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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A week after Helsinki and Trump’s ratings remain solid
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A week after Helsinki and Trump’s ratings remain solid
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By the time extradition hearings, appeals and supreme court rulings are made, May will be far off into the sunset on the good ship Maybot.
In polarised polities it is commonplace for voters to hold their noses when they vote for their poles....
To say it's "appallingly unpopular" is not even wrong.
Are the Democrats being wiser about things?
This kind of bullshit would never work again. May and Corbyn would be forced to spell out at least in some kind of detail what Brexit means Brexit means.
However if there was a GE then it means that they can stop the clock in order to try and negotiate with the next government.
Is that a bizarre way of saying that Mortimer is right?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-32061822
That Overton window keeps sliding right.
And “liberal elite” is pure populism.
It's following old principles which allowed us to try Germans.
That said I understand him to very popular at home? Which generally gets left out of the stories on his latest, er, controversies, on the bbc.
Populism being the concerns of ordinary people is not a bad thing. Unless you only care about an elite and look down on normal people.
We do have business expressing an opinion because they murdered Brits so could have faced justice here.
Populism by definition is offering things to the voters to appeal without the hard graft of thinking how you can deliver what you promise...Brexit and Corbyn are perfect examples
But I'm sure a Corbynite website would turn up a reference to elite factions which dont include their own political and media supporters, so maybe there's another term.
Has this been through Cabinet?
Who will be next to launch out on their own?
Seems each Minister is now making it up as they go along with no fear of sanction.
The heat also???
there are plenty of different descriptions to describe the Trumps, Farage, Johnson's, Le Pen's, Farages of the world....but they are elite, that is for sure...
Anyway having watched the Moray Open today here in Lossiemouth with the most beautiful of days, a bone dry links golf course with traditional clubhouse adjoining the lovely west beach towards Covesea lighthouse and fabulous views over the Firth towards Caithness, we have indeed been blessed.
And all day the Typhoons from the RAF Lossiemouth have been landing and taking off patrolling our skys.
Or does populist merely mean policies which are popular which one happens to disagree with?
I reckon the latter.
Rail nationalisation is popular, but is seen as populist by the bien pensant Right.
Clamping down on immigration is popular but is seen as populist by the bien pensant Left.
Effectively it is meaningless.
(4 cars that is - for some reason I don't like spending much on those! )
Actually, that's not quite being fair. He's sponsored big tax cuts, which are inevitably inflationary and growth-inducing. They've also buggered up the US government deficit - which will be around $800-850bn this fiscal year: an immense amount at this time in the economic cycle and - as far as I can see - the worst in the entire OECD as a % of GDP.
Of course, that won't stop him being re-elected - it's all tomorrow's money. Not unless something hits the fan before November 2020 anyway,
Edit - just seen the comment downthread about British intelligence. Fair enough, we do have an interest.
Best to pass the intelligence on. It's what we'd do if they were still at large in Syria, with death a likely result and no judicial process in that case.
In short the more we learn the more this sounds like some entirely artificial moral dilemma game that has been contrived for the benefit of the chattering classes. We should stay out and watch the bastards fry. They are not our problem and absolutely no loss.
One characteristic of Populism is simple, emotional solutions to complex problems and another is a whipping up af suspicion of long established institutions. Ultimately Populism is very dangerous to Conservatives (Or US Republicans) by breaking down confidence in such institutions and structures.
So Conservatives who cherish such institutions as the Rule of Law, Parliamentary Democracy, the Monarchy*, the Capitalist system. Left wingers need worry less about such things, because ripping up these is an existing aim. F*** Business would have been rather less shocking from the Shadow Front Bench than from the Foreign Secretary.
*Consider how Populists will regard Charles as King.
If I look at Reddit and the other cesspools of the internet (not including this hallowed ground in that category, of course) it's full of Americans saying that Sweden and the Low Countries - but particularly Sweden, for some reason - have been made a living hell by Muslim immigration. And increasingly that argument is picked up over here.
I grew up near Leicester. Leicester is 50% non-white. 19% Muslim.
It is absolutely fine. It is, in fact, a lovely city.
You do not switch on the radio and hear stories of Muslim riots or Muslim stabbings or sharia law in Leicester or whatever other masturbatory fantasies Paul Joseph Watson might conjure up. Leicester is just fine. And if you want a vision of integration, go to Foxton Locks at a weekend - what could be more English than a black-and-white-painted flight of canal locks, two real ale pubs and a country walk? - and do a demographic survey.
So why say that "Muslim immigration into liberal democracies" is by its nature "severely problematic"? It clearly doesn't have to be, and we, as a nation, have proved that. How Sweden integrates its 6% Muslim population, even if you follow the Reddit knuckle-draggers' line, is not a more illuminating example than how Leicester integrates its 19%.
Islamism is in retreat, across most of the world outside the Sahel. Keeping these guys in solitary and leaking that they are providing very useful intelligence may well be a better move.
It is profoundly undemocratic.
It is the denial of an alternative that is key. See Trump and his endless moaning about fake news.
One of the wonders of the modern world is how the conservatives of the the GOP have swallowed this bullshit hook line and sinker.*
* John McCain excepted.
Then he mentioned he might be an atheist, and his ratings dropped like a stone:
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/2155197/ratings-plummeting-how-long-can-philippine-president-duterte-last
What happened in Rotherham is the fault of guilty paedophiles in Rotherham.
What happened in Rotherham is the fault of those authorities who ignored the evidence of what was happening.
Blame the real culprits.
Muslim communities are as diverse, or more so, than Christian communities. They are also ultimately individuals, and branding them as an amorphous threatening mass is missing out on the opportunity to deviate more from orthodoxies.
I quite recommend this book on Generation M to give a more balanced view of young Muslims today, and how their ideas are changing our society. It reflects the experience of the Muslims that I work with rather better than some of the stereotypes that we see. It makes sense of the teenagers that I saw the other day on the Humberstone Rd, in miniskirts and yogapants, but also headscarves, playing on their phones and giggling with the teenage boys.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/sep/03/meet-generation-m-the-young-affluent-muslims-changing-the-world
However, language always changes with use.
Thus, the Labour manifesto was more popular than the Tory one. To those for whom that was an assault on common sense, Corbyn becomes a Populist. (Which means proposes popular policies, such as tuition fees, which I don't like).
When Trump proposes tariffs (he is far from the first), and people agree, it is also derided as populist.
The term has become so ubiquitous as to have become meaningless.
Both Left and Right have abused the term beyond its old meaning and any usefulness.
The new definition should be "position which commands widespread support which I can't get my head around."