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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The referendum is currently much more about the economy tha
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The referendum is currently much more about the economy than immigration
Today’s been a huge one in the build up to June 23rd. The Treasury statement announced by Osborne this morning has met with a furious reaction from the LEAVE and looking at the above polling you can see why.
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Oh wait, I did
https://twitter.com/StrongerIn/status/722110918906261504
Can they both lose?
I'd have been hammering that message every day
update: fixed
I may be a Leaver, but I'm quite sure if it has not already happened, someone who supports Remaining will say something really stupid, and it will be reacted to as though the PM said it personally, or at the least attributed to the 'Remain campaign', even if they are not a spokesperson for BSE, so I struggle to get worked up over such standard political fare, because I know my side will do the same, even though we have what I consider the more compelling arguments
Stuart Rose - higher wages
EU contributions - reduced, more money for NHS
Our own regulations and trade deals - more trade and growth
Lower immigration - more affordable housing for all
There you go.
"Vote Leave" works much better as a call to action in the high street. The guy handing out leaflets calling out "Britain stronger in Europe" seemed to trip over the words which had limited impact.
Street politics doesn't matter, but vote leave is catchier.
3 of most respected thinkers on right - @FraserNelson, @andrew_lilico + @AllisterHeath - all say Osborne being dishonest. Not ideal for No11
Boris is the front man, and popular too.
I also think neither of them will go after Remain's front man, David Cameron, so they are trying to frame the debate as Remain is the risk.
As a West Ham fan enjoying one of our best seasons in decades I would be genuinely disappointed if the two points we cost Leicester meant they didn't win the Premier League. It is a very long time since I have so badly wanted a team other than the Hammers to win.
In terms of it speaking how bad they are that we are reduced to ranking the severity of their 'lies', but really that just seems pretty normal practice - politics is about spin, half truths and obfuscations, no side or campaign is going to be squeaky clean after wrestling in the mud, so it'll always come down to a debate on which side is the most filthy.
@camusson: MPs Alex Salmond & Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh have been removed from Council of Europe socialist group after Labour argued SNP aren't socialists
As the countdown to the referendum begins its final phase the Remain campaign has seen further improvement in its position according to the latest ORB Poll for the The Telegraph.
While there is a growing majority preference among UK voters for Britain to remain in the EU, the risk for the Remain campaign as identified in previous ORB polls continues to be that Leave voters are more motivated to vote at this stage of the referendum campaign.
However, the gap in motivation to turnout and vote between the two sides is closing. The latest ORB poll shows those who want the UK to remain in the EU are becoming more motivated to vote. This research shows that turnout overall is up three points (to 67 per cent).
This turnout jump is completely down to an increase in motivation among Remain voters – where 65% (up four points since the previous track) are now likely to cast a vote. Contrastingly, there has been no change in motivation among Leave voters, with 70 per cent saying that they are definite to vote on referendum day.
If a referendum was held today, Remain would secure 52 per cent of the vote, an increase of three points since the previous ORB poll, while Leave would secure 43 per cent of the vote, a decrease of five points since the previous poll. But this isn’t solely down to an improvement in turnout among Remain voters
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/18/remain-pulls-ahead-of-leave-in-eu-referendum-poll-as-david-camer/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Of course it is a complete disaster for LEAVE which has not launched yet.....
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/04/18/the-treasurys-dodgy-dossier-on-brexit-is-beneath-contempt/
Fraser Nelson
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/04/the-deceptions-behind-george-osbornes-brexit-report/?utm_content=buffer3fa2c&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
What happens to the other 5%?
Or is the journalist just talking rubbish based on opinion polls that proved their skill, accuracy and perspicacity to such remarkable effect last year?
Sir Lynton Crosby, the strategist behind the Conservative's election victory, says that the Remain campaign is pulling ahead as the referendum approaches
Osborne had done it for them.
Oops
The strange death of left-wing Euroscepticism
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/04/the-strange-death-of-left-wing-euroscepticism/
I thought I'd be delivering leaflets on Saturday. I was told by the organiser that "that comes later".
I was like, how much later? July?
Then, whilst the deputy organiser went back to having his cooked breakfast, I went straight out with another guy to leaflet the public outside the community centre.
The whole country has had the Government guff, and Will Straw's smegma. That's why I've ordered 2,000 leaflets.
I will deliver them myself.
Last game is at Chelsea and we would much rather Ranieri won it than Spurs.
@SamCoatesTimes: @jennirsl I'm afraid I'm going to have to refer you to the Labour press office with those questions...
What fun. Either HMG denies the figures in which case the whole dossier goes down as bunkum, or they confirm it and take a bucket of manure in the face.
Cameron and Osborne probably will get their wish and keep us locked in to the EU (with more integration and a probable switch to the Euro no doubt on the cards during the coming decades) but there is one saving grace... We'll be able to sit back and watch the spectacle of the Odious Osborne (what a nice ring that phrase has... When the papers put it in their headlines a few years hence, remember you heard it here first) being utterly eviscerated and destroyed after Cameron b*ggers off.
How we'll laugh!
David Attenborough
David Beckham
Paul McCartney
Dan Hodges @DPJHodges
ORB poll: Remain 52%, Leave 43%.
Very much like the test match commentators on the radio when it starts raining - they go from business to entertaining conversation without missing a beat.