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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Focus on Wokingham where two ex-CON MPs are slugging it out ag
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Focus on Wokingham where two ex-CON MPs are slugging it out against each other
The Berkshire constituency of Wokingham is one of the most intriguing battle grounds at the General Election for it is where the veteran Brexiteer, John Redwood, is seeking to defend his seat against the remain backing former CON MP from the neighbouring constituency, Philip Lee. Redwood has been MP there since 1987.
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BT shareholders
Were labour trusted on the economy it would have a better chance of a hearing
Cannot fault that view
Also worth pointing out that Wokingham seat and Wokingham Borough are far from coterminous.
A large chunk of Wokingham Borough is in the Maidenhead seat (including Theresa May's house). Other chunks are in Bracknell Forest and Reading East.
In turn, Wokingham seat includes 3 wards from West Berkshire.
With no Brexit party candidate, I think Redwood should be fine. Electoral Calculus are currently giving him a 16k majority.
Should I cash out at £1.90?
Its a problem
Perhaps some in this organisation, as well as others who have soft pedalled on labour's attitude to business and private enterprise, can see themselves as the useful idiots McDonnell really takes them for.
Given how McDonnell wants to nationalize everything, cant be long until they promise free sky / bt sports....after being stolen the state.
Polling day now falls within the Met Office long range forecast period and they have this to say.
"Through early December, confidence remains very low but there could be a period of more settled weather across much of the UK. This would bring drier conditions for many through the day with a chance of frost and fog developing overnight."
You couldn't hope for a more benign forecast at this time of year, particularly with the ground so saturated.
As a business owner, McDonnell casual willingness to bust companies and steal for the state is genuinely scary. Not something i said about the two eds.
The Tories got 56.6% of the vote and have won an absolute majority of the vote in almost every election on record including 1997.
Doesn't look like a 50/50 swing seat to me.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/11/14/politics/michael-bloomberg-new-hampshire/index.html
(1) they have published favourable ones in the past
(2) these have not been published
(3) therefore they are not favourable
I forget which logical fallacy this is, but I’m pretty sure it’s a classic"
This is a basic non-sequitur: Affirming the consequent.
That's an over 20% swing being a 50/50 shot. Seriously? In how many other seats is there a 50/50 chance of having 40% majorities overturned?
I think they were better at pushing the £1.2tn cost of Labour's spending pledges last week... And given this Broadband madness that's looking a rather conservative estimate now...
Is this Labour's fake nurse?
2017 was of course post Brexit and though a lot has changed I think with the threat of a Corbyn government the Lib Dems are certainly not 50/50 to take this seat as much as you would like to hype it.
In my mind Lib Dems will be a close-ish 2nd but they needed a Brexit Party candidate and no Green in order to get the edge. Let's remember the constituency poll with BXP and it was Survation showing a Tory hold.
If any rock solid Tory held constituency were to go to the Lib Dems it would be Penrith - but it won't. Like Wokingham the Tory majority will still be over 10k in the next parliament.
Just a question of how much promising free stuff is too much, causing people to doubt t it.
There has to be an element of fox shooting here from labour. Somewhat ironically.
Clive Lewis placards are breeding locally. Still no green or LD effort/presence.
Lewis as it stands I predict over 50% and an easy hold. Will update when the others pull their fingers out but the greens are very slow off the mark for them, I sense they arent confident here despite the strong council presence. Awaiting my first canvass
Long Bailey looks to be the chosen one I'm thinking.
Where are their plans, beyond getting brexit done? where is their big offer? (especiallly to young people). It's nowhere, that's where. IF its coming, they are starting to leave it late.
Labour prefer paying for nationalisations than paying the NHS.
Long Bailey looks to be the chosen one I'm thinking."
Agreed - is she too young though? LP has a bee in its bonnet about electing a female - otherwise I`d say Starmer by a mile.
Cooper = lay
Bxp 276,they are not standing in 'some' seats, the hunt is on for which!
I can't wait. The hundreds of billions they've been spaffing around so far are hilarious enough, but it sounds as though we have even more lunacy to look forward to.
Hopefully reading too much into this but feeling a bit uneasy!
The lower middle class has seen stagnating wages / life improvements and with the tories just saying get brexit done, i am genuinely worried a bit like brexit people might go ahh f##k lets roll the dice.
https://youtu.be/e01G1E7myl4
At least I am only peddling old news rather than fake news