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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
If you’re a lurker, from London to Bombay, Stop lurking, it’s posting time. If you’re thinking You Can’t touch this site with your contributions, you’re wrong. Hopefully in the morning, I’ll be saying Oh, My Lord, look at the number of delurkers.
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Here's some data to allow you to get things back in kilter.
(not sure your predilection so to be safe...):
uniquenaturewallpapers.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Kelly-Brook-HD-Photos.jpg
shechive.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/eye-candy-ryan-gosling-2.jpg?w=499&h=755
thedonkeysanctuary.org.uk/files/donkeys/images/BrunoBestBeachDonkey2006-cropped.jpg
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/11/05/1253274/-Absolutely-unimaginable-this-could-happen-in-America?detail=facebook
Don't get stopped for a traffic offence in New Mexico.
'The results of a five month investigation into Westminster sleaze will be up on @Telegraph shortly…'
'Conservative MP offering to use his political contacts to set up deals worth hundreds of thousands of pounds...' hollywatt
Really astonishingly good PMI figures for the services sector showing that growth in the UK is broadening and starting to develop real momentum which will hopefully bring in a lot of investment in its' wake.
The future order figures are even better and employment is on the increase. And all this is happening against a background where consumption and retail spending is still highly restrained. The economy is rebalancing with the export of services particularly strong.
Still a long way to go but this does give the tories some hope.
In fact, its is amongst the most stunning turn arounds in public policy since the second world war. Just because the perception is failure, doesnt make it so.
Mr. T, has your African adventure come to an end? Did you see hippos and baboons? Or a serval?
•Ted Cruz 32% (25%)
•Rick Perry 10% (10%)
•Jeb Bush 9%
•Paul Ryan 7% (8%)
•Marco Rubio 6% (11%)
•Rand Paul 6% (13%)
•Chris Christie 4% (8%)
•Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
•Bobby Jindal 3% (2%)
•Scott Walker 1%
•Hillary Clinton 67% (66%)
•Joe Biden 7% (11%)
•Elizabeth Warren 5%
•Andrew Cuomo 1% (1%)
•Martin O’Malley 1% (0%)
•Brian Schweitzer 1% (0%)
•Mark Warner 1% (1%)
•Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (1%)
Since, there's only you and TimT who fall into that catergory, it is a select group
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/10424080/Mitt-Romney-denies-size-mattered-when-he-passed-over-Chris-Christie.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/mitt-romney/10428364/How-Boris-Johnson-made-Barack-Obama-crack-up.html
Something happened in 1993. Can anyone guess what?
http://www.railway-technical.com/Pass-Journeys-2010-11.png
When you play the video it will stream from the other site.
Ireland to hold referendum on gay marriage
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ireland/10429118/Ireland-to-hold-referendum-on-gay-marriage.html
In the past, I may have been critical of him, and accused him of representing the worst of politics.
But his chairmanship of the Home Affairs Select Committee is excellent, his work on plebgate, such as today, was excellent.
Falkirk seems to be getting quote a bit of coverage.
As 'we all know' it is great news for Ed, what bump in the polling should we expect? http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100244380/cock-up-and-conspiracy-what-do-labour-and-ed-miliband-think-theyre-doing-over-falkirk/
Standards and service have dropped considerably since it has been back in public ownership and I would be very glad to see it privatized again as soon as possible.
One of the drawbacks of rail privatisation though is that in practice the contractors can rely on a state guarantee of their operations.
Link using Google's cache – sneaky.
Under GNER, this would have gone to shareholders.
Will transport be a key battleground at the next election?
http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2012/08/19/will-transport-be-a-key-battleground-at-the-next-election/
2) They're also not comparing like with like as a disproportionate percentage of immigrants are working age . What would the numbers be if the demographics were weighted honestly?
To illustrate say you have one population made up of
- 100 working age with a net rating of +10
- 100 retired with a net rating of -5
then you get an average net rating of +5
If you compared that to a population made up of
- 100 working age people with a net rating +6 upwards
then you would get a graph like that (as long as you ignored illegal immigration)
but if you extrapolate into the future when the second population has the same proportion of retired people what would it be then?
All the pro-replacement lobby's stats are dishonest like that.
Why shouldn't DOR be able to tender for franchises as they come up?
In every respect the service to passengers is far worse now than it was in the early 90s.
Who bailed them out in the way that left taxpayers and good banks on the hook?
Socialists.
-
Location: Germany.
Time: 1930s.
Scene: Two artisans talking.
"Hey this country seems to be in trouble".
"Yeah, we need a popular movement that supports the people".
"How about we give those National Socialists a go?"
-
If Socialism is the answer, then it's a bloody silly question.
See graph 2 in:
http://www.slideshare.net/GaldeMerkline/transport-perspectivesrailjulyaug2013
*If* that graph is right (and I haven't had the time to look for the raw figures), then the current (2010/2011 and 201/2012) subsidy to the railways isn't much greater than it was in the mid-1990s.
If that is right, then the subsidy per passenger and passenger mile should be much less than it was in the 1990s due to the increased traffic.
Where's your source for the four times subsidy?
One thing that can be improved are payments by the TOCs to NR (track access charges). They need to be higher, to cope with NR's increasing debt.
Say you have a country with a population of 50 million and a working age population of 30 million - so 10% of the working age population is 3 million.
Say the GDP per capita of the working age population is x.
Say 80% of GDP comes from the working age population.
Those numbers are just rough guesses but they're close enough to illustrate the point.
Then if you import 3 million or 6 million working age people (10% or 20% of the working age population) with the same (or according to the replacement lobby, higher) per capita GDP over the course of 10 years then you should expect to see an increase of GDP of 8% or 16%.
So after you strip out the effect of the credit bubble from 1998-2008 where is it?
Imagine Bob Crow let loose nationwide.
So then you Ponzi up on 3M more...
Will my canvassing help swing things?
The banks wanted to be completely unregulated.
Trying to debunk the academic studies on immigration? Tough work. Why dont you just say they were paid off by the Nomenklatura?
The ECML suffers from a large number of overhead line failures, due to the new (i.e. cheap and quick) way it was electrified.
Besides, EC's punctuality seems to be well below average. I must admit that this surprised me.
http://www.networkrail.co.uk/about/performance/
And the nationalised Network Rail missed all its punctuality targets in England and Wales, and could get a multimillion fine:
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2013/jun/07/network-rail-fine-punctuality
http://www.politicshome.com/uk/article/87812/the_daily_telegraph_tuesday_5th_november_2013.html
A Tory Majority of over 9k Lab, with 8k Lib Dem voters in the seat
Note that book is from 2005. The chart I linked to (if accurate) gives a much clearer picture of the current situation.
A question for you: given passenger numbers have doubled and freight has increased, on a network that had been shrinking for four decades, how much would you have expected subsidies to increase by to cope with the increased traffic safely?
Note, I'm not saying that the current situation is anywhere near perfect. It's just not as broken as some make out. Or perhaps more accurately, not broken in the way people think, but in other ways. ;-)
As successful as the BNP's electoral strategy.
Edward Mayes @eljmayes 31s
Caroline Lucas on a protest march? What could possibly go wrong?
Maybe you could support this one from the sidelines. I mean your shoes might put the voters off.
Because there's been so few plebiscites in the UK in my lifetime (that I've been able to vote in), I wan't to take part in a lot of them.
Plebiscites give me something.
Has to be the first political chant at a football match since the Chelsea fans sang to the Liverpool fans in the 2005 Rumbelows Cup final
"There's only one Boris Johnson"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/10429206/Senior-Conservative-MP-uses-political-contacts-to-further-business-empire.html
Expenses part 2?
2) What would the graph look like with Illegal immigration included - especially if the graph used the stats adjusted for age and gender?
Talk about glamorous.
2) Where's the GDP?
I haven't laughed this much since Anthony Weiner and his weiner were back in the headlines.
Flowers, chocolate or booze?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-24827405
Yep, but the spike in the mid-late 2000s was very much a reaction to:
1) a large increase in traffic.
2) years of chronic underinvestment, which led indirectly to the Hatfield crash. This had to be corrected, and required vast investment. According to the link I posted earlier, only 15% of the money spent on infrastructure since privatisation has been on enhancements. The rest has been spent on maintenance.
Note the subsidies have been decreasing for the last five years. (I wonder if Crossrail is included in the NR costs; if so, that too will skew the figures).
Or making the tuition fees pledge.
Or joining the Lib Dems
"I did not have political relations with that man, Mr Cameron"
I'm sorry, I'm so sorry.
I'll exile myself to conhome.
Only thing is, would Uncle JohnO and I actually be a help or a hindrance?
Maybe a better plan would be if we stay in a pub and wait for you to return (scathed or unscathed) to tell us all about it.