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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Super Tuesday: With just over four hours to go before the coun
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Super Tuesday: With just over four hours to go before the counts begin Biden opens big gap in the betting
To give an idea of the sheer scale of tonight’s primary elections a total of 1,344 will be decided compared with the 1,991 pledged delegates that will be required to win the Democratic nomination on the first ballot.
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I've not yet entered this market, but I'm tempted to start with going long on Sanders for the presidency.
And none of us know how many people are infected but are asymptomatic, or have such mild symptoms that they don’t bother to seek help or a test, but simply get better on their own.
Had you had your panic about your own cold at a later, more credible date, you could have been one of the latter.
This will though just become just another flu called 'covid19' and be forgotten. Behind the scenes there will be more targeted stuff, but its the same big picture.
Edit: Same but bigger.
If you're under 50 you have a 0.4% chance of dying. Under 40 and it's 0.2%.
Which of course means if you're older and you catch this your chances of dying of this are much, much higher. Probably 10% or more for the boomers.
This all happened in China in one province. Its already in 12 states now in America and they've done zero containment.
Ike again?
Restoring Obamacare would be a good start.
Amateurs
https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1234926629434032130
Two further confirmed deaths in the US
HYUFD re post at end of previous thread in response to Robert, just because someone is recklessness, that doesn't mean it is ok for others to be so also on the basis 'it wasn't my fault in the first place'. I assume for instance, like any responsible driver, you drive defencelessly. It is not much consolation, when you are dead, to know that the coroner will lays the blame for your death on the other driver.
But seeing as I am in an ocean of red on Sanders and we all might be dead by end of June I have thrown some caution to the wind and doubled down on Biden.
Tonight is going to be interesting.
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1234931660359184385
Plus - guns.
Plus - election year.
https://mobile.twitter.com/chrislhayes/status/1234931839317561347
It seems a toxic mix to me. The Isle of Wight is much nicer at Easter...
Corollary: Just because China screwed up, it doesn't let America off the hook for screwing up also. Not a lot of consolation to a dead American who dies because of his own Govt's incompetence to know that if China hadn't of started it he would still be alive.
End of conversation
All getting infected at the same time is better anyway. A virus that can hang on and wait until Mr Safe takes off his mask is a virus with a future. The best thing is to make the virus' time-window small.
However waiting in line for your state hand out medical treatment alone is not the solution to healthcare issues, the patient also needs choice, alternative private options and a second opinion
Where people disagree with you is the fact that you won't accept that there can be subsidiary blame on countries that don't act well in containing subsequently.
That appears to be the case with Iran, and now America is, on the face of it, not looking to have acted very well so far. You seem to be of the view that there is no responsibility on these countries to do the right thing.
Until about ten days ago Trump was calling the Virus a hoax...then it hit the markets...
The poor preparation by the US to manage the epidemic may prove to be one of the worst policy decisions in the history of mankind
Those seem good odds to me because if he makes it through the convention he should be in a good position to take on Trump.
it may not be a good predictor as the age profile of its customers was probably not an accurate reflection of any contrary..
It's just rude. Unless the subject is pertinent to the betting.
Hang in there pal.
A heart attack may be triggered by a lack of exercise and a bad diet but if the ambulance never turns up after repeated calls and it turns out there are no ambulances available anywhere in the country then something has gone wrong with those responsible for the ambulance service.
We have done well over 10k tests before the USA even hit 500 tests. While NYC had done zero tests. NYC did its first tests yesterday.
Do you think NYC has no travel to China? There's no Chinese resident in NYC which has one of the worlds most famous Chinatowns?
The discrepancies between the data are best explained by a lot of people carrying the virus but having no symptoms worse than a common cold, so not bothering to go for a test.
The good news is that the death rate is then much lower than any of these figures. The bad news is that the infection rate is higher.
You can send as many ambulances as possible to help someone who has suffered a heart attack but if they keep not taking exercise and eating poorly eventually they will suffer another heart attack that kills them.
You can test to try and contain the problem but of more significance would be avoiding the problem again in the first place
I'd be interested to know what, for example, the Governors of California and Washington have been doing.
But trying to separate the two is not relay practical at least not for me.
I should have posted here an email from my US friend who emailed to say that Bernie's star would initially shine brightly, Biden would comeback on superTuesday but Warren may well end up being a convention pick..this was months ago, and if I had followed his advice could have made a load of money by now....
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/mar/03/boris-johnson-paternity-leave-prime-minister-carrie-symonds
To try and being us back on topic, a question - I presume the states voting tonight will award delegates proportionally so it's not a winner takes all for the delegates?
I could imagine Sanders winning states like Vermont and Maine convincingly and carrying most of the delegates but presumably Texas and California have many more delegates and it may be Biden will do better where he needs to pick up large numbers of delegates so overall he will come back with a strong delegate haul even if Sanders wins more states.
As for Bloomberg, I suppose he wins Arkansas and picks up delegates elsewhere but he doesn't look like the "stop Sanders" candidate any more.