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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Alastair Meeks and his predictions for 2018

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  • Options
    archer101auarcher101au Posts: 1,612
    Dura_Ace said:

    RobD said:

    The Brexit bill could be higher than we thought... Unless of course, we decide that leaving the customs union isn't worth it after all.

    I wonder if they'll help set up customs ports in Dover? No, thought not.
    Ils nous auraient à leur merci. If they rip up Le Touquet then the jungle moves to Dover so May has to preserve that arrangement at all costs.
    Project Fear Mk 85.....

    Once we leave the EU, there is no problem dealing with asylum seekers via the tunnel. You simply do what almost every other country does, which is to insist that the travel company check that everyone has a valid visa BEFORE they are allowed to board and fine them heavily if they deliver someone who does not have a visa (before immediately deporting them again). By law if asylum seekers come from the EU they are required to seek asylum there, so the UK does not have to provide any means by which they can reach the UK. Why do you think you cannot get onto a plane for the US and Australia etc without a valid visa?

    Stowaways are not large in number and frankly for these guys it doesn't matter where the official border is because they are not using it.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.

    To those who pooh pooh the idea of a Royal yacht, the new money areas of the world absolutely LOVE things like this. Plenty of Americans, Arabs and Chinese will treasure their invitations from the Queen, even if they only got to meet Air Miles Andy and the Minister for Trade.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
  • Options
    To those that comment that I've been vague or non-committal, that's because - surprisingly given the last few years - my best guess is that 2018 will be an essentially quiet political year against a news-filled background. At the end of the year Britain will still have a crap government implementing a crap Brexit, convincing and inspiring few. But I thought I ought to show my workings.

    I'm expecting at least one and quite possibly all of the four bolded predictions to prove to be wrong (my predictions usually do poorly when reality bites). Life usually turns out to be more complicated than it seems.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
    His last six innings before this one, on the current tour. 2, 7, 37, 16, 7, 14, then 244* comes from nowhere! Last week we were all asking why they even bother selecting him any more.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
    His last six innings before this one, on the current tour. 2, 7, 37, 16, 7, 14, then 244* comes from nowhere! Last week we were all asking why they even bother selecting him any more.
    Apparently he’s been joined, for Christmas and his birthday, by his wife and children.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
    His last six innings before this one, on the current tour. 2, 7, 37, 16, 7, 14, then 244* comes from nowhere! Last week we were all asking why they even bother selecting him any more.
    Apparently he’s been joined, for Christmas and his birthday, by his wife and children.
    If that’s all it took, we should have flown them out six weeks ago!
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    RobD said:

    Taking money from charities to pay for it? Not a good look!
    Typical Tory though, just what you would expect from these troughing wasters.
  • Options

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
    His last six innings before this one, on the current tour. 2, 7, 37, 16, 7, 14, then 244* comes from nowhere! Last week we were all asking why they even bother selecting him any more.
    Apparently he’s been joined, for Christmas and his birthday, by his wife and children.
    That is interesting because in football, WAGs on tour has been blamed for England's lacklustre performances in World Cups. There was a golf tipster iirc who used to talk about the nappy factor -- a new arrival lifting a player's performance.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    IanB2 said:

    Can someone explain why there is such a dramatic divergence of view about whether the latest SW film is worth seeing, and how it compares to the last one? The common views appear to be that one is crap and one is great, differing as to which, and I haven't yet seen anyone argue that they are both great or both poor.

    Ian, I would say both are very good. They are just not following the formula so the SW geeks are a bit shocked. If you look for them to be the meaning of life then it may be different , for me they were 2 hours of well made fiction and most enjoyable.
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    Good morning, everyone.

    Leaders is an interesting topic of discussion. Barring medical woe, hard to see Corbyn going. May, obviously, is in a more precarious position. Someone here suggested the other day that the older Cabinet members who might want a tilt at the top job may try and get her removed sooner, rather than later.

    I agree she'll likely still be there at the end of the year.

    Of course, the critical question for 2018 is whether or not the Renault engine measures up to the Mercedes and Ferrari.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.

    To those who pooh pooh the idea of a Royal yacht, the new money areas of the world absolutely LOVE things like this. Plenty of Americans, Arabs and Chinese will treasure their invitations from the Queen, even if they only got to meet Air Miles Andy and the Minister for Trade.
    Kind of typifies how crap this country is, idiots looking to feather nest mooching royals who have bank accounts of billions nicked from peasants. Have these people no shame that they will just keep stuffing their pockets with public funds even though they have so much they could not spend it even if they paid their own bills for a change.
  • Options
    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.
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    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    RobD said:

    The Brexit bill could be higher than we thought... Unless of course, we decide that leaving the customs union isn't worth it after all.

    I wonder if they'll help set up customs ports in Dover? No, thought not.
    If leaving the customs union is going to be good for the UK then paying for the infrastructure is a good investment. We should be happy to pay for it.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,871
    Cyclefree said:

    Only an idiot would back or tip David Davis as next Tory leader/PM.

    https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/946144686720344066

    1. Harry is gorgeous!

    2. How crap is the Met. They can’t do rape cases and now children are being let down. What the hell do they do well?
    1, Seek professional Help, or Specsavers
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    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Her Majesty takes backhanders? Surely not.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Barnesian said:

    Those predictions look pretty sound, but few predictions survive contact with reality these days...

    I think it is safer to predict that there will be a big surprise in 2018.
    What could that surprise be though?

    It does seem as if we are due a quiet year politically, without major elections or leadership contests. So I substantially go with AM.

    UK will sign up to the EU "take it or leave it" deal, having had a hearty meal of humble pie. This will then be bounced and whipped through without proper scrutiny, setting up the nrxt political faultlines.

    I think May will last the year, before running off to the wheatfields in 2019.

    Cabinet departures? of course, but no one is indispensible. Polls are in a holding pattern so cannot see much change there.

    What political surprises are out there? Perhaps it is more fun to pick a few:

    May resigns as talks collapse, citing ill health. Economic uncertainty is the backdrop to the Tory leadership contest, won by JRM. The government falls over the Irish border. An autumn election sees Labour the largest party, but no one wants the poison chalice of coalition. By Christmas 2018, the country is looking ungovernable as it drifts onto the rocks. The world looks on in wonder....

  • Options
    Jeremy Hunt's 24x7 NHS is leaving patients to go blind
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/27/patients-going-blind-due-six-month-waiting-lists-cataract-surgery/

    The Department of Health is quoted: Nobody waiting for a cataract operation should face unnecessary delay but does not specify which patients should face unnecessary delays.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    kle4 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Bloody hell, Alistair Cook is in danger of both getting a Daddy and carrying his bat - which probably means he’ll be the last wicket on 199.

    Avoided that at least, phew!

    I know his average is low compared to others on the all time list, and he’s no Sanggakara or Tendulkar, but the additional challenge from being an opener I don’t think is acknowledged enough -generally openers are not the most fluid, talented scorers in a team, and it’s even harder to get not outs.t

    Moving at a fair lick since Broad got in, and broad having one of his lucky innings, the only way he scores runs anymore.
    Yes, Cook finally comes good with a brilliant innings, but sadly too late in the series for it to count for anything except the history books.
    It’s a shame none of our top guys really performed when the urn was still up for grabs, but thems the breaks. As a child of the 90s, avoiding humiliation and hopefully winning one or two to count toward overall games won is better than nothing.
    I don’t understand why Root didn’t decalre when Broad got his 50. Half a dozen ovcers left t be bowled at tired Aussie batsmen by a fired up Anderson and Broad. Oh well.
    When they’ve all struggled for runs, may as well just go for as many as possible and post a commanding total.

    Amusingly Cook has never carried his bat apparently, and assuming they declare overnight, he probably won’t get the opportunity to again. Also, I note that as long a career as he has had, in order to move his career average up by a mere 1 he gas to score 200+ without getting out, rough.
    I watched him several times at Essex last season and it seems impossibl;e to see whether he’s likely to score a lot of a little.
    His last six innings before this one, on the current tour. 2, 7, 37, 16, 7, 14, then 244* comes from nowhere! Last week we were all asking why they even bother selecting him any more.
    Apparently he’s been joined, for Christmas and his birthday, by his wife and children.
    If that’s all it took, we should have flown them out six weeks ago!
    She’s needed on the farm! Children are a bit young for hotel life, too.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,105
    Not sure if this ranks as a blown full prediction, but maybe file under "wouldn't be surprised": having had an abnormally good 2017, Jeremy Corbyn will have an abnormally bad 2018. Those fickle souls who fell so head-over-heels will start to become badly let down by Brexit's Bezzy Mate....
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,994



    Stowaways are not large in number and frankly for these guys it doesn't matter where the official border is because they are not using it.

    The stowaway game will radically change if the checks are on the UK side of the tunnel. If they get caught now they are still in France and get fucked off back to looking for the cheapest noodles in Carrefour. If they get caught at the new UK checks then they claim asylum and its mission accomplished.

    Also the enlarged prostates of the Daily Mail comments section will mightily throb if the checks move back to the UK. Perception will matter more than reality to the permanently bewildered who form the heart of May's support.
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    Mr. Mark, only some. The Cultists will love their Messiah come what may.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974

    Barnesian said:

    Those predictions look pretty sound, but few predictions survive contact with reality these days...

    I think it is safer to predict that there will be a big surprise in 2018.
    What could that surprise be though?

    It does seem as if we are due a quiet year politically, without major elections or leadership contests. So I substantially go with AM.

    UK will sign up to the EU "take it or leave it" deal, having had a hearty meal of humble pie. This will then be bounced and whipped through without proper scrutiny, setting up the nrxt political faultlines.

    I think May will last the year, before running off to the wheatfields in 2019.

    Cabinet departures? of course, but no one is indispensible. Polls are in a holding pattern so cannot see much change there.

    What political surprises are out there? Perhaps it is more fun to pick a few:

    May resigns as talks collapse, citing ill health. Economic uncertainty is the backdrop to the Tory leadership contest, won by JRM. The government falls over the Irish border. An autumn election sees Labour the largest party, but no one wants the poison chalice of coalition. By Christmas 2018, the country is looking ungovernable as it drifts onto the rocks. The world looks on in wonder....

    Agree with last para. I also suspect Cable will be gone early in 2018, possibly due to ill-health and Swinson will take over with the sparky Layla Moran as her deputy.
    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,331
    I see a poll of "most admired American women" features Angela Merkel and Queen ?elizabeth among the runners (on 2% each):

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/dec/27/obama-beats-trump-again-as-most-admired-american-man-in-poll

    Really the most striking thing is that nobody gets over 17% in either gender (and dividing it by gender is odd in itself). I wonder what a UK poll would say?
  • Options

    Not sure if this ranks as a blown full prediction, but maybe file under "wouldn't be surprised": having had an abnormally good 2017, Jeremy Corbyn will have an abnormally bad 2018. Those fickle souls who fell so head-over-heels will start to become badly let down by Brexit's Bezzy Mate....

    Brexit could trip up Labour but is more likely to do for the Conservatives, since the Cabinet is just as split as the Shadow Cabinet but with the obvious problem that their policy actually matters.

    Age and health might come into play not just for May, Corbyn and Cable but also some prominent ministers and shadows.

  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,994


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    They have; legalisation and licensing. Treat it like alcohol.
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Barnesian said:

    Those predictions look pretty sound, but few predictions survive contact with reality these days...

    I think it is safer to predict that there will be a big surprise in 2018.
    What could that surprise be though?

    It does seem as if we are due a quiet year politically, without major elections or leadership contests. So I substantially go with AM.

    UK will sign up to the EU "take it or leave it" deal, having had a hearty meal of humble pie. This will then be bounced and whipped through without proper scrutiny, setting up the nrxt political faultlines.

    I think May will last the year, before running off to the wheatfields in 2019.

    Cabinet departures? of course, but no one is indispensible. Polls are in a holding pattern so cannot see much change there.

    What political surprises are out there? Perhaps it is more fun to pick a few:

    May resigns as talks collapse, citing ill health. Economic uncertainty is the backdrop to the Tory leadership contest, won by JRM. The government falls over the Irish border. An autumn election sees Labour the largest party, but no one wants the poison chalice of coalition. By Christmas 2018, the country is looking ungovernable as it drifts onto the rocks. The world looks on in wonder....

    Agree with last para. I also suspect Cable will be gone early in 2018, possibly due to ill-health and Swinson will take over with the sparky Layla Moran as her deputy.
    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.
    Visited my family in Eastbourne over Christmas. The Lib Dems seem pretty well dug in there. I think they have a model that can get them back into contention in local areas if they do the spade work. And they do have a lot of members to do it. I wouldn't write them off.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    I see a poll of "most admired American women" features Angela Merkel and Queen ?elizabeth among the runners (on 2% each):

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/dec/27/obama-beats-trump-again-as-most-admired-american-man-in-poll

    Really the most striking thing is that nobody gets over 17% in either gender (and dividing it by gender is odd in itself). I wonder what a UK poll would say?

    Dividing by gender is surely to ensure the top is not dominated by one gender, probably men, fairly or otherwise. Which is also presumably why acting awards etc will still be given out by gender when I can’t think if many reasons you’d need to - unlike many sports, no gender has an advantage at elite acting.
  • Options
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,331
    Piece on the issues for MPs seen by a newcomer - disregard the political background and there are some interesting reflections there:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/27/i-want-structural-not-piecemeal-change-laura-pidcocks-first-months-as-an-mp
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Even if they do, if labour then pick it up they’ll reap the rewards - after all, even if they come later to it, they can actually implement it one day.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    They have; legalisation and licensing. Treat it like alcohol.
    But they’re not talking about it, nor anything else apart from Brexit. When did the LDs last manage to get a story to lead the news, when did they last get someone on R4 at 08:10?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    Piece on the issues for MPs seen by a newcomer - disregard the political background and there are some interesting reflections there:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/dec/27/i-want-structural-not-piecemeal-change-laura-pidcocks-first-months-as-an-mp

    I’ll take a look, though from the url it would look entirely what is expected from new MPs - Need for structural change, drain the swamp etc.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
    Be a bit more of a turn around for her though.
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    Is it just me who deplores the modern use of the word gender to mean sex? Inferior foreign languages have genders: people have sex!
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,331

    Is it just me who deplores the modern use of the word gender to mean sex? Inferior foreign languages have genders: people have sex!

    Isn't it because "sex" is more commonly associated with the act than the biology? But I take kle4's point about why it's used in polls of this kind.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974
    edited December 2017
    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    They have; legalisation and licensing. Treat it like alcohol.
    But they’re not talking about it, nor anything else apart from Brexit. When did the LDs last manage to get a story to lead the news, when did they last get someone on R4 at 08:10?
    That’s why I expect Cable to go; he’s no longer up to it. As someone else said weeks ago, that business with the Telegraph, and then losing his seat seems to have thrown him. I must admit that getting to 70 seemed to sap my get up and go, and I’ve noticed that in other people.nNot to mention starting health problems.
    Incidentally, approaching 80 doesn’t seem any better, and that’s from a bit lower starting point!
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,994

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
    I cannot imagine how completely and utterly fucked the tories would have to be to decide legalisation of cannabis was the answer. Although you never know with Brexit...
  • Options

    Is it just me who deplores the modern use of the word gender to mean sex? Inferior foreign languages have genders: people have sex!

    Isn't it because "sex" is more commonly associated with the act than the biology? But I take kle4's point about why it's used in polls of this kind.
    Probably yes but it is quite a recent change, isn't it? Surely official forms used to ask our sex; passports had a space for sex, and so on.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    They have; legalisation and licensing. Treat it like alcohol.
    But they’re not talking about it, nor anything else apart from Brexit. When did the LDs last manage to get a story to lead the news, when did they last get someone on R4 at 08:10?
    That’s why I expect Cable to go; he’s no longer up to it. As someone else said weeks ago, that business with the Telegraph, and then losing his seat seems to have thrown him. I must admit that getting to 70 seemed to sap my get up and go, and I’ve noticed that in other people.nNot to mention starting health problems.
    Incidentally, approaching 80 doesn’t seem any better, and that’s from a bit lower starting point!
    I think that was probably me, although I think several people have noticed it.

    One reason to be doubtful about Corbyn's longer-term prospects is his age. 70 in less than 18 months and while he is still securely in post, we all thought that about May seven months ago.
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    First episode of a new webcomic is up today:
    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2017/12/tales-of-knights-and-nitwits-episode-1.html

    I actually wrote the dialogue a long time ago (Blair might've been PM at the time) but it's still oddly fitting. Anyway, if you want a light-hearted bit of daftness, do give it a look.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    Dura_Ace said:

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
    I cannot imagine how completely and utterly fucked the tories would have to be to decide legalisation of cannabis was the answer. Although you never know with Brexit...
    If they elect JRM as leader we'll know they've anticipated the legalisation of cannabis.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    Sandpit said:

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    They have; legalisation and licensing. Treat it like alcohol.
    But they’re not talking about it, nor anything else apart from Brexit. When did the LDs last manage to get a story to lead the news, when did they last get someone on R4 at 08:10?
    That’s why I expect Cable to go; he’s no longer up to it. As someone else said weeks ago, that business with the Telegraph, and then losing his seat seems to have thrown him. I must admit that getting to 70 seemed to sap my get up and go, and I’ve noticed that in other people.nNot to mention starting health problems.
    Incidentally, approaching 80 doesn’t seem any better, and that’s from a bit lower starting point!
    Yes, he should retire gracefully and let someone younger with more passion take over. I’m not even sure why he stood for Parliament again, except that maybe he was annoyed at having being dumped in favour of a Tory by the electorate, having served in Cabinet with them.

    Drugs policy is a great differentiator, and as others have said it may end up that Labour can benefit from adopting it if the LDs don’t make a point of owning it for themselves. As I’ve said many times before, drugs policy either needs to be like Portugal and Amsterdam or like Singapore and Dubai, a wishy washy middle way just doesn’t work.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    edited December 2017

    Is it just me who deplores the modern use of the word gender to mean sex? Inferior foreign languages have genders: people have sex!

    Isn't it because "sex" is more commonly associated with the act than the biology? But I take kle4's point about why it's used in polls of this kind.
    Probably yes but it is quite a recent change, isn't it? Surely official forms used to ask our sex; passports had a space for sex, and so on.
    Surely aircraft rather than passports? :wink:
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,105
    Dura_Ace said:

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
    I cannot imagine how completely and utterly fucked the tories would have to be to decide legalisation of cannabis was the answer. Although you never know with Brexit...
    You would have said exactly the same about gay marriage too, I suspect.
  • Options
    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.
  • Options

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,994

    a royal yacht

    What? Is this shit back on the agenda again?
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,974

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Indeed Mr P; as one who canvassed etc for the Libs and then the LD’s for manyn years I was horrified by some of the things to which they agreed. For me, the worst thing was the emasculation of Legal Aid.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    edited December 2017

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    The mistake was having all candidates photographed with a card saying they would block tuition fee increases. So it wasn't just Clegg.

    That said, I wonder how Corbyn's backtracking on the issue would have gone down had he got into government and found his 'fully costed' manifesto depended on some, ummmm, 'optimistic' figures.
  • Options

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    Later today, no doubt some of pb's Conservatives will be fretting about how they can make themselves seem more relevant to younger voters.
  • Options

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    It is not the royal yacht that is the problem but the diversion of lottery funds from what might be seen as better, more deserving causes (even if there could be hypothecated games). If a royal yacht really will help trade then just buy one or use hypothecated bonds. That is where the MPs are tin-eared.
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    I am genuinely surprised Clegg accepted the knighthood.
  • Options
    Mr. Meeks, not commenting on whether Clegg himself deserves a knighthood but it always seemed off to me that Ed Davey got one and Clegg didn't.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Dura_Ace said:


    Lib Dems will have good local results and sort out some coherent policies again.

    They need to stake a claim on legalisation of cannabis before Jezza works out it will be an under 25 voter turnout machine.
    And before Tezza works out that legalisation of cannabis will be an old and blue turnout machine as its health benefits are made available to sufferers from chronic pain and other neurological conditions.
    It is a shame we can't separate this into two entirely separate issues, A. therapeutic cannabis in proper pharmacologically prepared form and B. recreational use. A. should automatically be a thing if it meets the usual tests for prescription drugs. As to B, the unfettered abuse of high quality modern cannabis (doesn't even have to be skunk) produces full on batshit craziness in both the short, medium and long term. Legalising it is an utterly terrible idea.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    Strictly speaking all of them were offered a peerage. Not all of them accepted. Admittedly the exceptions, the likes of Neville Chamberlain, are very rare.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    Isn't that because by almost convention they're entitled to a Peerage, if they want it?
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    ydoethur said:

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    Strictly speaking all of them were offered a peerage. Not all of them accepted. Admittedly the exceptions, the likes of Neville Chamberlain, are very rare.
    When was Neville Chamberlain Deputy Prime Minister?
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    Maybe the current opposition leader has been less keen to nominate Blair or Brown.
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    Indeed Mr P; as one who canvassed etc for the Libs and then the LD’s for manyn years I was horrified by some of the things to which they agreed. For me, the worst thing was the emasculation of Legal Aid.

    Charles Kennedy was one of the true gentlemen of politics. And transformed his party into a campaigning and successful party on the up. They took his alcoholism as an excuse to not just remove him but utterly change direction. That their electorate didn't support their new policies didn't matter, simply publicly hold up pledge cards for the press whilst simultaneously telling your shadow team that the policy wouldn't work and would be the first thing in the bin.

    That Clegg was openly exposed being so two-faced was bad enough. But then they decided that coalition meant openly supporting every policy the Tories threw down no matter how much it contradicted their ethos and shamed their membership. That they managed to stick a yellow bow tie on the dog turd was supposed to be something people would be grateful for.

    Farron - one of a tiny handful of MPs not to support the coalition - was supposed to be the guy to drag them away from the Tories, But with so few MPs left he embarrassed himself desperately trying to get called at PMQs then on the odd occasion he did talkedat500mphtotryandcramitallin. Nobody listened. Until he started channelling Glenn Hoddle. Then they listened. And so we have Sir Vince. A man once popular for one well delivered gag at PMQs and reviled for 5 years of sitting in the heart of the coalition.

    If they don't have a clue what they stand for any more, its no surprise that the voters don't either.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    ydoethur said:

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    Strictly speaking all of them were offered a peerage. Not all of them accepted. Admittedly the exceptions, the likes of Neville Chamberlain, are very rare.
    When was Neville Chamberlain Deputy Prime Minister?
    1935-37, also 1924-29 (de facto).
  • Options
    Mr. Tyndall, isn't Blair the blockage, in that PMs are meant to get the Order of the Garter but the Queen doesn't want to give one to Blair, so she's delaying rather than skipping over and making it quite overt he's been snubbed?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    They may have been offered one and refused it of course. However by tradition Blair and Cameron should be offered the Garter, and that means waiting for a vacancy in the order. Brown should be the Thistle - not sure if there needs to be a vacancy there or if the Committee just hasn't sat on it yet.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    Former PMs are offered special Knighthoods, The Order of the Garter.

    However there can only ever be 24 members of that Order, so it maybe a while before Blair, Brown, and Cameron get Knighthoods.

    (Brown might get The Order of the Thistle though)
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    Strictly speaking all of them were offered a peerage. Not all of them accepted. Admittedly the exceptions, the likes of Neville Chamberlain, are very rare.
    When was Neville Chamberlain Deputy Prime Minister?
    1935-37, also 1924-29 (de facto).
    Cheers
  • Options

    Mr. Tyndall, isn't Blair the blockage, in that PMs are meant to get the Order of the Garter but the Queen doesn't want to give one to Blair, so she's delaying rather than skipping over and making it quite overt he's been snubbed?

    I hadn't heard that. She should just snub him anyway. It would be a laugh. :)

  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,603

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    Later today, no doubt some of pb's Conservatives will be fretting about how they can make themselves seem more relevant to younger voters.
    Some of them just seem to be content sleeping with younger voters.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Yup, Blair declined a peerage because as a member of the House of Lords you have to disclose all your outside earnings
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of,i symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    It is not the royal yacht that is the problem but the diversion of lottery funds from what might be seen as better, more deserving causes (even if there could be hypothecated games). If a royal yacht really will help trade then just buy one or use hypothecated bonds. That is where the MPs are tin-eared.
    Exactly! Lottery players would much rather see their money go to community projects, sport and the arts, than to something like a Royal yacht. Let the Department of International Trade either make the case for public funding or (more sensibly) raise the cash privately. It’s not a lot of money either, would be single figures millions per year to buy and run it.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    Mr. Tyndall, isn't Blair the blockage, in that PMs are meant to get the Order of the Garter but the Queen doesn't want to give one to Blair, so she's delaying rather than skipping over and making it quite overt he's been snubbed?

    I hadn't heard that. She should just snub him anyway. It would be a laugh. :)

    There are apparently three vacancies in the order at present, so the decision not to at least offer them to Blair and Cameron does look a bit odd.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Ta. I must admit that although I love the history and ceremony surrounding all these awards, I don't really like them from a political point of view so have not paid any attention to who is supposed to get what and for why.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of,i symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    It is not the royal yacht that is the problem but the diversion of lottery funds from what might be seen as better, more deserving causes (even if there could be hypothecated games). If a royal yacht really will help trade then just buy one or use hypothecated bonds. That is where the MPs are tin-eared.
    Exactly! Lottery players would much rather see their money go to community projects, sport and the arts, than to something like a Royal yacht. Let the Department of International Trade either make the case for public funding or (more sensibly) raise the cash privately. It’s not a lot of money either, would be single figures millions per year to buy and run it.
    I remember there was real outrage when Blair diverted money from the lottery to the NHS. Even Major, who was extraordinarily magnanimous to all his successors as PM and Party Leader even when they were brutally trashing him, went on Frost to give Blair a bollocking.

    I cannot imagine this would go down better. It just feels wrong.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    Mr. Tyndall, isn't Blair the blockage, in that PMs are meant to get the Order of the Garter but the Queen doesn't want to give one to Blair, so she's delaying rather than skipping over and making it quite overt he's been snubbed?

    I hadn't heard that. She should just snub him anyway. It would be a laugh. :)

    There are apparently three vacancies in the order at present, so the decision not to at least offer them to Blair and Cameron does look a bit odd.
    There's normally a few years wait before they leave office and become a member of the Order of the Garter.

    Sir John Major became a member nearly a decade after he left office.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    ydoethur said:

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    They may have been offered one and refused it of course. However by tradition Blair and Cameron should be offered the Garter, and that means waiting for a vacancy in the order. Brown should be the Thistle - not sure if there needs to be a vacancy there or if the Committee just hasn't sat on it yet.
    Wiki seems to think there’s three vacancies at the moment, and four Members in their nineties.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_Knights_and_Ladies_of_the_Garter
    I quite like the idea of the Queen not wanting to give one to Blair though.
  • Options

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Ta. I must admit that although I love the history and ceremony surrounding all these awards, I don't really like them from a political point of view so have not paid any attention to who is supposed to get what and for why.
    The Knighthood I wanted was to become a Knight Grand Cross of The Order of St Michael and St George, it would have given me the post nominal GCMG, which stands for 'God Calls Me God'
  • Options



    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.

    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Ta. I must admit that although I love the history and ceremony surrounding all these awards, I don't really like them from a political point of view so have not paid any attention to who is supposed to get what and for why.
    Oh I'm with you. I think the whole thing is a nonsense (though honours are a very cheap way of incentivising public servants). Within the confines of the system, Nick Clegg is fully deserving of his award on the usual rules.

    I'd have thought it's pretty obvious why Nigel Farage has yet to receive an honour. The relevant committee is presumably waiting to see what if anything comes out of the FBI investigation where he has been named as a person of interest. It would be excruciatingly embarrassing to honour someone who was immediately the subject of sensational revelations. Better to wait and see.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    edited December 2017

    ydoethur said:

    Mr. Tyndall, isn't Blair the blockage, in that PMs are meant to get the Order of the Garter but the Queen doesn't want to give one to Blair, so she's delaying rather than skipping over and making it quite overt he's been snubbed?

    I hadn't heard that. She should just snub him anyway. It would be a laugh. :)

    There are apparently three vacancies in the order at present, so the decision not to at least offer them to Blair and Cameron does look a bit odd.
    There's normally a few years wait before they leave office and become a member of the Order of the Garter.

    Sir John Major became a member nearly a decade after he left office.
    And Blair left office more than a decade ago.

    It is worth adding that Baldwin was made a KG even before leaving office, as was Churchill (1953) as was Eden (1956). Wilson was April 1976. Callaghan was 1981. Thatcher was 1995. Attlee was also 1956 - I'm assuming he refused it until after he had resigned as Labour leader.

    This delay looks odd.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    And Blair left office more than a decade ago.

    It is worth adding that Baldwin was made a KG even before leaving office, as was Churchill (1953) as was Eden (1956). Wilson was April 1976. Callaghan was 1981. Thatcher was 1995. Attlee was also 1956 - I'm assuming he refused it until after he had resigned as Labour leader.

    This delay looks odd.

    I suppose they delayed it until after the Chilcot inquiry.

    Churchill and honours is worthy of book on its own.

    Didn't he decline a Dukedom/Hereditary peerage because he wanted his son/grandkids to follow him in Parliament, and at the time it was nigh on impossible to disclaim a title.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,202
    I thought the Order of the Garter was in the Queen’s rather than in the government’s gift?

    I don’t see why ex-PMs should automatically get honours, frankly. And the idea that they should be allowed to turn down an honour until they get something better seems absurd to me. It should be an honour not an entitlement.

    Ex-PMs should only get honours if they make a useful contribution to public life after their departure.

    Honours should be for ordinary people doing something exceptional not those who have already been well rewarded and will continue to be so.

    As for the Royal Yacht, what a nonsense. It is not a priority for public money nor is a proper use of lottery money. If the Royal Family want one they have the resources to pay for it. This is just some silly Tory MPs with a tin ear for modern times.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,202
    edited December 2017

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Yup, Blair declined a peerage because as a member of the House of Lords you have to disclose all your outside earnings
    If so, he’s put money above honour and there should be no question of any further honour for him.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of,i symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    It is not the royal yacht that is the problem but the diversion of lottery funds from what might be seen as better, more deserving causes (even if there could be hypothecated games). If a royal yacht really will help trade then just buy one or use hypothecated bonds. That is where the MPs are tin-eared.
    Exactly! Lottery players would much rather see their money go to community projects, sport and the arts, than to something like a Royal yacht. Let the Department of International Trade either make the case for public funding or (more sensibly) raise the cash privately. It’s not a lot of money either, would be single figures millions per year to buy and run it.
    I remember there was real outrage when Blair diverted money from the lottery to the NHS. Even Major, who was extraordinarily magnanimous to all his successors as PM and Party Leader even when they were brutally trashing him, went on Frost to give Blair a bollocking.

    I cannot imagine this would go down better. It just feels wrong.
    Yes, it’s one of those things that, no matter what the real-world benefits of it, it’s difficult to make a case for funding at a time of public spending restraint. To many people it probably seems excessive and frivolous, however there would absolutely be a long line of businessmen willing to stump up the cash for seats on it.

    Major was completely right to challenge Blair, the lottery was set up for specific purposes not for general public spending. Blair and Brown wanted to find ways of raising money without raising headline tax rates - of course in the end they just borrowed a trillion instead.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942

    ydoethur said:

    And Blair left office more than a decade ago.

    It is worth adding that Baldwin was made a KG even before leaving office, as was Churchill (1953) as was Eden (1956). Wilson was April 1976. Callaghan was 1981. Thatcher was 1995. Attlee was also 1956 - I'm assuming he refused it until after he had resigned as Labour leader.

    This delay looks odd.

    I suppose they delayed it until after the Chilcot inquiry.

    Churchill and honours is worthy of book on its own.

    Didn't he decline a Dukedom/Hereditary peerage because he wanted his son/grandkids to follow him in Parliament, and at the time it was nigh on impossible to disclaim a title.
    On a similar theme, there is a fantastic financial biography of Churchill, called No More Champagne, I think.
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    Cyclefree said:

    Reading LibDemVoice on the forthcoming Clegg gong has been illuminating. A small minority of members very proud of their record in government. A large majority scathing about Clegg and his cabal, and asking if his knighthood is for services to the Conservative Party.

    Brexit continues to be the poison that sours the political milk - a deeply divided Labour Party are neck and neck with the Tories because we are deeply divided both as a party and as an electorate over Brexit. So I understand that.

    The LibDems on the other hand are united. Against Brexit and against the Causes of Brexit. With a very large number of virulent remain votes up for grabs in seats where they previously have done very well. Yet their poll remains woeful with zero signs of life coming back.

    Why?

    Because LibDems are liars. Not just normal political liars (i.e. all parties) but blatant abusive shyster liars, specifically over tuition fees. I know that most voters aren't that bothered by tuition fees, but they are bothered by a party which lied to their face and then lied about not lying to their face. Yes I know that the liar was (Sir?) Nick Clegg not the party, But almost the entire parliamentary party sucked it up and voted time after time after time for all the things they claimed to oppose.

    Whatever else happens in 2018, the Liberal Democrats will continue to be an ex-party.

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Yup, Blair declined a peerage because as a member of the House of Lords you have to disclose all your outside earnings
    If so, he’s put money above honour and there should be mo question of any further honour for him.
    Except Sir John Major did the same and got The Order of the Garter.
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    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    ydoethur said:

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
    +1
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    John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Sandpit said:

    I would have thought they could have raised that from business sponsorship with guarantee that sponsors are always on the VIP list for events ie nudge nudge you get chance to get your money back via direct access to world leaders / royalty etc.

    Yep, a bond issue is the way I’d fund it, plenty of companies and businessmen who’d subscribe and it would get funded in about a week. A lottery’s a silly idea, people given the choice will refer to fund other good causes.
    You have to wonder where the Telegraph found 50 MPs with such a political tin ear.

    Blue passports, a royal yacht, Big Ben’s chimes ... these are genuinely important pieces of symbolism for a fair chunk of the Tory voting population and their representatives. Nostalgia is hugely political in the UK. The leaderships and memberships of both major parties hanker back these days; they do not look forwards.

    Later today, no doubt some of pb's Conservatives will be fretting about how they can make themselves seem more relevant to younger voters.
    We're going to install Spotify on the yacht. Win-win.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,881
    Mortimer said:

    ydoethur said:

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
    +1
    With the one obvious exception, I think all of the living former PMs have distinguished themselves since leaving office.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,202

    Cyclefree said:

    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.
    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Yup, Blair declined a peerage because as a member of the House of Lords you have to disclose all your outside earnings
    If so, he’s put money above honour and there should be mo question of any further honour for him.
    Except Sir John Major did the same and got The Order of the Garter.
    I didn’t know that. If the Garter is in the Queen’s gift, it might explain it though. Major has been an exemplary ex-PM. Blair rather less so.

    All these politicians wailing about not getting honours is pretty repellent, frankly. Honours should go to people like the restaurant owner barricading his restaurant to protect his customers from the London Bridge attackers.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,942
    Sandpit said:

    Mortimer said:

    ydoethur said:

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
    +1
    With the one obvious exception, I think all of the living former PMs have distinguished themselves since leaving office.
    Indeed. I was actually quite touched with Brown's resignation speech.

    Though this might have something to do with the fact that I'd been laid up with prawn poisoning for a few days and so watched 24 hour rolling news about the coalition negotiations.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,186
    edited December 2017
    Sandpit said:

    Mortimer said:

    ydoethur said:

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
    +1
    With the one obvious exception, I think all of the living former PMs have distinguished themselves since leaving office.
    I presume you mean Blair?

    But I disagree about 'one'. Thatcher's behaviour - the constant carping about how much better she was and her meddling in policy matters - was absolutely awful and undoubtedly a big factor in the major crisis that her successors in the Conservative party faced.

    Edit - sorry, just noticed you said 'living'. But even if we add dead, only Heath's behaviour comes close to matching hers.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,202



    Of course Nick Clegg should get at least a knighthood, if honours are to mean anything. He's earned it. He was Deputy Prime Minister for five years. Every previous Deputy Prime Minister got a peerage.

    I do see that and don't disagree. What I find surprising is that he is getting one ahead of Blair, Brown or Cameron. I am not saying I personally believe they should get awards (certainly not in the case of Blair anyway) but if having achieved high office is the criteria then they are surely ahead in the queue
    I expect the other three are waiting for the Order of the Garter or the Order of the Thistle. I imagine they've been sounded out for peerages and declined.
    Ta. I must admit that although I love the history and ceremony surrounding all these awards, I don't really like them from a political point of view so have not paid any attention to who is supposed to get what and for why.
    Oh I'm with you. I think the whole thing is a nonsense (though honours are a very cheap way of incentivising public servants). Within the confines of the system, Nick Clegg is fully deserving of his award on the usual rules.

    I'd have thought it's pretty obvious why Nigel Farage has yet to receive an honour. The relevant committee is presumably waiting to see what if anything comes out of the FBI investigation where he has been named as a person of interest. It would be excruciatingly embarrassing to honour someone who was immediately the subject of sensational revelations. Better to wait and see.
    Regardless of that, why the hell should Farage get any sort of honour at all? His antics with the AfD and his remarks about Jewish influence should disqualify him. IMO.
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    Sandpit said:

    Mortimer said:

    ydoethur said:

    Maybe Blair and Brown don't want a gong? Wouldn't fit wit the very humble way that Brown has gone about his charity work. And Blair is a Brand. Doesn't need anything adding to it that Blair can't add himself (like talking cash from tinpot dictators)

    As for Clegg, I'm not arguing that he isn't entitled to one as an ex-DPM. I'm making the point that his own party members think he destroyed the party and shouldn't accept one as a token of humility.

    I'm feeling generous. Yesterday I said something nice about Corbyn. Today I will add that while I consider Brown was the worst Prime Minister since the abject Goderich in 1827-28, his conduct since leaving office has unlike Blair's or Thatcher's been pretty much irreproachable. Good for him. The only minor blemish would be staying in Parliament while not attending, but there he was placed in a pretty difficult position - nobody wanted a by-election or him chuntering away from the back benches.
    +1
    With the one obvious exception, I think all of the living former PMs have distinguished themselves since leaving office.
    Thatcher was awful once she left office.

    She was worse than Ted Heath, constantly undermining her successor.

    Although the fault must lie also with those that exploited her early onset dementia.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,962

    ydoethur said:

    And Blair left office more than a decade ago.

    It is worth adding that Baldwin was made a KG even before leaving office, as was Churchill (1953) as was Eden (1956). Wilson was April 1976. Callaghan was 1981. Thatcher was 1995. Attlee was also 1956 - I'm assuming he refused it until after he had resigned as Labour leader.

    This delay looks odd.

    I suppose they delayed it until after the Chilcot inquiry.

    Churchill and honours is worthy of book on its own.

    Didn't he decline a Dukedom/Hereditary peerage because he wanted his son/grandkids to follow him in Parliament, and at the time it was nigh on impossible to disclaim a title.
    I think he was offered the Dukedom of London.
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