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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This March looks like being the first since GE2017 when the po

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TGOHF said:

    Please refer to it by its correct title as the "Bus of Xenophobic Lies".

    Thank you.

    What bus?
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    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2

    Definitely looks more around the right price.
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    Smith and Warner banned for a year, Bancroft 9 months.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    kle4 said:

    So about that good few weeks Mrs May had

    Yes. Has some bad news hit her today?
    If it is this Gauke business, the decision to release Worboys wasn't the government, and maybe I'm naiive, but even with the PM being at the top I don't see that probably having to replace her Justice Secretary will cause her that much disruption. His choice clearly wasn't unfounded, even though it has turned out he probably should have taken the risk, so if he resigns over that she appoints someone else, and I don't know how easily a partisan point will stick longer term to cause trouble.
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    Smith and Bancroft won't be considered for leadership roles for 12 months after their bans end.

    Warner will not be considered for team leadership roles ever.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Why do wrong'uns always change their name, at least he was actually a "John".
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674

    Interestingly, the court has ruled that the Mayor of London did not have standing to bring a claim:

    https://www.judiciary.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/dsd-nbv-v-parole-board-and-ors-summary.pdf

    We do not doubt the strength and sincerity of the Mayor’s concerns on behalf of the victims in particular and Londoners in general. However, in our judgment none of these matters confers standing on the Mayor to bring this claim.

    Back in yer box.....
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Pulpstar said:

    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2

    Definitely looks more around the right price.
    Another lesson on why you shouldn't bet on this market at short odds.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Damn it, I was AFK and missed the boat on Gauke at 51. *sighs*.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    Interestingly, the court has ruled that the Mayor of London did not have standing to bring a claim:

    https://www.judiciary.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/dsd-nbv-v-parole-board-and-ors-summary.pdf

    We do not doubt the strength and sincerity of the Mayor’s concerns on behalf of the victims in particular and Londoners in general. However, in our judgment none of these matters confers standing on the Mayor to bring this claim.

    Back in yer box.....
    Sure, but he still looks good.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2

    Definitely looks more around the right price.
    Another lesson on why you shouldn't bet on this market at short odds.
    I have some crazy odds (Also unfortunately limited to a tiny stake) of Boris basically staying in post past 2018.
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    kle4 said:

    So about that good few weeks Mrs May had

    Yes. Has some bad news hit her today?
    Richard Burgon's going to be battering David Gauke today.

    The Easter holidays might buy Gauke some time.

    Burgon's a very fine solicitor.

    Some of us are on at 100/1 from him to be Corbyn's successor.

    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/08/14/the-1001-bet-on-the-next-labour-leader-that-quite-a-few-of-us-have-taken-this-last-week/
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    I doubt point 11. will worry Khan much, on the substantive question the parole board's decision has been quashed.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    There are no obvious reasons why the open justice principle should not apply to
    the Parole Board in the context of providing information on matters of public
    concern to the very group of individuals who harbour such concern, namely thepublic itself. Indeed, it seems to us that there are clear and obvious reasons why
    the Parole Board should do so. This information can readily be provided in a
    fashion which in no way undermines the Article 8 rights of the prisoner and the
    confidentiality which attaches to it


    Seems a crucial point.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2

    Definitely looks more around the right price.
    Another lesson on why you shouldn't bet on this market at short odds.
    I have some crazy odds (Also unfortunately limited to a tiny stake) of Boris basically staying in post past 2018.
    I got evens last month... did you do better?
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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited March 2018
    As the Nazi pug was mentioned, i thought i would share this. Funny, thought provoking and very, very sweary
    https://twitter.com/jonathanpienews/status/976884625812480003
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    David Gauke is 16/1 as next out of the cabinet with Paddy Power.

    https://www.paddypower.com/politics/uk-cabinet-specials

    Alas my stake was limited to £3
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Scott_P said:

    TGOHF said:

    Please refer to it by its correct title as the "Bus of Xenophobic Lies".

    Thank you.

    What bus?
    The bus that beat the Remain campaign.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    I think the parole board needs reform, after the rape and torture case that saw two murder convicts go back to jail after being paroled it's clearly not fit for purpose. More scepticism would be welcome.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    Pulpstar said:

    tlg86 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Hah, Gauke down from 50/1 to 11/2

    Definitely looks more around the right price.
    Another lesson on why you shouldn't bet on this market at short odds.
    I have some crazy odds (Also unfortunately limited to a tiny stake) of Boris basically staying in post past 2018.
    I got evens last month... did you do better?
    Single
    What year will Boris cease to be Foreign Secretary? - Boris Johnson Special
    2019
    8/1
    Stake:
    £1.33
    Potential Returns:
    £11.97

    Single
    What year will Boris cease to be Foreign Secretary? - Boris Johnson Special
    2020 or later
    12/1
    Stake:
    £1.11
    Potential Returns:
    £14.43

    Single
    What year will Boris cease to be Foreign Secretary? - Boris Johnson Special
    2018
    11/10
    Stake:
    £2.44
    Potential Returns:
    £5.12

    Great odds, tiny stakes.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    Interestingly, the court has ruled that the Mayor of London did not have standing to bring a claim:

    https://www.judiciary.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/dsd-nbv-v-parole-board-and-ors-summary.pdf

    We do not doubt the strength and sincerity of the Mayor’s concerns on behalf of the victims in particular and Londoners in general. However, in our judgment none of these matters confers standing on the Mayor to bring this claim.

    Back in yer box.....
    Beginning to wonder if Team Corbo will begin to realise what a threat Khan is to their dear leader.

    He's an ambitious chap and will be looking at a bigger job than Mayor soon.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TGOHF said:

    The bus that beat the Remain campaign.

    There is no bus in this picture.

    image

    Please try harder next time
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    edited March 2018

    David Gauke is 16/1 as next out of the cabinet with Paddy Power.

    https://www.paddypower.com/politics/uk-cabinet-specials

    Alas my stake was limited to £3

    Looks like it has been locked down? Still 16/1 on Betfair.

    And now I hope he does resign. With £25 on it that would be a nice little present to have, particularly since I missed out on a promotion not long ago.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Hopefully Hardwick will bring bout a good old constructive dismissal case as well to really put Gauke between a rock and hard place.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    kle4 said:

    David Gauke is 16/1 as next out of the cabinet with Paddy Power.

    https://www.paddypower.com/politics/uk-cabinet-specials

    Alas my stake was limited to £3

    Looks like it has been locked down? Still 16/1 on Betfair.

    And now I hope he does resign
    PP and Betfair should have the same lockouts surely!!
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674
    Regardless of how we reached Brexit, the referendum result has three powerful guarantors: the first is the Conservative backbench, the second is the Labour frontbench and the third, and most important, is public opinion.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2018/03/remainers-must-realise-accusing-vote-leave-cheating-won-t-undo-brexit
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    kle4 said:

    David Gauke is 16/1 as next out of the cabinet with Paddy Power.

    https://www.paddypower.com/politics/uk-cabinet-specials

    Alas my stake was limited to £3

    Looks like it has been locked down? Still 16/1 on Betfair.

    And now I hope he does resign
    PP and Betfair should have the same lockouts surely!!
    I have no idea. I don't really make all that many bets outside of a GE, so how it all works and the terminology is beyond me.

    I just about broke even at the GE despite getting almost everything wrong, thanks to SCON.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335

    Scott_P said:

    If that pair stopped Brexit, it really would be pitchforks and flaming brands.....

    I thought a link with "take back control" might trigger a few people, but the results were far better than expected.

    And if you want a pair for pitchforks and flaming brands...

    http s://twitter.com/BrianSpanner1/status/746488316510482433
    I'm not exactly a hardcore Brexiteer, but your repeated posting of that's becoming a little sad. It wasn't exactly funny the first time ...
    Now you've said that he'll probably repost the "this is going to be useful" one of Boris in front of the £350m poster. Again.
    I can see why you'd rather it was forgotten.
    Nope, the £350m bus is an obsession of the ultra-Remainers, not one of mine.

    The constant moaning about it (in public) helped greatly in amplifying its message, and consequently helped Leave win the referendum. Something you lot still don't understand.

    Thanks for helping out.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109
    Though the right wing, Brexity, female clickbaiter market sector seems to be ever expanding, it's a source of constant amazement to me that Oakeshott continues to get gigs.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    He could say he saved money by letting someone else JR the decision.

    In all seriousness, Mr Herdson is right about politicians having to sense-check advice, but it doesn't personally feel to me like a resignable instance. However, he might well do so to avoid a storm.
    Must be a value bet at 60-1 next out cabinet..
    And I didn't move fast enough. Oh well, the road not travelled.
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    How Bancroft has escaped so lightly amazes me - he was the one who actually DID the CHEATING!
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    kle4 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    He could say he saved money by letting someone else JR the decision.

    In all seriousness, Mr Herdson is right about politicians having to sense-check advice, but it doesn't personally feel to me like a resignable instance. However, he might well do so to avoid a storm.
    Must be a value bet at 60-1 next out cabinet..
    And I didn't move fast enough. Oh well, the road not travelled.
    Likewise. Now evens on Betfair.
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    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    edited March 2018

    Smith and Bancroft won't be considered for leadership roles for 12 months after their bans end.

    Warner will not be considered for team leadership roles ever.

    I feel Warner is the real cancer, not only in this, but in sledging and all of the overly nasty competitiveness. Nothing wrong with being competitive but he seems totally humourless and constantly on the edge of physical violence. I think he's a really nasty piece of work. Cricket would be better off without him.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    How Bancroft has escaped so lightly amazes me - he was the one who actually DID the CHEATING!

    Young, inexperienced, pressured by the 'leadership group' (which is only Smith and Warner, yeah right), I can see why they went slightly less hard.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    kle4 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    He could say he saved money by letting someone else JR the decision.

    In all seriousness, Mr Herdson is right about politicians having to sense-check advice, but it doesn't personally feel to me like a resignable instance. However, he might well do so to avoid a storm.
    Must be a value bet at 60-1 next out cabinet..
    And I didn't move fast enough. Oh well, the road not travelled.
    Likewise. Now evens on Betfair.
    I'll lay a ton at 11-10 if any reputable posters want to beat Evens ;)
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    kle4 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:
    He could say he saved money by letting someone else JR the decision.

    In all seriousness, Mr Herdson is right about politicians having to sense-check advice, but it doesn't personally feel to me like a resignable instance. However, he might well do so to avoid a storm.
    Must be a value bet at 60-1 next out cabinet..
    And I didn't move fast enough. Oh well, the road not travelled.
    Likewise. Now evens on Betfair.
    No Betfair Ex market though for some reason
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. kle4, I had a similar result at the General Election. Finished mildly ahead, but could've hedged Con 50 seat majority, or thereabouts, to be all green. Shows what I know... still, grateful to finish a little green given how wrong most of my assumptions were.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    Mr. kle4, I had a similar result at the General Election. Finished mildly ahead, but could've hedged Con 50 seat majority, or thereabouts, to be all green. Shows what I know... still, grateful to finish a little green given how wrong most of my assumptions were.

    While the decision itself still leads to periods of self doubt, I have fond memories of the Brexit to win odds on the day of the referendum at least. Good times.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Blimey - Things you forget.. David Coburn is still an MEP for UKIP in Scotland !

    Least we won't have to pay for them(*) post Brexit.

    (*)Save accrued salary, golden goodbye and overly generous pension pot
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    ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    kle4 said:

    How Bancroft has escaped so lightly amazes me - he was the one who actually DID the CHEATING!

    Young, inexperienced, pressured by the 'leadership group' (which is only Smith and Warner, yeah right), I can see why they went slightly less hard.
    I agree. It would have been very difficult for Bancroft to have said no - I can just imagine Warner's reaction.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. kle4, I think I steered clear of that betting, and certainly didn't stay up late.

    Still, I have benefited from the odd fluke in the past. Miffed the 201 on Perez last year (Azerbaijan) didn't come off, but the 251 on Verstappen in Spain 2016 remains a rather nice memory.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750

    kle4 said:

    How Bancroft has escaped so lightly amazes me - he was the one who actually DID the CHEATING!

    Young, inexperienced, pressured by the 'leadership group' (which is only Smith and Warner, yeah right), I can see why they went slightly less hard.
    I agree. It would have been very difficult for Bancroft to have said no - I can just imagine Warner's reaction.
    Lot of talk in the last week, referencing past issues, that Warner is a nasty piece of work. If so I suspect we'll hear more out of that dressing room,
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Look at these epic posters - totally box tickingly awesome !

    It appears the ultra remainers are unleashing a coalition of Rolf Harris, Bella Emberg, the cast of the full Monty, rat boy and some public sector extras from a 1990s Labour PPB.


    https://twitter.com/SunPolitics/status/978942435647803392
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    TGOHF said:

    Look at these epic posters - totally box tickingly awesome !

    It appears the ultra remainers are unleashing a coalition of Rolf Harris, Bella Emberg, the cast of the full Monty, rat boy and some public sector extras from a 1990s Labour PPB.


    https://twitter.com/SunPolitics/status/978942435647803392

    That is a cravat isn't it?
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    Great Johnathan Pie btw.

    (Hope that doesn't get OGH into trouble.)
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    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,718

    Scott_P said:

    If that pair stopped Brexit, it really would be pitchforks and flaming brands.....

    I thought a link with "take back control" might trigger a few people, but the results were far better than expected.

    And if you want a pair for pitchforks and flaming brands...

    http s://twitter.com/BrianSpanner1/status/746488316510482433
    I'm not exactly a hardcore Brexiteer, but your repeated posting of that's becoming a little sad. It wasn't exactly funny the first time ...
    Now you've said that he'll probably repost the "this is going to be useful" one of Boris in front of the £350m poster. Again.
    I can see why you'd rather it was forgotten.
    Nope, the £350m bus is an obsession of the ultra-Remainers, not one of mine.

    The constant moaning about it (in public) helped greatly in amplifying its message, and consequently helped Leave win the referendum. Something you lot still don't understand.

    Thanks for helping out.
    So, you don't mind winning on a lie?
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    TOPPING said:

    TGOHF said:

    Look at these epic posters - totally box tickingly awesome !

    It appears the ultra remainers are unleashing a coalition of Rolf Harris, Bella Emberg, the cast of the full Monty, rat boy and some public sector extras from a 1990s Labour PPB.


    https://twitter.com/SunPolitics/status/978942435647803392

    That is a cravat isn't it?
    The mind boggles that they thought this chap was the ordinary man on the street.

    I almost feel embarrassed for them.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674

    Scott_P said:

    If that pair stopped Brexit, it really would be pitchforks and flaming brands.....

    I thought a link with "take back control" might trigger a few people, but the results were far better than expected.

    And if you want a pair for pitchforks and flaming brands...

    http s://twitter.com/BrianSpanner1/status/746488316510482433
    I'm not exactly a hardcore Brexiteer, but your repeated posting of that's becoming a little sad. It wasn't exactly funny the first time ...
    Now you've said that he'll probably repost the "this is going to be useful" one of Boris in front of the £350m poster. Again.
    I can see why you'd rather it was forgotten.
    Nope, the £350m bus is an obsession of the ultra-Remainers, not one of mine.

    The constant moaning about it (in public) helped greatly in amplifying its message, and consequently helped Leave win the referendum. Something you lot still don't understand.

    Thanks for helping out.
    So, you don't mind winning on a lie?
    Its not as embarrassing as repeatedly publicising it.....
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,003
    I can see this upsetting at least one of our regular posters:

    "Clara Ponsati: Scottish police arrest Catalan politician"

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-43567678
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Hmm, David Gauke says in the statement he's just released:

    I took expert legal advice from leading counsel on whether I should bring a challenge. The bar for judicial review is set high. I considered whether the decision was legally rational - in other words, a decision which no reasonable Parole Board could have made.

    The advice I received was that such an argument was highly unlikely to succeed. And, indeed, this argument did not succeed. However, the victims succeeded in a different argument.


    The court summary says:

    We uphold the challenge by DSD and NBV, as we have slightly reformulated it, to the rationality of the decision of the Parole Board directing the release of Mr Radford on the basis that it should have undertaken further inquiry into the circumstances of his offending and, in particular, the extent to which the limited way in which he has described his offending may undermine his overall credibility and reliability. That is so even in relation to the offences of which he was convicted, let alone any other offending

    Not that much of a different argument, if I've understood correctly.

    I hope this doesn't wreck David Gauke's career, because I think he's a talented minister. But that juxtaposition doesn't look good.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    edited March 2018
    Mr. Flashman (deceased), perhaps in streets of London, it is.

    Mr. Royale, come, come. There's nothing wrong with state authorities determining which jokes are acceptable and which warrant prosecution.

    Reminds me a bit of a BBC news segment I saw years ago about Burma and how oppressive it was. Even comedy was banned.

    Edited extra bit: as an aside, my own comedy came out recently. Better buy it now, before the anti-elven jokes get it reported to the Scottish police by someone who self-identifies as an elf... https://www.amazon.co.uk/Sir-Edric-Plague-Thaddeus-White-ebook/dp/B07BN2W1L7/
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    So about that good few weeks Mrs May had

    Yes. Has some bad news hit her today?
    If it is this Gauke business, the decision to release Worboys wasn't the government, and maybe I'm naiive, but even with the PM being at the top I don't see that probably having to replace her Justice Secretary will cause her that much disruption. His choice clearly wasn't unfounded, even though it has turned out he probably should have taken the risk, so if he resigns over that she appoints someone else, and I don't know how easily a partisan point will stick longer term to cause trouble.
    Gauke/Worboys will be splashed on more front pages than Jeremy Corbyn's Facebook adventures in anti-semitism, even if the latter runs for longer.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,750
    Whether or not to challenge shouldn;t have been decided base don how bad the victims would feel, as terrible as they would. Surely a challenge should only have been made if it was felt something legally or procedurally was wrong (including irrationality)?? Turns out Gauke should probably have taken that up, but victims feelings is not so much a part of it (not sharing info with them was an issue though it seems)
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    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    Jesus H Christ.

    Can I report you for taking the Lord's name in vain?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. glw, could be worse. At least he didn't say Jehovah.

    Damn. I just said it. Bugger!
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    "areas classified as the most difficult to engage in higher education" sounds a bit definitional to me.

    But clearly there is an outreach problem.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,226
    The Cult is confused this morning.

    There is this:


    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/978927086307037184

    while @PeoplesMomentum is retweeting this, saying Jezza "f***ed up":

    https://twitter.com/MikeSegalov/status/978307491338571776
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    "areas classified as the most difficult to engage in higher education" sounds a bit definitional to me.

    But clearly there is an outreach problem.
    Or, more likely, a problem at an earlier stage in the education system.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    Mr. glw, could be worse. At least he didn't say Jehovah.

    Damn. I just said it. Bugger!

    This place is a cesspit! I may have to report it and ask the authorities to close it down.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929


    I hope this doesn't wreck David Gauke's career, because I think he's a talented minister. But that juxtaposition doesn't look good.

    Yes but David Gauke staying on won't pay for the new sofa the misses is eyeing up will it :)
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    "areas classified as the most difficult to engage in higher education" sounds a bit definitional to me.

    But clearly there is an outreach problem.
    Or, more likely, a problem at an earlier stage in the education system.
    Both
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Pulpstar said:


    I hope this doesn't wreck David Gauke's career, because I think he's a talented minister. But that juxtaposition doesn't look good.

    Yes but David Gauke staying on won't pay for the new sofa the misses is eyeing up will it :)
    True enough!
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    But Oxford's a dump!

    Seriously, many organisations ask applicants to not put the name of their university on their application.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,611
    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    @Dura_Ace

    Yes, we'd love to see a thread by you on Defence matters.

    Copy that.
    Look forward to it.
    (As an aside, ought we to be developing/buying more unmanned aircraft rather than the very expensive indeed F35 ?)
    There is no near or medium term UAS that can do all of the F35 missions so probably not. F35 is not an expensive platform when you consider the breadth of its capabilities. The Typhoon is the really money pit. The entire program cost is north of 40bn quid and the RAF is going to end up with 160 airframes. Do the maths; it's the second most expensive combat aircraft ever produced after B2 and the MoD takes brand new ones off the production line and reduces them to spares...

    UAS acquisitions are one part of defence policy that has been managed anomalously well. Possibly because we've bought the best available product on commercial terms and then not dicked around with it because we think we know better. Certifiable Predator B was a very wise acquisition and gives the RAF a genuinely leading edge UAS capability.

    Taranis/FCAS/nEUROn is a just a Soviet style pay people to dig holes and fill them in work creation scheme. However, that now looks like it may fall apart over Brexit so every cloud and all that...
    I wasn't really talking about existing systems; one of the reason there aren't that many is the resistance of the ex-pilots making the decisions to replacing manned jets. More a road not taken than one available to us right now.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    More info regarding the Pie complaint:
    https://twitter.com/Captain_Philco/status/978617572001230848
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,005
    edited March 2018

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    Bloody government meddling for the sake of it.

    "The scheme is expected to cover single-use glass and plastic bottles, and steel and aluminium cans."

    I can understand the plastic somewhat, but leave off the aluminium cans. I collect aluminium for Cafod. Some cans I pick up from the street but most come from the local churches (including the Anglican one). Last year this amounted to about £400 worth with about half of that from cans. Where will they come from now?

    Bottles with a deposit - that takes me right back to my childhood. Why not burn the plastic that can't be recycled? There's waste-to-energy power stations around. Most of the pollution plume the Greens moan about is steam.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,444
    edited March 2018
    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford let in David Miliband with BBBD and Toby 'Son of a Labour Lord' Young with BBC, which was below his offer.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,005

    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford let in David Miliband with BBBD and Toby 'Son of a Labour Lord' Young with BBC.
    They also let in Blair with ABC but fewer people got top grade A Levels in those days.

    Cambridge took only 3% from the poorest homes, virtually the same as Oxford's 2.8%
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford let in David Miliband with BBBD and Toby 'Son of a Labour Lord' Young with BBC, which was below his offer.
    Years ago
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,611
    edited March 2018

    How Bancroft has escaped so lightly amazes me - he was the one who actually DID the CHEATING!

    Allegedly, Warner instigated the idea, and 'delegated' the actual cheating (with Smith's approval) to Bancroft...

    Note that Warner has been 'banned for life' from any leadership position, unlike Smith. (No great loss, some might opine.)
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674

    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford let in David Miliband with BBBD
    Thirty years ago....

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    CD13 said:

    Bloody government meddling for the sake of it.

    "The scheme is expected to cover single-use glass and plastic bottles, and steel and aluminium cans."

    I can understand the plastic somewhat, but leave off the aluminium cans. I collect aluminium for Cafod. Some cans I pick up from the street but most come from the local churches (including the Anglican one). Last year this amounted to about £400 worth with about half of that from cans. Where will they come from now?

    Bottles with a deposit - that takes me right back to my childhood. Why not burn the plastic that can't be recycled? There's waste-to-energy power stations around. Most of the pollution plume the Greens moan about is steam.

    We should use more glass for sure.
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    CD13 said:

    Bloody government meddling for the sake of it.

    "The scheme is expected to cover single-use glass and plastic bottles, and steel and aluminium cans."

    I can understand the plastic somewhat, but leave off the aluminium cans. I collect aluminium for Cafod. Some cans I pick up from the street but most come from the local churches (including the Anglican one). Last year this amounted to about £400 worth with about half of that from cans. Where will they come from now?

    Bottles with a deposit - that takes me right back to my childhood. Why not burn the plastic that can't be recycled? There's waste-to-energy power stations around. Most of the pollution plume the Greens moan about is steam.

    Gove's brainchild.

    He needs a distraction from his betrayal of Scottish fishermen.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,639

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    It seems to be easier to get into Sunderland Uni than Oxford, Cambridge or Imperial. Who knew?

    Though actually part of the problem is pre - A level offers. Private schools over egg their predictions while at the higher grades State schools under predict. Our Medical School has moved to post results offers, in part to encourage a broader range of interests, and in part to improve access. No dumbing down, the same exams are required, but more state school candidates, and often from hard to reach areas.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,674
    Corbyn seems a bit subdued today - while his topic of choice 'Mental health' is serious it's not particularly topical.......
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford could change its admissions requirements but yes, the pipeline needs addressing. Making Oxbridge post-graduate only would also be sensible but I'm not holding my breath. In the short term, it should be possible to weight offers by poverty or any other factor.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    "Happy Easter" is overt racism; I am shocked that JC missed the opportunity to wish the nation a Happy Pesach.
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    tlg86 said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    But Oxford's a dump!

    Seriously, many organisations ask applicants to not put the name of their university on their application.
    My old firm introduced that a few years ago.

    It was to stop a perceived red brick bias.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Independent Schools

    7% of Students
    15% of all A level entries
    30% of all A grade
    33% of all AAA candidates
    41% of Oxford offers.

    Problems at all points in the pipeline...
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Wonder if Shippers has smashed into Shadsy Power too ;)
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    tlg86 said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    But Oxford's a dump!

    Seriously, many organisations ask applicants to not put the name of their university on their application.
    David Gauke got his law degree at Oxford and he's Lord Chancellor.
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    This explains everything.

    David Gauke read law at St Edmund Hall.

    Must be up there with Blair reading Jurisprudence and not being aware he needed primary legislation to abolish the role of Lord Chancellor.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190

    tlg86 said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    But Oxford's a dump!

    Seriously, many organisations ask applicants to not put the name of their university on their application.
    My old firm introduced that a few years ago.

    It was to stop a perceived red brick bias.
    The civil service does it, and I must admit, I think the bias can work both ways.
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    Independent Schools

    7% of Students
    15% of all A level entries
    30% of all A grade
    33% of all AAA candidates
    41% of Oxford offers.

    Problems at all points in the pipeline...

    Do you have a source for that?

    I'm doing a thread on education and that will useful for said thread.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    This explains everything.

    David Gauke read law at St Edmund Hall.

    Must be up there with Blair reading Jurisprudence and not being aware he needed primary legislation to abolish the role of Lord Chancellor.

    There's no law degree at Oxford, must also have been jurisprudence
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    HYUFD said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    Oxford can only take those who meet its admission criteria ie a minimum of AAA at A Level now in most cases and usually with some A* added too.

    Almost 3/4 of those from the poorest homes have less than 2 A Levels, let alone 3 A grades

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2010/apr/20/poor-students-lack-alevels
    Oxford could change its admissions requirements but yes, the pipeline needs addressing. Making Oxbridge post-graduate only would also be sensible but I'm not holding my breath. In the short term, it should be possible to weight offers by poverty or any other factor.
    The test isn't how many you take, it is how many you take and get through to finals. In my day lots of people who got in on a special pass for being from shit comps were thrown out again within the year for failing mods/prelims. Harsh, but what can you do? You can't lower the bar for them in public exams, and you can't get them up to speed in the time available.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    F1: rivals, perhaps even grumpier now Haas look like being the 4th best team, calling for an investigation:
    https://twitter.com/Motorsport/status/978913948794851329
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388

    Independent Schools

    7% of Students
    15% of all A level entries
    30% of all A grade
    33% of all AAA candidates
    41% of Oxford offers.

    Problems at all points in the pipeline...

    Do you have a source for that?

    I'm doing a thread on education and that will useful for said thread.
    https://public.tableau.com/views/UoO_UG_Admissions2/AcceptanceRate?:embed=y&:display_count=yes&:showTabs=y&:showVizHome=no

    The first three lines are from rolling over some of the boxes with red text on the left (quoting the Harris report), the final is calculated from offers made to UK domiciles.
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    tlg86 said:

    tlg86 said:

    Lammy’s got a point.

    This is truly shameful.

    https://twitter.com/davidlammy/status/978904227966746630?s=21

    But Oxford's a dump!

    Seriously, many organisations ask applicants to not put the name of their university on their application.
    My old firm introduced that a few years ago.

    It was to stop a perceived red brick bias.
    The civil service does it, and I must admit, I think the bias can work both ways.
    It does. We did find out that not all unis are equal though.
This discussion has been closed.