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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UKIP: circling the whirlpool

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  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    It's the British government.

    the british people voted for Brexit

    the government is simply implementing their decision
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,570

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    And the Scots SNP.....
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046

    Mr. Observer, Brown's making a difficult situation worse because he's a short-sighted, narrow-minded buffoon.

    Now if there's a referendum and a No vote the SNP will be bleating for a raft of new powers, with Brown on backing vocals.

    Brown is looking for solutions. If only others were as well.

    Perhaps Brown should start shouting "Scottish Jobs For Scottish Workers" on Kirkcaldy High Street.

    I think we've had more than enough of Brown's solutions.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,789

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - they should have realised that the Brits can never, ever be trusted to act in Ireland's best interests. That was undoubtedly naïve. I suspect that the lesson has finally been learned.

    It's a foreign country. We have no moral obligation to act in their best interests, any more than they have a moral obligation to act in our best interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting for Brexit dumps all over them. Irish leaders should have realised that the British would - not unreasonably - never factor the needs of Ireland (North or South) into their decision-making, and they should have planned accordingly. As I say, it's a lesson they have no doubt now learned.

    Countries should act in their own best interests. You might just as well argue that the interests of France or Spain should have taken priority, when we voted in the EU referendum.

    In any case, I expect the CTA will remain in place, and trade with Ireland will remain extensive, post Brexit.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.
  • Options
    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107
    Very good thread header, I can't see UKIP surviving past the EU elections, I think that's next year, when a lot of funding and representation will end. They are very bad at elections mainly because the ground campaigning is very ineffective. Farage essentially won 4m votes on his own but his campaign in Thanet was pretty dismal.

    Shame but their objective was achieved.
  • Options

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    It's the British government.

    the british people voted for Brexit

    the government is simply implementing their decision

    My references to the British were to the government. English voters delivered Brexit.

  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,899

    Very good thread header, I can't see UKIP surviving past the EU elections, I think that's next year, when a lot of funding and representation will end. They are very bad at elections mainly because the ground campaigning is very ineffective. Farage essentially won 4m votes on his own but his campaign in Thanet was pretty dismal.

    Shame but their objective was achieved.

    Thanks for the tips yesterday, Dandridge placing in the last earnt me a small profit for the day, by placing the each way double with Wonderful Charm - who was good enough to win but poorly positioned by Katie Walsh.
    Also Native River probably could have won but got too focussed in a duel with Djakadam, and they probably raced the finish out of each other.
    A small profit on the day anyway.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Once you've saved the union and the whole world eventually your luck runs out.
  • Options

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    It's the British government.

    the british people voted for Brexit

    the government is simply implementing their decision

    My references to the British were to the government. English voters delivered Brexit.

    you still havent got the hang of this demos thing
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

  • Options
    wasdwasd Posts: 276



    It's hard to reconcile the Good Friday Agreement, which the UK signed and which was approved by voters on both sides of the Border, with Brexit.

    Voted on by ~15%; of those affected. The rest of the home nations were never asked if they wanted to remain in economic and political union with the Northern Irish - it was just assumed that they did.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    Mr. F, next you'll be suggesting people prioritise their family over strangers.
  • Options
    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107
    Pulpstar said:

    Very good thread header, I can't see UKIP surviving past the EU elections, I think that's next year, when a lot of funding and representation will end. They are very bad at elections mainly because the ground campaigning is very ineffective. Farage essentially won 4m votes on his own but his campaign in Thanet was pretty dismal.

    Shame but their objective was achieved.

    Thanks for the tips yesterday, Dandridge placing in the last earnt me a small profit for the day, by placing the each way double with Wonderful Charm - who was good enough to win but poorly positioned by Katie Walsh.
    Also Native River probably could have won but got too focussed in a duel with Djakadam, and they probably raced the finish out of each other.
    A small profit on the day anyway.
    Thanks for that, thought Native River ran a great race for a 7 year old. Hate criticising jockeys but Katie gave it a shocking ride, Dandridge just a bit one paced. In hindsight (haha!) the winner should have been backed on last year's form.

    Overall a very good week, great fun and profitable
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    It's the British government.

    the british people voted for Brexit

    the government is simply implementing their decision

    My references to the British were to the government. English voters delivered Brexit.

    you still havent got the hang of this demos thing

    I do. I get that if the English vote in enough numbers for something in a referendum they will almost always get what they want.

  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

  • Options

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - they should have realised that the Brits can never, ever be trusted to act in Ireland's best interests. That was undoubtedly naïve. I suspect that the lesson has finally been learned.

    It's a foreign country. We have no moral obligation to act in their best interests, any more than they have a moral obligation to act in our best interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countries should act in their own best interests. You might just as well argue that the interests of France or Spain should have taken priority, when we voted in the EU referendum.

    In any case, I expect the CTA will remain in place, and trade with Ireland will remain extensive, post Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046
    Pulpstar said:

    Has Brown actually come up with a good idea ?

    A FULLY federal United Kingdom might just be the solution.

    Careful now.

    Or someone might call you an English Nationalist.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - they should have realised that the Brits can never, ever be trusted to act in Ireland's best interests. That was undoubtedly naïve. I suspect that the lesson has finally been learned.

    It's a foreign country. We have no moral obligation to act in their best interests, any more than they have a moral obligation to act in our best interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countries should act in their own best interests. You might just as well argue that the interests of France or Spain should have taken priority, when we voted in the EU referendum.

    In any case, I expect the CTA will remain in place, and trade with Ireland will remain extensive, post Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    When did they do that ?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,894
    We can't be far from 'I'm sorry you don't understand what I wrote'

  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,789

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - they should have realised that the Brits can never, ever be trusted to act in Ireland's best interests. That was undoubtedly naïve. I suspect that the lesson has finally been learned.

    It's a foreign country. We have no moral obligation to act in their best interests, any more than they have a moral obligation to act in our best interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countries should act in their own best interests. You might just as well argue that the interests of France or Spain should have taken priority, when we voted in the EU referendum.

    In any case, I expect the CTA will remain in place, and trade with Ireland will remain extensive, post Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,570
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    hey so were mine

    but Ive got over it.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,894

    Interesting article, as always from David. I think UKIP still has a nebulous but powerful appeal as the "outsiders" party, the people who say stuff that Westminster doesn't. It's a politician's mistake to see their support as mostly about Brexit - the polls have always been right that EU membership was a minority preoccupation, though everyone accepts that thre coming negotiations are important (if, they might add, boring to keep talking about),

    UKIP has been about immigration plus "we're for the ordinary bloke". They don't really have to do anything to maintain that, except make mildly outrageous commens onw and then (copyirght D. Trump) - enough to stay in the news, not enough to get generally seen as neo-Nazis. I think there's 10% audience for that, indefinitely.

    The mildly outrageous comments that fuelled UKIP and the countries desire to Leave the EU were the wildly inaccurate predictions from Labour and the Conservatives regarding the number of immigrants that were to come from the A8 and Romania & Bulgaria, and their toffee nosed dismissal of anyone who disputed them

    It's hardly outrageous for UKIP to point out the truth (or predict the numbers more accurately in the case of Rom & Bul)
  • Options
    freetochoosefreetochoose Posts: 1,107

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    Getting back to the thread header Brexit will change things enormously for UKIP, all the people currently being paid as MEPs will soon have to get proper jobs and won't have the time to dedicate to politics. As Farage said many times, he was campaigning to get himself the sack.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    hey so were mine

    but Ive got over it.

    You have joined it. They won't have me.

  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,789

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    their decision to break the link with sterling and join the ERM in 1979would sort of say different

    the biggest economic problem they had in 2008 came as a result of the Euro and had nothing to do with the UK
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046
    isam said:

    Interesting article, as always from David. I think UKIP still has a nebulous but powerful appeal as the "outsiders" party, the people who say stuff that Westminster doesn't. It's a politician's mistake to see their support as mostly about Brexit - the polls have always been right that EU membership was a minority preoccupation, though everyone accepts that thre coming negotiations are important (if, they might add, boring to keep talking about),

    UKIP has been about immigration plus "we're for the ordinary bloke". They don't really have to do anything to maintain that, except make mildly outrageous commens onw and then (copyirght D. Trump) - enough to stay in the news, not enough to get generally seen as neo-Nazis. I think there's 10% audience for that, indefinitely.

    The mildly outrageous comments that fuelled UKIP and the countries desire to Leave the EU were the wildly inaccurate predictions from Labour and the Conservatives regarding the number of immigrants that were to come from the A8 and Romania & Bulgaria, and their toffee nosed dismissal of anyone who disputed them

    It's hardly outrageous for UKIP to point out the truth (or predict the numbers more accurately in the case of Rom & Bul)
    ' Immigration to the UK could increase by more than 10% as a result of EU enlargement, according to research commissioned by the Home Office.

    A report indicated that up to 13,000 extra economic migrants could come to Britain each year as a direct result of 10 new countries joining the organisation.

    The Conservatives have expressed fears that expanding the EU would result in large numbers of people from the former Communist countries looking for a more prosperous future in countries like the UK.

    But Home Office Minister Beverley Hughes told MPs: “The number coming here for employment will be minimal.” ‘

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/2967318.stm

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJRtDPOjQ7g
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    Sean_F said:

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.

    I may be wrong, but I suspect that your Leave vote was not a typical one. I always saw the referendum as being a lot more about immigration. And that was (and is) an issue because so many parts of the country feel neglected and rejected.

  • Options
    This probably says a lot more about me than him, but all I'm seeing is Brown stumbling about the stage muttering "Blah blah blah, I'm a c@"#!"
  • Options
    Sean_F said:

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.
    That was my view as well, but I do recognise that a lot of it was about immigration. The key is not to let it become an anti-foreigner steam roller. That's the difficult bit!
  • Options
    stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,777
    Hope no one did too much damage at Cheltenham. I had 3 losing days followed by a final day profit that put me ahead on the meeting thanks to Sizing John winning the Gold Cup. Great race.

    361 days to go ......
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,258

    Sean_F said:

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly.

    Yep -

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.

    I may be wrong, but I suspect that your Leave vote was not a typical one. I always saw the referendum as being a lot more about immigration. And that was (and is) an issue because so many parts of the country feel neglected and rejected.

    I'm not so sure about that. For Gisela Stuart, David Owen, John Cleese, and Stodge, they had similar reasons.

    I suspect that about 35% of the vote for Leave would have been achieved if they'd even failed to mention immigration once, or even argued for more of it, and about 15-20% extra votes on top of that were achieved through the focus on immigration in the final month.

    And even those numbers may be an exaggeration.

    Of course, it has since been characterised as a vote all about immigration, because that's what brought it across the line, but that doesn't mean that characterisation is right.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    That's what sovereignty and independence bring you. Ireland chose to go its own way. But the disadvantage of being able to determine your own policy is that others might develop theirs in a way that isn't beneficial and you have no input into that process.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    And when did Ireland get this idea that the UK had signed up to EverCloserUnion, something which British governments have never accepted.

    Perhaps if the Irish government had rejected the Treaties of Nice and Lisbon after its own people had voted against them in referenda we wouldn't be in the current situation.
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,913
    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland's vote is only technically needed to extend negotiations. Approval of the deal is subject to QMV.

    The UK government's current position is that this question can be magicked away with technology. Will that stand up to reality?
    Yes it is subject to QMV - but if Ireland won't sign a deal then it would have to leave the EU.

    It increases the cost of failure for the EU - another factor encouraging them to act rationally in negotiations
    Playing brinkmanship over issues like this would be the surest way to ensure the UK's territorial integrity is called into question.
    That's why we won't play the card. Everyone knows it exists, that's all that matters

    You've really never done much negotiating, have you?
    No doubt you will be an expert, all that ordering about of footmen and butlers with your silver spoon honed your skills, add a dash of pomposity and hey voila.
    Wouldn't pretend to be an expert. But big companies hire me to negotiate on their behalf. Given that I'm not cheap (I don't get out of bed for less than $1 million) I guess they think I add value.
    Arrogance and deriding other people does not make me think you would be any good. Keep waving that silver spoon. Even Trump can make millions when he is handed Daddy's money to start off.
    There are 2 or 3 posters on PB who would be better off on Facebook bragging about how much they earn, what brilliant hotels they staying in and how much they have just spent on a bottle of wine. It's only a matter of time before they start posting their holiday pics. I assume they think everyone else is interested either that or it's a not-so-subtle way of saying my opinion is more important because look how successful I am.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    Yesterday's Mori poll showed the route back to UKIP for relevance, over 60% wanted May to get back control of immigration in the Brexit talks and over 40% wanted the EU to make no more budget contributions to the EU. If May compromises on that in any way, which she will almost certainly have to go get any form of trade deal at all from the EU, then UKIP will be able to capitalise
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    So were (some of) mine, and they lived in Yorkshire and Westmorland.

    In the 1840s, nearly all the country was deprived of any democratic representation and given little consideration in the political process.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited March 2017
    Telegraph not sitting on the fence over incident in Paris..

    Radicalised Muslim known to security agencies shot dead in 'terror' incident at Paris airport - miles from where Duke and Duchess are due to meet

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/18/man-shot-killed-security-forces-paris-airport-attempting-seize/
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    F1: still no points spread market. So, that'll likely end up folded into the first pre-qualifying piece.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish lot of problems.

    And when did Ireland get this idea that the UK had signed up to EverCloserUnion, something which British governments have never accepted.

    Perhaps if the Irish government had rejected the Treaties of Nice and Lisbon after its own people had voted against them in referenda we wouldn't be in the current situation.

    We are all agreeing, I believe.

  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    Mr. Herdson, quite.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    So were (some of) mine, and they lived in Yorkshire and Westmorland.

    In the 1840s, nearly all the country was deprived of any democratic representation and given little consideration in the political process.

    Which is why - going back to Mr Brooke's original point - I (we) do not owe him an apology for the Irish potato famine :-)

  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Telegraph not sitting on the fence over incident in Paris..

    Radicalised Muslim known to security agencies shot dead in 'terror' incident at Paris airport - miles from where Duke and Duchess are due to meet

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/18/man-shot-killed-security-forces-paris-airport-attempting-seize/

    He's not mentally I'll?
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,691


    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    I'm with you. Brexit isn't going to solve a single real problem we have. It's going to make several real problems we do have that much harder to solve as well as introducing new ones. But I am sympathetic to those that felt left behind and voted to make their voices heard. It's all very well us liberals saying our way is superior, but we were the ones leaving those people behind.
  • Options

    Telegraph not sitting on the fence over incident in Paris..

    Radicalised Muslim known to security agencies shot dead in 'terror' incident at Paris airport - miles from where Duke and Duchess are due to meet

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/18/man-shot-killed-security-forces-paris-airport-attempting-seize/

    The fact that it's not creating the drama it would have done a couple of years ago is quite stark. The French Police look really tooled up.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,152
    nunu said:

    Telegraph not sitting on the fence over incident in Paris..

    Radicalised Muslim known to security agencies shot dead in 'terror' incident at Paris airport - miles from where Duke and Duchess are due to meet

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/18/man-shot-killed-security-forces-paris-airport-attempting-seize/

    He's not mentally I'll?
    Not anymore...
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    HYUFD said:

    Yesterday's Mori poll showed the route back to UKIP for relevance, over 60% wanted May to get back control of immigration in the Brexit talks and over 40% wanted the EU to make no more budget contributions to the EU. If May compromises on that in any way, which she will almost certainly have to go get any form of trade deal at all from the EU, then UKIP will be able to capitalise

    Or more to the point the UK to make no more budget contributions to the EU
  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Sean_F said:

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly. I know you're passionate about this, and I could vote for a Joff Labour Party. We just all have different views on Brexit. It might be great, it might be terrible. Hell, it might not even happen, but the fact that enough of the population got off their arses to at least have a say should be celebrated, and acknowledged that it wasn't working to its potential for Britain.
    That's probably true of the Union as well.

    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.
    That was my view as well, but I do recognise that a lot of it was about immigration. The key is not to let it become an anti-foreigner steam roller. That's the difficult bit!
    I don't think it is that difficult. There is a differnece between immigration, the process, and immigrants, the people. The number of people who have problems with the latter is far, far smaller than the number who are concerned about the former. The idea that a vote to leave the EU was mainly about a dislike of foreigners is one that was, and still is, being put about by people who would much rather remain inside it.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,258

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    So were (some of) mine, and they lived in Yorkshire and Westmorland.

    In the 1840s, nearly all the country was deprived of any democratic representation and given little consideration in the political process.
    It was viewed differently back then. MPs, of the time, would have viewed themselves as virtual representatives of the whole community and leaders of their its interests, and acting altogether in Parliament in the national interest.

    "Democracy" was a bit of a dirty word associated with revolutions.
  • Options
    stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,777
    edited March 2017

    "I'm not so sure about that. For Gisela Stuart, David Owen, John Cleese, and Stodge, they had similar reasons".

    Is this a new Monty Python tribute band?

  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,215
    edited March 2017
    OllyT said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland's vote is only technically needed to extend negotiations. Approval of the deal is subject to QMV.

    The UK government's current position is that this question can be magicked away with technology. Will that stand up to reality?
    Yes it is subject to QMV - but if Ireland won't sign a deal then it would have to leave the EU.

    It increases the cost of failure for the EU - another factor encouraging them to act rationally in negotiations
    Playing brinkmanship over issues like this would be the surest way to ensure the UK's territorial integrity is called into question.
    That's why we won't play the card. Everyone knows it exists, that's all that matters

    You've really never done much negotiating, have you?
    No doubt you will be an expert, all that ordering about of footmen and butlers with your silver spoon honed your skills, add a dash of pomposity and hey voila.
    Wouldn't pretend to be an expert. But big companies hire me to negotiate on their behalf. Given that I'm not cheap (I don't get out of bed for less than $1 million) I guess they think I add value.
    Arrogance and deriding other people does not make me think you would be any good. Keep waving that silver spoon. Even Trump can make millions when he is handed Daddy's money to start off.
    There are 2 or 3 posters on PB who would be better off on Facebook bragging about how much they earn, what brilliant hotels they staying in and how much they have just spent on a bottle of wine. It's only a matter of time before they start posting their holiday pics. I assume they think everyone else is interested either that or it's a not-so-subtle way of saying my opinion is more important because look how successful I am.
    I think in at least one case we are already beyond the picture stage, but otherwise +1. This is political betting. If not about political betting, post about politics, or post about betting. Or go somewhere else ;)
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    Problems of Ireland's own making.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited March 2017

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:
    "no dealative on offer...

    Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It ...Brits had changed.

    I don't understand ..to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders ... to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    their decision to break the link with sterling and join the ERM in 1979would sort of say different the biggest economic problem they had in 2008 came as a result of the Euro and had nothing to do with the UK
    No, it did not. It was as a result of "easy money" that happened all over the developed world. Banks lent well beyond what they should have and the Irish government had to put in a €76bn bailout fund.

    Ireland itself did not run a deficit. In fact, the budgets were in surplus. Of course, the subsequent downturn reduced tax revenues. But this has now been reversed and it is one of the fastest growing economies in the EU.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,789

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote



    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish political leaders clearly believed until it was far too late that the UK was a permanent member of the EU and made a lot of decisions about the trajectory of the country's economy as a result that are now going to cause Ireland a lot of problems.

    their decision to break the link with sterling and join the ERM in 1979would sort of say different

    the biggest economic problem they had in 2008 came as a result of the Euro and had nothing to do with the UK
    Ireland joined the Euro, and we didn't, in 1999. That fact should have alerted their leaders to the fact that each country might have different views on how their relationship with the EU would develop.
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    I think its important for SO to recognise that Brexit happened because if unlimited immigration allowed in by Blair.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    Mr. B2, you missed off the Second Punic War.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:


    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish lot of problems.

    And when did Ireland get this idea that the UK had signed up to EverCloserUnion, something which British governments have never accepted.

    Perhaps if the Irish government had rejected the Treaties of Nice and Lisbon after its own people had voted against them in referenda we wouldn't be in the current situation.

    We are all agreeing, I believe.

    Its not Brexit or the British government which have put the Good Friday Agreement at risk but rather the EU obsession with EverCloserUnion.

    If the EU had remained as it was in 1999 Brexit wouldn't be happening.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,258
    stjohn said:


    "I'm not so sure about that. For Gisela Stuart, David Owen, John Cleese, and Stodge, they had similar reasons".

    Is this a new Monty Python tribute band?

    Ha!

    I was trying to cite notable eurosceptic examples on the centre/centre-left, without whom Leave would have lost.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,258

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:


    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish lot of problems.

    And when did Ireland get this idea that the UK had signed up to EverCloserUnion, something which British governments have never accepted.

    Perhaps if the Irish government had rejected the Treaties of Nice and Lisbon after its own people had voted against them in referenda we wouldn't be in the current situation.

    We are all agreeing, I believe.

    Its not Brexit or the British government which have put the Good Friday Agreement at risk but rather the EU obsession with EverCloserUnion.

    If the EU had remained as it was in 1999 Brexit wouldn't be happening.
    The EU view is that it's those who disagree with their agenda that have the problem, not them.
  • Options
    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    it will be a long wait

    SO and I have been on this board for many years and he still hasnt apologised to me for causing the potato famine.

    git.

    That was the right wing, English nationalist, protestant ascendency, of which I am not part ;-)

    I'm surprised to find you were alive in the 1840s

    My ancestors were - destitute, deprived of any democratic representation and held in contempt by the protestant ascendency.

    So were (some of) mine, and they lived in Yorkshire and Westmorland.

    In the 1840s, nearly all the country was deprived of any democratic representation and given little consideration in the political process.
    It was viewed differently back then. MPs, of the time, would have viewed themselves as virtual representatives of the whole community and leaders of their its interests, and acting altogether in Parliament in the national interest.

    "Democracy" was a bit of a dirty word associated with revolutions.
    Yes, they would, although it didn't work that well in practice and is a good example of rationalising a moral benefit to the protection of the interests of their own class, or at least, the classes who were directly engaged in politics.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Broon to the rescue!

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/843006167836254209

    Bad idea. If Scotland leaves the United Kingdom, they'd claim the 'Scotland' bit, however nonsensical that might be. If you want to change the name, call it 'Bank of United Kingdom'.....not that I'd bother.....

    Scotland already own part of it you dumpling.
    Technically you don't - it's 100% owned by HMT.

    But in a negotiated settlement you'd have an argument for a pro rata share of its net asset value. As of 30 September that was £3.4 billion. I wouldn't have thought that £350 million is the most important thing for you to focus on, but each to their own...
    No matter how you cut it or try to obfuscate, Scotland owns a share and a share of all the assets held within it. As part of all the other assets of the UK it has a value.
    Oh not this nonsense again.

    If the UK was being dissolved you may have an argument, but it would not be upon Scotland leaving - the UK would still exist and Scotland would be the only new state. Leaving a country absolutely does not mean that the leaving part is entitled to the country's assets.

    Of course if you do insist on going down the line of wanting 8% or whatever of UK assets then you must also take 8% of the liabilities. AGREED?
    Yes of course I do not promote welching like some on here re England and the EU. How you get that a "United Kingdom " can still exist when it is no longer "United" beats me but there we are .
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811
    GIN1138 said:

    I might be in a minority on the Right here who think Gordon Brown is onto something with his comments.

    But, I have been saying on here for some months that Holyrood should gain EU powers post Brexit, as has Michael Gove.

    Agreed.

    I always assumed that Brexit would mean bringing back many powers not just to Westminster but to the devolved parliaments and would essentially bring in a new constitutional settlement for the UK for the 21st century.
    Morning GIN, you did not foolishly think hte Tories would let any of the powers get out of Westminsters grasp. Unless it is useless it will not be devolved.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    FF43 said:


    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    I'm with you. Brexit isn't going to solve a single real problem we have. It's going to make several real problems we do have that much harder to solve as well as introducing new ones. But I am sympathetic to those that felt left behind and voted to make their voices heard. It's all very well us liberals saying our way is superior, but we were the ones leaving those people behind.
    One very real problem we have that it will address is the buck-passing politicians won't be able to say "because Brussels ..." to problems anymore.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Sean_F said:

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.

    Why on earth would you have done that?

    Because Brexit is bad for them.

    Then why didn't you?

    'cos I don't give a flying feck about them.

    QED

    Exactly.

    Yep -

    Everyone will have had different priorities. I voted Leave because I disliked the way the EU was becoming a State, and the way that every problem is treated as a pretext for More Europe. And, I saw no willingness on its part to change.

    I may be wrong, but I suspect that your Leave vote was not a typical one. I always saw the referendum as being a lot more about immigration. And that was (and is) an issue because so many parts of the country feel neglected and rejected.

    I'm not so sure about that. For Gisela Stuart, David Owen, John Cleese, and Stodge, they had similar reasons.

    I suspect that about 35% of the vote for Leave would have been achieved if they'd even failed to mention immigration once, or even argued for more of it, and about 15-20% extra votes on top of that were achieved through the focus on immigration in the final month.

    And even those numbers may be an exaggeration.

    Of course, it has since been characterised as a vote all about immigration, because that's what brought it across the line, but that doesn't mean that characterisation is right.
    If that was indeed the case then a soft Brexit or the EEA should be possible because there isn't a majority against immigration. Regarding Gisela Stuart, you should really count her as a Tory otherwise she couldn't have won Edgbaston four times.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    @ Southam

    oh the joyful inconsistency

    two days ago it was the english caused Brexit, now it's the british

    I now realise I should have voted to remain to keep the Irish happy.
    And the Scots SNP.....
    Toom Tabard can nevr resist a dig at Scotland
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Broon to the rescue!

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/843006167836254209

    Bad idea. If Scotland leaves the United Kingdom, they'd claim the 'Scotland' bit, however nonsensical that might be. If you want to change the name, call it 'Bank of United Kingdom'.....not that I'd bother.....

    Scotland already own part of it you dumpling.
    Technically you don't - it's 100% owned by HMT.

    But in a negotiated settlement you'd have an argument for a pro rata share of its net asset value. As of 30 September that was £3.4 billion. I wouldn't have thought that £350 million is the most important thing for you to focus on, but each to their own...
    No matter how you cut it or try to obfuscate, Scotland owns a share and a share of all the assets held within it. As part of all the other assets of the UK it has a value.
    Oh not this nonsense again.

    If the UK was being dissolved you may have an argument, but it would not be upon Scotland leaving - the UK would still exist and Scotland would be the only new state. Leaving a country absolutely does not mean that the leaving part is entitled to the country's assets.

    Of course if you do insist on going down the line of wanting 8% or whatever of UK assets then you must also take 8% of the liabilities. AGREED?
    Yes of course I do not promote welching like some on here re England and the EU. How you get that a "United Kingdom " can still exist when it is no longer "United" beats me but there we are .
    The United Kingdom will still exist once part of northern Britain has left in the same way as the United Kingdom still existed once part of southern Ireland had left.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    edited March 2017
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Broon to the rescue!

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/843006167836254209

    Bad idea. If Scotland leaves the United Kingdom, they'd claim the 'Scotland' bit, however nonsensical that might be. If you want to change the name, call it 'Bank of United Kingdom'.....not that I'd bother.....

    Scotland already own part of it you dumpling.
    Technically you don't - it's 100% owned by HMT.

    But in a negotiated settlement you'd have an argument for a pro rata share of its net asset value. As of 30 September that was £3.4 billion. I wouldn't have thought that £350 million is the most important thing for you to focus on, but each to their own...
    No matter how you cut it or try to obfuscate, Scotland owns a share and a share of all the assets held within it. As part of all the other assets of the UK it has a value.
    Oh not this nonsense again.

    If the UK was being dissolved you may have an argument, but it would not be upon Scotland leaving - the UK would still exist and Scotland would be the only new state. Leaving a country absolutely does not mean that the leaving part is entitled to the country's assets.

    Of course if you do insist on going down the line of wanting 8% or whatever of UK assets then you must also take 8% of the liabilities. AGREED?
    Yes of course I do not promote welching like some on here re England and the EU. How you get that a "United Kingdom " can still exist when it is no longer "United" beats me but there we are .
    Unless Northern Ireland left too it would stay the UK, otherwise it would become England and Wales. If Northern Ireland joined the Republic as a united Ireland it would lose the monarchy, even the SNP have said an independent Scotland would keep the monarchy as it did under the Stuarts (Cromwell excepted)
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    FF43 said:


    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    I'm with you. Brexit isn't going to solve a single real problem we have. It's going to make several real problems we do have that much harder to solve as well as introducing new ones. But I am sympathetic to those that felt left behind and voted to make their voices heard. It's all very well us liberals saying our way is superior, but we were the ones leaving those people behind.

    Yep. And we are not coming up with any solutions now, either. If Corbyn is the best that labour has then it is exactly where it deserves to be.

  • Options
    HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    Mr. B2, you missed off the Second Punic War.

    And trains, engineering (especially space stuff), cricket, medieval history, food and drink, the footer, rugby, Sunil's Mum's garden competitions, finance, F1, tennis, the law, Byzantium and piracy in the 17th century. With those additions I think Mr. B2 has a point.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    FF43 said:

    Charles said:

    Doesn't that strengthen May's hand?
    Ireland to avoid.
    The implication is that if there is "no dealative on offer...

    Along with us somehow bestriding the world with Dong by Ireland.

    You may have the EU as compensation)

    Whatever happened to the Anglo-Irish?

    We weren't

    Then

    good to see your views are

    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - they should have realised that the Brits can never, ever be trusted to act in Ireland's best interests. That was undoubtedly naïve. I suspect that the lesson has finally been learned.

    It's a foreign country. We have no moral obligation to act in their best interests, any more than they have a moral obligation to act in our best interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countries should act in their own best interests. You might just as well argue that the interests of France or Spain should have taken priority, when we voted in the EU referendum.

    In any case, I expect the CTA will remain in place, and trade with Ireland will remain extensive, post Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Nor Scottish voters , leopards never change their spots.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    Pulpstar said:

    Has Brown actually come up with a good idea ?

    A FULLY federal United Kingdom might just be the solution.

    Careful now.

    Or someone might call you an English Nationalist.
    I would say an intelligent sensible person unlike most of the frothers on here
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,319
    edited March 2017
    IanB2 said:

    OllyT said:



    There are 2 or 3 posters on PB who would be better off on Facebook bragging about how much they earn, what brilliant hotels they staying in and how much they have just spent on a bottle of wine. It's only a matter of time before they start posting their holiday pics. I assume they think everyone else is interested either that or it's a not-so-subtle way of saying my opinion is more important because look how successful I am.

    I think in at least one case we are already beyond the picture stage, but otherwise +1. This is political betting. If not about political betting, post about politics, or post about betting. Or go somewhere else ;)
    Oh, I don't know I'd go that far. We're a community of people who share a common interest, so of course that's what we mainly talk about. If one of us sometimes wants to chat about something else, though, that's quite refreshing as a light-hearted change, just as though we were actually meeting socially. It fills us out as real people rather than just mouthpieces for points of view. I don't mind SeanT rhapsodying about Hotel Wonderful in Kaula Lumpur or whatever, if he doesn't go on and on about it.

    Duh, Radio Nottingham has just rung to say they'd like to interview m in minutes on Osborne and the Standard. Need to decide what I actually think about that - think I'm more worried about politicians running newspapers than about the issue of representing Tatton properly, which is up to voters there.
  • Options

    Mr. B2, you missed off the Second Punic War.

    And trains, engineering (especially space stuff), cricket, medieval history, food and drink, the footer, rugby, Sunil's Mum's garden competitions, finance, F1, tennis, the law, Byzantium and piracy in the 17th century. With those additions I think Mr. B2 has a point.
    If PB bans any topic not involving political betting or politics, it'll be very very quiet!
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    FF43 said:


    Yep - I have very different views of those who voted for Brexit and those who led the Brexit campaign. I fear that the latter are going to let the former down big-time.

    I totally get why Leave won - huge numbers of people feel that they have no real stake in the country as it currently functions (which is why Scottish independence is so attractive too, of course). What I don't see is how Brexit will change anything, except for the worse at the margins. It doesn't have to be like that, but the Hard Brexit path we have embarked on means that it probably will be.

    I'm with you. Brexit isn't going to solve a single real problem we have. It's going to make several real problems we do have that much harder to solve as well as introducing new ones. But I am sympathetic to those that felt left behind and voted to make their voices heard. It's all very well us liberals saying our way is superior, but we were the ones leaving those people behind.
    One very real problem we have that it will address is the buck-passing politicians won't be able to say "because Brussels ..." to problems anymore.
    Oh, no. They will.
  • Options
    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    We Brits (or me, anyway) always regard Ireland as different, but not really foreign in the way that France is.

    De Valera was a NY-born convert to the cause of Irish nationalism. He'd have never joined the EU, and his idea of little Irish boys and girls dancing around the Maypole singing in Irish before dashing off to Mass every day was unhinged. And I say that as a Catholic Brit with Irish antecedents, married to an Irish woman from Cork,

    My great-grandfather is still waiting for an apology for the Famine from my English great-grandfather.

    Compared wit the Irish, I look upon the Scots as being dour cousins who can't sing so well. The Welsh win that contest.

    The Irish border was porous before 1975 and will continue to be so.

    Obviously I have a totally neutral viewpoint and an extensive knowledge of history. And if you believe that, I have an interesting financial proposition to put to you. But not Mr Charles, as he's a black Proddy.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    nunu said:

    I think its important for SO to recognise that Brexit happened because if unlimited immigration allowed in by Blair.

    I think Brexit won because of the financial crash and the austerity that resulted from it. That's what made immigration the huge issue that it has become.

  • Options
    malcolmg said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I might be in a minority on the Right here who think Gordon Brown is onto something with his comments.

    But, I have been saying on here for some months that Holyrood should gain EU powers post Brexit, as has Michael Gove.

    Agreed.

    I always assumed that Brexit would mean bringing back many powers not just to Westminster but to the devolved parliaments and would essentially bring in a new constitutional settlement for the UK for the 21st century.
    Morning GIN, you did not foolishly think hte Tories would let any of the powers get out of Westminsters grasp. Unless it is useless it will not be devolved.
    Morning Malc - I do expect powers will be devolved as long as there is goodwill - the whole process will take many years to evolve but I cannot see Nicola's referendum taking place before 2021. I am interested to know if you agree that Nicola has jumped the gun and would have been prudent to wait at least until the end of Brexit talks and then demand the referendum
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011
    Joanna Cherry is using a lot of Theresa May's lines on Sky at the moment... "Free trade with Scotland is not just in Scotland's interests, it's also in the interests of the rest of the UK."
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    Mr. Glenn, the SNP arguing that the UK leaving the EU is terrible, and then arguing Scotland would be in the position of the UK if it voted to leave, is not very consistent.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Broon to the rescue!

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/843006167836254209

    Bad idea. If Scotland leaves the United Kingdom, they'd claim the 'Scotland' bit, however nonsensical that might be. If you want to change the name, call it 'Bank of United Kingdom'.....not that I'd bother.....

    Scotland already own part of it you dumpling.
    Technically you don't - it's 100% owned by HMT.

    But in a negotiated settlement you'd have an argument for a pro rata share of its net asset value. As of 30 September that was £3.4 billion. I wouldn't have thought that £350 million is the most important thing for you to focus on, but each to their own...
    No matter how you cut it or try to obfuscate, Scotland owns a share and a share of all the assets held within it. As part of all the other assets of the UK it has a value.
    Oh not this nonsense again.

    If the UK was being dissolved you may have an argument, but it would not be upon Scotland leaving - the UK would still exist and Scotland would be the only new state. Leaving a country absolutely does not mean that the leaving part is entitled to the country's assets.

    Of course if you do insist on going down the line of wanting 8% or whatever of UK assets then you must also take 8% of the liabilities. AGREED?
    Yes of course I do not promote welching like some on here re England and the EU. How you get that a "United Kingdom " can still exist when it is no longer "United" beats me but there we are .
    The United Kingdom will still exist once part of northern Britain has left in the same way as the United Kingdom still existed once part of southern Ireland had left.
    I could have guessed one of the turnips would pop up , you cannot be united alone you halfwit.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:


    My establishment.

    The Brexit vote - which was a huge blow for Ireland - happened in the 21st century, of course.

    theyve been let down by the left wing, by the centre, by the irish too. Nobody has a monopoly on screwing up.

    Whetherbanks back.

    After Britain.

    Yep - learned.

    It's a interests.

    In outsiders.

    It does and I agree that the Irish were very unwise to believe that the Brits had changed.

    I don't understand what you think we've done recently that's so horrible to the Irish.

    Voting learned.

    Countriesreferendum.

    In Brexit.

    Yep, we agree: Irish leaders should not have put their faith in the Brits.

    Of course not. But who says they did?

    Irish lot of problems.

    And when did Ireland get this idea that the UK had signed up to EverCloserUnion, something which British governments have never accepted.

    Perhaps if the Irish government had rejected the Treaties of Nice and Lisbon after its own people had voted against them in referenda we wouldn't be in the current situation.

    We are all agreeing, I believe.

    Its not Brexit or the British government which have put the Good Friday Agreement at risk but rather the EU obsession with EverCloserUnion.

    If the EU had remained as it was in 1999 Brexit wouldn't be happening.
    The EU view is that it's those who disagree with their agenda that have the problem, not them.
    True but the Irish government supported that agenda.

    If when the Treaty of Nice was rejected in a referendum it had said "The EU is proceeding too fast and too far against the wishes of the people we will put things on hold for ten years" things would be different now.

    But the Irish government was willing to put at risk the Good Friday Agreement with its support of the EU's EverCloserUnion.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011

    Mr. Glenn, the SNP arguing that the UK leaving the EU is terrible, and then arguing Scotland would be in the position of the UK if it voted to leave, is not very consistent.

    The SNP is not arguing that the rest of the UK shouldn't change its mind about leaving the EU.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937

    Joanna Cherry is using a lot of Theresa May's lines on Sky at the moment... "Free trade with Scotland is not just in Scotland's interests, it's also in the interests of the rest of the UK."

    Yes but that depends on the EU keeping free trade with the UK when May ends free movement from the EU or Scotland leaving the UK and not joining the EEA
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,937
    edited March 2017
    CD13 said:

    We Brits (or me, anyway) always regard Ireland as different, but not really foreign in the way that France is.

    De Valera was a NY-born convert to the cause of Irish nationalism. He'd have never joined the EU, and his idea of little Irish boys and girls dancing around the Maypole singing in Irish before dashing off to Mass every day was unhinged. And I say that as a Catholic Brit with Irish antecedents, married to an Irish woman from Cork,

    My great-grandfather is still waiting for an apology for the Famine from my English great-grandfather.

    Compared wit the Irish, I look upon the Scots as being dour cousins who can't sing so well. The Welsh win that contest.

    The Irish border was porous before 1975 and will continue to be so.

    Obviously I have a totally neutral viewpoint and an extensive knowledge of history. And if you believe that, I have an interesting financial proposition to put to you. But not Mr Charles, as he's a black Proddy.

    Technically we are politically closer to Australia, New Zealand and Canada than Ireland as we share our Head of State with them unlike the Republic
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    nunu said:

    I think its important for SO to recognise that Brexit happened because if unlimited immigration allowed in by Blair.

    I think Brexit won because of the financial crash and the austerity that resulted from it. That's what made immigration the huge issue that it has become.

    I think Brexit won because of Black Wednesday.

    Ultimately the UK is too big and too proud a nation to be in the EU but not in the Euro.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011
    HYUFD said:

    Joanna Cherry is using a lot of Theresa May's lines on Sky at the moment... "Free trade with Scotland is not just in Scotland's interests, it's also in the interests of the rest of the UK."

    Yes but that depends on the EU keeping free trade with the UK when May ends free movement from the EU or Scotland leaving the UK and not joining the EEA
    If Scotland leaves the union what May things about any subject whatsoever will be immaterial. She'll be out on her ear.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,964
    Mr. Glenn, I'd just repeat the point I made before, because it still stands.

    Arguing the UK leaving the EU is horrendous, then arguing Scotland should leave the UK and comparing Scotland's position with the UK's (in regards to leaving the EU) is obviously inconsistent and illogical.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,011

    I think Brexit won because of Black Wednesday.

    Ultimately the UK is too big and too proud a nation to be in the EU but not in the Euro.

    So if (when) we recant you'll advocate joining the Euro?
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited March 2017
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Charles said:

    malcolmg said:

    Broon to the rescue!

    https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/843006167836254209

    Bad idea. If Scotland leaves the United Kingdom, they'd claim the 'Scotland' bit, however nonsensical that might be. If you want to change the name, call it 'Bank of United Kingdom'.....not that I'd bother.....

    Scotland already own part of it you dumpling.
    Technically you don't - it's 100% owned by HMT.

    But in a negotiated settlement you'd have an argument for a pro rata share of its net asset value. As of 30 September that was £3.4 billion. I wouldn't have thought that £350 million is the most important thing for you to focus on, but each to their own...
    No matter how you cut it or try to obfuscate, Scotland owns a share and a share of all the assets held within it. As part of all the other assets of the UK it has a value.
    Oh not this nonsense again.

    If the UK was being dissolved you may have an argument, but it would not be upon Scotland leaving - the UK would still exist and Scotland would be the only new state. Leaving a country absolutely does not mean that the leaving part is entitled to the country's assets.

    Of course if you do insist on going down the line of wanting 8% or whatever of UK assets then you must also take 8% of the liabilities. AGREED?
    Yes of course I do not promote welching like some on here re England and the EU. How you get that a "United Kingdom " can still exist when it is no longer "United" beats me but there we are .
    The United Kingdom will still exist once part of northern Britain has left in the same way as the United Kingdom still existed once part of southern Ireland had left.
    I could have guessed one of the turnips would pop up , you cannot be united alone you halfwit.
    We wouldn't be united alone, we would be united with Wales and Northern Ireland.

    Are Wales and Northern Ireland so inconsequential to you that we don't count them?
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,811

    malcolmg said:

    GIN1138 said:

    I might be in a minority on the Right here who think Gordon Brown is onto something with his comments.

    But, I have been saying on here for some months that Holyrood should gain EU powers post Brexit, as has Michael Gove.

    Agreed.

    I always assumed that Brexit would mean bringing back many powers not just to Westminster but to the devolved parliaments and would essentially bring in a new constitutional settlement for the UK for the 21st century.
    Morning GIN, you did not foolishly think hte Tories would let any of the powers get out of Westminsters grasp. Unless it is useless it will not be devolved.
    Morning Malc - I do expect powers will be devolved as long as there is goodwill - the whole process will take many years to evolve but I cannot see Nicola's referendum taking place before 2021. I am interested to know if you agree that Nicola has jumped the gun and would have been prudent to wait at least until the end of Brexit talks and then demand the referendum
    Morning G, They will never devolve any of the meaningful powers that can make a difference, it is all tinkering on the edges. I think she had to go for it , Tories are treating Scottish parliament like sh**
    and May's treating Scotland like a colony will only cause more of a stir. Lots of moves to come and I doubt that position will hold.
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