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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The May elections less than 4 weeks away – Why so few Torie
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The May elections less than 4 weeks away – Why so few Tories are raising their voices against Cameron
On May 5th more than 2,000 Conservatives will be putting themselves forward as candidates for local councils, the Scottish and Welsh parliaments, the London Assembly as well as for police commissioners in every part of England apart from the capital. There are also mayoral elections in London and Bristol.
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Seems like plenty of Tory voices in quiet against Cameron, so is it less loyalty to the party and more being gutless until events, electoral events like a referendum loss, do the job for them?
Just playing devils advocate
We know the winners in May will be willing footsoldiers in 2020 when these seats are next up for re-election.
https://twitter.com/LBC_Charlotte/status/718381074359984128
Or as someone else put it, to stab someone in the back, you have get yourself fully behind them.
That and Regicide.....(which it does notably better than Labour.....)
I appreciate that 2012 was the high point for Lab in the last Parliament but, still, are we really expecting Tory gains in the current climate?
I guess what I'm saying is: are R&T taking full account of the Tories' recent travails?
EPG said: The USSR comparison is invalid for so many reasons, one being that it was knotted together through military conquest. The EU is so similar to the UK in this vague non-national but non-military statemaking process, and maybe that's why they look at each other in a funny light, because we are always weirded out by reflections of ourselves and the uncanny valley.
The difference between the UK and the EU is that nation membership of the UK is not voluntary, it is enforced. The EU is more of a voluntary members club where you pay your dues and follow the rules if you want to enjoy the benefits. But you can leave at any time.
This is not true of the nation states of the UK. Any referendum on independence is a concession by the UK government. Unlike the EU, the UK has armed forces, police and prisons to enforce its will in extremis. It is not a members club.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jeffrey-sachs/hillary-clinton-and-the-s_b_9231190.html?utm_hp_ref=yahoo&ir=Yahoo
If they'd left it alone it would have sunk without trace - as it is its now THE STORY THEY DON'T WANT YOU TO READ
1) A member of the House of Lords
2) Co-Chairman of the Tory Party alongside Andrew Feldman
Some are facing changes coming from Osborne. The councils with LEAs face losing all schools. The councils with plans for regional Mayor proposals and discussins face major disruption to what they can have a say in.
There is also the potentially massive reorganisation of Associations and how in future councillors are selected as candidates. All under the umbrella of the infamous Feldman Review. A Review led by a man who's ratings amongst members were almost as bad as Osborne's.
It adds up to a set of own goals, splits and internal turmoil. All originating from the top of the party.
After all, the first triumvirate had no legal footing.
They flex their muscles when required.
As I said earlier, there's an uncomfortable similarity between Cameron and Blair right now. I really didn't like the Party bringing him down as they did. I can see Cameron getting a similar fate unless he pays more attention to the whole Party.
He can then throw his leg across his saddle, cycle off without looking backwards and leave the journalists with an epic shot for TV news of his lycra-clad derriere illuminated by the dawn sun.
Surprise, fear and a fanatical loyalty to the leader....
They were pleasantly surprised when so many Tory MPs came out for Leave, they say this as an opportunity to topple Dave no matter what come June 24th, however
1) Boris has been a big disappointment
2) Just because you're a Leaver doesn't mean you're automatically anti-Dave. Do we really expect the likes of Gove, Zahawi et al to try and topple Dave. Never happening.
http://order-order.com/2016/04/08/leavers-can-challenge-9-million-leaflet-in-euro-courts/
http://www.channel4.com/news/cameron-david-ian-jersey-tax-haven-conservatives
Personally, I find this very hard to credit. My guess is that Labour will do somewhat better than these projections on the basis that the motivation of a lot of Tories is sub-optimal. UKIP may just get a bounce. If they can't do well a month before the EU referendum even Nigel might begin to wonder what the point is.
We're loyal, ruthless, and have high standards.
Some left field question on 'Fishing quotas off the South Coast from 2019' I could have some sympathy with a grumpy response to - but the top story of the last few days?
"IDS, proving to be a better leader of the opposition the second time round, but still showing why we ditched him"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqTMELBh23g
He's the same solid media performer he's always been. This isn't a Select Committee.
http://tinyurl.com/j4wkhlc
Food for thought for Remain on EU trade
http://app.ft.com/cms/s/864c3a96-fbf1-11e5-b5f5-070dca6d0a0d.html?siteedition=uk
If you haven't, get one.
Following his ads attacking Lyin' Ted and HRC in WI Kasich continues in the same vein in NY. So obvious to see what his intentions are, who knows if a deal has been down, but it is one of a number Trump could do if he is a few short.
https://dougwead.wordpress.com/2016/03/07/how-the-establishment-will-now-try-to-steal-the-nomination-from-donald-trump/
Oh, and Labour won Aldenham Parish Council (basically, Radlett, Aldenham, and Letchmore Heath). Probably the wealthiest parish council in the country, by head of population.
Conservative plans to leave the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) and create a British Bill of Rights are “Worthless”.
Nigel Farage, UKIP’s leader said: “Whether they like it or not, we will never be free of the European Convention of Human Rights while we stay in the European Union. While the ECHR was initially a creation of the Council of Europe, the pan European body that stretches to the Urals, it is now an integrated part of the European Union.
"Back in 2011 I asked the European Commission a series of Questions about the way in which membership of the EU requires, post Lisbon, a Treaty which Cameron refused to give us a referendum on, accession to the constraints of the ECHR. The answers given make it absolutely clear.”
- ...respect for fundamental rights as guaranteed by the European Convention on Human Rights is an explicit obligation for the Union under Article 6(3) of the Treaty on European Union.
http://www.ukip.org/let_s_get_it_straight_on_human_rights
Whatever happened to them...?
I made the big mistake of using #threesome on Twitter to try to find out. OMG! I'm obviously an innocent. I just hope Google doesn't remember and start serving me (in)appropriate ads or I'll have some explaining to do to my wife.
#superinjunction did the trick.
IIRC 1996 so the Tory vote go up by 4% from 1995, when we lost the 2,000 councillors.
Or. All gloves can come off at that point, particularly with those constituency parties who feel slighted and ignored by Cameron.
Feb trade
Exports:
EU - £11.3bn (+£0.4bn)
Non-EU - £11.9bn (-£0.1bn)
Imports
EU - £19.9bn (+£1.2bn)
Non-EU £15.3bn (-£1.1bn)
Absolutely horrible figures.
It may be big and clever on an interweb forum, it cuts no ice with those getting off the bus en route.
He couldn't hold his drink and later confessed to throwing up about £400 of 1918 whisky. The food was average
I've no idea what this thread's about. The leadership challenge won't come before the last week of June. And come it will.