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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Now betting opens on whether the self employed NI increase wil
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Now betting opens on whether the self employed NI increase will happen
William Hill have opened a market on the Chancellor’s controversial National Insurance increase for the self-employed – and are offering odds of 6/4 (40% chance of happening) that the new NIC rise WILL be implemented this year – and 1/ 2 that it will NOT be.
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The NIC mess is unimportant in itself. However it is an indication that the government would be in trouble if they faced a credible and capable opposition.
Which means they're fine ...
It's everything that the Commission purports (with good reason) to not want. Access for Brits in Europe with no reciprocity. A fundamental re-work of Article 20. Detachment of the four freedoms from each other.
Ergo, perhaps Mr Verhofstadt is trolling the UK with a proposal he doesn't think will actually happen.
FILLON François 2111
HAMON Benoît 1317
MACRON Emmanuel 1266
DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 623
ARTHAUD Nathalie 593
LE PEN Marine 577
ASSELINEAU François 524
MELENCHON Jean-Luc 432
CHEMINADE Jacques 397
LASSALLE Jean 289
JUPPE Alain 288
POUTOU Philippe 245
YADE Rama 151
each of the others less than 100
Otherwise not of much import.
Melénchon will get the remainder, I'm sure, short of a complete cock up.
Undoubtedly it does make Brexit easier. I simply think it is a great idea and I will take advantage of it, should it come to pass. Still think that it is unlikely to, however.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/09/philip-hammond-has-still-not-accepted-brexit-budget-has-turned/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw
From last June...
"J.D. Wetherspoon boss Tim Martin, who made headlines earlier this week by distributing pro-Brexit 200,000 beermats to his pubs , has admitted about 1 in 10 of his workers is from overseas.
But he told BuzzFeed his decision to back Brexit had nothing to do with immigration.
He said: “Those people who are entitled to work here from the EU now should be entitled to work here after the referendum. If we leave, the rules should be the same as they were in Ireland before the EU – where people from Ireland could come and work here.”
He added he’s personally pro-immigration, and his big problem with the EU is that it’s not democratic."
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/pro-brexit-wetherspoons-boss-admits-8109824
I do not know how you will cope when your 100% negativity is blown out of the water
Such a poor level of debate
Most people are employed and have relatively little sympathy for the position of self-employed people bearing in mind the differential in the way they are taxed. (Plenty see self-employment as nothing more than a tax wheeze - and for some people it probably is.) Higher earning self-employed people seem unlikely to turn en masse to the party of Jeremy Corbyn. Lower earning self-employed people will benefit from the abolition of Class 2 anyway. Shame the two moves couldn't have been cobbled together in a more coordinated manner really.
And there are plenty of reasons to say that things have changed since the election in a manner that was not foreseen at the time of the manifesto. The NHS/social care crisis this winter makes rises in NICs far less politically toxic than they would otherwise have been. Brexit. The top leadership have changed. I'm dubious of the extent to which voters are going to hold the May government to account for things that were promised by Cameron. May's "manifesto" is really Brexit means Brexit, in the eyes of the general population. How she navigates those waters will define her electoral success, not a list of promises George Osborne churned out 5 years ago.
The government is anyhow likely to shake up the entire treatment and classification of the self-employed in the next few years given the rise in the "gig economy". If they can put in some sweeteners, presumably in terms of additional rights, then I'm sure they can get away with this one.
"(Le Conseil constitutionnel) s’assure que les personnes ayant valablement recueilli 500 parrainages consentent à être candidates".
(The Constitutional Council ensures that each person who has received 500 valid nominations consents to being a candidate.)
So he should not now complain that the immigration issue is also being addressed.
Either that or he is a fucking idiot.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/jd-wetherspoon-pub-chief-tim-martin-sends-new-brexit-message-to-george-osborne-on-beer-mats-a7091106.html
PS: I did once make the mistake of going to a Wetherspoon pub and actually ordering some food. I know, I know, my own stupid mistake. It's not one I'll repeat.
Mr. Nabavi, what was wrong with it? Never been to one myself.
At least they didn't put pineapple on your pizza.
Of course I could be wrong but I see no way back to full membership of the EU
Ian Hess
Follow @RealPeerReview for The Onion Academia without the satire, but just as much comedy
Food blogger Jack Monroe has won £24,000 damages in a libel action against columnist Katie Hopkins after a row over a tweet.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-39234079
http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/briefing_immigration.html
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=vote+leave+immigration&client=ms-android-tmobile-gb&source=android-browser&prmd=niv&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwju0PCPlczSAhUIChoKHWc5AToQ_AUICCgC&biw=360&bih=508#imgrc=t8fj9ALdbDM73M:
The trial took 21 months, unless the legal profession has taken an unprecedented pay cut then costs are going to be substantially more than £24,000. Will Hopkins be liable for those ?
I have said on here many many times, I would rather PM Corbyn and us out of the EU than PM Farage with us in
That allegation, that the NYT changed their headline, appears on the face of it to be true.
Court still considering the issue of costs for the libel case. Wouldn't go spending all £24,000 at once, Mx Monroe.
The same goes for the MSM - the Democrats think they're trustworthy, the Republicans think they're liars. That's not a healthy balance when it comes to convincing the other side.
But will Jack end up out of pocket too....
Voice of Europe
Dusseldorf axe attacker: “Fatmir H,” Muslim from Kosovo — cops rule out “Islamic fundamentalist motive” https://t.co/fB2nD4QN4M https://t.co/jPUUPCTys4
https://t.co/lwdeQgPiDb
Hopkins settlement £24,000. Ordered to pay £107,000 towards Mx Monroe's legal costs.
So that is Hopkins £131,000 out of pocket and Monroe £19,000 out of pocket by my calculations.
Looks like the lawyers are the winners from this case.
https://www.ft.com/content/0ad56edb-13ea-3363-9ecc-c2db797c405a
The guy – and his (very few) defenders on here – really doesn't have a leg to stand on. He shovelled thousands into Vote Leave, one of the most mendacious, reactionary campaigns in living memory which wilfully sought to exploit fears over immigration to win a poll on EU membership. He now has the brass neck to complain about (deranged) government plans to leave the Single Market to prevent free movement of EU citizens. The guy has reaped what he has sown, I'm afraid.
Definite misunderstanding.
I made another post on the last thread not realising we had moved on (thought it seemed a bit quiet!) which might help.
The point I was making is everything printed is biased in some way even if only subconsciously. Some rather more than others. Plato goes to the mind boggling extreme in her acceptance and rejection of stuff to the point of conspiracy theory to fit in with her beliefs.
It is something that particularly frustrates me. My degree was in Mathematics and when selecting for later study I focused on logic topics. I don't remember much of it now but have faint memories of dissecting this sort of stuff mathematically.
Someone who wanted to Leave but didn't want immigration cut, still doesn't want immigration cut.
Wow
They got excited because they hadn't done their research, now they are digging
Same old!
A pitiful level of debate.
Full judgement is a complete hoot.
http://www.voteleavetakecontrol.org/assets-d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/voteleave/pages/513/attachments/original/1455059757/briefing-security-borders.png
Plato, The observation you make may well be true, so instead of just reading the stuff from the right and dismissing the stuff from the left read both, check the facts if you can but most importantly apply logic. Don't repost the instant you see something in a right wing blog that fits your view, they just might be biased or falling for the same irrationality (the same goes for the left blogs and anyone else obviously). Also consider Ocams Razer. Some of the convoluted logic to reach the required conclusion in some of the links you have provided are mind boggling. They may be true of course but without a scintilla of evidence Ocams Razer rules.
Mind you if she just wanted to show the world that Katie Hopkins is an idiot, she really needn't to have gone to all that trouble.
"For the UK to be a successful country and economy in the next 20, 30, 50 years, we need a gradually rising population and that will need some type of reasonably controlled immigration," he said.
"If we don't get it, I think the economy will tend to go backwards."
A perfectly sensible observation.
http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2017/03/review-some-desperate-glory-by-edwin.html