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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that th

SystemSystem Posts: 11,017
edited August 2016 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PLP indicate that they expect Corbyn to win and that they won’t split

The Sunday Times reports the “party within a party” framework will be based on the Socialist Campaign Group of MPs, which counts Mr Corbyn as a member.

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • Options
    LOL....they even mis-measured the route....and it had to be altered at the last minute. Are we sure that the 400m track is actually 400m, especially in lane 8?

    Truly is the OmniShambles Games.
  • Options
    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    So who votes in the elections to the shad cab? Is it just the PLP?
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,953
    All that will happen is that both factions of Labour will fight as to who is the 'real' Labour party, and each try to outdo each other in terms of opposing the government.

    "You agreed with the government proposal that union members be granted five extra days' holiday a year? How dare you, you evil fascist tory scum."

    Etc,etc.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited August 2016
    This is embarrassing....100's of soldiers lining the route to control the crowds which consistent of 1 bloke with a sign and few locals who are wondering what all the military personnel are standing there for.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited August 2016

    This is embarrassing....100's of soldiers lining the route to control the crowds which consistent of 1 bloke with a sign and few locals who are wondering what all the military personnel are standing there for.

    Even at the finish line - it's dismal. A few hundred or so on either side.

    Compare the crowd.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9Wlp1sTnoY
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited August 2016
    Afternoon everyone, I'm back from 3 weeks in Australia and New Zealand. One thing's for sure: if the next election is May v Corbyn it'll be the most one-sided election for many decades. 45-25 would be a possibility in terms of votes.
  • Options
    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    This is embarrassing....100's of soldiers lining the route to control the crowds which consistent of 1 bloke with a sign and few locals who are wondering what all the military personnel are standing there for.

    I think the average man on the Rio street would say that he never asked for billions of his tax dollars to be pissed away on this nonsense in the first place. And, honestly, is there anything more boring to spectate at than a marathon?

    Because there aren't enough referenda in the world, and we enjoy them so much when they do happen, perhaps in future the Games should only be held where a majority of the host nation has voted in favour of having them?
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,976
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,976
    Mr. Rog, hope your surgery goes well.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    FPT @ Mr Feersum

    "P.S. The German word for stockpile/hoard - hamstern - always amuses me."

    I presume this is the origin of the word hamper as in picnic hamper.
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    Mr. Rog, hope your surgery goes well.

    Thank you
  • Options
    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Blue_rog said:

    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn

    Hope it's not too serious and that recovery is full and swift.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Mr. Rog, hope your surgery goes well.

    :+1:
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.

    :)

    Though sometimes, I think players in one sport could learn tactics from players in another. American Football players use rugby's lateral pass far too infrequently IMO.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited August 2016
    MTimT said:

    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.

    :)

    Though sometimes, I think players in one sport could learn tactics from players in another. American Football players use rugby's lateral pass far too infrequently IMO.
    The big one that a lot of sports bettor I have spoken to talk about is how infrequently they go for the 4th down and short in the NFL, when the stats show success rate of shifting the ball forward 1-2 yards is very high (even when the opposition know that is what you are going to try and do).
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn

    Hope it's not too serious and that recovery is full and swift.
    I dislocated my ankle about 14 years ago and now one joint has collapsed. It's going to be fused. Pretty routine apparently but the recovery is critical and will be about 14 weeks!
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,105

    This is embarrassing....100's of soldiers lining the route to control the crowds which consistent of 1 bloke with a sign and few locals who are wondering what all the military personnel are standing there for.

    If you think this attendance is bad - wait until the paralympics.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Blue_rog said:

    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn

    Hope it's not too serious and that recovery is full and swift.
    I dislocated my ankle about 14 years ago and now one joint has collapsed. It's going to be fused. Pretty routine apparently but the recovery is critical and will be about 14 weeks!
    Aargh! Daughter went through Lisfranc surgery, and has recovered well. Lots of sofa time though. However, she is back riding at a high level, so I guessed it worked.
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    edited August 2016

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034

    MTimT said:

    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.

    :)

    Though sometimes, I think players in one sport could learn tactics from players in another. American Football players use rugby's lateral pass far too infrequently IMO.
    The big one that a lot of sports bettor I have spoken to talk about is how infrequently they go for the 4th down and short in the NFL, when the stats show success rate of shifting the ball forward 1-2 yards is very high (even when the opposition know that is what you are going to try and do).
    Indeed. This has been noted in quite a lot of the literature. I think I even read it in a paper on behavioural economics.

    My guess is that falls into the valuing lost assets (field position) more than gained assets. Strange, though, in a sport where winning is everything.
  • Options

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    Hmmm.....Mr Wifflestick.
    It looks a lot like a split to me and one where there is a whisker of a chance for the splitters to keep the Labour brand name in future. I suspect Corbynistas would prefer that they split 'properly' to form SDP2 - which is presumably exactly why they'll just do what is being mooted above. Kind of sneaky actually.
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn

    Hope it's not too serious and that recovery is full and swift.
    I dislocated my ankle about 14 years ago and now one joint has collapsed. It's going to be fused. Pretty routine apparently but the recovery is critical and will be about 14 weeks!
    Aargh! Daughter went through Lisfranc surgery, and has recovered well. Lots of sofa time though. However, she is back riding at a high level, so I guessed it worked.
    Mines the talo -navicular joint
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,722

    "Sir, those pesky russkies are blocking the road ahead with five tanks!"
    "Well Joyce, SeanT's just run out of alcohol, and the tanks are between him and the nearest Majestic Wines. Let him loose!"
    "But sir.... would that be fair on the enemy?"

    Whilst working I have the TV on in the background. I read your comment at the same time as ITV were showing "The Incredible Hulk" (Norton variant). Diet Coke came out of my nose...
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
  • Options
    On topic: Corbyn will need to wage war on the PLP. I think the deselection game is about to kick off big style.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,407
    Beeb are showing rhythmic gymnastics. What on earth is it doing in the Olympics?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,976
    Mr. Monty, I have some sympathy, but only some, with that.

    UKIP had the money and activists to do far better. They, again, spread themselves so thin they got nothing. Lots of second places in the north *might* be the basis for future success, if they stop cocking up their own leadership contest.

    As for Labour, a big enough split automatically gets them Official Opposition status, and all the perks of media time and short money that comes with it.

    Mr. Patrick, if it works.

    Your sneaky point, which is otherwise sound, relies on the PLP getting something right.

    I refer my honourable friend to the last 12 months.

    I might be wrong. I hope I am. But expecting the PLP to bugger things up seems a pretty safe bet these days.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Blue_rog said:

    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    MTimT said:

    Blue_rog said:

    I am so looking forward to what happens with the Labour Party. What makes it even more enjoyable is that I'll be bed bound after surgery to my ankle

    Got to order industrial quantities of popcorn

    Hope it's not too serious and that recovery is full and swift.
    I dislocated my ankle about 14 years ago and now one joint has collapsed. It's going to be fused. Pretty routine apparently but the recovery is critical and will be about 14 weeks!
    Aargh! Daughter went through Lisfranc surgery, and has recovered well. Lots of sofa time though. However, she is back riding at a high level, so I guessed it worked.
    Mines the talo -navicular joint
    Guess you'll be setting off the alarms at airport security ...
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
  • Options
    ThrakThrak Posts: 494
    edited August 2016
    ToryJim said:

    Beeb are showing rhythmic gymnastics. What on earth is it doing in the Olympics?

    It looks like a competition for who can wear the most garish make-up.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.

    :)

    Though sometimes, I think players in one sport could learn tactics from players in another. American Football players use rugby's lateral pass far too infrequently IMO.
    The big one that a lot of sports bettor I have spoken to talk about is how infrequently they go for the 4th down and short in the NFL, when the stats show success rate of shifting the ball forward 1-2 yards is very high (even when the opposition know that is what you are going to try and do).
    Indeed. This has been noted in quite a lot of the literature. I think I even read it in a paper on behavioural economics.

    My guess is that falls into the valuing lost assets (field position) more than gained assets. Strange, though, in a sport where winning is everything.
    It mostly seems to be because if they punt and the opposition scores it's seen as the players' fault, but if they go for it on fourth down and fail it's seen as the coach's fault.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,407
    Thrak said:

    ToryJim said:

    Beeb are showing rhythmic gymnastics. What on earth is it doing in the Olympics?

    It looks like a competition for who can wear the most garish make-up.
    It is certainly not what I class as "sport"
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,378
    edited August 2016
    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    I've written a thread on electoral reform, and why the Tories should champion electoral reform.

    It'll be published in the next three weeks.
  • Options

    I might be wrong. I hope I am. But expecting the PLP to bugger things up seems a pretty safe bet these days.

    Ah... Indeed. Seconded! :-)
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    ToryJim said:

    Thrak said:

    ToryJim said:

    Beeb are showing rhythmic gymnastics. What on earth is it doing in the Olympics?

    It looks like a competition for who can wear the most garish make-up.
    It is certainly not what I class as "sport"
    Is there a male/female event? I've not watched it in years.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    Six weeks ago I fully expected Labour to split. Now, I don't expect one within the next 12 months. Corbyn has taken enough hits during this leadership campaign for the PLP to believe in the 'one more go' principle.

    Guerrilla warfare combined with letting Corbyn stew in his own ineptitude will, they'll believe, be enough. The problem will be keeping discipline within their own ranks. To operate effectively, they'll really need at the minimum a chief whip and probably a leader and shadow shadow cabinet. Are they prepared to be that organised and if so, who will they agree on as the leader?
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    I don't get this as an electoral strategy.

    Labour MPs staying as Labour and refusing to work with their elected leader. Who are the public going to be voting for?

    If you vote Labour, you could get Corbyn as PM - which is something that won't work for the Labour MPs who won't work with him.

    So you have no way of voting for and getting 'moderate' Labour.

    The change to Shadow Cabinet rules - as far as I understand that side of the previous Labour rules - would not alter who would get jobs in a future Labour government. So again that doesn't work.

    This is a fudge that doesn't work.

    The Co-operative Party is ideally set up for a proper split. If they could get the numbers, they would become the official opposition, get all the money and prestige that brings - and avoid many of the pitfalls that follow from setting up something from scratch.

    But setting up a party-within-a-party does nothing to serve the interests of future voters who still would be faced with a Corbyn for PM option.
  • Options
    ToryJimToryJim Posts: 3,407
    PlatoSaid said:

    ToryJim said:

    Thrak said:

    ToryJim said:

    Beeb are showing rhythmic gymnastics. What on earth is it doing in the Olympics?

    It looks like a competition for who can wear the most garish make-up.
    It is certainly not what I class as "sport"
    Is there a male/female event? I've not watched it in years.
    Ladies only grr
  • Options
    By the way I have a distended stomach this afternoon. We've had friends round and I've eaten about a gajillion Chinese dumplings. I can hardly move. But very, very yummy.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
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    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    Your wilful ignorance doesn't alter the fact that UKIP got 1 MP for 4,000,000 votes. Not really surprising that so many people feel totally disengaged from the political process with egregious outcomes like that. And the fact that the winning political party only bothered to campaign in 80 seats out of 650 as there was no point in the others doesn't bode well for democracy either.
    Still, as long as your party benefits from the current arrangement then that's fine obviously.
    The system is not fit for purpose. More and more people are realising that fact.
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    I've written a thread on electoral reform, and why the Tories should champion electoral reform.

    It'll be published in the next three weeks.
    I do hope there's a critique of Rod Crosby's PR^2. I'd really like a in depth analysis of the pluses and minuses of that form of pr
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    BBC saying we're now guaranteed to finish above China as they only have one competitor still to go.
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Patrick said:

    By the way I have a distended stomach this afternoon. We've had friends round and I've eaten about a gajillion Chinese dumplings. I can hardly move. But very, very yummy.

    :grin:
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,722
    edited August 2016
    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
  • Options
    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Which of the SNP's winners should have lost? Which UKIP losers should have won?
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    Oh wow, my 1000th post was about pr!
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    Your wilful ignorance doesn't alter the fact that UKIP got 1 MP for 4,000,000 votes. Not really surprising that so many people feel totally disengaged from the political process with egregious outcomes like that. And the fact that the winning political party only bothered to campaign in 80 seats out of 650 as there was no point in the others doesn't bode well for democracy either.
    Still, as long as your party benefits from the current arrangement then that's fine obviously.
    The system is not fit for purpose. More and more people are realising that fact.
    It's always the people who don't win who want the system changed to one where they do.

    Odd, that.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,976
    Mr. Nunu, Blair had a larger majority with a lower percentage of the vote.

    Strangely, people weren't too fussed about it.
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346

    I don't get this as an electoral strategy.

    Labour MPs staying as Labour and refusing to work with their elected leader. Who are the public going to be voting for?

    If you vote Labour, you could get Corbyn as PM - which is something that won't work for the Labour MPs who won't work with him.

    So you have no way of voting for and getting 'moderate' Labour.

    The change to Shadow Cabinet rules - as far as I understand that side of the previous Labour rules - would not alter who would get jobs in a future Labour government. So again that doesn't work.

    This is a fudge that doesn't work.

    The Co-operative Party is ideally set up for a proper split. If they could get the numbers, they would become the official opposition, get all the money and prestige that brings - and avoid many of the pitfalls that follow from setting up something from scratch.

    But setting up a party-within-a-party does nothing to serve the interests of future voters who still would be faced with a Corbyn for PM option.

    It's a temporary fix. The party can't split because of the electoral system as outlined elsewhere. It'll last until the next election or Corbyn implodes under the weight of his own incompetence.
    Sounds like a good idea as long as they can maintain discipline.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974

    Mr. Monty, I have some sympathy, but only some, with that.

    UKIP had the money and activists to do far better. They, again, spread themselves so thin they got nothing. Lots of second places in the north *might* be the basis for future success, if they stop cocking up their own leadership contest.

    .

    As a Liberal from the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s my heart bleeds for them. they haven’t even learned from what we did wrong!
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    MTimT said:

    MTimT said:

    Bronze match in the volleyball. USA lose the first two sets to Russia, win the next two to take it to a decider, get three match points in the fifth set, two go begging. One left.

    USA call a timeout.

    What tactical pearl of wisdom can the coach impart? Always been a bit sceptical of the value of these things other than as a well-timed exercise in breaking the opposition's rhythm. But the coach is an expert, surely has been reading the game and spotted some tactical flaw in the Russian set-up that his players can exploit. Maybe he's devised some ingenious gameplan to shake things up a bit. The TV audience get to listen in.

    Y'all just keep playing volleyball.

    Aha! Key advice! Why had I not spotted this myself?

    Armed with this instruction, Team USA immediately seal the match, no messing about. Good job someone reminded them not to play table tennis, cricket, curling or roque, as the Russkis would surely not have been fooled by this - their keen observational powers spotting that the net is too high for the former two and there are not sticks in their hands for the latter - and gone on to win the match by dint of continuing to play the correct sport.

    :)

    Though sometimes, I think players in one sport could learn tactics from players in another. American Football players use rugby's lateral pass far too infrequently IMO.
    The big one that a lot of sports bettor I have spoken to talk about is how infrequently they go for the 4th down and short in the NFL, when the stats show success rate of shifting the ball forward 1-2 yards is very high (even when the opposition know that is what you are going to try and do).
    Indeed. This has been noted in quite a lot of the literature. I think I even read it in a paper on behavioural economics.

    My guess is that falls into the valuing lost assets (field position) more than gained assets. Strange, though, in a sport where winning is everything.
    It mostly seems to be because if they punt and the opposition scores it's seen as the players' fault, but if they go for it on fourth down and fail it's seen as the coach's fault.
    Ha! The risks of having the punt actually returned are slight, it's more that they don't want to concede possession to their opponent in their own territory.

    An interesting observation about 4th down play though, I'd noticed it from casual watching (only watch in January!) that teams were always risk averse in that situation, preferring a punt or FG attempt over a two year rush for 1st down.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Trudeau just loves to virtue signal with everything he does. I find his posturing and determination to be seen doing what he perceives as the right thing to be sickeningly insincere.

    PR is not a good system for electing MPs to a parliamentary democracy. None of the systems I have seen proposed retain a strong local representative element combined with a way of voting that is easy for voters to understand.
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    Your wilful ignorance doesn't alter the fact that UKIP got 1 MP for 4,000,000 votes. Not really surprising that so many people feel totally disengaged from the political process with egregious outcomes like that. And the fact that the winning political party only bothered to campaign in 80 seats out of 650 as there was no point in the others doesn't bode well for democracy either.
    Still, as long as your party benefits from the current arrangement then that's fine obviously.
    The system is not fit for purpose. More and more people are realising that fact.
    It's always the people who don't win who want the system changed to one where they do.

    Odd, that.
    I have supported PR for 30 years, through many years when it would have harmed Labour's prospects.
    But I believe in democracy first and foremost. It's a lazy argument to suggest that those of us who want electoral reform are doing it for selfish reasons.
    The risks of not doing it are far greater to our democracy.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    edited August 2016
    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something big. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
  • Options
    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    Your wilful ignorance doesn't alter the fact that UKIP got 1 MP for 4,000,000 votes. Not really surprising that so many people feel totally disengaged from the political process with egregious outcomes like that. And the fact that the winning political party only bothered to campaign in 80 seats out of 650 as there was no point in the others doesn't bode well for democracy either.
    Still, as long as your party benefits from the current arrangement then that's fine obviously.
    The system is not fit for purpose. More and more people are realising that fact.
    It's always the people who don't win who want the system changed to one where they do.

    Odd, that.
    I have supported PR for 30 years, through many years when it would have harmed Labour's prospects.
    But I believe in democracy first and foremost. It's a lazy argument to suggest that those of us who want electoral reform are doing it for selfish reasons.
    The risks of not doing it are far greater to our democracy.
    If you need help polishing that halo I'm sure we can sort out a rota.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
    edited August 2016

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Trudeau just loves to virtue signal with everything he does. I find his posturing and determination to be seen doing what he perceives as the right thing to be sickeningly insincere.

    PR is not a good system for electing MPs to a parliamentary democracy. None of the systems I have seen proposed retain a strong local representative element combined with a way of voting that is easy for voters to understand.
    Nonetheless he has the votes to get it through. PR top up, like in Germany, or even AV, as in Australia, preserve the local representative element without being too complicated
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    Monty said:

    I don't get this as an electoral strategy.

    Labour MPs staying as Labour and refusing to work with their elected leader. Who are the public going to be voting for?

    If you vote Labour, you could get Corbyn as PM - which is something that won't work for the Labour MPs who won't work with him.

    So you have no way of voting for and getting 'moderate' Labour.

    The change to Shadow Cabinet rules - as far as I understand that side of the previous Labour rules - would not alter who would get jobs in a future Labour government. So again that doesn't work.

    This is a fudge that doesn't work.

    The Co-operative Party is ideally set up for a proper split. If they could get the numbers, they would become the official opposition, get all the money and prestige that brings - and avoid many of the pitfalls that follow from setting up something from scratch.

    But setting up a party-within-a-party does nothing to serve the interests of future voters who still would be faced with a Corbyn for PM option.

    It's a temporary fix. The party can't split because of the electoral system as outlined elsewhere. It'll last until the next election or Corbyn implodes under the weight of his own incompetence.
    Sounds like a good idea as long as they can maintain discipline.
    They managed to settle on Smith as their standard bearer for this contest. If that is the best they can manage, they are not starting from a position of strength.

    Corbyn imploding will not stop Momentum. Momentum can use their money and muscle to reshape Labour on a daily basis - entrenching their control.

    Any new Leadership election system will be one designed by Momentum to serve their ends.

    It will take more than one defeat to persuade the membership to vote for someone who might have a realistic chance of power.

    Nothing about a Co-operative Party within Labour will stop any of this.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Trudeau just loves to virtue signal with everything he does. I find his posturing and determination to be seen doing what he perceives as the right thing to be sickeningly insincere.

    PR is not a good system for electing MPs to a parliamentary democracy. None of the systems I have seen proposed retain a strong local representative element combined with a way of voting that is easy for voters to understand.
    Nonetheless he has the votes to get it through. PR top up, like in Germany, or even AV as in Australia preserve the local representative element without being too complicated
    The recent Australian election took 2 weeks to count. That is not a good system.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,804
    So in other words, the PLP have made complete and utter fools of themselves as expected and now they're looking for a way to back down without losing too much face.

    Brilliant!
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Although France and Australia both use single-member constituency systems, which are far closer to FPTP than they are to PR.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    On a positive note for David Cameron Theresa May, there should be no problem getting the new boundaries through with Corbyn as Labour leader - it would be a great enabler for mass deselections.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,773
    MTimT said:

    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something bit. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
    Humans are though the best risk assessing thing that we know of. The least good risk assessing things that we know of are also human of course - they're the rating agency employees.

  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    I don't get this as an electoral strategy.

    Labour MPs staying as Labour and refusing to work with their elected leader. Who are the public going to be voting for?

    If you vote Labour, you could get Corbyn as PM - which is something that won't work for the Labour MPs who won't work with him.

    So you have no way of voting for and getting 'moderate' Labour.

    The change to Shadow Cabinet rules - as far as I understand that side of the previous Labour rules - would not alter who would get jobs in a future Labour government. So again that doesn't work.

    This is a fudge that doesn't work.

    The Co-operative Party is ideally set up for a proper split. If they could get the numbers, they would become the official opposition, get all the money and prestige that brings - and avoid many of the pitfalls that follow from setting up something from scratch.

    But setting up a party-within-a-party does nothing to serve the interests of future voters who still would be faced with a Corbyn for PM option.

    It can only be a stopgap strategy based on a change being needed before 2020 for all the reasons you say. No point splitting if you think you can still win before then.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    edited August 2016
    Sandpit said:

    Ha! The risks of having the punt actually returned are slight, it's more that they don't want to concede possession to their opponent in their own territory.

    An interesting observation about 4th down play though, I'd noticed it from casual watching (only watch in January!) that teams were always risk averse in that situation, preferring a punt or FG attempt over a two year rush for 1st down.

    I think a more accurate observation is that teams are risk averse either when they are in the lead or when they think there is still sufficient time on the clock to claw back the game. When you see most 4th down attempts is when the team is losing and there is little time on the clock.

    Certain coaches, particularly those with a very high opinion of their own defence, are more adventurous in their use of 4th down. Personally, I think successful use of 4th down is just about the best way to break the morale of the opposing defence.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    I don't get this as an electoral strategy.

    Labour MPs staying as Labour and refusing to work with their elected leader. Who are the public going to be voting for?

    If you vote Labour, you could get Corbyn as PM - which is something that won't work for the Labour MPs who won't work with him.

    So you have no way of voting for and getting 'moderate' Labour.

    The change to Shadow Cabinet rules - as far as I understand that side of the previous Labour rules - would not alter who would get jobs in a future Labour government. So again that doesn't work.

    This is a fudge that doesn't work.

    The Co-operative Party is ideally set up for a proper split. If they could get the numbers, they would become the official opposition, get all the money and prestige that brings - and avoid many of the pitfalls that follow from setting up something from scratch.

    But setting up a party-within-a-party does nothing to serve the interests of future voters who still would be faced with a Corbyn for PM option.

    It can only be a stopgap strategy based on a change being needed before 2020 for all the reasons you say. No point splitting if you think you can still win before then.
    So we're all going to half to go through this again next summer?
    *Orders popcorn in bulk in advance, hoping for a discount*
  • Options
    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    MTimT said:

    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something big. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
    Humans both drive cars and play the lottery. Hopeless at risk assesment indeed :smile:
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Trudeau just loves to virtue signal with everything he does. I find his posturing and determination to be seen doing what he perceives as the right thing to be sickeningly insincere.

    PR is not a good system for electing MPs to a parliamentary democracy. None of the systems I have seen proposed retain a strong local representative element combined with a way of voting that is easy for voters to understand.
    Nonetheless he has the votes to get it through. PR top up, like in Germany, or even AV as in Australia preserve the local representative element without being too complicated
    The recent Australian election took 2 weeks to count. That is not a good system.
    The 2000 presidential election took 2 months to count under FPTP
  • Options
    In this mountain biking event it appears to be the man who doesn't get a flat tyre who will win.
  • Options
    MTimTMTimT Posts: 7,034
    Omnium said:

    MTimT said:

    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something bit. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
    Humans are though the best risk assessing thing that we know of. The least good risk assessing things that we know of are also human of course - they're the rating agency employees.

    Yep. For really complex risk assessment, our gut instinct is about as good as it gets. Still fallible but less so once we are conscious of its internal biases, but usually better than rational (and particularly quantitative) models.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
    edited August 2016

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Although France and Australia both use single-member constituency systems, which are far closer to FPTP than they are to PR.
    Yes but France has a second ballot system and Australia AV which give greater scope to vote with your heart in the first vote and your head in the second and also ensures the winner has to get over 50% to win
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    MTimT said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ha! The risks of having the punt actually returned are slight, it's more that they don't want to concede possession to their opponent in their own territory.

    An interesting observation about 4th down play though, I'd noticed it from casual watching (only watch in January!) that teams were always risk averse in that situation, preferring a punt or FG attempt over a two year rush for 1st down.

    I think a more accurate observation is that teams are risk averse either when they are in the lead or when they think there is still sufficient time on the clock to claw back the game. When you see most 4th down attempts is when the team is losing and there is little time on the clock.

    Certain coaches, particularly those with a very high opinion of their own defence, are more adventurous in their use of 4th down. Personally, I think successful use of 4th down is just about the best way to break the morale of the opposing defence.
    Yes, agreed. It's used mainly as a last ditch play, when the seven (or eight) points are needed and the clock is running down.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    edited August 2016
    Tim_B said:

    MTimT said:

    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something big. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
    Humans both drive cars and play the lottery. Hopeless at risk assesment indeed :smile:
    We should all buy lottery tickets this week - ignore the crap gambling odds and just think of it as a down payment for Tokyo 2020's Team GB :)
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    Britain has just become only the sixth country to finish in the top two of the Olympic medals table since (and including) 1952:

    China
    USA
    USSR/CIS/Russia
    E Germany
    Romania*
    GB

    * 1984 games, which USSR and E Germany boycotted.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited August 2016
    Jesus I think that is 6 of the leading 20 have had flats.
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    Your wilful ignorance doesn't alter the fact that UKIP got 1 MP for 4,000,000 votes. Not really surprising that so many people feel totally disengaged from the political process with egregious outcomes like that. And the fact that the winning political party only bothered to campaign in 80 seats out of 650 as there was no point in the others doesn't bode well for democracy either.
    Still, as long as your party benefits from the current arrangement then that's fine obviously.
    The system is not fit for purpose. More and more people are realising that fact.
    It's always the people who don't win who want the system changed to one where they do.

    Odd, that.
    I have supported PR for 30 years, through many years when it would have harmed Labour's prospects.
    But I believe in democracy first and foremost. It's a lazy argument to suggest that those of us who want electoral reform are doing it for selfish reasons.
    The risks of not doing it are far greater to our democracy.
    If you need help polishing that halo I'm sure we can sort out a rota.
    Nice. Don't bother engaging with the argument, just insult.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Although France and Australia both use single-member constituency systems, which are far closer to FPTP than they are to PR.
    Yes but France has a second ballot system and Australia AV which give greater scope to vote with your heart in the first vote and your head in the second and also ensures the winner has to get over 50% to win
    Which have nothing to do with PR as both systems still require tactical voting of one form or another if a candidate fails to win 50%. What they do is work for centrist parties and against divisive ones.
  • Options
    oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,831
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Trudeau just loves to virtue signal with everything he does. I find his posturing and determination to be seen doing what he perceives as the right thing to be sickeningly insincere.

    PR is not a good system for electing MPs to a parliamentary democracy. None of the systems I have seen proposed retain a strong local representative element combined with a way of voting that is easy for voters to understand.
    Nonetheless he has the votes to get it through. PR top up, like in Germany, or even AV as in Australia preserve the local representative element without being too complicated
    The recent Australian election took 2 weeks to count. That is not a good system.
    The 2000 presidential election took 2 months to count under FPTP
    The counting didn't take that long - the failure of certain systems and court cases are what delayed that.
  • Options
    Interesting factoid.

    GB has got Gold medals in the biggest number of different sports 16.

    US has only 13 different sports and China 10.

    Its only because things like swimming, divingand altletics have such absurd numbers of medals compared with other sports, that the US has more Golds than us.Equivalent of giving out different golf medals for 3,6,9,12, 15 and 18 hole rounds.

    29 out of the US 43 medals were in Swimming and Athletics alone.China had 7 in diving.

    It also makes a nonsense of Hitchens comparing us to East Germany in his column today. He noted that the state identified sports with weak competition and ruthlessly funded and trained to make them look good.

    Actually that is the US and China. We had no state funding just voluntary donations via the lottery and succeeded in a hugely diverse number of sports. Brilliant all round performance for the Brexit Games.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Hardly a real comparison , it is 4M from over 60M versus 1.5M from 5M , completely different and only a Tory an idiot a fool or a combination of them would try to claim they were similar
  • Options
    Tim_B said:

    MTimT said:

    viewcode said:

    SeanT said:

    Economic thought: all the REMAINER traitors are predicting a huge spike in inflation, thanks to Brexit...If you look over ten years, the £'s collapse after the Crunch was much much bigger than Brexit. Yet inflation over the same period stayed pretty low. It briefly hit 4% but then went back to the desired 2%....

    Let's assume for the moment that you are in the rational phases of your personality and can be debated with. GBP's collapse post-Crunch was steeper but did not go as low as the post-Brexit crunch, nor did it last as long.. To gauge the effects of this it may also be productive to look at the 1980's GBP/USD drop (which also did not last long), the 1960's devaluation, or the 1970's oil price spike.

    You also (inadvertently) trigger one of my perpetual bugbears: people are *very* bad at assessing risk. Small problems over long periods are as important as brief big problems. Nobody is predicting a huge*1 spoke in inflation, but smaller increases over decades are equally bad. After the 70's oil spike, it took the UK Government twenty years to bring it back down. Once it gets into the system, inflation is very difficult to get out

    I believe you are/were a Times writer. There was an article in there yesterday about how devaluing the currency prefigures a fall from power. I assume you have a Times subscription, and you can find it here: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/cleopatra-central-banker-of-egypt-has-a-lesson-for-us-zgqtknd22


    *1: define "huge"...
    Humans are, indeed, hopeless at assessing some risks. And in normal life, small incremental and persistent risk can do more damage than big temporary spikes. But certain big risks are simply qualitatively different than smaller risks. A short sharp death is different from a long chronic disease.

    We were promised Armageddon. It did not happen. Sure, there are still other smaller risks, and they might (stress might) add up to something big. But they are qualitatively different than Armageddon.
    Humans both drive cars and play the lottery. Hopeless at risk assesment indeed :smile:
    Then tbere is spending billions to save the occasional death in the rail and air industry and far more in increasing costs to industry in the health and safety legislation when that money could save tens of thousands of lives in the NHS if spent there instead.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    GIN1138 said:

    So in other words, the PLP have made complete and utter fools of themselves as expected and now they're looking for a way to back down without losing too much face.

    Brilliant!

    Afternoon GIN, going to be large amount of donkeys eating humble pie soon.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983
    Scott_P said:

    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"

    Lottery spending is not public spending as such
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited August 2016
    Scott_P said:

    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"

    Except it isn't a valid question, as the "public funding" the athletes get isn't just for the Olympics. There are athletes who didn't medal but have won medals in world championships etc etc etc.

    That is before it isn't public money and also they aren't considering what value does having Olympic medalist have for various sports, for participation in sport etc etc etc e.g. Without the funding Team GB cyclists to be based in Manchester, what would happen to the velodrome there? How many people's jobs exist because of elite athletes?
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    scotslassscotslass Posts: 912
    So let's get this right.

    Labour MPs lose the leadership to Corbyn so they plot to get rid of him.

    Then they resign on mass to force him out. That fails.

    So they put up a useless candidate against him.

    He loses so they form a party within a party.

    Politics aside there is nothing about their conduct which merits respect never mind success.
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    Have any PB'ers ever watched a Youtube video of a high velocity softpoint bullet meeting a watermelon? Labour is beginning to look a lot like that watermelon.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    Scott_P said:

    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"

    Surely a real bargain given how rich the UK is.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"

    Lottery spending is not public spending as such
    Bollox, it is robbery of charity funds.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    HYUFD said:

    Lottery spending is not public spending as such

    Well, quite, but there is some non-lottery funding as well.

    Also interesting is despite the fact that the UK Sport funding formula is brutal, and based explicitly on demonstrating success in the most ruthless competitive arena ever invented, some people are using is as an example of "the Government picking winners"
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,262
    scotslass said:

    So let's get this right.

    Labour MPs lose the leadership to Corbyn so they plot to get rid of him.

    Then they resign on mass to force him out. That fails.

    So they put up a useless candidate against him.

    He loses so they form a party within a party.

    Politics aside there is nothing about their conduct which merits respect never mind success.

    Surely this can only increase member appetite for a better bunch of MPs?
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    HYUFD said:

    Scott_P said:

    TeamGB mathematically guaranteed to finish 2nd in the medal table.

    This is an interesting stat

    @GerryHassan: #TeamGB's tally of 66 medals cost £5,378,787.88 each in public funding. Value for money or not? Big question. #Rio2016

    The responses seem to be split along traditional left/right lines, or perhaps benefit recipient, nett taxpayer lines

    There are lots of "should spend the money on foodbanks", but the alternative is "would you rather your tax dollars were spent on Laura Trott or White Dee?"

    Note also some dispute about the phrase "public spending"

    Lottery spending is not public spending as such
    If the government spends the money it's public spending.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,983

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    nunu said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    GeoffM said:

    Monty said:

    Good afternoon, everyone.

    This is putting the mask of choice on the face of cowardice.

    Being inside the tent and pissing in it does no-one any favours. Get behind Corbyn, or split. Is the name of Labour worth more than the values of Labour?

    Stop pussyfooting about!

    Yes, a split party will be hammered. You're already bloody split.

    I don't want the Conservatives to cruise seamlessly to victory because Labour MPs are so damned incompetent. We need a sane opposition.

    Oafs.

    FPTP ties their hands. Ask UKIP about how easy it is for smaller parties to win seats. I believe the current going rate is 1 MP for every 4 million votes. This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.
    Tough. We've only just had a referendum on PR and it failed.
    Live with it.
    No we didn't. AV is not PR. If only there was a thread we could do on the subject.
    Of course it's the same thing - it's just shuffling up the votes of the losers to occasionally stop the real winner winning.
    no it isn't, ukip=4 million votes 1 MP

    SNP 1.5 million votes = 56 MP's
    and a majority on 37% share of the vote! Ofcourse you like it when your side is winning but imagine Milliband got a majority with 37%?

    You would hate it.
    Trudeau is set to introduce PR in Canada which would leave the UK and US as the only major western nations which still use FPTP at general elections (and of course the US has primaries unlike the UK)
    Although France and Australia both use single-member constituency systems, which are far closer to FPTP than they are to PR.
    Yes but France has a second ballot system and Australia AV which give greater scope to vote with your heart in the first vote and your head in the second and also ensures the winner has to get over 50% to win
    Which have nothing to do with PR as both systems still require tactical voting of one form or another if a candidate fails to win 50%. What they do is work for centrist parties and against divisive ones.
    Yes but it ensures whoever is elected has a mandate from more than half the voters which does not occur in FPTP. Neither do both systems automatically benefit centrist parties eg witness Mitterand beating D'Estaing and Chirac and Le Pen getting into round 2 in France in 2002 or Abbott beating Rudd in Australia in 2013 or Gough Whitlam's win in 1973 coupled with the seats won by the Greens or One Nation
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Patrick said:

    Have any PB'ers ever watched a Youtube video of a high velocity softpoint bullet meeting a watermelon? Labour is beginning to look a lot like that watermelon.

    I love the one with the golf ball.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Monty said:

    This seems like a sensible proposal to bide their time until Corbyn can be ousted after losing an election.

    What makes you think losing an election is a mechanism for ousting Corbyn?

    Winning elections is not part of the Corbynista plan.
This discussion has been closed.