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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two party politics is still with us, except this time the two
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two party politics is still with us, except this time the two parties are the Brexit Party and the Lib Dems
D'Hondt rush to judgment on the Euros results.
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> First like TBP.
SPOILERS
> https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1132759066856624135
As results go, that's not too bad for them
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132758897431928834
Jeez... Emily Thornberry telling it like it is.
(For those not watching on BBC - says basically Labour unclear on Brexit and should now back a 2nd Ref, and should then campaign to Remain)
> Thornberry on the move.
A funny night just got funnier.
I might overdose on popcorn.....
> https://twitter.com/lbrut/status/1132755462053609472?s=21
Lab edge it over CUK by 1 vote
Corbyn facing open rebellion.
> Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
I'd be amazed if the seats in the NE aren't 1 Brexit, 1 Lab, 1 LD.
> > @RobD said:
> > Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
>
> I'd be amazed if the seats in the NE aren't 1 Brexit, 1 Lab, 1 LD.
It's 2 Brexit, 1 Lab.
Gain 2 seats
> Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
https://twitter.com/helenpidd/status/1132758940226392067
And Labour were damn close to losing that one as well.
Brian Monteith (Brexit)
John Tennant (Brexit)
Jude Kirton-Darling (Labour)
https://twitter.com/BBCRichardMoss/status/1132759832291872769
> > @RobD said:
> > Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
>
> I'd be amazed if the seats in the NE aren't 1 Brexit, 1 Lab, 1 LD.
TBP won the first two seats, Labour the third.
Lib Dem: 36% (+29)
Brexit: 17% (+2 vs UKIP)
Labour: 14% (-8)
Conservative: 13% (-29)
Green: 9% (+1)
CHUK: 7% (+7)
https://twitter.com/notclinthurst/status/1132754474496352262
> How did the Tories manage to come fourth in Hillingdon?
Four words: David, Cameron, Theresa and May.
So, messages from the parties tonight
BXP - The establishment has been defeated, and we must leave with no deal
LDs - The establishment (not us, we promise) has been defeated, and we must remain
LAB - Look, don't blame us ok, we did better than the Tories at least
Con - *sobs quietly* leave me along, alright?
Green - even though we came behind another remain party, clearly we are the voice of the people
UKIP - When you think about it, BXP just copied us so we really came top
CUK - I am proud to be a member of the LDs.
Winners by geographic area matter in a FPTP General Election though.
> Kensington & Chelsea
>
> Lib Dem: 36% (+29)
> Brexit: 17% (+2 vs UKIP)
> Labour: 14% (-8)
> Conservative: 13% (-29)
> Green: 9% (+1)
> CHUK: 7% (+7)
The Lib Dems are storming in certain seats, and not only in those as affluent as this one.
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132759955415752709
Surprised — I thought the LDs would sneak one.
> What a grim day to live in the North East.
I know, to have a Labour MEP must be a real downer.
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132758897431928834
> @AndyJS said:
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132758897431928834
Redbridge. Home of Mike Gapes' huge personal vote...Change UK not even registering a score in many of these.
> Quick question. Has Brexit come less than first anywhere? Everybody's going "Oooh, the Libs/Greens are doing well and Con/Lab badly", but this level of success for Brexit is quite large. If this was FPTP they'd annihilate the oposition.
Nige has been there done that with Ukip but still could not win a Westminster teeshirt.
The extreme right are on the march here in the UK. Be afraid, be very afraid!
https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1132758581462405128
> Quick question. Has Brexit come less than first anywhere? Everybody's going "Oooh, the Libs/Greens are doing well and Con/Lab badly", but this level of success for Brexit is quite large. If this was FPTP they'd annihilate the oposition.
London and Scotland.
> While fascism is on the wane in Europe, it's rearing its ugly head here in the UK.
>
> The extreme right are on the march here in the UK. Be afraid, be very afraid!
>
And here we go with fascism again.... it really does get tedious.
> > @RobD said:
> > Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
>
> https://twitter.com/helenpidd/status/1132758940226392067
Brexit about 43% in the North East?
> > @viewcode said:
> > Quick question. Has Brexit come less than first anywhere? Everybody's going "Oooh, the Libs/Greens are doing well and Con/Lab badly", but this level of success for Brexit is quite large. If this was FPTP they'd annihilate the oposition.
>
> Nige has been there done that with Ukip but still could not win a Westminster teeshirt.
This is different because it’s no longer an insurgency but a realignment. The two main parties are in big trouble.
> > @AndyJS said:
> > https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132758897431928834
>
> > @AndyJS said:
> > https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132758897431928834
>
> Redbridge. Home of Mike Gapes' huge personal vote...Change UK not even registering a score in many of these.
Labour is holding onto much of its non-white vote.
> > @Black_Rook said:
> > https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132759955415752709
>
> Surprised — I thought the LDs would sneak one.
Too little, too late - they would have got the seat if ChangeUK hadn't stood.
> https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1132761078352498689
Pliad, BXP, LD(?), Lab?
> > @Black_Rook said:
> > https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132759955415752709
>
> Surprised — I thought the LDs would sneak one.
https://twitter.com/seddonnews/status/1132759429936570368
Close but no cigar
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132761020525633536?s=21
That’s not Brian Monteith the former Tory MSP and Scotsman columnist?
UKIP 4% CUK 3%
> While fascism is on the wane in Europe, it's rearing its ugly head here in the UK.
>
> The extreme right are on the march here in the UK. Be afraid, be very afraid!
>
What extreme right is that?
> Lib Dems getting 17% but no seat in the NE, quite a threshold for a "PR" system
why should 17% get a seat when there are only 3 seats in the NE?
> Brexit 39% in NE.
> Gain 2 seats
Labour on 19% in the NE is staggering.
> While fascism is on the wane in Europe, it's rearing its ugly head here in the UK.
>
> The extreme right are on the march here in the UK. Be afraid, be very afraid!
>
Solid entertainment.
Brexit 240,056.
Lab 119,931
Lib Dems 104,330
Green 49,905
Con 42,395
> LD + GREEN higher than BXP at the moment according to BBC.
Shouldn't that be BXP+UKIP?
Thanks!!
> Nationwide now Brexit Party 31% LDs 20% Lab 17% Greens 12% Tories 7%
> UKIP 4% CUK 3%
There's more rural than urban to come, so I'd expect BRX to be up slightly from there. Staggered by the low C figure.
> Prezza tastic
>
> https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1132761020525633536
BXP plus ukip = more than 50%.
> > @Quincel said:
> > > @RobD said:
> > > Do we know the shares in the North East yet? How close was the third seat.
> >
> > https://twitter.com/helenpidd/status/1132758940226392067
>
> Brexit about 43% in the North East?
Does that equate to the North East region for the referendum, where about 70% voted Leave? If so, it might point to low 30s for Brexit overall.
(Ducks, runs for the door...
> LD + GREEN higher than BXP at the moment according to BBC.
>
> Higher than BP+UKIP? Surely that's the fair comparison.
They aren't, that's why they weren't included.
Brexit 31%
LD 20% (+12)
Lab 17% (-13)
Greens 12% (+4)
Con 7% (-12)
UKIP 4%
CHUK 3%
> While fascism is on the wane in Europe, it's rearing its ugly head here in the UK.
>
> The extreme right are on the march here in the UK. Be afraid, be very afraid!
>
Yawn
You seem less bothered about the hard left and anti semitism.