO1jhawa

Read the full story here


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  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    BXP has won!!!!!!!
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624
    edited May 2019
    Ave_it said:

    BXP has won!!!!!!!

    Too bad Brexit has been lost by the very fact of the elections taking place, eh? But Farage cares more about protest votes than Brexit, so good news for BXP, if not Brexit.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Ave it has it!!!
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624
    Didn't realise Wiltshire had risen quite so much. Not hugely leavey in the referendum, but edged it. I did kind of expect a good turnout from the verification, some of the boxes were jam packed.
  • Options
    MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    > @Ave_it said:
    > BXP has won!!!!!!!

    Better than Watford!
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624
    edited May 2019
    glw said:

    IanB2 said:

    Newsnight now taking the p**s out of Francois and he doesn’t even realise.

    [Francois] is a deeply stupid man.
    Presumably, therefore, he is just the man who needs to put his name forward for the leadership?
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    tomorrow it's time for

    Slovakia
    Malta
    Latvia
    Czech Republic (second day of voting)

    Martinique
    Guadaloupe
    Guayana
    St Martin
    St Barthelemy
    St Pierre et Miquelon
    Polynesie Fracanise
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,940
    Anyone know what #15 "Tyne" is? South Tyneside is elsewhere on the list. Would that be Newcastle or N Tyneside?
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    After Brexit the redistribution of seats will be as follow

    Spain +5
    France +5
    Italy +3
    Netherlands +3
    Ireland +2
    Poland +1
    Sweden +1
    Austria +1
    Denmark +1
    Slovakia +1
    Croatia +1
    Estonia +1

    Other countries unchanged
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2019
    > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > After Brexit the redistribution of seats will be as follow
    >
    > Spain +5
    > France +5
    > Italy +3
    > Netherlands +3
    > Ireland +2
    > Poland +1
    > Sweden +1
    > Austria +1
    > Denmark +1
    > Slovakia +1
    > Croatia +1
    > Estonia +1
    >
    > Other countries unchanged

    Why doesn't Germany get any extra seats?
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,504
    > @MikeSmithson said:
    > > @Ave_it said:
    > > BXP has won!!!!!!!
    >
    > Better than Watford!

    Watford exited Europe very successfully!
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Newcastle. Norty Tyneside is at 34.9%

    > @dixiedean said:
    > Anyone know what #15 "Tyne" is? South Tyneside is elsewhere on the list. Would that be Newcastle or N Tyneside?
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    Distinct lack of big city / metro counts yet. I don't suppose there's any great reason to assume that the trend will be much different from the rest though in terms of the Remaininess - turnout relationship.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,175
    I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.

    I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.

    She deserves our respect.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624

    > @SandyRentool said:

    > Saw Jess Phillips on HIGNFY. She is everything that May isn't. She's also everything that Jezza isn't. We could do a lot worse.



    Tough on Corbyn, Tough on the causes of Corbyn

    Genuine question: in what way is she tough on the causes of Corbyn? I mean, I presume she still passionately campaigns for a Labour government which he would lead, and while I'd hardly expect a passionate Labour supporter to go Tigger just because they dislike Corbyn, I am curious what is she doing, what can she do, to be tough on the causes of Corbyn?

    Substitite Tory for Labour and Boris for Corbyn for a follow up question to be applied to many a 'moderate' Tory.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    There is a rule in the EU Treaty that no country should have more than 96 seats. And they are already at 96


    > @AndyJS said:
    > > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > > After Brexit the redistribution of seats will be as follow
    > >
    > > Spain +5
    > > France +5
    > > Italy +3
    > > Netherlands +3
    > > Ireland +2
    > > Poland +1
    > > Sweden +1
    > > Austria +1
    > > Denmark +1
    > > Slovakia +1
    > > Croatia +1
    > > Estonia +1
    > >
    > > Other countries unchanged
    >
    > Why doesn't Germany get any extra seats?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624

    tomorrow it's time for



    Slovakia

    Malta

    Latvia

    Czech Republic (second day of voting)



    Martinique

    Guadaloupe

    Guayana

    St Martin

    St Barthelemy

    St Pierre et Miquelon

    Polynesie Fracanise

    The French islands not voting at the same time as mainland France? Logistical issue?
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    Otherwise UK would have imposed to wait to publish results until the last bureau of Guayane close!

    You are already the only one waiting for Italy. Waiting for Guyane and co would have been too much for all British anoraks

    > @kle4 said:
    > tomorrow it's time for

    >
    > The French islands not voting at the same time as mainland France? Logistical issue?
  • Options
    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Watford top 11!

    Burnley down next season with the Brighton! :lol:

    > @MikeSmithson said:
    > > @Ave_it said:
    > > BXP has won!!!!!!!
    >
    > Better than Watford!
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    >
    > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    >
    > She deserves our respect.

    Absolutely

    There has been a lot of very nasty, personal comments made about her tears. No-one is demanding that anyone has sympathy for her as a politician. But on a basic human level, it is absolutely right to acknowledge her sense of duty and determination to do her very best.

    It wasn't enough and she made many mistakes along the way. But I hope she has the company of good friends and family over the coming weeks - she will need their support, love and kindness.

    We are all very capable of being less than civil towards people with whom we disagree politically. But there are times to put the political to one side for a moment. When someone breaks down like that, it is one of those times.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,504
    > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    >
    > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    >
    > She deserves our respect.

    If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.

    She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.

    No respect from me.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,215
    > @kle4 said:
    > Newsnight now taking the p**s out of Francois and he doesn’t even realise.
    >
    > [Francois] is a deeply stupid man.
    >
    > Presumably, therefore, he is just the man who needs to put his name forward for the leadership?

    He’s found someone even more stupid to vote for.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011
    edited May 2019
    > @Foxy said:
    >
    > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    >
    > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    >
    > No respect from me.

    If she'd handed over to a no-dealer 5 months ago we could have currently been dealing with the mess of no deal.
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,504
    > @williamglenn said:
    > > @Foxy said:
    > >
    > > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    > >
    > > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    > >
    > > No respect from me.
    >
    > If she'd handed over to a no-dealer 5 months ago we could have currently been dealing with the mess of no deal.

    I take your point. Her complete ineptness at the Brexit process is a rare positive, but clearly despite rather than because of her best efforts

    If I had one positive about her it is that she made the libra tissue glucose monitor available on the NHS. I cannot think of another.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,175
    > @Foxy said:
    > > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    > >
    > > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    > >
    > > She deserves our respect.
    >
    > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    >
    > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    >
    > No respect from me.

    They are her failings as a politician. Which are many. And yes, her failings as a person when it comes to things like emotional intelligence. I get that. I've been on the receiving end of bosses with no EI. But they remain people, and part of being a socialist is that I care for people. May is a Tory, and a somewhat cold and calculating Tory at that.

    But set party politics aside and what do we find. A person. In agony. Having forced herself to stay despite sanity demanding she quit, having long since privately understood it's over. I personally would hate to be an MP. It's an awful job. Then we have ministers. Under the spotlight for all they say and do. Or worse all they don't say or do.

    Think how bad it is to be Prime Minister. It's not like they get remunerated sufficiently for the pressure and hours
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,899
    Britain seems to be the only country in the entire EU that has transposed EU election law into banning any sort of exit poll before the results start to come in.

    Sums us up really.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,200
    @Sandpit said:

    Pulpstar said:

    > @Alistair said:

    > rcs1000: can you change your Brexit Party forecast to 29.99%?

    >

    > 29.98 to be safe



    Memories of SNP Scotland 49.97%

    Didn’t Lab get 39.99 at the 2017 GE too?
    39.9882263526249%
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,899
    Revolting, I'll vote for Mann if that clown is in charge of the Tories.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    Pulpstar said:

    Revolting, I'll vote for Mann if that clown is in charge of the Tories.
    The "in charge" bit might be a sticking point. Wandering around, quoting Gibbons fall of Rome and some latin verse is not quite being in charge.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 39,954
    > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    >
    > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    >
    > She deserves our respect.


    She may deserve a quiver of human sympathy, but respect has some higher preconditions as far as I'm concerned. It was only May's obfuscations, striving and submerged ambition that got her to the point she reached today.
  • Options
    nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    > @williamglenn said:
    > > @Foxy said:
    > >
    > > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    > >
    > > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    > >
    > > No respect from me.
    >
    > If she'd handed over to a no-dealer 5 months ago we could have currently been dealing with the mess of no deal.

    Exactly .

    I think May has made countless mistakes and failed to try and unite the country . But at least her legacy won’t be crashing the UK out of the EU .

    When push came to shove she saw the damage that would do especially to the peace process in NI and said no.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    I shed a tear when Spurs got to the Champions League Final. It’s the first time I’ve cried for years. It was a spontaneous, involuntary release of emotion. I would hate anyone to think this means I don’t give a shit about things that are actually much more important.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    Blimey, looking at the front pages - who can ever doubt that frontline politics is utterly brutal.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,918
    > @Foxy said:
    > > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    > >
    > > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    > >
    > > She deserves our respect.
    >
    > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    >
    > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    >
    > No respect from me.

    Me neither I am afraid. And not because of anything to do with Brexit per se. The amount of harm she has done to innocent people whose only 'crime' was to come from another country and then settle here in the UK is atrocious. I think it goes beyond a 'tin ear' or lack of emotional intelligence. I genuinely believe she saw immigrants, whatever their status, as an easy target and so used her ability to harass and drive them out of the country as a means to gain political kudos.

    I know earlier I said she was xenophobic and perhaps that was unfair. But she has used harming a particular set of people who are as British as I am as a means to further her political career. For that reason if no other she deserves no sympathy.
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    CatManCatMan Posts: 2,763
    I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,936
    Very interesting table. The shires turnout seems to have gone up. Add to that the huge switch that that polls give us to expect from Tory to BXP, and I think the upper end of their expectations is probably likely. This also tallies with personal experience in my part of the SW; lots of Always Tories I've spoken to, however they voted in the Ref, voted BXP out of total frustration with Westminster.

    Given the growth in vote in most cities, and similar expectations of Labour leakage to LD, I'm expecting the Libs to notch up a good performance too as the obvious voice of Remain amongst none Tories.

    I'm sticking to my previous predictions - Tories and Lab down on 7ish% each, both behind Greens, BXP on 40ish, Libs on mid 20s.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    CatMan said:

    I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May

    Genuine :lol:

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,624
    So nice to see that people are unwilling to find any compassion, not even a smidge, even for their worst enemy, indeed, wear that as a mark of pride. Heartwarming.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    Mrs May is of course shortly to be a citizen of a small village in Snowdonia.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @CatMan said:
    > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May

    As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,936
    > @kle4 said:
    > So nice to see that people are unwilling to find any compassion, not even a smidge, even for their worst enemy, indeed, wear that as a mark of pride. Heartwarming.

    Pretty grim isn't it.

    I shed a tear when Brown resigned. It was the most human of all his speeches, and I was genuinely sad to see him go - despite working for years to help get a Tory victory.

    Mrs May has done her duty, in difficult times, I suspect to huge personal cost - but the way that events conspired meant her way wasn't to be, and I'm pleased that she has finally done the right thing and resigned. We should be grateful that people are willing to devote their lives in the hope of improving the lives of others - if we lose that sense of gratitude I suspect society would be much poorer for it.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @CatMan said:
    > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    >
    > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you

    Out of interest what was it about that post that was *patronising*? Or is identifying as a citizen of nowhere inherently patronising???
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @CatMan said:
    > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    >
    > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you

    A minority of snowflakes will continue to feel betrayed and furious about stuff they can’t quite put their fingers on. The rest of us - the majority - won’t.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    HYUFD said:
    My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.

    Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > > @Foxy said:
    > > > @RochdalePioneers said:
    > > > I've just seen her speech for the first time. She filled up, turned and marched at speed into Downing Street where I expect she cried. When you feel emotional it's hard not to crack - I did a couple of weeks back during my best man speech for an old friend.
    > > >
    > > > I've heard lots of negative comments today about her emotion, and seen the photos taken. She may be an utterly shit politician. But she remains a living feeling human who has continued on with her sense of duty long after most people would have quit.
    > > >
    > > > She deserves our respect.
    > >
    > > If she had gone 5 months ago, possibly.
    > >
    > > She has a tin ear, and demonstrated it by not knowing when it was time to go. She has failed at everything that she has attempted in her short premiership, before handing over to a fuckwit.
    > >
    > > No respect from me.
    >
    > They are her failings as a politician. Which are many. And yes, her failings as a person when it comes to things like emotional intelligence. I get that. I've been on the receiving end of bosses with no EI. But they remain people, and part of being a socialist is that I care for people. May is a Tory, and a somewhat cold and calculating Tory at that.
    >
    > But set party politics aside and what do we find. A person. In agony. Having forced herself to stay despite sanity demanding she quit, having long since privately understood it's over. I personally would hate to be an MP. It's an awful job. Then we have ministers. Under the spotlight for all they say and do. Or worse all they don't say or do.
    >
    > Think how bad it is to be Prime Minister. It's not like they get remunerated sufficiently for the pressure and hours

    Think of how many innocent people she squashed getting there, and whilst there.
    The pain of a bruised ego will heal. She will be ok. All that's happened is someone has gone from being stupendously privileged to merely very privileged. It's a demotion she richly deserved.
  • Options
    DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 706
    > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > Otherwise UK would have imposed to wait to publish results until the last bureau of Guayane close!
    >
    > You are already the only one waiting for Italy. Waiting for Guyane and co would have been too much for all British anoraks
    >
    > > @kle4 said:
    > > tomorrow it's time for
    >
    > >
    > > The French islands not voting at the same time as mainland France? Logistical issue?
    >
    >

    So Andrea, all other countries start counting and releasing results as soon as they finish on Sunday? eg Germany 6pm local, France/Spain 8pm - is that right? UK only country to wait for Italy closing at 11pm local time??!! :(
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @rottenborough said:
    > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    >
    >
    >
    > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    >
    > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.

    Brown was the worst PM in half a century
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @SouthamObserver said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > >
    > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    >
    > A minority of snowflakes will continue to feel betrayed and furious about stuff they can’t quite put their fingers on. The rest of us - the majority - won’t.

    The fact you still think the metropolitan liberal elite constitutes the majority of the country shows you have still learnt nothing from the Leave vote and explains why the Brexit Party will top the poll on Sunday
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    > @edmundintokyo said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > >
    > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    >
    > Out of interest what was it about that post that was *patronising*? Or is identifying as a citizen of nowhere inherently patronising???

    It wasn’t. It’s just that HYUFD is learning conversational ERG as that’s what his unwavering, unconditional support for his team requires.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    No offence to Rory, who I have bet on and would personally like to see go a long way in this, but a bit surprising to see he is on similar odds to Javid.

    What a difference a few weeks makes.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @edmundintokyo said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > >
    > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    >
    > Out of interest what was it about that post that was *patronising*? Or is identifying as a citizen of nowhere inherently patronising???

    By its very definition it was meant to express the inherent superiority of a pro globalisation liberal elite
  • Options
    brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315

    > @AndreaParma_82 said:

    > Otherwise UK would have imposed to wait to publish results until the last bureau of Guayane close!

    >

    > You are already the only one waiting for Italy. Waiting for Guyane and co would have been too much for all British anoraks

    >

    > > @kle4 said:

    > > tomorrow it's time for

    >

    > >

    > > The French islands not voting at the same time as mainland France? Logistical issue?

    >

    >



    So Andrea, all other countries start counting and releasing results as soon as they finish on Sunday? eg Germany 6pm local, France/Spain 8pm - is that right? UK only country to wait for Italy closing at 11pm local time??!! :(

    But we like late nights and declarations at 3am. Just the way we are.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141
    > @HYUFD said:
    > By its very definition it was meant to express the inherent superiority of a pro globalisation liberal elite

    You are hallucinating victimhood.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @rottenborough said:
    > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > >
    > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    >
    > Brown was the worst PM in half a century

    After the debacle of the last five years it takes gall and/or blindness to keep saying that.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @edmundintokyo said:
    > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > > >
    > > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    > >
    > > Out of interest what was it about that post that was *patronising*? Or is identifying as a citizen of nowhere inherently patronising???
    >
    > By its very definition it was meant to express the inherent superiority of a pro globalisation liberal elite

    Wonderful stuff!!
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    HYUFD said:

    > @rottenborough said:

    >



    >

    >

    >

    > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.

    >

    > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.



    Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    It depends whether we are talking strictly about time as PM. Brown was a tower during the 1990s in the run up to 1997 win. I think everyone forgets him demolishing the Major government, day after day, in Commons, whilst also preparing policy and manifesto etc.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @SouthamObserver said:
    > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > > >
    > > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    > >
    > > A minority of snowflakes will continue to feel betrayed and furious about stuff they can’t quite put their fingers on. The rest of us - the majority - won’t.
    >
    > The fact you still think the metropolitan liberal elite constitutes the majority of the country shows you have still learnt nothing from the Leave vote and explains why the Brexit Party will top the poll on Sunday

    They will not get close to 50% and so do not represent the majority. The fact you don’t understand that demonstrates that your sole interest is in appeasing a minority because it might help your team to win.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,920
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @rottenborough said:
    > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > >
    > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    >
    > Brown was the worst PM in half a century

    Since Churchill, huh?
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011
    edited May 2019
    > @HYUFD said:
    >
    > The fact you still think the metropolitan liberal elite constitutes the majority of the country shows you have still learnt nothing from the Leave vote and explains why the Brexit Party will top the poll on Sunday

    This grotesque mischaracterisation of Leave and Remain voters explains why the Conservative Party is doomed to oblivion.
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    Exit polls are expected at 6pm for Germany, Austria, etc. Count starts immediately.


    EU expect the following timetable:
    https://www.europarl.europa.eu/resources/library/media/20190521RES52073/20190521RES52073.pdf


    > @DoubleCarpet said:
    > > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > > Otherwise UK would have imposed to wait to publish results until the last bureau of Guayane close!
    > >
    > > You are already the only one waiting for Italy. Waiting for Guyane and co would have been too much for all British anoraks
    > >
    > > > @kle4 said:
    > > > tomorrow it's time for
    > >
    > > >
    > > > The French islands not voting at the same time as mainland France? Logistical issue?
    > >
    > >
    >
    > So Andrea, all other countries start counting and releasing results as soon as they finish on Sunday? eg Germany 6pm local, France/Spain 8pm - is that right? UK only country to wait for Italy closing at 11pm local time??!! :(
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    The unwillingness of a number of people (on here and elsewhere) to refuse to look beyond the political to the human is dispiriting.

    We have enough problems getting people of talent to enter public service without further compounding the issue by refusing to see that politicians of every shade are also human beings with emotions, feelings and frailties.

    Yes, argue about priorities, policies and positions. Question motives.

    But we have to acknowledge the public service in high political office takes a human toll.

    For all her failings, Theresa May showed the emotional impact that the job has taken on her. It was a very natural and human reaction - she is not a good enough actor to fake that.

    For all his failings, Jeremy Corbyn must find the pressures of being LOTO challenging to deal with at times. Can I despise what he stands for and at the same time acknowledge that some of the things he has endured will have come at no little personal, human cost? Of course.

    Corbyn has failed to live up to his claim to wanting to deliver a kinder, gentler politics. But that doesn't mean the rest of us should stop trying.

    If we want a functional political class - and I think that is something we all should be able to agree on - we have to allow for some level of human frailty and allow some compassion. We don't have to forgive everything, we don't have to forget it either.

    But our politicians will never be perfect. We do have to hold them to a higher standard because they seek to govern us. But we also have to acknowledge their humanity from time to time.

    Not everything is political. Nor should it ever be.
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @edmundintokyo said:
    > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > > >
    > > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    > >
    > > Out of interest what was it about that post that was *patronising*? Or is identifying as a citizen of nowhere inherently patronising???
    >
    > By its very definition it was meant to express the inherent superiority of a pro globalisation liberal elite

    Alright Viktor Orbán, calm down
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    > @edmundintokyo said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > By its very definition it was meant to express the inherent superiority of a pro globalisation liberal elite
    >
    > You are hallucinating victimhood.

    Betrayal and victimhood are addictive, but you can’t build a country at ease with itself on the back of them.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    Cameron made an unforced error for pure party gain He secured a few extra votes by selling out to his eurosceptic right wing and plunged the country into this enduring nightmare. By far the worst pm of my lifetime. Mays earnest incompetence is comparatively benign.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    Away from the May-hem, new betting opps folks:

    https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1132027463297523712
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,940
    > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > Newcastle. Norty Tyneside is at 34.9%
    >
    > > @dixiedean said:
    > > Anyone know what #15 "Tyne" is? South Tyneside is elsewhere on the list. Would that be Newcastle or N Tyneside?
    >
    >

    Cheers.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @williamglenn said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > >
    > > The fact you still think the metropolitan liberal elite constitutes the majority of the country shows you have still learnt nothing from the Leave vote and explains why the Brexit Party will top the poll on Sunday
    >
    > This grotesque mischaracterisation of Leave and Remain voters explains why the Conservative Party is doomed to oblivion.

    No, it shows why your vision of eternal Tory Heathism does not connect with the mood of the times as Mattthew Godwin has amply demonstrated
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,899
    > @rottenborough said:
    > Away from the May-hem, new betting opps folks:
    >
    > https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/1132027463297523712

    It'd be funny if one of the debates was Sanders, Biden, Warren and Buttigieg
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    edited May 2019
    > @Jonathan said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > > >
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > > >
    > > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    > >
    > > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    >
    > After the debacle of the last five years it takes gall and/or blindness to keep saying that.

    It was Brown who overspent and failed to control immigration and let the banks run riot and created the conditions for the populist unrest which produced Corbyn and Brexit in the first plave
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @Jonathan said:
    > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > > > >
    > > > >
    > > > >
    > > > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > > > >
    > > > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    > > >
    > > > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    > >
    > > After the debacle of the last five years it takes gall and/or blindness to keep saying that.
    >
    > It was Brown who overspend and failed to control immigration and let the banks run riot and created the conditions for the populist unrest which produced Corbyn and Brexit in the first plave

    Total crap.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @SouthamObserver said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @SouthamObserver said:
    > > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > > @CatMan said:
    > > > > > I'm a citizen of nowhere, so I have sod all compassion for May
    > > > >
    > > > > As Sunday will prove citizens of somewhere are still fed up with being patronised by the likes of you
    > > >
    > > > A minority of snowflakes will continue to feel betrayed and furious about stuff they can’t quite put their fingers on. The rest of us - the majority - won’t.
    > >
    > > The fact you still think the metropolitan liberal elite constitutes the majority of the country shows you have still learnt nothing from the Leave vote and explains why the Brexit Party will top the poll on Sunday
    >
    > They will not get close to 50% and so do not represent the majority. The fact you don’t understand that demonstrates that your sole interest is in appeasing a minority because it might help your team to win.

    It is 50% Leave 50 % Remain with Survation today and Survation had Remain ahead in its final pre EU referendum poll
  • Options
    John_McLeanJohn_McLean Posts: 71
    > @rottenborough said:
    > > @rottenborough said:
    >
    > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    >
    >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    >
    > >
    >
    > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    >
    >
    >
    > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    >
    > It depends whether we are talking strictly about time as PM. Brown was a tower during the 1990s in the run up to 1997 win. I think everyone forgets him demolishing the Major government, day after day, in Commons, whilst also preparing policy and manifesto etc.

    Brown has the intellect that Blair could only assume he has. Blair is a second rate politician who was lucky to have a first rate team to back him. Unfortunately, Brown ended up with a second rate team who could not keep up with him.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,918
    > @oxfordsimon said:
    > The unwillingness of a number of people (on here and elsewhere) to refuse to look beyond the political to the human is dispiriting.
    >
    > We have enough problems getting people of talent to enter public service without further compounding the issue by refusing to see that politicians of every shade are also human beings with emotions, feelings and frailties.
    >
    > Yes, argue about priorities, policies and positions. Question motives.
    >
    > But we have to acknowledge the public service in high political office takes a human toll.
    >
    > For all her failings, Theresa May showed the emotional impact that the job has taken on her. It was a very natural and human reaction - she is not a good enough actor to fake that.
    >
    > For all his failings, Jeremy Corbyn must find the pressures of being LOTO challenging to deal with at times. Can I despise what he stands for and at the same time acknowledge that some of the things he has endured will have come at no little personal, human cost? Of course.
    >
    > Corbyn has failed to live up to his claim to wanting to deliver a kinder, gentler politics. But that doesn't mean the rest of us should stop trying.
    >
    > If we want a functional political class - and I think that is something we all should be able to agree on - we have to allow for some level of human frailty and allow some compassion. We don't have to forgive everything, we don't have to forget it either.
    >
    > But our politicians will never be perfect. We do have to hold them to a higher standard because they seek to govern us. But we also have to acknowledge their humanity from time to time.
    >
    > Not everything is political. Nor should it ever be.

    Nobody forces these people to take these jobs. And everyone should know the sorts of pressures they entail. Moreover no one forces these people to walk all over others to gain high office. They choose to do that themselves and so are not deserving of sympathy when they fall from power into a life of wealth and security that few people can even begin to dream of.

    Her tears today were self pity when they should have been of shame.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011
    > @HYUFD said:
    >
    > It is 50% Leave 50 % Remain with Survation today and Survation had Remain ahead in its final pre EU referendum poll

    Survation's final poll for the European elections has the Lib Dems on 12% behind the Conservatives and Labour. We'll find out shortly how accurate their weightings are.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,918
    > @Jonathan said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > @Jonathan said:
    > > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > > > > >
    > > > > >
    > > > > >
    > > > > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > > > > >
    > > > > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    > > > >
    > > > > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    > > >
    > > > After the debacle of the last five years it takes gall and/or blindness to keep saying that.
    > >
    > > It was Brown who overspend and failed to control immigration and let the banks run riot and created the conditions for the populist unrest which produced Corbyn and Brexit in the first plave
    >
    > Total crap.

    Nope I would suggest that is pretty accurate. He and May vie for worst PM in the post war era.
  • Options
    ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    edited May 2019
    > @RochdalePioneers said:

    > But they remain people, and part of being a socialist is that I care for people.
    > Think how bad it is to be Prime Minister. It's not like they get remunerated sufficiently for the pressure and hours <

    +++++

    "part of being a socialist is that I care for people"

    Really??!!! Only socialists "care for people"?

    PUKE. VOM. UGH.

    "Part of being me is that I am lovely and care a lot, it comes with being me"

    Go screw yourself you stupid, narcissistic, embarrassing, wanky, idiotic, self congratulating pillock.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited May 2019
    How Trump Is Outspending Every 2020 Democrat on Facebook

    President Trump’s re-election campaign has spent far more than any single Democratic presidential candidate on Facebook advertising, reprising a strategy that was central to his 2016 victory.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/05/21/us/politics/trump-2020-facebook-ads.html
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,789
    kle4 said:

    So nice to see that people are unwilling to find any compassion, not even a smidge, even for their worst enemy, indeed, wear that as a mark of pride. Heartwarming.

    The lower the stakes, the more vicious the hate
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    > @Richard_Tyndall said:

    >
    > Nobody forces these people to take these jobs. And everyone should know the sorts of pressures they entail. Moreover no one forces these people to walk all over others to gain high office. They choose to do that themselves and so are not deserving of sympathy when they fall from power into a life of wealth and security that few people can even begin to dream of.
    >
    > Her tears today were self pity when they should have been of shame.

    You have absolutely no evidence for that assertion. You are projecting your own prejudices on the situation. And that says more about you than anything else.

    As regards the pressures, there is some truth in that - but until you have lived the life, you cannot really appreciate what it actually entails. You can think you are prepared, but I suspect nothing can adequately prepare you for it. And we need people prepared to step up to the plate.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152

    How Trump Is Outspending Every 2020 Democrat on Facebook



    President Trump’s re-election campaign has spent far more than any single Democratic presidential candidate on Facebook advertising, reprising a strategy that was central to his 2016 victory.



    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/05/21/us/politics/trump-2020-facebook-ads.html

    Paid for in Roubles?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    > @John_McLean said:
    > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > @rottenborough said:
    > >
    > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    > >
    > >
    > >
    > > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    > >
    > > It depends whether we are talking strictly about time as PM. Brown was a tower during the 1990s in the run up to 1997 win. I think everyone forgets him demolishing the Major government, day after day, in Commons, whilst also preparing policy and manifesto etc.
    >
    > Brown has the intellect that Blair could only assume he has. Blair is a second rate politician who was lucky to have a first rate team to back him. Unfortunately, Brown ended up with a second rate team who could not keep up with him.

    Blair was a first rank PM much as I disagreed with him, along with Thatcher the only first rank PM of my lifetime.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    Is Michael Crick suggesting Boris is going to be Macmillan to Mays Eden? :D
  • Options
    ah009ah009 Posts: 436
    > @HYUFD said:
    > > @John_McLean said:
    > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > > > @rottenborough said:
    > > >
    > > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123
    > > >
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > >
    > > >
    > > > >
    > > >
    > > > >
    > > >
    > > > > My objection to this is that Brown was not a lesser figure. A good chunk, maybe the bulk, of New Labour policy and conception was driven by Brown, relentlessly. Even the 'tough on crime' etc etc was his.
    > > >
    > > > >
    > > >
    > > > > Blair would have never amounted to anything if they had not happened to share an office. Discuss.
    > > >
    > > >
    > > >
    > > > Brown was the worst PM in half a century
    > > >
    > > > It depends whether we are talking strictly about time as PM. Brown was a tower during the 1990s in the run up to 1997 win. I think everyone forgets him demolishing the Major government, day after day, in Commons, whilst also preparing policy and manifesto etc.
    > >
    > > Brown has the intellect that Blair could only assume he has. Blair is a second rate politician who was lucky to have a first rate team to back him. Unfortunately, Brown ended up with a second rate team who could not keep up with him.
    >
    > Blair was a first rank PM much as I disagreed with him, along with Thatcher the only first rank PM of my lifetime.
    >
    >

    Blair was a fine orator and a fast thinker. He had excellent self awareness that has utterly deserted him. He was lucky in his timing in that he never faced a strong Conservative party until very late on.
    He made some important contributions to domestic policy which will go down as being successful, and some important contributions to foreign policy that definitely won't. Take Iraq out of the equation and all his failings are minor, subjective or manifested after his time (the continued financialisation of the economy and the crash).

    I despised him for Iraq but didn't gloat when he left. He largely succeeded on his own terms, which is something no PM has really done since then.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,936
    > @justin124 said:
    > > @HYUFD said:
    > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123?s=20
    >
    > Major was PM for 6.5 years!

    After Thatcher had served more then 11.5

    So, Major was PM for roughly half as long.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    edited May 2019
    Not sure this is all a joke, but talk of leadership election in Lab:

    https://twitter.com/AaronBastani/status/1132047373432184832

    See the thread comments.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    > @oxfordsimon said:
    > The unwillingness of a number of people (on here and elsewhere) to refuse to look beyond the political to the human is dispiriting.
    >
    > We have enough problems getting people of talent to enter public service without further compounding the issue by refusing to see that politicians of every shade are also human beings with emotions, feelings and frailties.
    >
    > Yes, argue about priorities, policies and positions. Question motives.
    >
    > But we have to acknowledge the public service in high political office takes a human toll.
    >
    > For all her failings, Theresa May showed the emotional impact that the job has taken on her. It was a very natural and human reaction - she is not a good enough actor to fake that.
    >
    > For all his failings, Jeremy Corbyn must find the pressures of being LOTO challenging to deal with at times. Can I despise what he stands for and at the same time acknowledge that some of the things he has endured will have come at no little personal, human cost? Of course.
    >
    > Corbyn has failed to live up to his claim to wanting to deliver a kinder, gentler politics. But that doesn't mean the rest of us should stop trying.
    >
    > If we want a functional political class - and I think that is something we all should be able to agree on - we have to allow for some level of human frailty and allow some compassion. We don't have to forgive everything, we don't have to forget it either.
    >
    > But our politicians will never be perfect. We do have to hold them to a higher standard because they seek to govern us. But we also have to acknowledge their humanity from time to time.
    >
    > Not everything is political. Nor should it ever be.

    +1
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    > @Mortimer said:
    > > @justin124 said:
    > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123?s=20
    > >
    > > Major was PM for 6.5 years!
    >
    > After Thatcher had served more then 11.5
    >
    > So, Major was PM for roughly half as long.

    Nearer 60% but my point is that he was PM for a long time. Not far off Macmillan.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    https://twitter.com/jessphillips/status/1131919440852004864

    Phillips vs Boris at GE 2022?

    Wow. That would be something...
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,936
    > @justin124 said:
    > > @Mortimer said:
    > > > @justin124 said:
    > > > > @HYUFD said:
    > > > > https://twitter.com/MichaelLCrick/status/1132000001738117123?s=20
    > > >
    > > > Major was PM for 6.5 years!
    > >
    > > After Thatcher had served more then 11.5
    > >
    > > So, Major was PM for roughly half as long.
    >
    > Nearer 60% but my point is that he was PM for a long time. Not far off Macmillan.

    60% is roughly half....
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
  • Options
    > @david_herdson said:
    > Distinct lack of big city / metro counts yet. I don't suppose there's any great reason to assume that the trend will be much different from the rest though in terms of the Remaininess - turnout relationship.

    Whilst Tory remainer areas like Wandsworth and Putney are well up, Labour areas like Lambeth and Waltham Forest are less spectacular.

    Wealthy London is whining to the faraway towns.
  • Options
    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    I see that Alastair Campbell has revealed that he did not vote Labour this week. He has provided grounds for expulsion.
This discussion has been closed.