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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not long now till we know what Boris will do

SystemSystem Posts: 11,683
edited February 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not long now till we know what Boris will do

'and we now go live to Boris Johnson's house' pic.twitter.com/ADtJPe7y17

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    Love it.
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited February 2016
    General Boles should be made a peer of the realm.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    Are we going to see Cam in a similarly lush jumper?
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited February 2016

    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    Is rcs1000 the hair to OGH ?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    edited February 2016

    General Boles should be made a peer of the realm.

    A worthy candidate :p. I think there is a growing shortage of Dukes due to attrition. So perhaps we should enforce minimum number of children quotas on our peers?
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    What's the NVDems countdown until ? https://nvcaucuses.com/

    Also what's the timetable for SC?

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    What's the NVDems countdown until ? https://nvcaucuses.com/

    Also what's the timetable for SC?

    First results - supposedly.

    SC first exit polls at 10pm our time.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    What's the NVDems countdown until ? https://nvcaucuses.com/

    Also what's the timetable for SC?

    Well the caucus is still going on, and by the looks of it, it will be an hour before we get enough results.
    S.C. stops voting at midnight.
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016
    From Nate Silver - Bernie Benchmarks: If Clinton and Sanders are level nationally then Clinton should be winning Nevada by 3 points.

    https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2016/02/sliver-clintonvsanders-1.png
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    JackW said:

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

    I've become a traitorous pig dog to the Remain cause as I have defected to Leave.

    But alas no canvassing this time.

    My next major stint as Guest Editor of PB coincides with the referendum and I'm sure PBers want me to do PB threads than canvass
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,008
    FPT
    The list of seven 1975 cabinet ministers against the EEC on the Wikipedia article is confirmed.
    The footnote on the Wikipedia article is based on the book by Cook and Francis in references, I own a copy
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    Mr. Eagles, huzzah!
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    Big turnout seems to be rattling Clinton team.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,782

    What's the NVDems countdown until ? https://nvcaucuses.com/

    Time's up...
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    Mr. Eagles, huzzah!

    The problem with defectors is they sometimes rerat.

    However Michael Gove's statement today fortified my soul and resolve.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Her I'm not a liar intv was awful. Her voice pitch went up three octaves.

    Big turnout seems to be rattling Clinton team.

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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    OK CNN has it now Sanders 49 Hillary 47 with their entrance poll.
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    Whoah CNN saying Sanders 49 to Clinton 47
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    Whoah CNN saying Sanders 49 to Clinton 47

    Dramatic, if so. I love it.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    49.58 vs
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016
    Btw. Right now you can lay both Sanders & Hillary on Betfair @ 4/6.

    Effectively backing every other candidate @ 6/4.

    A very decent long term bet, IMO.
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    Mr. Herdson, the Roman Republic lasted about five centuries :p
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    JackW said:

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

    I've become a traitorous pig dog to the Remain cause as I have defected to Leave.

    But alas no canvassing this time.

    My next major stint as Guest Editor of PB coincides with the referendum and I'm sure PBers want me to do PB threads than canvass
    Nah, gerrout there.

    Contact with (a) a campaigning organisation, (b) the folks wot might vote (or indeed, not) would make your posts more informative.

    Far more so than those of the journos recycling the view from Westminster.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    47.42 according to my maths on the msnbc exit poll
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    In favour of Sanders
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!

    I must admit I had only just noticed she had the flag of Norway on there as well. Given that Norway wasn't a member and had actually voted 3 years previously not to join I am not quite sure what message Maggie was trying to convey.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007

    JackW said:

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

    I've become a traitorous pig dog to the Remain cause as I have defected to Leave.

    But alas no canvassing this time.

    My next major stint as Guest Editor of PB coincides with the referendum and I'm sure PBers want me to do PB threads than canvass
    Pity, would have enjoyed seeing you on the campaign trail with Nigel Farage and George Galloway!
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
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    Mr. Tyndall, vexillophilia?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    In favour of Sanders

    With 0% in:

    Sanders 0, Hillary 0

    It's a dead heat (with 0% it's really dead).
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Speedy said:

    Pulpstar said:

    In favour of Sanders

    With 0% in:

    Sanders 0, Hillary 0

    It's a dead heat (with 0% it's really dead).
    Maths was done from their Entrance poll - for which there are no headline numbers lol
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    JackW said:

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

    I've become a traitorous pig dog to the Remain cause as I have defected to Leave.

    But alas no canvassing this time.

    My next major stint as Guest Editor of PB coincides with the referendum and I'm sure PBers want me to do PB threads than canvass
    Nah, gerrout there.

    Contact with (a) a campaigning organisation, (b) the folks wot might vote (or indeed, not) would make your posts more informative.

    Far more so than those of the journos recycling the view from Westminster.
    I'll let you in a little secret. I'm already in contact with both sides.

    One of my best ever threads was when I was given a briefing by someone in the know during last year's election
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!

    I must admit I had only just noticed she had the flag of Norway on there as well. Given that Norway wasn't a member and had actually voted 3 years previously not to join I am not quite sure what message Maggie was trying to convey.
    It's Denmark.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Thatcher's pro-EU photo stunts were not just limited to her years as Opposition leader, either. This pic was from her later years as PM:

    http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-DtdDmvRMF98/UWRVb-gg4pI/AAAAAAAAAj4/fnGrZrQfmRQ/s1600/thatcher+4.jpg
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Chris Matthews is having a nervous breakdown.
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    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    edited February 2016

    Mr. Herdson, the Roman Republic lasted about five centuries :p

    Not that republic!!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Republic_(18th_century)

    Edit - hyperlink takes you to the wrong article (I blame sabotage), but there is a disambiguation link to the right one.
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    Mr. Eagles, huzzah!

    The problem with defectors is they sometimes rerat.

    However Michael Gove's statement today fortified my soul and resolve.
    Good to hear. :)

    We should see the Leave campaign gain proper traction and leadership/organisation fall into place in the coming days and weeks.
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    Latinos: Sanders 54 Clinton 43.

    If that holds put a fork in Clinton shes done.

    https://newrepublic.com/minutes/130234/entrance-polls-nevada-show-clinton-latino-problem
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd 9m9 minutes ago
    Huge development if entrance poll is accurate in NV: Sanders is winning Hispanics 54-43... would be nightmare result for Brooklyn

    Brooklyn is where Hillary has her HQ, ironically it's where Sanders is from.
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Baldwin is perhaps a more apt parallel.
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    BTW Mr Tyndall I've only just heard within the last hour my Norweigan resident brother in law tell me that 'we are not in the EU but we do all they tell us'.
    I'll grant you some modest hyperbole.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007

    Latinos: Sanders 54 Clinton 43.

    If that holds put a fork in Clinton shes done.

    https://newrepublic.com/minutes/130234/entrance-polls-nevada-show-clinton-latino-problem

    She has likely lost Nevada, though it will be tight, she still has southern and rustbelt whites and blacks though it will likely now go on for months
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    Chris Matthews is having a nervous breakdown.

    Best news I've heard all day.

    There are problems with the Nevada caucus process. In Reno they've run out of English caucus forms, so non-Spanish speakers have to fill out Spanish language forms.

    Statewide they are having logistic issues due to the high turnout.
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    Mr. Herdson, ah.

    Well, the end of the 18th and start of the 19th century was a pretty boring time. Not to mention being frightfully modern.

    I want to read more fiction in the immediate future, and when I return to history get some proper old stuff. I might get another of Livy's offerings.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754
    edited February 2016
    Watching the Jam on the Old Gey Whsitle Test

    Still good after all these years.
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    Mr. Herdson, what's the King of Jerusalem got to do with Cameron?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    HYUFD said:

    Latinos: Sanders 54 Clinton 43.

    If that holds put a fork in Clinton shes done.

    https://newrepublic.com/minutes/130234/entrance-polls-nevada-show-clinton-latino-problem

    She has likely lost Nevada, though it will be tight, she still has southern and rustbelt whites and blacks though it will likely now go on for months
    You should cross off the "southern and rustbelt whites".

    But I agree, if Hillary loses Nevada and wins S.C it will be a long nomination process.
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    Whites (61%): Sanders 52, Clinton 44. Non whites (39%): Clinton 52, Sanders 46

    No doubt about it Clinton is in trouble with these numbers.
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Heath was awesome. Took Middlesbrough out of Yorkshire.
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    BTW Mr Tyndall I've only just heard within the last hour my Norweigan resident brother in law tell me that 'we are not in the EU but we do all they tell us'.
    I'll grant you some modest hyperbole.

    Fortunately your Norwegian Brother in Law is wrong. But then whether it is Norway, the UK, France or Outer Mongolia there is usually a big divide between public perceptions and reality.

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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Heath was awesome. Took Middlesbrough out of Yorkshire.
    And he made Shorpe Scunthorpe
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!

    I must admit I had only just noticed she had the flag of Norway on there as well. Given that Norway wasn't a member and had actually voted 3 years previously not to join I am not quite sure what message Maggie was trying to convey.
    It's Denmark.
    Ah you're right. Obviously vexillology is not by strong point.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942

    Latinos: Sanders 54 Clinton 43.

    If that holds put a fork in Clinton shes done.

    https://newrepublic.com/minutes/130234/entrance-polls-nevada-show-clinton-latino-problem

    Perhaps Gilmore should switch parties....
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    BTW Mr Tyndall I've only just heard within the last hour my Norweigan resident brother in law tell me that 'we are not in the EU but we do all they tell us'.
    I'll grant you some modest hyperbole.

    Fortunately your Norwegian Brother in Law is wrong. But then whether it is Norway, the UK, France or Outer Mongolia there is usually a big divide between public perceptions and reality.
    It's a sod, the public having a vote.
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited February 2016

    Mr. Herdson, the Roman Republic lasted about five centuries :p

    Not that republic!!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Republic_(18th_century)

    Edit - hyperlink takes you to the wrong article (I blame sabotage), but there is a disambiguation link to the right one.
    Esteemed Mr H,

    Raw hyperlinks with an underscore "_" don't work in Vanilla discussions.

    Don't leave your "_" naked.

    Enclose it as, for instance

    [a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Republic_(18th_century)"]the Roman republic[/a]

    Except you should replace "[" by "<" and "]" by ">" to get the full effect.
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    YossariansChildYossariansChild Posts: 536
    edited February 2016
    59% Sanders 41 Clinton 0% reporting - not sure how that works (from CNN)

    (edit) ahh forgive me was from the place they were at ignore.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    59% Sanders 41 Clinton 0% reporting - not sure how that works (from CNN)

    (edit) ahh forgive me was from the place they were at ignore.

    Do you have a link
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Baldwin is perhaps a more apt parallel.
    Not sure. Baldwin was an example of good men not doing enough. Cameron is more in the Heath mould of positively encouraging evil deeds.
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!

    I must admit I had only just noticed she had the flag of Norway on there as well. Given that Norway wasn't a member and had actually voted 3 years previously not to join I am not quite sure what message Maggie was trying to convey.
    It's Denmark.
    Ah you're right. Obviously vexillology is not by strong point.
    You should never apply to be a contestant in 'Pointless'
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    Pulpstar said:

    59% Sanders 41 Clinton 0% reporting - not sure how that works (from CNN)

    (edit) ahh forgive me was from the place they were at ignore.

    Do you have a link
    Its my bad bloody CNN are giving results from random caucus places without making it clear (to me at least)
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    BTW Mr Tyndall I've only just heard within the last hour my Norweigan resident brother in law tell me that 'we are not in the EU but we do all they tell us'.
    I'll grant you some modest hyperbole.

    Fortunately your Norwegian Brother in Law is wrong. But then whether it is Norway, the UK, France or Outer Mongolia there is usually a big divide between public perceptions and reality.
    It's a sod, the public having a vote.
    Not at all. It just means we have to persuade them. Of course in the case of Norway the Government dearly wishes the public didn't have the vote because every time they ask the EU question they get beaten.
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Heath was awesome. Took Middlesbrough out of Yorkshire.
    Another of the criminal acts he committed!!! Messing with the county boundaries is almost a greater crime than selling us out to the EU.
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    Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307
    Clinton's campaign is taking on the appearance of just being on a loser even if she carries on and starts winning the bigger states.

    That doesn't bode well.

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    As first results might be coming in the NV Dem result site has gone down...
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007
    Speedy said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latinos: Sanders 54 Clinton 43.

    If that holds put a fork in Clinton shes done.

    https://newrepublic.com/minutes/130234/entrance-polls-nevada-show-clinton-latino-problem

    She has likely lost Nevada, though it will be tight, she still has southern and rustbelt whites and blacks though it will likely now go on for months
    You should cross off the "southern and rustbelt whites".

    But I agree, if Hillary loses Nevada and wins S.C it will be a long nomination process.
    More conservative whites will vote for Hillary against Sanders, Sanders will win white liberals
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    https://nvcaucuses.com/

    Results:

    Hillary 50
    Sanders 50.
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    Thatcher appears to have the flags of imperial Germany and the short-lived Roman Republic flag on that pullover!

    I must admit I had only just noticed she had the flag of Norway on there as well. Given that Norway wasn't a member and had actually voted 3 years previously not to join I am not quite sure what message Maggie was trying to convey.
    It's Denmark.
    Ah you're right. Obviously vexillology is not by strong point.
    You should never apply to be a contestant in 'Pointless'
    Apropos of nothing much at all, the best titled "sleb" edition of any TV show on this blue Earth is "Pointless Celebrities". Nothing can beat that. Nothing.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,817
    Is everyone still holding their breath for Boris?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007
    edited February 2016
    7% in from Nevada Clinton 50% Sanders 49.6%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nv/Dem
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    One stat from the NV entrance polls - family with union membership 27%.

    That is incredibly high -

    nationwide union membership is about 11% of the work force, 2/3 of which are in the public sector.
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    Mr. Tyndall, makes me glad I wasn't around at the time. What an oaf.

    Mind you, Cameron's an utter clown. His negotiation with the EU is reminiscent of John Softsword's attempt to reacquire Normandy, which led to the French invading England.
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    Clinton 50 Sanders 49.6 7% reporting
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989
    NBC have it 421 for Clinton, 418 for Saunders. 7% in.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    Heath.
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    JackW said:

    Love it.

    Will you be campaigning to REMAIN in red shoes .... permanently ?

    I've become a traitorous pig dog to the Remain cause as I have defected to Leave.

    But alas no canvassing this time.

    My next major stint as Guest Editor of PB coincides with the referendum and I'm sure PBers want me to do PB threads than canvass
    Bravo. Honoured to be on the same side as you.
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    Clinto 421 Sanders 418 12 % reporting...
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    Mr. Child, Clinton losing to Obama was due to his excellent campaign. Will that excuse wash if she manages to lose to a socialist?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    Barnesian said:

    NBC have it 421 for Clinton, 418 for Saunders. 7% in.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/primaries/NV

    Knowledge of blackjack seems will be a necessity tonight in Nevada to break those ties.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Bernie caught up later in Iowa iirc.
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    When do polls close for the Republicans in SC? Thanks
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    When do polls close for the Republicans in SC? Thanks

    7pm Eastern time
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    The official Nevada Dem party page has Hillary 424 Sanders 422 delegates.
    With 13% in.
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    So Dave really is the heir to Thatcher.

    No heir to Heath. And will be regarded as such forever more.
    Heath was awesome. Took Middlesbrough out of Yorkshire.
    Another of the criminal acts he committed!!! Messing with the county boundaries is almost a greater crime than selling us out to the EU.
    Can we agree that he was right to sack Powell after that speech that increased attacks on non whites?
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    Sanders 50 Clinton 49 14% reporting
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Maggie was happy with a European trading bloc.

    Doubt she would have wanted the EUSSR.

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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,336
    "This site does not support Internet Explorer. Please upgrade to a modern browser like Firefox." (I can, but I hate browser snobs!)
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    Sanders 50 Clinton 49 14% reporting

    I'm calling it:

    It will be called by me in 15 minutes.
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    Y0kelY0kel Posts: 2,307

    Mr. Child, Clinton losing to Obama was due to his excellent campaign. Will that excuse wash if she manages to lose to a socialist?

    Was it? I'd suggest Clinton's problem in 2016 is much the same as in 2008 and its what had me trading against her then and now.

    She's a divisive figure.

    The only thing on her side this time is that Bernie's politics are a bit too out there, but even then she seems to be unable to put him away early.
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989
    Sanders ahead 481 to 472
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    BTW Mr Tyndall I've only just heard within the last hour my Norweigan resident brother in law tell me that 'we are not in the EU but we do all they tell us'.
    I'll grant you some modest hyperbole.

    Fortunately your Norwegian Brother in Law is wrong. But then whether it is Norway, the UK, France or Outer Mongolia there is usually a big divide between public perceptions and reality.
    It's a sod, the public having a vote.
    Not at all. It just means we have to persuade them. Of course in the case of Norway the Government dearly wishes the public didn't have the vote because every time they ask the EU question they get beaten.
    The Norweigan people keep voting in governments that apply EU regulations and edicts even though they are not in the EU.
    Norway, not in the EU, has had to act despite being in Schengen to bring in controls to halt Syrian immigrants. But only at the moment for 20 days. This is because EU Sweden chose to bring in border controls.
    Non EU Norway has had thousands of Syrian immigrants.
    In recent times some 29,000 asylum seekers have entered Norway. Russia as not been helpful.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Someone has just laid £8k on Hillary @ 1.94
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    From 538

    "Real results are starting to come in, and it’s 49 percent for Clinton and 50 percent for Sanders. Keep in mind, however, that a lot of northern Nevada is already reporting. Counties like Lander and Humboldt have already reported over 50 percent of their precincts. These are places Sanders is winning by a large margin. Only 6 percent of Clark County (home to Las Vegas), where Clinton is winning, has reported."
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    Reckon it was Hunt

    Well, he's been the butt of enough genital puns recently so probably returning the favour.
This discussion has been closed.