politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three Lions: just maybe

System · July 2018

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three Lions: just maybe

I should start by apologising to Scots, Welsh and Northern Irish. This is a thread about England. It is also a thread about the continual disappointment and thwarted dreams that England’s national football team has visited on its fans so on that basis, perhaps fans from elsewhere will forgive me.

Read the full story here

SandyRentool · July 2018

World in motion

rottenborough · July 2018

2nd. Like...?

tlg86 · July 2018

Nothing on Ally's Tartan Army.

But, seriously, I think that's a very good analysis of the song, and some (not many, but some) people need to read this to understand what the song's about.

TheValiant · July 2018

https://youtu.be/ylftUmF-GSw

I’ll leave this here.

MarqueeMark · July 2018

Two stars on a shirt.....?

Torby_Fennel · July 2018

Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.

dr_spyn · July 2018

Kuntz,

currently the German under 21 coach, ill he be the German manager?

MaxPB · July 2018

I feel sick.

kle4 · July 2018

A double dose of Herdson? You spoil us, sirs.

SandyRentool · July 2018

MarqueeMark said:
Two stars on a shirt.....?

So you are tipping France for the tournament?

Nigelb · July 2018

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.

If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.

dr_spyn · July 2018

https://twitter.com/henrywinter/status/1015576368342585346

Sterling's good run continues...

kle4 · July 2018

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!

I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.

tlg86 · July 2018

MarqueeMark said:
Two stars on a shirt.....?

Surely not. Think how long we had to fight to get the first one put on the shirt.

SandyRentool · July 2018

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.

I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?

MitchellStirling · July 2018

Tackle by Moore is on Jairzinho, not Pele.

dr_spyn · July 2018

SandyRentool said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?

+1000

Torby_Fennel · July 2018

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.

There won't be nobody there! There will be other football dislikers who also think it's a good time to get chores done. I'm being seen by the other people who don't care about football... it's about solidarity with those who think the same way as I do rather than defiance against those who like football. It's not churlish. Churlish would be to wish for the England team to get defeated... that's not my stance.

HYUFD · July 2018

UKIP leader Gerard Batten is filming an address to the British people in his garden on 'Theresa May's Brexit treachery'

https://mobile.twitter.com/UKIP/status/1015569072040366081

felix · July 2018

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.

Pretty well what several posters on here say regularly when they refer to 'anecdotal' evidence.

HYUFD · July 2018

SandyRentool said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?

Nick Clegg on election night 2015?

Pulpstar · July 2018

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.

I don't know about that, adding 3 or 5 to the Tories was definitely en vogue during GE17. He's just taken a leaf out of Martin Boons playbook and applied it to Labour

kle4 · July 2018

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.

It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.

AlastairMeeks · July 2018

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.

Yesterday there didn't seem much enthusiasm on here for a poll that showed a 19% gap between Brexit pessimists and Brexit optimists. Rigour about polls seems to be an optional activity for far more people than one might credit.

kle4 · July 2018

felix said:

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.
Pretty well what several posters on here say regularly when they refer to 'anecdotal' evidence.

Perhaps, but not believing a poll because anecdotally we feel otherwise is not on the same level of magnitude of accusations of rigging andarbitrarily adding points on to the score.

HYUFD · July 2018

Pulpstar said:

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.
I don't know about that, adding 3 or 5 to the Tories was definitely en vogue during GE17. He's just taken a leaf out of Martin Boons playbook and applied it to Labour

Gold Standard Survation has the Tories ahead too and of course in 2015 yougov's final general election poll had the Tories and Labour tied and the Tories won by 7%, so yougov underestimated the Tories then

Floater · July 2018

dr_spyn said:
Kuntz,

currently the German under 21 coach, ill he be the German manager?

Does he have many siblings? - that would make them a bunch......

kle4 · July 2018

AlastairMeeks said:

kle4 said:

justin124 said:

CarlottaVance said:
https://twitter.com/damian_from/status/1015562551105605632
What an utter nonsensical and ignorant tweet from that guy!
I think we've all had reason to make fun of poll accuracy from time to time, but 'They rig them but cannot rig this one effectively, also MOE means let's just 'safely' add 3 to my side's score' is just hilariously dumb. Must be a spoof.
Yesterday there didn't seem much enthusiasm on here for a poll that showed a 19% gap between Brexit pessimists and Brexit optimists. Rigour about polls seems to be an optional activity for far more people than one might credit.

There's a sliding scale of rigour. That guy is at the far end, but I think everyone can find reasons to ignore or explain away any poll or set of polls because we can always fall back on examples where they were not reflective.

dr_spyn · July 2018

HYUFD said:

SandyRentool said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?
Nick Clegg on election night 2015?

One for the lip readers, when he arrived with his wife.

kle4 · July 2018

OldKingCole said:
How long before Johnson decides he wasn’t in the room when the vote was taken or his attention was otherwise elsewhere, or something, so he doesn’t have to abide by the decision?

Depends on how much heat May takes going forward, which depends on if the EU agree the plan is viable or not.

Sandpit · July 2018

Dreams of being 18, 22 years ago. Best football song ever.

SandyRentool · July 2018

dr_spyn said:

HYUFD said:

SandyRentool said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?
Nick Clegg on election night 2015?
One for the lip readers, when he arrived with his wife.

"Yes! Yes! Oh my God! Yes!"

Ah, that's not what you meant by 'arrived with his wife'!

Theuniondivvie · July 2018

Do you get Clubcard points for joining in with the celebration?

https://twitter.com/wisestreligion/status/1014872492136173568

kle4 · July 2018

SandyRentool said:

dr_spyn said:

HYUFD said:

SandyRentool said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
I wonder if anyone goes to the 24-hour Tesco at 3am on election night to demonstrate that they aren't interested in politics?
Nick Clegg on election night 2015?
One for the lip readers, when he arrived with his wife.
"Yes! Yes! Oh my God! Yes!"

Ah, that's not what you meant by 'arrived with his wife'!

*applause*

daodao · July 2018

Torby_Fennel said:

Nigelb said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
If no one is there, how are you being seen ?

I greatly enjoyed the unusual solitude of a walk during extra time in the last England game, but making a point about not caring seems a trifle churlish.
There won't be nobody there! There will be other football dislikers who also think it's a good time to get chores done. I'm being seen by the other people who don't care about football... it's about solidarity with those who think the same way as I do rather than defiance against those who like football. It's not churlish. Churlish would be to wish for the England team to get defeated... that's not my stance.

If Germany can't win, they are probably hoping that one of their satrapies wins the World cup.
Thus Russia and England need to be eliminated today, as I am expecting to occur

felix · July 2018

kle4 said:

OldKingCole said:
How long before Johnson decides he wasn’t in the room when the vote was taken or his attention was otherwise elsewhere, or something, so he doesn’t have to abide by the decision?
Depends on how much heat May takes going forward, which depends on if the EU agree the plan is viable or not.

Bojo can resign or be sacked if he takes that line. I suspect he won't take that line. May will be forced out before the next GE - the price for making the party see sense. If she succeeds the party will owe her a great debt. Her big mistake was the GE for which she must pay the price one way or another.

Sandpit · July 2018

Thanks to Lance Stroll being his usual crap self and going off the track, F1 qualy session delayed and is now going to overlap with the first few minutes of the match. Damn.

daodao · July 2018

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.

TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.

kle4 · July 2018

felix said:

kle4 said:

OldKingCole said:
How long before Johnson decides he wasn’t in the room when the vote was taken or his attention was otherwise elsewhere, or something, so he doesn’t have to abide by the decision?
Depends on how much heat May takes going forward, which depends on if the EU agree the plan is viable or not.
Bojo can resign or be sacked if he takes that line. I suspect he won't take that line.

I don't either, so long as May appears to be making progress.Plenty won't be happy, but my initial thoughts post 2017 were that a very hard job just got a lot harder, and who wants to take that on? A new PM can take over before the next GE, well done thy good and faithful servant now bugger off. But if the EU reject and yet a hard line still isn't countenanced, if yet more red lines are blurred, Boris is most likely to flounce, though he has not shown willing to force a confrontation to date.

felix · July 2018

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.

What a bizarre comment. Actually the EU approach to Russia is at best ambivalent. However, the howls form diehards on both sides of the fence suggest Ms. May has played something of a blinder.

SunnyJim · July 2018

Assuming further concessions beyond this proposal are offered to the EU to finalize a deal then the end result will, of course, be a very soft Brexit.

Long-term I suspect this will play in to the hands of the hard Brexiteers as every economic, legal or immigration setback will be blamed on the deal that prevented the UK 'doing it properly'.

There is no way the ratchet will turn back towards a closer relationship with Europe as I can see the media setting up the EU/Remainers for the blame.

'If only we do Brexit properly' will be a popular rallying slogan at future GE's I suspect just as the communists always needed a little more ideological purity for success.

No question that Remainers own this Brexit though...it certainly isn't a Leavers Brexit.

kle4 · July 2018

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it

In which case no deal brexit becomes most likely again. I think the EU would prefer that to compromising on its own red lines.

kle4 · July 2018

SunnyJim said:
Assuming further concessions beyond this proposal are offered to the EU to finalize a deal then the end result will, of course, be a very soft Brexit.

Long-term I suspect this will play in to the hands of the hard Brexiteers as every economic, legal or immigration setback will be blamed on the deal that prevented the UK 'doing it properly'.

There is no way the ratchet will turn back towards a closer relationship with Europe as I can see the media setting up the EU/Remainers for the blame.

'If only we do Brexit properly' will be a popular rallying slogan at future GE's I suspect just as the communists always needed a little more ideological purity for success.

No question that Remainers own this Brexit though...it certainly isn't a Leavers Brexit.

We'll get whatever Brexit can get through parliament. Hard leavers will have to play a longer game - agreements can always be changed down the line, and if this is proper brexit, and there is sufficient demand for proper brexit, its time will come.

HYUFD · July 2018

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.

If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination

Penddu · July 2018

I think that that is probably the best footballing song ever.

However as a Welshman I am more inclined to sing the more accurate version of 'Englands going home.....your going home....your going home....'

williamglenn · July 2018

On topic:

https://twitter.com/mrjakehumphrey/status/1014757617330262016

TOPPING · July 2018

They've just shown Forsburg missing ten chances as an example of what a threat to us he is.

AlastairMeeks · July 2018

For some reason England have shortened during the course of the day on Betfair from 1.99 to 1.91 to win in 90 minutes today. Anyone have a rational explanation for this?

TOPPING · July 2018

AlastairMeeks said:
For some reason England have shortened during the course of the day on Betfair from 1.99 to 1.91 to win in 90 minutes today. Anyone have a rational explanation for this?

It's what we do.

HYUFD · July 2018

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination

If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it

TOPPING · July 2018

I'm a big fan of Jermaine Jenas' commentary and analysis.

kle4 · July 2018

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it

I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.

williamglenn · July 2018

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination

The Telegraph was suggesting yesterday that we threaten to ban German cars completely.

tlg86 · July 2018

Froome in the dirt.

Sandpit · July 2018

AlastairMeeks said:
For some reason England have shortened during the course of the day on Betfair from 1.99 to 1.91 to win in 90 minutes today. Anyone have a rational explanation for this?

Optimistic England fans piling on?

brendan16 · July 2018

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.

I am sure you are not alone in that. If 23 million are estimated to have watched the Colombia match that means up to 42 million didn't which is nearly twice as many!

But even if you aren't watching or are shopping in your local Tesco it is hard to miss the cheers or groans from local pubs and neighbours unless you live in the country. So you always know it's on!

Sandpit · July 2018

brendan16 said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
I am sure you are not alone in that. If 23 million are estimated to have watched the Colombia match that means up to 42 million didn't which is nearly twice as many!

But even if you aren't watching or are shopping in your local Tesco it is hard to miss the cheers or groans from local pubs and neighbours unless you live in the country. So you always know it's on!

The 23m doesn’t include those watching in pubs or at big house parties, 33m is probably closer to the actual number.

twistedfirestopper3 · July 2018

Penddu said:
I think that that is probably the best footballing song ever.

However as a Welshman I am more inclined to sing the more accurate version of 'Englands going home.....your going home....your going home....'

I take it you Welsh lads sing "We're staying home, we're staying, Wales are staying home"?

Torby_Fennel · July 2018

SunnyJim said:

No question that Remainers own this Brexit though...it certainly isn't a Leavers Brexit.

There's no such thing as a Remainers Brexit so it most certainly is a Leavers Brexit. The referendum question was simply Leave or Remain. Any kind of Brexit 100% honours the answer given to the only question that was asked of the public.

HYUFD · July 2018

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
The Telegraph was suggesting yesterday that we threaten to ban German cars completely.

Expect many more such calls if Barnier and co reject May's proposals

HYUFD · July 2018

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.

Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They are also not be going to be able to replace the UK as their largest export destination overnight

FF43 · July 2018

SunnyJim said:
Assuming further concessions beyond this proposal are offered to the EU to finalize a deal then the end result will, of course, be a very soft Brexit.

Long-term I suspect this will play in to the hands of the hard Brexiteers as every economic, legal or immigration setback will be blamed on the deal that prevented the UK 'doing it properly'.

There is no way the ratchet will turn back towards a closer relationship with Europe as I can see the media setting up the EU/Remainers for the blame.

'If only we do Brexit properly' will be a popular rallying slogan at future GE's I suspect just as the communists always needed a little more ideological purity for success.

No question that Remainers own this Brexit though...it certainly isn't a Leavers Brexit.

A Remainers Brexit is like a Virgin Birth. But why not ? If the Mother of God got away with it ...

CarlottaVance · July 2018

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
The Telegraph was suggesting yesterday that we threaten to ban German cars completely.

On health grounds as we've no idea what their emissions are?

SunnyJim · July 2018

Torby_Fennel said:

SunnyJim said:

No question that Remainers own this Brexit though...it certainly isn't a Leavers Brexit.
There's no such thing as a Remainers Brexit so it most certainly is a Leavers Brexit. The referendum question was simply Leave or Remain. Any kind of Brexit 100% honours the answer given to the only question that was asked of the public.

In a literal sense you are correct of course.

However, I don't think anybody (and especially the MSM) consider a soft-Brexit to be anything other than a wrecking attempt by the EU/Remainer alliance.

Remainers definately DO own any soft-Brexit...few Leave voters will have had this in mind when they voted.

CarlottaVance · July 2018

Tory MPs and ministers have consistently under-estimated their leader.

What Theresa May achieved at Chequers yesterday was extraordinary.

She persuaded her cabinet to sign up for a Brexit plan that drives a coach and horses through what the Brexiters in her team - especially Johnson and Gove - said Brexit was all about, during that historic referendum campaign.

http://www.itv.com/news/2018-07-07/how-may-crushed-the-brexiters/

HYUFD · July 2018

brendan16 said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
I am sure you are not alone in that. If 23 million are estimated to have watched the Colombia match that means up to 42 million didn't which is nearly twice as many!

But even if you aren't watching or are shopping in your local Tesco it is hard to miss the cheers or groans from local pubs and neighbours unless you live in the country. So you always know it's on!

Only 3 programmes in UK TV history have got viewers over 30 million, the 1966 world cup final, Princess Diana's funeral and a documentary on the royal family.

So if England get to the world cup final, of course still a big if, it could get into that top 3

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_watched_television_broadcasts

kle4 · July 2018

HYUFD said:

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.
Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They aren't going to believe that. Not yet at any rate. I suppose the question is when they come back and say either no or 'more is required' what will the Cabinet do between now and the deadline?

williamglenn · July 2018

HYUFD said:

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
The Telegraph was suggesting yesterday that we threaten to ban German cars completely.
Expect many more such calls if Barnier and co reject May's proposals

I'm sure the EU will be quaking at the thought of Telegraph readers bursting a blood vessel.

HYUFD · July 2018

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue t only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.
Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They aren't going to believe that. Not yet at any rate. I suppose the question is when they come back and say either no or 'more is required' what will the Cabinet do between now and the deadline?

It will most likely tell May she has to resign or face a no confidence vote and prepare for No Deal and a Mogg, Boris or Gove or Javid premiership.

Sadly for her she would become Chamberlain and it would be her Munich Agreement

TOPPING · July 2018

HYUFD said:

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.
Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They are also not be going to be able to replace the UK as their largest export destination overnight

We account for approx 6% of each EU country's exports (OK, Germany and France which I just googled). The EU accounts for nearly 50% of our exports.

CarlottaVance · July 2018

https://twitter.com/gsoh31/status/1015584099816366081

HYUFD · July 2018

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
The Telegraph was suggesting yesterday that we threaten to ban German cars completely.
Expect many more such calls if Barnier and co reject May's proposals
I'm sure the EU will be quaking at the thought of Telegraph readers bursting a blood vessel.

Given those Telegraph readers live in the EU's largest export market if they want to ignore it fine

Stark_Dawning · July 2018

When was England's fourth semi-final? (I've got WCs 1966 and 1990 and Euro '96.)

Torby_Fennel · July 2018

SunnyJim said:

In a literal sense you are correct of course.

However, I don't think anybody (and especially the MSM) consider a soft-Brexit to be anything other than a wrecking attempt by the EU/Remainer alliance.

Remainers definately DO own any soft-Brexit...few Leave voters will have had this in mind when they voted.

A referendum ballot paper is very much like a school exam paper in that:

i) You must read the questions very carefully
ii) You must only answer the questions that have actually been asked
iii) You must not try to answer questions that do not appear on the paper - however much you might wish that something you had studied more had been asked instead.

dixiedean · July 2018

Froome 1 min 1 sec down after crashing today.

Pulpstar · July 2018

tlg86 said:
Froome in the dirt.

He's gained time on Quintana and not lost any to Porte. Good day for Nibali, Dumoulin and the field generally, a poor day but not complete disaster for Froome

Pulpstar · July 2018

HYUFD said:

brendan16 said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
I am sure you are not alone in that. If 23 million are estimated to have watched the Colombia match that means up to 42 million didn't which is nearly twice as many!

But even if you aren't watching or are shopping in your local Tesco it is hard to miss the cheers or groans from local pubs and neighbours unless you live in the country. So you always know it's on!
Only 3 programmes in UK TV history have got viewers over 30 million, the 1966 world cup final, Princess Diana's funeral and a documentary on the royal family.

So if England get to the world cup final, of course still a big if, it could get into that top 3

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_watched_television_broadcasts

Dirty Den too !

CarlottaVance · July 2018

https://twitter.com/mocent0/status/1014255157620740103

dr_spyn · July 2018

After breaking an arm in early 2010, I drove for the first time during the England Germany match. That day, the Welsh roads were very quiet. Unfortunately, I was still able to hear the radio commentary.

Nigelb · July 2018

I was right about qualifying being close - six hundredths between Hamilton and Vettel.

HYUFD · July 2018

TOPPING said:

HYUFD said:

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: he eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the d no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile Putin's Russia on its borders and a hostile Trump's USA while also coping with the migrant crisis from North Africa and the populist backlash and the tensions within the Eurozone then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.
Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They are also not be going to be able to replace the UK as their largest export destination overnight
We account for approx 6% of each EU country's exports (OK, Germany and France which I just googled). The EU accounts for nearly 50% of our exports.

The EU is far more than just Germany and France, 7% of Spanish exports go to the UK for instance and of course Trump's US is already the EU's current largest export destination and is already slamming tariffs on EU imports, we would end up joining Trump in a trade war with the EU but unlike Trump we would push no or minimal tariffs with the rest of the world. As you say most UK exports now go outside the EU.

We may also still achieve a FTA with the US post Brexit

PClipp · July 2018

felix said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
What a bizarre comment. Actually the EU approach to Russia is at best ambivalent. However, the howls form diehards on both sides of the fence suggest Ms. May has played something of a blinder.

That is the fence dividing the Conservatives from the Conservatives...? Definitely a blinder that one!

HYUFD · July 2018

Pulpstar said:

HYUFD said:

brendan16 said:

Torby_Fennel said:
Looks like this afternoon might be a really good time to get the supermarket shopping done.

For me, on these occasions, it's not just that I don't care about the football but that I also want to be publicly seen to be not caring about the football.
I am sure you are not alone in that. If 23 million are estimated to have watched the Colombia match that means up to 42 million didn't which is nearly twice as many!

But even if you aren't watching or are shopping in your local Tesco it is hard to miss the cheers or groans from local pubs and neighbours unless you live in the country. So you always know it's on!
Only 3 programmes in UK TV history have got viewers over 30 million, the 1966 world cup final, Princess Diana's funeral and a documentary on the royal family.

So if England get to the world cup final, of course still a big if, it could get into that top 3

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_watched_television_broadcasts
Dirty Den too !

That was 4th and you are correct just got over 30 million

Sandpit · July 2018

Nigelb said:
I was right about qualifying being close - six hundredths between Hamilton and Vettel.

44ms at the end, well done Lewis!

Sunil_Prasannan · July 2018

I see your Three Lions and raise you a World in Motion

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Re4aDJL3heA

HYUFD · July 2018

HYUFD said:

TOPPING said:

HYUFD said:

kle4 said:

HYUFD said:

HYUFD said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: he eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the d no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
If the EU reject even this deal then in my view as Tories we would have to accept they do not want a deal and put Mogg, Gove or Boris in as Tory leader and PM and prepare for hard Brexit and WTO terms.

Of course the EU would have to reflect on tariffs on EU exports to the UK, which will be the EU's biggest export destination post Brexit as well as the tariffs Trump has also slammed on EU exports, the USA being the EU's current largest export destination
If the EU wants a hostile post Brexit UK as well as a hostile ne then so be it
I don't think they do. I think they are gambling we will compromise yet further, so they do not have to, and that at worst in a no deal situation we will be bitter but too damaged for it to matter.
Except we won't compromise further, the ball is now in the EU's court, they can take it or leave it.

They are also not be going to be able to replace the UK as their largest export destination overnight
We account for approx 6% of each EU country's exports (OK, Germany and France which I just googled). The EU accounts for nearly 50% of our exports.
The EU is far more than just Germany and France, 7% of Spanish exports go to the UK for instance and of course Trump's US is already the EU's current largest export destination and is already slamming tariffs on EU imports, we would end up joining Trump in a trade war with the EU but unlike Trump we would push no or minimal tariffs with the rest of the world. As you say most UK exports now go outside the EU.

We may also still achieve a FTA with the US post Brexit

9% of Dutch exports and 15% of Irish exports and 8% of Danish exports go to the UK too

Sunil_Prasannan · July 2018

Stark_Dawning said:
When was England's fourth semi-final? (I've got WCs 1966 and 1990 and Euro '96.)

Next week? Touch wood!

Nigelb · July 2018

Sandpit said:

Nigelb said:
I was right about qualifying being close - six hundredths between Hamilton and Vettel.
44ms at the end, well done Lewis!

Get in there !
Couldn’t bet against Hamilton at Silverstone....

AndyJS · July 2018

I hope Colombia are watching to see how football should be played.

williamglenn · July 2018

HYUFD said:
It will most likely tell May she has to resign or face a no confidence vote and prepare for No Deal and a Mogg, Boris or Gove or Javid premiership.

https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1015589171082219520

HYUFD · July 2018

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:
It will most likely tell May she has to resign or face a no confidence vote and prepare for No Deal and a Mogg, Boris or Gove or Javid premiership.
https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1015589171082219520

On the basis it would be accepted by the EU, if the EU rejects it and demands even more concessions that is a totally different ball game

felix · July 2018

PClipp said:

felix said:

daodao said:

kle4 said:

Handymandy1980 said:
"Discussions in a literal hot-house."

Except it wasn't. Chequers is a C16th Manor House and the rooms are actually very cool even during a heatwave.

And this neatly illustrates the trouble with this article: speculation and guesswork. Until or unless ministers leak further details to the Sunday papers we remain in the dark. Something is clearly going on. The fact that Brexiteers (apart from Guido Fawkes, who wasn't present) are so chilled about it all means there's more to this than meets the eye.
It might be as speculated - that they are counting on the EU rejecting it, therefore when they do the Brexiters can pursue a hard or no deal brexit from a position of righteousness. After all, they agreed to concede a lot and the EU still said no.

I think given the immediate reactions May will take a hit at first, and all depends on if the EU suggest it is viable or not. Selling it as harder than the softs would like, and softer than the hards would like, might be enough for the party at least to think it acceptable, but only if the EU plays ball.
TM's proposal is picking and choosing from the "4 freedoms". The EU should reject it and treat the UK like it treats Russia.
What a bizarre comment. Actually the EU approach to Russia is at best ambivalent. However, the howls form diehards on both sides of the fence suggest Ms. May has played something of a blinder.
That is the fence dividing the Conservatives from the Conservatives...? Definitely a blinder that one!

You are as usual somewhat confused and maybe a little upset. Go and have a lie down?

Nigelb · July 2018

Ferrari’s look quite dangerous for the race, though, with Bottas a bit down in fourth. Raikonnen was ‘unhappy’ with his lap - and only a tenth down on Hamilton.

Theuniondivvie · July 2018

AndyJS said:
I hope Colombia are watching to see how football should be played.

Hmm.

'15 mins
Post update

Sweden 0-0 England

As dull a 15 minutes as you will have seen at the World Cup.'

Sunil_Prasannan · July 2018

williamglenn said:

HYUFD said:
It will most likely tell May she has to resign or face a no confidence vote and prepare for No Deal and a Mogg, Boris or Gove or Javid premiership.
https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/1015589171082219520

That's the look
That's the look
That's the look
The look of Gove

Nigelb · July 2018

Sterling looking a bit sharper than of late; Trippier a bit uninspired on the right.

Sunil_Prasannan · July 2018

Theuniondivvie said:

AndyJS said:
I hope Colombia are watching to see how football should be played.
Hmm.

'15 mins
Post update

Sweden 0-0 England

As dull a 15 minutes as you will have seen at the World Cup.'

20 mins
CLOSE!

Sweden 0-0 England

Sweden have only conceded twice at the World Cup, both to Germany - but there's a shot!

Raheem Sterling runs it well from deep, it finds Harry Kane central, about 22 yards wide, and he shoots low but just wide.

CarlottaVance · July 2018

https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1015600636107411457

surby · July 2018

AndyJS said:
I hope Colombia are watching to see how football should be played.

You mean by not playing at all!

Sandpit · July 2018

Nigelb said:
Ferrari’s look quite dangerous for the race, though, with Bottas a bit down in fourth. Raikonnen was ‘unhappy’ with his lap - and only a tenth down on Hamilton.

Lewis was in tears at the end, talking to Martin Brundle on the grid. I think the crowd made the difference. At 280kph as they cross the line, .044” is 3.38m, less than a car’s length.

Red cars definitely looking dangerous for tomorrow, hopefully Bottas can get among them off the start. All set up for a great race tomorrow, I’m now kicking myself that I couldn’t make it back to watch - even the weather is good!

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