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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A big rumour to get everyone going before the exit poll at 10p

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    Massive relief labour crushed thank god
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    Is that SNP result even possible? Edinburgh South, Swinson, border seats..
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    ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    Democracy in this country was nice while it lasted. It won’t be recognisable in five years’ time as such with this mob.

    hahahaha
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,961
    Just rejoice at that news. :)
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    Relief at Corbyn getting blattered but sad empty feeling.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,181
    Jonathan said:

    Worse than Foot. 1983++

    Worst result for Labour since 1935, if even halfway accurate.
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    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,803
    Survation spot on if the exit poll is right!!!!!!
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    SNP 55 is a terrible night for my book.

    Absolutely horrific.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Beers coming out now!!
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    Relief but a disaster in Scotland.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238
    Swim in Loch Ness for Ruth Davidson. :p
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    speedy2speedy2 Posts: 981
    Andy_JS said:

    SNP 55? Bloody hell. If the Tories do better in Scotland they could get a majority of 100.

    How can they get 55 seats if the Conservatives are scoring mid 40%'s ?
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,886
    TudorRose said:

    Chameleon said:

    19 others!

    18 NI plus the speaker.
    Shit. For some reason I had 16 NI.
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    So all those big queues.....trying to make sure that the Marxists didn't get near the levers of power.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411

    Woah, 55 SNP

    Tory meltdown there then!

    This just doesn't smell right at all

    Agreed a surprise, looks like CON haven't won Argyll & Bute after all!

    Looks v bad for LAB North, midlands, can't see too much CON gain in London
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,261
    Haven’t you been reading today’s thread? Full on flaky Tories.
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 6,930
    Jo swinson must be in huge trouble then
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Relief but a disaster in Scotland.

    You betting book must look even worse than mine.
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    And I was looking forward to TSE eating that pineapple pizza
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    Alistair said:

    SNP 55 is a terrible night for my book.

    Absolutely horrific.

    That’s awful.
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    Foxy said:

    55 SNP means everyone else wiped out in Scotland, prob Jo herself.

    Good point
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    ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    SNP 55!

    Means Swinson gone,
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    HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    If true this kills Corbynism. Then Labour reforms and comes back to skewer Johnson on a more moderate road.
    I hope.
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    Sean_F said:

    SNP 55!

    Not good. It implies intense bitterness between England and Scotland.
    It means the Union probably won’t last.
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    As a lifelong Tory I genuinely hope the Labour Party get their shit together. Any government needs a robust and credible opposition.
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,658
    Probably
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,559
    Has Twitter exploded yet?
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    The last clutch of hope for Labour could be some unusually freak results.

    But it doesn't look good for them.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    My Labour Reading East bet looks dodgy.
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    Paging Labour, f##king get rid of the bloody marxists and get the likes of Southam Observer onboard ASAP.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Suggesting LAB losing 65 to CON

    What's the vote share? I say 45-32??
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    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,658
    End of the UK
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    What were we saying about the MRP being very accurate?
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189
    SWINSON gone?!
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    Byronic said:

    Democracy in this country was nice while it lasted. It won’t be recognisable in five years’ time as such with this mob.

    hahahaha
    We’ve already seen this government launch a full frontal assault on democracy when it didn’t have a majority. Once it has full command of the levers, it will convert Britain into a Hungarian-style pseudo-democracy.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    I hadnt realised how worried I was - but this is so fecking great - The anti semites crushed!!!
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,002
    55 = Fantastic. Referendum is coming, Westminster compliance or no compliance. Suck it up.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,961
    Remember, the exit poll underestimated the Tories last time. They could be on a 100+ majority. :p
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    Why the bloody hell is Trasher doing an interview in a taxi?

    Saving it for the LibDems?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited December 2019

    What were we saying about the MRP being very accurate?

    Well...like last time, the first one was the most accurate.

    I think I know what happened. They did the MRP at the height of photo-gate, and if you look at their charts, the majority fell off a cliff on that day.

    Since then all the polls showed the Tories hadn't been impacted 2 days after it.
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    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,340
    Share of vote????
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    - Two Mayoral wins in lefty London
    - A Brexit win against the establishment
    - A big majority in the face of widespread tactical voting

    You've got to hand it to Boris.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,282
    kingbongo said:

    ahahahahaha marxist racists fucked ahahahaha best news of the decade - fewer Cummings jokes in future - thought I didn't care but I do - almost lost trust in the british public but should have known better

    Yes. Yes. Yes.

    Anti-semitic racist fucker out on his ear and rightly so. Go hang your head in shame you anti Semitic sympathising arseholes.

    The country is a million miles better than you.
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    Well I was very wrong, happy to hold my hands up!

    Not much else you could say, but fair play. Keep posting.

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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,181
    Huw Edwards so far quietly impressive as main anchor.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,721
    I don't like this outcome as i think it will be bad for me personally, possibly very bad. But I need to point out the following:

    1) When the PBTories were panicking I went out of my way to reassure them.
    2) I had two bets on Con Maj and have now won £100 which I will pick up tomorrow or Saturday.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,261
    Nearly $1.35. No real move in the off market FTsE
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,607
    Boom
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,592
    edited December 2019
    looks like no reverse ferret needed by Foxy,

    360/201/42/21 not too far out.

    I thought SNP would do well so should be some good constituency bets there, sadly including East Dunbartonshire.

    Looks like Indy Scotland nailed on now.

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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,486
    Sky says 22 others.

    Who are the other three?
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    nunu2nunu2 Posts: 1,453

    Blimey

    The cou try loves Boris
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    DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    Right
    Two leadership contests starting tomorrow.
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Con 368
    Lab 191

    Bang on my forecast.

    :smiley:
    Thank you. I believed your forecast. Now I am rich.
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    Not surprised about that SNP result
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    speedy2speedy2 Posts: 981

    Share of vote????

    Probably like the Mori figures last week.
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    I’m watching ITV: George Osborn and Ed Balls as Pundits.

    Why are they not in the leadership of their old parties?

    :(
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,261
    Please try to forget Ruth’s promise
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    EPG said:

    55 = Fantastic. Referendum is coming, Westminster compliance or no compliance. Suck it up.

    We re ready - unfortunately for you Boris won t allow it and nippy will be jailed for sedition if anything else happens
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    ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    This is the kind of majority which will not be eroded by one term. GET IN
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    I’m watching ITV: George Osborn and Ed Balls as Pundits.

    Why are they not in the leadership of their old parties?

    :(

    Oh, I forgot about them. I think I might have to watch ITV then.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    I think the Tories will better that suggestion in Scotland.
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    Sunderland?
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    speedy2speedy2 Posts: 981
    This is the result that everyone expected should have happened last time.
    Just like always.
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    nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Told you so lab sub 200
    nunu2 said:

    Blimey

    The cou try loves Boris
    It doesn’t he will have less than 50% of the vote so the country doesn’t love johnson
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,181
    Priti Patel looking truly unbearably smug.

    C’mon voters of Uxbridge, do your duty.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    Did the BBC really have to get Priti Patel in?
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    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 6,930
    Claire Wright predicted to win east Devon on exit poll
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Ave it projects Swinson out! Possibly Pidcock too!!

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    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    IshmaelZ said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Con 368
    Lab 191

    Bang on my forecast.

    :smiley:
    Thank you. I believed your forecast. Now I am rich.
    So am I :)
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    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited December 2019
    Byronic said:

    This is the kind of majority which will not be eroded by one term. GET IN

    Britain as a four-nation unitary state will be over, if it's correct.
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    EPGEPG Posts: 6,002

    EPG said:

    55 = Fantastic. Referendum is coming, Westminster compliance or no compliance. Suck it up.

    We re ready - unfortunately for you Boris won t allow it and nippy will be jailed for sedition if anything else happens
    Jail almost every Scottish MP on Brexit day if you think that is sound.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,955
    RobD said:

    Remember, the exit poll underestimated the Tories last time. They could be on a 100+ majority. :p

    No it didn't; that was 2015. In 2017 it was pretty much dead on.
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    FYI, it will take a little while to get my live scraping up and running after the first result, please bare with me.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,961
    Andrew said:
    You mean all those twitter posts were just bollocks? :D:p
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    FensterFenster Posts: 2,115
    I suspect the majority will may tip over 100.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited December 2019
    In 2017 they posted the Exit poll constituency by constituency predicitons.
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    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    MrEd said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Con 368
    Lab 191

    Bang on my forecast.

    :smiley:
    Thank you. I believed your forecast. Now I am rich.
    So am I :)
    Thank you Rob
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    Well done all of you who called it.

    I got it very wrong.


    Well done for still being here: I would have gone to bed by now.
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    DeClare said:

    Right
    Two leadership contests starting tomorrow.

    And a good deal of the potential candidates might not be MPs by then...
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    RobD said:

    So, when's the next poll out?

    Insatiable.
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    mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    FAOD, regardless of result (and let’s perhaps wait to see actual results) Jeremy Vine remains an absolute weapon. That some people like him...
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Ha ha ha Bercow - he is hating it
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    A total and utter rejection of Corbyn's Marxist fantasy politics.
    Thank God.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,285
    edited December 2019
    I think we have safely say Labour aren't on 36%.

    Interesting that Thrasher said Tories were winning from pretty much straight out the gate and only very late was there a bit of swing back to Labour.
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    If this is right, Corbyn has to resign immediately.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Foxy said:

    looks like no reverse ferret needed by Foxy,

    360/201/42/21 not too far out.

    I thought SNP would do well so should be some good constituency bets there, sadly including East Dunbartonshire.

    Looks like Indy Scotland nailed on now.

    Excellent projection Foxy, and you and I concur on E Dumbartonshire
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    tlg86 said:

    SWINSON gone?!

    If its 55, she's toast.

    Holy hell, a night of Portillo moments.

    Also, what if Boris loses in Uxbridge?
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    speedy2speedy2 Posts: 981
    edited December 2019
    Remainer seats voted LAB LD SNP.
    Leaver seats voted CON.

    As simple as that.

    That 52/48 was very efficient.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,961
    Floater said:

    Ha ha ha Bercow - he is hating it

    It gets better.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,961

    I think we have safely say Labour aren't on 36%.

    Interesting that Thrasher said Tories were winning from pretty much straight out the gate.

    You okay, hun? :)
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,181

    Well done all of you who called it.

    I got it very wrong.


    Well done for still being here: I would have gone to bed by now.
    I have a nice big settee.
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    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,150
    Christ! It's like living in a foreign country here. All we get here is the crap Scottish presentation. No Curtice, no decent commentators. Anyone got an idea how I can find a decent election broadcast? Even online with an incognito page on Chrome the BBC gives me the same Scottish crap.
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    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    I just do not see that SNP figure being correct.
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    NEW THREAD NEW THREAD

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    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Con 368
    Lab 191

    Bang on my forecast.

    :smiley:
    I really thought you were winding us all up!
This discussion has been closed.