Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters rate Johnson’s chances of taking the UK out of the EU

13567

Comments

  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    rkrkrk said:

    Brom said:

    nichomar said:

    Fenster said:

    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart resigns for the Conservative Party and will not stand at the general election.

    I don't dislike Rory Stewart but how can you go from being a Tory prime ministerial candidate to resignation within a couple of months!?

    It's nearly as bizarre as Sam Gymiah travelling from prospective Tory PM to Lib Dems in half that time?!

    It says more about their personal narcissistic ambitions than any great love for the party that made them.
    The party did not make Stewart they were lucky to get him
    I liked Rory but there must be plenty of people now delighted they didn't back his leadership campaign given he's ducked out of politics, sometimes you have to stick things out when they don't go your way rather than run away (see also D Miliband). That is one thing I would give Mr Corbyn credit for during the Blair and Brown years.
    Agree with this. He wanted to be prime minister, and when that became unlikely, decided to quit. Same with David Miliband really.
    He was thrown out the parliamentary party for voting with his conscience on an issue which affects us all. Like thousands of other MPs over the last several centuries.

    It was Johnson's moronic and myopic decision to withdraw the whip that has led to this, combined with the cowardice of the remaining MPs.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159

    rkrkrk said:

    Brom said:

    nichomar said:

    Fenster said:

    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart resigns for the Conservative Party and will not stand at the general election.

    I don't dislike Rory Stewart but how can you go from being a Tory prime ministerial candidate to resignation within a couple of months!?

    It's nearly as bizarre as Sam Gymiah travelling from prospective Tory PM to Lib Dems in half that time?!

    It says more about their personal narcissistic ambitions than any great love for the party that made them.
    The party did not make Stewart they were lucky to get him
    I liked Rory but there must be plenty of people now delighted they didn't back his leadership campaign given he's ducked out of politics, sometimes you have to stick things out when they don't go your way rather than run away (see also D Miliband). That is one thing I would give Mr Corbyn credit for during the Blair and Brown years.
    Agree with this. He wanted to be prime minister, and when that became unlikely, decided to quit. Same with David Miliband really.
    Although I dont think Rory will ever be the king over water, but other than that, yep!
    More like he has been actually thrown out of his own party and sees no future in another one in his beloved Penrith seat.

    When the PM is throwing people like Stewart out of the party, then the party is over. Finished. We are witnessing its end.

    As Ferdinand Mount wrote a few months ago - it is a hollow man party.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,153

    https://twitter.com/RichardBurgon/status/1179712281627766784

    Maybe Jake Berry is just trying to get ahead of the crowd, Kippers are standard now. The hardcore need to go further to stand out.

    "Britain First" is what Jo Cox's killer shouted as he murdered her. If this is true then Berry should have the whip withdrawn. Assuming it happened, it is a plain expression of support for fascism and terrorism from the Tory front bench.
    Agreed. It is an utter disgrace.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,153
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
  • Options
    TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840

    https://twitter.com/RichardBurgon/status/1179712281627766784

    Maybe Jake Berry is just trying to get ahead of the crowd, Kippers are standard now. The hardcore need to go further to stand out.

    "Britain First" is what Jo Cox's killer shouted as he murdered her. If this is true then Berry should have the whip withdrawn. Assuming it happened, it is a plain expression of support for fascism and terrorism from the Tory front bench.
    In fairness to the guy how else are you supposed to stand out in a party dominated by the ERG, Johnson kicks people out who go the other direction.

  • Options
    TGOHF2TGOHF2 Posts: 584
    Rory wants another 10 mins of fame prancing around London in a futile campaign.

    Khan nailed on for reelection now.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903

    FF43 said:

    I agree the questions are a little leading, but they highlight a problem for the government with its People (ie Johnson) versus MPs rhetoric. It depends on those MPs to get Brexit through without a second referendum.

    Not just that, but the whole strategy is built around a pre-brexit election, and backfires hilariously if the opposition have the presence if mind to do a GNU.

    Him: BACK ME OR LOSE THE WHIP
    Them: Guess we're on the opposition side now ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

    Him: GET BREXIT DONE
    Them: OK, you couldn't so it so we will

    Him: THE PEOPLE DECIDE NOT PARLIAMENT
    Them: Referendum it is then
    Nah I think a second referendum works fine for the Tories provided it's in no way orchestrated by them (I don't think it has the numbers still). See the SNP.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,129
    humbugger said:

    Good morning all.

    If we leave with no deal on 31 October the MPs who voted for the Benn Act will bear much of the responsibility. As the clock ticks down the EU would be trying much harder to get a deal done now if the Benn Act did not exist.

    That’s right. If we leave with No Deal the people to blame will be those who fought tooth & nail against leaving with No Deal.

    Brexit through the looking glass.

    Or maybe through the bottom of a glass.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    rkrkrk said:

    Brom said:

    nichomar said:

    Fenster said:

    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart resigns for the Conservative Party and will not stand at the general election.

    I don't dislike Rory Stewart but how can you go from being a Tory prime ministerial candidate to resignation within a couple of months!?

    It's nearly as bizarre as Sam Gymiah travelling from prospective Tory PM to Lib Dems in half that time?!

    It says more about their personal narcissistic ambitions than any great love for the party that made them.
    The party did not make Stewart they were lucky to get him
    I liked Rory but there must be plenty of people now delighted they didn't back his leadership campaign given he's ducked out of politics, sometimes you have to stick things out when they don't go your way rather than run away (see also D Miliband). That is one thing I would give Mr Corbyn credit for during the Blair and Brown years.
    Agree with this. He wanted to be prime minister, and when that became unlikely, decided to quit. Same with David Miliband really.
    Although I dont think Rory will ever be the king over water, but other than that, yep!
    More like he has been actually thrown out of his own party and sees no future in another one in his beloved Penrith seat.

    When the PM is throwing people like Stewart out of the party, then the party is over. Finished. We are witnessing its end.

    As Ferdinand Mount wrote a few months ago - it is a hollow man party.
    If the Labour party can survive infiltration and take over by marxists and anti semites I think the Tories will survive Rory Stewart quitting it.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    I think Rory running hurts Benita the most.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,077
    Rory quitting is the most read story on the BBC News website.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    More like he has been actually thrown out of his own party and sees no future in another one in his beloved Penrith seat.

    When the PM is throwing people like Stewart out of the party, then the party is over. Finished. We are witnessing its end.

    As Ferdinand Mount wrote a few months ago - it is a hollow man party.

    It it mildly suprising, but sadly only mildly, to see Tories cheering on a factional takeover, the very thing they lambast the Labour Party for. They've learnt absolutely nothing from observing Corbyn, and Trump.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
  • Options
    MangoMango Posts: 1,013


    RIP, the Conservative Party. 1834 to 2019.

    I had always thought the death of the Conservative Party would be more enjoyable than this.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
    You've got to be joking. It's likely a blow to Benita but I've got some 33-1 tickets on her.
  • Options
    nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Bozo only started even trying to get a deal after the Benn Act was passed.

    The Leave argument that the act has hampered chances of a deal is yet more guff .

  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    Going to be pretty easy for me

    Stewart #1
    Bailey #2.

  • Options
    PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,274
    nico67 said:

    PeterC said:

    geoffw said:

    PeterC said:

    How strongly will Corbyn whip his party against the Boris deal? It seems now that its not really in his interest to let Boris get a victory, and could whip very strongly against. In that scenario, will those like Nandy Snell and Smeeth still hold out and vote for it, they could face deselection if so.

    The only MP Corbyn has actually thrown out of the party is Fiona who went to prison, the local members could deselect them for it (or they might not) but I can't see Corbyn actually doing it. Some MPs seem to be voting for Brexit with little/limited grief, although it helps not to go as far as Hoey, mainly those in leave areas.

    TBH I quite like Nandy so I wouldn't deselect her for it although I wouldn't be delighted with it but maybe I am a bit less hardline than others on this. Although I feel like some of the pro EU lot* can sound more deselection happy than the craziest Corbynista when it comes to the subject.

    *Not directed at you
    Academic, surely. Is there going to be a Boris Deal to vote on?

    The Hungarian wildcard is underestimated, though. What else could explain Boris's extraordinary confidence about 31st October?
    The anglophile Hungarian foreign minister was quite impressive on Newsnight y'day.
    I do wonder whether Boris/Cummings have had something stiched up with Hungary for weeks.
    Given the foreign minister thinks no deal would be a disaster how does that work with vetoing an extension .

    This Hungary veto isn’t happening no matter how hard some Leavers would hope for it.

    Orban is not going to pick a fight over this with the EU.
    No extension does not lead to No Deal - that has always been a non-starter. It doesn't lead to Revoke either - MPs haven't got the balls. It leads in fact to the withdrawal agreement, which Boris wil shamelessly hail as a triumph. No crash out. No disaster. No more going round in circles.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
    You've got to be joking. It's likely a blow to Benita but I've got some 33-1 tickets on her.
    I think I got 80/1...
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited October 2019
    Sky News - Confirm Rory Stewart to stand as Independent for Mayor of London.
  • Options
    TGOHF2TGOHF2 Posts: 584
    Khan 1/4 - won’t be that price for long.
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    edited October 2019
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    I have always voted for a Tory mayor. Not 100% sure but I think I have always had the Lib Dem candidate as my second choice.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,387
    edited October 2019
    TGOHF2 said:

    Rory wants another 10 mins of fame prancing around London in a futile campaign.

    Khan nailed on for reelection now.

    Bailey was already sunk
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903

    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    Going to be pretty easy for me

    Stewart #1
    Bailey #2.

    What would you have done previously
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141
    Mango said:


    RIP, the Conservative Party. 1834 to 2019.

    I had always thought the death of the Conservative Party would be more enjoyable than this.
    Nobody told us it would be dead but still walking around, eating brains
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    GIN1138 said:

    That's the end of #PBTories4Rory then?

    It had a decade long run so didn't do too badly. :D

    So as #PBTories4Rory ends #PB4MayorRory begins! :D
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart to stand as Independent for Mayor of London.

    Well, *that's* out of left field.
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Pulpstar said:

    I think Rory running hurts Benita the most.

    The way SV works it makes Khan certain to be re-elected.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    edited October 2019
    Scott_P said:
    Yes but as we've seen FTPA means we could go many more months or even years without the Opposition agreeing to a general election and at some point the political dial has got to be reset.

    FTPA has changed everything.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,581
    Scott_P said:
    "I'm running for major of London because I live in rural Cumbria"

    Eh?
  • Options
    TGOHF2TGOHF2 Posts: 584
    Any odds on Rory ?
  • Options
    MangoMango Posts: 1,013

    Gonna try this spoiler thing

    KLOBUCHAR
    The hide button works too, you'll be pleased to hear.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,576
    Scott_P said:
    “Gothic shouting chamber”......good one.

    Went a little weird when he started talking about “love”......
  • Options
    MangoMango Posts: 1,013
    So another patrician Old Etonian swans into town, expecting the mayoralty on a plate?

    Well he can piss off back to his beloved borders.
  • Options
    TGOHF2TGOHF2 Posts: 584

    Scott_P said:
    “Gothic shouting chamber”......good one.

    Went a little weird when he started talking about “love”......
    Is he unwell ?
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    What happened to Rory starting a new political party and becoming the UKs Macron?
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    edited October 2019
    GIN1138 said:

    What happened to Rory starting a new political party and becoming the UKs Macron?

    What happened to him saying the only thing he was launching this week was his sons toy boat?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    Mango said:

    So another patrician Old Etonian swans into town, expecting the mayoralty on a plate?

    No Khan do.
  • Options
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    Going to be pretty easy for me

    Stewart #1
    Bailey #2.

    What would you have done previously
    Benita #1 Bailey #2 probably.
  • Options
    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,135

    Did anyone else know we could use 'spoilers' here?

    They're in the format button on vanilla
    Now that we know let's hope it will be used by the F1 afficionados here on race days when the plebs are waiting for the evening highlights programme.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,576
    Henriques report on the nonce-finder generals favourite smear:

    https://www.met.police.uk/henriques
  • Options
    PeterC said:

    nico67 said:

    PeterC said:

    geoffw said:

    PeterC said:

    How strongly will Corbyn whip his party against the Boris deal? It seems now that its not really in his interest to let Boris get a victory, and could whip very strongly against. In that scenario, will those like Nandy Snell and Smeeth still hold out and vote for it, they could face deselection if so.

    The only MP Corbyn has actually thrown out of the party is Fiona who went to prison, the local members could deselect them for it (or they might not) but I can't see Corbyn actually doing it. Some MPs seem to be voting for Brexit with little/limited grief, although it helps not to go as far as Hoey, mainly those in leave areas.

    TBH I quite like Nandy so I wouldn't deselect her for it although I wouldn't be delighted with it but maybe I am a bit less hardline than others on this. Although I feel like some of the pro EU lot* can sound more deselection happy than the craziest Corbynista when it comes to the subject.

    *Not directed at you
    Academic, surely. Is there going to be a Boris Deal to vote on?

    The Hungarian wildcard is underestimated, though. What else could explain Boris's extraordinary confidence about 31st October?
    The anglophile Hungarian foreign minister was quite impressive on Newsnight y'day.
    I do wonder whether Boris/Cummings have had something stiched up with Hungary for weeks.
    Given the foreign minister thinks no deal would be a disaster how does that work with vetoing an extension .

    This Hungary veto isn’t happening no matter how hard some Leavers would hope for it.

    Orban is not going to pick a fight over this with the EU.
    No extension does not lead to No Deal - that has always been a non-starter. It doesn't lead to Revoke either - MPs haven't got the balls. It leads in fact to the withdrawal agreement, which Boris wil shamelessly hail as a triumph. No crash out. No disaster. No more going round in circles.
    I would love for you to be right but I lack your confidence. It would be a great outcome.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    I can confirm that Auchentennach Fine Pies will be making a suitable contribution to Rory4Mayor.

  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,153
    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Me too.

    Second preference to the Lib Dem candidate.
  • Options
    I am sorry to.see Stewart leaving Parliament. I didn't agree with him on his recent positions on Brexit but he was a great asset to the House.
  • Options
    So the apparent hostile reception and "heckling" Gove received at the German embassy last night came from one man - Ben Bradshaw.

    Who then promptly tweeted the heckling claims!
  • Options
    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Pulpstar said:

    I think Rory running hurts Benita the most.

    agreed, Bailey had no chance. No one saw this coming, I think he will hoover up a tonne of 2nd preference votes in such partisan times. I would possibly vote for him as think he'd be a good Mayor of London but a bad Tory PM.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    GIN1138 said:

    What happened to Rory starting a new political party and becoming the UKs Macron?

    For all their seeming ineptness our main red/blue political leaders (May, Johnson, Corbyn) have been far more astute and not created the sort of gap Hamon, Juppe and Fillon did.
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Scott_P said:
    The same point was made here yonks ago, about both the Queen's Speech and the budget.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited October 2019
    HTML fail. Deleted.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    edited October 2019

    So the apparent hostile reception and "heckling" Gove received at the German embassy last night came from one man - Ben Bradshaw.

    Who then promptly tweeted the heckling claims!

    Sounds a bit like the stand up row Boris was supposed to have had with Jess Phillips in the voting lobby the other day which in the end amounted to little more than Boris breathing...

    Both of these are good examples of why Twitter has become so toxic to the political discourse.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    edited October 2019
    The Queens Speech is all about running the clock down and forcing a vote which whilst not explicitly a vote of confidence in the Gov't is as close as you can get in the realms of the FTPA.

    Tactically it's a good move.
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,821
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
    You've got to be joking. It's likely a blow to Benita but I've got some 33-1 tickets on her.
    oh dear
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,913
    TGOHF2 said:

    TGOHF2 said:

    Early flounce from Rory - it really was all about him.

    You think Rory should stand and split the Tory vote in order to qualify for the parliamentary payoff for defeated MPs? It's a view crap spin line from Number 10.
    If 90+% of his colleagues prefer Boris over Rory then he’s unlikely to be the Messiah.
    That says more about the current state of the Tory party than it does about Rory Stewart
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    GIN1138 said:

    So the apparent hostile reception and "heckling" Gove received at the German embassy last night came from one man - Ben Bradshaw.

    Who then promptly tweeted the heckling claims!

    Sounds a bit like the stand up row Boris was supposed to have had with Jess Phillips in the voting lobby the other day which in the end amounted to little more than Boris breathing...

    Both of these are good examples of why Twitter has become so toxic to the political discourse.
    Burgons claim is also being denied
  • Options
    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    Pulpstar said:

    GIN1138 said:

    What happened to Rory starting a new political party and becoming the UKs Macron?

    For all their seeming ineptness our main red/blue political leaders (May, Johnson, Corbyn) have been far more astute and not created the sort of gap Hamon, Juppe and Fillon did.
    That's probably true now, but I think our politics will become more polarised and may therefore create such a gap. Of course that doesn't mean the gap will be successfully exploited.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903

    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
    You've got to be joking. It's likely a blow to Benita but I've got some 33-1 tickets on her.
    oh dear
    Main weight of money is on Khan tho - but obviously it's only a 1-4 winner or so :)
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart resigns for the Conservative Party and will not stand at the general election.

    Another half decent Tory bites the dust. Even in his wildest dreams as a Bullingdon Boy trashing restaurants Boris could never have dreamt of the destruction he would one day cause. What a guy!
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,793
    edited October 2019
    Pulpstar said:

    The Queens Speech is all about running the clock down and forcing a vote which whilst not explicitly a vote of confidence in the Gov't is as close as you can get in the realms of the FTPA.

    Tactically it's a good move.

    Think the idea is:

    1 Get deal with EU 17th/18th October.

    2. Present to Parliament 19th or 21st October (passes)

    3. Vote on Queens speech 21st or 22nd October (fails)

    4. General election agreed 22nd or 23rd October for 28th November or 5th December.
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,987
    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    I think there would be a lot of:

    1. Benita 2. Stewart
    and
    1. Stewart 2. Benita

    One of them will get into 2nd place on the first count over the Tory.
    That person will then get first place on transferred votes.
  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,703
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Liberals should immediately stand down and throw themselves behind Stewart.
    You've got to be joking. It's likely a blow to Benita but I've got some 33-1 tickets on her.
    oh dear
    Main weight of money is on Khan tho - but obviously it's only a 1-4 winner or so :)
    Well, being Mayor of London is one way of preparing to be Tory leader.
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141
    edited October 2019
    Pulpstar said:


    Nah I think a second referendum works fine for the Tories provided it's in no way orchestrated by them (I don't think it has the numbers still). See the SNP.

    I think that works OK for them long-term but the problem is that if Remain wins, they're going to need policy for the next election. If that policy isn't to ignore the second referendum and enact the first one, or have a third one, they're going to lose a chunk to BXP. But if it is, they lose everybody who's had enough of all this shit.

    The SNP doesn't have this problem because there's no Scottish Nationister Party, so they can wait for a decent wave instead of trying to immediately stand up on the surfboard.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287
    Had hoped Rory would be standing as an Independent Conservative in Uxbridge.
  • Options
    We can also do some tooltips (don't know how they'd work on a phone..)
    Lib Dems look here, Tories look here, Labour look here, SNP look here


  • Options
    TGOHF2 said:

    TGOHF2 said:

    Early flounce from Rory - it really was all about him.

    You think Rory should stand and split the Tory vote in order to qualify for the parliamentary payoff for defeated MPs? It's a view crap spin line from Number 10.
    If 90+% of his colleagues prefer Boris over Rory then he’s unlikely to be the Messiah.
    If 100% of Tories think someone is The Messiah, that would be definitive proof that they weren't. The Antichrist otoh..
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    dr_spyn said:

    Had hoped Rory would be standing as an Independent Conservative in Uxbridge.

    He is. Just not for Westminster
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.
  • Options
    Rory would make a superb Mayor. Pity he has almost no chance
  • Options

    Mango said:


    RIP, the Conservative Party. 1834 to 2019.

    I had always thought the death of the Conservative Party would be more enjoyable than this.
    Nobody told us it would be dead but still walking around, eating brains
    Only after having eaten every morsel of their own it would appear.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,372
    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    I don't think so.
    A very smart move from him, which we perhaps ought to have seen coming.

    It is the one high profile contest in the country where party backing doesn't count for everything.
    I think if anything he ought to be slightly shorter odds than that.
  • Options
    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038

    Scott_P said:
    The same point was made here yonks ago, about both the Queen's Speech and the budget.
    I've been saying the same thing. It's an obvious point, really, but an example of an important point that commentators miss because they're so wrapped up in the political narratives.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    Barnesian said:

    Pulpstar said:

    glw said:

    Scott_P said:
    I will definitely vote for him if he is a candidate.
    Who would you have voted for 'but for' Stewart, and what are your likely 2nd and 1st prefs now ?
    I think there would be a lot of:

    1. Benita 2. Stewart
    and
    1. Stewart 2. Benita

    One of them will get into 2nd place on the first count over the Tory.
    That person will then get first place on transferred votes.
    Ahead of Khan ?!

    There are deep wells of red voters in London, and Khan doesn't have the anti-Semitism/fence sitting on the EU issues that AN Other Corbynite (Burgon or some such) would face. He's also got incumbency and Londoners seem reasonably happy with him.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,901
    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    Was there a thread header tipping Khan at big odds on?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    Nigelb said:

    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    I don't think so.
    A very smart move from him, which we perhaps ought to have seen coming.

    It is the one high profile contest in the country where party backing doesn't count for everything.
    I think if anything he ought to be slightly shorter odds than that.
    You always see these sorts of contests so differently to me !
  • Options
    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038
    GIN1138 said:

    What happened to Rory starting a new political party and becoming the UKs Macron?

    FPTP
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    Was there a thread header tipping Khan at big odds on?
    Yes, mine. I've also tipped Benita below the line at 33s. I'm very happy with my position.
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,987
    TGOHF2 said:

    Scott_P said:
    “Gothic shouting chamber”......good one.

    Went a little weird when he started talking about “love”......
    Is he unwell ?
    He has often talked about "love" in politics. It doesn't mean romantic love but rather "love thy neighbour".

    It does sound strange - but you'll get used to it as it becomes normalised.
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141

    Rory would make a superb Mayor. Pity he has almost no chance

    Yes, he has two problems. The first is that he's a Tory. The second is that he isn't.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,901
    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    Was there a thread header tipping Khan at big odds on?
    Yes, mine. I've also tipped Benita below the line at 33s. I'm very happy with my position.
    Very happy? You must be well underwater mustn’t you?
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Scott_P said:
    The idea that our politics will be reduced to an eternal choice between the John Redwoods and the John McDonnells fills me with dread.
    So I have done something about this and donated money to Stewart.

    Probably thrown away, but one has to try.
  • Options
    FlannerFlanner Posts: 407
    Roger said:

    . Even in his wildest dreams as a Bullingdon Boy trashing restaurants Boris could never have dreamt of the destruction he would one day cause. What a guy!

    Johnson is a creep - but he's always been one. Tory activists used to be ideologically misdirected, but at heart well-meaning. They're the ones who've chosen an incontinent, incompetent - and bizarrely inarticulate - liar to run the government.

    The blame lies squarely with them.
  • Options
    BromBrom Posts: 3,760
    Should cause a few issues for former Tory wets like Sam Gyimah. Do they support the Lib Dems or Rory?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    isam said:

    Pulpstar said:

    4-1 instinctively feels too short for Rory the Tory.

    Was there a thread header tipping Khan at big odds on?
    Yes, mine. I've also tipped Benita below the line at 33s. I'm very happy with my position.
    Very happy? You must be well underwater mustn’t you?
    I've topped up £50 on Khan at 7-10. I'll work out the value of my position in a second for you :)
  • Options
    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141

    Scott_P said:
    The idea that our politics will be reduced to an eternal choice between the John Redwoods and the John McDonnells fills me with dread.
    So I have done something about this and donated money to Stewart.

    Probably thrown away, but one has to try.
    It's a trick, he's gonna blow it on toy boats
  • Options
    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038
    Anorak said:

    JackW said:

    Sky News - Rory Stewart to stand as Independent for Mayor of London.

    Well, *that's* out of left field.
    Maybe it's because I'm not a Londoner
    That I love London so...
  • Options
    Good luck Rory!
This discussion has been closed.