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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab trails in fourth place in latest YouGov senior cabinet mi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab trails in fourth place in latest YouGov senior cabinet minsters’ favourability rankings
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Interesting to see Sunak rank so high.
"Nice young man who gives away lots of money is rather popular" shocker.
I'd say the two figures having the 'best' crisis are Hancock and Sunak. But they have contradictory aims: one is aiming , quite rightly, to minimise deaths, the other is aiming, equally rightly, to have an economy left to return to when this is over. There is tension between the two portfolios, and someone is needed to arbitrate between the two. It can't be one or the other. Raab is the most senior of those who are neither Hancock nor Sunak.
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1247497263192182786?s=20
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1247496766875934721?s=20
Equivalent to about 300,000 days of skilled craftsman wages.
p.s. for those people questioning my description of Malibu, we looked at it, before buying our summer home further south in Orange County. So, it's a personal opinion, but one that has some basis.
So the graph is a bit moot.
Patel's numbers - sexist, racist or just anti-semitic ?
Currently waiting for an apple strudel to cook.
It cooked less well than I was hoping because I absentmindedly turned the oven off.
It would be very interesting to learn more of why. Is it the case that the population are indulging in fairly thorough social isolation without a regulatory framework? Or are we simply over estimating the effectiveness of lock downs?
*Obviously I'm not really.
https://twitter.com/shaunwalker7/status/1247501500630384642?s=21
I am not entirely happy at the various suggestions that we should short cut clinical trials for a vaccine for COVID19. We could easily create another disaster.
Ah.
My daughter's birthday is on the 28th and the lack of a party is already being lamented almost daily.
https://covid19.healthdata.org
Forecasting a first-wave total of 81k deaths for USA, 19k for Spain, 20k for Italy, 15k for France, 9k for Germany and, wait for it....
66k for the UK (!)
UK deaths to be triple those in Spain or Italy anyone?
(Edit: I see now the projection assumes the UK has a total of 799 ICU beds - might be why the death projection is so high.)
2) Swedes give each other a lot of room anyway. Culturally, it's not a great place for a virus to spread.
I’ve had phone calls and messages from family.
This afternoon I have sun, a book, my garden and all my mates on PB to chat to.
What more could anyone want?
As @Cyclefree says, let us count our blessings.
So I would suggest that site is a consignment of geriatric shoe menders.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2020/apr/07/coronavirus-live-news-boris-johnson-intensive-care-uk-donald-trump-america-us-praying-recovery-latest-updates?page=with:block-5e8c626d8f08ec70cecec0de#block-5e8c626d8f08ec70cecec0de
MIGAL would be responsible for developing the new vaccine, but it would then have to go through a regulatory process, including clinical trials and large-scale production, Katz said.
So it might be really cool and a solution, but they aren't even as far along as lots of the other candidates. They are simply saying they might have a different and better way of making vaccines.
There is no way they can do full set of clinical trials in 90 days.
And in this case it's less to do with patients' rights (the emergency use of the drug is after all sanctioned by the FDA) and rather more to do with selection criteria, and independent verifiable observation of cases and outcomes.
It's not impossible that he's on to something, but the evidence produced seems less than sketchy. The patients are described as "very, very ill", which then gets re-reported as "the most seriously ill".
Were any of them admitted to an ICU ?
When does the “danger zone” seem to end for sufferers? It seems day 10 is the average day for ICU admission but beyond that when do we start to see recovery on average?
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-tests-never-heard-hold-key-exit-lockdown/
(Grasping the excuse.)
@Cyclefree's Gardening Corner Q9 #gardening
Looking after bulbs - I am just getting my first lot of container daffodils in flower.
Two questions if I may.
1 - What do I need to do to keep these healthy for this year and next year? (I am familiar with the basics - do not remove the leaves too soon after flowering, water when a finger depth is dry etc.)
2 - What is the best time to put in new bulbs (I want some snowdrops and crocuses and extra daffodils) for next year or 2022?
The photo is my daffs and my cousin's first tulips (he has a camera not an iPad :-) ).
Thanks for any comments. I will repost if I get new-thread-clobbered.
https://twitter.com/mattwardman/status/1247504724879986689
https://twitter.com/mattwardman/status/1247505506463289345
The average person on an omnibus has a brain the size of a planet compared with Patel. One of the great mysteries of Boris Johnson’s career is: what the hell was he thinking?
The work at Porton Down is understood to have been underway since January. Moreover, it plays to our skill set as a nation, based as it is on high-end science rather than the more mundane - but crucially important business - of high volume throughput or production.
Experts say the first two months were spent validating high tech “assays” for reliably identifying coronavirus antibodies and designing a robust longitudinal blood sampling study. The first 800 blood samples were delivered to the laboritary in late February.
Dr Stamataki added that it was these Porton Down assays that the commercial antibody tests which the government has taken options on are being validated against.
It was clearly very busy, clearly very stressful, but no signs of 100s of patients rammed absolutely into every corner of the corridors etc.
And now there is a lot of rumblings that the Excel centre may never really be needed and certainly unlikely to need the full 4,000 bed capacity.
The pace of vaccine development has been almost unprecedented. But once they gets into clinical trials, there isn't much you can do to speed things up (except on the production side, Bill Gates style).
Depends when they developed the model and how much it's updated with actual bed use (apparently not at all). The Imperial models probably show similar without the more severe lockdown
The threat of illness and the almost certainty that some of those I love will die is unpleasant, as is the worry about whether the economy will recover. But if I can live in the moment, the now is actually a fine place to be.
I have been in similar position, frightening experience.
Also seen my granddaughter on numerous occasions, fighting for life on oxygen.
Very distressing to see.
YouTube has banned all conspiracy theory videos falsely linking coronavirus symptoms to 5G networks.
The Google-owned service will now delete videos violating the policy. It had previously limited itself to reducing the frequency it recommended them in its Up Next section.
The move follows a live-streamed interview with conspiracy theorist David Icke on Monday, in which he had linked the technology to the pandemic.
YouTube said the video would be wiped."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-52198946
If that is true, who would have backed it to win the global race?
Extraordinary story.
We're far from out of the woods yet. We could easily find that we are nowhere near the peak yet. But I agree - if the whole thing goes utterly unused, Hoo-bloody-ray.
I can understand figures jumping on a Monday due to weekend processing causing a spot of lag, but our numbers seem a bit jumpy, going down a bit, then up.
“All we need to do is adjust the system to the new sequence,” he said. “We are in the middle of this process, and hopefully in a few weeks we will have the vaccine in our hands. Yes, in a few weeks, if it all works, we would have a vaccine to prevent coronavirus.”
MIGAL would be responsible for developing the new vaccine, but it would then have to go through a regulatory process, including clinical trials and large-scale production, Katz said....
They have yet even to start dosing human volunteers, so there are probably a good half a dozen groups ahead of them, possibly more.
As an aside, a market on which nation wins the global race for a vaccine would be good – and something positive to bet on.
I am intrigued. We are seeing the sort of level of deaths as Italy, Spain and France, but no real reports of hospitals crashing under the weight of cases. We have had a couple of hospitals have alerts, but nothing like in Northern Italy or Madrid, where hospitals were literally sinking under the shear volume of people, beds everywhere, people on floors, etc.