Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Osborne’s new job: Rewarding failure

SystemSystem Posts: 11,683
edited March 2017 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Osborne’s new job: Rewarding failure

“He wrecked the economy and he’ll wreck anything he gets his hands on.” — the verdict on the new editor of the London Evening Standard from a Tory activist vox popped at the Conservative Spring Forum in Cardiff by Channel Four’s Michael Crick.

Read the full story here


«1345

Comments

  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    edited March 2017
    Nonsense.

    George is a modern day polymath.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited March 2017
    Second after the cheating bounder.
  • Options
    Vile, vile, vile people.

    @PaulBrandITV: Horrifically, they even went so far as to say murdered MP Jo Cox 'had it coming'.

    https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/843885002664394752
  • Options
    Anorak said:

    Second after the cheating bounder.

    Please, I'm a cad and bounder.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Productivity would have skyrocketed if Osborne had thrown 2 million employees under the bus by reducing govt in-job support. If that had been the case we'd be now living under Ed Miliband's government. We'd also still be staying in the EU, mind, so not all downside.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    Now that he's got the Don Brind seal of disapproval he should be odds on to be next PM. ;)
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    edited March 2017
    The most interesting thing about today's debate, not one Tory criticised George Osborne.

    They know Ozzy is going to be leader, possibly in the very near future.

    Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the George;
    He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;
    He hath loosed the fateful lightning of His terrible swift sword:
    His brilliance is marching on.
  • Options
    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,718
    Unfortunately, I have to agree with you. George Osborne is a failure. As a Chancellor he was OK and better than I was expecting after his reaction to the Credit Crunch. He obviously learnt from that. But as someone who was credited as being the political Svengali of the Conservative government, he really wasn't that good at machinations. He was on the right side of the argument on Brexit and a social liberal, which I approve of.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    The most interesting thing about today's debate, not one Tory criticised George Osborne.

    They know Ozzy is going to be leader, possibly in the very near future.

    Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the George;
    He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;
    He hath loosed the fateful lightning of His terrible swift sword:
    His brilliance is marching on.

    just so wrong

    the opposite of love isnt hate, it's indifference

    they no longer care
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Eagles, that's indeed horrendous. The far right is still small, but has scope to grow. I'm surprised it isn't larger, to be honest.

    On-topic: if we ended up staying in, it would put rocket boosters under political division and bitterness. A new Farage-Banks political vehicle could gain widespread support very quickly.
  • Options
    MontyMonty Posts: 346
    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Monty, I seem to have lost my pile of cash...

    What's that quote about a classical education? It allows one to despise the wealth it prevents one from acquiring.

    No wonder Mr. Eagles is so loaded :D
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    You've got a cheek, trying to hold the current government responsible for the crash of 2008/09. It took years to recover the 7% drop in output that occurred during that time. Output is now well above the level that the government inherited, and the deficit is well below the level the government inherited.
  • Options
    RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    A dismal article as usual from Mr Brind. It would be nice if he at least attempted to be dispassionate, rather than laying on his partisanship with a trowel.
  • Options
    GasmanGasman Posts: 132
    The problem with any argument that claims that "austerity has caused problem X, Y or Z" is that we haven't had any austerity (yet). We've had lots of talk about it, but no actual austerity. As the header mentions, we're still running a large deficit - the stimulus goes on. Austerity is what happened in Greece or Ireland, not mildly trimming a gigantic deficit.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,449
    At the risk of sounding like a broken record - though that rarely holds people back - this is a bigger betrayal than had he joined another party. I wouldn't mind him deciding that his love of Europe trumps all else and therefore he'd be more at home in the Lib Dems. There'd be a certain honesty about it, a certain internal consistency. But by saying he's going to act as the voice of London, he's forfeited all right to represent a Cheshire constituency.

    I don't know whether the Tatton constituency can get rid of him, but if he's looking for another seat after the boundary review I can't imagine anywhere else in Cheshire would be too keen to have him. Though maybe he's planning a wholesale shift to somewhere down south anyway.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    edited March 2017

    The most interesting thing about today's debate, not one Tory criticised George Osborne.

    They know Ozzy is going to be leader, possibly in the very near future.

    Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the George;
    He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;
    He hath loosed the fateful lightning of His terrible swift sword:
    His brilliance is marching on.

    just so wrong

    the opposite of love isnt hate, it's indifference

    they no longer care
    I'm off to have dinner, but I'm going to do an Osborne is awesome/next PM nailed on piece this Sunday, just for you and Don.
  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.
  • Options
    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,304
    If anything Osborne was just too successful for his own good. Had the economy been in the perilous state he inherited from New Labour, then it's doubtful the public would have had the stomach to gamble with Brexit. Ozzy's golden legacy sowed the seeds of complacency alas.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Dawning, from your perspective the blame belongs to Cameron. Osborne advised him against the referendum.

    Mr. Cookie, I'm not against MPs having second jobs, but do agree the conflict seems too great to be considered acceptable.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    Maybe, just maybe, you should consider whether the EU and/or the Remain camp did things that alienated public support for the EU. You did throw away a 20% lead, after all.

  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754

    The most interesting thing about today's debate, not one Tory criticised George Osborne.

    They know Ozzy is going to be leader, possibly in the very near future.

    Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the George;
    He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;
    He hath loosed the fateful lightning of His terrible swift sword:
    His brilliance is marching on.

    just so wrong

    the opposite of love isnt hate, it's indifference

    they no longer care
    I'm off to have dinner, but I'm going to do an Osborne is awesome/next PM nailed on piece this Sunday, just for you and Don.
    he's the day before yesterday's man
  • Options
    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    edited March 2017
    Osborne's approval ratings were through the floor by the time he was deposed as Chancellor. People aren't going to be yearning for his return, no matter how much of a mess May makes of the Brexit negotiations.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Artist, the country isn't the constituency that decides, though its view may be weighed by the Conservatives MPs and members who would decide.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    Why do Remainers think that enlisting the very people that caused so many to vote Leave with their policies and interventions is going to turn the tide? Blair, Heseltine, Cameron, Osborne, Ashdown.. the Leave vote could easily be explained as two fingers to precisely these people.

    This line from Blair resonated

    "Populism identifies an enemy as the answer to what are essentially the problems of accelerated change".

    ...says the man who put his foot on the accelerator

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/mar/17/tony-blair-launches-pushback-against-frightening-populism

    TM the PM was a remainer, but now she is cast by Don as some kind of traitor because she accepts the result! Incredible
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    edited March 2017

    Vile, vile, vile people.

    @PaulBrandITV: Horrifically, they even went so far as to say murdered MP Jo Cox 'had it coming'.

    https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/843885002664394752

    I saw that. White supremacists with some extreme ideas and big mouths. Sadly we have one or two on here who said something similar
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    As I read this on Vanilla, I like to guess the writer from the opening couple of lines which are visible. Some are easier than others.
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,449

    Mr. Dawning, from your perspective the blame belongs to Cameron. Osborne advised him against the referendum.

    Mr. Cookie, I'm not against MPs having second jobs, but do agree the conflict seems too great to be considered acceptable.

    Yes, Mr. Dancer, I agree - I don't disagree with outside interests - I think it's probably healthy - but I don't see how he can act as the voice of London and the voice of Tatton.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    "Although he was sacked by Theresa May last year his enduring legacy is the decade and a half of stagnant livings standards revealed last week by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. It forecast that average real earnings in 2022 will be no higher they were in 2007. IFS director Paul Johnson commented: “Fifteen years without a pay rise. I’m rather lost for superlatives."

    It's not only Osborne who cannot count. Mr Brind can't either. Osborne was Chancellor from May 2010 to June 2016. Six years.

    Who was responsible for the other years of economic stagnation? Might the party in power before then have had something to do with it?

    The economy was not all sweetness and light up to May 2010 and then driven to hell in a handbasket by Osborne.

    Sorry: I know how hard it can be to write a good article. So I hesitate to criticize. But this is incoherent. Criticise Osborne by all means for his failures as Chancellor but we were left in a hell of a mess by the party that was kicked out in May 2010, a party that had been in power for 13 years and it is simply untenable to claim that what happened during those 13 years (and in earlier years) did not also form part of the backdrop to the EU referendum.

    The Brexit Rogues Gallery should include pretty much the entire political class who, despite all their planet sized brains, were unable to make a convincingly positive case for the EU and for the way in which it is developing in a way that resonated with a country which was in the EU and enjoying the advantages of being in the EU. That's one hell of a failure.

    And, finally, Mr B makes the mistake all British politicians have made since the Treaty of Rome was first signed. He thinks that the EU is all about economics and the Single Market. The one thing you'd hope pro-EU campaigners would understand is that the EU is - and always has been - primarily about politics. It is a political project. Economics is the means but it is not the end. The political case for the EU wasn't even attempted by the Blairs, Majors and Heseltines of this world. It is possible that in addition to those who thought the economics didn't work for them there were enough people who thought that the political consequences of being in the EU didn't work for them either and/or outweighed any economic benefits.
  • Options
    BannedInParisBannedInParis Posts: 2,191
    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    LOLost years.
  • Options
    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109
    Unfair to say Tessy was an unenthusiastic Remainer.

    https://twitter.com/juliansheasport/status/843793568242302980
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    edited March 2017
    That's quite a good photograph though. It makes one think, and it's possible to read much into it. For example, Blair would have symbolically sat in the centre, legs akimbo. May rests on the left wing....
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    The Leave campaign was, of course, built on lies and false promises by the sad fact is that my side, Remain, was led people who were damaged goods so far as most voters were concerned

    That is rather avoiding confronting that Remain was unable to convince people, and you're choosing to blame the deliverers rather than the message. That's very comforting, but not very helpful.

    I also think blaming Osborne's stewardship of the economy as the reason is overly simplistic. Immigration was a far bigger concern. And while I lambasted the man for not dealing with the deficit, I have yet to see it explained how people who think austerity, cutting, is wrong, as you seem to say, think him not cutting enough is a bad thing. It's a failure of his, but one those who didn't want austerity should be thankful for.

    On Osborne generally, speaking roles and adviser jobs are one thing, but he's clearly got no plans to get back in government again, and probably not long to stay as an MP.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067

    Unfair to say Tessy was an unenthusiastic Remainer.

    It recalls a comment from Cyan a couple of threads ago that disparagingly said that a certain person's politics could be summed up by holding up a piece of cardboard.
  • Options
    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    I believe Osborne warned Cameron against the referendum , so his nous is not all bad. If he had been more like Brown in stopping the PM from joining the Euro he would still be in office.However he was more like Mandelson and became beguiled by Cameron .
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    matt said:

    That's quite a good photograph though. It makes one think, and it's possible to read much into it. For example, Blair would have symbolically sat in the centre, legs akimbo. May rests on the left wing....
    But is it Annie Liebovitz making you think, or Theresa May?
  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited March 2017
    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    The Dupont-Aignan walkout was the biggest ever Facebook act by a French politician, measured in likes + comments + shares, BY A FACTOR OF TWO:

    https://twitter.com/TomMery/status/843861801494306817
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007
    edited March 2017
    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.

  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    The only one I heard Was lord Hesseltine on Any Questions and the power of his argument was impressive. The hypocrisy and stupidity of Villiers Stuartis a rare joy in these black days leading up to Brexit
  • Options
    DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    kle4 said:

    The Leave campaign was, of course, built on lies and false promises by the sad fact is that my side, Remain, was led people who were damaged goods so far as most voters were concerned

    That is rather avoiding confronting that Remain was unable to convince people, and you're choosing to blame the deliverers rather than the message. That's very comforting, but not very helpful.

    I also think blaming Osborne's stewardship of the economy as the reason is overly simplistic. Immigration was a far bigger concern. And while I lambasted the man for not dealing with the deficit, I have yet to see it explained how people who think austerity, cutting, is wrong, as you seem to say, think him not cutting enough is a bad thing. It's a failure of his, but one those who didn't want austerity should be thankful for.

    On Osborne generally, speaking roles and adviser jobs are one thing, but he's clearly got no plans to get back in government again, and probably not long to stay as an MP.

    Georgie said "an immediate recession will occur on 24th June if we vote for Brexit." clearly a lie.
  • Options
    DixieDixie Posts: 1,221

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    LOLost years.
    We Leavers were always leavers.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Cyclefree said:

    "Although he was sacked by Theresa May last year his enduring legacy is the decade and a half of stagnant livings standards revealed last week by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. It forecast that average real earnings in 2022 will be no higher they were in 2007. IFS director Paul Johnson commented: “Fifteen years without a pay rise. I’m rather lost for superlatives."



    The Brexit Rogues Gallery should include pretty much the entire political class who, despite all their planet sized brains, were unable to make a convincingly positive case for the EU and for the way in which it is developing in a way that resonated with a country which was in the EU and enjoying the advantages of being in the EU. That's one hell of a failure.

    It was the fault of the Tories; it was the fault of Farage; it was the fault of the poor; it was the fault of the old; it was the fault of the tabloids; it was the fault of the uneducated; it was the fault of the English. Do people who are really angry about the result ever wonder if it was their own fault that they lost?
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    matt said:

    That's quite a good photograph though. It makes one think, and it's possible to read much into it. For example, Blair would have symbolically sat in the centre, legs akimbo. May rests on the left wing....
    But is it Annie Liebovitz making you think, or Theresa May?
    Politicians have images they wish to project. I'd say that is considered - the artist is rarely better than the subject (and v.v.).
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Yorkcity said:

    I believe Osborne warned Cameron against the referendum , so his nous is not all bad. If he had been more like Brown in stopping the PM from joining the Euro he would still be in office.However he was more like Mandelson and became beguiled by Cameron .

    Or maybe he thought that loyalty to the PM was a virtue. The fact that he may have thought that imitating Brown was not the way to go speaks well of him rather than the opposite.

    That referendum was lost long before the campaign. If Cameron and Co wanted to win it they should have been making the case for the EU long long before early 2016. They should have been doing so from the moment the promise of a referendum was made. Cameron was doing the equivalent of fattening the pig on market day and trying to sell it to vegetarians.

  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754
    Sean_F said:

    Cyclefree said:

    "Although he was sacked by Theresa May last year his enduring legacy is the decade and a half of stagnant livings standards revealed last week by the Institute for Fiscal Studies. It forecast that average real earnings in 2022 will be no higher they were in 2007. IFS director Paul Johnson commented: “Fifteen years without a pay rise. I’m rather lost for superlatives."



    The Brexit Rogues Gallery should include pretty much the entire political class who, despite all their planet sized brains, were unable to make a convincingly positive case for the EU and for the way in which it is developing in a way that resonated with a country which was in the EU and enjoying the advantages of being in the EU. That's one hell of a failure.

    It was the fault of the Tories; it was the fault of Farage; it was the fault of the poor; it was the fault of the old; it was the fault of the tabloids; it was the fault of the uneducated; it was the fault of the English. Do people who are really angry about the result ever wonder if it was their own fault that they lost?
    I assume that is a rhetorical quesion ? :-)
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,306
    So despite inheriting the worst public sector deficit, horrific off balance sheet liabilities, unmatched consumer borrowing which needed to be dialled back reducing demand, a EZ in a complete mess that significantly reduced export opportunities and huge built in increases in government spending built on Labour bribes Osborne managed to produce record levels of employment, halve the deficit and provide the highest growth in the G7 in that period. Oh, and he delivered an overall majority from a minority administration for his party as well.

    Like his namesake Mr Best it is entirely appropriate to ask, "George, where did it all go wrong?"
  • Options
    RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Cyclefree said:

    Yorkcity said:

    I believe Osborne warned Cameron against the referendum , so his nous is not all bad. If he had been more like Brown in stopping the PM from joining the Euro he would still be in office.However he was more like Mandelson and became beguiled by Cameron .

    Cameron was doing the equivalent of fattening the pig on market day and trying to sell it to vegetarians.

    Superb. Cyclefree is definitely the PB wordsmith :smile:
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    On the economy Osborne failed, of course, by his own yardstick — the promise to cut the annual budget deficit to zero by 2015.

    Well yes, a failure if you're a fiscal conservative like some of us on here. But not a failure if you're Ed Miliband, Don Brind or the rest of the BBC.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. 86, Osborne was so nasty he imposed horrible, mean cuts, and didn't reduce the deficit quickly enough either.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    kle4 said:

    I also think blaming Osborne's stewardship of the economy as the reason is overly simplistic. Immigration was a far bigger concern. And while I lambasted the man for not dealing with the deficit, I have yet to see it explained how people who think austerity, cutting, is wrong, as you seem to say, think him not cutting enough is a bad thing. It's a failure of his, but one those who didn't want austerity should be thankful for.

    Only now are some on the left like Keiran Pedley beginning to realise that banging on about the NHS or housing being at breaking point might not be all that clever if you don't want people to question the levels of immigration.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited March 2017
    FPT
    Cyclefree said:

    But despite all of this there seems to be no Gadarene rush for the doors to the exit from the UK. So what the hell is going on?

    The UK is a large economy irrespective of the EU and the whole conversation about international trade, and specifically a reliance on Europe, is substantially overdone?

    The conversation has also been almost entirely about stability being good for business, but so is change. It just depends which business you are in.

    Continental exporters will feel the same pressures to protect their UK generated profits/revenue in the same way that UK ones feel the need to do with their european ones.

    If Business A vacates the marketplace, businesses B,C and D are presented with an opportunity to fill the space.
  • Options
    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Cyclefree said:

    Yorkcity said:

    I believe Osborne warned Cameron against the referendum , so his nous is not all bad. If he had been more like Brown in stopping the PM from joining the Euro he would still be in office.However he was more like Mandelson and became beguiled by Cameron .

    Or maybe he thought that loyalty to the PM was a virtue. The fact that he may have thought that imitating Brown was not the way to go speaks well of him rather than the opposite.

    That referendum was lost long before the campaign. If Cameron and Co wanted to win it they should have been making the case for the EU long long before early 2016. They should have been doing so from the moment the promise of a referendum was made. Cameron was doing the equivalent of fattening the pig on market day and trying to sell it to vegetarians.

    They did not need a referendum .You can not lose if you do not hold one .The vast majority of the country was not clambering to be asked.Total Tory clusterfuc* which Osborne had the power to stop Cameron ending his premiership .Loyalty is not a virtue when it is misguided.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Chestnut, reminds me of those Ferengi Rules of Acquisition:

    Peace is good for business.

    War is good for business.
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    Ah, a promising title and first half or so, spoilt by the rest of the article.
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Oh dear, Mr Brind has had a relapse…
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Always good to hear diagnoses of incompetence and failure from a key member of Owen Smith's (or Jones was it, or Evans?) legendary "challenge Corbyn" team of 2016.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    Why?
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007
    I think Osborne did a fair enough job as Chancellor given the hand he was dealt with but I think he has now positioned himself as the standard bearer of the diehard Cameroons which is not the best place to be in given the Tory party's current mood.

    As for Don Brind and the EU even if we went to WTO terms we would still trade with the EU and it was precisely because EU trade is now worth less than half of the UK's overall trade that enough felt able to vote Leave (a position Scotland still has not achieved in terms of UK trade). If his party had imposed the 7 year work permits requirement Germany, for example, imposed on Eastern European migrants in 2004 we would probably never have had a Brexit referendum, let alone a Leave vote
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    Roger said:

    The only one I heard Was lord Hesseltine on Any Questions and the power of his argument was impressive. The hypocrisy and stupidity of Villiers Stuartis a rare joy in these black days leading up to Brexit

    Heseltine can be an effective debater. No doubt. But the effectiveness of an argument is not measured by how impressed those who agree with the argument are but how well you are able to persuade those who oppose you or are not convinced.

    Too many on the Remain side were talking to themselves or - and this is very common, particularly amongst lawyers and other professionals - thought that the rationality of their argument would be enough. Big mistake that. Persuasion is as much about emotion and about saying something that makes sense to those you are seeking to persuade. And to persuade you need to understand what motivates your audience. You need first to listen.

    There is a case - a good one - to be made for immigration, for immigration from the EU and free movement within it. I could make it. But it was notable how few on the Remain side sought to make it or did so as if it was something that needed to be endured or did so in a way which contrived to insult its audience. If no-one was listening to the audience which needed persuading, why on earth should they listen to Heseltine and his rational arguments. No amount of rationality will compensate for de haut en bas condescension and lofty indifference to your concerns.


  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    edited March 2017
    Brind's hate-filled rant reminds us to be constantly vigilant against the anti-democratic menace of the embittered losers.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    The footage of the Republican trying to spin Putin wanting Clinton to lose as not being the same as wanting Trump to win is both jaw dropping and toe curling.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    Remain's biggest mistake was not discrediting the messenger enough. Gove and Johnson in particular should have got the same treatment as Lyin' Ted, Little Marco and Low Energy Jeb.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    Alistair said:

    The footage of the Republican trying to spin Putin wanting Clinton to lose as not being the same as wanting Trump to win is both jaw dropping and toe curling.

    I'm sure it is, haven't seen it, but in practice that circle is easily squared. I didn't want either of them to win.

    Good evening, everybody.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Alistair said:

    The footage of the Republican trying to spin Putin wanting Clinton to lose as not being the same as wanting Trump to win is both jaw dropping and toe curling.

    To be fair, wanting one of the two to lose, but the other not to win, was the mental state of pretty much everyone in the world, surely?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Ishmael_Z said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    Why?
    Because they campaigned and argued for Brexit!
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    I wish I could agree with you. it's so much easier to blame people you can put a face to but the sad truth having watched acres of vox pops during the referendum is that those responsible are the shell suited morons who don't like foreigners.

    You could blame newspapers for leading them by the nose but just because someone feeds you malicious poison doesn't absolve you from the stupidity of eating it
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956

    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    Remain's biggest mistake was not discrediting the messenger enough. Gove and Johnson in particular should have got the same treatment as Lyin' Ted, Little Marco and Low Energy Jeb.
    It's an argument, but Amber Rudd's attack on Johnson during the ITV debate went down badly.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    I was tearing my hair out at the disorganisation of the Leave campaign until late in the day. At one point, I was the Leave campaign in Luton.
  • Options
    MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I suspect they're all going to gang up on Macron and he'll emerge badly mauled.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I'm doing my PB duty and watching it from a bar in France.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    http://www.bbc.com/news/business-39325794

    Good article. Worth reading.

    Are we headed for a bond market bloodbath?
  • Options
    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    Interesting to hear that.
    My feeling was that Remain certainly had enough advantages that they were rightly favourites before the referendum. But i don't really know - if leave had lost i might well be praising the united remain campaign which crushed the hopelessly divided leave campaign.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I suspect they're all going to gang up on Macron and he'll emerge badly mauled.
    We will soon find out
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,007

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I'm doing my PB duty and watching it from a bar in France.
    Sounds as agreeable a way as any to do it!
  • Options
    trawltrawl Posts: 142
    Thread header, dear oh dear.
    Keep calling those who have come to a different political view to your own, rogues and liars. That'll persuade them.
  • Options
    DixieDixie Posts: 1,221
    Essexit said:

    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    Remain's biggest mistake was not discrediting the messenger enough. Gove and Johnson in particular should have got the same treatment as Lyin' Ted, Little Marco and Low Energy Jeb.
    It's an argument, but Amber Rudd's attack on Johnson during the ITV debate went down badly.
    Remain were the liberal elite spouting their undemocratic principles. We're now going to be free. Even that will take 2 years.
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I'm doing my PB duty and watching it from a bar in France.
    Do the French debates have a 'worm'?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,754
    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I'm doing my PB duty and watching it from a bar in France.
    Do the French debates have a 'worm'?
    he's called Macron
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    Sean_F said:

    Essexit said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.


    No doubt Remain didn't run a very good campaign... But at the end of the day the blame or the credit depending on how you think of it must go to the Leave side.
    In many ways Remain did run a good campaign (and I'm saying that as a former Vote Leave Constituency Coordinator) - there were tactical errors, but the overall strategy of going all in on economic risk was their best shot at winning over enough swing voters.
    I was tearing my hair out at the disorganisation of the Leave campaign until late in the day. At one point, I was the Leave campaign in Luton.
    It's clear in hindsight that Cummings had an excellent strategy and data game. Maybe it didn't always feel like it though!
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Yes, I think he is the definition of a long-shot. First TV debate of the Presidential election starts in just over half an hour
    I'm doing my PB duty and watching it from a bar in France.
    Do the French debates have a 'worm'?
    No but they have a stopwatch so you can see who gets the most speaking time.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,817

    Unfair to say Tessy was an unenthusiastic Remainer.

    https://twitter.com/juliansheasport/status/843793568242302980

    Since then we had a referendum and the British people voted to leave?
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Roger said:

    Vile, vile, vile people.

    @PaulBrandITV: Horrifically, they even went so far as to say murdered MP Jo Cox 'had it coming'.

    https://twitter.com/itvnews/status/843885002664394752

    I saw that. White supremacists with some extreme ideas and big mouths. Sadly we have one or two on here who said something similar
    Only one or two ? There is an alt-right beehive here with a Queen inside!
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
  • Options
    kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 3,949
    Cyclefree said:



    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.

    One of the main reasons I - as a relatively well off metropolitan londoner - voted to leave, was the fact that even on 75k aged 31 I felt utterly unable to to start a family. My own living standards - and I say this as someone who's relatively well off (though not compared to some posters on here) - are paltry in comparison to those of my parents at my age.

    With 300,000 new people coming to the country each year the simple fact is the infrastructure cannot cope. The salary I earn which would have bought a family home a generation ago barely buys a one bedroom grime pit in london these days. Move to the provinces? I'd be lucky to find a job and if I did my income would be cut by half, probably more.

    I genuinely don't know if Brexit will be good or bad for my hypothetical children, but they weighed heavily on my mind as I was casting my vote. All I could think was, maybe things can get worse, but since I am already in a position where I am unable to house, feed and educate a family then I might as well gamble and hope that our nation's collective decision to pull the emergency cord will finally lead to something being done.

    For me, it was an all-in shove. And I say this as a well-off middle class professional. I imagine quite a few people worse off than me genuinely did say "well it can't get any worse" and they would be quite right.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    surbiton said:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/business-39325794

    Good article. Worth reading.

    Are we headed for a bond market bloodbath?

    Not sure but buying the FTSE in large size right now counts as "Bold" on my personal investo-gambling radar.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    kyf_100 said:

    Cyclefree said:



    You're making a lot of unwarranted assumptions about lots of people on here. A lot of us are worried about our children and the future of this country and would like to have good government and a good opposition and have said so.

    Those who were responsible for Brexit were those who took Britain's membership of the EU and the advantages of the EU for Britain for granted for far too long and forgot to think about - let alone articulate convincingly - the case for both. In that vacuum mountebanks like Farage prospered.

    One of the main reasons I - as a relatively well off metropolitan londoner - voted to leave, was the fact that even on 75k aged 31 I felt utterly unable to to start a family. My own living standards - and I say this as someone who's relatively well off (though not compared to some posters on here) - are paltry in comparison to those of my parents at my age.

    With 300,000 new people coming to the country each year the simple fact is the infrastructure cannot cope. The salary I earn which would have bought a family home a generation ago barely buys a one bedroom grime pit in london these days. Move to the provinces? I'd be lucky to find a job and if I did my income would be cut by half, probably more.

    I genuinely don't know if Brexit will be good or bad for my hypothetical children, but they weighed heavily on my mind as I was casting my vote. All I could think was, maybe things can get worse, but since I am already in a position where I am unable to house, feed and educate a family then I might as well gamble and hope that our nation's collective decision to pull the emergency cord will finally lead to something being done.

    For me, it was an all-in shove. And I say this as a well-off middle class professional. I imagine quite a few people worse off than me genuinely did say "well it can't get any worse" and they would be quite right.
    If you don't mind me asking, how much were you parents earning at your age, roughly?
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    GIN1138 said:

    Unfair to say Tessy was an unenthusiastic Remainer.

    https://twitter.com/juliansheasport/status/843793568242302980

    Since then we had a referendum and the British people voted to leave?
    You see the SNP like to ignore democratic mandates.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    edited March 2017
    Roger said:

    Monty said:

    I couldn't agree more with Don. The lost years of the Osborne/Cameron government directly led to the despair that led to Brexit. Now, of course, it is going to get far, far worse for those on the poverty-line as Brexit destroys our already fragile economy.
    I expect to see the country fall even further behind over the next twenty years. It's very very sad but when my kids leave school over the next decade I may well encourage them to go abroad. This country is in serious, serious trouble.
    The posters on here will be fine of course. You can continue your conversations about the best way to invest your piles of cash. One of the great truisms of life is that the rich never suffer, and most of the posters on here are rich.
    But its you and people like you who will be responsible, along with the self-indulgent rich left-wingers who have kept Corbyn in.
    Oh for a viable moderate government.
    Strap yourselves in, it's going to be a rough ride.

    I wish I could agree with you. it's so much easier to blame people you can put a face to but the sad truth having watched acres of vox pops during the referendum is that those responsible are the shell suited morons who don't like foreigners.

    You could blame newspapers for leading them by the nose but just because someone feeds you malicious poison doesn't absolve you from the stupidity of eating it
    Don't be silly, Roger. I know many Leave voters, none of them either shell-suited or moronic, or motivated by a dislike of foreigners. You live entirely by choice in the most racially intolerant country in the first world - I am not making that up - and it colours your judgment. You should come over and see for yourself - if you can tolerate the concept of negroes and swarthy Levantines wandering freely in the streets.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    dr_spyn said:
    Presumably that's a different Lutfur Rahman to the one that's banned from office until 2021... though how many people by that name can there be...
  • Options
    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956

    dr_spyn said:
    Presumably that's a different Lutfur Rahman to the one that's banned from office until 2021... though how many people by that name can there be...
    I wondered that, and Googled. There's an 'h' in the other chap's first name.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    dr_spyn said:
    Presumably that's a different Lutfur Rahman to the one that's banned from office until 2021... though how many people by that name can there be...
    Pretty certain it's Luthfur (with an H) who is standing, a Lab councillor in Manchester.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,995
    edited March 2017

    HYUFD said:

    Cyan said:

    Dupont-Aignan is at 4.5% in the latest Ifop poll. Data was gathered on 18-20 March, so presumably some was collected before his interview walkout on Saturday evening. Expect his next poll score to be higher. The video of his walkout has had 12 million hits at Facebook.

    In tonight's debate among the leading five, it will be interesting to watch how Macron plays his recent conversion to the reintroduction of conscription.

    Full details of the new Ifop

    Round 1 Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 18% Hamon 12.5% Melenchon 11.5% Dupont-Aignan 4.5%

    Runoff Macron 60% Le Pen 40%
    http://dataviz.ifop.com:8080/IFOP_ROLLING/IFOP_20-03-2017.pdf
    What is it with Cyan and Dupont-Aignan? Have you backed him at 1000/1 or something?
    Dupont-Aignan is a pretty interesting character. He's Eurosceptic without being - and I chose my words carefully - a member of a party with borderline fascist leanings.

    France, like so many other European countries, needs sensible Eurosceptics. By which I mean fiscally rational, business friendly Eurosceptics.

    Marine Le Pen believes that France should pay higher pensions and lower the retirement age. She believes that the EU is too free trade and wants to raise tariffs on goods from outside France. She is a member of a political party which - not that long ago - described the holocaust as a 'detail'. She believes that a lack of government regulation in France is a major part of that country's problems.

    There are many who look at MLP and say, "I hate the EU, and she's a Eurosceptic! Therefore I like MLP." But her prescriptions for France are either utterly unrealistic, or would make it poorer.

    I hope D-A arises and is able to put forward a sensible Eurosceptic movement in France. I am not currently optimistic.
This discussion has been closed.