Thanks for the thread Pulpstar and also for pointing out earlier the value in Betfair's current 6.2 (5.94 net) against Trump being elected Potus come November. He's a very formidable candidate and even though he's unlikely to make it, I can see this price shortening to 4.0 or less over the next 6 months, thereby offering a decent trading opportunity. DYOR.
I had a look at some polls today, Trump seems to be increasing in strength from when I looked at the numbers to do with this thread.
My hunch is that Kasich and Cruz coming up with their pact just will play into Trump's narrative. However it seems so stupid for them to play into his hands in this way that I'm sure I must be missing something.
This is an impressive piece of work, Pulpstar, thanks. It must have taken you ages.
It really didn't take me that long, I've been following the race so nerdingly closely it was more a case of banging it out onto paper (And checking latest facts) >< !
Why are Real Madrid not in their white kit....its a nightmare for those of us watching in black and white ;-)
Your old Black & White TV set must now be worth a small fortune. Do you still get the small disappearing white dot in the centre of the screen every time you turn it off?
Ted Cruz's net favourables have almost slipped to an all time low among republicans (his all time low is net 0). He dropped 12 points in 5 days (the bathroom war effect).
It gives you an indication as to why he had to try for a deal with Kasich, and why Trump looks likely to sweep it today.
It's not that, Cruz's delegate shenanigans are really beginning irritate the voters. To compound it Cruz then did it again in Maine where LaPage had proposed the delegates be actual supporters of each candidate, a unity slate. This got big play in the NE. Alongside the Kasich deal I think there is a real chance he goes sub 10% in RI, with Trump potentially above 66.7%.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Up for election on 9th May are
12 seats to the Senate of the Philippines; All 297 seats to the House of Representatives of the Philippines; All governors, vice governors, and 772 seats to provincial boards for 81 provinces of the Philippines ; All mayors and vice mayors for 145 cities in the Philippines and for 1,489 municipalities of the Philippines; All members of the city councils in the Philippines and 11,924 seats on municipal councils in the Philippines; and Governor, vice governor and all 24 seats in the regional assembly of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Up for election on 9th May are
12 seats to the Senate of the Philippines; All 297 seats to the House of Representatives of the Philippines; All governors, vice governors, and 772 seats to provincial boards for 81 provinces of the Philippines ; All mayors and vice mayors for 145 cities in the Philippines and for 1,489 municipalities of the Philippines; All members of the city councils in the Philippines and 11,924 seats on municipal councils in the Philippines; and Governor, vice governor and all 24 seats in the regional assembly of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Up for election on 9th May are
12 seats to the Senate of the Philippines; All 297 seats to the House of Representatives of the Philippines; All governors, vice governors, and 772 seats to provincial boards for 81 provinces of the Philippines ; All mayors and vice mayors for 145 cities in the Philippines and for 1,489 municipalities of the Philippines; All members of the city councils in the Philippines and 11,924 seats on municipal councils in the Philippines; and Governor, vice governor and all 24 seats in the regional assembly of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
Glad to see you have confidence in government reports, you seemed a little doubtful of their provenance last week.
:-)
A healthy dose of scepticism never hurt anyone.
I am sure we will be in a better position to determine the validity of the government commissioned report when we know more about TTIP. That is assuming it actually progresses further and does not get kicked into the long grass.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Up for election on 9th May are
12 seats to the Senate of the Philippines; All 297 seats to the House of Representatives of the Philippines; All governors, vice governors, and 772 seats to provincial boards for 81 provinces of the Philippines ; All mayors and vice mayors for 145 cities in the Philippines and for 1,489 municipalities of the Philippines; All members of the city councils in the Philippines and 11,924 seats on municipal councils in the Philippines; and Governor, vice governor and all 24 seats in the regional assembly of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
Is there still fighting in Mindanao or is that all settled down?
If Manilla is 25% of the population then why is it 33% of turnout?
There is some low intensity stuff in Mindanao, with the odd territorial flare up, but really unless you go to some pretty out of the way places you wouldn't notice it.
That was an estimate, but simply most of the middle class lives in Manila, its compact and there are lots of places to vote. Farmers in the province might have a significant walk to vote, might not have been able to register owing to difficulties getting the paperwork organised, and might well feel a little bit more distant from national political goings on. All my middle class friends intend to vote, several of my working class friends and employees are not registered. There are lots of complexities in as much as lots of working class people travel to more prosperous areas to work, but need to register and vote in their home town.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
I am sure the voting will go fine, it's the nightmare for the pollsters I was thinking about
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
That is an awful lot of people not particularly incentivised to vote for a party trying to restrict public spending.
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
It obviously even worse, as a lot of those people will also be on tax credits.
What it highlights to me is we clearly have far too many people being paid very little or not working, and there isn't an easy way to fix the former. Simply escalating minimum wage further won't do it. We have a huge structural imbalance, just as we do with service vs other sectors.
Would be interesting to know wage distributions in Germany. I am presuming because of a much bigger [semi]-skilled manufacturing base, those people get paid reasonably well.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
No we didn't. Even you are not dumb enough to believe that. We joined and remained the sick man of Europe until we elected a leader who was willing and able to deal with the issues. Being in the EEC at the time had Sweet FA to do with it.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
This is idiocy, no wonder people believe in the magic money tree when they don't have to contribute to the costs of anything. If people don't pay at least a nominal amount into the running of the state, they have no appreciation for how well their money is being spent, why would they election politicians that spend the money wisely when it's other people's money.
A "Tory" government pursuing this sort of policy is crazy, it means almost half the votes only see the downside of austerity, they don't pay any taxes so tax cuts don't mean anything to them, they just see they are getting less services. How do you interest a population in the value of being careful with the national bank balance when half of them are not footing the bill.
Much as it pains me to say it, Gordon Brown was on the right track with his starting 10% tax rate, hell make it 5% if necessary, but at least that way people feel they are making a contribution to society, and have an interest in that contribution being used wisely.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
Even when making silly comments its best to check the facts first.
1973 UK joins EEC 1974 Three day week 1976 IMF crisis 1979 Winter of Discontent
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
That is an awful lot of people not particularly incentivised to vote for a party trying to restrict public spending.
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
It obviously even worse, as a lot of those people will also be on tax credits.
What it highlights to me is we clearly have far too many people being paid very little or not working, and there isn't an easy way to fix the former.
If I was a labour market economist I might speculate what the effect of making the supply of labour almost infinitely elastic might be but thankfully I don't understand these things.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
Was down, to Callaghan, Healey, and Thatcher.
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
Even when making silly comments its best to check the facts first.
1973 UK joins EEC 1974 Three day week 1976 IMF crisis 1979 Winter of Discontent
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
EU > Maggie? What kind of a Tory are you?
Look under the blue suit, there is probably yellow underwear
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
That is an awful lot of people not particularly incentivised to vote for a party trying to restrict public spending.
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
It obviously even worse, as a lot of those people will also be on tax credits.
What it highlights to me is we clearly have far too many people being paid very little or not working, and there isn't an easy way to fix the former.
If I was a labour market economist I might speculate what the effect of making the supply of labour almost infinitely elastic might be but thankfully I don't understand these things.
Could it also be further evidence that minimum wage is effectively maximum wage for many low / semi skilled jobs. Retail, Call Centre, Warehousing, etc all pay minimum wage plus a little bit..With a massive supply of labour and a mark in the sand at which they pay just above it.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
That is an awful lot of people not particularly incentivised to vote for a party trying to restrict public spending.
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
You could also argue that many of the income tax payers will still be net recipients of government spending either through being employed by the government and/or being in receipt of other government spending.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
This is idiocy, no wonder people believe in the magic money tree when they don't have to contribute to the costs of anything. If people don't pay at least a nominal amount into the running of the state, they have no appreciation for how well their money is being spent, why would they election politicians that spend the money wisely when it's other people's money.
A "Tory" government pursuing this sort of policy is crazy, it means almost half the votes only see the downside of austerity, they don't pay any taxes so tax cuts don't mean anything to them, they just see they are getting less services. How do you interest a population in the value of being careful with the national bank balance when half of them are not footing the bill.
Much as it pains me to say it, Gordon Brown was on the right track with his starting 10% tax rate, hell make it 5% if necessary, but at least that way people feel they are making a contribution to society, and have an interest in that contribution being used wisely.
I agree. Everybody should have some stake in what the government of the day is spending - and not just on the receiving end.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
EU > Maggie? What kind of a Tory are you?
It was a joke. Was out canvassing and met a Tory voter, who would make Ken Clarke look like Bill Cash.
CNN has started their coverage - big picture will be a big night for Hillary, a bigger night for Trump.
Cue 5hrs of teaser exit polls, where we are told what percentage of left handed half latino / half african american OAPs, whose favourite food is rice and beans, have voted.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
Really, we weren't. We'd just lost the Empire, and were facing a savage war in Northern Ireland. And so, we'd gone from top dog to very important dog in a generation. In reality, 1970's Britain was one of the best places in the World to live in, as Britain is today.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
That is an awful lot of people not particularly incentivised to vote for a party trying to restrict public spending.
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
It obviously even worse, as a lot of those people will also be on tax credits.
What it highlights to me is we clearly have far too many people being paid very little or not working, and there isn't an easy way to fix the former.
If I was a labour market economist I might speculate what the effect of making the supply of labour almost infinitely elastic might be but thankfully I don't understand these things.
If it's infinitely elastic at the subsistence wage then you put rocket boosters on growth (cf. W. A. Lewis's model)
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
Was down, to Callaghan, Healey, and Thatcher.
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
Now the stats are the other way around.
The EEC certainly did much better than us from the Treaty of Rome to 1975. This was partly because it was, as Robert said this morning, a protectionist racket, and quite a successful one at that. But it was the 80s before we got our act together.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
Really, we weren't. We'd just lost the Empire, and were facing a savage war in Northern Ireland. And so, we'd gone from top dog to very important dog in a generation. In reality, 1970's Britain was one of the best places in the World to live in, as Britain is today.
I was born right at the end of the 70s, I only go by what people tell me.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
Was down, to Callaghan, Healey, and Thatcher.
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
Now the stats are the other way around.
The EEC certainly did much better than us from the Treaty of Rome to 1975. This was partly because it was, as Robert said this morning, a protectionist racket, and quite a successful one at that. But it was the 80s before we got our act together.
In the 1970's, the World (economically) consisted of North America, Western Europe, Japan, Australia, and not much else.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
No we didn't. Even you are not dumb enough to believe that. We joined and remained the sick man of Europe until we elected a leader who was willing and able to deal with the issues. Being in the EEC at the time had Sweet FA to do with it.
It was a joke, in response to DavidL's and Robert's joke.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
Almost half of Britons pay no income tax while the richest are now shouldering the biggest burden on record, a new analysis has found.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
EU > Maggie? What kind of a Tory are you?
It was a joke. Was out canvassing and met a Tory voter, who would make Ken Clarke look like Bill Cash.
Don't worry, I was joking too, it's hard to convey it over the internet!
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
Really, we weren't. We'd just lost the Empire, and were facing a savage war in Northern Ireland. And so, we'd gone from top dog to very important dog in a generation. In reality, 1970's Britain was one of the best places in the World to live in, as Britain is today.
I was born right at the end of the 70s, I only go by what people tell me.
The Smiley/Kara novels give a good indication of the mindset of many right-wingers at the time "Poor dears, trained to rule the Empire, trained to rule the waves". And, seeing it all taken away. It led people to overlook the fact that the UK was becoming ever more prosperous, and still quite capable of packing a punch (as the Argentinians and IRA were to discover).
Trump should clear 50% in Connecticut once you factor Don't Knows, and as a closed primary. It's a decent chunk of delegates if he makes it across the board.
I agree with 9/10 (that's 2 + 7/8 statewide) for RI.
Trump should clear 50% in Connecticut once you factor Don't Knows, and as a closed primary. It's a decent chunk of delegates if he makes it across the board.
I agree with 9/10 (that's 2 + 7/8 statewide) for RI.
The more I run up the possibilities (including the fact that Trump could lose some delegates in West Virginia because of some truly arcane rules) the more important Indiana becomes. The central forecast of ~35 has an error margin +/- 15, which carried through to CA makes a big difference.
A rather important point that Breitbart unaccountably seem to have omitted is that the report is, in fact, not on proposed benefits of the TTIP.
It's on an analysis of one proposed chapter - an Investment Protection Chapter.
It's a rather strange conflation by Breitbart, especially as the first sentence of the introduction of the report (as anyone who clicks through to it can see) states "This report assesses the likely costs and benefits for the United Kingdom (UK) of an investment protection chapter in a proposed free trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and the United States (US)."
One would almost think that Breitbart have a slant they wish to promote.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
No we didn't. Even you are not dumb enough to believe that. We joined and remained the sick man of Europe until we elected a leader who was willing and able to deal with the issues. Being in the EEC at the time had Sweet FA to do with it.
It was a joke, in response to DavidL's and Robert's joke.
It is a claim that was repeated to me almost word for word when I was on a Leave stall in Newark a couple of weeks ago. Along with the idiocy that the EU prevented war in Europe.
No claim is too dumb for some Remain supporters at the moment.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
Was down, to Callaghan, Healey, and Thatcher.
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Don't forget that 10 years ago we didn't have smart phones, 20 years ago we didn't have the internet and 80 years ago we didn't have TV, let alone David Dimbleby or even his dad!
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
You'll be telling us life went on before the EU next. And who could believe that?
Don't be stupid, there was no UK before the EU, merely a small barren island populated by a few starving savages
In the 70s we were the sick man of Europe, we then joined the EC, and miraculously stopped being the sick man of Europe.
Huzzah for the EC
So, nothing to do with finding a lot of oil in the North Sea then? Or Maggie? Just the munificent EU. We are truly not worthy.
Was down, to Callaghan, Healey, and Thatcher.
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
A audience member who said he backs Sanders' candidacy asked the senator whether he will encourage his supporters to back Clinton if she wins the nomination.
"We’re not a movement where I can snap my fingers and say to you or to anybody else what you should do, that you should all listen to me. You shouldn’t. You make these decisions yourself," Sanders replied.
He then said that Clinton will have to court his supporters herself.
"And if Secretary Clinton wins, it is incumbent upon her to tell millions of people who right now do not believe in establishment politics or establishment economics, who have serious misgivings about a candidate who has received millions of dollars from Wall Street and other special interests," he said. "She has got to go out to you."
Undefined discussion subject.
Comments
Hey, suggestion for the RNC: start over in Iowa.
He's a very formidable candidate and even though he's unlikely to make it, I can see this price shortening to 4.0 or less over the next 6 months, thereby offering a decent trading opportunity.
DYOR.
Try picking out the teams by carrier pigeon report ....
"According to the sole government commissioned assessment of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), the proposed agreement will have “few or no benefits to the UK”."
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/04/26/uk-governments-official-report-into-toxic-ttip-concluded-it-is-bad-for-britain/
Or what Sanders thinks he is doing still fighting this?
I think it is great that there is a democratic process that can make the Brexit campaigns look good but really, this is weird.
Via Fox News.
I am studying the local opinion polls here in the Philippines for the General election a week on Monday, it's it going to be fascinating to see how accurate it is, as you would think on the surface they have some almost insurmountable problems in getting a representative sample.
A country of 100 million people, 54.5 million registered voters, encompassing an archipelago of some 7,641 islands. 25 million people and probably a third of the electorate live in the capital, with many more spread out amongst hundreds of small regional cities, but probably half the population living out in the "province" in small village settlements. Quite a few of those in the remotest areas won't have a television set themselves but will share one communally, and may only have 2-3 mobile phones in the extended family, and certainly won't have a landline or an internet connection. But civic pride is keenly felt, and most adults will vote.
Up for election on 9th May are
12 seats to the Senate of the Philippines;
All 297 seats to the House of Representatives of the Philippines;
All governors, vice governors, and 772 seats to provincial boards for 81 provinces of the Philippines ;
All mayors and vice mayors for 145 cities in the Philippines and for 1,489 municipalities of the Philippines;
All members of the city councils in the Philippines and 11,924 seats on municipal councils in the Philippines; and
Governor, vice governor and all 24 seats in the regional assembly of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
The pollsters in the UK don't know they are born!
http://www.sws.org.ph/pr20160425.htm
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/724993336000532480
:-)
Is there still fighting in Mindanao or is that all settled down?
If Manilla is 25% of the population then why is it 33% of turnout?
http://www.vocativ.com/312479/kkk-endorses-hillary-clinton-for-president/
I am sure we will be in a better position to determine the validity of the government commissioned report when we know more about TTIP. That is assuming it actually progresses further and does not get kicked into the long grass.
But somehow or other we still managed to get by when General Elections came along.
That was an estimate, but simply most of the middle class lives in Manila, its compact and there are lots of places to vote. Farmers in the province might have a significant walk to vote, might not have been able to register owing to difficulties getting the paperwork organised, and might well feel a little bit more distant from national political goings on. All my middle class friends intend to vote, several of my working class friends and employees are not registered. There are lots of complexities in as much as lots of working class people travel to more prosperous areas to work, but need to register and vote in their home town.
Lol
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36142533
And they wonder why CoE attendance is through the floor...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the proportion of working-age adults who do not pay income tax has risen from 34.3 per cent to 43.8 per cent, equivalent to 30million people*.
Over the same period the amount of income tax paid by the richest 1 per cent has risen from 24.4 per cent to 27.5 per cent, meaning that 300,000 people pay more than a quarter of the nation's income tax.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/26/nearly-half-of-britons-pay-no-income-tax-as-burden-on-rich-incre/
* This is clearly wrong, as there aren't 60+ million working age adults in the UK (even with the dodgy government figures)
As they kept saying in Meet the Robinsons " I am not sure that this plan has been properly thought through ,"
Huzzah for the EC
What it highlights to me is we clearly have far too many people being paid very little or not working, and there isn't an easy way to fix the former. Simply escalating minimum wage further won't do it. We have a huge structural imbalance, just as we do with service vs other sectors.
Would be interesting to know wage distributions in Germany. I am presuming because of a much bigger [semi]-skilled manufacturing base, those people get paid reasonably well.
A "Tory" government pursuing this sort of policy is crazy, it means almost half the votes only see the downside of austerity, they don't pay any taxes so tax cuts don't mean anything to them, they just see they are getting less services. How do you interest a population in the value of being careful with the national bank balance when half of them are not footing the bill.
Much as it pains me to say it, Gordon Brown was on the right track with his starting 10% tax rate, hell make it 5% if necessary, but at least that way people feel they are making a contribution to society, and have an interest in that contribution being used wisely.
1973 UK joins EEC
1974 Three day week
1976 IMF crisis
1979 Winter of Discontent
I saw some stats on twitter last week, economically we truly were a basket case in the 70s, and the EC was performing much better than us, which was one of the reasons we voted to Remain in 1975.
Now the stats are the other way around.
http://blog.dilbert.com/post/143431313681/the-unfavorability-illusion
2 months ago you'd have put your house on Clinton - Maryland, but Rhode Island could be bigger for Trump than Maryland - Clinton.
You've guessed it
Marco Rubio !
https://twitter.com/Elin_A_Roberts/status/725006052094271490
Blame it on auto-correct?
At least it's not "Super Tuesday IV" like on CNN.
Can you name the 3 Labour Prime Ministers who had the first name James.
I agree with 9/10 (that's 2 + 7/8 statewide) for RI.
James Ramsay MacDonald, James Harold Wilson, and James Gordon Brown.
Leonard James Callaghan doesn't count, which is amusing as he was the only one who went by the name James.
Booo, tricked by TSE.
"James" Corbyn to be next?
It's on an analysis of one proposed chapter - an Investment Protection Chapter.
It's a rather strange conflation by Breitbart, especially as the first sentence of the introduction of the report (as anyone who clicks through to it can see) states "This report assesses the likely costs and benefits for the United Kingdom (UK) of an investment protection chapter in a proposed free trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and the United States (US)."
One would almost think that Breitbart have a slant they wish to promote.
No claim is too dumb for some Remain supporters at the moment.
1970-1979 2.6%pa
2000-2009 1.9%pa
2010-2015 2.0%pa
http://web.ons.gov.uk/ons/datasets-and-tables/data-selector.html?cdid=IHYP&dataset=pn2&table-id=C2
It was also an era of higher productivity growth and increasing home ownership.
There were many things wrong with the 1970s but we tend to be complacent about how successful we are now.
A audience member who said he backs Sanders' candidacy asked the senator whether he will encourage his supporters to back Clinton if she wins the nomination.
"We’re not a movement where I can snap my fingers and say to you or to anybody else what you should do, that you should all listen to me. You shouldn’t. You make these decisions yourself," Sanders replied.
He then said that Clinton will have to court his supporters herself.
"And if Secretary Clinton wins, it is incumbent upon her to tell millions of people who right now do not believe in establishment politics or establishment economics, who have serious misgivings about a candidate who has received millions of dollars from Wall Street and other special interests," he said. "She has got to go out to you."
Ruh roh.