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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jumping at shadows

SystemSystem Posts: 11,019
edited May 2020 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jumping at shadows

Share of public who said country should reopen even if virus isn't fully contained:60% Russia58% China53% Italy51% India50% Germany40% Brazil39% France35% US32% Australia, Mexico31% Spain28% Japan25% Canada23% UKApril 16-19https://t.co/8ZQiL5690H pic.twitter.com/YEVlSR7FTe

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    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    First!
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    Interesting article,thanks. Strange how there is such variation in some of these countries. Italy is at 53% for ending lockdown with Spain at just 31%.considering both countries suffered similarly bad outbreaks, and have several superficial cultural similarities, what could explain that?
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    GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    I see we have more shoddy journalism in today's Times, which claims that the UK's near 10 million over 70s are included within the 1.8 million clinically vulnerable people who must stay in lockdown.
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,359
    Yet again, the question is how precisely does the virus spread?

    Is it safer to commute by bus or train? Is it safer to go to see a play and applaud by clapping or a comedy where the audience laughs? Can sport resume behind closed doors? Does the virus spread outdoors and if not, can we go to racecourses and golf courses? What about the seaside?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,114
    Gadfly said:

    I see we have more shoddy journalism in today's Times, which claims that the UK's near 10 million over 70s are included within the 1.8 million clinically vulnerable people who must stay in lockdown.

    I'm sure that can be clarified - to their embarrassment - at the daily presser. Probably in answer to a question from the public... ;)
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,359

    Gadfly said:

    I see we have more shoddy journalism in today's Times, which claims that the UK's near 10 million over 70s are included within the 1.8 million clinically vulnerable people who must stay in lockdown.

    I'm sure that can be clarified - to their embarrassment - at the daily presser. Probably in answer to a question from the public... ;)
    We did this at the tail end of the previous thread. The ST ballsed up and ironically so did Matt Hancock in his tweet complaining about the ST. Conclusion: government messaging could use an overhaul if it has managed to confuse both the paper and the Secretary of State.
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    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,347

    Yet again, the question is how precisely does the virus spread?

    Is it safer to commute by bus or train? Is it safer to go to see a play and applaud by clapping or a comedy where the audience laughs? Can sport resume behind closed doors? Does the virus spread outdoors and if not, can we go to racecourses and golf courses? What about the seaside?

    Nooone knows the answers as it what is safe save for isolation. We will not be going out until next year at the earliest ..unless we have to.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,960

    Interesting article,thanks. Strange how there is such variation in some of these countries. Italy is at 53% for ending lockdown with Spain at just 31%.considering both countries suffered similarly bad outbreaks, and have several superficial cultural similarities, what could explain that?

    Geographically, much of Italy had no serious problem with CV-19, while Spain's problem was much more national.
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735
    Its probably most closely related to govt economic support during the lockdown reaching households - on this the govt have been generous and efficient. Sadly, maybe they will need to reduce that support to get people willing to go back to work!
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735
    edited May 2020

    Yet again, the question is how precisely does the virus spread?

    Is it safer to commute by bus or train? Is it safer to go to see a play and applaud by clapping or a comedy where the audience laughs? Can sport resume behind closed doors? Does the virus spread outdoors and if not, can we go to racecourses and golf courses? What about the seaside?

    Nooone knows the answers as it what is safe save for isolation. We will not be going out until next year at the earliest ..unless we have to.
    Being outside is good for your immune system and mental health. Not going outside is very much a risk for your health too.
  • Options
    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.

    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.

    The British

    🐔
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930
    Very interesting article. I wonder if Alastair is totally right about this. It could be that big cities become even younger. So rather than decline, what we get is an even more marked difference in age between the cities and towns.

    It would also be interesting to see the regional differences in work-from-home rates. I could be totally wrong, but my guess is that they are heavily skewed to London and the SE.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.

    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    It's no coincidence that many core retired Tory voters (with such homes and stable incomes) don't mind the lockdown too much but want services convenient to them but currently suspended restored - like garden centres.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    It really has come to something when the Italians are twice as brave as us.

    I'm ashamed.
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.

    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    It's no coincidence that many core retired Tory voters (with such homes and stable incomes) don't mind the lockdown too much but want services convenient to them but currently suspended restored - like garden centres.
    Their block vote means they normally get what they want and the rest of the country have to suffer.
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    TGOHF666TGOHF666 Posts: 2,052
    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735
    Re cities the pendulum had started to swing a little before the lockdown and clearly the relative appeal and value between city/towns/suburbia/rural will have shifted significantly this year.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189

    Its probably most closely related to govt economic support during the lockdown reaching households - on this the govt have been generous and efficient. Sadly, maybe they will need to reduce that support to get people willing to go back to work!

    Yes, and it's instructive of how political debate works in this country that very little attention is being given to paying for the economic carnage right now.

    The Italians want to get back to something like normal because they fear starving more than they fear the virus.
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735
    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I bet if you break it down by age it is the 50-80 year olds most comfortable keeping us in lockdown.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.

    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    It's no coincidence that many core retired Tory voters (with such homes and stable incomes) don't mind the lockdown too much but want services convenient to them but currently suspended restored - like garden centres.
    Their block vote means they normally get what they want and the rest of the country have to suffer.
    Correct.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,189
    Personally I'm absolutely fine working from home - most of my work is in isolation anyway. But, I'm well aware that my job won't exist this time next year if the economic carnage is as bad as I think it will be.
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.


    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a
    supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    Indeed. If you are cooped up in a flat with no garden but still willing to go through that to protect your family’s health then it really is stoicism.

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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930
    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I would be very surprised if it wasn’t the young who were keenest to end lockdown.

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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,977

    Very interesting article. I wonder if Alastair is totally right about this. It could be that big cities become even younger. So rather than decline, what we get is an even more marked difference in age between the cities and towns.

    It would also be interesting to see the regional differences in work-from-home rates. I could be totally wrong, but my guess is that they are heavily skewed to London and the SE.

    Agree; there's no way I could have worked from home, no way Dr Foxy, for example as a Pb-er, could. However my son, a trader, can do so, and if his children didn't require his support with their education he'd be happy. Next door neighbour, also a trader seems to be managing very well. Must ask him in a bit more detail.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.


    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a
    supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    Indeed. If you are cooped up in a flat with no garden but still willing to go through that to protect your family’s health then it really is stoicism.

    They aren't "willing" they are obeying. They have no choice. I have no choice.

    9% are resisting the lockdown. 44% are struggling but obeying. Only 48% are accepting. So actually, a majority really don't like the lockdown:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52501417

    Don't tell me about stoicism.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328
    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    Today, if Brits were caught on the hop by an enemy force they'd probably run away.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,114
    Moth du Jour: Coxcomb Prominent


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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Very interesting article. I wonder if Alastair is totally right about this. It could be that big cities become even younger. So rather than decline, what we get is an even more marked difference in age between the cities and towns.

    It would also be interesting to see the regional differences in work-from-home rates. I could be totally wrong, but my guess is that they are heavily skewed to London and the SE.

    Agree; there's no way I could have worked from home, no way Dr Foxy, for example as a Pb-er, could. However my son, a trader, can do so, and if his children didn't require his support with their education he'd be happy. Next door neighbour, also a trader seems to be managing very well. Must ask him in a bit more detail.
    Another oldie presuming to tell us everyone else is loving the lockdown as much as he is.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    Yet again, the question is how precisely does the virus spread?

    Is it safer to commute by bus or train? Is it safer to go to see a play and applaud by clapping or a comedy where the audience laughs? Can sport resume behind closed doors? Does the virus spread outdoors and if not, can we go to racecourses and golf courses? What about the seaside?

    Nooone knows the answers as it what is safe save for isolation. We will not be going out until next year at the earliest ..unless we have to.
    Being outside is good for your immune system and mental health. Not going outside is very much a risk for your health too.
    Immune system and mental health are not much use when you are dead.
  • Options
    BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884

    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I would be very surprised if it wasn’t the young who were keenest to end lockdown.

    My hunch is that its a curve, and the keenest to end lockdown will be found somewhere between mid-to-late twenties and mid-to-late thirties, maybe forties, still young, not quite financial squared away, but looking at some of the death rate stats and thinking, "yeah, I'll be alright, probably".

    As you get older, that curve will decay away as the perceived risk of getting sick increases.

    As you go back younger, the cohort will be happier with socialising online, will be less tied down to a regular income, and in certain cases, will have clocked that certain aspects of their lives will actually be much easier in the long term.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I bet if you break it down by age it is the 50-80 year olds most comfortable keeping us in lockdown.
    I don't know why they don't open it all up and let people like you get yourselves the virus, see if you are such a smart arse from ICU, or if your family get it from you because you are such a selfish arse..
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.


    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a
    supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    Indeed. If you are cooped up in a flat with no garden but still willing to go through that to protect your family’s health then it really is stoicism.


    They aren't "willing" they are obeying. They have no choice. I have no choice.


    9% are resisting the lockdown.
    44% are struggling but obeying. Only 48% are accepting. So actually, a majority really don't like the lockdown:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52501417

    Don't tell me about stoicism.
    I am not telling you about stoicism. I understand you are not getting what you want and that it is very frustrating for you. I am merely observing that those who are concerned about ending the lockdown are not all cowards. Some are willing to give up a hell of a lot to protect their families. Why is it, do you think, that so many essential workers, who are still out and about and working, are not sending their kids to school even though they can? Is it cowardice?

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    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,347

    Yet again, the question is how precisely does the virus spread?

    Is it safer to commute by bus or train? Is it safer to go to see a play and applaud by clapping or a comedy where the audience laughs? Can sport resume behind closed doors? Does the virus spread outdoors and if not, can we go to racecourses and golf courses? What about the seaside?

    Nooone knows the answers as it what is safe save for isolation. We will not be going out until next year at the earliest ..unless we have to.
    Being outside is good for your immune system and mental health. Not going outside is very much a risk for your health too.
    I am.lucky. i should have been more specific. I am out every day walking my dogs. I have a largeish garden too. I meant not going to supermarkets or taking risks i do not have to. There are idiots everywhere who just ignore socisl distancing. I now have papers delivered... that cuts down risk too
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    Well, indeed. The Italian and Spanish lockdowns have been much more severe than ours. I think that’s true of the French one, too, isn’t it? In Spain, yesterday was literally the first day in more than six weeks that adults could leave their homes to exercise.

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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,710
    Get the infection risk down to a background concern and people will lose their fear of going out.

    Problem is we're asking this question when the infection rate is far too high and the government doesn't apparently intend to bring it down. ie it will remove lockdown first.
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    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Good of the British people not being goaded into rebellion by a few right wing columnists.

    We should not throw our vulnerable citizens to the dogs because of inconveniences for the well off and comfortable.

    Sit tight and delay gratification.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,710
    edited May 2020

    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I would be very surprised if it wasn’t the young who were keenest to end lockdown.

    There's polling here. Over 65's are very keen not to end lockdown. Other age groups are mostly supportive of keeping it.

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2020/05/01/three-quarters-approve-scottish-governments-handli

    (Links in this page to polling in other UK Nations)
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,599

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    I think the fear is excessive, and this accounts not just for the number of non covid cases seeing the NHS being sharply down, but the Covid ones too.

    In order to resume usual activities people need to feel safe, and that requires protection. Firstly to know where the risk is from proper tracing and public health work (garden centres, tips likely very low, churches high), and for proper precautions to be in place with citizen PPE in the form of masks and the retail geography of social distancing.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Andy_JS said:

    Sweden today:

    Cases +2,669
    Deaths +16

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

    No one dies in Sweden on the weekend.
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    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,150
    edited May 2020
    Very perceptive header, thank you Mr Meeks. The societal consequences of the virus plague are fascinating as it reverses many of the trends we had thought were baked in. Long-term investor Buffet has divested Berkshire Hathaway of all its airline holdings - just one straw in the wind. I'm glad that the survey shows Brits to be more cautious than others about relaxing lockdown measures even though I admire the Swedes for their refusenik stance.
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    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Gadfly said:

    I see we have more shoddy journalism in today's Times, which claims that the UK's near 10 million over 70s are included within the 1.8 million clinically vulnerable people who must stay in lockdown.

    Absolutely fucked it. How that got to be the front page is ludicrous.

    I have criticised the he government's communication strategy over this whole thing but the shielding thing I thought was pretty clear.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,710
    FF43 said:

    TGOHF666 said:

    This is what teaching the young a bunch of woke , handwringing bollocks does to a nation.

    Man up Britain.

    I would be very surprised if it wasn’t the young who were keenest to end lockdown.

    There's polling here. Over 65's are very keen not to end lockdown. Other age groups are mostly supportive of keeping it.

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2020/05/01/three-quarters-approve-scottish-governments-handli

    (Links in this page to polling in other UK Nations)
    In summary, I think people would accept accept easing lockdown provided there was a substantial fall in cases and deaths AND there's an effective test and track regime in place.
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    edited May 2020

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.


    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a
    supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    Indeed. If you are cooped up in a flat with no garden but still willing to go through that to protect your family’s health then it really is stoicism.


    They aren't "willing" they are obeying. They have no choice. I have no choice.


    9% are resisting the lockdown.
    44% are struggling but obeying. Only 48% are accepting. So actually, a majority really don't like the lockdown:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52501417

    Don't tell me about stoicism.
    I am not telling you about stoicism. I understand you are not getting what you want and that it is very frustrating for you. I am merely observing that those who are concerned about ending the lockdown are not all cowards. Some are willing to give up a hell of a lot to protect their families. Why is it, do you think, that so many essential workers, who are still out and about and working, are not sending their kids to school even though they can? Is it cowardice?

    I'm not sure any of us 'likes' the predicament we are in. We understand why it is necessary and having made the sacrifices involved, are content to see it through. I'd say it passes as stoicism. Raging against the machine in this instance comes across more as petulance.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    Well, indeed. The Italian and Spanish lockdowns have been much more severe than ours. I think that’s true of the French one, too, isn’t it? In Spain, yesterday was literally the first day in more than six weeks that adults could leave their homes to exercise.

    My aching legs following our walk around the village [3/4km] in the heat testify to that. And we'll be doing it all again today!
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930
    felix said:

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    Well, indeed. The Italian and Spanish lockdowns have been much more severe than ours. I think that’s true of the French one, too, isn’t it? In Spain, yesterday was literally the first day in more than six weeks that adults could leave their homes to exercise.


    My aching legs following our walk around the village [3/4km] in the heat testify to that. And we'll be doing it all again today!
    Good on you. Enjoy it!

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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
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    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,150
    felix said:

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    Well, indeed. The Italian and Spanish lockdowns have been much more severe than ours. I think that’s true of the French one, too, isn’t it? In Spain, yesterday was literally the first day in more than six weeks that adults could leave their homes to exercise.

    My aching legs following our walk around the village [3/4km] in the heat testify to that. And we'll be doing it all again today!
    Enjoy your paseo, Felix!

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    coachcoach Posts: 250
    test
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    Its not sour grapes its realism . The old voted for brexit and now happy to see the young lose opportunity and chance to earn because lockdown is fine for them given their more stable lives and bigger gardens . The old (being one of the richer ares of society) need to pay for this now and not pass on massive debt to young.
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    FishingFishing Posts: 4,561
    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    I think his point is that DB pensioners won't really pay the cost of this pandemic, whereas the young and the enterprising will shoulder a disproportionate burden.
  • Options
    JonathanJonathan Posts: 20,901
    Confidence will stem from a thought through plan. Today the government has no plan it is willing to share, hence there is no confidence.

  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,930

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Well, that’s not going to happen. Pensioners vote.

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    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited May 2020
    Good morning everyone.

    The Opinium polling in today's Observer is even more anti-easing than the above thread header.

    'The poll by Opinium, taken between Wednesday and Friday last week, found 17% of people think the conditions have been met to consider reopening schools, against 67% who say they have not been, and that they should stay closed.

    Opposition to reopening restaurants and pubs – and allowing mass gatherings in sports and other stadiums to resume – is even higher. Just 11% of people think the time is right to consider reopening restaurants, while 78% are against. Only 9% believe it would be correct to consider reopening pubs, while 81% are against; 7% say it would be right to allow mass gatherings at sports events or concerts to resume, with 84% against.'

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/02/fearful-britons-oppose-lifting-lockdown-schools-pubs-restaurants-opinium-poll
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,114
    felix said:

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    Well, indeed. The Italian and Spanish lockdowns have been much more severe than ours. I think that’s true of the French one, too, isn’t it? In Spain, yesterday was literally the first day in more than six weeks that adults could leave their homes to exercise.

    My aching legs following our walk around the village [3/4km] in the heat testify to that. And we'll be doing it all again today!
    Keep on walking, Felix!
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    coachcoach Posts: 250
    Morning all newbie here.

    Interesting poll which suggests we've become either paralysed by fear or are rather enjoying netflix and Crucible Classics

    Sooner or later the govt needs to start the debate about the economic situation facing us, it seems plenty are very happy to sit at home on 80% wages. When the furlough ends and that job no longer exists I suspect the 23% will at least double.
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    FishingFishing Posts: 4,561
    edited May 2020

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    The level of restrictions varies, but so does the enforcement. In this country, fortunately, the police have been laughed out of some of the harsher and more ridiculous measures. Walking around where I live when it's sunny I see large groups of teenagers and young people chatting freely in the parks, and walking trails are much busier than they usually are. I know some police forces have been more rigorous, but overall we're doing better than any country in Europe.

    I think we should go the whole way and make it fully voluntary.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,977

    Very interesting article. I wonder if Alastair is totally right about this. It could be that big cities become even younger. So rather than decline, what we get is an even more marked difference in age between the cities and towns.

    It would also be interesting to see the regional differences in work-from-home rates. I could be totally wrong, but my guess is that they are heavily skewed to London and the SE.

    Agree; there's no way I could have worked from home, no way Dr Foxy, for example as a Pb-er, could. However my son, a trader, can do so, and if his children didn't require his support with their education he'd be happy. Next door neighbour, also a trader seems to be managing very well. Must ask him in a bit more detail.
    Another oldie presuming to tell us everyone else is loving the lockdown as much as he is.
    Lot of jumping to conclusions there. And if your conclusion is, as it seems to be, that I'm 'loving' the lockdown, I really fear for your judgment elsewhere!
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,210
    Off topic, but I am enjoying* my first ever Apple product! Its a free trial of Apple TV and as a non-Apple user 10 minutes in I am delighted that it will be my last Apple product. Although its supposed to play on a web browser, the interface is non-existent and it keeps stopping.

    I think the idea is to force you to enter the Appleverse and buy some other overpriced junk like an Apple TV box. instead I have dug the Amazon Firestick I travel with and shoved that in the back of my amp as allegedly it has an Apple TV app you can install. Not that the FireShit is any better in terms of user interface and experience...
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,977

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    TBH, I don't know anyone in my age-group or a bit younger, who 'likes' the lockdown. Tolerate perhaps, but we'll be as glad to an end to it as younger people.
    And I suspect you are right about reductions in pension income.

    I'm also very keen to get a decent pint of draught beer. Bottled just isn't the same. And as for lager when the weather isn't sub-tropical.......Ugh!

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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    Mr. Pioneers, hope you enjoy it more than my dad did his first Apple device. Packed up within a year, data lost.

    Mr. Coach, welcome to PB.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    I note @Casino_Royale’s frustration. I know he’s not fond of poetry but this was buzzing round my head when I wrote this piece:

    “Up the airy mountain,
    Down the rushy glen,
    We daren’t go a-hunting
    For fear of little men”.
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    Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 13,313
    The strong support in the UK may reflect the widespread respect here for the efforts of NHS and other care workers.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    Very interesting article. I wonder if Alastair is totally right about this. It could be that big cities become even younger. So rather than decline, what we get is an even more marked difference in age between the cities and towns.

    It would also be interesting to see the regional differences in work-from-home rates. I could be totally wrong, but my guess is that they are heavily skewed to London and the SE.

    Agree; there's no way I could have worked from home, no way Dr Foxy, for example as a Pb-er, could. However my son, a trader, can do so, and if his children didn't require his support with their education he'd be happy. Next door neighbour, also a trader seems to be managing very well. Must ask him in a bit more detail.
    Another oldie presuming to tell us everyone else is loving the lockdown as much as he is.
    Lot of jumping to conclusions there. And if your conclusion is, as it seems to be, that I'm 'loving' the lockdown, I really fear for your judgment elsewhere!
    OKC, it is certainly flushing out the greedy selfish barstewards though.
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    edited May 2020
    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    Why do you know me and my work record or indeed age? Strangely personal reposte from you?
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    coach said:

    Morning all newbie here.

    Interesting poll which suggests we've become either paralysed by fear or are rather enjoying netflix and Crucible Classics

    Sooner or later the govt needs to start the debate about the economic situation facing us, it seems plenty are very happy to sit at home on 80% wages. When the furlough ends and that job no longer exists I suspect the 23% will at least double.

    Welcome!

    I’m sure that an exploration of the costs of lockdown will be part of the solution. Right now the public feels like it’s on holiday.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921
    Fishing said:

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    The level of restrictions varies, but so does the enforcement. In this country, fortunately, the police have been laughed out of some of the harsher and more ridiculous measures. Walking around where I live when it's sunny I see large groups of teenagers and young people chatting freely in the parks, and walking trails are much busier than they usually are. I know some police forces have been more rigorous, but overall we're doing better than any country in Europe.

    I think we should go the whole way and make it fully voluntary.
    You thick stupid turnip, how does highest death rate in the world make it doing better than any country in Europe. There are so many thickos like you around, unable to even be able to read facts , that we should have had much more enforcement.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,274

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.

    It is the flaw in our politics that the growth in the elderly population and their increasing support for the governing party has made it difficult to make any changes to their favourable position, as was shamefully apparent throughout 'austerity' and seen recently even over the relatively trivial matter of television licenses.

    It clearly isn't healthy that the interests of the working age population active in the economy weigh so less significantly.

    We can only hope that one outcome from the current crisis is sufficient political capital to force this position to change.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,977
    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    TBH, I think it's fair to say that those born during and shortly after the war have, so far and in many respects, been 'lucky'. Fed a more balanced diet, and fat and sugar free during childhood, an improving education system, supported further education and full employment. Once National Service was stopped, the world was their oyster for young men and women. The Oil Crisis didn't totally end it, but things were never quite the same again.
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    IanB2 said:

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.

    It is the flaw in our politics that the growth in the elderly population and their increasing support for the governing party has made it difficult to make any changes to their favourable position, as was shamefully apparent throughout 'austerity' and seen recently even over the relatively trivial matter of television licenses.

    It clearly isn't healthy that the interests of the working age population active in the economy weigh so less significantly.

    We can only hope that one outcome from the current crisis is sufficient political capital to force this position to change.
    Definitely
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921
    Fishing said:

    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    I think his point is that DB pensioners won't really pay the cost of this pandemic, whereas the young and the enterprising will shoulder a disproportionate burden.
    I think you mean lazy greedy selfish barstewards rather than "young and enterprising". For most of the woke halfwits, a day's work would be too much for them.
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    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    IanB2 said:

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.



    It clearly isn't healthy that the interests of the working age population active in the economy weigh so less significantly.

    .
    An alternative perspective.

    Capitalism and greed have fucked this world. Your kind of attitude, in other words. Whether it's screwing the climate or creating the environment for viruses, we have utterly screwed up this planet.

    So now is an excellent opportunity to recalibrate.
  • Options
    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,977
    malcolmg said:

    Fishing said:

    There is also the rather important fact that there are “lockdowns” and there are “lockdowns”.

    Of course, none of us are actually locked into our houses. Although in some of the countries listed, it’s closer to being that than in others.

    Spain has lifted their “lockdown” to a degree and now... it’s still more locked down than the UK’s “lockdown”.

    I’ve got a brother-in-law in India right now, and their “lockdown” is a damn sight more locked down than ours. He cannot even order (and get delivered) anything other than food and may not leave his apartment at all.

    The level of restrictions applied will inevitably have an impact on how much people want those restrictions lifted, but reading the responses above, it looks as though everyone is simply chucking every countries restrictions into a single, simple mental bucket marked “lockdown” and acting as if they’re all exactly the same thing.

    Which is simultaneously very easy to do (especially when we call them all the same thing), misleading, and misses out all the key issues of their variance.

    The level of restrictions varies, but so does the enforcement. In this country, fortunately, the police have been laughed out of some of the harsher and more ridiculous measures. Walking around where I live when it's sunny I see large groups of teenagers and young people chatting freely in the parks, and walking trails are much busier than they usually are. I know some police forces have been more rigorous, but overall we're doing better than any country in Europe.

    I think we should go the whole way and make it fully voluntary.
    You thick stupid turnip, how does highest death rate in the world make it doing better than any country in Europe. There are so many thickos like you around, unable to even be able to read facts , that we should have had much more enforcement.
    I suspect that what we should have done is started a lot earlier. Boris' cavalier attitude while other countries were locking down came back to bite him hard.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    Its not sour grapes its realism . The old voted for brexit and now happy to see the young lose opportunity and chance to earn because lockdown is fine for them given their more stable lives and bigger gardens . The old (being one of the richer ares of society) need to pay for this now and not pass on massive debt to young.
    If it walks like a duck....
    No-one is ' as 'happy' as you put it. We are where we are. You are just acting like a spoilt child.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,274
    edited May 2020
    geoffw said:

    Very perceptive header, thank you Mr Meeks. The societal consequences of the virus plague are fascinating as it reverses many of the trends we had thought were baked in. Long-term investor Buffet has divested Berkshire Hathaway of all its airline holdings - just one straw in the wind. I'm glad that the survey shows Brits to be more cautious than others about relaxing lockdown measures even though I admire the Swedes for their refusenik stance.

    In the short to medium term, it's likely that investors will over-compensate and the companies that look likely to benefit from a "new world" will be overrated, and those from the "old world" sold down too strongly. The major tech companies are on the rise, for example. For the brave, the trading opportunities may be with the oversold companies, although I won't be brave enough until we see whether the summer/autumn markets test new lows.

    In terms of the wider world, the virus crisis may accelerate trends that were already starting to appear, but I remain sceptical that it will change the world. Writing such stuff simply helps columnists fill empty spaces in the newspapers.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,983
    King Cole, I think that's something of a revision of history. The PM, for all his many other flaws, has followed scientific advice. And when the advice changed he didn't hesitate to change the policy swiftly.

    I think your criticism's unfair, on that basis.

    The matter of care homes, perhaps over-recording presumptive cases, and a lack of better airport control are more legitimate grounds for complaint, I think.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 30,939

    IanB2 said:

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.



    It clearly isn't healthy that the interests of the working age population active in the economy weigh so less significantly.

    .
    An alternative perspective.

    Capitalism and greed have fucked this world. Your kind of attitude, in other words. Whether it's screwing the climate or creating the environment for viruses, we have utterly screwed up this planet.

    So now is an excellent opportunity to recalibrate.
    It certainly wasn't capitalism that created the environment for this virus. This is just the latest in a very long line of viral attacks that have existed since long before any of our current economic systems ever existed.

    There are justifiable reasons for attacking the current economic system. This virus isn't one of them. Indeed it is modern systems, both economic and social which have helped to mitigate the effects of this virus.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.

    My heart bleeds for you, get out and get yourself a job and you may have same issues when you are a pensioner. Not all pensioners are rolling in it or lucky enough to have holidays in Tuscany. You sound like areal charmer.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,210
    So far thanks to the furlough scheme jobs haven't been badly affected. Yet all the signs are there of the coming storm - a few enterprising businesses have used this as an opportunity to shut down unwanted high street operations, and then we have the BA announcement, but other than that people are slightly bemused at getting most of their pay for none of the work. Can't last.

    when the money runs out, thats when we will see tough arguments being made. So far the government is doing its hardest to claim its had a good war, and its chanters are happy to sing along. But when the government is ordering people back to work - "some of you will die and we're sorry that we can do nothing about it" - thats when this gets interesting.

    My business spent a full working day across a few days having hideous virtual SMT discussions about how to manage the factory staff and how to manage production shifts in one/more people fell ill/died. It was genuinely hard and a couple of members clearly couldn't cope with the implications of what we were taking about. Take that same argument, this time its the government telling people there is no cure, they might die, but go back to your slave lives because we need to profit from you. It won't go down well. Many will yearn for the old life and comply. Others will have no choice. Many will do so grudgingly, glaringly, warily...
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    felix said:

    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    Its not sour grapes its realism . The old voted for brexit and now happy to see the young lose opportunity and chance to earn because lockdown is fine for them given their more stable lives and bigger gardens . The old (being one of the richer ares of society) need to pay for this now and not pass on massive debt to young.
    If it walks like a duck....
    No-one is ' as 'happy' as you put it. We are where we are. You are just acting like a spoilt child.
    Cut the insults please =- that is childish
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735

    I think those commenting on apparent cowardice, especially of the younger generation, have rather missed the point. Most people are obeying the lockdown not for their own sake, but for the sake of others who are at more risk. The fact that so many of the British are prepared to inconvenience themselves to slow the spread and thus save others is a testament to British selflessness.

    Summer in the garden on full pay and get to feel like they are doing it for others = British selflessness

    Thats a bit harsh but just as realistic as the above.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124

    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    Why do you know me and my work record or indeed age? Strangely personal reposte from you?
    Lol - you happily stereotype old people to fit your prejudices them moan when poor defenceless Malc G bites back...
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    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,150
    IanB2 said:

    geoffw said:

    Very perceptive header, thank you Mr Meeks. The societal consequences of the virus plague are fascinating as it reverses many of the trends we had thought were baked in. Long-term investor Buffet has divested Berkshire Hathaway of all its airline holdings - just one straw in the wind. I'm glad that the survey shows Brits to be more cautious than others about relaxing lockdown measures even though I admire the Swedes for their refusenik stance.

    In the short to medium term, it's likely that investors will over-compensate and the companies that look likely to benefit from a "new world" will be overrated, and those from the "old world" sold down too strongly. The major tech companies are on the rise, for example. For the brave, the trading opportunities may be with the oversold companies, although I won't be brave enough until we see whether the summer/autumn markets test new lows.

    In terms of the wider world, the virus crisis may accelerate trends that were already starting to appear, but I remain sceptical that it will change the world. Writing such stuff simply helps columnists fill empty spaces in the newspapers.
    Willingness to plunge into airlines and travel companies, hospitality etc would certainly be a test of contrarian bravado atm.

  • Options
    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    malcolmg said:

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.

    My heart bleeds for you, get out and get yourself a job and you may have same issues when you are a pensioner. Not all pensioners are rolling in it or lucky enough to have holidays in Tuscany. You sound like areal charmer.
    I am not sure why you think I don't have a job.
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,274

    IanB2 said:

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.



    It clearly isn't healthy that the interests of the working age population active in the economy weigh so less significantly.

    .
    An alternative perspective.

    Capitalism and greed have fucked this world. Your kind of attitude, in other words. Whether it's screwing the climate or creating the environment for viruses, we have utterly screwed up this planet.

    So now is an excellent opportunity to recalibrate.
    LOL @ "creating the environment for viruses". Don't you know any history at all?
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    TBH, I think it's fair to say that those born during and shortly after the war have, so far and in many respects, been 'lucky'. Fed a more balanced diet, and fat and sugar free during childhood, an improving education system, supported further education and full employment. Once National Service was stopped, the world was their oyster for young men and women. The Oil Crisis didn't totally end it, but things were never quite the same again.
    OKC, however the young nowadays have it a lot easier than those kids ever had, most people were very poor and their parents worked their butts off to better themselves. These arses think they deserve it all handed to them on a silver plate.
    There were few handouts in those days , people had to get out and graft , not sit and whine about someone else getting more than them.
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    state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,417
    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    Why do you know me and my work record or indeed age? Strangely personal reposte from you?
    Lol - you happily stereotype old people to fit your prejudices them moan when poor defenceless Malc G bites back...
    I refer to the old as the survey breaks down age groups . Isn't that the point of the survey to see if their are dominant thoughts in different age groups.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,284
    edited May 2020

    Many wealthy (almost by definition ) older people willing to support lockdown and frown on those that don't but don't really want to share any (even minor) financial consequences - just listen to the moaning of 60 plus people who have booked a week in Tuscany this summer and cannot get their few hundred quid deposit back . Generally people want all the good things and none of the bad consequences. The older you get the consequences are limited to lost minor deposits on holidays (and they will demand them back!) but for the young they are losing their education, freedom and opportunity.

    I understand your frustration and fear for the future but would caution that the vast majority of pensioners are far from wealthy and the lost holidays are not only deposits, but full price payments, and include many millions of families and younger people

    The idea those of us in 12 weeks lockdown, unable to be with our family and hug our grandchildren, are laid back about the lockdown is far from true. My wife and I hope the lockdown will be eased gradually and responsibly and indeed we accept being in lockdown, as others are freed to start the process of regaining some normality in their lives

    It is a great importance we do not set up a them against us, i.e. the old v the young as that creates division just at the time we need to be kinder to each other and show compassion to everyone who is suffering, including obviously yourself

    We do feel your pain
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,921

    malcolmg said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    Away you whinging loser those pensioners have worked long and hard for their pension, I doubt many of the whingers like yourself will be able to say same when they start collecting it.
    Why do you know me and my work record or indeed age? Strangely personal reposte from you?
    Just the same as you know everything about all these rich pensioners and have a crystal ball about how all the young will be on long term poverty unlike many many pensioners who have been in poverty all their lives.
    Plenty of supposed experts on how rich pensioners are on here.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    edited May 2020

    felix said:

    felix said:

    Somebody should tell well off defined benefit pensioner recipients that each extra month in lockdown will see their pension reduced 10% to see if they still support this lockdown that is destroying opportunity and driving the young into long term poverty

    We will all have to pay for the cost of this pandemic. I'm not sure why you want to punish one particular group to the degree you suggest. Your breakfast grapes were clearly more sour than mine.
    Its not sour grapes its realism . The old voted for brexit and now happy to see the young lose opportunity and chance to earn because lockdown is fine for them given their more stable lives and bigger gardens . The old (being one of the richer ares of society) need to pay for this now and not pass on massive debt to young.
    If it walks like a duck....
    No-one is ' as 'happy' as you put it. We are where we are. You are just acting like a spoilt child.
    Cut the insults please =- that is childish
    Cut the stereotypes and the insults won't apply.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    coach said:

    Morning all newbie here.

    Interesting poll which suggests we've become either paralysed by fear or are rather enjoying netflix and Crucible Classics

    Sooner or later the govt needs to start the debate about the economic situation facing us, it seems plenty are very happy to sit at home on 80% wages. When the furlough ends and that job no longer exists I suspect the 23% will at least double.

    Welcome!

    I’m sure that an exploration of the costs of lockdown will be part of the solution. Right now the public feels like it’s on holiday.
    I'm working harder than I ever have before. It's exhausting.

    People who say this don't have children.
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,735
    Jonathan said:

    Confidence will stem from a thought through plan. Today the government has no plan it is willing to share, hence there is no confidence.

    It is perhaps a couple of weeks late but its supposed to be started to be shared tomorrow.....and we know the gist of it already from signposting:

    This review - focus on raising NHS non covid output, getting businesses that are closed but not on the banned list to re-open if they can
    Next review - gradual easing of lockdown rules
    Key deliverables that need to be in place - Test track, trace and isolate processes and scale, New App released
    Likely deliverables - Masks in certain scenarios (probably just mandatory for mass transit?), Border control
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,328

    Not much evidence of British stoicism there really, is there?

    It is pretty stoic to give up your lifestyle and income to protect your family’s health.


    Depends if it means you can sit in your garden instead of the office all summer whilst still getting paid, or you are cooped up in a tiny flat with young kids or are a
    supermarket delivery driver or shelf stacker having to work in stressful conditions perhaps?
    Indeed. If you are cooped up in a flat with no garden but still willing to go through that to protect your family’s health then it really is stoicism.


    They aren't "willing" they are obeying. They have no choice. I have no choice.


    9% are resisting the lockdown.
    44% are struggling but obeying. Only 48% are accepting. So actually, a majority really don't like the lockdown:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52501417

    Don't tell me about stoicism.
    I am not telling you about stoicism. I understand you are not getting what you want and that it is very frustrating for you. I am merely observing that those who are concerned about ending the lockdown are not all cowards. Some are willing to give up a hell of a lot to protect their families. Why is it, do you think, that so many essential workers, who are still out and about and working, are not sending their kids to school even though they can? Is it cowardice?

    They now don't have much choice. In my area several schools have now closed for good.
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