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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
If you’re a lurker, why not delurk, you should Jump at the opportunity, you’ll realise that it’s not No Good Advice, it’ll be good to hear The Sound of the Underground.
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I've quite literally nothing to add at this point.
Alan Johnson also shares the shame fashion guru as Gerald Kaufman.
Worth repeating this exciting [it is, actually] news: in 2014 F1 cars will have to have a single fixed set of gear ratios for the entire season.
This is an interesting rule change and may result in some good betting opportunities.
Fixed gear ratios may be as big an issue as tyres, or even bigger, in 2014.
Though if Private Eye still do the OBN....
So to-day we learned how quickly Red's smoke & mirrors would unravel,but some of PB's gullible lefties believed him.
'Miliband’s high-profile reforms are less risky than they may appear at first sight because the total amount of “political” money being paid by three million union members will not be reduced.
Currently members pay money into their union’s political fund, with a small proportion of this – typically £3 a year – earmarked for Labour as an affiliation fee. The money is paid unless they actively “opt out” and is worth a total £8m a year for the party.
Under the reforms members would for the first time have to “opt in” to pay the affiliation fee, meaning Labour could lose millions of pounds it currently receives directly.
Yet the overall political fund would maintain an “opt-out” system, meaning unions would still receive the same amounts of money – while passing less of it on to Labour.
That means the unions will have extra millions which can be used by unions for policy campaigning and – crucially – for big donations to Labour, for example at election time.
That will make it even more important for Labour MPs to keep the union general secretaries on side; the opposite of what you might have believed.
The reforms which the union leaders fear – to dilute their power over conference votes and leadership elections – were only vaguely hinted at by Miliband.
At present the unions have a half of votes at annual conference and a third of those for leadership contests. Miliband said merely that this would be considered in the Ray Collins review.'
The large gaps are deliberate to allow development and for teams to have a bit of a rest. One consequence of in-season testing will be to make development easier but diminish the break the teams get.
I remember hearing that Korea's likely to go after its current deal expires.
I left my studio one evening and saw two of the tramps who regularly drank cider in the little park outside having sex on one of the park benches. The following morning I walked past the bench and noticed the memorial plaque which said "In memory of Eileen Cantor. She loved flowers"
Back to fixed gear ratios: this means we could see some very odd results at the more extreme circuits (Monza and Singapore, for example, at opposite ends of the spectrum). That could mean that pre-practice betting opportunities (like Mercedes at Monaco this year but at more races) could abound.
http://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2013/07/08/pb-nighthawks-is-now-open-18/
http://order-order.com/2013/07/09/ed-fudges-as-len-smiles/
You ?
I shouldn't have thought there were anywhere near 400,000 non British white immigrants coming to live in London in the previous decade
He announced that instead of stealing money by default from Union members who were deemed to have decided to support the Labour party he is going to steal it from them at the discretion of the Union bosses who will choose how to allocate their funds.
He announced that he wanted to have a further discussion with the other party leaders seeking to limit the individual contribution that anyone can make to a political party. No proposals, just another discussion.
He chucked in a diversion about MPs having second jobs.
Did I miss anything?
to all my lefty pb posters,here's a example of white flight.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/news/vote2001/hi/english/features/newsid_1347000/1347766.stm
Give any indication as to what he is going to do about the Unite actions in Falkirk and at least 40 other seats.
Explain why he was in favour of Unions paying the first year subscriptions of their members to the Labour party until he was against it.
Explain why, and in what way, the actions of Unite were different from the other factions of the Labour party who have sought to have their favourites selected from time immemorial.
'tim posted - Don't know whether there's any White Flighters left on here
You ?'
No, Tim lives in 97.8% white Merseyside.
http://t.co/rURkWBal4B
09/07/2013 18:08
BREAKING NEWS: Luis Suarez & John Terry spotted speaking together in London... Does this mean he's joining Chelsea?!
pic.twitter.com/A2OW3IiqEQ
While we are on the topic of immigrants and racists...
LOL! When ru and Smithson gonna tie the knot or ru just bffs?
After failing to get the victims to talk, the documentary maker, at their suggestion, spoke to the perpetrators - who were more than happy to talk, convinced they did nothing wrong. The old adage about 'giving them enough rope' never proved truer...as gradually their certainty erodes. In the film, a government minister, with growing realisation at how all this will look, argues 'of course we must massacre the communists - but maybe in a more humane way.'
The unremitting horror of what they did - cheerfully described - is leavened by some surreal comedy, where the murderers act out their movie fantasies - one big fat one, in lurid drag (a sly dig at President Suharto's avaricious wife, Ibu Tein), providing welcome relief.
Unmissable - but I doubt I could watch it again.
http://www.politicshome.com/uk/article/81656/the_daily_mail_tuesday_9th_july_2013.html
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/p019bt95/Piper_Alpha_Fire_in_the_Night/
Ed's done an interview talking about his girlfriends, and he says
She (Justine) has banned him from using his BlackBerry at the dinner table.
“She’ll say, ‘Pleeease! We’re trying to eat’,” he says. “I think it was Justine’s idea to stop taking my phone on holiday. We have her phone and it means people are less likely to ring.”
It is. Award winning and deservedly so.
(Not concurrently though)
Is that Jonathan Portes the same person who wrote the report mentioned by Andrew Neather?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/law-and-order/6418456/Labour-wanted-mass-immigration-to-make-UK-more-multicultural-says-former-adviser.html
edit: according to this the civil servant who wrote the report Neather mentioned was called jonathan portes
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1222769/Dishonest-Blair-Straw-accused-secret-plan-multicultural-UK.html
Instead of saying "white flight" try lazy uncompetitive economic losers.
Capitalism is a competition baby and they lost.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/english-revolution-in-house-of-commons-plan-to-give-englands-mps-right-of-veto-on-issues-not-affecting-scotland-wales-or-northern-ireland-8698505.html
The challenges it would throw up:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/a-neat-solution-to-the-west-lothian-question-but-what-might-go-wrong-8698507.html
And the maths on why Labour will not be happy:
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/the-constitutional-bombshell-that-would-reshape-british-politics-8698506.html
That's the critical bit.
Last time Labour had a majority they had a majority of English MPs. Yup in 2005.
We have FPTP in this country, And if Labour has a majority nationally it has one in England.
No more free dinners? Oh well, that £10,000 pay rise the very same watchdog is proposing ought to over it. Utterly mad.
Of course, given the anti-democratic shenanigans of the LibDems and Labour on the entirely uncontroversial proposal for equalised constituency sizes, we must expect howls of hypocritical faux-outrage from some.
Regardless, the myth about labour needing scottish MPs is just that, a myth.
http://wingsoverscotland.com/why-labour-doesnt-need-scotland/
Not that scottish labour MPs won't lose their minds and panic in a most amusing way at the very prospect of such legislation.
'Hope ed as worked out how all his plans are going to work because this wasn't even on labours radar 2 or 3 weeks back,was it tim ? did he panic ?'
When Tony agrees with Red and Len agrees with Tony you know it's a stitch up.
"For Ed Miliband, grappling with a crisis over the influence of the unions, the proposed changes are another blow. Indeed, it is no surprise that the West Lothian question took a back seat while devolution went ahead, under Tony Blair, and in the Labour-governed years that followed."
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/editorials/another-west-lothian-question-in-the-offing-8697921.html
2010 England:
Tories 298 seats
Labour 191 seats
I can only guess (still living with your mum at your age does support this) that you are a bit thick.
Labour don't need Scottish MPs. Labour doesn't have a majority at the moment. But then neither do the Tories.
Though if Clegg nods this through he'll pretty much castrate what's left of them after 2015.
We shall see. Fun times ahead.
It might surprise you that voters might want a prime minister who can't "control" his party. It's called democracy. We would have got 90 days' detention without trial if Blair was able to control his own party. When we have a majority government, one of the few things that can challenge the government's primacy is backbench rebellion. We need more of it, not less.
In any case, what torpedoed the boundary review was the Lib Dems responding to a Tory vote on something completely different with partisan point-scoring tit-for-tat.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kQC5bQKPj6o
England 2010:
Tories 298 seats
Labour 191 seats
There!
Unsourced reports of proposals being drawn up by ministers are not quite the same as the real thing, but as I said, we shall see.
I also said long ago McKay had the power to drop a very amusing bomb on scottish labour and scottish lib dem MPs. They will not like this one bit. Very sad.
IOS is a kid that gets pissed and comes on here,just ignore the little twit.
Will opt-in system only apply to new union members? If so, Labour avoids big funding hit.
http://www.markpack.org.uk/44223/lisa-forbes-labour-peterborough/?wt=2&utm_source=WordTwit&utm_campaign=wordtwit&utm_medium=referral
Are we surprised sunil ;-)
Ed’s secret agenda?
We were promised a speech that would foreshadow ‘historic’ changes in the relationship between Labour and the unions, the dawn of a ‘new politics’.
What Ed Miliband offered instead was a leisurely review, chaired by a veteran trade unionist – a blatant delaying tactic to help him wriggle off the hook over the seat-rigging scandal engulfing his party.
True, he had some promising suggestions, such as giving non-party members a say in choosing Labour candidates through American-style open primarie
But it remains highly questionable how much his changes (if they happen) would loosen the unions’ stranglehold on the party. Indeed, there are grounds to fear some could have the opposite effect.
As for reforming the political levy, under which union members automatically contribute to Labour funds unless they opt out, he could act immediately if he were really serious about it.
Indeed, Nick Clegg has offered to legislate for a genuinely voluntary opt-in system in his forthcoming lobbying Bill.
But Mr Miliband speaks only of ‘working through the implications’. Clearly, he’s in no hurry to right a manifest injustice.
Meanwhile, his idea of capping MPs’ earnings from second jobs would make politics even less attractive to people with senior experience in the real world.
But like so much of his speech, wasn’t this merely posturing to divert attention from Labour’s woes?
Would it be over-cynical to suggest that Mr Miliband’s secret agenda is a switch to state funding for political parties, to make up any shortfall from the unions?
If this is to be his ‘new politics’, taxpayers will want none of it.