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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Clinton drops 32 on the Electoral College Votes spread betting
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Clinton drops 32 on the Electoral College Votes spread betting markets
As regulars will know I like spread betting where the more you are right the more you win. Unfortunately the same formula works if you are wrong.
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I certainly wouldn't buy at 302 ECVs, but there's a case to be made if you're ballsy.
"A courageous decision minister"
PlatoSaid said:
Fox News
Virginia Poll: @realDonaldTrump leads @HillaryClinton 44% to 41%. https://t.co/8fDJtjbObo
Weirdest poll yet today. If that is right - meet President Trump.
And OGH is a brave chap to be on the spreads on this election.
The D+ polls are replicating 2008 Obama. Hillary is not this candidate using any metric. We all know this.
DYOR
There is a theory which states that if ever anybody discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable. There is another theory which states that this has already happened.
- Douglas Adams
In Politics this happened in May 2015
- Mark Hopkins
In my (admittedly prejudiced mind, probably from TV news in the 1980s/1990s) the image it's dangerous, poor and backward.
Clearly, that's wrong*.
(*although I should say, I have been to EIRE a couple of times on business - in Cork/Waterford - and wasn't exactly bowled over)
The idea that the pubs in Northern Ireland run from good to excellent I find a bit odd. Back in the day I went into some right shitholes, granted they were not in what one might call tourist areas.
That said it does have some beautiful countryside and the people, like people everywhere I have been, are mostly friendly, welcoming and helpful.
Personally, I don't think multiracialism is a problem, and people will accept it.
But they won't accept multiculturalism and, if the two are linked, we have a problem.
when I was growing up pubs were spit and sawdust, and it was bring your own sawdust.
As I suggested on the previous thread, I reckon your downside is her winning 279 ECVs by losing Florida, North Carolina and Nevada, all of which are very close, and your upside is 329 were she to win these three States .... you're about half way between these two outcomes.
That is why I thought if Alistair and his partner went through that optimistically....then the future indeed looks good. All best wishes again to Alistair's partner....
Nevada Poll: @realDonaldTrump leads @HillaryClinton 49% to 43%. https://t.co/Wt0DBBUmiL
It's pretty damn disappointing that Clinton is the Democratic candidate, but she isn't Trump.
You could easily squeeze a couple of states into that Clinton price buy/sell spread.
Wish the best to Alistair's partner as well.
Excellent CGI. What film is that from?
Harlan Hill
.@HillaryClinton attacked Trump VOTERS (AGAIN).
Everyone knows she loathes half the country, but don't take my word for it... Watch: https://t.co/M3cvQfk7yI
It's hosting one particularly hostile, uncompromising and wholly incompatible culture which often presents itself as having so little respect for every other one.
There is no comparable problem with the other faiths that peacefully co-exist in the UK.
The best thing about the Trump phenomenon is turning the cynical identity politics playbook on its head.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WhrVGfUbrVE
It's just as likely they retreat further into their shell aka Juncker, and Merkel.
And, after that, what happens?
Who knows?
@midlifemason: This is an MSM lie. I did not "fail to get elected". I was out clubbing. With chicks. twitter.com/alexbigham/sta…
I am tempted to go and have a look at how it's all changed but the golden rule in life is never go back.
But, the Wicklow Mountains, about 20 miles South, are hauntingly beautiful. We visited Glendalough a vast ruined monastic town, which was like something from a Tom Knox novel. And Malahide and Dublin Bay are great, as well.
The (my) religious bigotry though is important....you have to remember that the Northern Irish are mostly Lutherans. Really friggin dour...they do not allow singing, or colour in the churches which are just stark. They wear black, and the church services are full of hell, fire and brimstone and misery, homophobic too. Think Ian Paisley..... Bleak, miserable.......not even the slightest glimmer of happiness or joy..
At least the Papes (left footers) like a few drinks, a song and dance, a bit of incense and a good laugh.
The Lutheran god was really fucking miserable and he made Northern Ireland in his image.
I won't go down Islam, because there are other posters like seanT who better articulate my views about that backward load of bollox....
I quite like Hinduism without the caste nonsense., or Buddhism. I like Catholicism, Baptism, and a spot of happy clappy get your tambourine out Born againism....
But Lutherism in Northern Ireland.....not for me.....
Several good pubs and I used to have an occasional drink with the man who invented the portable defibrilator. He probably saved hundreds of thousands of lives.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Pantridge
You wouldn't dare make the same stereotypes the other way round.
But let's move on.
(edit: at least you're honest, credit for that)
The largest denomination is catholic, then calvinist, then anglican there are probably a couple of thousand Lutherans in the whole of Ireland
They have certainly raised their prices. My local now charges just under eight quid for a cheese sandwich, eight feckin' quid for a feckin' sandwich. Going in the other direction the pub charges £6.95 for a slice of what is in fact, despite all the fancy labels, a slice of cheese on toast. Plus beer now starts at £4 a pint. However, despite these ridiculously high prices all publicans I know say they are struggling to make a living.
Lord Young and his beer orders of the Thatcher years is ultimately responsible. Never has so well meaning change had such damaging unintended consequences.
Trump may win, indeed I am a Trump bettor, Trump may lose, but the difference between Dem identifiers and Dem voters has been explained to you several times and yet you keep bringing it up. It's just utterly tiresome.
Apart from some (not insignificant problems) like inner-city gang warfare, Jamaican/Jafaican culture, a bit of playing of the race card, and irritations like Black History month, I think that's right.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/02/us-election-2016-barack-obama-warns-the-fate-of-the-world-at-ris/
Some do (Sweden, Germany and the EU)
It will be interesting to see what happens next.
unlike those lovely inclusive ulster proddies
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-34088527
In three weeks time, Alain Juppe will come first in the first round of the Les Republicains primary. He will go on to become the LR candidate, will beat Marine Le Pen 38% to 28% in the first round, and 70% to 30% in the second.
That's not "surprisingly close".
Can I just say...I have tried to temper my nihilistic atheism, bit sometimes it bubbles up...there is no God...It is shit....All of it..Bollox.....
Between your 60 virgins or whatever you manage to get for blowing yourselves up, to thinking that Mary never got shagged and produced a child (how?), your homophobic nonsense, covering up women, hell...burning forever (where), and all the other supernatural crap....you may as well as believe in Scientology. At least Grease was a good film.
We might laugh that 40% of Trump supporters think Hillary is a demon....but in light of what everyone else believes, it's not that stupid is it really?
It's what makes Edinburgh great, and such a fucking pain to navigate.
The reverse is of course true. Plato, Moniker and the rest of the white nationalist rampers will never be able to show their face again if Trump loses.
The way a betting site has been turned into hard right ramping and poll cherry picking ground is sad. I can only assume that none of these people ever bet.
Yet.
I like Juppe too which helps (but I did like...and was subsequently very disappointed with DSK). Hollande...please?
Facebook quarterly profits surge 166% to $2.4bn
http://news.sky.com/story/facebook-quarterly-profits-surge-166-to-24bn-10642325
But look on the bright side atheists have fewer kids and die sooner so it wont be your problem
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html
https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/793914600857165824
Everybody hates Sarkozy, even Mrs Sarkozy
However, if he does it will cause the dollar to fall in value. This might cancel out some of Sterling's fall since the Brexit vote. The shock of a Trump win may also mean that the oil price falls due to the perceived damage Trumps economic and trade policies would do to the global economy. It could be argued that for the UK it could be a good thing for Trump to become POTUS economically whilst Brexit goes on.
I saw the comments mocking Obama's comments on the threat of a Trump presidency and was amused. But the truth is the only winners to Trump being elected are China and Russia. I know David Cameron's WW3 threat was mocked in relation to the EU but even that you could argue could be true if the EU fell apart and Russia decided to get into the old soviet habit of invading countries that it perceived to be weak. I am no defender of David Cameron, he got a real good kick up the arse and his reputation is much worse than many of the preceeding holders of that high office.
That's just dandy....those who believe in supernatural claptrap are going to populate the future...It's like a throwback to the dinosaurs...
There are many people on this site who believe that Trump is a good thing....But on the great scheme of things that view has a damn site more credibility than people who believe in virgin births, people coming back from the dead , and those ridiculous Christian ceremonies that were inflicted me on as a child when we seemed to speak about shepherds, flocks and sheep.
At least I can see Donald Trump....
https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/793935481738317824