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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Your regular reminder on why should ignore self selecting polls (aka voodoo polls)
The above is screen grab from a ‘poll’ that The Press and Journal are conducting online about Scottish Independence.
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https://twitter.com/bpolitics/status/1037329212590444544?s=21
My favourite was from a Nat the day before the Indyref when some of us dared to predict a No Victory.
The response was ‘The clueless wonders are in for a shock’
I suppose he could have been talking about his fellow Nats.
https://twitter.com/DuncanWeldon/status/1037336064304848898?s=20
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/05/jewish-concern-corbyn-israel-palestine-antisemitism-ihra
It’ll enrage A.C. Grayling, Lord Adnois, Boris, Rees-Mogg, and Farage but be palatable to 75% of the country.
Really?
Forex markets move on such insubstantial nonsense - good luck if you want to play. Just start a rumour Theresa May has resigned and play accordingly.
I think May and Barnier will essentially nut out a deal between themselves (they appear to get on well enough), ignoring the noise from Boris, Farage, Corbyn et al. And I think May might yet be seen a great PM because of it – one only needs one major achievement amid a sea of mediocrity.
good luck with pushing the facts Richard
Edit: For that matter, the Withdrawal Agreement will also be broad-brush.
The quartet join automatic qualifiers Tommy Fleetwood, Jon Rahm, Alex Noren and Thorbjorn Olesen, Justin Rose, Francesco Molinari and Rory McIlroy in the Europe team.
Europe are going to get buried.
olly potts 7m ago
Blown out of all proportion. We enlighted people know what this is really about. And most of us know coybrn has not got a racist bone in his body.
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/draft_agreement_coloured.pdf
thats normal
Back to the drawing board I suppose
‘Corbyn and his supporters don’t have a racist bone in their body that’s why we know the Jews are behind the smears against Corbyn’
The new world USA is more a meritocracy than Europe.
TBH, there's now no time to agree anything in full detail. This is going to go on (hopefully behind the scenes!) for years. You are partly right that the vagueness is intended to make it easier for Mrs May, but that also works the other way: the EU27 need vagueness so that they can with a straight face claim that they haven't agreed to any 'cherry-picking' and that their sacred four freedoms remain pure and unsullied by reality.
1 Brooks Koepka
2 Dustin Johnson
3 Justin Thomas
4 Patrick Reed
5 Bubba Watson
6 Jordan Spieth
7 Rickie Fowler
8 Webb Simpson
9 Bryson DeChambeau
10 Phil Mickelson
11 Tiger Woods
First innings 192 all out
Second innings 34 - for 5 wickets (11.1 overs)
Lancashire
First innings 99 all out
Second innings 170 all out
The pitch must be worse than that infamous one in the Caribbean.
https://twitter.com/AlexInAir/status/1037339421127917568?s=20
https://twitter.com/AlexInAir/status/1037339936951812097?s=20
https://twitter.com/tictoc/status/1037343383117811712
https://twitter.com/seanjonesqc/status/1037344503521333248
Now awaiting the laying before parliament (or leaks).
More Breaking News: Saying "fuck off" to your best customers may damage business says leading think tank to the surprise of 52% of the population
Merkel gives him the thumbs up
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ausland/csu-politiker-weber-will-naechster-eu-kommissionspraesident-werden-15772413.html
https://twitter.com/tseofpb/status/722391453599723520?s=21
https://twitter.com/ByTomWells/status/1037296957994278912
But then
https://twitter.com/JohnnyMercerUK/status/1037288679562272768
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-6131155/We-British-Jews-participants-talk-anti-Semitic-abuse-suffered.html
This will get the cult hopping mad about the BBC and demand more funding for the "independent" journalism.
Most businesses would like to continue to do business with customers. However if, say a small percentage of your customer base suddenly says "hey I don't agree with your T&Cs" you might say, well it is only 1 twenty seventh of my business, so it ain't worth rewriting the T&Cs so thanks, we don't want to lose your business, but we will concentrate elsewhere.
They don't need us more than we need them. It is a lie that does not stand up to the slightest scrutiny.
https://twitter.com/ByTomWells/status/1037301985727397888
Macron 20% - En Mache
Lepen 17% - Rassemblement Nationale
Sarkozy's lot 15 % - La droite Republicaine
french corbynites 14 % - La France Insoumise
socialistes - 6 %
http://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/le-scan/2018/09/05/25001-20180905ARTFIG00140-europeennes-la-liste-de-la-republique-en-marche-en-baisse-dans-un-sondage.php
https://twitter.com/ddayen/status/1037345038064345090
https://twitter.com/ywwg/status/1037345273360654338
1st to 4th
The 1st was bitterly cold, with a maximum of only -3.7 °C at Pennerley (Salop) and Little Rissington (Gloucestershire) and significant snow for most parts, with over 50 cm reported in Cumbria and Northumberland; Storm Emma brought disruptive snowfall and strong winds to the south-west from mid-afternoon, which turned to freezing rain in some southern coastal parts. Outbreaks of snow still affected the south and south-west on the 2nd, with light snow showers in the north-east, and very wet with rain, sleet and snow in the Midlands and East Anglia from mid-afternoon. It remained very cold with an overnight minimum temperature of -10.0 °C at Alston Springhouse Park (Cumbria), and windy too with gusts of 84 mph reported at Warcop (Cumbria). It turned milder on the 3rd with rain for the south-west, spreading along the south coast, and patchy rain, sleet and snow in the north. The 4th started with 57 cm of snow at Little Rissington (Gloucestershire) had showers and longer spells of rain over the West Midlands and south-west, with rain and sleet further north, and it was became wet across East Anglia and the south-east later.
Yet the much-maligned South Western Railway (unfortunately) did its best and get them to and from. 48 hours earlier and I remember SWR were telling people not to travel.