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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A new day has dawned for Labour as Corbyn wins on the first

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    taffys said:

    Corbyn could start to take a more pragmatic view once he has the responsibility of being party leader. Unlikely perhaps but possible,

    That is stodge's view.

    But his supporters would go up the wall...

    Precisely. He can't be both pragmatic and consistent with his 'authentic' image. If he's moderate, he'll be accused of betrayal by his supporters. There is no way out of this.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859

    So Corbyn is pledged to tackle homelessness by importing another 50,000 who need homes..good start

    Yeahbut he said he needs rents to come down too. How does that work?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,721

    Did he just say comradeship?

    Burn the commie!
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    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    The first PMQ's is unmissable :grin:
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    William_H said:

    Pong said:

    TheWhiteRabbit Wins:

    http://show.nojam.com/a2sY/search.php?b=0&j=4&s_Name=&s_Wnnr=0&o_lcl=data_1000_Name_1010

    95% of PB'ers underestimated corbyn's share, just 5% overestimated.

    Good to bear in mind for future prognostications as to Mr Corbyn's electoral prospects
    We may be out of touch with the selectorate in the Labour party but that is all it is. Guilty of believing that there were more sane people inside Labour than has proven to be the case.
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    Best birthday present ever

    Many happy returns of the day TSE - :lol:
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Just 17% for Cooper, probably the best candidate on offer.
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    Must disagree wholeheartedly.

    They've been dying to have someone like him in a major Party. He's annexed the SWP, assorted Trots, hard left Greenies et al.

    And the starry-eyed youngsters who don't know any better.

    Corbyn will be a goner once Labour are destroyed in the May elections next year.

    The loss of the mayoral election, or alternatively the loss of the Tooting by-election will also be big pressure points. But as has been observed with this kind of mandate from the party, he's going to be difficult to shift.
    By the time of May I suspect those who voted for him will have come to their senses - meaning that there is less goodwill towards him, so he'll be easier to shift. They also need to find a candidate to rally around.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Good speech, I didn't expect him to turn the volume up on his voice.

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    PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    His attack on freedom of the press is so authoritarian it scares me to death.
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    Mr. F, Richard the Lionheart and Alexander the Great were both phenomenally lucky (until their sudden deaths at young ages, of course).
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859
    BBC saying that 85% of the three quidders voted for Jeremy!
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Does JC (not the one from Nazareth) say 'Comrades', call people brothers, and talk about 'this great movement of ours'?
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Zero olive branch to defeated blairites, from what I can see.

    Let the show trials begin.
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    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    Sandpit said:

    So Corbyn is pledged to tackle homelessness by importing another 50,000 who need homes..good start

    Yeahbut he said he needs rents to come down too. How does that work?
    There's a danger he'll end up talking to London rather than the other 58m of us.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,807
    Sandpit said:

    "Global Inequality" - does he not realise that the minimum wage in the UK puts you in the global top 1%? Maybe he wants British people to be poorer so Africans and Asians can be wealthier..?

    I wouldn't be surprised.
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    Sandpit That is exactly what he means.. gonna sell well come an election
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    Just stuck in the full results into the thread header.
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    Martin McGuinness @M_McGuinness_SF

    Heartiest congratulations to our friend @jeremycorbyn on his stunning election as the new Leader of the Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/rbmFqXhgZt
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549
    SeanT said:

    Jeremy Corbyn is, possibly, even worse than I expected.

    And that is when he is happy about his victory, imagine him on a bad day when he's on the back foot and under some real scrutiny. The guy's one slip of the tongue away from full-on moonbat ranting.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,721
    Speedy said:

    Good speech, I didn't expect him to turn the volume up on his voice.

    Indeed, he's been keeping that under wraps this campaign in case the 'angry lefty' card put people off - after all, one thing everyone has said is how polite he has been, and that is a positive, but it's harder to sell that when you are also being very loud.

    He speaks authentically I have no doubt, but he and his team have been managing his image just like any other politician
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    The Mail reported that the crane operator was owned by the Bin Laden group.

    That surely is karma on 911.
    Tim_B said:

    Corbyn wins and a crane collapses into the Grand Mosque in Mecca killing over 100 people, and a gas cylinder explosion at a restaurant in India killing over 80 people..

    Is God having a little joke?

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    Pauly said:

    His attack on freedom of the press is so authoritarian it scares me to death.

    I missed that bit, what did he say?
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    malcolmg said:


    Never even heard of the nobody

    That is not really the point Malcolm. The first resignation has happened within minutes of the result. It is not exactly a good omen. The interesting thing will be to see how long it is before the next resignation (if any).

    How many rats will openly desert the sinking ship?
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    JEO said:

    Praising the management of the NHS in Wales!

    No wonder his Shadow Health Sec quit.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,807
    AndyJS said:

    Just 17% for Cooper, probably the best candidate on offer.

    Least bad, at any rate.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    BBC's Norman Smith: if Corbyn appoints McDonnell to a position there'll be an explosion in the party.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854
    Be plenty of humble pies being cooked at present as the troughers try to repair the damage and try to curry favour with JC. Hopefully he clears out the dross, but a herculean task.
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    Top trolling by Mike

    @MSmithsonPB: You can see why LAB has needed all women shortlists for parliamentary candidates

    What % of LD MPs are women or ethnic minorities?
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    Ooo. Well on the Election Game I had Corbyn winning on the first round with 59.26%. I did get Burnham and Cooper the wrong way round but had 3.92% for Kendall so I reckon I have come pretty close over all.
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    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    AndyJS said:

    Just 17% for Cooper, probably the best candidate on offer.

    Morley and Outwood looks really significant now too. A real bona fide Portillo moment.
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    Corbyn slipped the press censorship bit in rather quickly.. bit ominous..
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    PlatoSays said:

    Must disagree wholeheartedly.

    They've been dying to have someone like him in a major Party. He's annexed the SWP, assorted Trots, hard left Greenies et al.

    And the starry-eyed youngsters who don't know any better.

    Corbyn will be a goner once Labour are destroyed in the May elections next year.

    The loss of the mayoral election, or alternatively the loss of the Tooting by-election will also be big pressure points. But as has been observed with this kind of mandate from the party, he's going to be difficult to shift.
    By the time of May I suspect those who voted for him will have come to their senses - meaning that there is less goodwill towards him, so he'll be easier to shift. They also need to find a candidate to rally around.
    I think the newer members have, but the more long term members and activists have ended up voting for him partly because the other candidates are so rubbish. I mean look at Burnham's total - 19% and he was supposed to win this contest!
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287


    Martin McGuinness @M_McGuinness_SF

    Heartiest congratulations to our friend @jeremycorbyn on his stunning election as the new Leader of the Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/rbmFqXhgZt

    Gerry Adams ‏@GerryAdamsSF 13m13 minutes ago
    Well done Jeremy Corbyn.

    Endorsements like this won't sway voters.
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    Oh and I have to say this confirms what so many people have said on here in the past. Whether you like or dislike Cameron no one can deny he is one of the luckiest PMs in modern political history.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,807


    Martin McGuinness @M_McGuinness_SF

    Heartiest congratulations to our friend @jeremycorbyn on his stunning election as the new Leader of the Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/rbmFqXhgZt

    The gift that keeps on giving.
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    PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    edited September 2015

    Pauly said:

    His attack on freedom of the press is so authoritarian it scares me to death.

    I missed that bit, what did he say?
    He basically ranted on about how bad some journalists and the media are. Pandering to the murdoch hating labour supporters - as far as I'm concerned if you don't like it don't read it. We don't need state intervention.
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    So the %age results are:

    Burnham 19.04
    Cooper 17.02
    Corbyn 59.48
    Kendall 4.46

    Based on...

    http://www.labour.org.uk/blog/entry/results-of-the-labour-leadership-and-deputy-leadership-election

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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    JC has had his "we are the masters now" moment. What an execrable character he is. gg Labour.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854
    AndyJS said:

    Just 17% for Cooper, probably the best candidate on offer.

    That has to be a jest
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Corbyn slipped the press censorship bit in rather quickly.. bit ominous..

    Corbyn hates having to defend his policies, because he's never had to.

    He does now.
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    Mr. Owl, are you trying to make me regret axing Balls?
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    Marvellous.


    Martin McGuinness @M_McGuinness_SF

    Heartiest congratulations to our friend @jeremycorbyn on his stunning election as the new Leader of the Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/rbmFqXhgZt

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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,326
    Great speech - very glad I voted for him.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Great speech - very glad I voted for him.

    Chortle .... :smile:

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    Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    edited September 2015
    So in the end my vote mattered for sod all.
    Broke even across the two contests as I managed to miss getting on JC until it was too late.
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    PlatoSays said:

    Must disagree wholeheartedly.

    They've been dying to have someone like him in a major Party. He's annexed the SWP, assorted Trots, hard left Greenies et al.

    And the starry-eyed youngsters who don't know any better.

    Corbyn will be a goner once Labour are destroyed in the May elections next year.

    The loss of the mayoral election, or alternatively the loss of the Tooting by-election will also be big pressure points. But as has been observed with this kind of mandate from the party, he's going to be difficult to shift.
    By the time of May I suspect those who voted for him will have come to their senses - meaning that there is less goodwill towards him, so he'll be easier to shift. They also need to find a candidate to rally around.
    I think the newer members have, but the more long term members and activists have ended up voting for him partly because the other candidates are so rubbish. I mean look at Burnham's total - 19% and he was supposed to win this contest!
    So is Kendal's 4.5%. The Blairite wing of Labour is dead.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    The gift that keeps on giving.

    Do you think the kippers will be doing handsprings too, Sean? especially in the North?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    AndyJS said:

    BBC's Norman Smith: if Corbyn appoints McDonnell to a position there'll be an explosion in the party.

    I thought critics said that Corbyn will have trouble in finding people to fill the shadow cabinet.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Look at the adoring masses outside! Doesn't look quite so big outside of a church hall.
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    Great speech - very glad I voted for him.

    so are we
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    Sunil Prasannan ‏@Sunil_P2 · now
    @MSmithsonPB Hi Mike - remind me how many @LibDems MPs are female or from ethnic minorities?

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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    Really disappointing for Labour moderates.Looks like we will be out of the 2020 race.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854
    kle4 said:

    Speedy said:

    Good speech, I didn't expect him to turn the volume up on his voice.

    Indeed, he's been keeping that under wraps this campaign in case the 'angry lefty' card put people off - after all, one thing everyone has said is how polite he has been, and that is a positive, but it's harder to sell that when you are also being very loud.

    He speaks authentically I have no doubt, but he and his team have been managing his image just like any other politician
    Certainly sounded head and shoulders above any labour speaker for many many years.
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    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460

    Mr. Owl, are you trying to make me regret axing Balls?

    No not at all. Just reflecting all would really be likely to be different right now. There was a chance of that in May, now it's certain.
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    Now for the good bit or even better bit The Shadow Cabinet..the ones who will have to support and defend the loony demands of the Leader...who can sunbathe while this great show is on tv..
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,721

    Great speech - very glad I voted for him.

    I hope he proves all you were wishing for. What will be the first real test of his mettle do you think? We need to see if he can handle the pressure, the struggles of leadership.
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    Sean_F said:


    Martin McGuinness @M_McGuinness_SF

    Heartiest congratulations to our friend @jeremycorbyn on his stunning election as the new Leader of the Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/rbmFqXhgZt

    The gift that keeps on giving.
    ROFLMAO!
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    So the %age results are:

    Burnham 19.04
    Cooper 17.02
    Corbyn 59.48
    Kendall 4.46

    Based on...

    http://www.labour.org.uk/blog/entry/results-of-the-labour-leadership-and-deputy-leadership-election

    In the beginning Kendall was the betting favourite.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,721
    SMukesh said:

    Really disappointing for Labour moderates.Looks like we will be out of the 2020 race.

    Take heart - he might be up against Osborne.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854

    Pauly said:

    His attack on freedom of the press is so authoritarian it scares me to death.

    I missed that bit, what did he say?
    the media are a bunch of nasty crap merchants, never a truer word said. Strengthen the lamposts.
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    Corbyn said that the four leadership candidates are going to form an ABBA tribute band.

    He's got my vote.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287
    edited September 2015
    welshowl said:

    AndyJS said:

    Just 17% for Cooper, probably the best candidate on offer.

    Morley and Outwood looks really significant now too. A real bona fide Portillo moment.
    Balls would have been a better candidate than his wife. He must be wondering how Labour screwed up when he needed support. Then again trying to unseat Nick Clegg in Sheffield was quite a shrewd move, not.
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    Oh and I have to say this confirms what so many people have said on here in the past. Whether you like or dislike Cameron no one can deny he is one of the luckiest PMs in modern political history.

    I think it was NFL coach Mike Ditka who said "good teams have skill; bad teams always say they don't have luck".
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Sunil Prasannan ‏@Sunil_P2 · now
    @MSmithsonPB Hi Mike - remind me how many @LibDems MPs are female or from ethnic minorities?

    :D
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    The speech contained a lot of platitudes and grand overarching ambitions. Very little on how he'd propose to achieve it though.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    So the %age results are:

    Burnham 19.04
    Cooper 17.02
    Corbyn 59.48
    Kendall 4.46

    Based on...

    http://www.labour.org.uk/blog/entry/results-of-the-labour-leadership-and-deputy-leadership-election

    I answered your question to one decimal point earlier.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859
    taffys said:

    The gift that keeps on giving.

    Do you think the kippers will be doing handsprings too, Sean? especially in the North?

    I know the joke in Manchester is that the IRA bombed the place and caused a billion pounds of improvements, but that really doesn't mean that Mancunians support the terrorists!

    Birmingham and Warrington also have long memories of Jeremy's "Friends" and what they did to their cities.
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    kle4 said:

    SMukesh said:

    Really disappointing for Labour moderates.Looks like we will be out of the 2020 race.

    Take heart - he might be up against Osborne.
    Osborne will knock Corbyn into a cocked hat. No contest.
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    Mr. Owl, that's true. Had Balls retained this seat, the leadership election may have gone very differently.
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    Congrats are due to YouGov on this day as well. You have to admire their balls after the events of May.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Lucy Powell getting interviewed on Sky News now.
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    PlatoSaysPlatoSays Posts: 46
    edited September 2015
    As @JEO noted, he was incoherent with rage during bits of his speech.
    glw said:

    SeanT said:

    Jeremy Corbyn is, possibly, even worse than I expected.

    And that is when he is happy about his victory, imagine him on a bad day when he's on the back foot and under some real scrutiny. The guy's one slip of the tongue away from full-on moonbat ranting.
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    Mr. Eagles, indeed, this vindicates YouGov. If they'd got this wrong, that would've been a shocker for them.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Some pundits saying Cameron will find Corbyn 'trickier' than other labour contenders across the dispatch box.

    And people PAY these idiots....??
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited September 2015

    Congrats are due to YouGov on this day as well. You have to admire their balls after the events of May.

    That is true.
    Though we will never know what their last poll results were.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854

    malcolmg said:


    Never even heard of the nobody

    That is not really the point Malcolm. The first resignation has happened within minutes of the result. It is not exactly a good omen. The interesting thing will be to see how long it is before the next resignation (if any).

    How many rats will openly desert the sinking ship?
    Beverly , however the point is they need the dross to resign or be booted out. labour leadership team is pitiful and anybody from anywhere can only improve their chances. They really are talentless and only impact will be to save him time sacking him.
    Hard to believe that the nobody was shadow health and yet I have never been heard of him, that just about sums them up.
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    Sunil Prasannan ‏@Sunil_P2 · now
    @MSmithsonPB Hi Mike - remind me how many @LibDems MPs are female or from ethnic minorities?

    To be fair, they don't have any safe seats to virtue signal in.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
    Corbyn's future depends on his poll rating and performance in elections not his mandate in this ballot even winning 60% of Tory members backing him did not save IDS due to his poor poll ratings with the Brent East by election where the Tories came third finishing him off
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287
    taffys said:

    Some pundits saying Cameron will find Corbyn 'trickier' than other labour contenders across the dispatch box.

    And people PAY these idiots....??

    User Actions
    Follow

    Ian KatzVerified account
    @iankatz1000
    .@jeremycorbyn may be disaster for Lab that pundits (mostly) predict but not sure Cameron will be relishing facing him across dispatch box
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,721
    Danny565 said:

    Lucy Powell getting interviewed on Sky News now.

    Who keeps letting her in front of a camera?!
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    welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    Ahhhh Ed's appeared!!!!
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859
    edited September 2015
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited September 2015
    Liz Kendall got the second-worst result of any candidate in any Labour contest ever. Ahead of only Peter Shore, 3.1% in 1983.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    taffys said:

    Some pundits saying Cameron will find Corbyn 'trickier' than other labour contenders across the dispatch box.

    And people PAY these idiots....??

    Well it's the first time that the 2 opponents actually hate the guts of each other and everything they stand for.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,807
    taffys said:

    The gift that keeps on giving.

    Do you think the kippers will be doing handsprings too, Sean? especially in the North?

    Yep.
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited September 2015
    NPXMP Attaboy..dumb as ever..you do realise that in Corbyns world you and your best good buddy Roger are the enemy..Shades of The French Revolution here..
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    Happy birthday TSE
    When are the other results to be announced?
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Miliband "massive opportunity for the party"
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Ed speaks.

    And says...nothing much.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287
    Ah, how sweet.

    Guido Fawkes ‏@GuidoFawkes 1m1 minute ago
    Ed Miliband speaks! "I'll be offering Jeremy Corbyn my support"
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    Forgot quite how terrible Ed Miliband is.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859
    RodCrosby said:

    Miliband "massive opportunity for the party"

    Massive opportunity to make his electoral results look good..?
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,854
    alex. said:

    The speech contained a lot of platitudes and grand overarching ambitions. Very little on how he'd propose to achieve it though.

    It was a victory speech not a manifesto.
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    Incidentally, cheers to Mr. F for the Shah Muhammed reference. Just read up on that at Wikipedia. It turns out that executing messengers sent by Genghis Khan to open trade negotiations wasn't terribly clever.
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    Happy birthday TSE
    When are the other results to be announced?

    Not sure.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Ed's improved communication skills from the election campaign seem to have gone out the window.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,859
    Danny565 said:

    Ed speaks.

    And says...nothing much.

    Same as the last five years then!
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    Corbyn said that the four leadership candidates are going to form an ABBA tribute band.

    He's got my vote.

    Christmas No.1?
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