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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Losing today’s Brexit vote could prove fatal for Mrs. May’s pr

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  • Options
    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    Nearly as disgraceful as when she retweeted that those raped schoolgirls should've kept their mouths shut.

    #justsaying
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    I think Philip Lee can probably be placed in the Ken Clarke camp pretty much perpetually now.

    I’m not sure what that’s going to do for his future political career.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,295
    edited June 2018

    Scott_P said:
    Did Jezza actually want the government to lose? Theresa will now own all the Brexit she surveys. Is that particularly beneficial?
    Perhaps he is channelling Zhou Enlai - he has waited this far, he doesn't want to blow it by being associated with Brexit now he is within touching distance.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,859
    Wonder if she agreed locking them in cages was a good way to positively impact them
    https://twitter.com/FLOTUS/status/1009222291887218693
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,401
    I wonder if this will lead to Fox News not being so supportive of Donald Trump.

    The backlash against Fox News following its coverage of President Trump's immigration policy is spilling over to the Murdoch-run company's entertainment divisions, and the timing is anything but ideal.

    With 21st Century Fox readying itself for a major asset sale, maintaining a stable of top talent is not only optically important, but also key to its value. And yet, amid the cable network’s coverage of families being separated at the Mexico-U.S. border, at least two of 20th Century Fox TV's top producers, Family Guy's Seth MacFarlane and Modern Family's Steve Levitan, chose to distance themselves. Taking to Twitter, both voiced their embarrassment over their personal affiliation with the owners of Fox News. Levitan went so far as to say he was so repulsed by the network's coverage that he'd be parting ways with the company, though he’d later backtrack via his agency.

    Other high-profile entertainers have chimed in, too, including Judd Apatow, who called on other Fox talent to express their outrage and protest over the network’s coverage. (A sampling: Tucker Carlson encouraged his viewers to trust no one but Fox News on the subject; and Laura Ingraham, whom the network has since defended, told hers that child detention centers are "essentially summer camps [or] boarding schools.") Still, many of 20th TV's top producers — including those, like Empire co-creator Lee Daniels, who are typically outspoken, especially on matters involving Trump — have opted to remain silent on the issue.

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/live-feed/fox-news-border-controversy-adds-pressure-pending-20th-tv-producer-deals-1121565
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,287
    Per BBC: Conor McGinn tweet referring to "several very sick Labour MPs" being forced to come in to vote.

    I thought MPs were generally a pretty healthy bunch - are several Lab MPs very sick?

    And just how come the Con Maj was so high? Who were all the opposition abstentions / absences?
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,859
    Fenster said:

    Nearly as disgraceful as when she retweeted that those raped schoolgirls should've kept their mouths shut.

    #justsaying
    Perhaps he should organize a protest
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    justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    Given that Nicky Morgan was dropped from the Cabinet by May , I am a bit surprised that she is not taking every available opportunity to extract revenge by joining Clarke and Soubry.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,989
    edited June 2018

    Jezza has played a blinder. The nation will now view Theresa and the Tories as wholly responsible for the Brexit we actually get, which will presumably be Rees-Mogg's preferred option. The political dividends to be reaped may be massive.

    Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha

    The Jezza who did not lift a finger to back Remain? The Jezza who refused to vote to stay in the EEA? The Jezza who has seen 9 of his MPs play a pivotal role in voting for the UK to leave the Customs Union and refusing to give Parliament the final say if No Deal? The Jezza who lost 17% of his voters to the LDs in Lewisham East last week as he was not seen as sufficiently anti Brexit?

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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited June 2018

    I wonder if this will lead to Fox News not being so supportive of Donald Trump.

    The backlash against Fox News following its coverage of President Trump's immigration policy is spilling over to the Murdoch-run company's entertainment divisions, and the timing is anything but ideal.

    With 21st Century Fox readying itself for a major asset sale, maintaining a stable of top talent is not only optically important, but also key to its value. And yet, amid the cable network’s coverage of families being separated at the Mexico-U.S. border, at least two of 20th Century Fox TV's top producers, Family Guy's Seth MacFarlane and Modern Family's Steve Levitan, chose to distance themselves. Taking to Twitter, both voiced their embarrassment over their personal affiliation with the owners of Fox News. Levitan went so far as to say he was so repulsed by the network's coverage that he'd be parting ways with the company, though he’d later backtrack via his agency.

    Other high-profile entertainers have chimed in, too, including Judd Apatow, who called on other Fox talent to express their outrage and protest over the network’s coverage. (A sampling: Tucker Carlson encouraged his viewers to trust no one but Fox News on the subject; and Laura Ingraham, whom the network has since defended, told hers that child detention centers are "essentially summer camps [or] boarding schools.") Still, many of 20th TV's top producers — including those, like Empire co-creator Lee Daniels, who are typically outspoken, especially on matters involving Trump — have opted to remain silent on the issue.

    https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/live-feed/fox-news-border-controversy-adds-pressure-pending-20th-tv-producer-deals-1121565

    Disney have today increased its offer for 21st Century Fox to $71.3bn in cash and shares, up from an earlier $52bn offer.
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    David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    edited June 2018
    justin124 said:

    brendan16 said:

    justin124 said:

    Looks as if one LibDem failed to vote. Jo Swinson posibly?

    Isn't she shortly going to be in labour?
    Apparently she did vote!

    Is Jo Swinson voting for two?
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    If an MP isn't healthy enough to attend the house of commons they should step down.

    How is Keith Vaz these days anyway ?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    That requires ditching a few of the dog-ate-my-homework excuses (like blaming Murdoch, or the Daily Mail) and asking if the EU’s behaviour over the last 25 years with its total tin-ear about how strongly people feel about their national identity, and the importance of a strong democratic mandate to do anything to modify or overturn that, might have something to do with it.

    Until then, and until both sides recognise that the ultra-federalists and European nationalists on one sides, and British nationalists and the purists of sovereignists on the other, are both pursuing ideologies and largely feed off each other, we won’t get very far in achieving any sort of reconciliation.

    This shouldn’t be hard to do. A few of them even seriously considered voting Leave before the vote. But are now, bizarrely, uninterested in doing so and would prefer to point out that every Leave voter has the Mark of Cain upon them.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,989

    Wonder if she agreed locking them in cages was a good way to positively impact them
    https://twitter.com/FLOTUS/status/1009222291887218693

    Catalan ones maybe!
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    NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    justin124 said:

    Given that Nicky Morgan was dropped from the Cabinet by May , I am a bit surprised that she is not taking every available opportunity to extract revenge by joining Clarke and Soubry.

    I guess if you want any kind of career advancement in the future (and I suspect Nicky still does) rebelling today would not have looked good on your CV.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Ayes 303

    Noes 319

    Govt majority 16 and another key win for May

    I'm pleased with my prediction.
    Indeed you clearly factored in Grieve and Morgan would vote with the Government.

    TBF I am pleased as a Leaver the Government won.


    State of the Tory rebels though.
    I expected Grieve to vote for his amendment. Working back from last week's vote, I added the vote of the new MP to those supporting the amendment, assumed that 5 Labour MP's plus Kelvin Hopkins would vote with the government, and expected between seven and ten Conservative rebels. `
    Good Prediction Sean
    +1

    Cracking effort.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    Cyclefree said:

    Elliot said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Elliot said:

    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    GIN1138 said:

    +1. I get very tired of personal abuse on both sides on this debate. It really doesn't help.
    And me
    The single most important fact in British politics today is that the EU referendum was won with xenophobic lies. I'm not going to enter into some form of self-denying ordinance in pointing this out. It underpins most of current politics in one way or another. An extreme allergy to the x word is something that others are just going to have to get an epipen for.
    You are just a bitter elitist who thinks his little cultural tribe is superior to others who live outside Zone 2 and is so blinded by his pretension he doesn't even realise Londoners are the unhappiest people in the country.
    I'm comfortable being criticised by a man who thinks that a man's racial history is a valid reason for questioning his integrity. Since I now live in the countryside, you can't even nail one basic fact to hang your insult on.
    I hope the move went well. I am planning a similar move in the course of the next year or so. When I think of all that is involved, I need a lie down.......
    I too am moving to the country. It's interesting how many people try to escape over congested cramped London once they can afford to, isn't it?
    Without wishing to boast I could probably have afforded to do so at any point during the last 30 years. But I like living in London and intend continuing to spend time here. As I am making the transition from full-time employment to freelance I have also decided to change the rhythm of my life so that I can spend time in a part of the world I love.
    Hampshire!!
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,990
    edited June 2018
    Norm said:

    justin124 said:

    Given that Nicky Morgan was dropped from the Cabinet by May , I am a bit surprised that she is not taking every available opportunity to extract revenge by joining Clarke and Soubry.

    I guess if you want any kind of career advancement in the future (and I suspect Nicky still does) rebelling today would not have looked good on your CV.
    IDS rebelled and became Conservative leader a few years later. Not a terribly good one, mind.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    MikeL said:

    Per BBC: Conor McGinn tweet referring to "several very sick Labour MPs" being forced to come in to vote.

    I thought MPs were generally a pretty healthy bunch - are several Lab MPs very sick?

    And just how come the Con Maj was so high? Who were all the opposition abstentions / absences?

    This was par for the course in several close votes during the Labour minority phase in the late 70s.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,304
    HYUFD said:

    Jezza has played a blinder. The nation will now view Theresa and the Tories as wholly responsible for the Brexit we actually get, which will presumably be Rees-Mogg's preferred option. The political dividends to be reaped may be massive.

    Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha

    The Jezza who did not lift a finger to back Remain? The Jezza who refused to vote to stay in the EEA? The Jezza who has seen 9 of his MPs play a pivotal role in voting for the UK to leave the Customs Union and refusing to give Parliament the final say if No Deal? The Jezza who lost 17% of his voters to the LDs in Lewisham East last week as he was not seen as sufficiently anti Brexit?

    Jezza will want Brexit to be an unmitigated disaster. He'll do his hardest to ensure we get the most baleful type of Brexit possible. Or do you disagree and think Jezza's Brexit policy is utterly benign?
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    edited June 2018

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    That requires ditching a few of the dog-ate-my-homework excuses (like blaming Murdoch, or the Daily Mail) and asking if the EU’s behaviour over the last 25 years with its total tin-ear about how strongly people feel about their national identity, and the importance of a strong democratic mandate to do anything to modify or overturn that, might have something to do with it.

    Until then, and until both sides recognise that the ultra-federalists and European nationalists on one sides, and British nationalists and the purists of sovereignists on the other, are both pursuing ideologies and largely feed off each other, we won’t get very far in achieving any sort of reconciliation.

    This shouldn’t be hard to do. A few of them even seriously considered voting Leave before the vote. But are now, bizarrely, uninterested in doing so and would prefer to point out that every Leave voter has the Mark of Cain upon them.


    Remainers are a bit like Germany or Brazil at a World Cup. The only question was: would they win a lot or win a bit?

    Instead they were knocked out in the group stage, and they cannot comprehend it.

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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
    You’ve described yourself as the most eurosceptic in your peer group before. You’ve also said you regularly defend Leave (as a concept) to your friends in social situations. You’ve also said there were “other Leaves” you would have considered voting for.

    What were they? And why?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725
    Cyclefree said:

    MaxPB said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Half an hour in to PMQ's and still no questions about today's vote.

    Theresa's won it hasn't she?

    It certainly looks that way. In asking for the power to reverse the public vote, Grieve showed his true colours and his true agenda. He is a repulsive Brussels apologist who disgraces our party and our country.
    I don’t like to get personal. But, really, Max: do grow up. Grieve is a distinguished thoughtful lawyer and Parliamentarian, who has been a loss to the Cabinet, and who is trying to do the best for his country as he sees it. He may be wrong. But he is not a repulsive apologist or traitor and he disgraces no-one. Your post, on the other hand.....

    The single thing I hate most about the EU referendum has been the way otherwise apparently sensible people have lost the ability to understand the concept of the honest and legitimate disagreement. Taking a different view frome one’s own does not thereby mean that the person doing so is somehow evil. There are plenty on here on both sides who might like to reflect on that. And I apologise in advance if that makes me sound pompous. But some threads are well nigh unbearable with all the “traitor”, “remoaner”, “xenophobe” abuse.
    And sadly the response will be 'it's those xenophobes/traitors fault'
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,960
    Sean_F said:

    Anazina said:

    Then don't use the Tube in rush hour – walk or cycle like me. Weird how people conflate an entire city with its rapid transport system at a certain time or in a particular weather pattern. It's rather like saying, "I don't like Manchester. The Metrolink is unpleasant at 11pm on Friday nights."

    The humidity makes it pretty uncomfortable above ground, especially if one is wearing a suit and tie. The Tube is especially uncomfortable.
    Anazina is right about one thing: London is significantly smaller than people think, and walking around the central bits is almost always the quickest way to get around. I used to work on St James's Street in the West End, and for anything nearer than St Paul's in the City, I would walk. It would take me 30 minutes, and I'd know my arrival time to the minute, rather than taking a lottery with the tube or a taxi.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,304
    edited June 2018

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    That requires ditching a few of the dog-ate-my-homework excuses (like blaming Murdoch, or the Daily Mail) and asking if the EU’s behaviour over the last 25 years with its total tin-ear about how strongly people feel about their national identity, and the importance of a strong democratic mandate to do anything to modify or overturn that, might have something to do with it.

    Until then, and until both sides recognise that the ultra-federalists and European nationalists on one sides, and British nationalists and the purists of sovereignists on the other, are both pursuing ideologies and largely feed off each other, we won’t get very far in achieving any sort of reconciliation.

    This shouldn’t be hard to do. A few of them even seriously considered voting Leave before the vote. But are now, bizarrely, uninterested in doing so and would prefer to point out that every Leave voter has the Mark of Cain upon them.

    Nah, the EU's fine. Of course, there are a few glitches (I agree with Richard Tyndall about fire-extinguisher colours), but on the whole it's been beneficial. Why wreck it?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725
    murali_s said:

    The country cannot move on. It is committed to an anti-immigration prospectus, because of the way the referendum was won. There is no positive prospectus for Leave, because Leavers fell in behind a campaign of xenophobic lies.

    Until this disaster is confronted, the process of clearing up the wreckage can't start.


    So in your world, the Good People of Remain didn't lose the referendum, it was just that the Bad Racists of Leave who won it. Right. Ok.

    You pretty much hit the nail on the head (even though your sense of irony is misplaced).

    The Leave campaign consisted of an unholy alliance of xenophobes, bigots, racists, thickos, ignorant folk and little Englanders. Thanks to that unholy alliance, this country is staring down the barrel. Sad, sad times.
    If that group you list equalled 52% of the country then we were clearly doomed as a country no matter the outcome of the vote. The vote didn't create anything that did no exist before.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    RobD said:

    Main takeaways from today's shenanigans

    A If May was sure of winning she would have pushed it to a vote. She wasn't sure so she bought Grieve off - again.

    B The ERG is still driving the policy agenda. They want a no deal Brexit, and that is still very much on the table after today. May has foregone another opportunity to allow the HoC to articulate the views of the majority of MPs who favour a softer line.

    C The absurdity of the debate about an amendment to a motion that might allow a possible future motion to be amended is symptomatic of how Brexit has made Westminster completely dysfunctional. The country faces the biggest crisis in the lifetime of anyone born after the Second World War and politicians can only debate it in terms of arcane procedural devices which do not do justice to the colossal issues at stake and are completely baffling to most people.

    D The government is unable to lead, it remains riven and personal animosities are worse than ever. May is the weakest PM for many generations and she is viewed with distrust and contempt on all sides, her own colleagues included. It becomes harder by the day to see how it can reach an acceptable withdrawal deal.


    What was the compromise this time around?
    I believe it was an amendment to make it clear that a future unamendable motion may in fact be amendable under certain circumstances. Presumably if it is written in green ink and submitted by carrier pigeon in the dead of night. Or something.
    Lol. Seems about where we are.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,333

    MikeL said:

    Per BBC: Conor McGinn tweet referring to "several very sick Labour MPs" being forced to come in to vote.

    I thought MPs were generally a pretty healthy bunch - are several Lab MPs very sick?

    And just how come the Con Maj was so high? Who were all the opposition abstentions / absences?

    This was par for the course in several close votes during the Labour minority phase in the late 70s.
    One (Naz Shah) is hospitalised for severe back pain, don't know of others who are sick though may be. Two others (Lab,LibDem) are heavily pregnant (one is overdue). 4 Labour MPs voted with the Government (lower than expected - Skinner martialled the left to vote for the amendment).
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
    You’ve described yourself as the most eurosceptic in your peer group before. You’ve also said you regularly defend Leave (as a concept) to your friends in social situations. You’ve also said there were “other Leaves” you would have considered voting for.

    What were they? And why?
    That requires more time to answer than I immediately have available. I will try to come back to this when I have some time to spare.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725
    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    CD13 said:

    Does this vote mean that Brexit is now assured?

    Pretty much, the Commons has now voted for every aspect of May's Brexit plans
    But all of this means nothing if she cannot get agreement with the EU.
    So we're all settled then? Phew, plain sailing from now on.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    That requires ditching a few of the dog-ate-my-homework excuses (like blaming Murdoch, or the Daily Mail) and asking if the EU’s behaviour over the last 25 years with its total tin-ear about how strongly people feel about their national identity, and the importance of a strong democratic mandate to do anything to modify or overturn that, might have something to do with it.

    Until then, and until both sides recognise that the ultra-federalists and European nationalists on one sides, and British nationalists and the purists of sovereignists on the other, are both pursuing ideologies and largely feed off each other, we won’t get very far in achieving any sort of reconciliation.

    This shouldn’t be hard to do. A few of them even seriously considered voting Leave before the vote. But are now, bizarrely, uninterested in doing so and would prefer to point out that every Leave voter has the Mark of Cain upon them.

    Nah, the EU's fine. Of course, there are a few glitches (I agree with Richard Tyndall about fire-extinguisher colours), but on the whole it's been beneficial. Why wreck it?
    That’s the conclusion you’ve reached, and fair enough: I respect that.

    But, rather than being dismissive toward those who think differently, it might be worth asking yourself why a majority of the electorate of the EU’s 2nd or 3rd largest member voted for the nuclear option after 40 years. And why there was such a groundswell of support for such a referendum in the first place that it became politically unsustainable not to offer one.

    Why did they feel that way? How did so many people who used to be pro the single market and the EEC (including Sean Fear and myself) move to wanting withdrawal? What caused us to change our mind? Why did we lose all confidence in the EU to listen and reform?
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,269
    Fenster said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Fenster said:

    Fenster said:

    It amuses me that we have a hung parliament and Labour - the main opposition party - have managed to have ZERO influence on the Brexit process.

    LOL.

    A very wise move. It is never a good idea to be caught on the scene of the crime. The Tories are not going to be able to avoid any of the responsibility for the Brexit balls-up.

    Fenster said:

    It amuses me that we have a hung parliament and Labour - the main opposition party - have managed to have ZERO influence on the Brexit process.

    LOL.

    A very wise move. It is never a good idea to be caught on the scene of the crime. The Tories are not going to be able to avoid any of the responsibility for the Brexit balls-up.
    Still amusing. It felt like the Blair years would last forever. He, Mandelson, Campbell et al invested their whole political careers eulogising about the greatness of the EU (and stealthily handed over as much power to it as they could) but Corbyn, merely by sitting on his arse and not giving a monkey's, has pissed all of their doings up against the wall.

    A bit like how Trump hates anything Obama-associated, it appears Corbyn loves the opportunity to kill any New Labour associations.
    The government made a huge mistake in not using Mandelson to help them. A former EU trade commissioner, his knowledge would have been invaluable in helping the government come up with some workable plans. Instead we have that preening twit, Fox.
    I don't disagree with that. The most hated politicians are often the most effective ones -

    Mandelson
    Balls
    Osborne
    Gove


    Blair?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
    You’ve described yourself as the most eurosceptic in your peer group before. You’ve also said you regularly defend Leave (as a concept) to your friends in social situations. You’ve also said there were “other Leaves” you would have considered voting for.

    What were they? And why?
    That requires more time to answer than I immediately have available. I will try to come back to this when I have some time to spare.
    That’s kind of you. I will very much look forward to your response, and I mean that sincerely.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725
    HYUFD said:

    Jezza has played a blinder. The nation will now view Theresa and the Tories as wholly responsible for the Brexit we actually get, which will presumably be Rees-Mogg's preferred option. The political dividends to be reaped may be massive.

    Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha

    The Jezza who did not lift a finger to back Remain? The Jezza who refused to vote to stay in the EEA? The Jezza who has seen 9 of his MPs play a pivotal role in voting for the UK to leave the Customs Union and refusing to give Parliament the final say if No Deal? The Jezza who lost 17% of his voters to the LDs in Lewisham East last week as he was not seen as sufficiently anti Brexit?

    I've no doubt the tories will shoulder the most blame, as is only fair as they are in government, but the idea Corbyn has played a blinder I find harder to credit given the ambivalence on display.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    MikeL said:

    Per BBC: Conor McGinn tweet referring to "several very sick Labour MPs" being forced to come in to vote.

    I thought MPs were generally a pretty healthy bunch - are several Lab MPs very sick?

    And just how come the Con Maj was so high? Who were all the opposition abstentions / absences?

    This was par for the course in several close votes during the Labour minority phase in the late 70s.
    One (Naz Shah) is hospitalised for severe back pain, don't know of others who are sick though may be. Two others (Lab,LibDem) are heavily pregnant (one is overdue). 4 Labour MPs voted with the Government (lower than expected - Skinner martialled the left to vote for the amendment).
    Yes. Pairing broke down in the 1970s too and there was one MP who was quite literally at deaths door being wheeled in.

    Very close votes on issues that could cause the downfall of the Government get like this, unfortunately.
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    sarissasarissa Posts: 1,772
    HYUFD said:

    Cyclefree said:

    HYUFD said:

    CD13 said:

    Does this vote mean that Brexit is now assured?

    Pretty much, the Commons has now voted for every aspect of May's Brexit plans
    But all of this means nothing if she cannot get agreement with the EU.
    No, it means WTO terms endorsed by the House of Commons and the ultimate victory for hard Brexiteers.

    Though of course May is still aiming for a transition period until December 2020 then a Canada style FTA with the EU
    A Canada style FTA will still have quota limits, e.g. a limit of 16,000 tonnes of EU cheese or 30,000 ladies' coats from Canada. That's why it took 5 years to negotiate, and given the greater scale and variety of trade with the EU, would take even longer even in a spirit of co-operation.
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    murali_s said:

    The country cannot move on. It is committed to an anti-immigration prospectus, because of the way the referendum was won. There is no positive prospectus for Leave, because Leavers fell in behind a campaign of xenophobic lies.

    Until this disaster is confronted, the process of clearing up the wreckage can't start.


    So in your world, the Good People of Remain didn't lose the referendum, it was just that the Bad Racists of Leave who won it. Right. Ok.

    You pretty much hit the nail on the head (even though your sense of irony is misplaced).

    The Leave campaign consisted of an unholy alliance of xenophobes, bigots, racists, thickos, ignorant folk and little Englanders. sad times.

    Is there a word for a multiple tautology?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,989

    HYUFD said:

    Jezza has played a blinder. The nation will now view Theresa and the Tories as wholly responsible for the Brexit we actually get, which will presumably be Rees-Mogg's preferred option. The political dividends to be reaped may be massive.

    Ha Ha Ha Ha Ha

    The Jezza who did not lift a finger to back Remain? The Jezza who refused to vote to stay in the EEA? The Jezza who has seen 9 of his MPs play a pivotal role in voting for the UK to leave the Customs Union and refusing to give Parliament the final say if No Deal? The Jezza who lost 17% of his voters to the LDs in Lewisham East last week as he was not seen as sufficiently anti Brexit?

    Jezza will want Brexit to be an unmitigated disaster. He'll do his hardest to ensure we get the most baleful type of Brexit possible. Or do you disagree and think Jezza's Brexit policy is utterly benign?
    If he does most Leavers will still vote Tory while Remainers will shift to the LDs
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,725

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
    From someone who pretends he wants people to acknowledge things, or repudiate parts of a campaign (even if they did at the time), but if they do that ignores it or says it doesn't matter after all . Thats totally reasonable.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,269
    edited June 2018

    Pulpstar said:



    Indeed. It is an excellent system. One of the best in the world. Streets ahead of the rest of the UKs rail and transport systems. This is very hard to understand since it is a nationalised industry and we are forever being told on here that nationalised industries are inherently inefficient and wasteful.

    I think the whole tap in tap out contactless system used for TFL ought to be nationwide for every bus and train with standard fares for every journey.
    AIUI it cannot be done, and it's getting increasingly hard to do as TfL's network expands. The problem is possible routes: for example, if you want to go from South Woodford to Mile End on the tube, there is only one practical route whilst tapping in and out of the tube between those zones. But there is one possible combination where they cannot tell which route you took between the zones as you don't have to tap out/in, and therefore charge the lowest of the alternative fares.

    The larger the network, the more complex it gets to work out which route a passenger took, and therefore how much they should be charged for the journey.

    It's worse on local busses, where there is no tap-out and therefore no way to know how long a passenger stays on.

    (All AIUI)
    In London, if you use two buses within one hour, it's £1.50 for both journeys.

    South Woodford to Mile End is Central line, only 15 minutes journey time IIRC.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,939
    kle4 said:

    Thoughtful Remainers who criticise Leavers for having such a visceral dislike of the EU might want to ask themselves just why those feelings are so strongly held.

    The level of hatred is such that a psychiatrist would be of more assistance.

    Until Leavers acknowledge the race-baiting campaign they fell in behind in order to pursue that visceral hatred, there is going to be no reconciliation.
    From someone who pretends he wants people to acknowledge things, or repudiate parts of a campaign (even if they did at the time), but if they do that ignores it or says it doesn't matter after all . Thats totally reasonable.
    Alastair with his obsessive compulsive behaviour strikes me as one of those most in need of psychiatric help on here.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    She’s a bit older than me but I think I’m starting to fancy Caroline Flint regardless.

    She looks really fun, and is smart and persuasive (sorry Tissue Price!)

    I wonder if she should be Labour leader*. I would be very worried about her.

    (*she won’t be.. because Brexit)
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,401

    NEW THREAD

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