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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The dangers of reverse-reasoning: a Christmas parable

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    JonnyJimmyJonnyJimmy Posts: 2,548


    He didn't - but you have! (Just saying)

    He wanted me to admit I was "completely wrong re DG" just now (and tried something similar last night over that Paddick article). I used the last two things I've said about it to prove him quite wrong, while reminding him I've been asked not to talk about it (so do kindly stfu about it), and hopefully not upset any moderators.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282
    IanB2 said:

    The meerkats appear to have set fire to London Zoo.

    They probably want to go and see Paddington 2 again. Which is very wise.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282

    Today is the last dry day I have before I get to work on the astonishing amount of high quality alcoholic beverages I have assembled for the Christmas period: beers from England, whisky from Scotland, wine from France, Spain, Italy and the US, port from Portugal, Baileys from Ireland ;-) And yesterday I purchased three Montecristo Number 2’s. I am all set.

    So we can expect your posts to be even more insightful than normal? Can’t wait.
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    DavidL said:

    Today is the last dry day I have before I get to work on the astonishing amount of high quality alcoholic beverages I have assembled for the Christmas period: beers from England, whisky from Scotland, wine from France, Spain, Italy and the US, port from Portugal, Baileys from Ireland ;-) And yesterday I purchased three Montecristo Number 2’s. I am all set.

    So we can expect your posts to be even more insightful than normal? Can’t wait.

    Merry Christmas!!

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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282

    DavidL said:

    Today is the last dry day I have before I get to work on the astonishing amount of high quality alcoholic beverages I have assembled for the Christmas period: beers from England, whisky from Scotland, wine from France, Spain, Italy and the US, port from Portugal, Baileys from Ireland ;-) And yesterday I purchased three Montecristo Number 2’s. I am all set.

    So we can expect your posts to be even more insightful than normal? Can’t wait.

    Merry Christmas!!

    And to you Southam. It sounds as if yours will be merry indeed.
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    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,962

    Mr. G, what's the SNP/separatist position on currency? Still the pound?

    Mr D , There have been no recent discussions on a currency after independence that I am aware of, however the same options are available as per last time.
    Short term they could use pound , longer term would be either Scottish currency or the Euro.
    Separatist is an offensive unionist description for someone wishing to run their own affairs, I never see you or any unionists on here using it to describe themselves on EU, it does not become you to be so xenophobic.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    IanB2 said:

    The meerkats appear to have set fire to London Zoo.

    Amuses me that the Indy described the zoo as being in the "northwest" of the capital.

    I mean I know it's in zone 2 but, really...
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The nativity always struck me as an ex post rationalisation. This man was the son of God, how could he have a normal birth? The royal blood thing seems somewhat overstated. He was of the house of David, as were about 10% of all Jews. Mary must have been too, especially as Jews are wise enough to establish blood lines through the mother. What is more important is the symbolism. Poverty and a complete lack of worldly power and trappings shows vividly that he later promises a very different kind of Kingdom.

    I agree with @foxinsoxuk that the sermon on the mount is the best and most important part of the New Testament but the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable. I find the idea that there were mistakes between Nazarene and Nazareth pretty unconvincing.

    Not completely clear about the betting angles on this though.

    Pascal's Wager?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282
    malcolmg said:

    Mr. G, what's the SNP/separatist position on currency? Still the pound?

    Mr D , There have been no recent discussions on a currency after independence that I am aware of, however the same options are available as per last time.
    Short term they could use pound , longer term would be either Scottish currency or the Euro.
    Separatist is an offensive unionist description for someone wishing to run their own affairs, I never see you or any unionists on here using it to describe themselves on EU, it does not become you to be so xenophobic.
    Malcolm, I never had you down as such a sensitive soul. Merry Christmas you old reprobate.
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    YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    edited December 2017
    kle4 said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Cyclefree said:

    “it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought.”

    That could apply to many in the financial world.

    Interesting header and discussion. Many thanks.

    Also to DG by many on here.https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/22/damian-green-case-former-police-officers-public-interest-brian-paddick
    I've read it and disagree, nor is Paddicks Quote as firm as suggested (the direct quote being about unlikely a jury would unanimously find it not to be public interest). They shouldn't have held on to the information, end of, as they has left the service. The federations Quote is just stupid given the retention of police information.

    How many former police officers decide to keep hold of information they've been told not to, on how many people? How much of that information is fortunate enough to them be able to be leaked to the press as in the public interest?

    Should we now encourage all officers to retain information on all cases on their own moral judgement, since who knows what might be public interest later?

    Green misled, and he's, been sacked, fine. But the implications are frightening. Former police making moral judgements to keep info on the off chance it will be useful years later. How,many other people, significant or not, have these officers kept info on? What exactly were there plans if it never came up again?

    Merry Xmas to all
    The former police officer denies leaking it to the Sunday Times.He said the journalist obtained the information from the Leveson Enquiry.Nevertheless if you are accused of something you have a right to defend yourself from anyone including a politician.Just because you have made your mind up does not make it correct.You do not have all the information to back your decision.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,841
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
    I've always struggled with the language, which seems to me to be archaic, even for the 1600's.

    IMHO, the best-written Bible is the New English Bible of 1970, which reads like The Times of 50 years ago.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,282
    Charles said:

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The nativity always struck me as an ex post rationalisation. This man was the son of God, how could he have a normal birth? The royal blood thing seems somewhat overstated. He was of the house of David, as were about 10% of all Jews. Mary must have been too, especially as Jews are wise enough to establish blood lines through the mother. What is more important is the symbolism. Poverty and a complete lack of worldly power and trappings shows vividly that he later promises a very different kind of Kingdom.

    I agree with @foxinsoxuk that the sermon on the mount is the best and most important part of the New Testament but the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable. I find the idea that there were mistakes between Nazarene and Nazareth pretty unconvincing.

    Not completely clear about the betting angles on this though.

    Pascal's Wager?
    Very good.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,860

    You don't remember my posts well at all.

    They are in the PB Archives. You said there was no Porn on his computer on 2 Dec 2017

    "I see a load more perverts came out on the last thread. There wasn't any porn found on the DPM's computer. It was a fabrication by two bent coppers, disgracefully spread by the state broadcaster"

    You continued the theme till the 5th December Do you really want me to cut and paste all your posts between 2/12 and 5/12?
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    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The nativity always struck me as an ex post rationalisation. This man was the son of God, how could he have a normal birth? The royal blood thing seems somewhat overstated. He was of the house of David, as were about 10% of all Jews. Mary must have been too, especially as Jews are wise enough to establish blood lines through the mother. What is more important is the symbolism. Poverty and a complete lack of worldly power and trappings shows vividly that he later promises a very different kind of Kingdom.

    I agree with @foxinsoxuk that the sermon on the mount is the best and most important part of the New Testament but the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable. I find the idea that there were mistakes between Nazarene and Nazareth pretty unconvincing.

    Not completely clear about the betting angles on this though.

    Stake: one soul. Returns: eternal salvation (or damnation). Bookmaker of uncertain provenance.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    An excellent thread from Mr Herdson, one of many this year.

    Merry Christmas one and all, May everyone have a great few days wherever they are and whoever they’re with.

    Now for the drinks cabinet to start getting lighter! :D
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,612
    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...
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    Another great piece of writing by David - that last sentence in particular has an eerie resonance. I hope he is deploying his talents in other fields too.

    I'm not sure that the specific political example is the best one - an easier explanation of Corbyn's comment is that if you're asked "Will you win soon?" then politicians just can't reply "Nah, probably not." But it's certainly true of most of us that we work out (or just have a gut feeling) what we want to happen and then often interpret events as showing that we're right or, if we're optimists, as showing that we're getting there.

    I'm not especially moderate in my opinions these days (too much wrong in our world to opt for tinkering), but one point that centrists get right is that we all need to be aware that our assumptions MAY be wrong, and we therefore shouldn't do anything that would be catastrophic if they were.

    Corbyn would be better saying "we're ready to form a government or fight an election whenever the chance arises but clearly there's no election scheduled until 2022 and the government has an effective, if small, majority. Our aim is to keep pressure on the government and to prove our effectiveness by setting the agenda on the issues we believe are important, even while we're in opposition."
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    Also the odds of him actually having been born on the 25th of December must be thousands to one against.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,962
    DavidL said:

    malcolmg said:

    Mr. G, what's the SNP/separatist position on currency? Still the pound?

    Mr D , There have been no recent discussions on a currency after independence that I am aware of, however the same options are available as per last time.
    Short term they could use pound , longer term would be either Scottish currency or the Euro.
    Separatist is an offensive unionist description for someone wishing to run their own affairs, I never see you or any unionists on here using it to describe themselves on EU, it does not become you to be so xenophobic.
    Malcolm, I never had you down as such a sensitive soul. Merry Christmas you old reprobate.
    My sensitive caring personality shining through David, hurt to the quick, Merry Christmas to you and your family.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,334

    What else is she supposed to say:

    “I’m in it for the long term,” May said when asked if she will lead her party into the next general election, scheduled for 2022. “I’m here to do the job I believe needs to be done for the British people and that’s what I’m going to focus on.”

    https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/theresa-may/news/91664/theresa-may-eyes-2022-vote-after

    Anything else would set dozens of hares running......

    Yeah, exactly like "Do you expect to be PM soon, Mr Corbyn?"
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    Also the odds of him actually having been born on the 25th of December must be thousands to one against.
    Not least because of the subsequent messing around with the calendar
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    Also the odds of him actually having been born on the 25th of December must be thousands to one against.
    presumably 365/1 against!
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    Sandpit said:

    An excellent thread from Mr Herdson, one of many this year.

    Merry Christmas one and all, May everyone have a great few days wherever they are and whoever they’re with.

    Now for the drinks cabinet to start getting lighter! :D

    Merry Christmas!

    Things officially started for me last night in the pub. Not feeling too fresh this morning, let's say.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,595
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
    I've always struggled with the language, which seems to me to be archaic, even for the 1600's.

    IMHO, the best-written Bible is the New English Bible of 1970, which reads like The Times of 50 years ago.
    There is a new an interesting contender for that title, which I have on order:
    https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/01/the-new-testament-a-translation-david-bentley-hart/546551/

    I'm not a believer, but I am hugely fond of the King James Bible.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited December 2017

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    The Nativity does not feature in Mark, which begins with the baptism of Jesus by John the Baptist. Generally Mark is considered the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,595

    What else is she supposed to say:

    “I’m in it for the long term,” May said when asked if she will lead her party into the next general election, scheduled for 2022. “I’m here to do the job I believe needs to be done for the British people and that’s what I’m going to focus on.”

    https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/conservative-party/theresa-may/news/91664/theresa-may-eyes-2022-vote-after

    Anything else would set dozens of hares running......

    Yeah, exactly like "Do you expect to be PM soon, Mr Corbyn?"
    Well, not exactly....
    :-)

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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Nigelb said:

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
    I've always struggled with the language, which seems to me to be archaic, even for the 1600's.

    IMHO, the best-written Bible is the New English Bible of 1970, which reads like The Times of 50 years ago.
    There is a new an interesting contender for that title, which I have on order:
    https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/01/the-new-testament-a-translation-david-bentley-hart/546551/

    I'm not a believer, but I am hugely fond of the King James Bible.
    I favour the New English Bible, but the KJV does have beautiful Shakesperean type language, much of which has become part of the English language, and often people quote unwittingly.
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    Mr. Charles, well, quite.

    Mr. kle4, agree entirely, and the shameful lack of media scrutiny of that aspect is almost as bad.

    Mr. G, if you prefer I not use the term I'll desist from doing so, though it seems fairly neutral to me (and I'd use the same or worse about anyone who wanted Yorkshire to separate).
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    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,962

    Mr. Charles, well, quite.

    Mr. kle4, agree entirely, and the shameful lack of media scrutiny of that aspect is almost as bad.

    Mr. G, if you prefer I not use the term I'll desist from doing so, though it seems fairly neutral to me (and I'd use the same or worse about anyone who wanted Yorkshire to separate).

    MD, It was a bit tongue in cheek , though it does annoy me.I know you would not use it if you thought it was offensive , others do use it for that very purpose.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
    I've always struggled with the language, which seems to me to be archaic, even for the 1600's.

    IMHO, the best-written Bible is the New English Bible of 1970, which reads like The Times of 50 years ago.
    I think the KJV committee heavily plagerised the Tyndale Bible of 1536, and when reading the TB this is quite transparent. The committee was largely a tidying up exercise, and as Tyndale was rather awkwardly executed for his translation, it was convenient to skate over!
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,817
    edited December 2017
    malcolmg said:

    how pathetic can it get.

    Morning Malc! :D

    Merry Christmas you yourself and Mrs G. :smiley:

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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited December 2017

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
    I would disagree. While induction from observed events helps in the generation of a falsifiable hypothesis, it is the hypothesis that sets up the experiment which then either supports or refutes the hypothesis, then generates further hypotheses. Intuition and inductive reasoning is fundamental to the scientific method.

    Religion is a separate domain of knowledge, and like art, is evaluated by different means. Jesus put it rather well "a tree is known by its fruit". In other words, "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"
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    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    A fairy tale from John Redwood:
    http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2017/12/23/little-red-white-and-blue-riding-hood-a-topical-christmas-story/

    Must admit I am lost as to why he isn’t kicking up more fuss....
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,962
    GIN1138 said:

    malcolmg said:

    how pathetic can it get.

    Morning Malc! :D

    Merry Christmas you yourself and Mrs G. :smiley:

    Morning GIN, Festive cheer to you and Mrs GIN and family and best wishes for 2018.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    rkrkrk said:

    A fairy tale from John Redwood:
    http://johnredwoodsdiary.com/2017/12/23/little-red-white-and-blue-riding-hood-a-topical-christmas-story/

    Must admit I am lost as to why he isn’t kicking up more fuss....

    The guy needs help.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,962

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    Yes it just looks petty and pathetic, very backward and insular looking. They are most certainly not in control of anything and seem to just pander to the xenophobes, very depressing and does not bode well for future.
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    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    This is a good point. I think British racing green would have been lovely.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    Essexit said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    This is a good point. I think British racing green would have been lovely.
    It is a new colour, isn't it? Old British passports were black.
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    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
    Essexit said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    This is a good point. I think British racing green would have been lovely.
    The DUP would've vetoed green !
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    EssexitEssexit Posts: 1,956
    malcolmg said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    Yes it just looks petty and pathetic, very backward and insular looking. They are most certainly not in control of anything and seem to just pander to the xenophobes, very depressing and does not bode well for future.
    Malc, for somebody who gets so het up about the term 'separatists' you use 'xenophobes' awfully casually.
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,050
    Aside from the lyrical prose, David's pieces always are objective. Today's though is outstanding.

    Wasn't it David that first alerted the site to a NoM on the day before the election following his canvassing? If it was then David Herdson rightly deserves his place as pbCom's person of the year.

    Thank goodness those pesky Christians decided to use a pagan day of celebration as their most important date of the year. Instead of wanting to top ourselves as the winter gloom sets in, we can usefully spend the time eating, getting pissed, shagging and spending hours on the sofa watching crap TV.

    Merry Christmas all.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited December 2017
    calum said:

    Essexit said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    This is a good point. I think British racing green would have been lovely.
    The DUP would've vetoed green !
    Green passports are favoured in Islamic countries. I recall Australia is too.

    Perhaps Purple and Yellow stripes in honour of UKIP would be apposite. Indeed the new colour is suspiciously Tory blue, rather than the traditional dark Indigo.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    tyson said:

    Aside from the lyrical prose, David's pieces always are objective. Today's though is outstanding.

    Wasn't it David that first alerted the site to a NoM on the day before the election following his canvassing? If it was then David Herdson rightly deserves his place as pbCom's person of the year.

    Thank goodness those pesky Christians decided to use a pagan day of celebration as their most important date of the year. Instead of wanting to top ourselves as the winter gloom sets in, we can usefully spend the time eating, getting pissed, shagging and spending hours on the sofa watching crap TV.

    Merry Christmas all.

    Merry Christmas tys!
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    Aside from the lyrical prose, David's pieces always are objective. Today's though is outstanding.

    Wasn't it David that first alerted the site to a NoM on the day before the election following his canvassing? If it was then David Herdson rightly deserves his place as pbCom's person of the year.

    Thank goodness those pesky Christians decided to use a pagan day of celebration as their most important date of the year. Instead of wanting to top ourselves as the winter gloom sets in, we can usefully spend the time eating, getting pissed, shagging and spending hours on the sofa watching crap TV.

    Merry Christmas all.

    Happy Christmas tyson! :):):)

    Is Die Hard "crap TV" or the centrepiece of the day?
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,119
    malcolmg said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    Yes it just looks petty and pathetic, very backward and insular looking. They are most certainly not in control of anything and seem to just pander to the xenophobes, very depressing and does not bode well for future.
    Oh, and Independent Scotland wouldn't have wanted a blue passport?

    Well, now you've got them.....
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    RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Merry Christmas everyone!

    :blush::blush::blush:
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
    I would disagree. While induction from observed events helps in the generation of a falsifiable hypothesis, it is the hypothesis that sets up the experiment which then either supports or refutes the hypothesis, then generates further hypotheses. Intuition and inductive reasoning is fundamental to the scientific method.

    Religion is a separate domain of knowledge, and like art, is evaluated by different means. Jesus put it rather well "a tree is known by its fruit". In other words, "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"
    "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"

    Most people say no.

    http://www.debate.org/opinions/is-there-a-correlation-between-religious-belief-and-moral-behavior

    Scientific theories, unlike religious beliefs, are not about universal truths. They are about models of reality that evolve over time to better fit observations.
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,050

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
    I would disagree. While induction from observed events helps in the generation of a falsifiable hypothesis, it is the hypothesis that sets up the experiment which then either supports or refutes the hypothesis, then generates further hypotheses. Intuition and inductive reasoning is fundamental to the scientific method.

    Religion is a separate domain of knowledge, and like art, is evaluated by different means. Jesus put it rather well "a tree is known by its fruit". In other words, "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"
    The problem for me with religion is that I cannot get over the written text....and so equate them all really in the same box. I think it was the Bishop of Oxford was on the radio that I heard sniggering about the teaching of Scientology. My reply would be "Seriously Bishop. Seriously when you believe in some really weird shit."

    But if you can get over aliens, virgin births, armageddons, devils, reincarnations, heavens and all the silly nonsense, there is much to commend religion which fits well alongside theories of philosophy, morality and theoretical science. When Einstein first devised his Theory of Relativity the idea was created in his head with no recourse to empiricism. I find that utterly astonishing, and on that basis alone I would never call myself an atheist.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Barnesian said:

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
    I would disagree. While induction from observed events helps in the generation of a falsifiable hypothesis, it is the hypothesis that sets up the experiment which then either supports or refutes the hypothesis, then generates further hypotheses. Intuition and inductive reasoning is fundamental to the scientific method.

    Religion is a separate domain of knowledge, and like art, is evaluated by different means. Jesus put it rather well "a tree is known by its fruit". In other words, "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"
    "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"

    Most people say no.

    http://www.debate.org/opinions/is-there-a-correlation-between-religious-belief-and-moral-behavior

    Scientific theories, unlike religious beliefs, are not about universal truths. They are about models of reality that evolve over time to better fit observations.
    Well, that is entirely compatible with the Gospels! Matthew in particular is harsh on those Pharisees who put external religious observance above true compassion, mercy and love of others.
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    Ally_BAlly_B Posts: 185

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    The Nativity does not feature in Mark, which begins with the baptism of Jesus by John the Baptist. Generally Mark is considered the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels.
    Great thread header for this time of year. If Our Lord was to signal to people of the BC age it would have to be in a way that they would understand. Hence coordinating the birth of his Son with a rare planetary conjunction would be suitable for that time. That must have occurred several times during the 600 year gap between the end of the Old and New Testaments, any idea how many times?

    I agree that Mark is probably the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels and omits the absence of discussion of the birth but it is also the shortest and some suggest forms the basis of both Matthew and Luke. It doesn't follow that the latter made up stuff to fit with Old Testament prophesy unless you were there and know different?
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

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    tysontyson Posts: 6,050
    Thanks Fox and Mortimer.

    Christmas TV....ITV4 have surpassed themselves once again. Rejoice because they are pretty much repeating their schedule from last year, notably the Green Berets at 15.25.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    tyson said:



    The problem for me with religion is that I cannot get over the written text....and so equate them all really in the same box. I think it was the Bishop of Oxford was on the radio that I heard sniggering about the teaching of Scientology. My reply would be "Seriously Bishop. Seriously when you believe in some really weird shit."

    But if you can get over aliens, virgin births, armageddons, devils, reincarnations, heavens and all the silly nonsense, there is much to commend religion which fits well alongside theories of philosophy, morality and theoretical science. When Einstein first devised his Theory of Relativity the idea was created in his head with no recourse to empiricism. I find that utterly astonishing, and on that basis alone I would never call myself an atheist.

    I profoundly disagree. You should behave kindly, honourably and justly because you just self-evidently should, and to believe otherwise is to be morally insane, is a much more satisfactory basis for morality than You should behave kindly, honourably and justly to curry favour with the ghost of an amiable religious nutter who was judicially murdered two millennia back. And the willingness of the religious to torture one another to death for not being Christian or Catholic or Sunni or muslim suggests that hatred and cruelty are hardwired into their beliefs.
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    Ally_B said:

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    The Nativity does not feature in Mark, which begins with the baptism of Jesus by John the Baptist. Generally Mark is considered the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels.
    Great thread header for this time of year. If Our Lord was to signal to people of the BC age it would have to be in a way that they would understand. Hence coordinating the birth of his Son with a rare planetary conjunction would be suitable for that time. That must have occurred several times during the 600 year gap between the end of the Old and New Testaments, any idea how many times?

    I agree that Mark is probably the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels and omits the absence of discussion of the birth but it is also the shortest and some suggest forms the basis of both Matthew and Luke. It doesn't follow that the latter made up stuff to fit with Old Testament prophesy unless you were there and know different?
    A triple-conjunction of Jupiter and Saturn, in Pisces, is a once-in-800 years event. Combined with a bright comet or nova would be extraordinarily rare. Obviously, it won't be the only rare event but other events wouldn't necessarily have the same astrological significance.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Ally_B said:

    Just popping by - nice thread Mr H.

    Didn't Matthew Mark and Luke just make stuff up to fit with Old Testament prophecy about the Messiah?

    Oh and the whole virgin birth thing is the result of a mistranslation.

    Laters...

    The Nativity does not feature in Mark, which begins with the baptism of Jesus by John the Baptist. Generally Mark is considered the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels.
    Great thread header for this time of year. If Our Lord was to signal to people of the BC age it would have to be in a way that they would understand. Hence coordinating the birth of his Son with a rare planetary conjunction would be suitable for that time. That must have occurred several times during the 600 year gap between the end of the Old and New Testaments, any idea how many times?

    I agree that Mark is probably the oldest of the Synoptic Gospels and omits the absence of discussion of the birth but it is also the shortest and some suggest forms the basis of both Matthew and Luke. It doesn't follow that the latter made up stuff to fit with Old Testament prophesy unless you were there and know different?
    I think that it is fairly generally accepted that Luke and Matthew both used Mark as a source.

    I am not a Literalist, so I am not as bothered as some Christians as to whether the Nativity is a genuine account, or a parable to illustrate a point. I am quite comfortable with storytelling, fable and myth as means of communicating meaning. Indeed it was Jesus's core teaching style. The ancients may well have been less educated than us, but were as intelligent. They perhaps were better than us at understanding the layers of meaning that come in a story.

    Indeed, while I consider Bible study important, I believe that we can lose the wood for the trees by getting bogged down in whether any particular incident is to be interpreted literally or as a parable.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,986

    malcolmg said:

    Just mulling it over, and it strikes me that the passport colour was a missed opportunity. If they had decided to go with a new colour altogether it would have sent out a signal that we are moving to a different state to the one we used to be in but not going back to a previous one. The flack from remainers would have been much the same but they'd have also got it in the neck from the hardline leavers. That would have enabled the govt to portray itself as in the centre and in control.

    Yes it just looks petty and pathetic, very backward and insular looking. They are most certainly not in control of anything and seem to just pander to the xenophobes, very depressing and does not bode well for future.
    Oh, and Independent Scotland wouldn't have wanted a blue passport?

    Well, now you've got them.....
    Surely an independent Scotland would/will have an EU burgundy one?
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280
    Ishmael_Z said:

    tyson said:



    The problem for me with religion is that I cannot get over the written text....and so equate them all really in the same box. I think it was the Bishop of Oxford was on the radio that I heard sniggering about the teaching of Scientology. My reply would be "Seriously Bishop. Seriously when you believe in some really weird shit."

    But if you can get over aliens, virgin births, armageddons, devils, reincarnations, heavens and all the silly nonsense, there is much to commend religion which fits well alongside theories of philosophy, morality and theoretical science. When Einstein first devised his Theory of Relativity the idea was created in his head with no recourse to empiricism. I find that utterly astonishing, and on that basis alone I would never call myself an atheist.

    I profoundly disagree. You should behave kindly, honourably and justly because you just self-evidently should, and to believe otherwise is to be morally insane, is a much more satisfactory basis for morality than You should behave kindly, honourably and justly to curry favour with the ghost of an amiable religious nutter who was judicially murdered two millennia back. And the willingness of the religious to torture one another to death for not being Christian or Catholic or Sunni or muslim suggests that hatred and cruelty are hardwired into their beliefs.
    Exactly. When you stand back from any particular religion and look at the huge variety of belief systems that have been used to fill the gaping holes in human knowledge over the millenia, and as very handy control systems for myriad rulers, it is pretty difficult not to conclude that they are all the creations of human imagination.
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    tyson said:

    Aside from the lyrical prose, David's pieces always are objective. Today's though is outstanding.

    Wasn't it David that first alerted the site to a NoM on the day before the election following his canvassing? If it was then David Herdson rightly deserves his place as pbCom's person of the year.

    Thank goodness those pesky Christians decided to use a pagan day of celebration as their most important date of the year. Instead of wanting to top ourselves as the winter gloom sets in, we can usefully spend the time eating, getting pissed, shagging and spending hours on the sofa watching crap TV.

    Merry Christmas all.

    Cheers, Tyson - and to others who've offered kind comments.

    To respond to an earlier comment of Nick's, no, I don't have another (i.e. paid) outlet for my analysis / writing. If anyone has offers or suggestions, please let me know.
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    Essexit said:

    Malc, for somebody who gets so het up about the term 'separatists' you use 'xenophobes' awfully casually.

    To be fair he has claimed to have lived in Kent. Not "one-of-us" but the message to Essex is clear. ;)

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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    edited December 2017


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,986
    tyson said:



    Thank goodness those pesky Christians decided to use a pagan day of celebration as their most important date of the year. Instead of wanting to top ourselves as the winter gloom sets in, we can usefully spend the time eating, getting pissed, shagging and spending hours on the sofa watching crap TV.

    Merry Christmas all.

    Which, if I understand the traditions right our NW European ancestors did (with, of course, the exception of watching TV) long before the disciples of the 'pale Galilean' arrived here. if, of course, he was pale!
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    rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,908
    Is there a secret competition among thread header writers to see who can refer the most frequently to Corbyns alleged remarks at Glastonbury?

    I agree with Mr Herdsons warning - it’s certainly a mistake I’ve made a lot of times in the past and doubtless will continue to do so in future.

    On the subject of wise men - some people think one of them came from Ethiopia - which would mean travelling north to get to Bethlehem I think...
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    Thanks Fox and Mortimer.

    Christmas TV....ITV4 have surpassed themselves once again. Rejoice because they are pretty much repeating their schedule from last year, notably the Green Berets at 15.25.

    Hmm! The Green Berets is surely not in the Die Hard class of Christmas Movies. It is a very interesting piece of propaganda, that came just before the scales started to fall from Americans eyes over Vietnam. The Tet offensive and My Lai made it obselete so quickly.
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    11:18am

    Bit early to be on the sauce to this extent surely?
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    There's some proper shite being chatted about special and general relativity in this thread.

    Einstein didn't just make it up out of thin air, he built it up on the extensive body of theoretical and, crucially, empirical work before him.

    Without Maxwells equations there is no special relativity.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,996
    Seventy firefighters have been tackling a fire at London Zoo.

    Forty to tackle the fire, and thirty to eat the roast reindeer and par-baked penguins.
  • Options

    Seventy firefighters have been tackling a fire at London Zoo.

    Forty to tackle the fire, and thirty to eat the roast reindeer and par-baked penguins.

    :lol:
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    tyson said:

    DavidL said:

    Is science really that different? It seems to me that many of the great leaps forward came from inspiration or a theory in respect of which there was then a search for evidence to test it one way or the other. The theory of relativity being a good example. The human mind and its capacity for intuitive leaps is truly one of the great mysteries of our universe.

    The general theory of relativity was created a priori and without reference to experiment. The experimental confirmations came later.

    However, it is a highly unusual example in science. We would probably still be waiting for the theory if Einstein had not lived. And it ruined its creator who was unable to repeat the trick as he sought for unification theories.

    Almost all advances in science come from experiments or data, that is then rationalised by theorists (such as quantum theory or QCD or dark energy).
    I would disagree. While induction from observed events helps in the generation of a falsifiable hypothesis, it is the hypothesis that sets up the experiment which then either supports or refutes the hypothesis, then generates further hypotheses. Intuition and inductive reasoning is fundamental to the scientific method.

    Religion is a separate domain of knowledge, and like art, is evaluated by different means. Jesus put it rather well "a tree is known by its fruit". In other words, "Do your religious beliefs make you a better person?"
    The problem for me with religion is that I cannot get over the written text....and so equate them all really in the same box. I think it was the Bishop of Oxford was on the radio that I heard sniggering about the teaching of Scientology. My reply would be "Seriously Bishop. Seriously when you believe in some really weird shit."

    But if you can get over aliens, virgin births, armageddons, devils, reincarnations, heavens and all the silly nonsense, there is much to commend religion which fits well alongside theories of philosophy, morality and theoretical science. When Einstein first devised his Theory of Relativity the idea was created in his head with no recourse to empiricism. I find that utterly astonishing, and on that basis alone I would never call myself an atheist.
    Einstein did use the observation of the perihelion of the orbit of Mercury and compare it with his own calculations to test his theory.
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    YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited December 2017
    Alistair said:

    There's some proper shite being chatted about special and general relativity in this thread.

    Einstein didn't just make it up out of thin air, he built it up on the extensive body of theoretical and, crucially, empirical work before him.

    Without Maxwells equations there is no special relativity.

    I was talking about GENERAL RELATIVITY.

    The gap from special to general relativity is a huge leap in the dark. There was no empirical evidence that drove Einstein from special to general relativity, other than his belief in the geometrization of physics.

    Whereas from Maxwell’s equations to special relativity is but a short step, and Einstein may not even have been the first (Poincare, Michelson).
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Seventy firefighters have been tackling a fire at London Zoo.

    Forty to tackle the fire, and thirty to eat the roast reindeer and par-baked penguins.


    Sky News (really) says that 'one aardvark is also still unaccounted for'.

    Not to worry, as the saying goes, a little aardvark never hurt anybody...

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    Rebourne_FluffyRebourne_Fluffy Posts: 225
    edited December 2017
    Off-topic:

    t'Economist "Double-Edition": Almost half the size it used to be. My views; so far:

    # Summary: Zookie does not like DJ Trump.

    # Editorials: First one failed.

    ## Chose the correct tune but failed to reach-the-notes (nothing about sexual-aggression within the LGBTQ mob).
    ## Cyril R was good; 'Nice one'.
    ## Safer-smoking showed signs of t'Economist liberalism I pay for.
    ## Well-done France! South-Korea failed at the start.

    # Extras (I)

    ## The Lift article is a rehash from a few years ago: That said some interesting ideas towards the end.
    ## Polygamy/Polygany: Disturbing.
    ## B-train: A snap-shot of Paris. It may be vibrant but it still sounds as depressing as I remember it.

    Hopefully the quality will be maintained as-per-standard: Do not like the extra-thick plastic cover (not even blue) and question where this paper is going long-term. For the first time I can remember (thirty-years I have chosen not to buy "The World In..."): Maybe time to spin-off the EIU from the parasites. :(
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    Seventy firefighters have been tackling a fire at London Zoo.

    Forty to tackle the fire, and thirty to eat the roast reindeer and par-baked penguins.


    Sky News (really) says that 'one aardvark is also still unaccounted for'.

    Not to worry, as the saying goes, a little aardvark never hurt anybody...

    New Christmas piece for organ - 'Ants may safely scurry.'
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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    edited December 2017
    General Relativity was the big breakthrough. Deciding that time is mutable was a real leap forward. (Lorentz can claim credit there too). Gravity = acceleration. Did the painter have to fall off the roof opposite or is it an another apple story?

    Pity the poor photon - being massless means it set off 14 billion years ago and no time's passed.(in its frame of reference). "Are we nearly there, Dad?" would get a bit tiresome.

    Mr Hopkins, I agree. And even scientists have biases.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Here are some chaps who have exactly the same complaint about resistance to their beliefs: https://www.tfes.org/

    I feel for you.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Even if there were, it doesn't follow that all the worshipping and other paraphanalia that goes with whatever flavour of religion you have chosen makes any sense, or has any purpose, other than a human/social one. Pretending there is someone watching just made it easier to force people to follow whatever rules the powerful wanted.
  • Options
    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Here are some chaps who have exactly the same complaint about resistance to their beliefs: https://www.tfes.org/

    I feel for you.

    Straw-man arguments used against what Christians believe is par for the course. It usually follows a pattern of "You believe in [stupid thing], therefore I must be a superior thinker to you."

    Referencing the flat-earth society is a typical example of the type. Come on, you can do better than that!

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002
    edited December 2017
    New Populus poll shows both over 35s and under 35s in the UK think greater gender equality, LGBTQ rights, growing awareness of climate change, rising living standards outside the West and tariff free trade have been a benefit and religion less so. Over 35s think immigration and automation have been negative influences albeit under 35s think they have been more beneficial

    https://mobile.twitter.com/PopulusPolls/status/944535308019826688
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    IanB2 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Even if there were, it doesn't follow that all the worshipping and other paraphanalia that goes with whatever flavour of religion you have chosen makes any sense, or has any purpose, other than a human/social one. Pretending there is someone watching just made it easier to force people to follow whatever rules the powerful wanted.

    I agree with a lot of that. The amount of paraphernalia the Church of England has added over base Christianity is quite scary - but many feel it helps them in their faith, so who am I to complain.

    People wanting to control others is an ongoing issue with humanity, they do it through everything from the threat of violence to social outcasting. Misusing religion is all in there too, but that doesn't mean there isn't something more important and spiritual to humanity.

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    Off-topic:

    Apparently some of our Scotch cousins can do it: https://www.thistlycrosscider.co.uk/?age-verified=539ea18cd9

    Shame about 2014; here is hoping they get it right next time. :)
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989
    edited December 2017
    IanB2 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Even if there were, it doesn't follow that all the worshipping and other paraphanalia that goes with whatever flavour of religion you have chosen makes any sense, or has any purpose, other than a human/social one. Pretending there is someone watching just made it easier to force people to follow whatever rules the powerful wanted.
    The definition of God (omniscient, omnipotent and benevolent) contains a contradiction. It's the benevolence that is the killer assumption. Why would an all seeing, all powerful God allow the awful evils to happen?

    I think it is possible we are living in a simulation created by a vastly more technologically advanced intelligence. A bit like the Truman Show. Nick Bostrom tries to quantify the probability in his famous paper.

    https://www.simulation-argument.com/

    If this is so, the intelligence is not benevolent to us. We are part of an experiment or perhaps an alien child's entertainment.

    Edit: This year they've been taking the piss with Brexit and Trump.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280

    IanB2 said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Even if there were, it doesn't follow that all the worshipping and other paraphanalia that goes with whatever flavour of religion you have chosen makes any sense, or has any purpose, other than a human/social one. Pretending there is someone watching just made it easier to force people to follow whatever rules the powerful wanted.

    I agree with a lot of that. The amount of paraphernalia the Church of England has added over base Christianity is quite scary - but many feel it helps them in their faith, so who am I to complain.

    People wanting to control others is an ongoing issue with humanity, they do it through everything from the threat of violence to social outcasting. Misusing religion is all in there too, but that doesn't mean there isn't something more important and spiritual to humanity.

    At least we can give thanks for having the choice. Throughout most of human existence the consequences of not going along with whatever flavour of religion the ruler happened to fancy could be very nasty indeed.
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    stevefstevef Posts: 1,044
    Jeremy Corbyn shares the same initials as Jesus Christ, and his deluded followers think that he is the Messiah. But Corbyn was defeated in this year's general election, and will never be prime minister.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Here are some chaps who have exactly the same complaint about resistance to their beliefs: https://www.tfes.org/

    I feel for you.

    Straw-man arguments used against what Christians believe is par for the course. It usually follows a pattern of "You believe in [stupid thing], therefore I must be a superior thinker to you."

    Referencing the flat-earth society is a typical example of the type. Come on, you can do better than that!

    No, because your claim is baseless in the first place. This was Russell's point: you don't deserve any more of a refutation than flying teapots and flat earths. Furthermore you don't, like many Christians, understand the nuts and bolts of your own beliefs: the centrality of Faith is a built-in claim to be above, and not susceptible to, logic. You aren't allowed to argue with me.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,334
    edited December 2017
    HYUFD said:

    New Populus poll shows both over 35s and under 35s in the UK think greater gender equality, LGBTQ rights, growing awareness of climate change, rising living standards outside the West and tariff free trade have been a benefit and religion less so. Over 35s think immigration and automation have been negative influences albeit under 35s think they have been more beneficial

    https://mobile.twitter.com/PopulusPolls/status/944535308019826688

    Interesting poll. We get so worked up about generational differences that it's interesting to see that they aren't that huge - a bit of disagreement on LGBT and immigration aside, people broadly agree across the generations, including that religion is on balance harmful, which surprised me (but I suppose people immediately think of the worst cases, ISIS and the Inquisition etc.).
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    maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:


    "... it is all too easy to start with a conclusion you want to be true and then rationalise the supporting analysis and logic; for the wish to be father to the thought."

    Indeed, and which atheists use to convince themselves there's no God...

    Just remind us what the obvious evidence for the existence of the flying teapot deity is, would you?

    If you are a Christian you are in a logical bind, by the way, because you gotta have faith, and if you can prove to your own satisfaction that your beliefs are true you don't got faith, because you don't need it, so I am afraid you are going to burn for all eternity. Bummer.

    One lesson I've learned over the years is that there is more than enough evidence for those that want to believe in God, but there will never be enough for those that don't.

    If all the atheists in the world asked God for proof and to write "I AM GOD" in the clouds above London on Christmas day, and it actually happened... then it would days, or more probably hours, before all the 'explanations' came in for it and how it couldn't be possibly be God at all, and it just a natural phenomenon.

    Here are some chaps who have exactly the same complaint about resistance to their beliefs: https://www.tfes.org/

    I feel for you.

    Straw-man arguments used against what Christians believe is par for the course. It usually follows a pattern of "You believe in [stupid thing], therefore I must be a superior thinker to you."

    Referencing the flat-earth society is a typical example of the type. Come on, you can do better than that!

    No, because your claim is baseless in the first place. This was Russell's point: you don't deserve any more of a refutation than flying teapots and flat earths. Furthermore you don't, like many Christians, understand the nuts and bolts of your own beliefs: the centrality of Faith is a built-in claim to be above, and not susceptible to, logic. You aren't allowed to argue with me.
    If you think starting from premises which are assumed to be true makes something illogical, i'm not sure you understand what logic is.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280

    HYUFD said:

    New Populus poll shows both over 35s and under 35s in the UK think greater gender equality, LGBTQ rights, growing awareness of climate change, rising living standards outside the West and tariff free trade have been a benefit and religion less so. Over 35s think immigration and automation have been negative influences albeit under 35s think they have been more beneficial

    https://mobile.twitter.com/PopulusPolls/status/944535308019826688

    Interesting poll. We get so worked up about generational differences that it's interesting to see that they aren't that huge - a bit of disagreement on LGBT and immigration aside, people broadly agree across the generations, including that religion is on balance harmful, which surprised me (but I suppose people immediately think of the worst cases, ISIS and the Inquisition etc.).
    The change in social attitudes during our lifetimes - as indeed for many generations through history - has been truly dramatic. It is very hard to put ourselves back into the commonly accepted mindset of thirty or forty years ago, even for those of us that lived through it. (Most of) the people wanting to take us back there really don't know what they are wanting.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,280
    He'd be wise to make it a round ten and keep an eye on his investments, as well.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002
    edited December 2017

    HYUFD said:

    New Populus poll shows both over 35s and under 35s in the UK think greater gender equality, LGBTQ rights, growing awareness of climate change, rising living standards outside the West and tariff free trade have been a benefit and religion less so. Over 35s think immigration and automation have been negative influences albeit under 35s think they have been more beneficial

    https://mobile.twitter.com/PopulusPolls/status/944535308019826688

    Interesting poll. We get so worked up about generational differences that it's interesting to see that they aren't that huge - a bit of disagreement on LGBT and immigration aside, people broadly agree across the generations, including that religion is on balance harmful, which surprised me (but I suppose people immediately think of the worst cases, ISIS and the Inquisition etc.).
    Yes, it is interesting that apart from immigration and automation people across the generations agree on most things.

    As we are now basically a secular country the religion figures did not surprise me, religion is now more influential in the developing world than the western world (outside the USA of course). There are now more Christians as a percentage in Nigeria than the UK for example, a complete reversal from a century ago.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,595

    Nigelb said:

    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    the skill and care used by the learned men who put the bible together was considerable.

    I read a history of the creation of the King James bible - committees of committees - anything less likely to lead to a successful outcome would be difficult to imagine.....and yet, we have one of the great works of English literature.....
    As an atheist I have no problem considering it one of the great books in the English language. Whether it was a good use of resources for Gove to send it to every school is of course a different question.
    I've always struggled with the language, which seems to me to be archaic, even for the 1600's.

    IMHO, the best-written Bible is the New English Bible of 1970, which reads like The Times of 50 years ago.
    There is a new an interesting contender for that title, which I have on order:
    https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/01/the-new-testament-a-translation-david-bentley-hart/546551/

    I'm not a believer, but I am hugely fond of the King James Bible.
    I favour the New English Bible, but the KJV does have beautiful Shakesperean type language, much of which has become part of the English language, and often people quote unwittingly.
    Perhaps more importantly, it is difficult to fully enjoy the novels of P G Wodehouse without some knowledge of Scripture...
    ... though one could arguably say the same about the appalling game of golf, which rather spoils my argument.

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    IanB2 said:

    He'd be wise to make it a round ten and keep an eye on his investments, as well.
    10. Bitcoin index
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    HYUFD said:

    As we are now basically a secular country the religion figures did not surprise me, religion is now more influential in the developing world than the western world (outside the USA of course). There are now more Christians as a percentage in Nigeria than the UK for example, a complete reversal from a century ago.

    Between yourself and HB you are seriously showing:

    # A lack of knowledge,
    # A lack of comprehension,
    # An ignorance of history, and
    # Exposing yourselves as a threat to the Conservative Party.

    I am sure that you both feel-at-home-as-Tories - in a 'Tim NbD' way: I respect this (albeit reluctantly). Utterances-of-bolleaux do not, however, endear you to true conservatives (including the deluded republicans): Please desist.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited December 2017
    Loving all the Brexiters:

    a) dissecting other cults based on faith; and

    b) getting upset by identified inaccuracies told by political opponents.

    This Christmas it seems that irony is flying off the shelves.
This discussion has been closed.