On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
This is where we miss SeanT. I would have loved his take on God setting fire to his own curtains as payback to Macron for being a **** over Brexit. Or something.
I can make out some of that, not all of it. What is the good news about the art work and what is 'trésor?'
All the works of art have been saved, the cathedrals treasure is intact ... the holy relics.
There’s one phrase I can’t read
'couronne d'epines' is the crown of thorns, which Ted Crilly will confirm is a class 1 relic, and the 'saints sacraments' are the copper saint statues which were taken off the base of the spire on Friday for restoration.
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
This is where we miss SeanT. I would have loved his take on God setting fire to his own curtains as payback to Macron for being a **** over Brexit. Or something.
Has seanT flounced again? Or is he too busy banging his young hot wife (his claim not mine) to post on PB.
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
NY Times
3 homes bernie...i am sure he used to bang on about how many homes, cars, yachts the mega wealth really needed.
Whether what she said is valid or not is besides the point (as some people on Twitter were discussing). Newsreaders ought to be neutral, as far as possible, not airing their own views and opinions.
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
This is where we miss SeanT. I would have loved his take on God setting fire to his own curtains as payback to Macron for being a **** over Brexit. Or something.
Has seanT flounced again? Or is he too busy banging his young hot wife (his claim not mine) to post on PB.
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
This is where we miss SeanT. I would have loved his take on God setting fire to his own curtains as payback to Macron for being a **** over Brexit. Or something.
Has seanT flounced again? Or is he too busy banging his young hot wife (his claim not mine) to post on PB.
A £10 contribution to Macron's new resto fund says the next Martin Rowson or Steve Bell cartoon in the Graun has the PM as Quasimodo and the UK or Brexit as the Cathedral.
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
This is where we miss SeanT. I would have loved his take on God setting fire to his own curtains as payback to Macron for being a **** over Brexit. Or something.
Has seanT flounced again? Or is he too busy banging his young hot wife (his claim not mine) to post on PB.
Whether what she said is valid or not is besides the point (as some people on Twitter were discussing). Newsreaders ought to be neutral, as far as possible, not airing their own views and opinions.
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I very much hope the government will pledge funds towards this project.
Why? It's terrible, but France is rich enough to rebuild this.
As is the Vatican. Still robbing the poor to pay for gilded palaces is the Catholic Church’s second favourite activity...
The Vatican does not need to, it has vast enough assets and wealthy donors as it is many of whom I am sure will chip in for the Notre Dame restoration, the Catholic Church does however provide plenty of foodbanks and homeless shelters for the poor.
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Two generations. Experience and youthful energy. One term to clear up the Trump mess and an old diplomatic pro rebuilds alliances and then the flame is handed on.
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
They have to beat Sanders and O'Rourke first, Sanders-O'Rourke is also a likely ticket
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
They have to beat Sanders and O'Rourke first, Sanders-O'Rourke is also a likely ticket
I very much hope the government will pledge funds towards this project.
Why? It's terrible, but France is rich enough to rebuild this.
As is the Vatican. Still robbing the poor to pay for gilded palaces is the Catholic Church’s second favourite activity...
What has the Vatican to do with this?
The Pope is the head of the sky fairy cult and Notre Dam is a temple to it. And he’s sitting on a city of looted gold.
Actually it is the Archbishop of Canterbury here. Notre Dame is a historical and architectural gem whether you are religious or not and great effort must be made to properly fund its restoration wherever those funds come from
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
They have to beat Sanders and O'Rourke first, Sanders-O'Rourke is also a likely ticket
Then Dems lose. Sanders cannot beat Trump imho.
I think Sanders could scrape past Trump if he wins Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan and holds the Hillary states which is by no means impossible (Sanders leads a number of polls against Trump now), remember many of us here thought Corbyn had no chance either.
Sanders has a better chance of winning the rustbelt v Trump than say Harris or Warren in my view (though Biden remains their best bet) and Buttigieg needs to show his message is not just Hillary 2.0 with a bit more slick presentation
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
They have to beat Sanders and O'Rourke first, Sanders-O'Rourke is also a likely ticket
Then Dems lose. Sanders cannot beat Trump imho.
I think Sanders could scrape past Trump if he wins Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan and holds the Hillary states which is by no means impossible (Sanders leads a number of polls against Trump now), remember many of us here thought Corbyn had no chance either.
Sanders has a better chance of winning the rustbelt v Trump than say Harris or Warren in my view (though Biden remains their best bet) and Buttigieg needs to show his message is not just Hillary 2.0 with a bit more slick presentation
Indeed so. Many judged that Trump was unelectable - and Ronald Reagan before him.
I think he's hinting he expects negligence by the contractors to be the root cause.
Certainly I would not want to be in their shoes right now, whether they were negligent or not.
Tommy Robinson will probably pop up blaming a Muslim chippy with a carelessly discarded Gauloises!
The Sun's probably already blaming asylum seekers. Meanwhile the Express is likely blaming the restless spirit of Diana.
Who will Alex Jones blame?
There was no fire. The whole thing is a complete hoax. I've been to Paris, and there's no "Notre Dame" there. Everyone knows Notre Dame is in Indiana, not Texas. WAKE UP SHEEPLE, don't be manipulated by the lying media.
Dont get me wrong, I'm not glorifying in the destruction, I just have a different perspective as to the significance of the building.
The problem is that you're very selective. If you want to see something that has really damaged the environment (and continues to do so), don't focus on cathedrals, but on the computer you are using and the infrastructure it uses to connect to the Internet.
By all rights you shouldn't use computers or be on the Internet. The mining alone for rare earths is rather polluting and in some cases causes political and environmental issues, and the servers you use on t'Internet use loads of juice, however much Google et al try to use renewables.
Oh, I agree; just about every facet of modern life has adverse effects on our planet. I can only see that ending with the extinction of our species.
They might not accept parents though. Having children in developed countries dwarfs the environmental impact of any other conceivable lifestyle change.
They sound like a barrel of laughs.
They're not wrong though. The biological imperative to reproduce is entirely at odds with all the evidence that mankind is reproducing in an unsustainable way and the best thing we can do to reduce our impact on the environment is to not reproduce. But good luck beating a billion years of evolutionary biology.
I often wonder what we consider to be socially acceptable, nay moral, in 2019 will be considered as repugnant as smoking, slavery, or putting up a statue to the likes of Colston or Rhodes in 2119. Perhaps the idea that reproduction is a good thing and a natural right will be one of them.its really no less against nature than many of the biological facts sjws want us to ignore today.
They are wrong. In most countries, birthrates are at, or below, replacement level. Life is mostly enjoyable. Why would one wish to deny it to future generations?
Wrong. Population globally is predicted to rise from about 7bn now to 11bn by 2100. I'm not trying to argue the case myself, I think it's a biological imperative to want to reproduce. I'm merely asking whether the people of the 22nd century will thank us for it.
Can I suggest you watch this excellent documentary:
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong.
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
Wrong. Population globally is predicted to rise from about 7bn now to 11bn by 2100. I'm not trying to argue the case myself, I think it's a biological imperative to want to reproduce. I'm merely asking whether the people of the 22nd century will thank us for it.
Given that the people of the 22nd century will be the children and grandchildren of those 11bn in 2100, I'm certain that they will thank us for it. Because otherwise they'd never have been born.
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong.
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong.
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
I think he's hinting he expects negligence by the contractors to be the root cause.
Certainly I would not want to be in their shoes right now, whether they were negligent or not.
Tommy Robinson will probably pop up blaming a Muslim chippy with a carelessly discarded Gauloises!
The Sun's probably already blaming asylum seekers. Meanwhile the Express is likely blaming the restless spirit of Diana.
Who will Alex Jones blame?
There was no fire. The whole thing is a complete hoax. I've been to Paris, and there's no "Notre Dame" there. Everyone knows Notre Dame is in Indiana, not Texas. WAKE UP SHEEPLE, don't be manipulated by the lying media.
Firemen saved Touchdown Jesus from the flames.........
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
Bernie finds himself one of the 1% that the occupy movement protested about. Unfortunate.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
I am a rather puritanical Christian, so prefer a far simpler architectural and litergical style, but am very saddened to see such loss of artistic and cultural heritage. It is part of all our history, not just the French.
I love medieval architecture, and especially Gothic. What I can't stand is the gilding and paint of Catholic churches - Pugin's interior's make me feel sick. It's almost as though they distract from the beauty of the medieval stoneworkers' and carvers' craft.
Having said that, many small churches were ruined by Victorian improvements.
I think that British churches were also very gilded and painted until the Puritans whitewashed over them and removed the idolatrous statuary.
But all I can say is that the gilding isn't really my thing: the architecture is.
It is not my thing either. But if you want to see the most over the top gilding ever, go to the Hermitage in Leningrad. You'll need sunglasses indoors.
St Mary’s Undercroft in Westminster is special too.
An Edwardian copy of Byzantium, restored with extra gilding by the Victorians
The Victorians ruined many buildings with their 'improvements'. (On the other hand, the buildings might not be there but for the structural work).
IMO (and this will be controversial), aside from Westminster Hall, Pugin's interior of Parliament is far too over the top. Barry's exterior and the general structure is fantastic. Yet it is the latter that i causing trouble now, and has since the building was opened. Barry was rather careless with his choice of stone ...
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
Warren is the value bet at the moment. She's a front tier candidate that is available at 26/1. She's driving the democratic debate in terms of ideas.
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
Warren is the value bet at the moment. She's a front tier candidate that is available at 26/1. She's driving the democratic debate in terms of ideas.
Except the Democrats want above all else to win, and fairly or unfairly, she is perceived as a weak candidate for the general election, despite her other qualities.
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
That story is ridiculous and implausible.
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
That story is ridiculous and implausible.
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
It looks as though aside from the place where the spire collapsed the vaulting has held. That also means the interior is damaged, but not gutted as some earlier reports claimed. In particular at this moment the main stained glass windows seem to have survived, while the organ still seems intact although the heat alone will have caused a lot of damage.
But, of course, the vaulted ceiling itself will have taken a severe beating from the heat, the melted lead and the water. The fact it is still standing now doesn't mean it will survive the first major gale.
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
That story is ridiculous and implausible.
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
Not meaning to be cynical, but haven't we heard stories like this several times over the last couple of decades?
In addition, what is the natural churn rate of teachers?
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
That story is ridiculous and implausible.
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
Not meaning to be cynical, but haven't we heard stories like this several times over the last couple of decades?
In addition, what is the natural churn rate of teachers?
Possibly, but the workload is if a different measure than ten years ago, much of it unproductive.
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong.
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
The only thing we are good at is creating the environmental problems in the first place. We are destroying our planet and all its other residents.
But don't worry folks, fit LED lights, use a reusable coffee cup and buy a Prius and everything will be sorted.
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
Warren is the value bet at the moment. She's a front tier candidate that is available at 26/1. She's driving the democratic debate in terms of ideas.
Except the Democrats want above all else to win, and fairly or unfairly, she is perceived as a weak candidate for the general election, despite her other qualities.
Let's see. There is plenty of time for her to correct that perception.
Personally I think she would be a strong candidate, she is leftist enough to unite the party, but her core issues will resonate with independents. I do wonder whether the Dems will end up with a contested convention, their changes to the voting system seem to have made it much more likely.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
His odds are crazy. He's impressive but we're a long way out, his polling rise hasn't lasted long enough for us to know if he has staying power, his fundraising is good but not top tier, and he's a 37 year old Mayor for crying out loud! In the post-2016 era we shouldn't write him off, but he's a second tier candidate as it stands, not a front-runner.
I punted him some time ago on here, after seeing some tweets from Axelrod. I'm surprised though how fast he has exploded.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
Warren is the value bet at the moment. She's a front tier candidate that is available at 26/1. She's driving the democratic debate in terms of ideas.
Except the Democrats want above all else to win, and fairly or unfairly, she is perceived as a weak candidate for the general election, despite her other qualities.
Let's see. There is plenty of time for her to correct that perception.
Personally I think she would be a strong candidate, she is leftist enough to unite the party, but her core issues will resonate with independents. I do wonder whether the Dems will end up with a contested convention, their changes to the voting system seem to have made it much more likely.
Perceptions can change, but given she was the first candidate to declare, it will be an uphill struggle. The debates will be interesting. A contested convention would be fun, if not for the Democrats.
No doubt this too will be dismissed as just teachers moaning...
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
That story is ridiculous and implausible.
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
Not meaning to be cynical, but haven't we heard stories like this several times over the last couple of decades?
In addition, what is the natural churn rate of teachers?
I think this article answers the majority of your questions, although it's a couple of years out of date:
On population and its environmental impact: it isn't inevitable for economic growth to be environmentally destructive. Indeed in many ways the British environment in terms of pollution and wildlife is often better than 50 years ago. It very much depends on how we live our lives. Bitcoin mining seems an extraordinary waste of energy for example, but other internet businesses can be much less polluting than what has gone before.
The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells is devastating. I'm 1/2 through and boy our future looks very very bleak.
Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong.
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
The only thing we are good at is creating the environmental problems in the first place. We are destroying our planet and all its other residents.
But don't worry folks, fit LED lights, use a reusable coffee cup and buy a Prius and everything will be sorted.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
You wonder if somebody was a bit careless with a grinder of some description in this case.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
Hopefully just a bit of dodgy workmanship. Let's hope that ISIS don't claim it as something they had a hand in. They will have seen the reaction around the world - it now has to make our other great cathedrals a significantly upgraded target, in their warped minds.
It looks as though aside from the place where the spire collapsed the vaulting has held. That also means the interior is damaged, but not gutted as some earlier reports claimed. In particular at this moment the main stained glass windows seem to have survived, while the organ still seems intact although the heat alone will have caused a lot of damage.
But, of course, the vaulted ceiling itself will have taken a severe beating from the heat, the melted lead and the water. The fact it is still standing now doesn't mean it will survive the first major gale.
I half-thought to myself last night who’d be the first to try and link this to Brexit. Of course, I knew the answer: The Guardian.
It’s pretty obvious why they do this. It drives sales of copy for them; the consequential furore will give them plenty of profile and coverage.
To be fair, that's a standard MO for all newspapers: they want to get their readership riled up, ad they know their audience well. It's not as though the Telegraph is immune to that sort of thing.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
Hopefully just a bit of dodgy workmanship. Let's hope that ISIS don't claim it as something they had a hand in. They will have seen the reaction around the world - it now has to make our other great cathedrals a significantly upgraded target, in their warped minds.
While ISIS destroyed other religion's buildings and artefacts. Mary (Notre Dame) is the equivalent of a saint in classical Islam, being the mother of a major prophet, the last before the Great Man himself.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
I have a little personal experience of this (apols if I've said thid before). A couple of decades ago i was working on a site cutting away redundant pipework from a culvert using oxy-propane. Nearby there was an access bridge over the culvert that sat on wooden bearer timbers - large slabs of wood. After many decades of use, these were rather rotten.
we were very careful of sparks and flames, and a site safety rep did a survey of the work each day (from memory, after close of play each day).
One morning, we came back to find one of the timbers merrily smoking away. It had been smouldering all night. it taught me you have too be really, really careful with sparks in such an environment.
On topic, nice article. 25/1 for someone I've never really heard of doesn't tempt me much. Javid at 16/1 definitely looks value. Even if there's only a 50% chance of him running, he is in one of the top jobs and would immediately be a credible candidate.
"Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong."
I think it might have been the Times that published an article warning about an environmental disaster about to happen. This was in 1894 and the world's cities were being buried in horse dung. No laughing matter because of the associated risk of deadly diseases.
But motor cars and antibiotics saved us from the apocalypse. We didn't need middle-class tw*ts competing in the virtue-signalling Olympics..
It looks as though aside from the place where the spire collapsed the vaulting has held. That also means the interior is damaged, but not gutted as some earlier reports claimed. In particular at this moment the main stained glass windows seem to have survived, while the organ still seems intact although the heat alone will have caused a lot of damage.
But, of course, the vaulted ceiling itself will have taken a severe beating from the heat, the melted lead and the water. The fact it is still standing now doesn't mean it will survive the first major gale.
It looks as though aside from the place where the spire collapsed the vaulting has held. That also means the interior is damaged, but not gutted as some earlier reports claimed. In particular at this moment the main stained glass windows seem to have survived, while the organ still seems intact although the heat alone will have caused a lot of damage.
But, of course, the vaulted ceiling itself will have taken a severe beating from the heat, the melted lead and the water. The fact it is still standing now doesn't mean it will survive the first major gale.
"Historically, only those occupying the other three great Offices of State (Chancellor, Foreign Secretary and Home Secretary) have ascended directly to Prime Minister"
Going through PMs whose job immediately before becoming PM was not Leader of the Opposition, here are their previous offices, if anyone wants to use this to mark some cards:
Theresa May: Home Secretary Gordon Brown: Chancellor John Major: Chancellor James Callaghan: Foreign Secretary Alex Douglas-Home: Foreign Secretary Harold Macmillan: Chancellor Anthony Eden: Foreign Secretary Winston Churchill: First Lord of the Admiralty (though he had previously been Chancellor) Neville Chamberlain: Chancellor Stanley Baldwin: Chancellor (first time. LOTO the second time, and Lord President of the Council the third time) Arthur Bonar Law: Government backbencher (had previously been Chancellor) David Lloyd George: Secretary of State for War (had previously been Chancellor) HH Asquith: Chancellor Arthur Balfour: Leader of the House of Commons and First Lord of the Treasury (the last PM never to have served in one of the three great offices, nor as LOTO - he was Foreign Secretary after being PM) Benjamin Disraeli: Chancellor [I have excluded Russell because he was in opposition before his first term; he was Foreign Secretary before his second] Palmerston: Home Secretary Melbourne: Home Secretary Wellington: Commander-in-Chief of the Army (the only PM neither to have served in Cabinet or Shadow Cabinet before becoming PM) Goderich: Secretary for War and the Colonies (had previously been Chancellor) Canning: Foreign Secretary Liverpool: Secretary of State for War and the Colonies (had previously been both Foreign Secretary and Home Secretary) Perceval: Chancellor
That's back to the turn of the nineteenth century. Parties in the eighteenth century were so factional that a new PM would often have been out of office even if nominally of the same party as the outgoing PM (and thus not LOTO either).
The vast majority were holding one of the great offices, and most of the exceptions were holding one of the service ministries (War, ie the Army, or the Admiralty) during WWI, WWII or the Napoleonic Wars. The remaining exceptions are: Bonar Law: had been Chancellor only a year before and had only quit due to ill-health; his health recovered to allow him to return to high office at the right moment. Balfour: had been effectively deputy PM as First Lord of the Treasury, and was the principal representative of the government in the Commons (Leader of the Commons when the PM is in the Lords is the senior government frontbencher) Duke of Wellington: war hero to an extent we haven't had since. Goderich: had been Chancellor only months before and only didn't hold a higher office because the PM hadn't done a proper reshuffle when Goderich was elevated into the Lords.
Comments
https://twitter.com/joncstone/status/1117836643531198465
Who is Trump's Eugene McCarthy?
https://twitter.com/kav_kaushik/status/1117908336840564736?s=21
There’s one phrase I can’t read
£5 bonus if the cartoon is really shit and not funny like all the others.
First one to reply is the counterparty.
"WASHINGTON — Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont disclosed 10 years of tax returns on Monday, providing a more detailed look at his finances than he offered when he ran for president in 2016.
The returns show that Mr. Sanders’s earnings shot up after his last presidential bid, when he built up a vast national following. His income topped $1 million in 2016 and 2017 as proceeds from books drove up his earnings."
NY Times
https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/1117850165962870784
What has the Vatican to do with this?
I am laying off a little.
Biden-Buttigieg has a ring though.
Two generations. Experience and youthful energy. One term to clear up the Trump mess and an old diplomatic pro rebuilds alliances and then the flame is handed on.
And no it is does not matter that Trump will never release his own tax returns.
Sanders has a better chance of winning the rustbelt v Trump than say Harris or Warren in my view (though Biden remains their best bet) and Buttigieg needs to show his message is not just Hillary 2.0 with a bit more slick presentation
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FACK2knC08E
Humankind is quite good at identifying environmental issues and dealing with them.
60 years ago.
https://twitter.com/mollyjongfast/status/1117981380258955264?s=21
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2019/apr/16/fifth-of-teachers-plan-to-leave-profession-within-two-years
Around one in five teachers (18%) expect to leave the classroom in less than two years while two-fifths of teachers, school leaders and support staff want to quit in the next five years – blaming “out of control” workload pressures and “excessive” accountability, according to a poll by the country’s biggest teaching union...
IMO (and this will be controversial), aside from Westminster Hall, Pugin's interior of Parliament is far too over the top. Barry's exterior and the general structure is fantastic. Yet it is the latter that i causing trouble now, and has since the building was opened. Barry was rather careless with his choice of stone ...
https://www.parliament.uk/about/living-heritage/building/palace/architecture/palacestructure/the-stonework/
That's the great thing about architecture: people can dislike something another person likes, and we can both be right!
New York congresswoman says she has given up Facebook"
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/aoc-twitter-facebook-instagram-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-health-a8871751.html
It suggests 80% of teachers will not be leaving the profession within the next two years.
As the five year figures suggest.
But, of course, the vaulted ceiling itself will have taken a severe beating from the heat, the melted lead and the water. The fact it is still standing now doesn't mean it will survive the first major gale.
In addition, what is the natural churn rate of teachers?
But don't worry folks, fit LED lights, use a reusable coffee cup and buy a Prius and everything will be sorted.
Personally I think she would be a strong candidate, she is leftist enough to unite the party, but her core issues will resonate with independents. I do wonder whether the Dems will end up with a contested convention, their changes to the voting system seem to have made it much more likely.
Sad to see Notre Dame on fire. Hopefully it can be fully restored, and I know at least some statues had been removed shortly beforehand on safety grounds.
There was a spate of fires over here (nowhere so iconic, of course) maybe a year ago, with renovation being a theme there (including a night club in Leeds).
A contested convention would be fun, if not for the Democrats.
https://schoolsweek.co.uk/teachers-leaving-faster-than-ever-and-10-other-school-workforce-findings/
It’s pretty obvious why they do this. It drives sales of copy for them; the consequential furore will give them plenty of profile and coverage.
we were very careful of sparks and flames, and a site safety rep did a survey of the work each day (from memory, after close of play each day).
One morning, we came back to find one of the timbers merrily smoking away. It had been smouldering all night. it taught me you have too be really, really careful with sparks in such an environment.
Fortunately that bridge was also due to go.
"Silent Spring was written almost fifty years ago. It was persuasive, and scary, and almost completely wrong."
I think it might have been the Times that published an article warning about an environmental disaster about to happen. This was in 1894 and the world's cities were being buried in horse dung. No laughing matter because of the associated risk of deadly diseases.
But motor cars and antibiotics saved us from the apocalypse. We didn't need middle-class tw*ts competing in the virtue-signalling Olympics..
"Our results imply a strong sensitivity of the Earth system to relatively small variations in atmospheric CO2."
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04-16/notre-dame-cathedral-paris-engulfed-by-fire-roof-collapses/11018158
Also here:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-04-16/notre-dame-cathedral-interior-1/11018676
Edit - this brings the key photos into one site:
https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/photos-inside-notre-dame-reveal-extent-of-damage-from-fire-1.4381404
New Thread
Going through PMs whose job immediately before becoming PM was not Leader of the Opposition, here are their previous offices, if anyone wants to use this to mark some cards:
Theresa May: Home Secretary
Gordon Brown: Chancellor
John Major: Chancellor
James Callaghan: Foreign Secretary
Alex Douglas-Home: Foreign Secretary
Harold Macmillan: Chancellor
Anthony Eden: Foreign Secretary
Winston Churchill: First Lord of the Admiralty (though he had previously been Chancellor)
Neville Chamberlain: Chancellor
Stanley Baldwin: Chancellor (first time. LOTO the second time, and Lord President of the Council the third time)
Arthur Bonar Law: Government backbencher (had previously been Chancellor)
David Lloyd George: Secretary of State for War (had previously been Chancellor)
HH Asquith: Chancellor
Arthur Balfour: Leader of the House of Commons and First Lord of the Treasury (the last PM never to have served in one of the three great offices, nor as LOTO - he was Foreign Secretary after being PM)
Benjamin Disraeli: Chancellor
[I have excluded Russell because he was in opposition before his first term; he was Foreign Secretary before his second]
Palmerston: Home Secretary
Melbourne: Home Secretary
Wellington: Commander-in-Chief of the Army (the only PM neither to have served in Cabinet or Shadow Cabinet before becoming PM)
Goderich: Secretary for War and the Colonies (had previously been Chancellor)
Canning: Foreign Secretary
Liverpool: Secretary of State for War and the Colonies (had previously been both Foreign Secretary and Home Secretary)
Perceval: Chancellor
That's back to the turn of the nineteenth century. Parties in the eighteenth century were so factional that a new PM would often have been out of office even if nominally of the same party as the outgoing PM (and thus not LOTO either).
The vast majority were holding one of the great offices, and most of the exceptions were holding one of the service ministries (War, ie the Army, or the Admiralty) during WWI, WWII or the Napoleonic Wars. The remaining exceptions are:
Bonar Law: had been Chancellor only a year before and had only quit due to ill-health; his health recovered to allow him to return to high office at the right moment.
Balfour: had been effectively deputy PM as First Lord of the Treasury, and was the principal representative of the government in the Commons (Leader of the Commons when the PM is in the Lords is the senior government frontbencher)
Duke of Wellington: war hero to an extent we haven't had since.
Goderich: had been Chancellor only months before and only didn't hold a higher office because the PM hadn't done a proper reshuffle when Goderich was elevated into the Lords.