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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Who will be Sir Keir Starmer’s successor?
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Who will be Sir Keir Starmer’s successor?
My 25/1 tip as next Labour leader.
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In the words of Blue Eyes - You're riding high in April, shot down in May.
That's Life!
My hospital now has 26 of 32 ventilators in use and has had 63 deaths in last 3 weeks
High point was 13/4/20 when only 1 vent was spare
The pre Covid Vent capacity was 22 so still using some of boosted Capacity
These people who obsess about ending the already looser than some countries "lockdown" have their priorities completely wrong.
Why do you think I'm not laying Hillary Clinton anymore for the Dem nomination?
https://twitter.com/dailymailuk/status/1251824117482913797?s=21
The contrast in the performance of the 2 mayors is stark
What is the connection between cigarettes and an African tropical disease?
This time £5 to charity of choice - it's an easier question.
Oh, and COVID-19 second wave...
Dining out used to be a treat but I think in the last decade it’s become more of a regular thing generally
I suspect that anyone waiting for a hip replacement, for example, and who lacks the means to go private is going to be left in pain for years.
Seriously - good luck to you.
Lockdown is over. I’ve only ever twice seen it busier.
And with the car parks shut, they’ve just parked on the roads.
It is far too early to be considering Starmer’s likely successor.
So long as all those people aren't clustering in groups, organising football matches or staging an impromptu mock-up of Glastonbury then it really shouldn't make much difference.
FWIW I reckon it's maybe marginally, but not significantly, busier around here. Probably saw a few more cars about when I was out running this morning than could be plausibly accounted for by folk driving up the heath to do walks and exercise their dogs, especially since it was too early for the shops to be open, but no obvious widespread disobedience. Certainly I can see most of the railway station car park from my flat and there's only one car parked in it.
Based on this and on the levels of traffic I saw out on Easter Day, I reckon there are some people out and about because they can't resist the urge to visit family and friends, but not particularly large numbers.
That, of course, is another consideration. If Labour are in office, or seem close to it, back a centrist as they try to make that last heave. If they’re in opposition and feel they’re likely to stay there, back them to pick the most self-indulgent candidate imaginable.
Which is what I saw on Cannock Chase.
I am more interested by discovering that bacon on pizza is heresy, according to the Italians.
Don't they know everything is better with bacon?
https://www.express.co.uk/videos/6150597369001/Coronavirus-Expert-explains-reason-for-PPE-delivery-delay
We don't have their advantages. It could be years before the healthcare system returns to something resembling normality.
If Starmer loses the next general election then it would suggest one more heave was not enough and David Miliband could make a return or Liz Kendall or even Chuka Umunna could defect back again if Labour was desperate for a Blairite to take them back to power after a Brownite failed to deliver as the Corbynites had not.
If Starmer ends up PM after the next general election then whoever holds the senior Cabinet posts will be favourite
Second, Isam can say what he likes he still has zero evidence for his theory that Covid 19 mortality is highest depending on the life expectancy of the country in question rather than with over 80s across the board, in fact all the evidence suggests the opposite
And of course you have the ritual of plucking each piece off and eating it with your fingers first. Anybody who says they don't do that is a person of very dubious character indeed.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1251877131828813824
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1251877475669467136
Hypothetical polls are a lot like Hawaiian pizzas, they should be avoided at all costs by right thinking people everywhere.
https://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2019/12/01/your-regular-reminder-that-hypothetical-polls-can-be-as-accurate-as-an-american-war-film/
That hypothesis may turn out to be wrong, but isn't nonsense.
Heck we were discussing the 2012 Presidential nominees before Obama was even elected in 2008.
https://www.channel4.com/programmes/putin-a-russian-spy-story/on-demand/69173-001
(I was going to add "what do you think testing is supposed to achieve … ?" … )
We know what happens when this virus hits a hotspot.....Bergamo, New York, Madrid....
Social distancing and partial lockdown until vaccine, I fear.
Our fatality figures are very suspicious too....thousands dying in care homes....
We get a PM who delegates and he's criticised for not being a control freak who does everything himself.
I have seen exactly one chipshop open.
maybe they did, but we'd never know.
At the GE she did blot her copybook somewhat, by ripping-off Boris' hilarious Love Actually spoof before he did his.
Mind you, we did get one the other day that flustered sister a bit. Had positive Covid-19 swabs 12 days prior that no one had told him about. Took a while to clean up the waiting area.
As Dr Rosena says in her tweets above, we are terrible at isolating cases for the 14 days required (7 days in UK for some unknown reason). It is going to be very hard to get R below 1 without isolating cases.
Control freaks like Nixon, May and Brown rarely prosper in the top job.