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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Finchley & Golders Green – the only constituency where there’v
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Finchley & Golders Green – the only constituency where there’ve been two polls
The Chief Rabbi’s comments on anti-semitism put the focus once again on what’s troubled Corbyn’s Labour Party for nearly 2 years – the way it has handled anti-semitism within the movement.
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https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1199390279876403201
It seems an exceptionally important stage of the canpaign.
I get pretty irritated whenever the Archbishop of Canterbury opines and I’m basically CofE.
Ealing Southall.....Con gain!!!!!! LOL
How will you differentiate between those who say 'no' because they hate Sprouts and those who say 'no' because they hate Brussels?
Might all end up with another referendum.
I would expect similar results (i.e. a big surge... but not enough...) in Kensington, Cities of London & Westminster, Putney, and Wimbledon.
There will likely be a lot of close results, and some rather disappointed candidates (and ex-MPs).
For a landslide, I’d be expecting something like 60:40 in Boris’s favour, or even higher.
Possible not Ross Skye etc although we did win there 1979!
Let's hope those words stick in the throat of every Corbyn apologist. And now how even more hollow and twisted do the attacks on the chief Rabbi look?
The main difference is Labour surging wiv da yoof and being slightly less shit with the retired.
If they top 16 seats (three net gains) I make a nice sum with Laddys.
They know my feelings about them, that they are nearly as bad as pineapple on pizzas.
Yes, a new front. Not aimed at tribal Labour supporters, aimed at the waverers. Not students, but perhaps Theresa May's jams. Bearing in mind that they'll probably actually have to deliver it, so it cannot be totally insane. Student debt is a possible target. Help to buy is another. Gradual VAT reduction (reward for leaving) is another.
Worse for the Labour Party, the Conservative vote share is rising in places where Labour is the challenger, and is falling where the LDs are distant number twos or threes.
That makes for an increasingly efficient vote share. I'm going to say a majority of 100+ is highly likely.
“You are not proposing to offer compensation for pension change to women born in 1960?”
Corb : Correct
“So you believe that 26 years was sufficient notice but 25 years was not?”
Corb: Ummmm...
So if the Pensions Act has only specified one extra year then the country would have saved 58b through averting this “monstrous injustice”
The Conservatives are really making a mistake with the line that this is “unaffordable”. They should be focussing fairly and squarely on the idea that the change wasn’t planned properly with fair notice. Not least because if you cave into this argument then virtually all pension reform becomes almost impossible for ever more. And actually with all the changes in recent years to state and other pensions they are equivalent or even far more deserving, far more short notice, injustices” that would dwarf this one in financial cost.
Simply focussing on the cost of recompense gives the campaign validity and suggests that everything is only driven by money.
Just shows how engaged the population are with specifics of the election. It also must call in to question the representativeness of polls if people really are not interested. You can take two views Tory landslide because ‘boris is cool’ or 55% turnout and who knows how it will fall
It could produce a (further) swing back to Labour!!
Or maybe not !!!
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1199374507082964994
The only win to be gained her is to respond with a totally different bribe (or three). Then it's Labour who can't respond, because they can't critique the Tories for spending too much, nor can they spend any more to try and get the attention back. They have played their last card, and it was a pretty good one, but now it's for the Tories to counter.
Sorry @rcs1000, but I have known a few landslide elections in my time, but this one really doesn't feel like it on the ground. I have cashed out my spread bets.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50564965
(Is that better, @Nigelb?)
I disagree. The more people worry about Labour, the more likely they will be to vote Tory, unless the Lib Dems are clear challengers, which they're not here.
I have to say, the threat of Corbyn is a factor in my thinking this election. Despite the fact that Johnson is an untrustworthy buffoon surrounded by the Tory right ministers and dangerous advisors, can I risk a Labour-led government with Corbyn and his shadow cabinet by voting for a non-Con option in a marginal where only Con and Lab can win? I'm not sure I can.
Now I wonder if anyone will get that rather obscure pun...
The current Buckethead is an usurper.
Which is fine.