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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets it’s now a 74% chance that TMay will go

SystemSystem Posts: 11,002
edited March 2019 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets it’s now a 74% chance that TMay will go this year

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Comments

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,840
    First.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,840
    Like....God knows who.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    PMQs...This is a waste of time.
  • This is so exciting
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,401
    Dear Tezzie: I've got a long extension in the garage if you want to borrow it.
  • Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,840
    May now saying House has indulged itself on Europe for too long. Need to concentrate on other things. Unbelievable.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,704
    This is just shambolic on all sides...
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,480
    edited March 2019
    To re-post from the end of the last thread, as it's so important now. :

    61/39 in favour of remain over her deal is a huge margin.

    Parliament is not currently doing its representative job ; or rather the party machines that enable it to are not.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,697
    You tell em Theresa! :D
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    Someone, somewhere needs to get rid of May.
  • This is just shambolic on all sides...

    I think Labour are playing a good hand well. The Tories are a shambles and the Lib Dems will never be forgiven for their act of Tory enablement.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,540
    "This House has indulged itself on Europe for too long'.......The British people deserve better than this House has given them so far"

    I suspect voters might agree....
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    May just accused Corbyn of undermining democracy by supporting a 2nd referendum. A few minutes ago she accused him of not actually supporting a 2nd referendum.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,136

    Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

    Provide only British food.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited March 2019
    Oh FFS....first it was Thomas the Tank engine, now its Fireman Sam that is (insert)-ist.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-47629489
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    "Disrespect democracy by holding a referendum." I always laugh at that one.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    It really is going to be no deal, isn't it.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,559
    malcolmg said:
    lol

    hes got a better negotiating position that HoC, at least he knows what he wants
  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

    Provide only British food.
    Provide food?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,789
    May is now saying that “murderers and rapists” will evade justice if parliament doesn’t vote for her deal. Trumpian.
  • "This House has indulged itself on Europe for too long'.......The British people deserve better than this House has given them so far"

    I suspect voters might agree....

    I do, they need to crack on and sort it instead of droning on about it. The Tories have been rabid about the EU and Europe before the EU came into being for many a year. God knows why. They are tearing chunks out of each other.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766

    "This House has indulged itself on Europe for too long'.......The British people deserve better than this House has given them so far"

    I suspect voters might agree....

    The British people, or at least 52% of them are getting exactly what they deserve, and this is only the start of it.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Odd that May keeps attacking Corbyn for wanting a 2nd referendum and/or not respecting the result of the first one, whereas the reality is that he is alienating his supporters for the exact opposite reason.
  • Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

    Provide only British food.
    As long as it is halal. That will really wind the Brexiteers up.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,789

    "This House has indulged itself on Europe for too long'.......The British people deserve better than this House has given them so far"

    I suspect voters might agree....

    You mean the House should give them a better Prime Minister?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    She is giving a voice to the exasperated. Not the daftest thing to do
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited March 2019

    Odd that May keeps attacking Corbyn for wanting a 2nd referendum and/or not respecting the result of the first one, whereas the reality is that he is alienating his supporters for the exact opposite reason.

    It was a very odd attack. The obvious attack was he doesn't want more than 3 months either, but his approach is to go for super rare unicorn poop, rather than just standard unicorn poop.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    Odd that May keeps attacking Corbyn for wanting a 2nd referendum and/or not respecting the result of the first one, whereas the reality is that he is alienating his supporters for the exact opposite reason.

    The uncommitted target can be attacked on multiple fronts
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,349
    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,232

    "This House has indulged itself on Europe for too long'.......The British people deserve better than this House has given them so far"

    I suspect voters might agree....

    I do, they need to crack on and sort it instead of droning on about it. The Tories have been rabid about the EU and Europe before the EU came into being for many a year. God knows why. They are tearing chunks out of each other.
    Someone needs to tell them to stop banging on about Europe and also find a way of ensuring they don't.
  • Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

    Provide only British food.
    Provide no food at all. Or perhaps slightly less each day until the white smoke finally appears above Big Ben.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    May has a wobbly voice in response to the downright reckless quote.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    CD13 said:

    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.

    There is one thing vegans never do, keep it a secret....
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    If her Remainer cabinet members don't resign over this, it shows how utterly craven they are.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,092
    TM has my support.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,840
    Her only argument in favour of her Deal now seems to be that you have to vote for it, cos you have to vote for it.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766

    Odd that May keeps attacking Corbyn for wanting a 2nd referendum and/or not respecting the result of the first one, whereas the reality is that he is alienating his supporters for the exact opposite reason.

    How long can politicians, in particular those on the Tory benches, keep this crap about respecting the 2016 referendum up? The facts are changed. Significantly. If they are so convinced that they still have support for this lunacy why are they terrified of the electorate?
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,092
    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".
  • SeanTSeanT Posts: 549
    *opens popcorn, soaks it in gin*
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,401
    Scott_P said:
    Yes - like I said on the last thread!
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    edited March 2019
    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    Oh God the king in the f*cking north is awake, can't those white walkers get a move on?!
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Which would you rather have, if you could one or other but not both: the things you wanted in 2016, or the things you want today?

    Why is that even a question?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,540
    May very clearly saying that 'As Prime Minister' she won't go beyond June 30 - resignation hint?
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    They are going to invade?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,674

    malcolmg said:
    lol

    hes got a better negotiating position that HoC, at least he knows what he wants
    Should get him over to Brussels pronto
  • Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,559

    Odd that May keeps attacking Corbyn for wanting a 2nd referendum and/or not respecting the result of the first one, whereas the reality is that he is alienating his supporters for the exact opposite reason.

    How long can politicians, in particular those on the Tory benches, keep this crap about respecting the 2016 referendum up? The facts are changed. Significantly. If they are so convinced that they still have support for this lunacy why are they terrified of the electorate?
    because they want to keep their seats

  • geoffw said:

    TM has my support.

    I think quite a few on here will be very surprised at how popular in the electorate is the way she is framing this.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,575
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Which would you rather have, if you could one or other but not both: the things you wanted in 2016, or the things you want today?

    Why is that even a question?

    I presume because of this ?

    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1108000807948111873
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,674

    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    Oh God the king in the f*cking north is awake, can't those white walkers get a move on?!
    At least we will get our second referendum
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,960
    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    To pass the Deal, and ensure we Leave on time, right?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766
    CD13 said:

    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.

    I have only ever met a few vegans. Those that I have looked malnourished and pasty whilst having the most revolting air of pious sanctimony that puts them on a par with the most self-righteous religious nutcase.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,401
    "Minister for Equalities" outed as a homophobe. You couldn't make it up!
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,960

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    What's today's new story?

    Come to that, what was yesterday's?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,846

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274

    CD13 said:

    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.

    I have only ever met a few vegans. Those that I have looked malnourished and pasty whilst having the most revolting air of pious sanctimony that puts them on a par with the most self-righteous religious nutcase.
    For many it appears to be a religious cult.
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    malcolmg said:

    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    Oh God the king in the f*cking north is awake, can't those white walkers get a move on?!
    At least we will get our second referendum
    Game on!
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,401
    It is reassuring to know that the Tories have still got time to be The Nasty Party in addition to fecking up Brexit.

    Multitasking.
  • Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    "Remoaner" !!!

    I didn't vote Remain mate.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Whether intentional or not, the only story journo's are discussing now is whether May will quit if the deal doesn't pass
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,019

    CD13 said:

    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.

    I have only ever met a few vegans. Those that I have looked malnourished and pasty whilst having the most revolting air of pious sanctimony that puts them on a par with the most self-righteous religious nutcase.
    For many it appears to be a religious cult.
    Unlike the vast majority of vegetarians they also want to hector you rather than just quietly exercise a personal lifestyle choice.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,401
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766

    Cancel all normal business of the House, and none of them gets to leave until they sort this bloody shambles out. Provide adequate food.

    Provide only British food.
    As long as it is halal. That will really wind the Brexiteers up.
    A diet of compulsory sauerkraut, snails and frogs legs might speed up their deliberations.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    geoffw said:

    TM has my support.

    I think quite a few on here will be very surprised at how popular in the electorate is the way she is framing this.
    I'm afraid only we political junkies watch PMQs.
  • "Minister for Equalities" outed as a homophobe. You couldn't make it up!

    I think you mean Andrea Leadsom's comments not the Minister for Equalities
  • CD13 said:

    Mr Urquhart,

    I can honestly say I've never met a vegan in this neck of the woods. I suppose there must be a few, keeping their guilty secret hidden. The vice that dare not speak its name. It must be a Southern affliction, but obviously part of life's rich tapestry.

    Fortunately, my daughter didn't marry one.

    I have only ever met a few vegans. Those that I have looked malnourished and pasty whilst having the most revolting air of pious sanctimony that puts them on a par with the most self-righteous religious nutcase.
    For many it appears to be a religious cult.
    Yes, the lunatic fringe. I am vegan during the week. I despise the messianic cultists as one gets tarred with that brush.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,136

    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    They are going to invade?
    They will be welcomed by the populace, no turning back at Derby this time.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,575

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    "Remoaner" !!!

    I didn't vote Remain mate.
    You are clearly not respecting your own vote in 2016, then... disgraceful !
    :smile:
  • geoffw said:

    TM has my support.

    I think quite a few on here will be very surprised at how popular in the electorate is the way she is framing this.
    I'm afraid only we political junkies watch PMQs.
    It is widely played on the news channels and on line
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Scott_P said:
    So today May offers ERGers two good reasons not to vote for her deal: A much bigger likelihood of No Deal, and her resignation. What on earth is she thinking?
  • dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    They are going to invade?
    They will be welcomed by the populace, no turning back at Derby this time.
    Dudley Bradstreet is long since dead, nobody to provide false Intel this time
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,614
    edited March 2019
    Can't we just lock the doors to Parliament, and send in nothing but bread and water until they can collectively decide what to do next - followed by an election where the current 650 MPs are all barred from standing?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Nigelb said:

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    "Remoaner" !!!

    I didn't vote Remain mate.
    You are clearly not respecting your own vote in 2016, then... disgraceful !
    :smile:
    :lol:
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    "Remoaner" !!!

    I didn't vote Remain mate.
    Hilarious! Welcome to the world of Richard Tyndall. If you are not shining up the buttons on your blackshirt you are obviously a "Remoaner" . When are the more twattish end of the Brexit apologists going to think of a slightly less childish epithet for those people they don't agree with?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,614
    Scott_P said:
    Looks like No Deal on May 23rd then. Two months to prepare for it.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,540
    Finally! A grown up asking sensible questions. Ken Clarke, of course.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,712

    To re-post from the end of the last thread, as it's so important now. :

    61/39 in favour of remain over her deal is a huge margin.

    Parliament is not currently doing its representative job ; or rather the party machines that enable it to are not.

    Polling yesterday showed more support for EEA than Remain or No Deal
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,069

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    "Remoaner" !!!

    I didn't vote Remain mate.
    Hilarious! Welcome to the world of Richard Tyndall. If you are not shining up the buttons on your blackshirt you are obviously a "Remoaner" . When are the more twattish end of the Brexit apologists going to think of a slightly less childish epithet for those people they don't agree with?
    Personally, I prefer Remaniac :)
  • EEA is a million miles away from the current trajectory of the Tory party, and Labour are doing nothng to facilitate it.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,789
    HYUFD said:

    To re-post from the end of the last thread, as it's so important now. :

    61/39 in favour of remain over her deal is a huge margin.

    Parliament is not currently doing its representative job ; or rather the party machines that enable it to are not.

    Polling yesterday showed more support for EEA than Remain or No Deal
    Which poll? Someone posted one from 2018.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,840

    Finally! A grown up asking sensible questions. Ken Clarke, of course.

    And like all the others, not getting an answer!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,712
    malcolmg said:

    geoffw said:

    Blackford: "If Westminster fails, Scotland will act".

    Oh God the king in the f*cking north is awake, can't those white walkers get a move on?!
    At least we will get our second referendum
    Not if May takes some tips from the Spanish Government over Catalonia which she may well do
  • Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:
    Looks like No Deal on May 23rd then. Two months to prepare for it.
    Or the long grass.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,766
    HYUFD said:

    To re-post from the end of the last thread, as it's so important now. :

    61/39 in favour of remain over her deal is a huge margin.

    Parliament is not currently doing its representative job ; or rather the party machines that enable it to are not.

    Polling yesterday showed more support for EEA than Remain or No Deal
    That doesn't surprise me. It would be the most sensible compromise
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,084

    Clearly the appetite for Brexit is no longer there and it must be cancelled. I cannot see how it is tenable any more. Every day a new story about how leave lied and cheated. This is not democracy. It is a disgrace.

    The disgrace is Remoaners like you using every scare story and every delay to try and overturn the largest democratic vote in British history.
    A fine illustration of the depths to which this flawed project has reduced our debate.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,712

    HYUFD said:

    To re-post from the end of the last thread, as it's so important now. :

    61/39 in favour of remain over her deal is a huge margin.

    Parliament is not currently doing its representative job ; or rather the party machines that enable it to are not.

    Polling yesterday showed more support for EEA than Remain or No Deal
    Which poll? Someone posted one from 2018.
    And little has changed since
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623

    Finally! A grown up asking sensible questions. Ken Clarke, of course.

    Sadly, no grown up answer.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    It was an open goal and tbf Jezza slotted it in.
This discussion has been closed.