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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The French Presidency, Manchester Gorton & how long will Trump last – latest betting market round-up
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https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/844904889906089984
https://twitter.com/kayburley/status/844905355738038272
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2017/mar/23/crude-nature-of-attack-suggests-lack-of-isis-network-in-britain
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/george-osborne/news/84451/revealed-george-osborne-doing
https://twitter.com/BBCEssex/status/844910455848099841
It's looking like Macron will do it, but I'm far from convinced it's an 85% chance.
http://www.echo-news.co.uk/news/15177286.Former_MP_and_Ukip_campaigner_charged_with_electoral_fraud_over_council_vote/?ref=twtrec
Not bad for a 9 month return.
If Dems do very well in mid terms i think they would start impeachment.
Earl Mortimer of PB?
Colonel Mortimer?
Unless JackW graces us with his presence we're just a bunch of commoners, as far as I know...
https://twitter.com/europe1/status/844916890849955840
A sad 24 hours.
I'm not one for "We are not afraid" tweets. My reaction - other than to feel sad at the loss of life and admiration for the police, paramedics and that MP who tried to help - is "Piss off ISIS. We're better - much much better than you. And we're going to crush you and your evil."
And I also hope to God that my son who is going to Paris tomorrow will come home in one piece, safe and sound. So I'm not afraid to say that I am a touch afraid, even if I'm still bloody well going to carry on living my life how I damn well like.
https://beta.met.police.uk/condolences/
Is it even worth a small stake on Le Pen after Macron's price shortens further but before the Kremlin makes a move, and when might that be to within a few days?
http://www.channel4.com/programmes/spin
There has been a 3rd series, but not on Walter Presents yet.
He may be gay, or have had an affair or two (or he may not), but the odds on (a) there being dirt on Macron, (b) it only being known to the FSB, and (c) it being enough to swing the election have to be quite small, I would have thought. What, a 2% possibility? 5% at most.
More likely, there is polling error. Centre-right candidates have been outperforming their poll scores for a couple of years now - the Conservatives in the UK, the PP in Spain, the Republicans in the US and the VVD in the Netherlands all outperformed, often by large margins.
And the FN has typically underperfomed its polls shares (3-5% in 2015). If Fillon is on 20% in the final polls and MLP on 24-5%, then could he (damaged as he is) slip past her and into the second round?
http://www.itv.com/news/2017-03-23/westminster-terror-attacker-named-by-police/
London police have named the man they believe was responsible for the attacks on Westminster yesterday.
In a statement, the Metropolitan Police said Khalid Masood, age 52, was born in Kent and most recently lived in the West Midlands.
'His first conviction was in November 1983 for criminal damage and his last conviction was in December 2003 for possession of a knife.
It is believed the attacker was not on an MI5 list of 3,000 people thought to be capable of mounting an attack, The Guardian reported.
Almost a quarter of British troops killed during the UK's combat mission in Afghanistan died defending Sangin.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-39365330
If it's an Islamic/Islamist terror attack, that should be the focus. The fact he happened to be born in this country is irrelevant.
By that logic, the 7/7 attack should've been all about them (3/4) being from Beeston.
It's mealy-mouthed to only refer to Islamic fundamentalism when worrying about a far right response (the first time it was mentioned on the news last night was when the police officer doing the late press conference referred to such a concern).
Of course, when attacks aren't of that nature (Breivik being the most obvious example), that should also be made clear.
"And of most terrorists being lone wolves who are clueless about how and where to buy guns."
Frank Gardiner this morning on R5L was saying this is a myth. They virtually never work alone. They may not have companions, but they do have helpers. I also wondered about guns, but if they're on a watch-list of any kind, they might be cautious about attracting unwanted attention.
I'm sympathetic to the "Let's show them we're not cowed' theme, but I suspect they're not entirely bothered. They regard us (and most other sects of Islam) as less than dogs anyway.
Or perhaps there's a new category, Kent born Khalid.
Portsmouth are to enter into exclusive discussions with former Walt Disney chief executive Michael Eisner about a potential takeover of the club.
Mr. Urquhart, I'm not au fait with football. Is Portsmouth a Mickey Mouse club?
The 7/7 bombers and 21/7 failures were all British.
This isn't a problem with extreme Britons. It's a problem with extreme Islamic fundamentalists.
On an unrelated note, governments of both stripes seem inordinately fond of faith schools.
I've been wrong before, but a slight feeling in the air that the Farage/Banks/Hopkins etc Trajectory of Fuckwittery may be on its downward path.
Though obviously it does completely undermine the swivel-eyed attacks on recent immigration, which seems to have no particular relevance to recent events except to provide another subject about which the empty vessels can make most noise.
However, at this moment in time by English teacher we don't know if that is in a traditional school or language school or something else.