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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: NHS funding, ‘Brexit dividends

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  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,982

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    There’s the UK which is leaving and Ireland which has the full support of the other 26.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,238
    viewcode said:

    If it wasn't for the deep ahistoricity of PB (as I frequently say, "PB has no memory"), the lack of knowledge about film here would have surprised me.

    Film has been used for metaphor and propaganda since the very beginning. When was "Birth of a Nation" for pity's sake, the 1910s or 20s? It's effectively a Klan recruitment ad. "Battleship Potemkin", "In the Heat of the Night", "Kramer vs Kramer", "The Deerhunter", "Mrs Miniver", "A Matter of Life or Death", "Colonel Blimp" (short title, can't remember), "The Green Berets" "All Quiet on the Western Front", "Coming Home", "Gallipoli", "9 to 5", " all have an overt point and there's nothing there after 1981.

    Aaaargh!

    There's also the attention span of PB... I made more or less the same point lower down in this thread.
    :smile:
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,597

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    26+Ireland = 27
    27+UK = 28
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934
    edited June 2018

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,563

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    There’s the UK which is leaving and Ireland which has the full support of the other 26.

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    There’s the UK which is leaving and Ireland which has the full support of the other 26.
    A bit adversarial surely? If this goes horribly wrong the Irish will be even worse off than the British. Mr Varadkar may yet go down as Barnier’s useful idiot....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,954

    HYUFD said:

    The Kiwis don't seem convinced Brexit will happen.
    https://twitter.com/MFATgovtNZ/status/1009596567307685889

    Current New Zealand Foreign Minister Winston Peters (currently PM while Ardern is on maternity leave) met Boris Johnson only recently and has been pushing a trade deal with the UK as 'an absolute priority' post Brexit



    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11663367
    So what? 0.2% of our foreign trade is with New Zealand.

    Given that, anyone would think it's on the other side of the world.
    And it's 0.2% of the EU's foreign trade too, yet they seem interested in pursuing a FTA.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,565
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    The Kiwis don't seem convinced Brexit will happen.
    https://twitter.com/MFATgovtNZ/status/1009596567307685889

    Current New Zealand Foreign Minister Winston Peters (currently PM while Ardern is on maternity leave) met Boris Johnson only recently and has been pushing a trade deal with the UK as 'an absolute priority' post Brexit



    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11663367
    So what? 0.2% of our foreign trade is with New Zealand.

    Given that, anyone would think it's on the other side of the world.
    And it's 0.2% of the EU's foreign trade too, yet they seem interested in pursuing a FTA.
    Isn't our biggest export to New Zealand doctors?
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 7,987
    HYUFD said:

    So May has the SNP voting for her on Heathrow but Hands and co voting against?

    The SNP have been bought by Heathrow Airports Ltd for a piddling amount including £1.5m investment by the firm in a marketing campaign to promote Scotland.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,597
    Nigelb said:

    viewcode said:

    If it wasn't for the deep ahistoricity of PB (as I frequently say, "PB has no memory"), the lack of knowledge about film here would have surprised me.

    Film has been used for metaphor and propaganda since the very beginning. When was "Birth of a Nation" for pity's sake, the 1910s or 20s? It's effectively a Klan recruitment ad. "Battleship Potemkin", "In the Heat of the Night", "Kramer vs Kramer", "The Deerhunter", "Mrs Miniver", "A Matter of Life or Death", "Colonel Blimp" (short title, can't remember), "The Green Berets" "All Quiet on the Western Front", "Coming Home", "Gallipoli", "9 to 5", " all have an overt point and there's nothing there after 1981.

    Aaaargh!

    There's also the attention span of PB... I made more or less the same point lower down in this thread.
    :smile:
    :)
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,578
    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    edited June 2018
    https://twitter.com/ReutersUK/status/1009749011111301125

    A dangerous place to resign, but kudos for style. Did he have a parachute?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,954

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934
    Barnesian said:

    HYUFD said:

    So May has the SNP voting for her on Heathrow but Hands and co voting against?

    The SNP have been bought by Heathrow Airports Ltd for a piddling amount including £1.5m investment by the firm in a marketing campaign to promote Scotland.
    Never say the nationalists are not attracted by the gold of London
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,181
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
    You are making the analogy between the creation of the Irish Free State and our leaving the EU?

    Whoo-ee!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,982
    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,905
    Jonathan said:

    https://twitter.com/ReutersUK/status/1009749011111301125

    A dangerous place to resign, but kudos for style. Did he have a parachute?

    Made me chuckle
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,954

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    With QMV they don't!
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315

    HYUFD said:

    The Kiwis don't seem convinced Brexit will happen.
    https://twitter.com/MFATgovtNZ/status/1009596567307685889

    Current New Zealand Foreign Minister Winston Peters (currently PM while Ardern is on maternity leave) met Boris Johnson only recently and has been pushing a trade deal with the UK as 'an absolute priority' post Brexit



    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11663367
    So what? 0.2% of our foreign trade is with New Zealand.

    Given that, anyone would think it's on the other side of the world.
    Imagine Scotland without the SNP - that's New Zealand. I doubt we have a closer ally in the world frankly.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
    You are making the analogy between the creation of the Irish Free State and our leaving the EU?

    Whoo-ee!
    Although hopefully we will avoid the conflict of the Irish War of Independence and the Irish Civil War
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    People said the same thing about the UK not being in the Eurozone, with the Eurozone nations having a QMV majority.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,181
    HYUFD said:

    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
    You are making the analogy between the creation of the Irish Free State and our leaving the EU?

    Whoo-ee!
    Although hopefully we will avoid the conflict of the Irish War of Independence and the Irish Civil War
    As long as Spain and Argentina don't join in we should be fine.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,460
    edited June 2018

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    No they don't. Brown signed big chunks of "having to" away in the middle of the night in Lisbon (you remember the one we were diddled out of a vote on). More QMV and all that jazz.

    They clearly didn't give the remotest fig about our concerns when Cameron asked them too.

    So we are where we are.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934
    edited June 2018
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
    You are making the analogy between the creation of the Irish Free State and our leaving the EU?

    Whoo-ee!
    Although hopefully we will avoid the conflict of the Irish War of Independence and the Irish Civil War
    As long as Spain and Argentina don't join in we should be fine.
    We should be fine even then and the former has its hands full with Catalonia
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,606
    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    TOPPING said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    The Irish eventually told us to sod off and founded the Irish Free State, we have also eventually decided to tell the EU to sod off too and there is only so much pushing around we will take for a deal
    You are making the analogy between the creation of the Irish Free State and our leaving the EU?

    Whoo-ee!
    Although hopefully we will avoid the conflict of the Irish War of Independence and the Irish Civil War
    As long as Spain and Argentina don't join in we should be fine.
    We'll need to band together to fight that bear though, it's probably too much for our armed forces at the moment.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    Apart from the fact post Brexit UK will be the EU's biggest export destination
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,982
    MaxPB said:

    We'll need to band together to fight that bear though, it's probably too much for our armed forces at the moment.

    It looks docile enough.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbE53XUtVw0
  • surbysurby Posts: 1,227
    HYUFD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    Apart from the fact post Brexit UK will be the EU's biggest export destination
    More than the US ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,934
    edited June 2018
    surby said:

    HYUFD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    Apart from the fact post Brexit UK will be the EU's biggest export destination
    More than the US ?
    More even than the US yes and that was before Trump's tariffs on EU goods
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    MaxPB said:

    We'll need to band together to fight that bear though, it's probably too much for our armed forces at the moment.

    It looks docile enough.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbE53XUtVw0
    Mary had a little lamb
    She also had a bear
    I've often seen her little lamb
    I've never seen her bear
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited June 2018
    Ally mccoist with his expert insight....why do Australia have the upper hand in this second half...energy levels...

    Thanks for that world class analysis.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,888
    Rather predictably but amusing nonetheless "Manu ça va ?" has become a meme on Macron's facebook page.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,954
    edited June 2018
    surby said:

    HYUFD said:

    RobD said:

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    And people want us to stay in this club?
    As a member of the EU, the other 27 countries have to care what we think. After Brexit they don't have to give a monkey's.
    Apart from the fact post Brexit UK will be the EU's biggest export destination
    More than the US ?
    We imported £347bn in 2017. On par with the US.

    http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7851/CBP-7851.pdf
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    HYUFD said:

    https://twitter.com/MichelBarnier/status/1009772546621886465?s=20

    “26 member states”? Surely there are currently 28?

    Ireland is in the EU, in the Euro, has had vast EU project money and has no populist anti immigration parties in its top 3 parties in the polls and Varadkar is sucking up to Brussels like there is no tomorrow to push no hard border.

    Bar Belgium and Luxembourg Ireland is probably the most EUphile European state now
    The Irish have been pushed around by the British for centuries. EU membership means they are now in a position to push us around. Which they will continue to do.
    ROI about to move from net recipients to net contributors to the cartel.

    Which is hilarious.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,102
    Before Tuesday you would have said that Australia were moving along at a decent clip here. Now, you don't really know what to think.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    DavidL said:

    Before Tuesday you would have said that Australia were moving along at a decent clip here. Now, you don't really know what to think.

    What’s this idea of root being first change, when we have two other spinners in the team?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,181
    edited June 2018
    PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEASE NOT THE EFFING CRICKET

    Edit: actually go for it. Who am I to say what we should talk about.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,954
    TOPPING said:

    PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEASE NOT THE EFFING CRICKET

    Edit: actually go for it. Who am I to say what we should talk about.

    It's either that, or AV. :smiley:
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    TOPPING said:

    PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEASE NOT THE EFFING CRICKET

    Edit: actually go for it. Who am I to say what we should talk about.

    PS Kemi vs RoPS Rovaniemi kicks off shortly in the finish premier league...we could talk about that instead?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    DavidL said:

    Before Tuesday you would have said that Australia were moving along at a decent clip here. Now, you don't really know what to think.

    What’s this idea of root being first change, when we have two other spinners in the team?
    Probably looking to get 25+ overs of spin in due to the conditions.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,102

    DavidL said:

    Before Tuesday you would have said that Australia were moving along at a decent clip here. Now, you don't really know what to think.

    What’s this idea of root being first change, when we have two other spinners in the team?
    All part of the long term plan to have him earn his place as a bowler/batsman. Let's face it, he is at risk in this format if he is just a batsman.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,102
    TOPPING said:

    PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEASE NOT THE EFFING CRICKET

    Edit: actually go for it. Who am I to say what we should talk about.

    Very gracious.
This discussion has been closed.