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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A rather subdued speech by TMay which did not have much sub
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A rather subdued speech by TMay which did not have much substance
The first speech by a newly elected leader is always a big occasion. Its a big platform that gets wide coverage where they can set of their vision and what they see as the way forward.
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Rudd is way out of her depth. Way out.
@JananGanesh Economic liberals who voted Leave to get a more free-market economy: it's alright, walk it off.
Who else are they going to vote for?
I'm worried for the government at the moment. This is not what people voted for in 2015. Brexit may have changed the political landscape, but abandoning free market economics and instituting semi-market economics is not what people voted for. If she wants to make such a radical departure from the 2015 manifesto then she should put it to the people.
Such is the abject shiteness of Corbyn and his dimwit acolytes.
Did anyone else think the speech was like the kind of like the one you give before going into an election? Granted it was obvious that because she's a new leader she wanted people to get to know her vision and what she stands for but there was a lot of stuff you see in a pre GE speech.
There will be no election until 2020 and I believe her but still people will only increasingly speculate after that speech.
Even Heathrow Airport is outward-looking according to the banner ad at the top of the page.
Of course it is all symptom, not cause but it makes for a great soundbite at conference. Neither is it my preferred flavour of Conservative.
I might warm to Mrs May after all.
As a Thatcherite conservative (PBUH) I would say the answer to that is yes. Thatcher towers over every conservative (and labour) politician since Churchill.
I also argued strongly for Leadsom for leader, if you check the threads.
Its not rocket science and why KIPPs is so successful.
If the government is going to get interventionist about things, the place to do it is early years / education, not counting how many people of Sri Lankan descent work in the Culture and Media Department of the government, and demanding we take graduates from crappier universities / courses just to even out the numbers.
Plus do admissions to unis post results, so any bias based upon perceived difference in quality of students from certain schools with the same predicted grades is wiped out by the hard facts of actual results.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-37561065
But then, I'm in a red-blue marginal. If Labour looks like it might win the seat, I'd feel I have a duty to vote Conservative just to keep Corbyn away from Downing Street. If Labour sink, I could consider voting elsewhere.
Said for a long time we really need a valid opposition. Instead we've got a bloody Communist.
Paul Waugh ✔ @paulwaugh
Biggest big ticket item of all in May speech is clear hint she'll decommission the QE bazooka. Aides say AutumnStatement will signal change
At the start of Postal Voting unreturned postal votes by affiliation stood at 35% Rep, 37% Dem, 28% Independent
By the 23rd Of September (1st Debate) unreturned postal votes were 35% Rep, 36% Dem, 29% Independent.
As of yesterday it's: 41% Rep, 31% Dem, 28% Independent unreturned.
Anyway, a very long way to go in her Premiership, but as it stands today, I offer her a decent dose of good will and wish her well - at least for now.
I don't think there was any policy content at all, was there? Still, that's OK for the moment, and using the speech to reiterate her political positioning was fair enough. It's not really very different from Cameron's, other than on grammar schools, but the style is different. People like a change (after all, Cameron had been going for a decade), so some will find it refreshing. I expect her style will grate more quickly than Cameron's did, though.
All this shaming companies for employing foreign workers is an absolute gift for where Farron is trying to pitch the party.
And with Corbyn AWOL and UKIP just A - this is open goal territory.
"Whilst the decision is unfortunate, it is one that Diane is entitled to make. We thank her for all her work as leader, and as a hard-working MEP, a role she will continue with her customary vigour."
All her work as leader? All 18 days of it?
'The soft option, the devaluer's option, the inflationary option, in my judgment that would be a betrayal of our future at this moment, and I tell you categorically that is not the government's policy.'
£12.50 NLW, universal childcare from age 1-4, a year of split parental leave, child tax credits turned into additional tax allowances, working tax credits and housing benefits eliminated. Families with a stay at home parent get to transfer their tax free allowance in lieu of childcare. Eliminate employer's NI and lower corporation tax to 12.5% for SMEs and 15% for big business in order to pave the way for higher wages.
A system that will ensure there are fewer low paid people and no excuses for not taking on more work and not working full time, even for single parents.
Sorry isn't QE a matter for the independent BoE??
Robin Leigh-Pemberton was a pleasant but not very forceful country gentleman who had been appointed by Margaret Thatcher for precisely those qualities: she had hoped to control him.
Lets wait for tomorrow's front pages, shall we?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2016/oct/05/brexit-fears-pound-lows-dollar-euro-service-sector-imf-business-live
http://order-order.com/2016/10/05/nigel-farage-is-back-as-ukip-leader/
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ohio/
She now has 75% chance of winning.
The relatively soft slowdown the economy has seen so far suggests there might not need to be any additional QE anyway. However if government borrowing costs go up as a result of ending QE additional fiscal expansion becomes a problem.
Sorry, I get it
I am right in understanding that between 23/9 and yesterday, a higher proportion of registered Democrat voters have returned their ballots than registered Republican voters, i.e. a differential (early) turnout that should favour the Democrats? Could there be other factors like rural / urban post speeds to consider?
Can the real May's Conservative Party please stand up?
Which is it? the one we saw last night - the one which wants to reintroduce grammars and name-and-shame companies employing immigrants, or the more centrist one we saw today?
I was hoping the conference would show us which direction she was heading, but it now seems she doesn't know herself.
'Everybody' would appear to be wrong, again.
And she is very much like Maggie IMHO, although too early to say if she'll match her success.
Still, better her than Corbyn. Better her than Nasty Labour
1. No more QE? Yes.
2. No further cut in UK bank rate? Yes.
3. An increase in bank rate? Possible.
4. A stimulus package from Chancellor? Yes.
Took us into the European Community, took Middlesbrough out of Yorkshire, and with Thatcher's assistance helped to close or merge a record number of grammar schools.
You are correct. Dems are posting back at a higher rate.
Theresa May, on the other hand, seems to be a fan of big bossy government.