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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters still make next year the favourite for TMay to stand d

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  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,225
    Anyone betting on royal baby name?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    Anorak said:
    It’s actually well written, and indeed if she has been subject to surveillance and poisoning by MI5 then it all makes sense.

    Or, she’s batshit crazy.

    But she writes lucidly.
    MI5 only have a few hundred active field agents to monitor and track thousands of potentially dangerous terrorists and foreign spies.

    Why would they bother with her?
    Sorry, my post didn’t make it clear enough.
    She is almost certainly batshit.

    However her post is not the kind of rambling rant one normally finds on social media, and nor is Finchley Road mentioned.
    I'm sure she just forgot about Finchley Road.
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    Rental truck in Toronto runs into 10 + with 2 or more fatalities. Driver in custody
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    Anorak said:
    Brilliant! I hope Labour do the decent thing and keep her as a candidate.
    Won't they have to follow due process :)
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    FF43 said:


    I think it's possible that lost jobs and benefits, denied healthcare and people being trapped outside their home country is the entire problem and that, beyond that, ambiguity in some civil servants' paperwork really doesn't matter at all. We know that the Windrush generation's legal status needn't have led to actual, real-world suffering because it didn't for decades.

    That's garbage. Of course the Guardian - which can of course never be accused of missing an opportunity to blame the Tories for all ills known to man - does its best to gloss over the dates in case like these, where the problems either happened under Labour, or under rules introduced by Labour:

    Having gone to Jamaica for his 50th birthday [in 2010] – his first visit since arriving in Britain aged six – Robinson was told at the airport he could not return on his Jamaican passport. He lived in bedsits and hostels for 21 months, until a solicitor resolved the case. On his return in 2011, however, he was told he owed £4,500 for unpaid rent and council tax. Taken to court and evicted, Robinson has been sofa-surfing since.

    and

    Having moved from Jamaica 51 years ago, aged six, the benefits agency challenged O’Connor’s immigration status last summer after she lost her job in the computer shop where she had worked for 16 years. Several potential new employers withdrew offers upon realising she had no passport. She had to sell her car and was facing bankruptcy in March. After her story was publicised last month, the Home Office promised to waive her fees for a biometric card application.

    and

    Francis came from Jamaica with his two sisters when he was about seven, to join their parents. He worked on repairing Royal Navy ships but after being made redundant four years ago, no one will employ him because he does not have a passport or other proof of his right to live and work in the UK.

    and many more.

    Don't get me wrong - these and the other cases are awful, but the root cause goes back decades.

    No it wasn't. All of these incidents and the scandalous treatment of long term UK residents came about because of the 2014 Immigration Act, introduced by Theresa May. That pernicious act should be repealed. Honourable politicians could campaign to do so.

    The act was one of many that increasingly tied the noose tighter around those without documentation. The 2014 one added banking and housing to a list that had got longer and longer.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    Sandpit said:

    Didn’t take long for Guido to find a photo: caption competition time!

    image

    Corbyn - You're not Jewish are you?
    Nutjob - See you in court.
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    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    William at 34 looks value, what with it being Shakespeare's birthday and George being unavailable.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    In a weird sense I think the Lords trying to amend absolutely everything just dilutes any point they are trying to make and will make potential Tory traitors easier to win back. They won't like the Lords trying to overrule them on absolutely everything, without even giving it a second thought.

    The Charter amendment is particularly stupid since we'd automatically stop being a party to it as soon as we abrogate from the Treaty of Lisbon.

    Whatever support they may have had among certain MPs will begin to drain away if they keep this up.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Incidentally, as far as I can see Jeremy Corbyn, John McDonnell and Diane Abbott didn't vote against the measures in the 2006 Immigration, Asylum and Nationality Bill which made it impossible to get a job here if you don't have documentation proving your right to do so. It wasn't that he wasn't paying attention - he did vote for an amendment that would have
    removed a clause from the Bill excluding from refugee status those committing
    ‘acts of encouraging or inducing others to commit, prepare or instigate terrorism’.
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    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    So for the first case at some point he must have applied for a Jamaican passport but not a UK passport.

    More details here:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/19/windrush-generation-tell-of-holidays-that-led-to-exile-and-heartbreak

    Another example in that article also show how the problem existed under Labour:

    Junior Green, 61... Despite having the letter, he said the problems began when he lost the passport containing the stamp. Attempts to get his new Jamaican passport stamped with the indefinite leave to remain were rebuffed by the Home Office in 2009 and 2014, he says, because he was unable to furnish them with proof of 10 years of continuous residence, even though he had the 1993 letter.

    As I said, kudos to Amber for finally getting a grip on this. It's fair enough to criticise Theresa May for introducing the 2012 Act without addressing with the long-existing problems, but I really don't see how Amber Rudd can be blamed for it, nor do I see how Labour can claim the moral high ground.
    I can't find the bit in that article about him being threatened with deportation, denied healthcare and unable to work
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335
    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    In a weird sense I think the Lords trying to amend absolutely everything just dilutes any point they are trying to make and will make potential Tory traitors easier to win back. They won't like the Lords trying to overrule them on absolutely everything, without even giving it a second thought.

    The Charter amendment is particularly stupid since we'd automatically stop being a party to it as soon as we abrogate from the Treaty of Lisbon.

    Whatever support they may have had among certain MPs will begin to drain away if they keep this up.
    I think the Lords are overplaying their hand, but I’m not sure they care. They may think if they push hard enough they can collapse the whole thing.

    The Government will win very few votes without the Tories there staying loyal, and the bulk of the crossbenchers siding with them, because I expect the Labour/LD peers to be as one on this.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    It's mainly because Robert uses an Android phone. The website isn't sufficiently dogfoooded on iOS.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    MaxPB said:

    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    It's mainly because Robert uses an Android phone. The website isn't sufficiently dogfoooded on iOS.
    What a verb!
  • Options
    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,989

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/988485586108452865
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited April 2018

    I can't find the bit in that article about him being threatened with deportation, denied healthcare and unable to work

    Since I've just posted several examples of people being unable to work as a result of the 2006 Act, and one of someone told they didn't have the right to remain here in 2009, I'm not sure what point you are trying to make.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    So for the first case at some point he must have applied for a Jamaican passport but not a UK passport.

    More details here:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/19/windrush-generation-tell-of-holidays-that-led-to-exile-and-heartbreak

    Another example in that article also show how the problem existed under Labour:

    Junior Green, 61... Despite having the letter, he said the problems began when he lost the passport containing the stamp. Attempts to get his new Jamaican passport stamped with the indefinite leave to remain were rebuffed by the Home Office in 2009 and 2014, he says, because he was unable to furnish them with proof of 10 years of continuous residence, even though he had the 1993 letter.

    As I said, kudos to Amber for finally getting a grip on this. It's fair enough to criticise Theresa May for introducing the 2012 Act without addressing with the long-existing problems, but I really don't see how Amber Rudd can be blamed for it, nor do I see how Labour can claim the moral high ground.
    I can't find the bit in that article about him being threatened with deportation, denied healthcare and unable to work
    2009 act ( think) removed the ability to work,without proof of status.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    notme said:

    So for the first case at some point he must have applied for a Jamaican passport but not a UK passport.

    More details here:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/apr/19/windrush-generation-tell-of-holidays-that-led-to-exile-and-heartbreak

    Another example in that article also show how the problem existed under Labour:

    Junior Green, 61... Despite having the letter, he said the problems began when he lost the passport containing the stamp. Attempts to get his new Jamaican passport stamped with the indefinite leave to remain were rebuffed by the Home Office in 2009 and 2014, he says, because he was unable to furnish them with proof of 10 years of continuous residence, even though he had the 1993 letter.

    As I said, kudos to Amber for finally getting a grip on this. It's fair enough to criticise Theresa May for introducing the 2012 Act without addressing with the long-existing problems, but I really don't see how Amber Rudd can be blamed for it, nor do I see how Labour can claim the moral high ground.
    I can't find the bit in that article about him being threatened with deportation, denied healthcare and unable to work
    2009 act ( think) removed the ability to work,without proof of status.
    2006:

    Immigration, Asylum and Nationality Act 2006
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    In a weird sense I think the Lords trying to amend absolutely everything just dilutes any point they are trying to make and will make potential Tory traitors easier to win back. They won't like the Lords trying to overrule them on absolutely everything, without even giving it a second thought.

    The Charter amendment is particularly stupid since we'd automatically stop being a party to it as soon as we abrogate from the Treaty of Lisbon.

    Whatever support they may have had among certain MPs will begin to drain away if they keep this up.
    I think the Lords are overplaying their hand, but I’m not sure they care. They may think if they push hard enough they can collapse the whole thing.

    The Government will win very few votes without the Tories there staying loyal, and the bulk of the crossbenchers siding with them, because I expect the Labour/LD peers to be as one on this.
    I agree that they don't care. However, their attitude will make it much easier to kick back all of their amendments. If it was just one or two and it looked like they looked very hard and decided they had no choice but to send an amendment back to the commons. What they are doing now makes them look as if they don't care and are just pushing an agenda to halt Brexit, which not enough Tory MPs will get on board with.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847
    edited April 2018

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    Incidentally, as far as I can see Jeremy Corbyn, John McDonnell and Diane Abbott didn't vote against the measures in the 2006 Immigration, Asylum and Nationality Bill which made it impossible to get a job here if you don't have documentation proving your right to do so. It wasn't that he wasn't paying attention - he did vote for an amendment that would have
    removed a clause from the Bill excluding from refugee status those committing
    ‘acts of encouraging or inducing others to commit, prepare or instigate terrorism’.

    What is it about Jez and supporting terrorists. Fucking traitorous scum.
  • Options
    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    Seriously? I am surprised at that. I do everything via mobile devices (asides work) as does virtually everyone. It is only now that I have seen it as an issue wrt this site. If the site administrators/designers do not see this as a problem, and the site owners have no problem with this (severe) lack of accessibility for users, then I am very surprised. At the end of the day it is their money & their site. Ho hum.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    Seriously? I am surprised at that. I do everything via mobile devices (asides work) as does virtually everyone. It is only now that I have seen it as an issue wrt this site. If the site administrators/designers do not see this as a problem, and the site owners have no problem with this (severe) lack of accessibility for users, then I am very surprised. At the end of the day it is their money & their site. Ho hum.
    Yeah. I take that attitude about their site also. They put time and money in getting it to work and it acts as a great site for getting information. As guido always said who complained about his site, if they bring him a receipt he’ll gladly refund what they paid in full.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847
    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    It would be interesting to do a PB poll on this.
    My pref is of course to Remain, but the least worst Brexit for me is EFTA/EEA and I could grudgingly live with it.

    Perhaps others feel the same way.
  • Options
    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Labour's fault, apparently, this Windrush business. I wouldn't count on those affected, including indirectly, children and grandchildren of that generation and all ethnicities, seeing it that way but I guess we will find out in 10 days or so.
  • Options
    NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    TRIGGER WARNING FOR LEAVERS.

    The FT has come out in favour of remaining in the Customs Union:

    https://www.ft.com/content/b589b0c4-46f2-11e8-8ee8-cae73aab7ccb

    DETAILS OF TRIGGER WARNING

    The FT uses rational arguments in favour of its position and is critical of Leavers for failing to come up with an alternative.

    Recommended counter-measure: ad hominem.

    It's a shame one can't read the article as it's behind a paywall.

    It would be interesting to see if the FT have some genuine arguments as to why we should remain in the CU or are merely jumping on the latest bandwagon designed to impede Brexit.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,817

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Whatever happens with Brexit one thing I am sure about is that Their Lordship's are playing a very dangerous game...
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847
    edited April 2018
    Norm said:

    TRIGGER WARNING FOR LEAVERS.

    The FT has come out in favour of remaining in the Customs Union:

    https://www.ft.com/content/b589b0c4-46f2-11e8-8ee8-cae73aab7ccb

    DETAILS OF TRIGGER WARNING

    The FT uses rational arguments in favour of its position and is critical of Leavers for failing to come up with an alternative.

    Recommended counter-measure: ad hominem.

    It's a shame one can't read the article as it's behind a paywall.

    It would be interesting to see if the FT have some genuine arguments as to why we should remain in the CU or are merely jumping on the latest bandwagon designed to impede Brexit.
    I read it.

    It doesn’t really add anything you haven’t heard elsewhere: that some form of customs arrangement are essential for our supply chains, and that the government’s alternatives to a full customs union are unworkable.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282
    felix said:

    Anorak said:
    Brilliant! I hope Labour do the decent thing and keep her as a candidate.
    Won't they have to follow due process :)
    If fourteen separate agencies were all trying to kill her, their collective incompetence is truly staggering. Not that she deserved any such fate.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847
    edited April 2018

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    Depends what you mean by “uncontrolled”.
    As we now know, the lack of control is largely through our own unwillingness to impose a regstrations regime and tighter benefit eligibility for incomers.

    But yes, it means being willing to live with free access to the U.K. for migrants from the EU.

    Many Brexiters might not want that, but perhaps a majority of the country would be content with it, given all the trade offs to be balanced.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,335
    GIN1138 said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Whatever happens with Brexit one thing I am sure about is that Their Lordship's are playing a very dangerous game...
    Barnier has just come out in the last half-an-hour to say the ball is now in the UK’s court with respect to the Customs Union.

    This is all very well coordinated.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    Labour's fault, apparently, this Windrush business. I wouldn't count on those affected, including indirectly, children and grandchildren of that generation and all ethnicities, seeing it that way but I guess we will find out in 10 days or so.

    Well, I suppose you could argue that it's Labour's fault, in that it was the 1968 Commonwealth Immigrants Act which took away the rights previously enjoyed simply by being citizens of an ex-colony.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,282

    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    Seriously? I am surprised at that. I do everything via mobile devices (asides work) as does virtually everyone. It is only now that I have seen it as an issue wrt this site. If the site administrators/designers do not see this as a problem, and the site owners have no problem with this (severe) lack of accessibility for users, then I am very surprised. At the end of the day it is their money & their site. Ho hum.
    I had a year of being logged out of the site in Safari several times a day, and not being able to log back in on the main page without resetting my password, which was hugely annoying. But recently it is all working fine.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,225
    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    If we want an FTA with the USA, how about Donald?
  • Options
    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,860
    Is it time to hit them with our Ace Card yet?

    It is now up to UK to come up with its vision for the future relationship with EU, says @MichelBarnier UK should confirm its red lines or adapt them. Warning to some UK commentators: this is a UK choice, not “EU ramping up pressure”.

  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    Depends what you mean by “uncontrolled”.
    As we now know, the lack of control is largely through our own unwillingness to impose a regstrations regime and tighter benefit eligibility for incomers.

    But yes, it means being willing to live with free access to the U.K. for migrants from the EU.

    Many Brexiters might not want that, but perhaps a majority of the country would be content with it, given all the trade offs to be balanced.
    I suspect if it was a choice people would prefer the CU to the SM.

    Now while I believe its possible that the UK could in time arrange trade treaties which would be more advantageous than currently anything done now would have too much involvement of Liam Fox for my liking.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a certain degree, but Switzerland abides by the same rules and doesn't have any issues with unskilled migrants who arrive without a job. I had to prove self sufficiency after 90 days or I would get deported. The difference is that Switzerland's benefits system is fit for purpose and they don't have tax credits.

    Additionally it is a closed labour market at the lower rungs. It's genuinely more difficult for a basic/intermediate German speaking migrant to find a job working in a supermarket than it was for me to get a an English speaking job at a bank.

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
  • Options
    RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Foxy said:

    Maybe because he's reading Matthew Goodwin's on-going analysis:

    e.g.
    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/722794649379848192
    Isn’t that just basic facts? We’ve know for a long time now Leavers care about immigration and that it was a major factor in the vote to Leave.
    Howabout this new division of the EU into 28 equal sized populated states? Would we stay in?

    https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/988436124963082241?s=19
    That is delightfully bonkers.
    Though interestingly the New Saxony region corresponds pretty closely to the bits of the UK where I feel most comfortable.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,897

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    It would be interesting to do a PB poll on this.
    My pref is of course to Remain, but the least worst Brexit for me is EFTA/EEA and I could grudgingly live with it.

    Perhaps others feel the same way.
    I think that Brexit should be a process rather than an event, and an arrangement like EEA/EFTA would be a reasonable next step in the process on our way out.
  • Options
    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,847

    Foxy said:

    Maybe because he's reading Matthew Goodwin's on-going analysis:

    e.g.
    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/722794649379848192
    Isn’t that just basic facts? We’ve know for a long time now Leavers care about immigration and that it was a major factor in the vote to Leave.
    Howabout this new division of the EU into 28 equal sized populated states? Would we stay in?

    https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/988436124963082241?s=19
    That is delightfully bonkers.
    Though interestingly the New Saxony region corresponds pretty closely to the bits of the UK where I feel most comfortable.
    When are we going to invite Hanover into the Commonwealth? If it wasn’t for their misogynistic laws of succession, they’d still be British.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,668
    edited April 2018

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    Depends what you mean by “uncontrolled”.
    As we now know, the lack of control is largely through our own unwillingness to impose a regstrations regime and tighter benefit eligibility for incomers.

    But yes, it means being willing to live with free access to the U.K. for migrants from the EU.

    Many Brexiters might not want that, but perhaps a majority of the country would be content with it, given all the trade offs to be balanced.
    The Leave hardliners would have it that every one of the 52% was committed to leaving EFTA/EEA as well as the EU but any sensible person knows that's bollocks.

    There are some things to like about about Theresa May but her judgement in ruling out EEA or ETFA is truly woeful.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,611
    Those betting on Trump being re-elected might want to reassess their position if the Democrats take the House...
    https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2018/04/donald-trumps-personal-nightmare-for-2019-is-losing-the-house.html
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a certain degree, but Switzerland abides by the same rules and doesn't have any issues with unskilled migrants who arrive without a job. I had to prove self sufficiency after 90 days or I would get deported. The difference is that Switzerland's benefits system is fit for purpose and they don't have tax credits.

    Additionally it is a closed labour market at the lower rungs. It's genuinely more difficult for a basic/intermediate German speaking migrant to find a job working in a supermarket than it was for me to get a an English speaking job at a bank.

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
    Didn't you also have to get health insurance ?
  • Options
    kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 3,949
    edited April 2018
    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    It would be interesting to do a PB poll on this.
    My pref is of course to Remain, but the least worst Brexit for me is EFTA/EEA and I could grudgingly live with it.

    Perhaps others feel the same way.
    I think that Brexit should be a process rather than an event, and an arrangement like EEA/EFTA would be a reasonable next step in the process on our way out.
    My preference is to leave at any cost, but to do so in a gradual way.

    The first step is to accept no EU new laws and declare a total moratorium on any further integration. This, in itself, is a major victory. The next step is to begin disentangling ourselves from existing EU laws. If that takes a decade or more so be it. On the other hand if the choice is a short, sharp shock or no Brexit at all I'd still vote to leave. Short term economic pain would be guaranteed, but in the long term, democratic accounability is more valuable to a healthy society.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Scott_P said:

    twitter.com/LauraLitvan/status/988492662192910336

    Life as a billionaire doesn’t sound like much fun!
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    William at 34 looks value, what with it being Shakespeare's birthday and George being unavailable.
    James
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067
    kyf_100 said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    It would be interesting to do a PB poll on this.
    My pref is of course to Remain, but the least worst Brexit for me is EFTA/EEA and I could grudgingly live with it.

    Perhaps others feel the same way.
    I think that Brexit should be a process rather than an event, and an arrangement like EEA/EFTA would be a reasonable next step in the process on our way out.
    My preference is to leave at any cost, but to do so in a gradual way.

    The first step is to accept no EU new laws and declare a total moratorium on any further integration. This, in itself, is a major victory. The next step is to begin disentangling ourselves from existing EU laws. If that takes a decade or more so be it. On the other hand if the choice is a short, sharp shock or no Brexit at all I'd still vote to leave. Short term economic pain would be guaranteed, but in the long term, democratic accountability is more valuable to a healthy society.
    The problem you have is that you simply can't do this in a society that has democratic accountability because the people will vote you out. Leaving the EU in the way you want could only be executed by an authoritarian state.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    Depends what you mean by “uncontrolled”.
    As we now know, the lack of control is largely through our own unwillingness to impose a regstrations regime and tighter benefit eligibility for incomers.

    But yes, it means being willing to live with free access to the U.K. for migrants from the EU.

    Many Brexiters might not want that, but perhaps a majority of the country would be content with it, given all the trade offs to be balanced.
    There are so many easy steps the UK government could take wrt to unskilled EU migrants arriving without a job. For one we can restrict access to the benefits system for all self-employed migrants until they have paid in for a period of 5 years. That literally gets rid of all the big issue sellers claiming loads of tax credits and housing benefits and allows us to easily deport the "beggars" in all major cities since they would no longer be self sufficient without the ability to claim housing benefits.

    The problem is that these technical changes won't generate the kinds of headlines that the government would want.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,668

    Foxy said:

    Maybe because he's reading Matthew Goodwin's on-going analysis:

    e.g.
    https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/722794649379848192
    Isn’t that just basic facts? We’ve know for a long time now Leavers care about immigration and that it was a major factor in the vote to Leave.
    Howabout this new division of the EU into 28 equal sized populated states? Would we stay in?

    https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/988436124963082241?s=19
    That is delightfully bonkers.
    Though interestingly the New Saxony region corresponds pretty closely to the bits of the UK where I feel most comfortable.
    Me too, but the title 'New Saxony' WTF is that about?!

    Clearly the work of a German: Prussia, Saxony and Bavaria all recognised entities - the rest of Europe cut and pasted together any old how.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    edited April 2018

    notme said:

    Thanks for the welcome, mr Meeks. I remember you posting as Antifrank.
    I am not sure what the issue is, but I have had problems with safari (cannot refresh (or even login!?!) via iPhone/iPad), but am now logging in via another app, which seems to work. It is still a bit shit, if I am honest, and if all other posters go through the same horrid process, then I salute your dedication.

    The site has always been utterly awful for IOS. SeanT and myself I think were the first poster with iPads in the day, it wasn’t too good then and got progressively worse. I have found that if you sign in and then visit the vanilla site, close safari and then come back to pb it seems to work a bit better.
    Seriously? I am surprised at that. I do everything via mobile devices (asides work) as does virtually everyone. It is only now that I have seen it as an issue wrt this site. If the site administrators/designers do not see this as a problem, and the site owners have no problem with this (severe) lack of accessibility for users, then I am very surprised. At the end of the day it is their money & their site. Ho hum.
    I use an iPhone and access via vanilla forums and it works perfectly.

    Click on someone’s name, click on “Home” and that brings you to Recent Discussions. Click on the top one and you’re away!

    Welcome btw.

    Edit: all with Chrome.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    Depends what you mean by “uncontrolled”.
    As we now know, the lack of control is largely through our own unwillingness to impose a regstrations regime and tighter benefit eligibility for incomers.

    But yes, it means being willing to live with free access to the U.K. for migrants from the EU.

    Many Brexiters might not want that, but perhaps a majority of the country would be content with it, given all the trade offs to be balanced.
    The Leave hardliners would have it that every one of the 52% was committed to leaving EFTA/EEA as well as the EU but any sensible person knows that's bollocks.

    There are some things to like about about Theresa May but her judgement in ruling out EEA or ETFA is truly woeful.
    Even Daniel Hannan wanted to stay in the EEA.

    https://www.conservativehome.com/thecolumnists/2015/10/daniel-hannan-mep-norways-relationship-with-the-eu-is-better-than-being-a-member-but-we-could-do-even-better-than-that.html

    https://www.kingdomcomment.com/blog/anatomy-of-a-smear-dan-hannan

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5jTRoySFfo
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a certain degree, but Switzerland abides by the same rules and doesn't have any issues with unskilled migrants who arrive without a job. I had to prove self sufficiency after 90 days or I would get deported. The difference is that Switzerland's benefits system is fit for purpose and they don't have tax credits.

    Additionally it is a closed labour market at the lower rungs. It's genuinely more difficult for a basic/intermediate German speaking migrant to find a job working in a supermarket than it was for me to get a an English speaking job at a bank.

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
    Didn't you also have to get health insurance ?
    Yes, very expensive health insurance. However, everyone in Switzerland has to get health insurance. I'm literally abiding by the same rules as everyone else. I don't think the government in the UK would ever make people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.
  • Options
    fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,279

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    Does anyone remember what the bookies favourite boy or girl names were for Prince George or Princess Charlotte?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    TOPPING said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    William at 34 looks value, what with it being Shakespeare's birthday and George being unavailable.
    James
    I'm on Louis at 40/1.

    The two James were crap kings and the reintroduction of Charles hasn't been a success.
  • Options
    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    I do everything via mobile devices (asides work) as does virtually everyone.

    I tested my first production change using a mobile yesterday. It's amazing how much proper work you can do on a mobile these days.

    Though the test did fail and I had to whip out the laptop to fix it on SQL Server.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    fitalass said:

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    Does anyone remember what the bookies favourite boy or girl names were for Prince George or Princess Charlotte?
    I think they were both favourites.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607

    Norm said:

    TRIGGER WARNING FOR LEAVERS.

    The FT has come out in favour of remaining in the Customs Union:

    https://www.ft.com/content/b589b0c4-46f2-11e8-8ee8-cae73aab7ccb

    DETAILS OF TRIGGER WARNING

    The FT uses rational arguments in favour of its position and is critical of Leavers for failing to come up with an alternative.

    Recommended counter-measure: ad hominem.

    It's a shame one can't read the article as it's behind a paywall.

    It would be interesting to see if the FT have some genuine arguments as to why we should remain in the CU or are merely jumping on the latest bandwagon designed to impede Brexit.
    I read it.

    It doesn’t really add anything you haven’t heard elsewhere: that some form of customs arrangement are essential for our supply chains, and that the government’s alternatives to a full customs union are unworkable.
    Switzerland isn't in the CU, but it has a very competitive manufacturing sector and a deep supply chain dependent on importing semi-manufactured goods from the EU.

    I really don't think it's an issue that creative thinking can't solve, and, in all honesty, has already been solved by Switzerland and the EU wrt to the Switzerland/Germany border.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304

    TOPPING said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    William at 34 looks value, what with it being Shakespeare's birthday and George being unavailable.
    James
    I'm on Louis at 40/1.

    The two James were crap kings and the reintroduction of Charles hasn't been a success.
    As I mentioned earlier bf doesn’t specify first name does this mean we get each way on the less likely ones?
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a certain degree, but Switzerland abides by the same rules and doesn't have any issues with unskilled migrants who arrive without a job. I had to prove self sufficiency after 90 days or I would get deported. The difference is that Switzerland's benefits system is fit for purpose and they don't have tax credits.

    Additionally it is a closed labour market at the lower rungs. It's genuinely more difficult for a basic/intermediate German speaking migrant to find a job working in a supermarket than it was for me to get a an English speaking job at a bank.

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
    Didn't you also have to get health insurance ?
    Yes, very expensive health insurance. However, everyone in Switzerland has to get health insurance. I'm literally abiding by the same rules as everyone else. I don't think the government in the UK would ever make people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.
    The UK's problem is that a generous non-contributory welfare state is not compatible with FoM with poorer countries.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227

    Labour's fault, apparently, this Windrush business. I wouldn't count on those affected, including indirectly, children and grandchildren of that generation and all ethnicities, seeing it that way but I guess we will find out in 10 days or so.

    Well, I suppose you could argue that it's Labour's fault, in that it was the 1968 Commonwealth Immigrants Act which took away the rights previously enjoyed simply by being citizens of an ex-colony.
    The Immigration Act 1971 which came into effect on January 1st 1973 gave all those people permanent leave to remain. So any or all previous "rights" are academic.

    The IA 1971 was a Tory act. So, the implementation of the 2014 Act went against the 1971 Act.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
  • Options
    notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a c

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
    Didn't you also have to get health insurance ?
    Yesake people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.
    The UK's problem is that a generous non-contributory welfare state is not compatible with FoM with poorer countries.
    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    Some of the 48% dislike free movement.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,242

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/988485586108452865
    Was he the only one who Putin for that name, do you suppose?
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    notme said:

    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.

    They did, but didn't have the cojones to implement a contributory welfare system and take an axe to tax credits and housing benefits. If they had done so in 2010, Remain would have won by 60/40 in 2016.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    notme said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:


    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.

    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    EFTA/EEA has always been the sensible option, but Theresa has stupidly ruled it out. It gives us a lot of room to breathe in terms of fixing our own overseas trading arrangements and long term relationship with the EU.

    Not a lot we can do about it tbh.
    Doesn't that require uncontrolled migration from the EU ?
    To a c

    If anything anger towards migrants in Switzerland is reserved for Germans who work in Switzerland but live in Germany, thereby not contributing to the Swiss economy.
    Didn't you also have to get health insurance ?
    Yesake people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.
    The UK's problem is that a generous non-contributory welfare state is not compatible with FoM with poorer countries.
    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.
    Like most current politicians Cameron and Osborne preferred posturing and promises to proper preparation and attention to details.
  • Options
    surbysurby Posts: 1,227
    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-43871249?intlink_from_url=http://www.bbc.com/news/topics/cwlw3xz0lvvt/brexit&link_location=live-reporting-story

    For a Man U fan, I have to say this is the most sensible thing a Liverpool manager has ever said.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,067

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    The only way we'll have a clear mandate is to have a vote between two knowns instead of a known and an unknown. We need a referendum on the deal versus remain, and then let all of those nuances distil themselves into a result we can have faith in.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    Anorak said:
    It’s actually well written, and indeed if she has been subject to surveillance and poisoning by MI5 then it all makes sense.

    Or, she’s batshit crazy.

    But she writes lucidly.
    MI5 only have a few hundred active field agents to monitor and track thousands of potentially dangerous terrorists and foreign spies.

    Why would they bother with her?
    Sorry, my post didn’t make it clear enough.
    She is almost certainly batshit.

    However her post is not the kind of rambling rant one normally finds on social media, and nor is Finchley Road mentioned.
    Tin foil hat time. The facebook post (now rendered inaccessible) has 963 words. The country code for Syria is +963.

    Coincidence or shadowy powers at work? You decide...
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    The only way we'll have a clear mandate is to have a vote between two knowns instead of a known and an unknown. We need a referendum on the deal versus remain, and then let all of those nuances distil themselves into a result we can have faith in.
    We already did that in June 2016.

    You had your vote on a negotiation - blame Cameron and Osborne if they couldn't negotiate properly.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    If it’s all so nuanced how come the Brex-o-loons are sure about the public not wanting to stay in the Customs Union?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,242
    Anorak said:

    Anorak said:
    It’s actually well written, and indeed if she has been subject to surveillance and poisoning by MI5 then it all makes sense.

    Or, she’s batshit crazy.

    But she writes lucidly.
    MI5 only have a few hundred active field agents to monitor and track thousands of potentially dangerous terrorists and foreign spies.

    Why would they bother with her?
    Sorry, my post didn’t make it clear enough.
    She is almost certainly batshit.

    However her post is not the kind of rambling rant one normally finds on social media, and nor is Finchley Road mentioned.
    Tin foil hat time. The facebook post (now rendered inaccessible) has 963 words. The country code for Syria is +963.

    Coincidence or shadowy powers at work? You decide...
    Too late. You can read it here:

    http://www.worcesternews.co.uk/news/16178796.Labour___s_Worcester_MP_candidate_Mandy_Richards_breaks_silence_over_newspaper_reports/

    Every time you think Labour are touching rock bottom...
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    edited April 2018

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    The only way we'll have a clear mandate is to have a vote between two knowns instead of a known and an unknown. We need a referendum on the deal versus remain, and then let all of those nuances distil themselves into a result we can have faith in.
    We already did that in June 2016.

    You had your vote on a negotiation - blame Cameron and Osborne if they couldn't negotiate properly.
    Alternatively we could have retrospective referendums on previous European treaties now we know what the consequences were.

    Perhaps we should start with a Maastrich Referendum and if that vote is opposed then the EU returns to its 1991 status.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Anorak said:

    Anorak said:
    It’s actually well written, and indeed if she has been subject to surveillance and poisoning by MI5 then it all makes sense.

    Or, she’s batshit crazy.

    But she writes lucidly.
    MI5 only have a few hundred active field agents to monitor and track thousands of potentially dangerous terrorists and foreign spies.

    Why would they bother with her?
    Sorry, my post didn’t make it clear enough.
    She is almost certainly batshit.

    However her post is not the kind of rambling rant one normally finds on social media, and nor is Finchley Road mentioned.
    Tin foil hat time. The facebook post (now rendered inaccessible) has 963 words. The country code for Syria is +963.

    Coincidence or shadowy powers at work? You decide...
    It was obviously GCHQ or Unit 8200 that hacked her Facebook account and posted....
  • Options
    fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,279
    tlg86 said:

    fitalass said:

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    Does anyone remember what the bookies favourite boy or girl names were for Prince George or Princess Charlotte?
    I think they were both favourites.
    Many thanks.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    TOPPING said:

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    If it’s all so nuanced how come the Brex-o-loons are sure about the public not wanting to stay in the Customs Union?
    How are you so sure that they're wrong ?

    I do remember some YouGov polling earlier this year which did show a large majority in favour of being able to have new trade treaties with the rest of the world even at the cost of barriers to the EU.

    I was rather surprised at the result.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    Cross your legs, chaps. World's first penis and scrotum transplant:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-43873058
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304

    TOPPING said:

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    If it’s all so nuanced how come the Brex-o-loons are sure about the public not wanting to stay in the Customs Union?
    How are you so sure that they're wrong ?

    I do remember some YouGov polling earlier this year which did show a large majority in favour of being able to have new trade treaties with the rest of the world even at the cost of barriers to the EU.

    I was rather surprised at the result.
    I didn’t say they were wrong I asked how they could be so sure given as you say the nuanced desire of the people.

    And one YouGov poll does not the will of the people reflect.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    fitalass said:

    tlg86 said:

    fitalass said:

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    Does anyone remember what the bookies favourite boy or girl names were for Prince George or Princess Charlotte?
    I think they were both favourites.
    Many thanks.
    I think it got out that she was having a girl last time. Before the gender was known this time, the betting was skewed towards female names - I even read a rumour she was having twin girls - so perhaps this time the market might not have it right.

    I think they'll go for James.
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would be deemed a democratic outrage and would have the effect of strengthening the resolve of opponents. Like it or lump it, the HoL are doing the job our constitution asks them to do.

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting, it’s hard to figure out exactly what the public want. But the locus of opinion seems to be an EFTA style deal.

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    If it’s all so nuanced how come the Brex-o-loons are sure about the public not wanting to stay in the Customs Union?
    How are you so sure that they're wrong ?

    I do remember some YouGov polling earlier this year which did show a large majority in favour of being able to have new trade treaties with the rest of the world even at the cost of barriers to the EU.

    I was rather surprised at the result.
    I didn’t say they were wrong I asked how they could be so sure given as you say the nuanced desire of the people.

    And one YouGov poll does not the will of the people reflect.
    They're so sure in the same way that all politicians are so sure when its something they want to do.
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,205
    MaxPB said:

    notme said:

    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.

    They did, but didn't have the cojones to implement a contributory welfare system and take an axe to tax credits and housing benefits. If they had done so in 2010, Remain would have won by 60/40 in 2016.
    That may well be true. But some might well have asked: why shouldn't British citizens get preferential treatment in their own country? I.e. why shouldn't a country say to foreigners coming here that they need to contribute through taxes for a period of time before becoming eligible for benefits/welfare but say that its own citizens do not have to jump through the same hoops?

    Of course that raises the whole issue of treating all citizens of EU states in the same way - which is the concept which Maastricht made explicit. But I think that some in this country objected to this on principle - in short, enough people in Britain felt that British people should be treated differently (better) than non-British citizens (including EU citizens) in their own home country for your suggestion to be a non-starter. Certainly not without the sort of intensive debate needed before you start turning a non-contributory welfare system into a contributory one and apply it to your own citizens. I just don't see how any politician in this country could do it

    Any attempt to change the welfare system is seen as toxic. So because of the failure to do this, we have ended up with a decision to exclude ourselves from the EU in order to deal with the consequences of the combination of a non-contributory welfare system combined with FoM.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    Meanwhile you cannot move these days without an ex-Arsenal player sticking the ball in the back of the net in the PL or setting someone up.

    We will never know what went on in the boardroom at The Emirates but I continue to believe that Arsene did as well as humanly possible with the material he had.
  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891

    TRIGGER WARNING FOR LEAVERS.

    The FT has come out in favour of remaining in the Customs Union:

    https://www.ft.com/content/b589b0c4-46f2-11e8-8ee8-cae73aab7ccb

    DETAILS OF TRIGGER WARNING

    The FT uses rational arguments in favour of its position and is critical of Leavers for failing to come up with an alternative.

    Recommended counter-measure: ad hominem.

    It's impossible to have an honest debate on the EU while ignoring the 70 million Turks who are planning to emigrate here
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    MaxPB said:



    Yes, very expensive health insurance. However, everyone in Switzerland has to get health insurance. I'm literally abiding by the same rules as everyone else. I don't think the government in the UK would ever make people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.

    Do their insurers have a different approach to ours? It often strikes me that the main aim of the insurers here is not to insure but to duck out of their commitments.

    If we had more faith in insurers coughing up when needed, maybe it would work better.

    Good evening, everyone.
  • Options
    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,304
    edited April 2018

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    surby said:

    I see the Lords have defeated the Government yet again on U.K. membership of the charter of fundamental rights.

    I now expect the Government to lose virtually every single amendment there.

    Time for an election? "Who governs?"
    It might come down to that.

    I think the Lords might be unbiddable on this.
    We already had a “Who governs?” election.
    May didn’t win.

    Nor can she flood the HoL. I think it would

    Given the technical detail involved in Brexiting

    That’s not currently on the table due to May’s red lines, but perhaps it should be. What other option unites me, Tyndall and Nabavi?
    The Lords isn’t democratic.

    EFTA would be acceptable were it not for the fact it requires free movement, which the public definitely voted against.

    I think May is going for single market in goods, controlled (or capped) EU migration, very close customs collaboration, and freedom in services, but we’ll see where we end up.
    Although the majority of Leavers voted against free movement, the majority of the country perhaps did not.

    That’s what polling suggests anyway.
    Well you are correct. It required only 3% of the 52% not to be against "free movement".
    That assumes all the 48% support FoM.

    Which isn't the case.

    Things, as always, are more nuanced with many different shades of grey and not too many pure black and pure white.
    If it’s all so nuanced how come the Brex-o-loons are sure about the public not wanting to stay in the Customs Union?
    How are you so sure that they're wrong ?

    I do remember some YouGov polling earlier this year which did show a large majority in favour of being able to have new trade treaties with the rest of the world even at the cost of barriers to the EU.

    I was rather surprised at the result.
    I didn’t say they were wrong I asked how they could be so sure given as you say the nuanced desire of the people.

    And one YouGov poll does not the will of the people reflect.
    They're so sure in the same way that all politicians are so sure when its something they want to do.
    Yes that is the point. And no one seemingly with the same conviction but for the opposing view. Who is not in a party lead by someone who will drive the country into the ground, that is.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    notme said:

    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.

    They did, but didn't have the cojones to implement a contributory welfare system and take an axe to tax credits and housing benefits. If they had done so in 2010, Remain would have won by 60/40 in 2016.
    That may well be true. But some might well have asked: why shouldn't British citizens get preferential treatment in their own country? I.e. why shouldn't a country say to foreigners coming here that they need to contribute through taxes for a period of time before becoming eligible for benefits/welfare but say that its own citizens do not have to jump through the same hoops?

    Of course that raises the whole issue of treating all citizens of EU states in the same way - which is the concept which Maastricht made explicit. But I think that some in this country objected to this on principle - in short, enough people in Britain felt that British people should be treated differently (better) than non-British citizens (including EU citizens) in their own home country for your suggestion to be a non-starter. Certainly not without the sort of intensive debate needed before you start turning a non-contributory welfare system into a contributory one and apply it to your own citizens. I just don't see how any politician in this country could do it

    Any attempt to change the welfare system is seen as toxic. So because of the failure to do this, we have ended up with a decision to exclude ourselves from the EU in order to deal with the consequences of the combination of a non-contributory welfare system combined with FoM.
    Changing the welfare system in this way would kill any government that proposed it. There would be far too many losers.

    As you say, why shouldn't governments be entitled to favour nationals over non-nationals.



  • Options
    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/988485586108452865
    Now they're letting women play it's only ever likely to be a sub
  • Options
    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,082
    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    notme said:

    Makes you wonder why Cameron and Osborne never worked that out. They had enough of a narrative to change the system to reduce the pull factor. All the EU ask is that the change applies to your own citizens as it does to foreign ones. Cameron went round the EU begging for concessions for something he could have changed himself.

    When you speak to people who live and work in other eu nations it’s quite clear the idea of turning up in Italy or France without work, housing or a means of support and expecting to be able to start a fresh and get paid to do it is ludicrous. You get given short shrift.

    They did, but didn't have the cojones to implement a contributory welfare system and take an axe to tax credits and housing benefits. If they had done so in 2010, Remain would have won by 60/40 in 2016.
    That may well be true. But some might well have asked: why shouldn't British citizens get preferential treatment in their own country? I.e. why shouldn't a country say to foreigners coming here that they need to contribute through taxes for a period of time before becoming eligible for benefits/welfare but say that its own citizens do not have to jump through the same hoops?

    Of course that raises the whole issue of treating all citizens of EU states in the same way - which is the concept which Maastricht made explicit. But I think that some in this country objected to this on principle - in short, enough people in Britain felt that British people should be treated differently (better) than non-British citizens (including EU citizens) in their own home country for your suggestion to be a non-starter. Certainly not without the sort of intensive debate needed before you start turning a non-contributory welfare system into a contributory one and apply it to your own citizens. I just don't see how any politician in this country could do it

    Any attempt to change the welfare system is seen as toxic. So because of the failure to do this, we have ended up with a decision to exclude ourselves from the EU in order to deal with the consequences of the combination of a non-contributory welfare system combined with FoM.
    FoM with much poorer countries with the likely consequences denied and not prepared for.
  • Options
    fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,279
    tlg86 said:

    fitalass said:

    tlg86 said:

    fitalass said:

    Barnesian said:

    Anyone betting on royal baby name?

    Philip
    For personal reasons, I have bet on Arthur - the boring favourite.

    Although I did have a couple of quid on Edmund.
    Does anyone remember what the bookies favourite boy or girl names were for Prince George or Princess Charlotte?
    I think they were both favourites.
    Many thanks.
    I think it got out that she was having a girl last time. Before the gender was known this time, the betting was skewed towards female names - I even read a rumour she was having twin girls - so perhaps this time the market might not have it right.

    I think they'll go for James.
    I too thought that James had to be in with a shout, then I remembered that Prince Edward's young son is also called James.
  • Options
    fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,279
    edited April 2018
    I know that they are the two favourites for the new Prince. But either Prince Arthur or Prince Albert just sounds so old fashioned, from another era, where as George and Charlotte are still pretty popular names today.

  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    AnneJGP said:

    MaxPB said:



    Yes, very expensive health insurance. However, everyone in Switzerland has to get health insurance. I'm literally abiding by the same rules as everyone else. I don't think the government in the UK would ever make people buy health insurance. The NHS is an article of faith, even though the Swiss healthcare system is leagues better.

    Do their insurers have a different approach to ours? It often strikes me that the main aim of the insurers here is not to insure but to duck out of their commitments.

    If we had more faith in insurers coughing up when needed, maybe it would work better.

    Good evening, everyone.
    I've had contact with the Swiss healthcare system a few times and I've never had any issues with them paying up. My fiancé has slightly cheaper insurance and she uses it a bit more because of women's stuff and she never has any problems either.

    I think there is a difference in attitude as well, there is almost no insurance fraud in Switzerland. When someone makes a claim on their insurance it is because they have a need (health, home, car etc...). The whiplash injury scam would never happen in Switzerland.
This discussion has been closed.