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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It was a big CON to LAB Remain voter swing that cost the Torie

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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,029

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    They'll be seen in a worse light than that. Nobody went round the country with a bus saying "Defending the Sudetenland costs £350m a week, let's give it to Hitler instead".
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    Roger said:

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Can 'uselessness' be grotesque?

    What about Theresa May Boris Johnson and David Davis 'The Quasimodos of uselessness?'
    Yup, they are useful as a marzipan dildo.
    If it is well made and fortified with gelatin I should think it'd be a very very very sweet ecstasy. :)
  • Options

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Nah, they'll blame the politicians who got us into this mess, and who said Brexit was easy, and such stories were Project Fear Reality.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,249
    edited October 2017

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yes, there's definitely a whiff of panic in the air. The problem is that, although it was glossed over during the referendum campaign, the Leave movement is hopelessly fragmented. Everyone has his own pet theory about the road to Brexit utopia. Now, perhaps that's harmless enough when restricted to discussion groups in dusty church halls, but it hardly amounts to a political blueprint for an issue of national importance. Hence the bickering and paralysis we now see.
    Which is why IMO it would be possible to say: we're leaving and we're also going to be members of the single market and customs union.

    It would upset a lot of people but probably not a majority of people.

    It is precisely the other side of the no one knows what Brexit they want coin that the govt (in less useless hands, admittedly) could take the initiative.
  • Options

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
  • Options
    felix said:

    Roger said:

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Can 'uselessness' be grotesque?

    What about Theresa May Boris Johnson and David Davis 'The Quasimodos of uselessness?'
    Yup, they are useful as a marzipan dildo.
    If it is well made and fortified with gelatin I should think it'd be a very very very sweet ecstasy. :)
    That sounds like the voice of experience talking.
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
    So open season on war examples then -good.
  • Options
    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,804
    edited October 2017

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, if they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,970
    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.
  • Options
    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
    No - we got half the country brainwashed early and scarpered into the wilderness with no plan.
  • Options
    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
    No - we got half the country brainwashed early and scarpered into the wilderness with no plan.
    Come on bev,we joined the common market with a vote not a political union
  • Options
    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
  • Options

    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
  • Options

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
    So open season on war examples then -good.
    As PB's leading historian, any bad war examples are likely to demolished by me, so come up with your war analogies very carefully.
  • Options
    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,287
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,970
    edited October 2017
    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,029

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
    No - we got half the country brainwashed early and scarpered into the wilderness with no plan.
    Come on bev,we joined the common market with a vote not a political union
    https://vimeo.com/237759717
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,581

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    You're putting maple syrup on your porridge?

  • Options

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    You're putting maple syrup on your porridge?

    Alas no. I had to give up maple syrup
  • Options

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Yep. It is those that have tied us so closely to the EU that have fucked us over royally. Leaving now is still far better than any of the alternatives which would have had us leaving in a few years possibly with real violence. However bad the Chicken Lickens might think this is going to be, the forced ejection later would have been far worse.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
    No - we got half the country brainwashed early and scarpered into the wilderness with no plan.
    Come on bev,we joined the common market with a vote not a political union
    Things change, but even so, that does not excuse the oversimplification that Brexit was/is presented as, nor the complete mess that is being made of the implementation so far. Mrs May should have sat on the A50 letter until the strategy was laid out and agreed. Instead she battled everyone through multiple courts and flung it at Brussels as soon as she could.

    I am only amazed that some Einstein in govt did not fly over to Brussels with the A50 letter on the morning of June 24th 2016
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,970
    Mr. Glenn, most of the country was born after the last vote, which was about the EC not the EU. We had no vote on Maastricht, or Lisbon, despite manifesto pledges on the latter. The political class signed away so much that now when they finally asked the electorate what it wants, they're having a devil of a time negotiating our departure.
  • Options

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    You're giving up cricket in favor[sic] of ice hockey? :o
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,814

    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    I can see that happening as well.
    It's not something I'd look forward to, but the botch-job that Brexit is turning into makes it a real possibility. For all the distrust people have for integration with Europe, if the equation seems to be:
    Outside EU = Chaos and loss of living standards; Inside EU = "It wasn't so bad, really, was it?"
    ... well, for all the high talk about things like sovereignty, if it does turn out to fuck things up for people in day-to-day life and provide financial hardship, people do tend to vote with their wallets.

    Last year's referendum doesn't invalidate that - the LEAVE side managed to muddy the water enough on the economic side and disruption side of the argument to make them seem to cancel out, and if Brexit had been to a Single Market status, or if a competent and good deal had been struck, they'd have been right.

    If it turns into a clusterfuck, opinions change. I could genuinely see us reapplying for readmission in 5-10 years and swallowing worse conditions to get in, and if we ended up in the Eurozone, we ain't ever getting out.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.

    Will you be adding a Canadian flag to your avatar picture?
  • Options

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
    So open season on war examples then -good.
    As PB's leading historian, any bad war examples are likely to demolished by me, so come up with your war analogies very carefully.
    "The Kippers collapsed at GE2017 faster than the Pakistani Army in December 1971" :innocent:
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Great article.

    By that I mean they read a couple of his tweets and didn't interview him - top top journalism.

    Cummings (read Gove) is indeed bashing the May/Hammond axis of inept - they are bringing their merdus touch to everything - not just Brexit.



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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,814

    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.

    We could have walked out into the EEA with a minimum of disruption, though.
    For all the cries about "We want a multi-speed Europe" and the EU saying "No multi-speed Europe", we already have a three-speed Europe.

    EEA -- EU -- Eurozone

    If we just wanted a Common Market situation with no need for ever-greater union, there's always the EEA, but that's off the table under May and the Conservatives.
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,581
    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    My reasons were probably similar to Jezza's. Undemocratic, capitalist hegemony, and all that.
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    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    Funny when someone writes something that proves they actually have no idea what they are talking about.

    Yes I am looking at you TSE.

    If you actually knew anything about either Peter or Richard North you would know they are absolutely not advocating a cliff edge or hard Brexit. They are both in favour of the EFTA/EEA model with a Liechtenstein option to control immigration. It is as far away from hard Brexit as you can get. Which you would know if you had done than just read a tweet.
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,581

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    You're giving up cricket in favor[sic] of ice hockey? :o
    Top tip - they call it 'Hockey'.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Sean_F said:


    As a thought experiment, imagine how the Conservatives would have performed had they gone into the election saying they rejected the Referendum vote?

    My feeling is that they'd have done better.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Mr. Glenn, most of the country was born after the last vote, which was about the EC not the EU. We had no vote on Maastricht, or Lisbon, despite manifesto pledges on the latter. The political class signed away so much that now when they finally asked the electorate what it wants, they're having a devil of a time negotiating our departure.

    A great point is that without Brexit we would be staring down a future of qualified majority voting, £Bns in payments, endless bizarre ECJ rulings and immigration forced on us from Brussels.

    Remaining was no party - and would have meant leaving in 10 years would be even more difficult.

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,029

    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    Funny when someone writes something that proves they actually have no idea what they are talking about.

    Yes I am looking at you TSE.

    If you actually knew anything about either Peter or Richard North you would know they are absolutely not advocating a cliff edge or hard Brexit. They are both in favour of the EFTA/EEA model with a Liechtenstein option to control immigration. It is as far away from hard Brexit as you can get. Which you would know if you had done than just read a tweet.
    But having concluded that a cliff edge Brexit is the most likely realisable option, Pete North has embraced it as just what the country needs to toughen the people up, rather than revisit the false premises that made him an opponent of the EU in the first place.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,827

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    My reasons were probably similar to Jezza's. Undemocratic, capitalist hegemony, and all that.
    Snap!
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,029
    edited October 2017
    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    Indeed, although I'd describe it as a cancer rather than a boil. The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,970
    Mr. Cooke, a fair point. Odd nobody raises the EEA any more.
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    kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 3,936

    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    I can see that happening as well.
    It's not something I'd look forward to, but the botch-job that Brexit is turning into makes it a real possibility. For all the distrust people have for integration with Europe, if the equation seems to be:
    Outside EU = Chaos and loss of living standards; Inside EU = "It wasn't so bad, really, was it?"
    ... well, for all the high talk about things like sovereignty, if it does turn out to fuck things up for people in day-to-day life and provide financial hardship, people do tend to vote with their wallets.

    Last year's referendum doesn't invalidate that - the LEAVE side managed to muddy the water enough on the economic side and disruption side of the argument to make them seem to cancel out, and if Brexit had been to a Single Market status, or if a competent and good deal had been struck, they'd have been right.

    If it turns into a clusterfuck, opinions change. I could genuinely see us reapplying for readmission in 5-10 years and swallowing worse conditions to get in, and if we ended up in the Eurozone, we ain't ever getting out.
    Afraid I think this is a rather naive fantasy. While it is inevitable the government of the day will get some of the blame, people tend to double down on their opinions rather than change them and I can easily envisage a scenario where the EU gets the blame for shafting us, refusing to compromise, etc. Facts are not important, only perception counts. And our buck-passing politicians will do all they can to shift the blame for a bad Brexit onto the EU. This would certainly be the BoJo strategy.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited October 2017

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.
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    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,804

    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.

    We could have walked out into the EEA with a minimum of disruption, though.
    For all the cries about "We want a multi-speed Europe" and the EU saying "No multi-speed Europe", we already have a three-speed Europe.

    EEA -- EU -- Eurozone

    If we just wanted a Common Market situation with no need for ever-greater union, there's always the EEA, but that's off the table under May and the Conservatives.
    As I said yesterday, I fear the politics is such that we need a bit of the disaster to realise that.

    Boris going mop in hand to the EEA' (well, EFTA but that doesn't scan so well) to be the Labour jibe for the next 50 years.

    PS. Apologies if my spelling is going downhill, discovering the swipe keyboard on my phone is great, but the errors are distinctly odd.

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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    Indeed, although I'd describe it as a cancer rather than a boil. The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
    That is only of any use if we have Eurosensible at the same time.

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,957
    edited October 2017

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    Well Justin Trudeau is more telegenic than May and Corbyn I suppose and Canada has half the population of the UK and over 30 times the landmass so they have plenty of room for you. Just take an extra large coat for the winter
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    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,546

    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:
    I don't see how a "No Deal" Brexit would end up going to a vote.

    What I suppose could happen is that Parliament could vote to revoke A. 50, in the hope that the EU would agree to such revocation, but I doubt if there would be a majority for that.
    If it's 'No Deal' or 'Revoke A 50' I wouldn't at all be surprised to see 'Revoke' winning in the Commons, with Hammond and many other tories on the Revoke side.
    But what are the mechanics of it actually getting to a vote? There is no further vote required for us to actually leave the EU. How does one get tabled if the Government does not support it?
    Least of the Remainers worries. Put it in as an amendment on an unrelated bill if needed. That's what happened to the boundary review last time, Government (blue bit anyway) didn't like it but nothing they could do.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,970
    Mr. Glenn, you sound like the reincarnation of Bloody Mary :p
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,827
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    edited October 2017
    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited October 2017

    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
    A thousand year glorious reign of the EU.

    The Kool Aid you are on sounds terrific stuff - is it available to purchase ?

  • Options
    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,703

    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.

    Will you be adding a Canadian flag to your avatar picture?
    Just avoid TGOHF's choice!
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    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    Yes that is very likely. In the post-war period the whole 1930s generation of politicians, including those had been popular and well-regarded in their time (such as Stanley Baldwin) were condemned for their part in preparing the ground for appeasement. The 2010s generation will certainly go the same way in the not-too-distant future. History will not be kind to either Cameron or May and it will revile Johnson.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,029
    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
    A thousand year glorious reign of the EU.

    The Kool Aid you are on sounds terrific stuff - is it available to purchase ?
    Believing that incremental evolution of the status quo is the best approach is usually regarded as conservative. It's only a kind of nationalist mania that prevents some people from contemplating doing this within the context of a European federation.
  • Options
    rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    AndyJS said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.
    The food is best in Quebec though.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
    A thousand year glorious reign of the EU.

    The Kool Aid you are on sounds terrific stuff - is it available to purchase ?

    Contact Brexit Central. They have gallons of the stuff. In fact I think that they have the entire production plant for it :)
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
  • Options
    AndyJS said:


    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.

    Vancouver is the 3rd most expensive city in the world to buy a house apparently (well according to all the Vancouver people we met when we were there in August). Average house price of a detached house in the Greater Vancouver area (which is large) is $1.8 million Canadian - about £1.2 million.
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    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    My reasons were probably similar to Jezza's. Undemocratic, capitalist hegemony, and all that.
    Snap!
    I remember reading this blog (http://hurryupharry.org/2016/06/20/why-i-am-voting-leave-by-professor-alan-johnson/) and thinking it was a thoughtful piece. Don't agree with much of it (and it didn't swing my vote), but it's an arguable and substantive position imo.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited October 2017

    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.

    Will you be adding a Canadian flag to your avatar picture?
    Just avoid TGOHF's choice!
    Amusing picture going around of Nickla Sturge in front of the SNP conference banner of "PROGRESS" - unfortunately the P, R and S, S, is out of shot.
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    It'll be interesting to see how the electorate views how tightly the political class has bound us to the EU over the decades. It makes our departure much harder, but also confirms the suspicion that we should've had a vote in the past to deny such integration.

    Just imagine another 20 years in the EU,we would have never left with the brainwashing.
    No - we got half the country brainwashed early and scarpered into the wilderness with no plan.
    Come on bev,we joined the common market with a vote not a political union
    Things change, but even so, that does not excuse the oversimplification that Brexit was/is presented as, nor the complete mess that is being made of the implementation so far. Mrs May should have sat on the A50 letter until the strategy was laid out and agreed. Instead she battled everyone through multiple courts and flung it at Brussels as soon as she could.

    I am only amazed that some Einstein in govt did not fly over to Brussels with the A50 letter on the morning of June 24th 2016
    Things change - correct.
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    Mr. Cooke, a fair point. Odd nobody raises the EEA any more.

    Some of us do. But as long as those in power reject it out of hand there is not much point discussing it.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,249

    AndyJS said:


    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.

    Vancouver is the 3rd most expensive city in the world to buy a house apparently (well according to all the Vancouver people we met when we were there in August). Average house price of a detached house in the Greater Vancouver area (which is large) is $1.8 million Canadian - about £1.2 million.
    There was a huge influx of Hong Kong Chinese people pre- and around-1997 and I'm sure the demand from there is constant and keeps prices high.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,957

    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.

    We could have walked out into the EEA with a minimum of disruption, though.
    For all the cries about "We want a multi-speed Europe" and the EU saying "No multi-speed Europe", we already have a three-speed Europe.

    EEA -- EU -- Eurozone

    If we just wanted a Common Market situation with no need for ever-greater union, there's always the EEA, but that's off the table under May and the Conservatives.
    The EEA for now means full free movement, not realiatic given reducing immigration was such a key part of the Leave victory.

    EEA in a decade is more realistic
  • Options

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    We are lancing a boil - there will be puss but its in the greater good.

    The cancer of Euroscepticism will be cut out of the body politic, and irradiated until it can never again bring us to the edge of disaster or consume the energies of the host.
    A thousand year glorious reign of the EU.

    The Kool Aid you are on sounds terrific stuff - is it available to purchase ?
    Believing that incremental evolution of the status quo is the best approach is usually regarded as conservative. It's only a kind of nationalist mania that prevents some people from contemplating doing this within the context of a European federation.
    No because they are clear that the end Is not a destination they are interested in. I still find it staggering that you don't get this. People do not want a European federation. Nothing you can do can make them change their minds on that and any time you bring up the idea it will be rejected.
  • Options
    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    edited October 2017
    rpjs said:

    AndyJS said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    That Prospect magazine has an indication of the stupidity within the Tory party from the Leavers.

    Not everyone’s panicking. At a “Leave means Leave” event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester, Owen Paterson, a prominent Eurosceptic, looked with glee over the cliff edge: “If the European Union is still messing around by Christmas,” Britain should “give notice, on 1st January, that we will be moving to WTO rules.”

    This would be a catastrophic error. Paul Daly, a Fellow in Law at Cambridge, tells me that a no-deal outcome “would lead to economic chaos.” The UK “would adopt, overnight, third-country status in the eyes of the European Union.” The result would be mayhem. “Planes would not take off, nuclear fuel would not be imported and haulage traffic to the Continent would grind to a halt.”

    The man who drafted Article 50, John Kerr, also told me recently that “flights in and out of continental Europe [will] stop unless we negotiate some replacement for the regime we’re members of.” It’s no exaggeration, then, to say that the new Brexit Britain that is supposed to be soaring into the skies would find itself grounded on the tarmac.

    I almost think the Kent situation is being underplayed. Dover port quote queues of 17 miles, widely reported, for 2 minute per lorry delays, and then that average checks would be 5-45 minutes. Well, you do the maths. And I bet 5 minutes is with all IT systems optimal for the job. Now, I don't expect scale up to 340 miles of queues ( the lorries will simply not set off), but I could well see Operation Stack bringing the M25 to a total halt.

    They have 80 remote parking bays for customs checking. Dover/Channel Tunnel is expecting to see a 100 fold increase in good needing customs clearance. Tarmac, portakabins, staff, equipment and training are needed to get spaces and the ability to process at those spaces into the 10000s, perhaps Manston could be needed, if Bluewater has a single story car park, perhaps the government can requisition and close that and shut down all single storey car parked supermarkets in Kent.

    The in laws are Kentish leavers, and I admit to a moment of schadenfreude that this might befall them. But then, crap, of they need to get to hospital during a hard Brexit, that would be no laughing matter.
    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.
    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.
    The food is best in Quebec though.
    Le Quebec est l'extreme ouest de la France. Bon cuisine!
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,799

    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Why would Remain voters continue to support a party whose only substantive purpose is to implement Leave? It's a question that the Conservatives urgently need an answer to.

    Labour's substantive purpose at present is not primarily Brexit so the converse question does not apply to them.
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    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    Funny when someone writes something that proves they actually have no idea what they are talking about.

    Yes I am looking at you TSE.

    If you actually knew anything about either Peter or Richard North you would know they are absolutely not advocating a cliff edge or hard Brexit. They are both in favour of the EFTA/EEA model with a Liechtenstein option to control immigration. It is as far away from hard Brexit as you can get. Which you would know if you had done than just read a tweet.
    But having concluded that a cliff edge Brexit is the most likely realisable option, Pete North has embraced it as just what the country needs to toughen the people up, rather than revisit the false premises that made him an opponent of the EU in the first place.
    There were no false premises. And he is choosing the cliff edge as a least worst option, not advocating it and certainly not celebrating it.

    The very worst option of all is yours, rejecting Brexit and returning to the EU. You really would not like the consequences of that.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    AndyJS said:


    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.

    Vancouver is the 3rd most expensive city in the world to buy a house apparently (well according to all the Vancouver people we met when we were there in August). Average house price of a detached house in the Greater Vancouver area (which is large) is $1.8 million Canadian - about £1.2 million.
    Renting is just about on a par with London, according my little mite who is out there.
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    TOPPING said:

    AndyJS said:


    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.

    Vancouver is the 3rd most expensive city in the world to buy a house apparently (well according to all the Vancouver people we met when we were there in August). Average house price of a detached house in the Greater Vancouver area (which is large) is $1.8 million Canadian - about £1.2 million.
    There was a huge influx of Hong Kong Chinese people pre- and around-1997 and I'm sure the demand from there is constant and keeps prices high.
    Yep quite probably. I Love Vancouver. The most cosmopolitan city I have ever visited and one that seems entirely at ease with itself (if not a bit fed up about housing costs)
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    TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
    Do we even know if roger has ever been to Grimsby ?
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    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "
    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.
    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.
    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    Yes that is very likely. In the post-war period the whole 1930s generation of politicians, including those had been popular and well-regarded in their time (such as Stanley Baldwin) were condemned for their part in preparing the ground for appeasement. The 2010s generation will certainly go the same way in the not-too-distant future. History will not be kind to either Cameron or May and it will revile Johnson.
    No need to wait for History, Mr Nick. The only people who now speak up for them is TSE, and he speaks up for only one of them.
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    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,546
    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    Putting the milk in the tea last?
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    philiph said:

    AndyJS said:


    Vancouver or Toronto? I'd like to live in one of those.

    Vancouver is the 3rd most expensive city in the world to buy a house apparently (well according to all the Vancouver people we met when we were there in August). Average house price of a detached house in the Greater Vancouver area (which is large) is $1.8 million Canadian - about £1.2 million.
    Renting is just about on a par with London, according my little mite who is out there.
    The one thing I would say about it is there are a lot more homeless to be seen on the streets compared to London (as an example). That did surprise me.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,799

    Why would Remain voters continue to support a party whose only substantive purpose is to implement Leave? It's a question that the Conservatives urgently need an answer to.

    Labour's substantive purpose at present is not primarily Brexit so the converse question does not apply to them.

    I don't want to put words in their mouths, but if you think Corbyn will hurt you financially more than Brexit will, then that would be a logical reason to vote Conservatives.

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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,664

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
    Oh please, like there hasn't been shit flown about all over the place in both directions.
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    tpfkar said:

    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    Putting the milk in the tea last?
    Only if you want kittens to die.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    tpfkar said:

    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    Putting the milk in the tea last?
    No, all the milk and honey is at Calais and beyond.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,249

    Why would Remain voters continue to support a party whose only substantive purpose is to implement Leave? It's a question that the Conservatives urgently need an answer to.

    Labour's substantive purpose at present is not primarily Brexit so the converse question does not apply to them.

    And it is difficult to make the case that they are the party of economic competence (such that they haven't destroyed that reputation) when they are dedicating themselves to do significant damage to the UK economy.

    Get out of that one, Tezza. If there was a sensible centrist party with 50% of the Cons MPs who voted remain and some mild left of centre Lab MPs who are anti-Jezzaites...I would jump to it in a heartbeat.
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    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    The Sun will go supernova and destroy the entire solar system.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,664
    I think history will be kind to Cameron and Osborne. The government they led was decent, and a well managed coalition arrangement. It didn't get to grips with some major things it said it would, to be sure, and as for Brexit, well at worst they proved inadequate to the task at hand.
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    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
    Do we even know if roger has ever been to Grimsby ?
    Grimsby? Ha! I've been all the way to Cleethorpes - the station is right on the seafront!
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    I don't see what your point is: you go from those things being "predictions here" to their being what is actually happening. The fact that something has been prophesied is no guarantee that it will happen, but also no guarantee that it won't.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    The Sun will go supernova and destroy the entire solar system.
    And the black hole Sag A* will consume the galaxy
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Sean_F said:

    Why would Remain voters continue to support a party whose only substantive purpose is to implement Leave? It's a question that the Conservatives urgently need an answer to.

    Labour's substantive purpose at present is not primarily Brexit so the converse question does not apply to them.

    I don't want to put words in their mouths, but if you think Corbyn will hurt you financially more than Brexit will, then that would be a logical reason to vote Conservatives.

    "We hate your guts, we're doing something you think is crazy, now vote for us because we think the other lot are even crazier than we are" is not much of a sales pitch.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,903
    What both leavers and remainers need to remember - we haven't actually left yet.
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    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    The Sun will go supernova and destroy the entire solar system.
    And the black hole Sag A* will consume the galaxy
    Now hang on, Bev, I think you're taking this a little too seriously :p
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
    Do we even know if roger has ever been to Grimsby ?
    I'm sure he has, if only to try the exceedingly good guacamole they sell in the chippies there.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
    Do we even know if roger has ever been to Grimsby ?
    I suspect Roger has burned his passport so that he can never be deported from the Riviera ;)
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,814
    kyf_100 said:

    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    I can see that happening as well.
    It's not something I'd look forward to, but the botch-job that Brexit is turning into makes it a real possibility. For all the distrust people have for integration with Europe, if the equation seems to be:
    Outside EU = Chaos and loss of living standards; Inside EU = "It wasn't so bad, really, was it?"
    ... well, for all the high talk about things like sovereignty, if it does turn out to fuck things up for people in day-to-day life and provide financial hardship, people do tend to vote with their wallets.

    Last year's referendum doesn't invalidate that - the LEAVE side managed to muddy the water enough on the economic side and disruption side of the argument to make them seem to cancel out, and if Brexit had been to a Single Market status, or if a competent and good deal had been struck, they'd have been right.

    If it turns into a clusterfuck, opinions change. I could genuinely see us reapplying for readmission in 5-10 years and swallowing worse conditions to get in, and if we ended up in the Eurozone, we ain't ever getting out.
    Afraid I think this is a rather naive fantasy. While it is inevitable the government of the day will get some of the blame, people tend to double down on their opinions rather than change them and I can easily envisage a scenario where the EU gets the blame for shafting us, refusing to compromise, etc. Facts are not important, only perception counts. And our buck-passing politicians will do all they can to shift the blame for a bad Brexit onto the EU. This would certainly be the BoJo strategy.
    More a fear than a fantasy - I've always been of the opinion that the Eurozone was a mistake and avoiding joining it was the best decision made in Downing Street for years.
    While people do double down on their opinions, they can still end up changing them, and when they do, they often swing hard from one extreme to the other. It's related to the halo effect that implies things are either wholly good or wholly bad - if they are pressed sufficiently to change from "it's bad" to "it's good", going nuanced on that scale is often rare.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Roger said:

    Remainers would love it if the options on the table were 'Leave with No Deal' or 'Revoke A50 and Remain'.

    Some may even go so far as to sabotage the prospects of a good deal in the hope that revocation comes in to play.

    As a matter of interest what were your reasons for voting 'Leave'? My mental picture of a typical Leaver is a Tory like Casino Royal who stand up in the toilet if they hear the national anthem or a Labour voter from Grimsby who doesn't like foreigners. You don't strike me as either.
    Roger,what the F do you know whats going on in our poor inner cities /towns (Grimsby )I remember rightly the visit you made to Bradford was a Quick drive through .
    I have never been to Grimsby myself, but I did drive through Runcorn last night ...
    Do we even know if roger has ever been to Grimsby ?
    I suspect Roger has burned his passport so that he can never be deported from the Riviera ;)
    What passport?
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,814
    HYUFD said:

    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.

    We could have walked out into the EEA with a minimum of disruption, though.
    For all the cries about "We want a multi-speed Europe" and the EU saying "No multi-speed Europe", we already have a three-speed Europe.

    EEA -- EU -- Eurozone

    If we just wanted a Common Market situation with no need for ever-greater union, there's always the EEA, but that's off the table under May and the Conservatives.
    The EEA for now means full free movement, not realiatic given reducing immigration was such a key part of the Leave victory.

    EEA in a decade is more realistic
    We haven't even used the controls available under "free movement"; suddenly applying them would look like we were doing something new on immigration and would have been fully compatible with EEA membership (fully compatible with retained EU membership for that matter, but that's by-the-by)
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    Mr. Johnno, it's one of the reasons I don't think the line about waiting 10 years then leaving washes.

    Mr. Eagles, in the short-term, you may be right.

    But what next? A settlement must be had, one way or another. If it's similar to what we have now, that sceptical movement could enjoy a resurgence.

    I fear the shit show Brexit of Richard or Peter North where he was looking forward to a ten year hard Brexit only sees us rejoin the EU and fully integrate, with a £3 trillion exit fee in future, and because we'd sign up to get out of the hard Brexit shit show.
    Funny when someone writes something that proves they actually have no idea what they are talking about.

    Yes I am looking at you TSE.

    If you actually knew anything about either Peter or Richard North you would know they are absolutely not advocating a cliff edge or hard Brexit. They are both in favour of the EFTA/EEA model with a Liechtenstein option to control immigration. It is as far away from hard Brexit as you can get. Which you would know if you had done than just read a tweet.
    How is this not looking forward to Hard Brexit?

    https://twitter.com/PeteNorth303/status/917698800214593536
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    kle4 said:

    " Theresa May and David Davis have provided a case study of grotesque uselessness "

    Dominic Cummings thinks Brexit is going wrong.

    https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/magazine/peering-over-the-cliff-edge-why-dominic-cummings-fears-brexit-will-fail

    Yet another Brexiteer looking for someone to blame.

    The more I think about it, the more I'm convinced he thinks he and his ilk are going to be seen in the same light as the guilty men who gave us appeasement in the 1930s which ended up screwing the country.
    I thought using examples of war for the EU referendum was looked negative on here.
    Nah, plus after us Remainers were called the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, I'm being quite restrained.
    Oh please, like there hasn't been shit flown about all over the place in both directions.
    Shush, I'm trying to win an argument on the internet and take the high ground, please don't bring reality into this.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,158
    HYUFD said:

    Mr. Johnno, indeed. UK politicians played down the level of integration but now it transpires the tentacles have a rather tight grip.

    Without consulting the electorate we've been bound ever closer to the EU, and now it's difficult to leave. That's not a minor point, though I doubt it'll be raised much by the media.

    Edited extra bit: Mr. Eagles, the EU will only integrate more on the economic side, exacerbating tensions between conformity/harmonisation and the preferences of each individual nation state.

    That always was the strategic choice. To be part of a country call the EU, or to be the UK.

    We could have walked out into the EEA with a minimum of disruption, though.
    For all the cries about "We want a multi-speed Europe" and the EU saying "No multi-speed Europe", we already have a three-speed Europe.

    EEA -- EU -- Eurozone

    If we just wanted a Common Market situation with no need for ever-greater union, there's always the EEA, but that's off the table under May and the Conservatives.
    The EEA for now means full free movement, not realiatic given reducing immigration was such a key part of the Leave victory.

    EEA in a decade is more realistic
    But not all immigration comes from the EU. EU immigrants are some of the most able and worthwhile there are. So it would be possible to reduce immigration by tackling non-EU immigration.

    The EEA option should be on the table. I simply don't understand why it isn't.

    I would also like to thank Mr Meeks for the earlier thread header. He puts the rest of us to shame, both in terms of output and content.

    Re Vancouver - having just returned from there I agree that it is a most delightful city. If someone were to offer me a job there I would go like a shot. But like Mr Tyndall I was surprised to see beggars on the street.

    There are lots of young British and Aussies working there in the bars and hotels and the tourism industry, using the 2 year working visa option. A wonderful country and one I look forward to visiting again. Soon.
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    Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    Sean_F said:


    With all the predictions here of food riots, tanks in Belfast and Edinburgh, ten year long recessions, popular uprisings against the government, war, famine, plague and death if Brexit goes ahead, I wonder whether the horror can be ratcheted up any further. Where do you go from there?

    The Sun will go supernova and destroy the entire solar system.
    And the black hole Sag A* will consume the galaxy
    Now hang on, Bev, I think you're taking this a little too seriously :p
    No Sunil, if I was taking it seriously I would be pointing that baryons (protons, neutrons, etc) are unstable and will eventually decay leaving only leptons, quarks and photons. It may take some trillions of years to get to that point but the universe will probably still be waiting on "Leave" admitting that Brexit was an error. :D
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    I've actually begun the first step in moving to Canada in preparation for a fucked up Brexit and Corbyn as PM.

    Will you be adding a Canadian flag to your avatar picture?
    I've changed my avatar picture to that of the most famous Canadian in history.
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    Canadians are a fine people, they were there with us on D-Day.

    They are near perfect, they'd be perfect if they crushed their Francophile citizens.
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    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578
    kle4 said:

    I think history will be kind to Cameron and Osborne. The government they led was decent, and a well managed coalition arrangement. It didn't get to grips with some major things it said it would, to be sure, and as for Brexit, well at worst they proved inadequate to the task at hand.

    I agree about Osborne - his opposition to holding the referendum has already been proved prescient though his vendetta against May seems rather childish at times. But Cameron will be eternally tarred with the Brexit brush. In the (very unlikely) event that it is a roaring success he will get the credit. But in the (much more likely) event that it is a humiliating disaster the lion's share of the blame will - deservedly - fall on him.
This discussion has been closed.