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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Both TMay and Corbyn drop to record lows in YouGov’s favourabi

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  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,619
    kjohnw said:


    Brtiain wants to be inspired.
    I'm convinced the economy would be energised with No deal.

    Can you describe how you think No Deal would energise the economy?
    we could reduce our corporation tax rates to the lowest in Europe to make us attractive to foreign investment and subsidise our manufacturing industry to compete with Germany for starters
    So tax down, subsidies up. At a time when the debt is large. I can't help thinking that this is not a good plan,
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,012
    kjohnw said:

    kjohnw said:


    Brtiain wants to be inspired.
    I'm convinced the economy would be energised with No deal.

    Can you describe how you think No Deal would energise the economy?
    we could reduce our corporation tax rates to the lowest in Europe to make us attractive to foreign investment and subsidise our manufacturing industry to compete with Germany for starters
    Subsidising manufacturing?

    You sir are a socialist and Margaret Thatcher would kick your arse for such economic heresy.
    in a no deal brexit we would need to go to war economically with Europe, that's not socialism , its survival
    This is such idiocy. The UK would not win a trade war with the EU, and you are ignoring the immediate negative shock from disruption of existing supply chains.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    GE 2019. Now dropped to 1.85
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,561
    edited March 2019
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    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,940
    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    Does each option get to spend the weekend in boot camp at the judges house?
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited March 2019

    Are we having fun yet?

    What alternatives to popcorn are there
    Absinthe.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,521
    viewcode said:

    kjohnw said:


    Brtiain wants to be inspired.
    I'm convinced the economy would be energised with No deal.

    Can you describe how you think No Deal would energise the economy?
    we could reduce our corporation tax rates to the lowest in Europe to make us attractive to foreign investment and subsidise our manufacturing industry to compete with Germany for starters
    So tax down, subsidies up. At a time when the debt is large. I can't help thinking that this is not a good plan,
    Ah, the Venezuela plan! What could possibly go wrong?
  • Options
    kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    If Letwin is such a dangerous precedent, then May should call a GE. Simples.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,625
    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now
    Way out of what? What positions do the party's fight the election under?
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
    Dropping. Now 1.83.

    Just put another £5 on myself.
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,046
    Pulpstar said:

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.
    My MP (Mann) seems to have voted against Letwin but abstained on Beckett. What's he saying there ?
    That its easier to vote against 'one of them' rather than 'one of us' ?
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,619
    edited March 2019
    dots said:

    The only leader that can replace May from this cabinet is one that chooses Clean Brexit over long delay. She’s there so long as she does that bidding.

    That’s where the power and control lies. In the executive. When a putsch comes to shove that’s where the cabinet, government and party is. That’s where both the people and parliament voted. That’s where the law that needs to be overturned is. The only way to stop Clean Brexit is pass the WA.

    Regarding your repeated use of "clean Brexit" I must refer you to this incisive political analysis from that fine 2004 tract "Mean Girls"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pubd-spHN-0
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-rebate/britain-would-lose-eu-rebate-even-if-it-decided-to-ditch-brexit-eu-official-idUKKCN1MM1PV

    BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union’s budget chief Guenther Oettinger said on Friday Britain would lose its rebate even in the “pleasant but improbable” event of it staying in the bloc.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    TGOHF said:

    Danny565 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Taxes are going to have to rise to pay the extra EU membership fees - may as well let Jezza raise em.

    There really is no point in this government - let it fall.

    Will there be extra membership fees? I thought Mrs May's super-duper negotiating skills had ensured we'd be paying the full whack for the next two years, even if we were out of the EU, anyway.
    When we revoke - we lose all rebates. Thanks Remainers...
    No we don't.
    They just expire next year instead. And I'm sure they're going to be very keen to keep them on going after this farce in the next round of budgetary negotiations.
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    StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Oh good, a quick round of happy birthday.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,795
    AndyJS said:

    I wonder if we could see No Deal supporters decide they prefer Remain to Mrs May's Deal.

    One can be sure that they'll choose whichever course of action does most damage to the cause which they claim to support.
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    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    edited March 2019
    So what was the actual final amended motion result?

    OK just put up, 327-300,maj 27
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,561
    Four MPs have already buggered-off to the bars.
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    dotsdots Posts: 615
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    There is no bill that can force the government to implement the commons indicative vote. The governing party can point to three far stronger and legitimate mandates, from voters in 2016 and 18, and from parliament itself making leaving EU UK law by massive majority and just drop the indicative vote in the bin.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,320
    See?
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
    Dropping. Now 1.83.

    Just put another £5 on myself.
    By what mechanism do you see a general election being called?
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,063
    viewcode said:

    dots said:

    The only leader that can replace May from this cabinet is one that chooses Clean Brexit over long delay. She’s there so long as she does that bidding.

    That’s where the power and control lies. In the executive. When a putsch comes to shove that’s where the cabinet, government and party is. That’s where both the people and parliament voted. That’s where the law that needs to be overturned is. The only way to stop Clean Brexit is pass the WA.

    Regarding your repeated use of "clean Brexit" I must refer you to this incisive political analysis from that fine 2004 tract "Mean Girls"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pubd-spHN-0
    There is so much wisdom in Mean Girls.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    Jezza mentions 2nd vote.

    Gosh...
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    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    Bercow's making friends
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    Bercow openly slagging off the Tory backbenchers now.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,243

    “Hello.. is that the company that makes WTFometers? It’s the UK Parliament here. We’ve had one for the last 40 years - just in time for Sunny Jim wheeling dying MPs through the lobby. We had to get it recalibarated during the Maastricht Unpleasantness in the 90s, of course. But, well, the thing is, we have a government now which has seen the central plank of its policy die on its arse, twice, by three-figure majorities, then loses three ministers in a double-figure defeat over holding a Bring Your Policies To Work day - and still it’s in office. To cut a long story short, our WTFometer is now a pile of twisted metal and burning plastic, and we were wondering how much it would cost to upgrade?”

    LOL
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    Bercow: you're shit and you know you are
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
    Dropping. Now 1.83.

    Just put another £5 on myself.
    By what mechanism do you see a general election being called?
    Theresa May calling one when the Commons votes for the "Common Market".
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.

    All it would take is a meaningful, credible move from the government to Labour’s position and leaving on 22nd May would be all but guaranteed. The PM can still deliver Brexit, but she will not countenance compromise because it will destroy her party. She is thwarting the will of the people.

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    AlanCAlanC Posts: 10
    dixiedean said:

    Scott_P said:
    What the hell is this fetishisation of the DUP? Either the ERG climb down or they don't. What the drum bashes have to say is incidental.
    Do they take the DUP whip, or what?
    It's totally counterproductive for them. The DUP have totally different priorities. Norway+ is a much better option than the deal for them.
    kle4 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Scott_P said:
    What the hell is this fetishisation of the DUP? Either the ERG climb down or they don't. What the drum bashes have to say is incidental.
    Do they take the DUP whip, or what?
    In effect, yes. And boy howdy do the DUP love it. Too much, since there probably won't be a Tory government for much longer for them to lord it over, but they just cannot seem to help themselves stringing them along, no doubt demanding huge amounts behind the scenes, and generally acting like they don't care what happens because their seats are almost all safe.

    Some ERG people want to climb down but are too embarrassed to do so without DUP cover. The DUP probably don't want want to be seen as the reason others climbed down, so want others to do it first.
    It's totally counterproductive for the ERG. The DUP are on record as saying that UK-wide soft brexit is better than the deal.
    Pulpstar said:

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.
    My MP (Mann) seems to have voted against Letwin but abstained on Beckett. What's he saying there ?
    He supports the deal
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,914
    I cannot think of another PM who has been so destroyed as May has and remained in office. She has now lost everything. It is 21st century Shakespeare - hubris and high haughtiness leading to humiliation and emasculation.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,619

    I have a massive stockpile of bog roll, what am I going to do with it now that I won't need it?

    Give it to me. We have Conservatives recommending deficit spending, the ERG delivering no-Brexit because they genuinely prefer bitching to action, SeanT called Remainers patronising, and Oliver Fucking Letwin just launched a coup and won. Constipation will not be one of my problems.
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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    dots said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    There is no bill that can force the government to implement the commons indicative vote. The governing party can point to three far stronger and legitimate mandates, from voters in 2016 and 18, and from parliament itself making leaving EU UK law by massive majority and just drop the indicative vote in the bin.
    You don't understand our constitution. We are led by bills not "mandates". If a bill is passed it is the law.

    Does proroguing Parliament require a vote of the Commons? I'm in the mood that I'd love to see May resign and prorogue Parliament 15 April and say "fine we're exiting no deal now you lot sort it out I'm off".
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,625

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.

    All it would take is a meaningful, credible move from the government to Labour’s position and leaving on 22nd May would be all but guaranteed. The PM can still deliver Brexit, but she will not countenance compromise because it will destroy her party. She is thwarting the will of the people.

    Which people?

    Bercow's making friends

    He's bulletproof, he can do what he likes.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    Another minor riot in HoC over a Bercow comment about a past whip being crap.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,625
    So, are we looking at a long extension for a GE, or a long extension for a referendum?
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    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    kle4 said:

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now
    Way out of what? What positions do the party's fight the election under?
    Exactly!
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,795
    dots said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    There is no bill that can force the government to implement the commons indicative vote. The governing party can point to three far stronger and legitimate mandates, from voters in 2016 and 18, and from parliament itself making leaving EU UK law by massive majority and just drop the indicative vote in the bin.
    If the Commons indicative vote is Revoke, or Seond Referendum, I hope the government would resign at that point, and invite its opponents to form an alternative government.

    If it's any form of (deliverable) Brexit, they should accept it.
  • Options
    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
    Dropping. Now 1.83.

    Just put another £5 on myself.
    By what mechanism do you see a general election being called?

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.

    All it would take is a meaningful, credible move from the government to Labour’s position and leaving on 22nd May would be all but guaranteed. The PM can still deliver Brexit, but she will not countenance compromise because it will destroy her party. She is thwarting the will of the people.

    What is the point of the Conservative party if it is this wet, useless and poorly governed ?

    Let it die.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 116,940
    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    No, as after preferences it will be over 326 votes.

    The MV may never be put forward again, so it is now either BINO which the Commons likely votes for or as May made clear today we contest the EU Parliament elections and indefinite extension
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159

    kle4 said:

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now
    Way out of what? What positions do the party's fight the election under?
    Exactly!
    Stopping the precedent of HoC taking control of the executive might be reason enough.

    But she may feel also there is nothing remotely left to lose.
  • Options
    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    kle4 said:

    So, are we looking at a long extension for a GE, or a long extension for a referendum?

    I say the former.

    Pretty sure May would GE rather than PV.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,141
    TGOHF said:

    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-rebate/britain-would-lose-eu-rebate-even-if-it-decided-to-ditch-brexit-eu-official-idUKKCN1MM1PV

    BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union’s budget chief Guenther Oettinger said on Friday Britain would lose its rebate even in the “pleasant but improbable” event of it staying in the bloc.

    Read the actual article, don't stop at the summary. It says *Oettinger wants* to phase out the rebate.

    He wanted to phase out the rebate already. The reason there's still a rebate is because is isn't up to him.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,625

    dots said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    There is no bill that can force the government to implement the commons indicative vote. The governing party can point to three far stronger and legitimate mandates, from voters in 2016 and 18, and from parliament itself making leaving EU UK law by massive majority and just drop the indicative vote in the bin.
    You don't understand our constitution. We are led by bills not "mandates". If a bill is passed it is the law.

    Does proroguing Parliament require a vote of the Commons? I'm in the mood that I'd love to see May resign and prorogue Parliament 15 April and say "fine we're exiting no deal now you lot sort it out I'm off".
    I seem to recall that proroguing is a prerogative act of the Crown
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    Tory benches wetting their knickers now, everyone looking classy.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820

    TGOHF said:

    Danny565 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Taxes are going to have to rise to pay the extra EU membership fees - may as well let Jezza raise em.

    There really is no point in this government - let it fall.

    Will there be extra membership fees? I thought Mrs May's super-duper negotiating skills had ensured we'd be paying the full whack for the next two years, even if we were out of the EU, anyway.
    When we revoke - we lose all rebates. Thanks Remainers...
    No we don't.
    They just expire next year instead. And I'm sure they're going to be very keen to keep them on going after this farce in the next round of budgetary negotiations.
    Not so:

    http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7886/CBP-7886.pdf

    "As the rebate is included in the EU's regulation that determines Member states' contributions, it is essentially permanent: the regulation can only be changed if all Member States, including the UK, agree."

    Page 11
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,619
    AndyJS said:

    I wonder if we could see No Deal supporters decide they prefer Remain to Mrs May's Deal.

    I would counter-intuitively be quite upset by that. The main issue is not whether we Remain or Leave, but whether we can govern ourselves in a rational manner: set a goal, do a plan, execute the steps, complete task. Millions of people do this in their everyday lives every day. What makes MPs think they are exempt from this?
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,217
    This thread has

    resigned from office

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,902

    kle4 said:

    So, are we looking at a long extension for a GE, or a long extension for a referendum?

    I say the former.

    Pretty sure May would GE rather than PV.
    You can win a GE with 40 odd %, it gets thumped in a two way referendum and the effect on the Tories is much the same.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Danny565 said:

    kjohnw said:

    HYUFD said:

    GIN1138 said:

    OK MPs this is your moment. You think you can control Brexit better than the government fine. Lets see what you've got.

    They hadn't better have done all this just to finish up not being able to agree anything on Wednesday...

    Letwin will do it by preferences next Monday if no majority on Wednesday Newsnight said, maybe AV, STV? If so BINO likely winner
    May needs to be on her way to the palace by Monday.
    A General Election is the only way out now . It has to be odds on
    Dropping. Now 1.83.

    Just put another £5 on myself.
    By what mechanism do you see a general election being called?
    Theresa May calling one when the Commons votes for the "Common Market".
    Keep going. Do you see her trying to get two thirds of the Commons to vote for it? Because if Parliament is that out of her control why would it comply?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,795

    I am lost. What is the main motion? Could this fall, in which case all the amendments are gone?

    Sure! They voted for an amendment to the government motion. Doesn't mean they will vote for the amended government motion...
    Yes. I think the figures will be much the same, though.

    People who voted for Letwin and not Beckett presumably say that they want constructive alternatives to May's deal, but are not focused on stopping Brexit, even hard Brexit.

    All it would take is a meaningful, credible move from the government to Labour’s position and leaving on 22nd May would be all but guaranteed. The PM can still deliver Brexit, but she will not countenance compromise because it will destroy her party. She is thwarting the will of the people.

    Do you truly believe that Corbyn wants to strike a deal with the government over Brexit?
  • Options
    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,521
    edited March 2019

    Four MPs have already buggered-off to the bars.

    Good plan. I see the LGW to Marrakesh flight is nearly over Portugal now.
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159

    I cannot think of another PM who has been so destroyed as May has and remained in office. She has now lost everything. It is 21st century Shakespeare - hubris and high haughtiness leading to humiliation and emasculation.

    The tragedy is deeper I think.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,795
    HYUFD said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    No, as after preferences it will be over 326 votes.

    The MV may never be put forward again, so it is now either BINO which the Commons likely votes for or as May made clear today we contest the EU Parliament elections and indefinite extension
    If MP's abstain, rather than switching their votes, the winning option can fall well short of 326.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,521
    Jess Phillips always on telly nowadays. On manouvres me thinks.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I said this in an earlier thread but how is this a dangerous precedent? A minority government can always be threatened with the threat of a VONC. How is this any different? If there was a functioning coalition or majority government, none of this would be a problem.

    Because the executive sets the policy under the threat of being sacked

    Under this “innovation” it’ll be government by committee

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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,619
    edited March 2019

    viewcode said:

    dots said:

    The only leader that can replace May from this cabinet is one that chooses Clean Brexit over long delay. She’s there so long as she does that bidding.

    That’s where the power and control lies. In the executive. When a putsch comes to shove that’s where the cabinet, government and party is. That’s where both the people and parliament voted. That’s where the law that needs to be overturned is. The only way to stop Clean Brexit is pass the WA.

    Regarding your repeated use of "clean Brexit" I must refer you to this incisive political analysis from that fine 2004 tract "Mean Girls"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pubd-spHN-0
    There is so much wisdom in Mean Girls.
    I can't get over how young Lindsay Lohan looks. Then I realise "Mean Girls" was fifteen years ago
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    rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,159
    Charles said:

    I said this in an earlier thread but how is this a dangerous precedent? A minority government can always be threatened with the threat of a VONC. How is this any different? If there was a functioning coalition or majority government, none of this would be a problem.

    Because the executive sets the policy under the threat of being sacked

    Under this “innovation” it’ll be government by committee

    Bill Cash just said it is a revolution.

    Bercow did not demur.

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    DruttDrutt Posts: 1,093
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    dots said:

    The only leader that can replace May from this cabinet is one that chooses Clean Brexit over long delay. She’s there so long as she does that bidding.

    That’s where the power and control lies. In the executive. When a putsch comes to shove that’s where the cabinet, government and party is. That’s where both the people and parliament voted. That’s where the law that needs to be overturned is. The only way to stop Clean Brexit is pass the WA.

    Regarding your repeated use of "clean Brexit" I must refer you to this incisive political analysis from that fine 2004 tract "Mean Girls"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pubd-spHN-0
    There is so much wisdom in Mean Girls.
    I can't get over how young Lindsay Lohan looks. Then I realise "Mean Girls" was fifteen years ago

    Bear in mind that 2004 bananas have aged better than 2004 Lohan.
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    nico67nico67 Posts: 4,502
    Oh poor luvs the ERG are all panicking !
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    dotsdots Posts: 615

    dots said:

    Sean_F said:

    HYUFD said:

    Letwin amendment passes Newsnight saying could be huge.

    The Commons will vote on Brexit first preferences on Wednesday then on Monday if no majority preferential voting to find a winner, then next Wednesday Letwin will introduce a Bill to force the Government to implement the Commons vote

    The problem, as I see it, is that the preferred outcome still falls well short of 326 votes, and promptly gets voted down, when the substantive motion is put.
    There is no bill that can force the government to implement the commons indicative vote. The governing party can point to three far stronger and legitimate mandates, from voters in 2016 and 18, and from parliament itself making leaving EU UK law by massive majority and just drop the indicative vote in the bin.
    You don't understand our constitution. We are led by bills not "mandates". If a bill is passed it is the law.

    Does proroguing Parliament require a vote of the Commons? I'm in the mood that I'd love to see May resign and prorogue Parliament 15 April and say "fine we're exiting no deal now you lot sort it out I'm off".
    It’s not as simple as that Thomo. I know how it works very well 😁
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    OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,063
    Drutt said:

    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    dots said:

    The only leader that can replace May from this cabinet is one that chooses Clean Brexit over long delay. She’s there so long as she does that bidding.

    That’s where the power and control lies. In the executive. When a putsch comes to shove that’s where the cabinet, government and party is. That’s where both the people and parliament voted. That’s where the law that needs to be overturned is. The only way to stop Clean Brexit is pass the WA.

    Regarding your repeated use of "clean Brexit" I must refer you to this incisive political analysis from that fine 2004 tract "Mean Girls"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pubd-spHN-0
    There is so much wisdom in Mean Girls.
    I can't get over how young Lindsay Lohan looks. Then I realise "Mean Girls" was fifteen years ago

    Bear in mind that 2004 bananas have aged better than 2004 Lohan.
    Who's being a mean girl now? I think that counts as word vomit.
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,153
    TGOHF said:

    Danny565 said:

    TGOHF said:

    Taxes are going to have to rise to pay the extra EU membership fees - may as well let Jezza raise em.

    There really is no point in this government - let it fall.

    Will there be extra membership fees? I thought Mrs May's super-duper negotiating skills had ensured we'd be paying the full whack for the next two years, even if we were out of the EU, anyway.
    When we revoke - we lose all rebates. Thanks Remainers...
    Foxy said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Floater said:

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6847147/Labour-splits-Brexit-exposed-Peoples-Vote-march.html

    Well at least shameless in honest

    Shami Chakrabarti insisted a second referendum had 'never been our preference'.

    I remember when Shami Chakrabarti was widely respected. It seems like a long time ago.
    Only by people who didn’t know what she was really like. She had trashed what was left of her reputation long before joining Labour. Remember the LSE and Ghadaffi or her failure to stand up for Wilders when he was unlawfully kept out of the country. She had about as much understanding of human rights as my cat.
    And for a while David Davis was best buds with her....hmmm...
    Still the sexyist in the House of Lords though, with her bedroom eyes and soft come hither voice.



    Are you feeling quite well?😨
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