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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Numerology. The next Conservative leader
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Numerology. The next Conservative leader
Let me let you in on a dirty secret. An awful lot of lawyers are terrified of maths. They can make words sit up and beg, but put them in front of a formula and they quiver. When the rate of VAT rose to 20%, many lawyers were privately delighted because the calculation was so much easier to do. Nevertheless, I have maths ahead. You have been warned.
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Corbyn accusers Wrong Cemetery
Wrong City
Wrong country
Carry on with the Anti Corbyn Bile
Do try to get your basic facts correct
How about vote for your preferred leader?
If only Boris had had the decency to call her and offer her a top job Leadsom wouldn't have stood and he might well be PM now. Such small details change history.
Having said that, it is clear that he is one of the few "big beasts" in the party and that many of the membership feel otherwise. Would it really be wise for the PCP to deny the members the opportunity to vote for or against him? I think it might prove extremely divisive in a party structure that is already creaking and weak. Last time out the membership were denied their say. Had May had to campaign is it possible that some of her chronic weaknesses would have become apparent before her epic election campaign? Of course the alternative was a bit of a joke but even so.
If I were a Tory MP I would want the last 2 to be Javid and Boris. And I would work night and day to make sure Javid won.
Loser.
But no reason we cannot have two Trumps. Over to you Boris. More of a Mortons fork isn't it - different options leading to same outcome for different reasons.
If they trusted their members they would have a similar system to Labour's.
Oh dear
Commie Spy
Munich Terrorists wreath
Next?
Change is coming they are getting desparate
Try researching who is buried in that graveyard in Tunisia.
I think he will get through though.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Wrath_of_God
What I understand Corbyn laid a wreath at was a memorial to those killed by Mossad which will have included some allegedly involved in Munich.
I might just laugh my head off if Boris were to exit at the first stage of the next leadership contest. Doubt it'll happen, but it's a nice thought.
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/jeremy-corbyn-thinks-did-not-lay-wreath-palestinian-150800975.html
Why should you blame the poor, downtrodden workers when you can finger the bosses?
(a) Is there a new Theresa May amongst the frontrunners?
(b) What has the net effect been of Boris's (i) withdrawal from the last contest (ii) tenure as Foreign Secretary (iii) resignation post-Chequers?
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/29/theresa-may-storms-ahead-boris-among-tory-party-me/
One point to add is that, without needing any cajoling, MPs might themselves decide to vote for a candidate who is not their preferred choice, in order to stop a candidate whom they'd see as potentially disastrous. As things stand today, the obvious 'hold your nose to stop Boris' candidate is Michael Gove, a point which Michael Gove is likely to draw to the attention of his colleagues.
Of course, things might look very different when the contest eventually happens.
Maybe the second round ?
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1029339188435542017
How would you vote in a referendum on membership of the EU?
Remain: 47%
Leave: 41%
At this point would you prefer that Britain stays in or leaves the European Union?
Prefer that Britain stays in the EU: 47%
Prefer that Britain leaves in the EU: 44%
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1029366039321223168
They assume it is unlikely the EU will want to kick out all those net contributors to the local economy. And that Ireland will want to compromise to avoid a hard border and/or won't in the end build one.
So why sacrifice negotiating capital to secure those objectives?
They assume it is unlikely the EU will want to kick out all those net contributors to the local economy. And that Ireland will want to compromise to avoid a hard border and/or won't in the end build one.
So why sacrifice negotiating capital to secure those objectives?
(Now, multiplying by 7 and dividing by 42 would give the same answer as simply dividing by 6. The number 47, though, is a prime number)
(/pedant)
There were actually two ceremonies in the Palestinian Martyr's Cemetery outside Tunis:
i) A wreath was laid at the memorial to those killed in the Israeli raid on the PLO headquarters outside Tunis (after the PLO had butchered three Israeli civilians on a boat off Cyprus.) Corbyn stood at the back and didn't join in prayers.
ii) There was another ceremony (15 yards away, under a red awning) to honour the leaders of the PLO assassinated by Mossad (among others - some were gunned down by another PLO faction) who were held responsible for masterminding the Munich atrocity. Corbyn helped lay the wreath and joined in prayers.
It should have been possible to come up with a structure that leaves the UK outside the political project, but with free trade and mutual recognition of standards. The quid quo pro would have been higher access fees.
Saying "I was present at wreath-laying but don't think I was involved" in one piece to camera then admitting "I laid one wreath" in another broadcast interview within 24 hours ought to qualify.
early on and bang on the point.
Its absurd Just give it up Guido FFS
Now you are just regurgitating the bilious vomit of Sqwawkbox.
But it is amusing to see you taking the words of The Blessed Jeremy to heart. By his thinking, people who were instrumental in planning the Munich outrages must not have been participating or getting involved in it.
People like Atef Bseiso, whose grave no-one disputes was within feet of Corbyn at the wreath laying. And if the head of Mossad was convinced Atef Bseiso was instrumental in planning the Munich outrages, that passes my credibility threashold.
Then saying the next day we dont but "nothing has changed"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ponte_Morandi
All I can think about this afternoon are those poor sods in Genoa who were going about their normal daily business when their lives were brutally cut short.
What's perhaps significant is that the two results are so similar. The phenomenon of "Releavers" has completely disappeared.
Leavers have put absolutely no effort into changing Remainers' minds, instead concentrating on reinforcing every prejudice that Remain voters might have about them. Weird.
They are likely to field a very, very small number of candidates. They don't have the personnel or the cash to run and lose lots of deposits. Where are these voters with no UKIP candidate going to go?
a) Conservative
b) Corbyn
c) Can't be arsed Party.
My money is mostly a) and c).......
The boy who cried wolf and all that
Corbyn has been comphensively found out by his own words
And this will just keep giving day after day, joke after joke, as he becomes a National laughing stock but sadly his actions are no laughing matter
https://twitter.com/EL4JC/status/1029342973354500097
I am off to hear him in Ben Bradley territory tomorrow
I'm a huge fan of Freedom of Speech but I would ban Twitter, drag all Twitter account holders into the street and ritually disembowel them.
How many times do people have to tell the same joke before it stops being funny - two or three at most?
Oh I forgot - it's Freedom of Speech and I have the God-given right for which I must go on my knees and give thanks - to be offended.
Which he was happy to brag about to the Morning Star, when it was enhancing his right-on credentials.
Your quote of Corbyn saying "I laid one wreath" conveniently leaves out his very next words that the wreath was for people who died in the 1985 attack - not for the people who died in the 1992 raids, which is what he's being criticised for.
https://twitter.com/VJRichMcCarthy/status/1029351739005313024
Whether Corbyn is telling the truth about not laying a wreath for the 1992 incident, I have no idea, but it's flat-out "fake news" to claim he's "admitted" to doing so. But is typical of Tory commentators for ruining valid attacks on Corbyn by going overboard.