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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Seasonal greetings from Marf and Ratty who’ll be returning
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Seasonal greetings from Marf and Ratty who’ll be returning in the New Year
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Of course, in reality it's absurd to describe any loss of local seats as anything other than terrible for the Opposition, but I'm starting to think that no one will go bankrupt by overestimating the delusions of Corbynistas.
Bye everyone.
But certainly it's part of the art of political leadership to keep your best performers onside.
It's unlikely we'll see that on the BBC so the better informed on here might like to discuss.
Mr Surbiton said, "Including 2013, 9 of the 10 warmest years in the 134-year period of record have occurred in the 21st century. Only one year during the 20th century—1998—was warmer than 2013."
To which I would respond, "Yes and?"
For most of the 11th and 12th centuries England was warm but regularly lashed with torrential rain storms, and no doubt lots of floods, which caused frequent famine. At the start of the thirteenth century the climate changed and temperatures in England became milder, the weather wetter but without the tempests of the previous 200 years. As a result the English vineyards disappeared, but so did the incidence of famine. In fact England suffered no famine between 1220 and 1315 and as a result had the fastest period of population growth and general prosperity in our history.
No doubt there were people in the early 1200s writing about this terrible climate change and how it was wiping out traditional industries and would undoubtedly lead to the destruction of civilization if not the planet - the English character has not changed that much in 800 years.
Not sure about the Eagles. Maria, in particular, seems to have had one humiliation after another visited on her and would actually gain in stature by saying "Enough!"
Useless and a guarantee that labour are doomed for at least a generation till they get this kind of rubbish out of the system.
The situation with Labour is completely different. If there were a challenge to Corbyn, it's probable that he would go on the ballot without the need for nominations given the make-up of the NEC who would rule on the interpretation; and even if he were required to actively gain the nominations, he'd probably get them for much the same reason that he did first time round (and also because MPs would now be under more pressure from activists in their party to ensure he was on the ballot / they got their say).
Given her husband's record I think that's unwise.
This is in response to Trump saying that Bill had the same penchant after Hillary said she'd 'let him out' to campaign.
This will run and run.
Regardless, this reshuffle is a good sign. Corbyn needs a team that actually backs him, and that will insulates those who are demoted from any fallout that, one would expect, will result when his united team does even worse (if they do well, then heavens help us), so good for Labour too. They will have been loyal (to a point - they were willing to serve out of tribal loyalty at least), but shoved aside anyway, unlike those who refused to serve.
Maybe Dr Sven Palmer will kneel alongside some Aussies (or Ossies)...?
Hard to see Labour doing anything till thy get rid of these two and their ilk, it is unfortunate that Corbyn is not up to a cull of the dead wood. Now is the time to do it and hope some new talent surfaces by the next election, not as if they have much to beat.
the verisimilitude of power
almost Churchillian. A wonderful phrase.
Rolls off the tongue even more than Applebee's Out House Chicken.
It's actually Brew House Chicken, but that doesn't sound as good.
But man it tastes great!
Labour leader refuses to rule out an election deal to allow the Green Party MP to stand unopposed by Labour in Brighton Pavilion at the 2020 election"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/12069821/Jeremy-Corbyn-to-protect-Caroline-Lucas-in-pact-with-Greens.html
As for Labour's performance, yes, a challenge will have to be based on poor results but results can always be viewed in more than one way and underperformance explained away by local factors or whatever - it's all too easy for the wish to father the thought.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com
Try and be less biased and more neutral.
malcolmg said:
"Too much concrete and tarmac nowadays and building has been done on floodplains etc , usual politicians that have caused the issues looking for short term gains."
Absolutely. The torrential rain in Cumbria earlier in the month was a record but only by a few percent. The real issue is exactly as you say. Building on both flood plain and water run off areas, reducing tree cover which allows soils to wash away and failing to maintain water courses - both by government, local authorities and private individuals.
If it's down to Trump or Hillary who would you vote for?
My German Shepherd Heidi takes care of the rodents but she is a sweetheart.
I am completely innocent.
On a happy note, my boy bought me a bottle of the 16 year-old Jura for Christmas. I have had the Jura before but not that one - I have to say I am impressed (and me an Islay fan of many years standing).
There was nothing wrong with what Benn said in his speech as long as it was from the back benches [ like Margaret Beckett ( Jackson ) - people forget she started from the very far left ].
Whatever you may think of Corbyn, his position on the bombing of Syria is supported by most of the party and the PLP. I cannot see how these people can remain in the shadow cabinet and espouse collective responsibility.
Basically stop blaming the weather and start taking respopnsibility for our own actins and dealing with what we have done.
For those who bet on the NFL there are reports today that Peyton Manning has done PEDs with HGH. No details yet.
Documentary is here...It is an Al Jazeera special.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wJRPxmTuxoI
No one seems to ask the obvious question. For example, why was the maintenance of the pumps in York stopped ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-29851345
I take it that was against EU law ?
So this did not happen ? Because you are a blinkered anti-EU person.
As far as I can see, if Benn goes, he goes all the way down.
One reason I'm somewhat sceptical there will be a very long knife is that Corbyn seems short of talent - Labour aren't bursting with it anyway, but to find "serious" politicians who are also sympathetic to his cause (even if not in 100% agreement with it) is tricky. Finding politicians of public stature will be even harder for him, and with the Foreign brief, and a couple of others, I think that's important if he wants his party to look like a genuine and credible government-in-waiting. I don't think the office maketh the stature - Diane Abbott would be widely publicly perceived as overpromoted if she was installed as Benn's replacement (and even should he think that's unfair on her, it ought to be a consideration that weighs on Corbyn's mind).
Someone - I think Stephen Bush - summed this up the other day:
* The only candidate who can replace Corbyn against his will is one who can beat Corbyn in a ballot of the membership.
* There is no such candidate in the PLP.
Conclusion: Corbyn will go when he chooses. Concerning when that will be, I thought the most significant line in the recent Independent article that trails these sackings was one that said that, after Oldham, Corbyn thinks he can win the election and become Prime Minister. I think we can safely say:
* While he thinks that he won't resign.
* He won't stop thinking that easily. That kind of thought is hard to dislodge.
For which reason, I think Corbyn will neither resign nor be ousted before 2020.
If she was, then Andrew Neil made a big mistake using her for years. Education wise, she went to Cambridge - even though that in itself is not important.
What exactly has Benn done ?
Two conflicting press releases about correct response to floods in two hours from Shadow Chancellor and shadow Defra.
Thing is, Corbyn's assessment may differ from ours. If he thought John McDonnell could be a credible shadow chancellor then why not Diane Abbott as shadow foreign secretary?