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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour makes heavy weather when it comes to leader ratings but key policy moves are polling well
By 50-22 the sample thought Cameron is the most intellectually confident while 56% said he wasn’t up to being PM. Nearly a third of 2010 LAB voters took this view.
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Ed Miliband will never be Prime Minister.
Of them, the fourth is the least problematic, in my eyes at least. But it would mean moving away from council tax as a tax to pay for services, to a punitive one for 'social good'.
The definition of 'empty house' would also be interesting: for instance would an empty house awaiting planning permission for renovations count? And if so, it is in the council's interest to delay planning permission for as long as possible ...
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2625361/Voters-say-David-Cameron-cruel-Ed-Miliband-wet-sexless.html#ixzz31QQ0yzN7
Morata to scre first 13/2ew
Morata t score 2 or more at 10/1
Morata to score a Hat Trick at 50s
Ronaldo, Bale & Benzema not playing
twitter.com/IanAustinMP/status/465509676877373440/photo/1
Report on Lab soft-pedalling in Newark: true or desperate spin because their vote has vapourized?
What you forget totally or have decided to ignore totally in your lecture on negotiation is that Cameron is having two negotiations about the EU
One is with people who are not currently voting for him for whom the eu is an issue but may be persuaded by the things he can renegotiate, the other is with the EU itself.
It is no point focussing on the second negotiation until you have succeeded with the first and to do that he is going to have to tell those voters what he considers are the key items to renegotiate else they are not going to waste a vote on him.
In my opinion this is what Cameron has in mind for the 2017 referendum should he be reelected
"Oh I havent finished negotiations yet but as I promised we will have one then we will hold one. The question will be Leave the EU or stay in if I am satisfied that we have renegotiated a good deal. "
Of course at this point he won't still actually tell us what he considers a good deal, what he is actually wanting to renegotiate or what the red lines are that would actually make him decide he hasn't secured a good deal.
The man is a charlatan if we do not trust him he only has himself to blame he has failed on almost all of his 2010 manifesto promises and where he has succeeded to any degree those successes have be minor
Net 'well':
Cameron: -24
miliband: -27
Miliband (net)
Made clear what he stands for: -34
Been a strong leader: -31
Up to job of Prime Minister: -27
They also think by +27 that Miliband Sr would be a better leader than Miliband Jr......
But apart from that, they're HUGE fans......
Who says the Tories have not learned from the Lib Dems?
The question of who has the greater intellectual self-confidence can only be determined by head-to-head debates,which Cameron is so determined to avoid.The answer is that Cameron suffers from Lack of Moral Fibre.
Which officer would you trust if you were in the trenches about to go over the top?Young Miliband would lead his troops over the top and take the first bullet.Cameron,on the other hand,strikes me as the sort who would remain in the trenches,snivelling,with his head in his hands complaining of PTSD and crying out for nanny.
Please tell me you studied PPE......
Compared to the Miliband who stabbed his own brother in the back to win his?
If Miliband had superior intellectual self-confidence, he'd have published his policies for the UK and be beating Cameron round the head with them.
Instead we have the great policy Omerta. He says nothing. He has no ideas. He has no corner to argue. The man is a vacuum looking to be filled.
Rather than take his arguments to Cameron, it's quite clear he has none. He's made a fool of himself with his so called superior intellect and Cameron's hardly an ideologue.
I tend to view it as the equivalent of diving in football
David Miliband had his chance to run for the leadership in 2007 and ducked it - thus proving that he didn't have what it takes. He could have made bids in 2008 and 2008 but no - like Brown before him he wanted it gift wrapped on a plate. Pathetic.
Ed had the bottle to take him on and Labour got the better brother.
Cameron would be the officer who went over the top, only to look back and see that his troops were not behind him, but have mutinied in the trench.
Of course we need an officer who is neither of these, but rather clever enough to come up with a plan that doesn't involve a frontal assault on machine guns in the first place!
Happy Birthday, Mike!
Aside from anything else the officer I would want to lead me over the top was the one who was most likely to lead me back again. The chap who goes up and takes the first bullet is gong to be no damn use to me as a leader, is he. You might want to rethink your metaphor.
God knows my contempt for Cameron is widely known, but really Mr. Pete.
SNP 1/4
Lab 11/4
UKIP 100/1
Con 100/1
LD 200/1
Burnham, the fellow who thought that as the chap in charge leaving patients to die of starvation and thirst in their own poo was acceptable or at any rate nothing to do with him and certainly shouldn't come to light before an election. That Burnham? And you think he would be a good leader?
UKIP 1/2 (various)
Lab 2/1 (Betfair)
Con 35/1 (Betfair)
LD 100/1 (Betfair)
I have been working in the NHS for 25 years and have seen patient neglect under all governments, and also in patients transferred in from private providers.
Burnham inherited Stafford from other ministers of health.
And you didn't specify 'switchers' in your post......
Probably by one of his own brothers in arms, or even his own brother. ; )
David is +23 vs Ed as better leader of the Labour Party in today's YouGov.......
UK Independence Party leader Nigel Farage says he is facing the threat of violence from organisations "headed up by senior Labour Party figures".
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27361605
I agree, in a sense he was 'holding the parcel when the music stopped'......
Thank you
This isn't to say David wouldn't be better, but that anything other than a huge lead in a poll like that isn't particularly telling.
No one else is split - everyone else thinks New Labour should be dumped.....(21:39), though not as strongly as they did last September (19:45).....
No 1/4
Yes 11/4
http://www.private-eye.co.uk/sections.php?section_link=in_the_back&issue=1365
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/45cxqhtvw7/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140509.pdf
David Cameron, the Lurpak Spreadable* Prime Minister.
http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2014/05/11/new-zealand-butter-all-over-again/
I guess "Anchor" was not the metaphor he was looking for...
Lets, for the sake of argument, accept that for the moment. What did he do about it?
"I have been working in the NHS for 25 years and have seen patient neglect under all governments, and also in patients transferred in from private providers."
Do you want to think about that statement for a moment? You might really want to because the questions just stack up and up.
East Midlands
UKIP 11/10
Conservatives 7/4
Labour 11/4
Liberal Democrats 150/1
Greens 250/1
South East
UKIP 8/13
Conservatives 6/5
Greens 150/1
Labour 150/1
Liberal Democrats150/1
East
UKIP 2/5
Conservatives 7/4
Labour 66/1
Liberal Democrats 200/1
Greens 250/1
http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/5954511/European-Parliament-Elections---Region-Betting.html
But I left the Labour party in part because of Milburns "reforms" and in part because of the Gulf war.
Burnham was left holding the parcel, but it was the others that wrapped it. He was the best of the five contenders in 2010. The only one with communication skills and emotional intelligence. He could connect with voters and has vision.
Ed Milliband was second best.
Frankly even if you were to take Europe out of it I don't think Cameron would survive till the end of a second term without getting the chop in any case and I am pretty sure he knows it so he may as well secure himself a sinecure on the gravytrain by fixing a referendum.
Should a miracle happen and the tories get another term I will watch in amusement as he wriggles and squirms and twists it to his own agenda and then I will turn round and say "told you so"
@TelePolitics: SNP student leader in racism row for calling David Cameron an English t*** http://t.co/v1Y4qGscti
Lab 4/7 (SJ)
Con 9/4 (Lad)
Grn 66/1
UKIP 100/1
LD 100/1
http://www.kyivpost.com/media/images/2014/04/15/p18linlhvghi54sgr97ucrtkb4/original.gif
"When they separated 20 years ago, the Czechs and the Slovaks planned to have a currency union. It seemed the rational thing to do. Why erect barriers to trade, burden businesses with transaction costs and force Czechs to go through the hassle of changing currency every time they visited their relatives in Slovakia? But within six months the arrangement was breaking up, largely because of a flight of funds from Slovakia to the supposedly "advanced" Czech Republic. Trust broke down."
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/world-news/eurovision-winner-conchita-sparks-twitter-storm.1399818966
England currently 33/1.
For anyone that would like to play, the game for Belgium is now out:
http://www.electiongame.co.uk/belgium14/
Entries close 7am Thursday 22nd May - the Euros game will be out next.
Many thanks,
DC
http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/100000-yes-ballots-for-referendum-intercepted-2-347222.html
And the paramilitaries involved are the ones counting the vote. It will be about as free and fair as Russia's last election. No wonder the Ukrainians want to join the West and move towards democracy in the way that Poland and the Baltics have.
Arguing that Mr Cameron is a “toff Tory politician, who nobody here likes or voted for”, the 19-year-old dismissed his plea by concluding: “F*** off! If he If he’s had any sense, he would have kept his gob shut.”
A future SNP leader?
What drivel. The pound is certainly a manifestation of the union and belongs to all parts of that union. But you can't expect to maintain the union's institutions when you leave the union. It would be like demanding a divorce but insisting on maintaining a joint bank account.
(a) David Miliband is unbelievable arrogant and believed the leadership was his by right. Possible, certainly, but seems unlikely given that the anger is clearly festering.
(b) There was a story that I heard which was that Ed Miliband actively persuaded his brother not to stand against Brown. *IF* this was true and *IF* his motive was that he (Ed) would have the opportunity to become PM - which he probably would never have if his brother was leader of the Labour Party - then this would explain the bitterness.
I have no way of knowing whether (b) is true or not. *IF* it is, then it would explain a lot of things - and Ed Miliband would absolutely deserve his reputation as a backstabber.
Ryan Chan @Ryan_L_Chan
Some #Labour #bigot activists are rendered speechless by the idea that a #Pakistani might vote for anyone else! #UKIP pic.twitter.com/hipx7fVzo1
I'm sure that the politicians of England and Scotland will be as capable of sorting out similar transitional arrangements for sharing the currency for a period after Scottish Independence.
Opportunities for trading bets as they do seem a tad long to me.
Mr. Dickson, that excerpt is completely bonkers.
Nobody's saying the pound is exclusively English. There are no plans to stop the Welsh or Northern Irish using it. What is common sense is the view that if you leave a country you don't have a God-given right to demand a currency union with the country you just left.
I'm Russia, again. Still, I do quite like the Winter Palace.
Under such circumstances one would not expect that Wales would long remain as part of the Union, which leaves Northern Ireland as even more of an embarrassing anomaly.
I have indeed seen evidence of poor care in several hospitals, and also in patients transferred in from private sector and also from several european countries. I have worked internationally and seen poor practice in other countries. It is not unique to the NHS or more common here.
Good hospitals have proper internal methods for reviewing problems and instituting remedial changes. I have been active in both training and in leading audit and morbidity meetings to address these issues in a variety of places.
The problem with Stafford was the management not listening to the staff or patients, and not unique.
I should point out that University Hospitals Leicester scored very well on these issues in the recent Care Quality Commission and I can vouch for the management taking governance issues raised by staff very seriously.
Not sure it helps with selling the idea that Burnham would make a good leader though.
If you think we've got problems with our exchange rate, then you should read the following:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkish_lira
So the fight for the Ukraine has so far been diplomatic, with the US attempting to finesse the nations of Europe into condemning Russia as the sole aggressor. With the national media of the West broadly following the line of their politicians and diplomats our public broadly accepts that Russia is at fault. We saw the consequences in the mild booing of countries (including the Ukraine) who voted for Russia's song in the Eurovision contest.
But "mild" is the right word to describe our collective protest. We object but not at any cost to ourselves even when considering economic sanctions. "Not at the expense of our gas supplies" is the cry in Germany. "Not if it means the City loses its oligarch investors" in London. There is certainly little sign of any Westerner wishing to shed their blood in the cause of freedom East of the Dnieper. The incident is too remote; the causes and consequences too uncertain.
But the Diplomats are not only losing on their chosen field of battle, they are also losing the support of the media and its public.
Today we have seen the grim industrial heartlands of the Donbass basis lit up by late spring sunshine and the ordered queuing of tens of thousands to vote in a chaotic, unofficial and ambiguous referendum. Everywhere the voxpop is the same: "We want to take our children to school in safety" and "We want order and security and peace", all spoken as the cameras show the vital 'yes' mark entered by all means fair and foul.
You can quibble with the procedures of the referendum, challenge its validity in law or question its political consequences, but no one viewing the TV pictures today can doubt it is a genuine expression by a local majority of its current political will.
So the West, in particular the US and EU, have ruled themselves out of a military action, failed to agree any resolute or meaningful diplomatic response and now seem themselves losing the PR battle.
To cap it all the only other news coming from the Ukraine today is that members of the Kiev controlled National Militia opened fire on a crowd attempting to vote in Krasnoarmeisk, killing an unknown number.
The handling of the Ukraine crisis by the West must rank as one of the greatest foreign policy failures since WWII.
Out of interest are you the only one left not to have listened to the recorded conversations of Nudelman-Kagan selecting the new government or of Ashton discussing the shootings in the Maidan being the work of the protestors with the Estonian foreign minister?
I am sure those pictures you linked to are not the CIA up to their old tricks.
Quite why and where you picked your agenda up from, historical ethnic prejudice and phobia regarding Russia's law on adoptions seem to be the motivator for many folks, I don't know but it is certainly irrational.