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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » HealthSec Hancock edges up in the betting for next CON leader

SystemSystem Posts: 11,018
edited April 2019 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » HealthSec Hancock edges up in the betting for next CON leader and PM

Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange

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  • Options
    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038
    Good afternoon
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,203
    Astonishing that Johnson, a backbencher with a failed period as Foreign Secretary his only notable achievement - if that is the right word - since becoming an MP again, should be at the top of this list.

    Oh - and am I first?
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,203
    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,265
    Third like Boris
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,110
    Hancock edges up from background noise to noise......
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,110
    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    How's the Finger of Doom?
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,980
    Good afternoon, everyone.

    Mordaunt's clearly the best option*.

    *For my wallet.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,832
    Cyclefree said:

    Astonishing that Johnson, a backbencher with a failed period as Foreign Secretary his only notable achievement - if that is the right word - since becoming an MP again, should be at the top of this list.

    Oh - and am I first?

    Like Jeremy Thorpe, he is a man of unblemished reputation.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,916
    Apologies if this is old news, but is Lord Ashcroft funding the Brexit Party? He is rounding up the troops on Twitter today
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,597
    Yesterday, Matt Hancock spoke at the same event as me. Today, his odds as next PM are up. Do the maths yourselves.

    I am available for bookings.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    Yesterday, Matt Hancock spoke at the same event as me. Today, his odds as next PM are up. Do the maths yourselves.

    I am available for bookings.

    But how did the odds on you shift?
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660
    Cyclefree said:

    No - how sad. :(

    Never mind: Gardeners' Question Time on soon. :)

    Thanks for the reminder - just switched it on!
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,832
    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930
    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.
  • Options
    nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    The DUP nutjobs now moaning about no deal being taken off the table . What a reprehensible bunch of vile bigots who want the return of a hard border .
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660
    JRM on R4 "The EU should be careful for what it wishes for."

    Don't they teach any grammar at Eton?
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578
    nico67 said:

    The DUP nutjobs now moaning about no deal being taken off the table . What a reprehensible bunch of vile bigots who want the return of a hard border .

    NEVER NEVER NEVER
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,204
    I am on Hancock. But I do wonder how he would win the member's vote.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,204
    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,110
    Sean_F said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
    I do wonder how much was a personal vote for May for buggering on regardless. She is short of fans on here, but out there, maybe there are people who are quietly cheering her on? As such, it is not part of the Tory vote - but could still be a factor if we get a by-election in Peterborough and she is still in Number 10.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    For some reason, Jacob Rees-Mogg is far shorter to be next Prime Minister than to be next leader of the Conservative party. I'm trying and failing to imagine the circumstances in which an odds differential that way round might be justified.
  • Options
    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    I am on Hancock. But I do wonder how he would win the member's vote.

    Do I spot a double entendre there?
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,735

    JRM on R4 "The EU should be careful for what it wishes for."

    Don't they teach any grammar at Eton?

    "In this ever-changing world in which we live in": "Live and Let Die", lyrics by Paul McCartney.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,975
    Sean_F said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Astonishing that Johnson, a backbencher with a failed period as Foreign Secretary his only notable achievement - if that is the right word - since becoming an MP again, should be at the top of this list.

    Oh - and am I first?

    Like Jeremy Thorpe, he is a man of unblemished reputation.
    Jeremy T was, I believe entirely faithful to his wives, so far as affairs with ladies were concerned.
  • Options
    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    For some reason, Jacob Rees-Mogg is far shorter to be next Prime Minister than to be next leader of the Conservative party. I'm trying and failing to imagine the circumstances in which an odds differential that way round might be justified.

    So, you don't see him as the obvious leader of a government of national unity?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    Who would have to agree that plan? And is it, in fact, a plan or is it just an ERG wish?
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,832

    Sean_F said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Astonishing that Johnson, a backbencher with a failed period as Foreign Secretary his only notable achievement - if that is the right word - since becoming an MP again, should be at the top of this list.

    Oh - and am I first?

    Like Jeremy Thorpe, he is a man of unblemished reputation.
    Jeremy T was, I believe entirely faithful to his wives, so far as affairs with ladies were concerned.
    That's a fine lawyer's answer.
  • Options
    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    For some reason, Jacob Rees-Mogg is far shorter to be next Prime Minister than to be next leader of the Conservative party. I'm trying and failing to imagine the circumstances in which an odds differential that way round might be justified.

    So, you don't see him as the obvious leader of a government of national unity?
    Not a gnuther gnu?
  • Options
    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,704

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    Sean_F said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
    I do wonder how much was a personal vote for May for buggering on regardless. She is short of fans on here, but out there, maybe there are people who are quietly cheering her on? As such, it is not part of the Tory vote - but could still be a factor if we get a by-election in Peterborough and she is still in Number 10.
    I think that's a good point - quite a few people, Leave and Remain, respect her perseverance imo.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    For some reason, Jacob Rees-Mogg is far shorter to be next Prime Minister than to be next leader of the Conservative party. I'm trying and failing to imagine the circumstances in which an odds differential that way round might be justified.

    So, you don't see him as the obvious leader of a government of national unity?
    I'm afraid I would send this particular would-be Cincinnatus back to his plough.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,980
    Mr. Viewcode, point of order: lyrics are able to take advantage of poetic licence.
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,265
    Sean_F said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
    There's been a swing toward them in Wales over recent years that doesn't carry across to England
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,327
    Not sure it does Hancock's chances much good to describe him as an Osborne protégé.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,327
    Sean_F said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
    If the Deal had gone through, yes.

    At present, I expect the Tory vote to splinter sufficiently to "send a message" that results in a Labour win.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781
    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    What's Fortnite?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,962

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    I'm not addicted to PB... I could quit anytime I want... :cold_sweat:
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781
    RobD said:

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    I'm not addicted to PB... I could quit anytime I want... :cold_sweat:
    Shit, hang on, I forgot to feed the kids for the last three days
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited April 2019
    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited April 2019
    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    What's Fortnite?
    It is an addictive online game played by members of the Royal family
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    Its all about the Apex Legends these days.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,204

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
  • Options

    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....

    Sunday.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    Sean_F said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories should be favourites to win Peterborough after the Newport result.

    In current circumstances, I'm amazed the Conservative vote share was down only 1% on 2015.
    I do wonder how much was a personal vote for May for buggering on regardless. She is short of fans on here, but out there, maybe there are people who are quietly cheering her on? As such, it is not part of the Tory vote - but could still be a factor if we get a by-election in Peterborough and she is still in Number 10.
    Yes I think a lot of people, women particularly, think she is trying her best and it's all those stupid MPs who are putting a spoke in things. There's quite a lot of sympathy, which she doesn't really deserve IMO but it's there all the same. And it could well be lost by a new Tory leader.

  • Options
    Harris_TweedHarris_Tweed Posts: 1,300
    viewcode said:

    JRM on R4 "The EU should be careful for what it wishes for."

    Don't they teach any grammar at Eton?

    "In this ever-changing world in which we live in": "Live and Let Die", lyrics by Paul McCartney.
    Always thought that one could easily have been fixed by "in which we're living".
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....

    Sunday.
    Fight...fight...fight...fight....
  • Options

    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....

    Sunday.
    Fight...fight...fight...fight....
    I might delay a thread on AV for it.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,814
    If that waste of space Hancock becomes PM I'm going to chain myself to something... :D
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    viewcode said:

    JRM on R4 "The EU should be careful for what it wishes for."

    Don't they teach any grammar at Eton?

    "In this ever-changing world in which we live in": "Live and Let Die", lyrics by Paul McCartney.
    Always thought that one could easily have been fixed by "in which we're living".
    I suspect JRM was going to say "The EU should be careful for what it wishes", and added the final 'for' to avoid sounding too posh.

    The end result is the sort of language up with which we will not put.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....

    Sunday.
    Fight...fight...fight...fight....
    I might delay a thread on AV for it.
    Use of AV in the Anglo-Saxon Witenagemot?
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,956

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    St.Helens is the boundary. Some (Johnny Vegas) have distinctly Lancashire accents. Others obviously Scouse.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,980
    Mr. Urquhart, Westminster is politics' answer to Anthem.
  • Options

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Now that Manchester United are managed by a boyhood Liverpool fan perhaps we can see some reconciliation between the two cities.

    Although given Manchester United’s overwhelmingly Southern England fan base I’m not that optimistic.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    Its all about the Apex Legends these days.
    Yea, but this is the Royals, you cant expect even Harry to be that up to date!
  • Options
    DougSealDougSeal Posts: 11,137
    edited April 2019

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    I always assumed that the unique Scouse accent was due to it being virtually an Irish colony. It even returned an Irish Nationalist MP until (I think) 1919. Manchester has a strong Irish influence too of course but you can still hear the underlying Lancashire.

    I grew up in Reading before moving aged 10 to a village between Canterbury and Whitstable. Trying to iron out my Berkshire infused East Kent estuary into RP at Oxford has left me with a horrible bastard hybrid that means I get mistaken for Australian far more often than I’d like.
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781

    What no new thread on the influence of the Vikings as opposed to the Romans on our legal system....

    Sunday.
    But I don't like Spam
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    Mr. Urquhart, Westminster is politics' answer to Anthem.

    Unfortunately, unlike Anthem, we can't just ignore it and hope it goes away and dies quietly without hurting anybody.
  • Options
    mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    The question is; is this site more or less addictive than Fortnite if you are a political nerd?

    Less loot boxes.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    edited April 2019

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    20 miles from Carlisle to Lockerbie. Accents are poles apart. 'Course it's only 5 miles to Gretna, but the accents there are a weird mash up of flat northern and lilting scottish.
  • Options
    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited April 2019
    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.
  • Options
    DougSeal said:

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    I always assumed that the unique Scouse accent was due to it being virtually an Irish colony. It even returned an Irish Nationalist MP until (I think) 1919. Manchester has a strong Irish influence too of course but you can still hear the underlying Lancashire.

    I grew up in Reading before moving aged 10 to a village between Canterbury and Whitstable. Trying to iron out my Berkshire infused East Kent estuary into RP at Oxford has left me with a horrible bastard hybrid that means I get mistaken for Australian far more often than I’d like.
    When I first spoke to Mike Smithson he thought I was a Manc.

    I’ve never been more offended.

    I have a hybrid accent. When I spend a lot of time in Sheffield I turn into a proper Tyke and drop the c bomb every time I say the word can’t.
  • Options
    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Shame - will miss your forthright views, even though I agree with pretty much none of them. :wink:

    I suspect you could take a long break and still come back to "nothing has changed" - but don't stay away too long!
  • Options
    MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Or say something bad about Radiohead....
  • Options

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Or say something bad about Radiohead....
    Whilst eating a pizza with pineapple on it.
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786

    DougSeal said:

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    I always assumed that the unique Scouse accent was due to it being virtually an Irish colony. It even returned an Irish Nationalist MP until (I think) 1919. Manchester has a strong Irish influence too of course but you can still hear the underlying Lancashire.

    I grew up in Reading before moving aged 10 to a village between Canterbury and Whitstable. Trying to iron out my Berkshire infused East Kent estuary into RP at Oxford has left me with a horrible bastard hybrid that means I get mistaken for Australian far more often than I’d like.
    When I first spoke to Mike Smithson he thought I was a Manc.

    I’ve never been more offended.

    I have a hybrid accent. When I spend a lot of time in Sheffield I turn into a proper Tyke and drop the c bomb every time I say the word can’t.
    Anyone west of the Wash and south of the waveney sounds like a right weirdo. The west country guys get it almost right, but they hint loik the bors round hairabouts
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,660

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    ... or eat pizza with pinapple on top.
  • Options
    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Pineapple on pizza naughty?
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,814

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Au revoir :)
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781
    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    Not army firing ranges though!
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    I wish I'd had that idea about 5 years ago.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,554
    viewcode said:

    JRM on R4 "The EU should be careful for what it wishes for."

    Don't they teach any grammar at Eton?

    "In this ever-changing world in which we live in": "Live and Let Die", lyrics by Paul McCartney.
    Both clearly suffer from extreme short term memory deficit.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,814
    Arlene could pull the plug on this shit show whenever she wants of course...
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Or say something bad about Radiohead....
    Who ?!?
  • Options
    brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315
    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    You have something in common with Sarah Palin - as Piers recent interview with her was a little awkward. He isn’t really though as he says things many people agree with but are too afraid to say.

    Worth remembering though with Piers is that the more you get offended by him, the more ratings he gets and the more GMB pays him! He thrives professionally and monetarily on controversy.

  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    JackW said:

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    To be banned you have to be REALLY NAUGHTY
    Or say something bad about Radiohead....
    Who ?!?
    Good answer.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,980
    See you soon, Mr. Thompson.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,956
    Anorak said:

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    20 miles from Carlisle to Lockerbie. Accents are poles apart. 'Course it's only 5 miles to Gretna, but the accents there are a weird mash up of flat northern and lilting scottish.
    Alnwick to Berwick also.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Or say something bad about Radiohead....

    Say something true about Radiohead...
  • Options
    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Scott_P said:

    Or say something bad about Radiohead....

    Say something true about Radiohead...
    Thom Yorkes lazy eye is uber 90s retro imagery
  • Options
    Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 13,781
    brendan16 said:

    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    You have something in common with Sarah Palin - as Piers recent interview with her was a little awkward. He isn’t really though as he says things many people agree with but are too afraid to say.

    Worth remembering though with Piers is that the more you get offended by him, the more ratings he gets and the more GMB pays him! He thrives professionally and monetarily on controversy.

    A professional contrarian. A bit like Jeremy Corbyn, but with brains.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,554
    brendan16 said:

    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    You have something in common with Sarah Palin - as Piers recent interview with her was a little awkward. He isn’t really though as he says things many people agree with but are too afraid to say.

    Worth remembering though with Piers is that the more you get offended by him, the more ratings he gets and the more GMB pays him! He thrives professionally and monetarily on controversy.

    I'm puzzled by his appeal, either positive or negative. From the little I've read about him, he's simply tedious.
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    brendan16 said:

    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    You have something in common with Sarah Palin - as Piers recent interview with her was a little awkward. He isn’t really though as he says things many people agree with but are too afraid to say.

    Worth remembering though with Piers is that the more you get offended by him, the more ratings he gets and the more GMB pays him! He thrives professionally and monetarily on controversy.

    Hence the Piers Morgan game. Every time you think of Piers Morgan, you lose.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,956
    DougSeal said:

    AndyJS said:

    @Pulpstar - Coventry/Warwickshire accents - absolutely. There are a few.

    Where I used to live in Southam the accent was very flat, much more east Midlands than west. Coventry definitely has its own accent. My wife was born in Princethorpe, a tiny village halfway between Leamington and Roog-be (Rugby). She has no accent as such but her pronunciations of words (pub, grass, etc) are much more northern than southern. And there are specific words you never hear in London.

    It's interesting how much accents change over relatively short distances in that general area.
    Manchester vs Liverpool I always find quite incredible. 20-30 miles in lots of areas results in only slight differences, which usually only locals can really pick upon, between those two cities it is so distinct even those not from the UK can easily spot them.
    Yes, that's always puzzled me too.

    It must be one of the most pronounced (sorry!) differences across a short distance. All the more baffling given the long history of trade and transport between the two cities.
    I always assumed that the unique Scouse accent was due to it being virtually an Irish colony. It even returned an Irish Nationalist MP until (I think) 1919. Manchester has a strong Irish influence too of course but you can still hear the underlying Lancashire.

    I grew up in Reading before moving aged 10 to a village between Canterbury and Whitstable. Trying to iron out my Berkshire infused East Kent estuary into RP at Oxford has left me with a horrible bastard hybrid that means I get mistaken for Australian far more often than I’d like.
    The Scouse of Stevie Gerrard is a relatively recent phenomenon. Even in the sixties it was far more similar to other Lancashire accents. Listen to the young Beatles. Apart from John, they were very working class, but they don't have the d sound for th, nor the k sound pronounced as in "loch".
    My only explanation is that the decline of port traffic and heavy emigration and unemployment led to isolation. Which often breeds stronger accents.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578
    Anorak said:

    The big issue with betting on this market, is that there are rumours that a plan may be hatched to put FOUR candidates to the membership.

    That changes the betting dynamics considerably I think.

    Surely Boris would be one of the four and then would win a landslide with members?

    that worked so well for labour when Jezza was one of the four...

    It's dangerous. Pandering to the small membership doesn't make for broad support in the country,
    Also, if the Tories retain the approach where MPs can no-confidence the leader who then cannot re-stand it might be a short-lived victory for Boris.
    Pretty sure Boris will have thought that one through.
    Boris is probably the most hated man in Europe at the moment. He would be an even more divisive leader than Jeremy Corbyn.
    What, more than Piers Morgan? A man hated by all and sundry in all corners of the world. A man adorning dart boards from Vladivostok to Johannesburg.
    OK I give you Piers Morgan. A truly ghastly individual. Perhaps I should have said Boris is the most hated politician in Europe. Which I think is unquestionably true.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,554
    Arlene 'motes and beams' Foster.
  • Options
    anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578

    I just wanted to write to say see you later to everyone. Spending too much time addicted to this site and not enough time getting my work done so requested TSE to temporarily ban me. Will request the ban to be lifted once I've got my work completed. Hopefully it will be before Brexit but that may not be saying much!

    Have fun and good luck everyone. Bye for now.

    Byeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    That's a bit of an odd spin on what Lisa Nandy said!
    Nandy can be safely disregarded whatever she said. Even more than most she hints st going one way or the other then does something else.
This discussion has been closed.