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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    Mr. Jonathan, so was King John. Sadly, ambition and competence do not necessarily coincide.

    When I walked through King's Lynn at the end of the Ouse Valley Way on Wednesday, I was surprised to see a statue of King John in the centre of town. There cannot be too many of him about.

    It turns out it's because he granted them a town charter, and in return they gave him the dysentery that killed him. ;)
    The people of King's Lynn, slippery as eels?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Sandpit, thanks(ish) for that.

    Not a fan of rising that early. Not least because the dog needs walking before anything else is done.

    Incidentally, I checked the markets and nothing stood out. If the forecast remains wet, that's good for Verstappen, Ricciardo, Alonso and maybe Hulkenberg. However, as the Red Bull almost certainly has a qualifying mode deficit and qualifying may be dry as well, that's something to keep an eye on rather than back now. Verstappen could easily start on the third row, and one would expect the odds to lengthen (currently 5 for him, 7.5 for Ricciardo to win).
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    Scott_P said:

    Owen Bennett - @owenjbennett: Oh my god I’ve just realised it’s a dead hat strategy to distract from Corbyn’s position on Russia. Genius.

    Very good!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Jessop, a fine service King's Lynn did for the nation.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,629
    On the subject of blatent BBC bias, how about this interview:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/cbbc/watch/nikki-lilly-meets-jeremy-corbyn

    Hatgate about to be superseded by Trackie-gate!
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,937

    I am not deflecting. I am giving an opinion. An institutional bias is a very different thing to a personal bias in my view. I have not at any stage said that the BBC does not have biases. It is undoubtedly pro-monarchy and pro-capitalism, for starters. However, that is very different to believing that as an institution the BBC has specific political biases that lead it to deliberately report news stories in a certain way (or to overlook them).

    "An institutional bias is a very different thing to a personal bias in my view."

    Yes, but there are also many similarities, particularly in the way it affects behaviour.

    WRT your last sentence, I fear that you are giving the BBC far too much credit.

    As I've said before many times, the BBC should have figures to who they are politically unbiased, to support their claims that they are. It'd be good to see them. If they don't have them, then they've no way of knowing if they're politically biased and their assurances are worthless. If they have figures and are not releasing them, then we need to ask why.

    A big problem with your position is that the biases you mention - e.g. being pro-monarchy and pro-capitalism - impinge on political beliefs, and therefore on politics directly.

    Yep, to the extent that people complain the BBC is pro-monarchy and pro-capitalism they undoubtedly have a point. But if everyone is biased - as you and I agree they are - what would be the value of figures on bias that have been compiled by human beings to parameters set by human beings?
    That same argument can be used for many things, and is bogus. It is at least a step up from just blindly claiming they are unbiased, which is what they are doing (and appears to be a lie).

    It also allows you to check for biases in the methodology, and improve it.

    Why a lie? Are you saying they are biased, know they are biased and are covering this up?

    The BBC’s remit is to be impartial. It is subject to Ofcom regulation. As a non-BBC body, I’d argue Ofcom is in the best position to judge these things; though, of course, all those who staff it will each have their own biases, too.

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    edited March 2018

    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816

    Will there be a swigometer showing the swing from Putin to Vladimir?

    Edit - that should have been 'swingometer'...
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    RobD said:

    As I said a while back, given the current odds Laura Pidcock is a very good bet for next Labour leader.
    https://twitter.com/laurapidcockmp/status/975139619602927616?s=21

    How exactly was it photoshopped to make more Russian? There is hardly any difference between the two images, apart from the shadow on his forehead being more saturated.
    Whatever happened.. its hilarious. MP's have been lampooned since time immemorial.. as ye sew so shall ye reap...
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    TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840

    Scott_P said:

    Owen Bennett - @owenjbennett: Oh my god I’ve just realised it’s a dead hat strategy to distract from Corbyn’s position on Russia. Genius.

    Durr. It’s straight out of the Trump playbook, designed only for the true believers.

    I do wonder occasionally if people notice an irony in being part of a small group of people repeating lines to themselves accusing others of just being 'true believers'...

    Then instead I start thinking how I am thankful these people aren't in power in the labour party anymore.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,629

    Mr. Jonathan, so was King John. Sadly, ambition and competence do not necessarily coincide.

    When I walked through King's Lynn at the end of the Ouse Valley Way on Wednesday, I was surprised to see a statue of King John in the centre of town. There cannot be too many of him about.

    It turns out it's because he granted them a town charter, and in return they gave him the dysentery that killed him. ;)
    It was Bishops Lynn, before it was Kings Lynn.

    Presumably when King John lost the crown jewels in The Wash, at least a few Lynnites might have had aspirations of finding a fortune, and perhaps did!
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897

    Mr. Sandpit, thanks(ish) for that.

    Not a fan of rising that early. Not least because the dog needs walking before anything else is done.

    Incidentally, I checked the markets and nothing stood out. If the forecast remains wet, that's good for Verstappen, Ricciardo, Alonso and maybe Hulkenberg. However, as the Red Bull almost certainly has a qualifying mode deficit and qualifying may be dry as well, that's something to keep an eye on rather than back now. Verstappen could easily start on the third row, and one would expect the odds to lengthen (currently 5 for him, 7.5 for Ricciardo to win).

    Looking at the Betfair market (singular, they only have the race winner up so far), Vettel at 4.4 to win the race he won last year doesn’t seem too bad, possibly also with a cover on Lewis who’s odds against (2.5) if the Mercs really are streets ahead.
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    OT - clearly TSE short of creative juices this morning as evidenced by almost all the comments being off-piste. Right of Centre Catholics in Britain have more in common with those in NI in the DUP than the leftie SDLP.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    RobD said:

    As I said a while back, given the current odds Laura Pidcock is a very good bet for next Labour leader.
    https://twitter.com/laurapidcockmp/status/975139619602927616?s=21

    How exactly was it photoshopped to make more Russian? There is hardly any difference between the two images, apart from the shadow on his forehead being more saturated.
    Whatever happened.. its hilarious. MP's have been lampooned since time immemorial.. as ye sew so shall ye reap...
    *Grammar Nazi Cap On*

    As ye sow so shall ye reap...

    *Grammar Nazi Cap Off*
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Sandpit, tricky to tell, though. Could be wet, and the Red Bull could do well in such conditions.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    edited March 2018
    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?
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    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516

    Scott_P said:

    Owen Bennett - @owenjbennett: Oh my god I’ve just realised it’s a dead hat strategy to distract from Corbyn’s position on Russia. Genius.

    Durr. It’s straight out of the Trump playbook, designed only for the true believers.

    I do wonder occasionally if people notice an irony in being part of a small group of people repeating lines to themselves accusing others of just being 'true believers'...

    Then instead I start thinking how I am thankful these people aren't in power in the labour party anymore.
    Instead we just have a bunch of people who will sell out denocrats and dissidents under every anti-Western regime. Brilliant.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,284

    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816

    Very few things show the power of democracy as clearly as a murderous dictator such as Putin feeling the need to put himself through this sort of farce to give himself some notional legitimacy.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    ydoethur said:

    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816

    Will there be a swigometer showing the swing from Putin to Vladimir?

    Edit - that should have been 'swingometer'...
    They packed the swigometer away with Yeltsin.....
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,629

    OT - clearly TSE short of creative juices this morning as evidenced by almost all the comments being off-piste. Right of Centre Catholics in Britain have more in common with those in NI in the DUP than the leftie SDLP.

    Right of Centre Catholic Ultras have plenty of social views in common with Islamists, but it doesn't make them a political match. There is more to politics than homophobia and misogyny even for these.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    The BBC should take a leaf out of Russian TV - and just laugh when they have played clips of those pathetic Putinista apologists.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    edited March 2018
    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    It's still interesting that people criticise Russia for having no opposition also demand unity at home.
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,997
    Foxy said:

    On topic, while nothing is impossible, I cannot see the DUP supporting a Corbyn Premiership. It is not inconceivable that they could collapse the May government and indirectly bring Corbyn to power unintentionally.

    If Corbyn doubled the tory danegeld to 2bn or 4bn or whatever the DUP would put him in No. 10 in a trice.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Owen Jones on Marr.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    As I said a while back, given the current odds Laura Pidcock is a very good bet for next Labour leader.
    https://twitter.com/laurapidcockmp/status/975139619602927616?s=21

    How exactly was it photoshopped to make more Russian? There is hardly any difference between the two images, apart from the shadow on his forehead being more saturated.
    Whatever happened.. its hilarious. MP's have been lampooned since time immemorial.. as ye sew so shall ye reap...
    *Grammar Nazi Cap On*

    As ye sow so shall ye reap...

    *Grammar Nazi Cap Off*
    Or to be unnecessarily charitable and slightly obtuse did the original mean
    Sew appertaining to MPs:

    As ye stitch up so shall ye reap?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    ydoethur said:

    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816

    Will there be a swigometer showing the swing from Putin to Vladimir?

    Edit - that should have been 'swingometer'...
    They packed the swigometer away with Yeltsin.....
    Packed it away? You mean it wasn't completely worn out?
    https://youtu.be/v9YnDirqwT4
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    philiph said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    As I said a while back, given the current odds Laura Pidcock is a very good bet for next Labour leader.
    https://twitter.com/laurapidcockmp/status/975139619602927616?s=21

    How exactly was it photoshopped to make more Russian? There is hardly any difference between the two images, apart from the shadow on his forehead being more saturated.
    Whatever happened.. its hilarious. MP's have been lampooned since time immemorial.. as ye sew so shall ye reap...
    *Grammar Nazi Cap On*

    As ye sow so shall ye reap...

    *Grammar Nazi Cap Off*
    Or to be unnecessarily charitable and slightly obtuse did the original mean
    Sew appertaining to MPs:

    As ye stitch up so shall ye reap?
    How about, 'as ye stitch up, so shall ye be undone?'
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,629
    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    Shadsy has his over/underline at 73.5 and surely the value is on over compared with the BF market.

    The 5 on 80-90% looks value too, perhaps even the 26 on 90% plus.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,284
    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    Funnily enough, I think this is the first time I've seen him on TV since he stormed off the Sky News set. I don't think Hatgate is going to be covered.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,842
    Foxy said:

    OT - clearly TSE short of creative juices this morning as evidenced by almost all the comments being off-piste. Right of Centre Catholics in Britain have more in common with those in NI in the DUP than the leftie SDLP.

    Right of Centre Catholic Ultras have plenty of social views in common with Islamists, but it doesn't make them a political match. There is more to politics than homophobia and misogyny even for these.
    Right of centre Catholics outside Northern Ireland can work with the DUP easily enough, and vice versa. In Northern Ireland, the constitutional issue trumps other considerations.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667

    Hat-gate rolls on. The anti-BBC right are getting the chance to peer into the Looking Glass. Some might pause to consider that the way Corbynistas are coming across now over Jezza’s hat is how they come across when they cry conspiracy over the Brussels Broadcasting Corporation. But they won’t, of course.
    https://twitter.com/jamin2g/status/975143798186696704?s=21

    As Jimmy Saville and other scandals show, the people who put the BBC on a pedestal and absolve and deflect it of any criticism frequently look very silly. ;)

    Everyone criticises the BBC. Only the loons of the left and right claim it is biased. As for Jimmy Saville, he fooled a lot of people for a long time. God knows how, though.
    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/revealed-jimmy-saviles-close-friendship-with-margaret-thatcher-8432351.html
    I think the Jimmy Savile case was symptomatic of a willingness of those in authority to look the other way and not rock the boat when it suited them. It's happened time and time again (e.g. Weinstein). My wife worked at Stoke Mandeville in the early 80s and there were plenty of rumours of, shall we say, inappropriate behaviour on Savile's part. But he was also raising a shedload of money for the hospital and seen as a bit of a 'national treasure'. I met him a couple of times and he was definitely a bit weird but he was a 'celebrity'. You'd have to have been very brave to call him out at the time.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    Great Mysteries of our Times.

    Perhaps TV studios like having a pundit on who looks 14.

    And sounds it.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,842
    Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    On topic, while nothing is impossible, I cannot see the DUP supporting a Corbyn Premiership. It is not inconceivable that they could collapse the May government and indirectly bring Corbyn to power unintentionally.

    If Corbyn doubled the tory danegeld to 2bn or 4bn or whatever the DUP would put him in No. 10 in a trice.
    Lab + DUP + (presumably) SNP+ Plaid + Green still only gets to 312 MP's.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002
    edited March 2018
    The only reason the DUP went into government with Sinn Fein was as that was the only opportunity for them to get power in NI under the GFA and crucially because of the personal chemistry between Paisley and McGuinness. Now both have passed away the NI executive has collapsed as Foster's DUP seems incapable of working with O'Neill's DUP.

    It is highly unlikely the DUP will support any government other than a Tory led one, if the concern is the Tories are aligning NI too closely to the Republic in order to get a Brexit deal, Corbyn will inevitably do that even more and in any case May has effectively promised enough regulatory alignment for the whole of the UK to resolve the NI issue.

    As for Rees Mogg's Catholicism he is a staunch Unionist and of course John McDonnell is a Catholic even going so far to once train to be a Catholic priest as well as being a Republican, so I highly doubt the DUP will ever want to form a deal with a party led by Republicans and with a Catholic the power behind Corbyn's throne



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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    Shadsy has his over/underline at 73.5 and surely the value is on over compared with the BF market.

    The 5 on 80-90% looks value too, perhaps even the 26 on 90% plus.
    Putin has had a "good week" to end his campagn, for domestic consumption at least.

    Higher, higher.....
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002

    Hat-gate rolls on. The anti-BBC right are getting the chance to peer into the Looking Glass. Some might pause to consider that the way Corbynistas are coming across now over Jezza’s hat is how they come across when they cry conspiracy over the Brussels Broadcasting Corporation. But they won’t, of course.
    https://twitter.com/jamin2g/status/975143798186696704?s=21

    As Jimmy Saville and other scandals show, the people who put the BBC on a pedestal and absolve and deflect it of any criticism frequently look very silly. ;)

    Everyone criticises the BBC. Only the loons of the left and right claim it is biased.

    (Snip)
    Of course the BBC are biased. I'm biased; you're biased, and organisations are biased one way or another. This can be by design or accident, and can infect culture

    The keys are in recognising that bias, and understanding whether that bias *matters*.

    The BBC claim that their output is unbiased over the full output. That means individual programs or interviews can display a bias, but that will be countered elsewhere in the output. As they say this, then they must have studies and figures that show it is the case, and processes to ensure it. AFAIAA they've never released any such information, which makes me suspect the claim is b/s.

    I am an individual, you are an individual. Institutions are not. Claiming institutional bias is a very different thing to accepting individuals have biases.
    A very poor attempt at deflection. If you're claiming any institution is free of all bias then you're being ridiculous. They can only try to be. Plenty of BBC insiders - e.g. Marr - have spoken of a cultural bias at the BBC.

    The odd thing is that I don't think we're too far apart in our positions. I utterly agree that many people go too far in their criticisms of the BBC (I for one do not regret a penny of the licence fee - I get more than my money's worth). However I'd argue that you go too far in blindly defending them, when the people complaining might have a point.

    I am not deflecting. I am giving an opinion. An institutional bias is a very different thing to a personal bias in my view. I have not at any stage said that the BBC does not have biases. It is undoubtedly pro-monarchy and pro-capitalism, for starters. However, that is very different to believing that as an institution the BBC has specific political biases that lead it to deliberately report news stories in a certain way (or to overlook them).

    The BBC is also pro EU and pro Union and socially liberal
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    Shadsy has his over/underline at 73.5 and surely the value is on over compared with the BF market.

    The 5 on 80-90% looks value too, perhaps even the 26 on 90% plus.
    Thanks for that, will see if Shadsy will give me more than the usual tuppence ha’penny!
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    edited March 2018
    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    A friend of mine who was an SDLP press officer said much the same thing. He always found Paisley perfectly friendly and approachable - and apparently, possessed of a nice sense of humour - right up until a microphone was dangled in front of him, when he suddenly flipped.
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,997
    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    Shadsy has his over/underline at 73.5 and surely the value is on over compared with the BF market.

    The 5 on 80-90% looks value too, perhaps even the 26 on 90% plus.
    I am green at 76+. I think Putin wants a barnstorming result even if stretches the bounds of authenticity to breaking point.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    Shadsy has his over/underline at 73.5 and surely the value is on over compared with the BF market.

    The 5 on 80-90% looks value too, perhaps even the 26 on 90% plus.
    I am green at 76+. I think Putin wants a barnstorming result even if stretches the bounds of authenticity to breaking point.
    Since it's patently inauthentic this time anyway, he would probably be better off going full Saddam.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,629
    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    The most interesting side of Paisley Snr was in this Ronson Documentary on their trip to Africa:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/jon-ronson-right-time-to-work-up-a-good-pulpit-sweat-1.1927044

    Now I am going outside and may be some time!
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002
    Sean_F said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Foxy said:

    On topic, while nothing is impossible, I cannot see the DUP supporting a Corbyn Premiership. It is not inconceivable that they could collapse the May government and indirectly bring Corbyn to power unintentionally.

    If Corbyn doubled the tory danegeld to 2bn or 4bn or whatever the DUP would put him in No. 10 in a trice.
    Lab + DUP + (presumably) SNP+ Plaid + Green still only gets to 312 MP's.
    Would need the LDs too and of course SF don't take their seats but would support Corbyn if they did.

    A Lab+DUP+SNP+Plaid+Green+LD government with the Tories still comfortably largest party would be a dream come true for the next Tory leader with the Tories having the opposition benches effectively all to themselves but it will never happen, at least as far as the DUP is concerned
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    Shami, are you now, or have you ever been, mealy mouthed?
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    The Beeb is happy for Jones to throw his hat in the ring ....
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    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    Like Farage, those that shout the loudest benefit from most coverage.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,060
    Sandpit said:

    Putin vote share (almost) Dutch on Betfair
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/event/28112127/market?marketId=1.138777728
    70+% 1/3 (1.33)
    60-70% 3/1 (4)
    50-60% 24/1 (25)
    Which is the value, the 1/3?

    50-60% is great value considering he got 63% last time.
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    TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    edited March 2018
    In reference to Jones given it was a discussion specifically on Corbyn I imagine they had to have a pro Corbyn journalist there, or you know Trump or Trump like or some kind of conspiracy if you are of a certain mindset...
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667
    Elliot said:

    CD13 said:

    Being scientific, we have to accept we all have biases, and this applies to science too. That's why we attempt to reduce them by, for example, using double-blind studies where possible. Incidentally, randomness needs to be worked at, it doesn't just occur in real life.

    Of course, the BBC will be biased, its staff selection will be biased. The 'like us' tendency. You can introduce quotas (be they ethnicity, class, sex) but that will remove one bias (possibly only) and ignore many more.

    The aim should be to be aware that bias is present - known and unknown.

    One of the unusual issues the BBC faces is that (rightful) attempts to be less biased ethnically and regionally tends to accentuate the philosophical bias. I imagine their South Eastern white men still lean left, and attempts to diversify with more views from northern cities and ethnic minorities adds more left leaning voting blocs.

    If you are on the right you imagine the BBC leans left; if you are on the left you know that it leans right. :wink:
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,989
    Foxy said:

    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    The most interesting side of Paisley Snr was in this Ronson Documentary on their trip to Africa:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/jon-ronson-right-time-to-work-up-a-good-pulpit-sweat-1.1927044

    Now I am going outside and may be some time!
    I’d heard elsewhere that Dr P was a good constituency MP; indeed, that if it hadn’t been for the Unionist issue he’d have been pro-Labour.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Just read about the hat, thanks @TheJezziah.

    I'd ask if these people have gone insane, but I don't think there was much sanity there in the first place.

    I do think this manufactured row is there to deflect from Jez's extremely unpopular opinions on Russia and Putin.
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    Marr to Boris on Russian Ambassador to EU

    'That was a direct lie then'

    'You will get that'
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,120
    MaxPB said:


    I do think this manufactured row is there to deflect from Jez's extremely unpopular opinions on Russia and Putin.

    It is hard to know which is the more ridicuous.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited March 2018

    Right of Centre Catholics in Britain have more in common with those in NI in the DUP than the leftie SDLP.

    That’s right. Even in Northern Ireland, the DUP are making an explicit pitch to devout Catholics on subjects like abortion and gay marriage.

    Preventing a united Ireland is the DUP’s overriding objective. It’s hard to see Jeremy Corbyn ever being able to outbid the Conservatives on that, or even neutralise it to the point where other considerations become relevant.
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667

    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
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    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Paddy Power are offering 11-4 on Marc Marquez to win the Motogp Championship. That seems very generous to me.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    Right of Centre Catholics in Britain have more in common with those in NI in the DUP than the leftie SDLP.

    That’s right. Even in Northern Ireland, the DUP are making an explicit pitch to devout Catholics on subjects like abortion and gay marriage.

    Preventing a united Ireland is the DUP’s overriding objective. It’s hard to see Jeremy Corbyn ever being able to outbid the Conservatives on that, or even neutralise it to the point where other considerations become relevant.
    Although you are correct, can I point out that's not quite the way they would see it? Rather than 'preventing a united Ireland' they see their role as 'preserving the Protestant Northern Ireland as part of the United Kingdom.'

    Although it amounts to the same thing in practice there are theoretically other options Corbyn has signalled a willingness to consider - dual sovereignty, devolved rule within the Irish rather than British state, independence etc. - that wouldn't necessarily run afoul of the first proposition but would the second. The fact these options (with the possible exception of the middle one) would all be ridiculous and unworkable wouldn't of course bother Corbyn, who likes things to be ridiculous and unworkable (look at his policies on paying for renationalisation).

    So that's another reason in addition to the rather simpler problems I outlined above as to why they will not prop him up.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,860

    Marr to Boris on Russian Ambassador to EU

    'That was a direct lie then'

    'You will get that'

    BoJo happy to take £160k from the wife of a former Putin Minister for a game of tennis.

    Says all you need to know about the hypocrisy of the FS
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    Only another 303,208 to see this as well and his position might be vulnerable...
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,002
    edited March 2018
    On topic, it should also be pointed out Corbyn's wife, Laura Alvarez, is a practising Catholic and Corbyn himself has taken Catholic communion, although he annoyed traditional Catholics by doing so as non-Catholics when attending a Catholic Eucharist Mass should only have a blessing under Catholic Church law and not accept communion, except in specific circumstances such as when they are in danger of death.

    https://www.premier.org.uk/News/UK/Jeremy-Corbyn-irks-Catholics-by-taking-communion
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    TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    MaxPB said:

    Just read about the hat, thanks @TheJezziah.

    I'd ask if these people have gone insane, but I don't think there was much sanity there in the first place.

    I do think this manufactured row is there to deflect from Jez's extremely unpopular opinions on Russia and Putin.

    No problem, if I'm going to waste up to 10 minutes of my time figuring this stuff out I may as well put it to some use.

    In fairness that is just as much a conspiracy as the one their peddling.... Which isn't to say it isn't true...

    My hunch, possibly driven by my own bias, is there is possibly some small justified complaint, there has been a lot of media against Corbyn right back to 2015, which means a lot of people are more jumpy about this kind of thing so given valid* cause for complaint they will complain.

    It probably doesn't help that they might feel there has been a media driven agenda regarding the attack, mainly right wing press, which they expect but having the BBC add to it, even in a small way causes complaints.

    *Valid in so much that the image was altered in a way that could add to a perception but it was a relatively small thing, although relatively small things do add up over time.

    Also I would also argue what is unpopular is some of the perception of Corbyns opinions rather than his actual opinions. If you polled the tougher measures he proposed they would probably poll quite well what has been unpopular is the idea that some have that Corbyn is somehow linked with or defending Putin.

    Although personally I'm not too worried for a few reasons, plenty of don't knows in the polls, this will be mostly forgotten soon enough, come election time the left seems to be a lot closer to the right in its ability to get its message out there so advantages over stories like are smaller come crunch time.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,284
    Foxy said:

    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    The most interesting side of Paisley Snr was in this Ronson Documentary on their trip to Africa:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/jon-ronson-right-time-to-work-up-a-good-pulpit-sweat-1.1927044

    Now I am going outside and may be some time!
    Good article. Thanks for that.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Marr to Boris on Russian Ambassador to EU

    'That was a direct lie then'

    'You will get that'

    BoJo happy to take £160k from the wife of a former Putin Minister for a game of tennis.

    Says all you need to know about the hypocrisy of the FS
    I’m not sure I understand your point. Is your concern that Britain should be more pliant to Russian interests as a consequence, that Boris Johnson has given bad value for his forehand smash?
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    ydoethur said:

    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    A friend of mine who was an SDLP press officer said much the same thing. He always found Paisley perfectly friendly and approachable - and apparently, possessed of a nice sense of humour - right up until a microphone was dangled in front of him, when he suddenly flipped.
    I had heard this too. However, it makes his inflammatory demagoguery even worse to my mind.

    Thanks to TSE for the header. Good to be reminded of the vile anti-Catholic prejudice which was too widespread until recently in these isles and that it was not really called out by many, shamefully.

    I’d be surptised if the DUP were to put Corbyn in power unless he were to give them something they wanted. But given how politics has been upended in recent years it would be foolish to say that it could never happen. Both the DUP and Corbyn are shameless enough.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    Marr to Boris on Russian Ambassador to EU

    'That was a direct lie then'

    'You will get that'

    BoJo happy to take £160k from the wife of a former Putin Minister for a game of tennis.

    Says all you need to know about the hypocrisy of the FS
    Surely the Foreign Secretary should be expected to mix with foreigners of all types. He would be expeced to meet with Putin himself for example.

    Should a Foreign Secretary avoid all Russians?
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667
    edited March 2018

    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
    Er, no - I don't think I could ever bring myself to vote Tory. (Mind you if she keeps adopting Labour policies, who knows!)
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.
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    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516

    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
    Er, no - I don't think I could ever bring myself to vote Tory. (Mind you if she keeps adopting Labour policies, who knows!)
    It is not reasonable to expect left wingers to vote for the Tories. However, anyone with a firm commitment to supporting the most vulnerable can not support a Labour Party that, at best, turns a blind eye to the victims of Russia, Iran, Hezbollah etc
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. 86, when(ish) will the title be decided?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,745
    edited March 2018
    tlg86 said:

    Hat-gate rolls on. The anti-BBC right are getting the chance to peer into the Looking Glass. Some might pause to consider that the way Corbynistas are coming across now over Jezza’s hat is how they come across when they cry conspiracy over the Brussels Broadcasting Corporation. But they won’t, of course.
    https://twitter.com/jamin2g/status/975143798186696704?s=21

    Go on, give us the right wing equivalent of hat gate...
    It is very easy to find right wing overreaction to the bbc at any time. It's one reason criticism of it often does not work, because the extreme people react to near everything with the same outrage and suggestions it's gone too far. But because that criticism is the same no matter the scale of bbc error, it undermines itself.
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    I see your logic AM but I don't think that's the case here. If Russia wasn't involved there would have been very vocal outrage about this attack on British soild of a Russian citizen (i.e. Yulia). That's a clincher for me.
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    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
    Er, no - I don't think I could ever bring myself to vote Tory. (Mind you if she keeps adopting LAbour policies, who knows!)
    I detect a slight move there. Seriously I do expect movement on NHS and Social care funding and student fees and it looks as if TM is going to announce jail sentences for bosses who prejeudice pension funds.

    We will see how this pans out but this has been the crisis that has shown Corbyn's wholly unsuitable to lead our Country
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    I see your logic AM but I don't think that's the case here. If Russia wasn't involved there would have been very vocal outrage about this attack on British soild of a Russian citizen (i.e. Yulia). That's a clincher for me.
    The better evidence relates to the means of attack.
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    ElliotElliot Posts: 1,516

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    Who supposedly has the reach and motive to using Russian radioactive and chemical weapons when Russia does not? Clearly dozens of regional powers have the reach to murder people in Western cities. The only thing stopping them is motive, a sense of decency or a fear of the international reaction. Clearly Moscow has none of them.
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,667

    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
    Er, no - I don't think I could ever bring myself to vote Tory. (Mind you if she keeps adopting LAbour policies, who knows!)
    I detect a slight move there. Seriously I do expect movement on NHS and Social care funding and student fees and it looks as if TM is going to announce jail sentences for bosses who prejeudice pension funds.

    We will see how this pans out but this has been the crisis that has shown Corbyn's wholly unsuitable to lead our Country
    Yes, I think you're right on that last point. I have never bought (and still don't) all that crap about how he will turn us into Venezeula / Stasiland / a marxist state, that some expound on here but I think he has shown himself as too weak and lacking judgement on this issue.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Elliot said:

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    Who supposedly has the reach and motive to using Russian radioactive and chemical weapons when Russia does not? Clearly dozens of regional powers have the reach to murder people in Western cities. The only thing stopping them is motive, a sense of decency or a fear of the international reaction. Clearly Moscow has none of them.
    I agree with you. I was simply pointing out that an argument that’s being much-aired is not as compelling by itself as some seem to believe.

    Saddam Hussein did not have weapons of mass destruction. But he acted as though he did, for strategic reasons.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,284

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    I readily accept that Putin’s modus operandi is entirely about making him and Russia (to the limited extent he differentiates) seem more powerful, more threatening and more worthy of respect than he and it actually are and he would have no problem at all in implying that he was responsible for favourable events even if he wasn’t. But killing traitors in extravagant ways is something he has so much previous on that I think there is little doubt in this case.
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    calumcalum Posts: 3,046
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    ydoethur said:

    Call me Mr Suspicious, but I don't think Andrew Rawnsley is impressed by Corbyn's performance:

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/18/jeremy-corbyn-sergei-skripal-attack-putin

    A very good article, well worth a read.

    "Russia ceased to be a communist state nearly three decades ago and is now better categorised as gangster capitalist. Yet the old muscle memory of wanting to defend Russia against the west still kicks in at defining moments."
    That is an excellent article. I've got to say, much as I would like to see the policies embodied in Labour's 2017 manifesto implemented, that can't happen and won't happen with Corbyn as leader. There, I have said it.
    I am proud of you Ben - get you to vote for Theresa yet !!!!!
    Er, no - I don't think I could ever bring myself to vote Tory. (Mind you if she keeps adopting LAbour policies, who knows!)
    I detect a slight move there. Seriously I do expect movement on NHS and Social care funding and student fees and it looks as if TM is going to announce jail sentences for bosses who prejeudice pension funds.

    We will see how this pans out but this has been the crisis that has shown Corbyn's wholly unsuitable to lead our Country
    Yes, I think you're right on that last point. I have never bought (and still don't) all that crap about how he will turn us into Venezeula / Stasiland / a marxist state, that some expound on here but I think he has shown himself as too weak and lacking judgement on this issue.
    He is not only unsuitable as the leader of our Country he is influenced by Seamus Milne and members of the communist party in his own Office and is considered such a risk to National security that he has not been given all the information presented to TM. Says it all really
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,284
    calum said:
    Luxembourg? Seriously?
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,969

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    It does seeem bizarre , he is a squeaky whinging nomark , spouts utter tripe.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232
    calum said:
    That list isn't convincing. Switzerland and Luxembourg are both on it, which is dubious. Given the amount of dirty money washing through both of them, they should be at our level. But the suggestion Singapore isn't corrupt is up there with the suggestion that Russia wasn't behind the Salisbury attack.
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    TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    edited March 2018
    I do find it slightly amusing that Corbyn can be simultaneously denied the evidence and then castigated for not falling into line and believing what the government have decided....

    I understand for some this is a reason to trust the government more but I'm not really a fan of the idea. I wonder if people would demand the same trust from the Conservative benches in the reverse scenario?
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,969

    Marr to Boris on Russian Ambassador to EU

    'That was a direct lie then'

    'You will get that'

    BoJo happy to take £160k from the wife of a former Putin Minister for a game of tennis.

    Says all you need to know about the hypocrisy of the FS
    Surely the Foreign Secretary should be expected to mix with foreigners of all types. He would be expeced to meet with Putin himself for example.

    Should a Foreign Secretary avoid all Russians?
    He is a money grubbing chancer. How can the fat buffoon pontificate about Russia after trousering £160K for a game of tennis. These Tories have no shame , no principles and sh** for brains.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,745
    DavidL said:

    Bite those nails, cross those fingers, it's Russian polling day! [Exit poll will be late today, apparently]:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-43445816

    Very few things show the power of democracy as clearly as a murderous dictator such as Putin feeling the need to put himself through this sort of farce to give himself some notional legitimacy.
    Indeed. It even happens in far more authoritarian regimes. Are there still many governments which don't even pretend to have some level of democracy? Even the absolute monarchy of North Korea does.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    Mr. 86, when(ish) will the title be decided?

    The first race is today and the championship finishes on 18 November.

    Marquez qualified second yesterday, behind Johan Zarco on the Yamaha (not the factory bike). His teammate isn't a threat and the factory Yamahas qualified 8th and 12th. Perhaps Dovizioso on the Ducati has a chance but I think the only real danger to Marquez is if he bins it and gets and injury.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    ydoethur said:

    calum said:
    That list isn't convincing. Switzerland and Luxembourg are both on it, which is dubious. Given the amount of dirty money washing through both of them, they should be at our level. But the suggestion Singapore isn't corrupt is up there with the suggestion that Russia wasn't behind the Salisbury attack.
    Lux is our level, joint 8th.

    It's based on "the level of public sector corruption" which probably doesn't capture dirty money unless they attempt to bribe someone in the country.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,745
    edited March 2018
    Jonathan said:

    It's still interesting that people criticise Russia for having no opposition also demand unity at home.

    Amusing, but a call for unity on one issue, while everyone is permitted not to be unified, is not the same as having a weak or absent opposition on everything. It's why we have a comcept of the loyal opposition.

    It's one reason Russian claims about thus being a distraction from Brexit are farcical - labour and others will go easy on the government on it now? Hardly
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,969
    calum said:
    wonder who they bunged to get up to 8th equal
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. 86, cheers. Quite a while for money to be tied up. D'you mean Alex Marquez? Ladbrokes are only offering 2.5...
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    DavidL said:

    Incidentally, all logical decductions about Russian culpability based on its reaction to the accusations are far from cast iron. Terrorist groups regularly claim responsibility for attacks they haven’t committed because it suits their aims. That could conceivably be the case here: Russia has every interest in giving the impression of global reach against those it sees as traitors.

    I readily accept that Putin’s modus operandi is entirely about making him and Russia (to the limited extent he differentiates) seem more powerful, more threatening and more worthy of respect than he and it actually are and he would have no problem at all in implying that he was responsible for favourable events even if he wasn’t. But killing traitors in extravagant ways is something he has so much previous on that I think there is little doubt in this case.
    Plus we've not heard of any evidence for any other culprits for this that would make logical sense.

    Occam's Razor alone suggests it would be the Russians.
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    edited March 2018
    Having just watched last night's interesting documentary on Putin the unanswered question about the alleged poisoning is motive? By the accounts on the documentary Putin is ruthless with his enemies but they fall into a single category. Those who pose a threat to him personally. This couldn't be the case here. Putin like the British ambassador is unlikely to have even heard of this particular spook.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,969
    ydoethur said:

    calum said:
    That list isn't convincing. Switzerland and Luxembourg are both on it, which is dubious. Given the amount of dirty money washing through both of them, they should be at our level. But the suggestion Singapore isn't corrupt is up there with the suggestion that Russia wasn't behind the Salisbury attack.
    Given the amount of tax havens we run with London as the hub we should be down among the banana republics , at the bottom rung.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,232

    ydoethur said:

    calum said:
    That list isn't convincing. Switzerland and Luxembourg are both on it, which is dubious. Given the amount of dirty money washing through both of them, they should be at our level. But the suggestion Singapore isn't corrupt is up there with the suggestion that Russia wasn't behind the Salisbury attack.
    Lux is our level, joint 8th.

    It's based on "the level of public sector corruption" which probably doesn't capture dirty money unless they attempt to bribe someone in the country.
    Couldn't see us on that list.

    Still a bit perturbed Luxembourg is so high given that it's less than five years since Luxembourg's Prime Minister was forced to resign after it emerged his security services were spending all their time spying on his political opponents. But the Singapore figure is utterly daft.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,084
    DavidL said:

    My father had contact with Ian Paisley with the British army in the 1970s and on occasion was a guest at his house. He was a charming host apparently and had Catholic friends. He was also a diligent constituency MP who represented his Catholic constituents as well as the Protestants. None of which stopped him from being a demagogue and inflammatory speaker who could inflame real hatred amongst his supporters. Quite a complicated man really.

    Otoh Paisley Jr seems more uncomplicatedly stupid.

    https://twitter.com/ianpaisleymp/status/975124025088397313

    https://twitter.com/ianpaisleymp/status/975126324409925632
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,745
    edited March 2018

    Mr. 86, why is Jones on TV so much?

    He's youthful, passionate and reasonably articulate. I'm not a fan of most of his views, but I've seen pieces of his which were thoughtful and we'll written.

    I do think some pundits really want to be firebrands more than reporters and commentarors though. They want to be part of the action.
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