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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the early votes are counted if we do see a blue wave young

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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949
    edited November 2018
    not_on_fire said:

    ABC calls TX for Cruz

    Years from now politicos will ask each other "Were you up for Cruz (to hold on as polls predicted)?"
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Jake Tapper saying the dems are getting closer to capturing the house but might lose seats in the senate. Aren't they a bit behind? Also John King's suit doesn't fit well.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Quincel said:

    not_on_fire said:

    ABC calls TX for Cruz

    Years from now politicos will ask each other "Were you up for Cruz (to hold on as polls predicted)?"
    I think CNN are still going to mention o’rourke at least once an hour, every hour, until 2020.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    Colorado elects the first openly gay governor in the USA and Michigan elects a Muslim woman to Congress
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,597
    HYUFD said:

    Cruz projected to hold Texas

    Any projection for turnout figure ?

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,079
    These results are so depressing.
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,670
    FWIW:

    https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/1060009560428167168
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,597
    Tim_B said:

    Nigelb said:

    This is consequential for 2020:
    Florida has voted to restore voting rights to 1.4 million resident felons who have completed their sentences.

    The amendment to Florida's constitution required 60% approval to pass....

    Arrested development?
    Rehabilitates the Democrats chances.

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Staten Island is a Democrat gain.
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    Democrats gain Michigan 11th District
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Quincel said:

    Nigelb said:

    I wonder how reliable a Republican vote Romney will be in the Senate ?

    I suspect highly. My guess is he replaces Jeff Flake as the senator who talks a big game but votes on party lines.
    He and Trump seem to have made up. Trump campaigned for him. Even said he wasn't lyin Ted but Terrific Ted and Texas Ted
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,987
    Tim_B said:

    I've lost track of what's happening in the governors races

    Democrats have gained 2 for sure, and look to gain another 4. So, they'll be +6 against an expected +8.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    Romney speaking in Utah having been elected its Senator
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,987
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    CNN - Lyin ted wins
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    North Dakota has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since LBJ probably explains why the Democrats lost it, their victory last time there was a fluke
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.

    He's too liberal. He's like Gillum
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,928
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,597
    Tim_B said:

    Quincel said:

    Nigelb said:

    I wonder how reliable a Republican vote Romney will be in the Senate ?

    I suspect highly. My guess is he replaces Jeff Flake as the senator who talks a big game but votes on party lines.
    He and Trump seem to have made up. Trump campaigned for him. Even said he wasn't lyin Ted but Terrific Ted and Texas Ted
    But if a liar says you’re not a liar...

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,004
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
    West Virginia voted for Dukakis and Bill Clinton
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,597
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.

    Pfffft.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    This is all going to come down to CA again?
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    rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
    West Virginia voted for Dukakis and Bill Clinton
    WV was historically blue-collar union-worker Democrat. It’s only fairly recently moved firmly into the red column with Trump having sealed the deal.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
    West Virginia voted for Dukakis and Bill Clinton
    Dukakis has been all over the networks this evening. No Willie Horton though. Lindsey Graham points out the Utah victory party will be without alcohol or caffeine.
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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949
    So if the GOP had held the House, does anyone know who the speaker would have been? Paul Ryan being retiring, presumably there were some people in line to run.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    Tim_B said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
    West Virginia voted for Dukakis and Bill Clinton
    Dukakis has been all over the networks this evening. No Willie Horton though. Lindsey Graham points out the Utah victory party will be without alcohol or caffeine.
    Sounds like a right blast....
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Quincel said:

    So if the GOP had held the House, does anyone know who the speaker would have been? Paul Ryan being retiring, presumably there were some people in line to run.

    Kevin Brady maybe?
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,150
    Tim_B said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.

    He's too liberal. He's like Gillum
    Do you think a more moderate Dem could have run TX closer?
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,987
    Tim_B said:

    This is all going to come down to CA again?

    Nah, it's a fairly comfortable Democratic House gain in the end.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    edmundintokyo said:

    Tim_B said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.

    He's too liberal. He's like Gillum
    Do you think a more moderate Dem could have run TX closer?
    It's an encouraging result for the Dems in the long-term. Texas is slowly turning blue due to the rising immigrant population and inward migration from other states like CA.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edmundintokyo said:

    Tim_B said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    And cnn back to o’rourke POTUS boosting.

    He's too liberal. He's like Gillum
    Do you think a more moderate Dem could have run TX closer?
    Yes. and FL and GA. All were very liberal.
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    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    rpjs said:

    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    CNN Projects GOP have gained North Dakota Senate seat

    Why did the incumbent Democrat lose? (Apart from not getting enough votes).
    Because North Dakota is an incredibly Republican place
    So is West Virginia ! I'd say the only state where a Democrat could probably never ever win is Wyoming.
    West Virginia voted for Dukakis and Bill Clinton
    WV was historically blue-collar union-worker Democrat. It’s only fairly recently moved firmly into the red column with Trump having sealed the deal.
    It went for Bush in 2000 too and cost Gore the election!
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    QuincelQuincel Posts: 3,949
    Early days, but Steve King in Iowa-4th is 3-4% behind with 6% reporting. Early days, but not the very first votes in.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    There is a Yoder in Kansas!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,928
    I *think* Arizona will go blue. Hopefully this is better than my FL prediction !

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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    GOP gains PA14
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    GOP wins OH gov
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    Looks like the Dems will hang onto MT but lose MO
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341
    Looks like the polls in IN were way off - the GOP will likely win by 10 points.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Gillum has conceded FL
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    NEWsom wins CA gov
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Hawley wins MO senate
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    On CNN Van Jones claims this is a wave and subpoenas are coming.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    and with that goodnight all
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tim_B said:

    and with that goodnight all

    Goodnight, thanks for the comments/analysis.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967
    New thread...
This discussion has been closed.