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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LEAVE moves to its best position yet in the ICM weekly EURe
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Like Mrs JackW in Asprey Bond Street !! ..
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/719981425882226689
Whichever campaign gets the designation, both campaigns need to accept it and put 100% undivided attention into winning the referendum. Nothing else (should) matter.
Re the Netherlands and the Ukraine: it has apparently been raitified by every state - including the Netherlands. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine–European_Union_Association_Agreement
Apparently, the treaty came into force on 1 February 2016 when the Belgian parliament ratified it, being the 30th entity to finish the ratification process.
It seems incomprehensible to me that the Dutch would ratify an agreement and then have a referendum on it.
Which part did you specifically disagree with? - the 1989 visit to SA with Kenneth Warren and Dr David Kelly?, or Thatcher signing the urgent operational requirement (UOR) document on her final day as PM? Or something else?
Jeremy Corbyn admits failing to include state pension income on his hand-written tax return
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/12/jeremy-corbyn-admits-failing-to-include-state-pension-income-on/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Would we have 6 clubs in the Champions League next season?
Man City would take their place in the Champions League.
Liverpool would also qualify for the Champs league.
Maximum number of teams from anyone country in the Champs league is 5.
https://twitter.com/RaheemKassam/status/719984153056440324
The 10/10 certainty to vote with ICM is very encouraging for Leave, Remain only take the lead with those 7/10 and under, same figures with the TNS poll.
The certainty to vote question gives an 8 point lead for Leave in both ICM and TNS.
With the ORB phone poll the 10/10 certainty makes a 7 point Remain lead into a tie.
This of course tells us something that we already know, if turnout is lower than the GE then Leave get the upper hand, if it's higher then Remain get the upper hand.
Clearly Walt Whitman was a Eurosceptic :-)
Instinctively if feels like something I must do.
I love the different countries of Europe and wish peace and prosperity to all but it bugs me - and it has always bugged me - to see smug, power hungry suits like Juncker and Schulz back slapping one another as if they are masters of the fucking universe, while sneering at us little people.
Sod it..I'm for out. And I think we'll do just fine.
PS - and for those who think I'm misinformed... yep, guilty as charged..But my vote still counts.
I am intrigued by the referendum. From Leavers on here it sounds like their ideal situation is Leave followed by EEA/EFTA. "LeaveHQ" have a website dedicated to this.
Now, whether you think it is 20% or 70% of EU laws and directives adopted by Norway as an EEU member, that still leaves the four freedoms and imposition of single market rules on the 44% of exports that we conduct with the EU.
@Richard_Tyndall and @Philip_Thompson have given examples of the huge diminution of sovereignty that comes with membership of the EU (eg. nearly the tampon tax plus Gordon Brown's mad machinations on energy tax).
So my position is that logically we should remain members of the EU because on balance we benefit from having a common trading area and the supposed egregious sovereignty violations I can live with. But I of course will respect the will of the British people whatever they choose. Just as I would have done if they had voted in EdM last year. We will manage and, luckily, I will be more insulated than many from any fallout from a decision which disadvantages our economy.
I understand very clearly that in certain sectors we would be in a demonstrably worse position being in the EEA than being an EU member. We have rehearsed it many times on here but if we were in the EEA rather than the EU our financial services industry would be at a serious disadvantage. Of course you may not think that's important and you are allowed to think that but it is of no small concern to the country.
https://twitter.com/minefornothing/status/714041298622160896
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a3SYRwUSL58
"Oh why did we lose the Referendum, if only Nick Clegg was against AV"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGP0jxj1-EQ
They should have played that on GE night.
Nor are the single market rules 'imposed' on EEA members. They have input in the process from start to finish. You should stop believing the myths from Cameron and the Remainders.
Trump v sanders ,the guy who does trump had me in stiches - lol
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Poi5x0E2CM&nohtml5=False
JeremyCorbyn4PM @JeremyCorbyn4PM 13m13 minutes ago
.@jeremycorbyn over-paid tax in the past year, say his office - declared £270 more than he should have for 2014/15
So let's sum this up.
The LOTO Having shouted the odds for over a week about someone who has followed the law then is found himself to have submitted his tax return late then takes a week to find a copy of the same tax return. Two days later after deciphering the return only to discover he "allegedly" appears to have paid too much tax over the year.....
And Labour thinks this is good news and justifies there entire stance....... Seriously??
Actually what it does is sum up Labours entire fiscal approach and total lack of responsibility where budgets and finance are involved.
EDIT and still gets it wrong apparently by not including pensions.
Couldn't make it up...
Moron.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2011/feb/05/av-get-clegg-campaign
Now the Leave camp has 2 juicy faces to put on it's leaflets, one of Corbyn to be sent to safe Tory seats, and one of Cameron to be sent to safe Labour seats.
That should do the trick.
I'm hopefully that less than 51% of the country will vote on fear alone. I certainly won't.
Very interesting, and not obviously biased, which surprised me.
Heath interviewed admitting he covered up the true intent from Day One.
As for the two examples, the tampon tax and VAT on energy. We won the first, you assume it is because of the EU referendum, and on energy tax, again, it is simply your assumption that Gordo chose 5% because that was the EU minimum. It looks hugely likely but is far from conclusive. Of course if we are in the realms of you taking Gordon Brown to be a political hero I may have to reassess your whole PB input.
On financial services, of which I am going out on a limb to say I have a better understanding than you, the issue is far more straightforward. As an EU member we have an input at every stage including voting. We lobby hard to achieve a compromise which suits us best.
As of the most recent EU legislatition, the ESMA MiFID/MiFIR Delegated Acts (https://ec.europa.eu/transparency/regdoc/rep/3/2016/EN/3-2016-2031-EN-F1-1.PDF) the FCA had a huge input and effectively achieved what it wanted in key areas (I won't bore you which ones). Outside the EU I can't see that this would have happened.
I have no idea but my guess is this is mirrored in other industrial and service sectors.
So for all your Cry Freedom For Tampons, the harsh reality in areas which make a difference to the British public and the UK economy, is that we are on balance better off in the EU than out of it.
The sound of the red flag and socialist hammers and saws would be heard in the distance as they erect Dave's scaffold for use in the morning.
And you are simply in denial about the 5% VAT on energy costs. Of course you are because it goes against your blinkered Eurofanaticism.
As for the EEA as it relates to FinReg, together with the final vote, don't embarrass yourself.
http://infacts.org/farage-shouldnt-crow-ukraine-vote/
Members of the Midlands Industrial Council, a group of businessmen which have bankrolled the Conservative party for 20 years, are planning to donate between £4million and £5million to the anti-EU campaign over the next 10 weeks.
It will be seen as an attempt to redress the balance following the Government’s controversial decision to spend £9.3million of taxpayers’ money in order to send a pro-EU leaflet to every home in Britain.
David Wall, the Council's secretary, says his members are "incandescent with rage" over Mr Cameron's decision to send the leaflet.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/12/conservative-donors-prepare-to-sink-5million-into-brexit-campaig/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Have got it ready to sling back on the post box with return address 10 Downing Street, Londong SW1
They've done Project Fear and name calling, is Dave going for the "trust me, I'm a straight kind of guy" act next?
Moron.
It's getting worse each time it's revisited. Pandora's box indeed. At the very least you would expect him to be squeaky clean....alas no. As you say ....a moron.
But surely someone will grasp the nettle and take LEAVE by the scruff of the neck within the next few weeks?
https://twitter.com/RaheemKassam/status/719996566841520128
I don't see how this is good politics for him.
I hope to have it wrapped up sooner than that though.
If he really wants to damage Leave, he could ask for an injunction to stop Vote Leave from doing anything whilst the case is heard.
But I do know (1) the Eurozone and its younng unemployed are b*ggered for many years to come, (2) Europe is awash with many hundreds of thousands more un- or counterproductive people, and that's just 2015, and (3) the IMF did not warn of global economic damege when the cretinous Eurozone was started.