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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s ratings hit an historical low for a LAB leader at thi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s ratings hit an historical low for a LAB leader at this stage
Corbyn has the worst ratings after 18 months of any LAB leader since @IpsosMORI began asking the question 40 years ago pic.twitter.com/niNq4pqTdE
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And of course winning Gorton by 0.2% will be a tremendous triumph and show his popularity*
*in truth if it is less than 10% I will be stunned.
The problem is, the alternative tack of a return to the third way doesn't wash either. What do they offer to the 50-odd percent of the population who haven't been bewitched by May's Mutti schtick?
A sorry story.
If a young leader were to arise with a similarly unadaptable mind-set, events would pretty soon overtake that leader too.
Mr Corbyn is clearly an electoral asset, even in local elections. Just not for his own side....
(No sign of the Libs, but that is not unusual around here. Historically they have been useless about door knocking and leafleting in this area. Even when I signed the candidate's papers, it did not seem to help
https://mobile.twitter.com/ComedyCentralUK/status/847859783801737217/video/1
No doubt he realises he'd lose, and he's probably not enjoying the job, but Milne and McDonnell won't let him relinquish the hard left's grip on the Labour leadership any time soon. There's no obvious replacement from that wing of the party since Clive Lewis blotted his copybook either. Corbyn chose to stay on after the post-referendum no-confidence vote and ShadCab resignations, and there's no reason to think another leadership election would have a different outcome.
The regulatory barriers alone will be big... Plus truckers interest groups will fight back.
5-10 years for viable tech does not equal end of truck drivers.
Think of Uber/ride sharing. They launched eight year ago. There are still plenty of normal taxis around - and that's with Uber literally losing billions a year to try and gain market share.
The difference in technological complexity between building an app to match drivers to customers and building an autonomous system to drive a truck across a country is enormous.
I wish we could bet on number of truck drivers in the US in 2025... But can't see a way to make it work.
PS. Enjoyed that you linked to a guardian article for general consensus!
1 - Which will come first - driverless trucks or driverless Tube Trains?
2 - What are good Corbynite policies to discuss at length with Lab canvassers? Ask for them to explain Green Quantitative Easing?
Any suggestions for Lib Dems and Lib-Dems-now-called-Independents?
Miss Vance, that's a very good video.
Comrades, numbers are well-known as a perverse propaganda tool of deviant capitalists. But even their own rumour-monger numerologists have been proven wrong time and time again. By their reckoning, Ed Miliband was neck-and-neck with David Cameron, and Remain would have won the referendum.
Do not listen to the polls. Listen to your hearts, to the wise words of Chairman Corbyn and, most of all, to the Momentum newsletter to which I trust you are all subscribed.
https://www.vodafone.es/c/particulares/es/tienda/movil/tourist-in-spain-vf/
Personally I can not fathom for one moment what any of them see in this blithering idiot.
What a mess. For all of us as no opposition.
They don't have a business plan that scales or a technology group gives them an edge and they have no end goal when driverless cars come either.
They are 15 billion down with no escape ramp.
Trump bailing out is on his table, if the investigations continue to go where he fears they will. On what basis this is under consideration I'm not sure, because it won't protect him if his name is the frame.
Meanwhile if a rail accident kills say 10 people then that is a national disaster. I know there have been years with no rail deaths other than suicides. But under 10 is the acceptable number. 20 or 30 would be a disaster.
The problem for driverless cars is very real. If driverless cars were introduced and only killed 500 a year technologically that would be a giant leap forward and totally unacceptable at the same time.
https://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21719820-election-meddling-saga-may-never-be-concluded-trump-and-russia-never-ending-story?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/aguidetotheinvestigationstrumpandrussiatheneverendingstory
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/reported-road-casualties-in-great-britain-main-results-2015
Any ideas on how i can bet on it happening?
Also note that these 'driverless' systems (such as the Victoria / Central Line or Docklands) still require a staff member on board. There are relatively few train services that are fully automated to the extent where they can safely operate with no staff (from memory, level 4).
road deaths decreased by 2% compared with 2014, falling to 1,732
the number of people seriously injured decreased by 3% to 22,137
there were a total of 186,209 casualties of all severities
140,086 personal-injury road traffic accidents were reported to the police
reported child casualties fell by 4% to 16,101, compared with 2014
traffic volumes rose by 1.6% compared with 2014
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/reported-road-casualties-in-great-britain-main-results-2015
Rowan Atkinson used to do a sketch on road deaths (huh? - ed) where he'd recite the different total fatalities across Europe starting from a low U.K. And ending with orders of magnitude worse Spain and Italy. He'd then pause and say "tragic though these figures are, I say to you -THEYRE NOT ENOUGH! You're British, when you drive on the Continent you Bally we'll drive on our side of the road and take some dagoes with you as you go." I suspect it's no longer in his repertoire....
What's more stupid: the PLP putting Corbyn on the ballot because they failed to understand the rules, or because they did understand the rules?
This article in the NY Times is worth a read.
This sort of thing seems to support the theory SeanT was proposing yesterday that the very young seem to more rightwing (for want of a better term, I would class it more as being more extreme, in different directions than those just above them age wise) than previously.
Fifty years later there are still drivers on trains.
I think truckers have a bit of time yet...
Corbyn is basically turning Labour into that - a megaphone for the part of the left even those of us who are leftwing used to ignore because they're idiots. It's better for these people, and Corbyn and McDonnell for that matter, that they are in situ even if Labour's at 15% in the polls - it's still a far bigger megaphone than milling around in the alphabeti spaghetti of hard left parties or being a backbencher whips can't even be arsed to try and persuade to back the party line as they know the outcome.
I also liked Farage milling about in the background and, if it was him, at the end sketching Trump.
Whoever made the spoof video did a good job.
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2017/03/uber-executive-pleads-the-5th-wont-hand-over-documents-in-waymo-lawsuit/
And of course young people are more sensible now anyway, less drinking, smoking and drugs and all that.
But the public have the nasty habit of being unpredictable. Have you ever tried to beat the doors by jumping onto a tube at the mast minute? Have you ever had anything trapped in the doors, causing them to open and close again? Most *old* automated systems (even as 'old' as the DLR) require a member of staff on board to always, or occasionally, check the doors are clear and the train is safe to move off.
Modern systems can get around this: for instance by having doors on the platforms as well (look at the Jubilee Line Extension for an example). This can be done on new lines. The cost of retrofitting such systems on old lines are massive, and it is just cheaper to keep the staff for another few years.
There are other factors as well, but mostly it comes down to the interactions with the public.
(*) AIUI with a few minor alterations.
My current view is that its a little in May's interest not to be too unequivocal in ruling out a GE before 2020 even though she has no intention whatsoever of doing so. She's just seeming to allow herself the slimmest of wiggle room - and of course that suits anyway because she could change her mind.
Anyway the result of this is that Corbyn hangs on - if it was clear that the GE was 2020 and not before there would be almost weekly challenges until someone emerged!
Now of course this is depriving us of great Telly - the Eggheads chap could easily segue his role into a weekly Turniphead programme - "will the Turniphead ever be beaten"! And we'd get some great betting opportunities.
I know nothing about French politics but that seems bonkers.
"The software worked perfectly until we let the users use it."
"We made the system idiotproof, and they developed a better form of idiot."
http://www.londonreconnections.com/2014/driverless-trains-piccadilly/
I have no idea how I would vote if I were French.
I'm sure someone has thought of this... Just intrigued as to what the solution is...
I am sure driverless trucks will come. But it won't be soon and it will be preceded by a very extended period of time where they have human passengers as backups in case something goes wrong. We are already seeing it with the tests of automatic cars in the US.
Come on people,
You're letting me down!"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsCR05oKROA
Swerving in front doesn't sound very safe... And risks the car stopping somewhere you don't want it to? We want it on the hard shoulder... I think there will have to be some kind of police signal override button.
Do I get a say in the matter?
http://www.slate.com/articles/technology/future_tense/2016/06/why_police_might_pull_over_self_driving_cars.html
I already wonder how easy it would be to spoof or dazzle the vision sensors of automated cars, yet alone other attacks.
A natural extension of the technology would be for me to be driven somewhere and to send the car home or elsewhere - and then to be able to summon it again.