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FPT: His job description specifically includes providing such speculation as to the risks of the economy so that point is moot.
Purdah is perhaps more valid. Not sure if purdah should apply here though (I thought from memory the purdah period hasn't started yet and furthermore it applies to the government and civil service, not sure it extends to the independent BoE.
The great mystery of this campaign is why there's been so little variance in the betting odds.
In my view on turnout
55% Leave win
65% Remain win
75% Too close to call
85% Remain win
Gary Johnson the presumptive Libertarian Candadit?
...having googled "channel 4 election conservative script" then yes, it looks like something purporting to be evidence has been released. I have no view on its authenticity or what it would prove if authentic.
I don't know how widespread the use of similar tactics is. I get the impression that the Tories had a lot more money than other parties and a hugely effective marginal-target operation which may mean they behaved in different and "innovative" ways, but it may be that everyone was doing the same as one another.
Clinton 48 Sanders 33
Clinton 43 Sanders 32
http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-oregon-poll/
Louisiana KMC Analytics
Trump 52 Clinton 36
Trump 55 Sanders 32
http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/LA-Presidential-Executive-Summary.pdf
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-36279937
The group breaks down into two distinct clusters.
The first is students, private tenants, the economically inactive due to illness and jobseekers. These are young or working age. They are Labour. They are Remain.
The second is pensioners, outright homeowners, homemakers. They are middle aged or elderly. They are Tory or UKIP. They are Leave.
Which ones are more likely to vote?
It's the same with online/phone polls. They are not uniform in their quality.
Some internet pollsters are accurate. Some are garbage. The same applies with telephones.
It could go either way, but not by much and it hasn't had a big effect on my forecast.
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hang on there's a problem with that.
oh well, in the spirit of this Brexit campaign, who needs facts.
Remember the 'total ban' was in fact a temporary ban 'until we find out what the hell is going on', meaning that undocumented plus those not on any databases would be barred from entry to the US.
IT has proved to be very popular. Unfortunately it's unconstitutional to discriminate on grounds of religion, so it will have to be re-written if it goes ahead.
A scenario such as a US aircraft carrier in the Baltic is accidently hit by a Russian jet that was attempting a barrel roll. Maybe like in the fictional film Top Gun the navigator is taking a picture of the US vessel and they get too close. A tactical nuclear weapon carried by the Russian jet explodes in the Impact.
The point being a valuable US military asset is heavily damaged or more likely destroyed. A standoff ensues and we have a newly and untested President Trump, who has made bellicose rhetoric in relation to international relations poised on the nuclear button against an equally belligerent President Putin who will not accept blame. Neither will back down....................
He has built a very successful company, which you can't do without hiring good people and delegating to them.
Don't let his schtick on the campaign trail fool you - he is a smart cookie.
Just because he's smart and a good delegator isn't enough to make one vote for him however.
Hillary has an as-yet undiscussed disadvantage against Trump in a head-to-head. Unless she brings it to the knife fight he will make it, she will look tired and washed up in comparison. If she does bring it, she will sound like a shrill harpy, further damaging her already damaged image. Bringing it to the gutter is a win-win for Trump.
hoorar for youtube.
On some policy fronts Trump is to the left of Clinton, which makes for a fasinating prospect once it all shakes out.
I know there is a big festival on the Cochella site this autumn. The Who, the Rolling Stones, Bob Dylan and Paul McCartney, Neil Young and Pink Floyd's Roger Waters. It will be like a festival of the zombie apocalypse.
The Corbyn supporter was really rather annoyed at people judging him for not being Prime-ministerial and instead focused on his principles/sincerity. Curiously whilst disdaining Cameron she expressed admiration for Gove, who she thought would wipe the floor with Dave in a debate and even had a good word for Boris' intellectual credentials, suggesting that usual political tribalism is suspended.
How do you campaign against this?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PX5YP0Nn-dU
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-wiltshire-36273388
The plod that stood outside his home making statements have some questions to answer me thinks.
The remain campaign have already overspent the spending limits (£9M) but this was never going to be a fair fight......
Watch the video. It's pretty powerful propaganda.
I am not at all impressed with Vote Leave, however, have been delivering leaflets and will get involved in some door to door canvassing as I could not forgive myself if it is close.
Our education system ought, I think, concentrate on developing literacy, numeracy & scepticism. I fear it it falls down on the last of these.
My point was that Hillary needs to undermine the perception that Trump is capable of making the country better, not disputing whether it needs to be.
If we don't get out there no one else will. Anyhoo even if we lose there is no way I'm going to drop this issue not after this rigged campaign.
damn they must brainwash us if we are Remainers...
now there is a scandal
Could it be Lloyd Blankfein?
I would never break electoral law by voting twice though , so my turnout will be 50%.
I called him out as a spoof weeks back and he got upset, now it seems others have twigged. In the spirit of pb glasnost I'm prepared to say he's either a spoof or a berk, and I don't think he's a berk, his ramblings about his undecided wife are hilarious.
I can picture them both, sobbing uncontrollably as they leave the polling station, apologising to bystanders for voting IN despite it going against all their instincts.
The vapid Meeks spoke of posters being in the pay of others, he's no fool.
But right!
If you suggest that Ukraine has the right to self determination and applicatant status for EU membership and they tend to pop up.
I'd like to know what the going payment rate is and whether PBers can transfer from one foreign agency to another.